Josh SmithSS
Texas Rangers
INJURED · Injured 10-Day (D10)
Age 28
L/R
5'9" / 172 lbs
MLB
K +3%
Svc 4.000 · Ctrl thru 2027
peak 1.0 · 2027
wRC+†vL 5871vR 81
AVG/OBP/SLG.238 / .323 / .364
PA251
HR5
SB5
K%20
BB%9
MLB%100%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
50→50
PWR
40→40
SPD
50→50
EYE
53↗55
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.4peak
2027
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status Arb-2
MLB Debut 2022
Service 4.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through 2027
First FA Year 2028
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | Arb-2 | $3M | — | — | — |
| 2027 | Arb-3 | $5M | +1.0 | $8M | +$3M |
| Totals | $5M | $8M | +$3M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | 3 teams | 351 | 302 | 77 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 29 | 82 | 18 | 26 | 5 | .255 | .355 | .444 | .799 | .189 | .311 | 23 | 8 | .339 | 118 | +7 | +3 | +0 | +1 | +10 | 2.2 |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA | 2 teams | 514 | 444 | 100 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 51 | 118 | 13 | 13 | 7 | .225 | .323 | .329 | .652 | .104 | .288 | 23 | 10 | .291 | 81 | -11 | -0 | +1 | +2 | +15 | 0.6 |
| 2023 | 25 | MLB | 2 teams | 253 | 214 | 38 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 60 | 9 | 3 | 0 | .178 | .296 | .299 | .595 | .121 | .220 | 24 | 11 | .276 | 70 | -9 | +1 | -2 | +1 | +7 | -0.2 |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 592 | 523 | 136 | 30 | 1 | 13 | 46 | 121 | 18 | 11 | 2 | .260 | .341 | .396 | .737 | .136 | .314 | 20 | 8 | .322 | 104 | +3 | +1 | +1 | +2 | +17 | 2.5 |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 563 | 496 | 123 | 23 | 2 | 10 | 55 | 100 | 8 | 12 | 3 | .248 | .333 | .363 | .696 | .115 | .292 | 18 | 10 | .308 | 94 | -4 | +1 | -3 | +6 | +16 | 1.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 84 | 72 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 1 | .181 | .289 | .208 | .497 | .028 | .228 | 19 | 12 | .230 | 34 | -6 | +0 | -1 | +0 | +2 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | TEX | 167 | 146 | 33 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 33 | 3 | 3 | 1 | .226 | .315 | .329 | .644 | .103 | .275 | 20 | 10 | .303 | 90 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +5 | 0.4 |
| TOT | 28 | MLB | TEX | 251 | 218 | 46 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 49 | 4 | 5 | 2 | .211 | .306 | .289 | .595 | .078 | .256 | 20 | 10 | .278 | 71 | -8 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +7 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | TEX | 546 | 478 | 110 | 21 | 1 | 10 | 52 | 90 | 11 | 10 | 3 | .230 | .320 | .341 | .661 | .111 | .261 | 16 | 10 | .301 | 88 | -7 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +15 | 1.0 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | TEX | 534 | 467 | 105 | 20 | 1 | 9 | 51 | 90 | 11 | 9 | 2 | .225 | .316 | .330 | .645 | .105 | .260 | 17 | 10 | .298 | 86 | -9 | +1 | -2 | +2 | +15 | 0.8 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | TEX | 519 | 454 | 101 | 19 | 1 | 8 | 49 | 89 | 11 | 6 | 1 | .222 | .313 | .322 | .635 | .099 | .258 | 17 | 9 | .294 | 83 | -10 | +1 | -3 | +2 | +15 | 0.5 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB | TEX | 500 | 439 | 97 | 18 | 1 | 8 | 47 | 89 | 10 | 4 | 1 | .221 | .310 | .321 | .632 | .100 | .257 | 18 | 9 | .289 | 79 | -12 | +0 | -3 | +2 | +14 | 0.1 |
| 2031 | 33 | MLB | TEX | 470 | 414 | 90 | 17 | 1 | 7 | 44 | 87 | 9 | 2 | 0 | .217 | .306 | .314 | .620 | .097 | .255 | 19 | 9 | .283 | 75 | -13 | +0 | -4 | +2 | +13 | -0.2 |
| 2032 | 34 | MLB | TEX | 423 | 372 | 78 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 40 | 82 | 8 | 0 | 0 | .210 | .300 | .293 | .593 | .083 | .253 | 19 | 9 | .277 | 70 | -14 | +0 | -5 | +2 | +12 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 5432 | 4749 | 1088 | 209 | 17 | 97 | 507 | 1041 | 129 | 99 | 25 | .229 | .320 | .342 | .662 | .112 | .272 | 19 | 9 | .299 | 87 | -81 | +10 | -21 | +23 | +154 | 8.7 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 568 | 131 | 25 | 2 | 12 | 61 | 125 | 15 | 12 | 3 | .231 | .321 | .345 | .666 | .114 | .274 | 19 | 9 | .299 | 87 | -10 | +1 | -2 | +3 | +18 | 1.0 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | 127 | 102 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 2 | .294 | .429 | .431 | .860 | .137 | .338 | 16 | 14 | .390 | 157 | +8 | +1 | — | — | +4 | 1.3 |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Hickory Crawdads | 174 | 147 | 46 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 36 | 8 | 14 | 3 | .313 | .416 | .537 | .954 | .224 | .393 | 21 | 10 | .417 | 177 | +15 | +2 | — | — | +5 | 2.2 |
| 2021 | 23 | A | Tampa Tarpons | 50 | 39 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 0 | .333 | .480 | .795 | 1.275 | .462 | .259 | 12 | 14 | .533 | 266 | +9 | +1 | — | — | +1 | 1.2 |
| 2022 | 24 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 253 | 213 | 42 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 50 | 7 | 4 | 3 | .197 | .310 | .249 | .559 | .052 | .244 | 20 | 11 | .265 | 61 | -11 | -0 | +1 | +2 | +7 | -0.1 |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA | Round Rock Express | 261 | 221 | 64 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 54 | 6 | 9 | 4 | .290 | .396 | .466 | .862 | .176 | .358 | 21 | 13 | .384 | 152 | +15 | +0 | — | — | +7 | 2.3 |
| 2023 | 25 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 232 | 195 | 36 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 55 | 9 | 1 | 0 | .185 | .306 | .328 | .634 | .144 | .222 | 24 | 11 | .291 | 81 | -5 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +7 | 0.1 |
