Theo Gillen — OGILVIE

Theo GillenCF Bowling Green Hot Rods

Age 20 L/R 6'2" / 195 lbs A+ HR +6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION529 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†112

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA1

HR0

K%30

BB%10

BABIP345

ISO126

MLB%11%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$91M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 56 / POW 53

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT56

scouting grade only

POWER53

scouting grade only

EYE61

scouting grade only

SPEED59

scouting grade only

DEFENSE53

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.2	$15M	+$14M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.6	$17M	+$16M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.7	$17M	+$16M
2031	Arb-1	$9M	+2.8	$16M	+$11M
2032	Arb-2	$14M	+2.8	$15M	+$8M
2033	Arb-3	$21M	+2.7	$13M	+$3M
Totals		$47M		$94M	+$69M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	18	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	34	26	4	1	0	0	8	14	0	1	0	154	353	192	545	38	333	41	24	282	77	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2025	19	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	324	243	65	12	1	5	64	75	10	36	3	267	438	387	825	119	359	23	20	376	141	+16	+6	—	—	+7	2.9
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	18	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	34	29	3	1	0	0	5	20	0	1	0	103	235	138	373	34	287	59	15	171	2	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2025	19	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	324	266	60	12	1	4	41	106	10	36	3	226	350	323	673	98	330	33	13	300	89	-4	+6	—	—	+7	0.9
2024	18	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	34	29	3	1	0	0	5	20	0	1	0	103	235	138	373	34	333	59	15	171	2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	A RAW	Charleston RiverDogs	—	34	26	4	1	0	0	8	14	0	1	0	154	353	192	545	38	333	41	24	282	2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	324	266	60	12	1	4	41	106	10	36	3	226	350	323	673	98	350	33	13	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A RAW	Charleston RiverDogs	—	324	243	65	12	1	5	64	75	10	36	3	267	438	387	825	119	359	23	20	376	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	34	29	3	1	0	0	5	20	0	1	0	103	235	138	373	34	287	59	15	171	2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	324	270	60	12	1	4	41	106	10	36	3	222	350	319	669	96	330	33	13	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	18	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	34	29	3	1	0	0	5	20	0	1	0	103	235	138	373	34	287	59	15	171	2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	324	270	60	12	1	4	41	106	10	36	3	222	350	319	669	96	330	33	13	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	A+ MLE	TB	—	529	467	127	20	7	17	49	149	9	44	10	272	352	454	806	182	362	28	9	349	122	+14	+5	+0	+2	+11	3.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	A+ RAW	TB	—	265	219	75	12	3	12	38	63	6	28	5	342	452	589	1.042	247	432	24	14	451	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	AA RAW	TB	—	264	223	64	11	4	10	36	53	3	16	5	287	393	507	900	220	335	20	14	394	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	20	A+ MLE	TB	11%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	1	0	111	200	111	311		334	30	10	334	112	+0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.1
