Theo Gillen — OGILVIE

Theo GillenOF Bowling Green Hot Rods

Age 20 L/R 6'2" / 195 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 2.8 · 2033

wRC+†103

AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .303 / .344

PA320

HR8

SB11

K%31

BB%10

MLB%4%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

48↗56

PWR

42↗50

SPD

58↗59

FLD

41↗54

EYE

65↘62

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.8peak

2032

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	+2.0	$17M	+$17M
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+2.3	$21M	+$20M
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+2.6	$24M	+$23M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$5M	+2.7	$26M	+$20M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$9M	+2.8	$28M	+$18M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$13M	+2.6	$26M	+$13M
Totals		$30M		$142M	+$112M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	18	A	Charleston RiverDogs	34	29	3	1	0	0	5	20	0	1	0	.103	.235	.138	.373	.034	.333	59	15	.170	-12	-4	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.3
2025	19	A	Charleston RiverDogs	324	266	60	12	1	4	41	106	10	36	3	.226	.350	.323	.673	.098	.350	33	13	.301	89	-4	+6	+0	-2	+9	0.9
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	20	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	45	40	10	2	1	4	3	15	2	3	0	.250	.333	.650	.983	.400	.286	33	7	.409	171	+4	+1	+0	-0	+1	0.5
ROS	20	MLB	TB	275	241	52	10	2	8	27	87	5	8	1	.216	.308	.373	.681	.158	.293	32	10	.305	92	-3	+1	-0	-2	+8	0.4
TOT	20	MLB	TB	320	281	62	12	3	12	30	102	7	11	1	.221	.311	.413	.724	.192	.298	32	9	.320	103	+1	+2	-0	-2	+9	1.0
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	21	MLB 15%	TB	379	330	74	14	2	11	39	109	7	11	1	.224	.319	.379	.698	.155	.294	29	10	.315	99	-0	+2	-1	-2	+11	1.0
2028	22	MLB 31%	TB	461	400	93	17	3	15	49	126	9	13	2	.233	.330	.403	.732	.170	.296	27	11	.325	107	+4	+2	-1	-3	+13	1.5
2029	23	MLB 51%	TB	515	445	105	19	3	17	55	137	10	14	2	.236	.333	.407	.740	.171	.297	27	11	.331	112	+7	+2	-1	-3	+15	2.0
2030	24	MLB 70%	TB	549	474	113	21	3	19	60	143	10	14	2	.238	.336	.416	.752	.177	.298	26	11	.336	115	+9	+2	-1	-3	+16	2.3
2031	25	MLB 86%	TB	568	488	117	21	3	20	64	147	11	15	2	.240	.341	.418	.759	.178	.299	26	11	.339	118	+11	+2	-1	-3	+16	2.6
2032	26	MLB	TB	578	496	120	22	3	21	66	149	11	14	2	.242	.344	.425	.769	.183	.299	26	11	.341	119	+12	+2	-1	-3	+16	2.7
2033	27	MLB	TB	579	496	120	22	3	21	67	150	11	14	1	.242	.345	.425	.770	.183	.300	26	12	.341	119	+13	+2	-1	-3	+16	2.8
2034	28	MLB	TB	576	493	117	21	3	20	67	151	11	14	1	.237	.342	.414	.755	.176	.299	26	12	.340	118	+12	+2	-1	-3	+16	2.6
2035	29	MLB	TB	566	485	116	21	3	20	66	150	10	13	1	.239	.342	.419	.761	.179	.299	27	12	.338	117	+11	+2	-2	-3	+16	2.4