| 2023 | 25 | INTL | Leones del Escogido | 21 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | .222 | .333 | .222 | .556 | .000 | .308 | 24 | 14 | .272 | 66 | -1 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.0 |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 592 | 523 | 135 | 30 | 1 | 13 | 46 | 121 | 18 | 11 | 2 | .258 | .339 | .394 | .733 | .136 | .311 | 20 | 8 | .329 | 110 | +7 | +1 | +1 | +2 | +17 | 2.9 |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 563 | 495 | 124 | 23 | 2 | 10 | 55 | 100 | 8 | 12 | 3 | .251 | .335 | .366 | .700 | .115 | .295 | 18 | 10 | .317 | 101 | +0 | +1 | -3 | +6 | +16 | 2.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | 1640 | 1426 | 337 | 66 | 4 | 31 | 154 | 326 | 42 | 28 | 8 | .236 | .328 | .353 | .682 | .117 | .284 | 20 | 9 | .310 | 95 | -9 | +2 | -3 | +11 | +46 | 4.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Josh Smith (OGILVIE) | 28 | 50 | 40 | 50 | 55 | .229/.318/.341 | .112 | .262 | 5 | 5 | 16% | 9% | 90 | +0.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Jeff Fiorentino 2011 · MLB |
28 | 50→54 | 44→50 | 51→50 | 49 | .245/.303/.363 | .118 | .294 | 10 | 15 | 20% | 8% | 87 | +0.8 | .225/.290/.353 | .128 | .271 | 12 | 10 | 21% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .216/.288/.345 | .130 | .258 | 13 | 8 | 21% | 8% | 76 | +0.0 |
|
✕Jordany Valdespin 2016 · MLB |
28 | 50→54 | 44→50 | 48→55 | 49 | .244/.301/.359 | .115 | .273 | 11 | 16 | 15% | 6% | 85 | +0.7 | .247/.297/.341 | .094 | .292 | 8 | 17 | 17% | 6% | 79 | +0.3 | .257/.302/.350 | .094 | .297 | 9 | 18 | 16% | 5% | 79 | +0.2 |
|
✕Vimael Machín 2022 · MLB |
28 | 46→55 | 43→45 | 49→45 | 49 | .226/.291/.341 | .115 | .272 | 10 | 6 | 20% | 8% | 76 | +0.1 | .234/.300/.334 | .100 | .282 | 8 | 4 | 19% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .243/.302/.358 | .114 | .288 | 11 | 7 | 19% | 7% | 83 | +0.4 |
|
✕Donovan Walton 2023 · MLB |
29 | 46→54 | 48→50 | 47→45 | 48 | .232/.294/.383 | .151 | .259 | 14 | 8 | 17% | 6% | 89 | +1.0 | .234/.294/.354 | .120 | .269 | 12 | 7 | 17% | 7% | 82 | +0.5 | .238/.301/.343 | .104 | .271 | 12 | 5 | 16% | 7% | 81 | +0.3 |
|
✕Greg Garcia 2018 · MLB |
28 | 54→53 | 39→40 | 48→50 | 56 | .251/.342/.338 | .087 | .314 | 5 | 9 | 20% | 11% | 98 | +1.6 | .240/.338/.340 | .100 | .304 | 8 | 6 | 21% | 12% | 97 | +1.5 | .237/.345/.337 | .100 | .299 | 7 | 3 | 21% | 13% | 98 | +0.8 |
|
✕Mitch Maier 2010 · MLB |
28 | 50→55 | 42→50 | 49→50 | 48 | .244/.298/.349 | .105 | .286 | 9 | 11 | 18% | 7% | 81 | +0.4 | .246/.319/.354 | .108 | .302 | 8 | 9 | 20% | 10% | 92 | +1.2 | .242/.322/.351 | .109 | .304 | 8 | 6 | 21% | 10% | 90 | +0.4 |
|
✕Kris Watts 2012 · AAA |
28 | 49→53 | 42→45 | 48→30 | 51 | .235/.314/.346 | .111 | .277 | 9 | 3 | 18% | 8% | 89 | +0.9 | .209/.290/.307 | .098 | .257 | 8 | 4 | 21% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .180/.269/.263 | .084 | .221 | 7 | 0 | 21% | 9% | 47 | -0.5 |
|
✕Brent Abernathy 2006 · MLB |
28 | 52→53 | 44→40 | 49→50 | 51 | .252/.306/.365 | .113 | .268 | 12 | 14 | 12% | 6% | 89 | +1.0 | .245/.292/.322 | .077 | .277 | 7 | 17 | 14% | 6% | 71 | -0.3 | .241/.287/.297 | .056 | .276 | 4 | 19 | 13% | 6% | 59 | -0.8 |
|
✕Alex Cora 2003 · MLB |