▸ 2026 season — projected rest
ROS	20	MLB CTX	TB	11%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						345	0	0	329	112	+0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	20	MLB A+C	TB	—	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0							0	0	329	122	+0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	20	A+ MLE	TB	—	539	476	128	20	7	17	50	152	9	45	10	269	350	447	797	179	358	28	9	348	122	+14	+5	+0	+2	+12	3.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	TB	53%	571	499	126	21	5	16	58	157	9	25	5	253	341	411	752	158	332	27	10	335	113	+9	+3	+0	+2	+12	2.7
2028	22	MLB MLE	TB	68%	607	530	136	23	5	19	62	160	10	23	5	257	346	426	772	170	330	26	10	345	119	+14	+3	+0	+2	+13	3.3
2029	23	MLB MLE	TB	73%	612	534	139	23	5	21	63	157	10	21	4	260	349	440	789	180	328	26	10	350	123	+17	+3	+0	+2	+13	3.6
2030	24	MLB MLE	TB	73%	611	533	140	23	5	22	63	154	10	19	4	263	351	448	800	186	328	25	10	354	126	+19	+2	+0	+2	+13	3.7
2031	25	MLB MLE	TB	73%	606	528	140	23	5	22	63	152	10	18	4	265	354	453	807	188	328	25	10	356	127	+20	+2	+0	+2	+13	3.8
2032	26	MLB MLE	TB	73%	598	520	138	23	5	22	63	150	10	17	3	265	356	456	812	190	328	25	11	358	128	+20	+2	+0	+2	+13	3.8
2033	27	MLB MLE	TB	72%	589	512	136	22	5	22	63	148	9	16	3	266	356	457	813	191	328	25	11	358	128	+20	+2	+0	+2	+13	3.7
2034	28	MLB MLE	TB	71%	580	504	133	22	5	21	62	147	9	15	3	264	355	452	807	188	328	25	11	357	127	+19	+2	-1	+2	+13	3.5
2035	29	MLB MLE	TB	69%	569	494	128	21	4	20	61	145	9	14	3	259	351	439	790	180	325	25	11	354	125	+17	+2	-1	+2	+12	3.2
2036	30	MLB MLE	TB	68%	558	484	124	20	4	20	60	143	9	12	3	256	349	438	787	182	322	26	11	350	123	+15	+1	-2	+2	+12	2.9
2037	31	MLB MLE	TB	68%	548	475	120	19	4	19	59	143	9	11	2	253	346	429	776	177	318	26	11	345	119	+13	+1	-3	+2	+12	2.6
2038	32	MLB MLE	TB	67%	537	466	115	18	4	18	58	142	8	10	2	247	340	418	759	172	313	26	11	338	115	+9	+1	-3	+2	+12	2.1
2039	33	MLB MLE	TB	67%	495	432	104	16	3	16	53	133	7	9	2	241	333	403	736	162	309	27	11	331	110	+6	+1	-4	+2	+11	1.6
2040	34	MLB MLE	TB	63%	448	390	91	13	3	14	48	123	7	7	1	233	328	390	718	156	303	27	11	322	104	+2	+1	-5	+2	+10	1.0
2041	35	MLB MLE	TB	58%	393	343	78	11	3	11	41	111	6	6	1	227	321	373	694	146	297	28	10	312	97	-1	+1	-6	+1	+9	0.4
2027	21	MLB CTX	TB	53%	304	265	69	12	3	9	31	84	5	13	3	260	349	430	779	170	342	28	10	332	113	+5	+1	+0	+1	+7	1.4
2028	22	MLB CTX	TB	68%	412	360	96	16	4	14	42	109	7	16	3	267	355	450	805	183	340	26	10	341	119	+10	+2	+0	+1	+9	2.2
2029	23	MLB CTX	TB	73%	446	390	105	18	4	16	46	115	7	15	3	269	357	459	816	190	339	26	10	347	123	+12	+2	+0	+2	+10	2.6
2030	24	MLB CTX	TB	73%	446	390	105	18	4	16	46	113	7	14	3	269	357	459	816	190	338	25	10	351	126	+14	+2	+0	+2	+10	2.7