2036	30	MLB	TB	556	476	112	20	3	19	65	149	10	12	0	.235	.339	.410	.749	.174	.298	27	12	.335	115	+9	+2	-3	-3	+16	2.2
2037	31	MLB	TB	542	464	108	19	3	18	63	147	10	11	0	.233	.337	.403	.740	.170	.297	27	12	.332	112	+7	+2	-4	-3	+15	1.8
2038	32	MLB	TB	524	449	103	18	3	17	61	145	9	10	0	.229	.333	.396	.730	.167	.295	28	12	.327	108	+5	+2	-4	-3	+15	1.5
2039	33	MLB	TB	494	425	95	17	2	15	57	140	9	9	0	.224	.328	.379	.707	.155	.294	28	12	.322	104	+2	+2	-5	-3	+14	1.1
2040	34	MLB	TB	448	386	85	15	2	13	51	131	8	9	0	.220	.324	.370	.694	.150	.293	29	11	.315	99	-0	+2	-6	-3	+13	0.6
2041	35	MLB	TB	393	338	72	12	2	11	45	119	7	8	0	.213	.318	.358	.676	.145	.291	30	11	.308	94	-3	+2	-6	-2	+11	0.1
2042	36	MLB	TB	333	287	61	10	2	9	37	104	6	7	0	.213	.315	.355	.671	.143	.289	31	11	.299	87	-5	+1	-7	-2	+9	-0.3
2043	37	MLB	TB	269	233	46	8	1	6	30	87	4	6	0	.197	.300	.318	.617	.120	.286	32	11	.289	80	-6	+1	-7	-2	+8	-0.6
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			8963	7701	1772	320	47	284	1015	2497	168	239	18	.230	.333	.394	.727	.164	.300	28	11	.326	108	+77	+41	-50	-54	+254	27.3
/ 162G	—			650	558	128	23	3	21	74	181	12	17	1	.229	.332	.394	.726	.165	.298	28	11	.326	108	+6	+3	-4	-4	+18	2.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	18	A	Charleston RiverDogs	34	26	4	1	0	0	8	14	0	1	0	.154	.353	.192	.545	.038	.333	41	24	.282	74	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2025	19	A	Charleston RiverDogs	324	243	65	12	1	5	64	75	10	36	3	.267	.438	.387	.825	.119	.359	23	20	.376	146	+17	+6	—	—	+9	3.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Theo Gillen (OGILVIE)	20	48→56	42→50	58→59	62	.211/.303/.344	.134	.296	8	8	31%	10%	85	+0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Corbin Carroll 2022 · A	21	48→54	44→60	57→60	46	.229/.300/.355	.126	.326	11	18	31%	9%	84	+0.6	.252/.333/.461	.209	.312	22	31	25%	9%	125	+3.5	.245/.332/.462	.217	.278	24	37	21%	10%	121	+3.5
●James Wood 2023 · A	20	53→59	48→60	53→55	44	.246/.318/.394	.148	.364	15	17	34%	9%	102	+1.9	.245/.320/.430	.185	.359	20	16	34%	9%	112	+2.6	.270/.366/.491	.222	.360	26	18	30%	13%	138	+3.3
●Colby Rasmus 2007 · A	20	45→55	46→60	54→50	42	.223/.277/.357	.134	.288	13	15	27%	6%	75	-0.0	.225/.291/.388	.163	.272	19	14	24%	8%	90	+1.0	.237/.305/.454	.217	.309	28	3	32%	8%	109	+1.8
●Evan Carter 2023 · AA	20	46→52	45→50	55	51	.224/.304/.359	.135	.280	11	21	23%	9%	87	+0.8	.231/.318/.378	.147	.301	14	21	26%	10%	98	+1.6	.227/.321/.379	.152	.295	16	24	26%	10%	96	+0.9
●Michael Harris II 2022 · A	21	49→57	42→55	56→55	41	.237/.286/.348	.111	.312	9	19	26%	6%	76	+0.1	.271/.315/.439	.168	.332	18	21	23%	5%	112	+2.6	.278/.321/.456	.177	.328	21	21	21%	5%	116	+2.7
●Eddie Rosario 2012 · A	20	46→55	53→60	55→50	41	.240/.280/.410	.171	.290	21	16	26%	6%	90	+1.0	.247/.285/.392	.145	.306	14	10	23%	5%	87	+0.8	.277/.313/.475	.198	.296	27	7	17%	5%	116	+2.8