27 | 51→53 | 42→45 | 49→50 | 52 | .244/.314/.362 | .118 | .272 | 8 | 7 | 14% | 8% | 92 | +1.2 | .249/.313/.357 | .108 | .271 | 9 | 7 | 11% | 6% | 90 | +1.0 | .242/.320/.336 | .094 | .258 | 8 | 9 | 10% | 8% | 80 | +0.2 |
|
✕Jesus Arredondo 2019 · AAA |
28 | 51→59 | 46→50 | 46→50 | 47 | .251/.302/.385 | .134 | .290 | 14 | 13 | 19% | 6% | 93 | +1.3 | .238/.297/.389 | .151 | .266 | 17 | 11 | 17% | 8% | 92 | +1.2 | .230/.296/.378 | .148 | .249 | 18 | 10 | 16% | 8% | 85 | +0.5 |
|
●John Jaso 2012 · MLB |
28 | 51→56 | 43→50 | 47→45 | 59 | .243/.327/.360 | .117 | .268 | 9 | 5 | 13% | 11% | 97 | +1.5 | .265/.363/.423 | .158 | .298 | 15 | 7 | 15% | 13% | 128 | +3.7 | .276/.379/.443 | .167 | .315 | 16 | 6 | 16% | 13% | 136 | +2.2 |
|
●TJ Friedl 2023 · MLB |
27 | 47→53 | 48→50 | 55 | 48 | .234/.303/.384 | .149 | .269 | 15 | 16 | 19% | 7% | 93 | +1.3 | .244/.323/.394 | .150 | .276 | 16 | 19 | 17% | 8% | 105 | +2.1 | .246/.337/.381 | .136 | .276 | 15 | 18 | 16% | 10% | 103 | +1.8 |
|
✕Russ Adams 2009 · MLB |
28 | 46→53 | 44→50 | 47→45 | 48 | .228/.283/.347 | .119 | .261 | 12 | 8 | 18% | 7% | 75 | -0.0 | .224/.276/.352 | .128 | .260 | 13 | 8 | 19% | 6% | 73 | -0.1 | .224/.273/.357 | .133 | .258 | 13 | 4 | 19% | 6% | 71 | -0.1 |
|
✕Jace Peterson 2018 · MLB |
28 | 48→57 | 41→50 | 47→55 | 56 | .232/.315/.337 | .105 | .280 | 8 | 11 | 19% | 11% | 86 | +0.8 | .232/.314/.365 | .133 | .285 | 11 | 18 | 21% | 10% | 93 | +1.3 | .242/.319/.391 | .150 | .298 | 15 | 19 | 23% | 9% | 95 | +0.9 |
|
✕Conner Crumbliss 2014 · AAA |
27 | 44→49 | 44→45 | 51→50 | 58 | .217/.318/.337 | .119 | .264 | 12 | 15 | 21% | 12% | 88 | +0.9 | .217/.298/.343 | .126 | .255 | 12 | 12 | 19% | 9% | 81 | +0.4 | .212/.288/.332 | .120 | .243 | 11 | 11 | 17% | 8% | 71 | -0.2 |
|
✕Joe Thurston 2008 · MLB |
28 | 53→58 | 42→45 | 49→50 | 46 | .255/.300/.371 | .116 | .285 | 8 | 14 | 14% | 5% | 88 | +0.9 | .256/.305/.371 | .115 | .294 | 9 | 13 | 15% | 6% | 90 | +1.0 | .245/.313/.353 | .108 | .287 | 9 | 11 | 17% | 7% | 86 | +0.6 |
|
✕Jeff Salazar 2009 · MLB |
28 | 49→51 | 45→50 | 54→55 | 53 | .238/.313/.376 | .139 | .282 | 11 | 14 | 20% | 9% | 95 | +1.4 | .221/.283/.341 | .120 | .264 | 13 | 21 | 21% | 8% | 73 | -0.1 | .205/.268/.312 | .107 | .245 | 14 | 28 | 22% | 7% | 58 | -0.8 |
|
✕Josh Johnson 2014 · AAA |
28 | 51→49 | 42→45 | 48→50 | 52 | .248/.314/.358 | .110 | .291 | 9 | 15 | 18% | 8% | 90 | +1.0 | .233/.301/.310 | .077 | .279 | 5 | 11 | 17% | 9% | 72 | -0.2 | .221/.294/.261 | .041 | .269 | 1 | 8 | 17% | 9% | 57 | -0.6 |
|
✕Steve Tolleson 2012 · MLB |
28 | 49→53 | 42→45 | 51→50 | 48 | .237/.297/.343 | .106 | .283 | 9 | 16 | 20% | 7% | 79 | +0.3 | .234/.297/.337 | .103 | .295 | 9 | 15 | 22% | 8% | 78 | +0.2 | .235/.301/.332 | .097 | .298 | 8 | 14 | 23% | 8% | 77 | +0.1 |
|
✕Juan Carlos Gamboa 2019 · AAA |
28 | 50 | 43→45 | 45→50 | 43 | .243/.293/.354 | .111 | .305 | 11 | 9 | 24% | 6% | 81 | +0.4 | .251/.315/.371 | .120 | .324 | 13 | 9 | 25% | 8% | 95 | +1.4 | .261/.330/.370 | .109 | .339 | 12 | 5 | 25% | 8% | 101 | +1.2 |