2031	25	MLB CTX	TB	73%	443	387	106	18	4	17	46	111	7	13	3	274	361	473	834	199	338	25	10	353	127	+14	+1	+0	+2	+10	2.8
2032	26	MLB CTX	TB	73%	438	382	105	18	4	17	46	110	7	12	3	275	363	476	840	202	338	25	11	355	128	+15	+1	+0	+2	+9	2.8
2033	27	MLB CTX	TB	72%	423	368	101	17	4	16	45	106	7	12	2	274	364	473	837	198	338	25	11	355	128	+14	+2	+0	+2	+9	2.7
2034	28	MLB CTX	TB	71%	413	359	97	16	4	15	44	104	7	11	2	270	361	462	823	192	338	25	11	353	127	+13	+1	-0	+1	+9	2.5
2035	29	MLB CTX	TB	69%	394	343	92	15	3	15	42	100	6	9	2	268	358	461	819	192	335	25	11	350	125	+12	+1	-1	+1	+9	2.2
2036	30	MLB CTX	TB	68%	381	331	88	15	3	14	41	98	6	9	2	266	357	456	813	190	332	26	11	347	123	+10	+1	-1	+1	+8	2.0
2037	31	MLB CTX	TB	68%	371	322	84	14	3	13	40	97	6	8	2	261	353	444	797	183	328	26	11	341	119	+9	+1	-2	+1	+8	1.7
2038	32	MLB CTX	TB	67%	362	314	80	13	3	12	39	96	6	7	1	255	348	430	778	175	322	27	11	335	115	+6	+1	-2	+1	+8	1.5
2039	33	MLB CTX	TB	67%	333	289	72	11	3	11	36	90	5	6	1	249	342	422	765	173	318	27	11	328	110	+4	+1	-3	+1	+7	1.1
2040	34	MLB CTX	TB	63%	281	245	59	9	2	9	30	77	4	5	1	241	333	404	737	163	312	27	11	319	104	+1	+1	-3	+1	+6	0.6
2041	35	MLB CTX	TB	58%	229	200	47	7	2	7	24	65	3	3	1	235	326	395	721	160	305	28	10	309	97	-1	+0	-3	+1	+5	0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	5677	4946	1306	217	50	201	598	1475	90	153	32	264	354	450	804	186	335	26	11	343	118	+139	+18	-16	+20	+123	29.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	566	150	25	6	23	68	169	10	18	4	265	353	452	806	187	337	26	10	343	118	+16	+2	-2	+2	+14	3.3
Career	—	MLE		—	8690	7548	1912	311	66	287	924	2294	142	261	48	253	346	426	772	173	324	26	11	343	118	+199	+27	-24	+30	+181	42.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	565	142	23	5	21	69	172	11	20	4	251	344	421	765	170	323	26	11	343	118	+15	+2	-2	+2	+14	3.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Curtis Grandersonlast yr '19 AS×3SS career totals — 15 seasons, 8,278 PA	12.5	8,278	344	153	249	337	466	-10	-4	47.5	42.0
/162	664	28	12	-0.8	-0.3	3.8	pk7: 36
#2Grady Sizemorelast yr '15 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,724 PA	7.1	4,724	150	143	265	349	457	+7	+20	32.3	33.1
/162	664	21	20	+1.0	+2.8	4.5	pk7: 34
#3Brett Gardnerlast yr '21 career totals — 13 seasons, 6,577 PA	9.9	6,577	139	272	256	341	398	-41	+49	29.8	26.6
/162	664	14	27	-4.2	+4.9	3.0	pk7: 23
#4Casey Blakelast yr '11 career totals — 9 seasons, 4,966 PA	7.5	4,966	165	33	264	337	444	+3	+16	26.5	25.2
/162	664	22	4	+0.4	+2.2	3.5	pk7: 24
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	8.6	5,709	195	154	257	344	435	-34	+14	27.8	22.6
/162	664	23	18	-3.9	+1.7	3.2	pk7: 17
#5Yasiel Puiglast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,376 PA	5.1	3,376	132	79	277	348	475	-36	-12	17.1	17.1
/162	664	26	16	-7.1	-2.3	3.4	pk7: 17
#6Brad Wilkersonlast yr '08 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,753 PA	5.7	3,753	122	53	247	350	440	-35	-8	15.8	16.3
/162	664	22	9	-6.2	-1.4	2.8	pk7: 17