✕Akil Baddoo 2019 · A	20	42→51	43→55	56→55	48	.206/.282/.325	.120	.283	9	13	29%	9%	69	-0.4	.212/.283/.340	.128	.306	11	16	32%	9%	73	-0.1	.232/.314/.375	.143	.300	15	24	26%	11%	91	+0.8
✕Marcelo Mayer 2023 · A	20	47→46	48→50	55→50	44	.224/.297/.372	.148	.336	15	13	36%	9%	88	+0.9	.223/.279/.372	.149	.303	16	12	30%	7%	80	+0.4	.225/.274/.376	.152	.287	18	10	28%	6%	77	+0.1
●Luis Robert Jr. 2018 · A	20	48→58	43→60	52→60	46	.224/.316/.343	.119	.317	10	15	30%	9%	89	+1.0	.228/.285/.372	.144	.324	14	22	33%	5%	83	+0.6	.284/.330/.497	.213	.339	28	17	24%	5%	131	+2.8
●Riley Greene 2021 · A	20	44→54	44→60	53→50	39	.215/.271/.330	.115	.305	11	9	32%	6%	66	-0.6	.252/.315/.404	.152	.357	15	10	31%	8%	103	+1.9	.263/.332/.466	.203	.338	25	5	28%	9%	124	+3.1
●Jackson Merrill 2023 · A	20	51→58	42→55	51→50	41	.244/.289/.355	.111	.326	9	12	27%	6%	79	+0.3	.259/.300/.414	.155	.299	17	12	19%	5%	99	+1.7	.266/.310/.441	.174	.301	19	10	18%	6%	107	+1.9
●Colt Keith 2023 · A	21	49→53	46→55	53→45	45	.236/.300/.372	.137	.327	13	8	31%	8%	89	+0.9	.251/.308/.410	.159	.313	18	5	25%	7%	102	+1.8	.253/.314/.408	.154	.307	18	4	23%	8%	102	+1.6
●Michael Saunders 2008 · AA	21	48→52	43→55	53→55	44	.229/.295/.345	.116	.329	10	18	32%	8%	79	+0.3	.232/.292/.367	.135	.316	14	15	29%	7%	84	+0.6	.251/.327/.433	.182	.309	19	17	24%	10%	112	+1.9
✕Robert Hassell III 2022 · A	20	51→54	45	55→50	46	.245/.308/.377	.132	.327	12	19	28%	8%	93	+1.3	.224/.285/.326	.102	.320	10	16	31%	8%	70	-0.3	.223/.281/.313	.089	.313	10	17	30%	7%	62	-0.7
●Jaff Decker 2009 · A	19	53→50	43→55	52→55	58	.247/.348/.365	.118	.328	10	10	25%	13%	108	+2.3	.234/.328/.397	.163	.309	18	8	28%	11%	108	+2.3	.214/.308/.388	.174	.280	21	8	30%	11%	96	+1.2
●Joc Pederson 2012 · A	20	48→52	44→65	53→55	45	.235/.293/.354	.119	.299	12	15	25%	7%	81	+0.4	.242/.308/.399	.157	.308	19	20	26%	8%	99	+1.7	.257/.362/.473	.216	.296	28	5	22%	12%	134	+3.0
●Brandon Marsh 2019 · A	21	47→57	42→50	52→50	41	.223/.282/.334	.110	.330	9	10	33%	7%	71	-0.3	.223/.283/.328	.105	.333	8	13	33%	7%	70	-0.3	.262/.344/.424	.163	.366	16	16	30%	11%	115	+2.2
✕Carlos Jimenez 2023 · A	20	38→41	46→50	53→55	45	.189/.278/.319	.129	.289	14	15	37%	10%	67	-0.5	.210/.289/.331	.121	.326	12	16	36%	9%	74	-0.1	.216/.296/.349	.133	.314	15	19	33%	9%	78	+0.1
●Addison Russell 2014 · A	20	48→52	49→55	58→50	45	.235/.304/.393	.158	.314	14	16	29%	8%	96	+1.5	.241/.304/.403	.162	.308	17	10	26%	7%	98	+1.6	.241/.312/.408	.167	.299	18	5	25%	8%	96	+1.3
●Jordan Walker 2022 · A	20	50→54	51→55	53→50	40	.248/.301/.413	.165	.340	18	13	32%	6%	100	+1.7	.251/.311/.412	.161	.326	18	13	27%	7%	105	+2.1	.244/.307/.401	.157	.309	17	11	26%	7%	97	+1.4

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)