Theo Gillen

CF Montgomery Biscuits
Age 21 L/R 6'2" / 195 lbs AA HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
Overview
AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2034
OGV OFP55OGV rank#10ETA2028MLB%12%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202418ATB34.154/.353/.1920114—.107/.265/.143
202519ATB324.267/.438/.38753696—.234/.369/.333
202620AA/A+TB533.315/.422/.5462244128—.282/.360/.484
2027PROJ12% MLB21MLBTB25.247/.333/.415111110.1
2028PROJ60% MLB22MLBTB284.252/.339/.43010111171.4
2029PROJ76% MLB23MLBTB395.255/.342/.43814141202.1
Next 3 projected WAR 3.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034
2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$7M2032Arb-2$13M2033Arb-3$18M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA
Speed89
wRC+88
wOBA87
ISO80
Chase%79
Whiff%79
Career WAR5.8 WAR median (P10 -0.3 / P90 57, comp-based) · star 18% · didn't stick 42%
CompsPete Crow-Armstrong (age 21) · Colby Rasmus (age 21) · Corbin Carroll (age 22)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†111
AVG/OBP/SLG.247 / .333 / .415
PA25
HR1
K%24
BB%8
BABIP309
ISO174
MLB%12%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: +2.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+3BATRUN: +1.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: -0.2 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-0FLDPOS: +0.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: +0.90+0.9WAR
0.01.53.00.11.42.12.52.62.62.527282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$69M ctrl surplus
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2028
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2033
First FA Year   2034
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M+1.4$10M+$10M
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M+2.1$14M+$14M
2030Pre-Arb$0.8M+2.5$16M+$15M
2031Arb-1$7M+2.6$16M+$11M
2032Arb-2$13M+2.6$15M+$7M
2033Arb-3$18M+2.5$13M+$3M
Totals $41M $84M +$60M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202418 ACharleston RiverDogs — 3426 4100 8140 10 154353192545 38333 4124 282 14 — — — — — —
202519 ACharleston RiverDogs — 324243 651215 647510 363 267438387825 119359 2320 376 96 — — — — — —
202620 AAMontgomery Biscuits — 268226 6511410 36533 165 288392504897 217333 2013 391 123 — — — — — —
202620 A+Bowling Green Hot Rods — 265219 7512312 38636 285 3424525891.042 247432 2414 451 133 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202418 A MLECharleston RiverDogs — 3428 3100 6190 10 107265143408 36295 5618 189 14 — — — — — —
202519 A MLECharleston RiverDogs — 324261 611214 4610110 363 234369333702 100334 3114 310 96 — — — — — —
202620 AA MLEMontgomery Biscuits — 268237 651149 25653 165 274351468819 194333 249 350 123 — — — — — —
202620 A+ MLEBowling Green Hot Rods — 265234 6810311 23826 285 291369500869 209387 319 365 133 — — — — — —
202418 A MLECharleston RiverDogs — 3428 3100 6190 10 107265143408 36333 5618 189 14 — — — — — —
202418 A RAWCharleston RiverDogs — 3426 4100 8140 10 154353192545 38333 4124 282 14 — — — — — —
202519 A MLECharleston RiverDogs — 324261 611214 4610110 363 234369333702 100356 3114 310 96 — — — — — —
202519 A RAWCharleston RiverDogs — 324243 651215 647510 363 267438387825 119359 2320 376 96 — — — — — —
202620 AA MLE2 teams — 533471 13221719 481479 4410 280358476834 195366 289 357 128 — — — — — —
202620 AA RAW2 teams — 533445 14023722 741169 4410 315422546968 231379 2214 421 128 — — — — — —
202418 A MLECharleston RiverDogs — 3428 3100 6190 10 107265143408 36295 5618 189 14 — — — — — —
202519 A MLECharleston RiverDogs — 324265 611214 4610110 363 230369328697 98334 3114 310 96 — — — — — —
202620 AA MLE2 teams — 533471 13221719 481479 4410 280358476834 195360 289 357 128 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202418 A MLECharleston RiverDogs — 3428 3100 6190 10 107265143408 36295 5618 189 14 — — — — — —
202519 A MLECharleston RiverDogs — 324265 611214 4610110 363 230369328697 98334 3114 310 96 — — — — — —
202620 AA MLE2 teams — 533471 13221719 481479 4410 280358476834 195360 289 357 128 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202721 MLB MLETB 12% 581510 12621519 571479 255 246332416748 171306 2510 333 111 +8 +3 -0 +2 +13 0.9
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202721 MLB CTXTB 12% 2523 6101 260 10 247333415749 168309 248 333 111 +0 +0 -0 +0 +1 0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202822 MLB MLETB 60% 476419 10618417 471177 184 251337432769 181306 2510 341 117 +9 +2 -0 +2 +10 2.4
202923 MLB MLETB 76% 520455 11519419 521258 184 254340440780 186306 2410 345 120 +12 +2 +0 +2 +11 2.8
203024 MLB MLETB 80% 555486 12421421 561318 184 256342444786 189306 2410 347 121 +14 +2 +1 +2 +12 3.1
203125 MLB MLETB 81% 578507 13122522 581368 174 256342445786 189305 2410 347 121 +15 +2 +1 +2 +13 3.2
203226 MLB MLETB 82% 590518 13323522 591388 163 255341443783 187304 2310 346 120 +14 +2 +1 +2 +13 3.2
203327 MLB MLETB 80% 590518 13122422 591398 153 254340440779 186304 2410 345 119 +14 +2 +1 +2 +13 3.2
203428 MLB MLETB 80% 582511 12922421 581388 133 252338435772 183303 2410 342 118 +12 +1 -0 +2 +13 2.9
203529 MLB MLETB 77% 565497 12421420 561367 113 249335428763 179301 2410 338 115 +10 +1 -1 +2 +12 2.5
203630 MLB MLETB 76% 552486 12020419 541357 103 246331420751 174299 2410 334 112 +8 +1 -2 +2 +12 2.1
203731 MLB MLETB 76% 534470 11519418 521327 83 242326410736 168296 2510 328 108 +5 +0 -2 +2 +12 1.7
203832 MLB MLETB 75% 511451 10617316 491296 63 237320397717 160292 2510 320 103 +2 +0 -3 +2 +11 1.2
203933 MLB MLETB 75% 475422 9615314 451235 46 230312381693 151287 269 310 96 -2 -2 -4 +2 +10 0.5
202822 MLB CTXTB 60% 284250 6210210 28704 112 252339430769 178309 2510 341 117 +6 +1 -0 +1 +6 1.4
202923 MLB CTXTB 76% 395347 8814314 39956 143 255342438780 183309 2410 345 120 +9 +2 +0 +1 +9 2.1
203024 MLB CTXTB 80% 442389 10016416 441046 143 257343442785 185309 2410 347 121 +11 +2 +0 +2 +10 2.5
203125 MLB CTXTB 81% 468411 10517417 471107 143 257343443786 185308 2410 347 121 +12 +2 +1 +2 +10 2.6
203226 MLB CTXTB 82% 482424 10818417 481137 133 257342441783 184307 2310 346 120 +12 +1 +1 +2 +10 2.6
203327 MLB CTXTB 80% 473416 10718417 471117 123 255341438779 182307 2310 345 119 +11 +1 +1 +2 +10 2.5
203428 MLB CTXTB 80% 463408 10317416 461106 112 254339433772 179306 2410 342 118 +10 +1 -0 +2 +10 2.3
203529 MLB CTXTB 77% 438385 9616315 441056 92 251336427763 175305 2410 338 115 +8 +1 -1 +2 +9 2.0
203630 MLB CTXTB 76% 421371 9215314 421035 82 248332418751 171303 2410 334 112 +6 +1 -1 +2 +9 1.7
203731 MLB CTXTB 76% 404357 8714313 391005 62 244328408736 165299 2510 328 108 +4 +0 -2 +1 +9 1.3
203832 MLB CTXTB 75% 385340 8213312 37975 43 238321395717 157295 2510 320 103 +1 -0 -2 +1 +8 0.8
203933 MLB CTXTB 75% 357316 7211210 34924 35 232314380694 148290 2610 311 96 -2 -1 -3 +1 +8 0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 50124414 110217939171 495121068 11933 250335424759 174305 2410 338 114 +87 +11 -6 +18 +109 22.2
/ 162G— A+C — 650572 14223522 641579 154 248333421755 173303 2410 338 114 +11 +1 -1 +2 +14 2.9
Career— MLE — 76296684 167228158261 7661899109 24458 250337427764 177309 2510 337 114 +115 +15 -9 +24 +146 29.7
/ 162G— MLE — 650569 14224522 651629 215 250335425761 176308 2510 337 114 +11 +1 -1 +2 +14 2.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAMontgomery Biscuits · 268 PAwOBA .383 → .350 (−33)K% 19.8% → 24.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.78%÷1.000×1.220——24.13%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.06%÷1.000×0.680—×1.0509.32%
HBP% /PA1.12%—×0.840—×1.0500.99%
Singles /BIP23.12%÷1.000×0.920×1.050×1.05023.45%
Doubles /BIP6.36%÷1.000×0.910×1.050×1.0506.38%
Triples /BIP2.31%÷1.000×0.880×1.050×1.0502.24%
Home runs /BIP5.78%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0504.86%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .383 → .350; ISO .217 → .198; BABIP .333 → .333. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 A+Bowling Green Hot Rods · 265 PAwOBA .443 → .365 (−78)K% 23.8% → 31.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.77%÷1.000×1.310——31.14%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.34%÷1.000×0.600—×1.0278.84%
HBP% /PA2.26%—×0.770—×1.0271.79%
Singles /BIP30.77%÷1.000×0.870×1.033×1.02728.40%
Doubles /BIP7.69%÷1.000×0.780×1.033×1.0276.37%
Triples /BIP1.92%÷1.000×0.850×1.033×1.0271.73%
Home runs /BIP7.69%÷1.000×0.880—×1.0276.95%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.033.

Result: wOBA .443 → .365; ISO .247 → .216; BABIP .432 → .387. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ACharleston RiverDogs · 324 PAwOBA .373 → .310 (−62)K% 23.1% → 31.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.15%÷1.006×1.360——31.31%
BB% (unintentional) /PA19.75%÷0.985×0.690—×1.03014.26%
HBP% /PA3.09%—×0.780—×1.0302.48%
Singles /BIP27.98%÷1.013×0.920×0.989×1.03025.87%
Doubles /BIP7.14%÷0.850×0.830×0.989×1.0307.10%
Triples /BIP0.60%÷1.121×0.910×0.989×1.0300.49%
Home runs /BIP2.98%÷1.159×0.800—×1.0302.12%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 132, 1B 103, 2B 70, 3B 124, K 101, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.989.

Result: wOBA .373 → .310; ISO .119 → .100; BABIP .359 → .334. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ACharleston RiverDogs · 34 PAwOBA .277 → .189 (−88)K% 41.2% → 56.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA41.18%÷0.985×1.360——56.83%
BB% (unintentional) /PA23.53%÷1.047×0.690—×1.04516.21%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780—×1.0450.00%
Singles /BIP25.00%÷1.071×0.920—×1.04522.44%
Doubles /BIP8.33%÷1.017×0.830—×1.0457.11%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.099×0.910—×1.0450.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.824×0.800—×1.0450.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 65, 1B 114, 2B 103, 3B 120, K 97, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .277 → .189; ISO .038 → .025; BABIP .333 → .295. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).