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Theo Gillen (OGILVIE)	20	53→56	52→53	59	61	248/338/403	155	334	9	21	28%	10%	112	+1.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Corbin Carroll 2022 · A	21	49→54	46→65	56→60	46	233/304/367	134	332	12	17	32%	9%	90	+0.6	253/334/461	208	309	22	32	24%	9%	123	+3.0	250/336/478	228	282	25	37	21%	10%	124	+3.4
●Evan Carter 2023 · AA	20	48→53	45→50	55	52	231/313/367	136	291	10	21	23%	10%	94	+0.9	235/321/380	145	305	14	21	26%	10%	100	+1.3	231/323/380	149	298	15	24	26%	10%	97	+0.7
●Luis Robert Jr. 2018 · A	20	47→57	44→65	53→60	47	224/318/346	122	316	10	16	30%	9%	92	+0.7	229/285/369	140	326	14	22	32%	5%	84	+0.1	282/328/497	215	335	28	17	24%	5%	126	+2.4
●James Wood 2023 · A	20	53→60	48→60	53→55	44	248/320/397	150	365	15	17	34%	9%	103	+1.6	246/322/426	180	358	19	16	34%	10%	111	+2.1	266/369/481	215	355	25	19	29%	14%	133	+3.8
●Michael Harris II 2022 · A	21	50→58	42→55	56→55	41	240/290/351	111	316	8	20	26%	6%	81	-0.1	276/319/448	172	335	18	21	22%	5%	115	+2.4	283/325/464	180	333	21	21	21%	5%	119	+2.5
●Gregory Polanco 2013 · A	21	48→56	46→60	56→55	46	241/291/374	133	283	13	23	20%	6%	86	+0.3	251/306/382	131	299	12	25	19%	7%	94	+0.9	255/327/463	208	285	24	14	19%	9%	115	+2.0
●Yoán Moncada 2016 · A	21	49→59	44→55	63→60	43	233/302/354	121	326	11	34	30%	7%	87	+0.4	231/306/370	139	346	13	24	34%	9%	92	+0.7	276/361/458	182	366	19	5	27%	11%	129	+2.7
●Byron Buxton 2014 · A	20	53→59	44→80	61→55	46	249/314/382	133	336	10	27	27%	8%	97	+1.1	236/291/376	140	326	12	22	29%	7%	87	+0.4	263/326/525	262	305	35	17	26%	7%	132	+2.7
●Colby Rasmus 2007 · A	20	45→55	46→65	54→50	43	223/277/358	134	288	13	16	27%	6%	78	-0.3	226/292/383	157	272	18	14	23%	8%	90	+0.6	243/311/468	224	317	29	3	32%	8%	115	+1.8
★Pete Crow-Armstrong 2023 · A	21	50→52	48→65	55→60	39	246/297/394	148	332	16	21	30%	6%	94	+0.9	231/284/397	166	299	18	31	28%	5%	90	+0.6	247/312/474	227	290	29	35	25%	7%	115	+2.5
✕Robert Hassell III 2022 · A	20	51→53	44→45	55	47	245/311/372	127	329	11	19	28%	8%	94	+0.9	224/286/321	97	321	9	16	30%	8%	73	-0.6	228/280/309	81	303	8	19	26%	6%	64	-0.9
✕Adrian Pinto 2023 · A	20	49	41→45	59→65	52	232/323/340	107	283	6	29	19%	9%	92	+0.7	232/310/353	121	294	11	18	23%	8%	90	+0.6	226/310/337	111	288	7	11	22%	9%	81	-0.0
●Dexter Fowler 2007 · A	21	49→59	42→55	54→55	42	234/288/351	117	320	8	24	28%	6%	80	-0.1	256/328/373	117	343	7	22	25%	9%	100	+1.3	259/365/442	182	317	17	14	22%	13%	126	+3.1
●Joc Pederson 2013 · A	21	50→52	48→65	50→55	46	249/309/393	144	304	16	18	23%	7%	99	+1.2	231/315/397	166	304	20	20	29%	10%	102	+1.5	263/368/494	232	301	30	5	22%	12%	137	+2.9
●Jackson Merrill 2023 · A	20	51→57	43→60	51→50	42	247/291/361	114	327	10	12	27%	6%	83	+0.1	260/301/422	162	298	18	11	19%	5%	102	+1.5	266/313/459	193	307	23	15	21%	6%	112	+2.1
✕Addison Russell 2014 · A	20	47→53	49→55	58→50	45	233/304/395	162	313	15	16	29%	8%	97	+1.1	240/303/397	157	305	17	9	26%	7%	97	+1.1	239/310/406	168	295	19	5	25%	8%	97	+0.9
●Carlos Correa 2015 · A	20	54→60	43→60	52→55	47	259/320/381	122	327	8	14	23%	8%	99	+1.3	278/348/469	191	326	21	16	20%	9%	130	+3.5	285/361/493	208	326	25	14	20%	10%	135	+4.0
●Bo Bichette 2019 · AA	21	53→62	46→60	53→55	44	260/304/401	141	317	11	19	22%	6%	97	+1.1	271/317/445	174	327	18	20	22%	6%	113	+2.3	296/337/473	177	345	22	13	20%	5%	126	+3.5
●CJ Abrams 2022 · AA	21	53→52	42→60	56→60	43	251/300/368	117	320	8	22	23%	6%	88	+0.5	248/297/383	135	295	13	29	20%	5%	91	+0.7	254/324/453	199	297	22	30	22%	7%	115	+2.5
●Jason Heyward 2010 · AA	20	54→60	49→60	53→50	48	268/319/425	157	307	16	9	18%	7%	109	+2.0	263/350/445	182	311	20	12	21%	11%	125	+3.2	262/354/456	194	309	22	14	22%	12%	126	+3.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps