Theo Gillen — OGILVIE

Theo GillenCF Montgomery Biscuits

Age 21 L/R 6'2" / 195 lbs AA HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 0 ros · stats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†112

AVG/OBP/SLG.248 / .334 / .416

PA38

HR1

K%26

BB%11

BABIP310

ISO121

MLB%12%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$76M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 56 / POW 53

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT56

scouting grade only

POWER53

scouting grade only

EYE62

scouting grade only

SPEED59

scouting grade only

DEFENSE54

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.6	$12M	+$11M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.3	$16M	+$15M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.6	$17M	+$16M
2031	Arb-1	$8M	+2.8	$18M	+$13M
2032	Arb-2	$13M	+2.8	$16M	+$9M
2033	Arb-3	$19M	+2.7	$14M	+$4M
Totals		$43M		$93M	+$68M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	18	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	34	26	4	1	0	0	8	14	0	1	0	154	353	192	545	38	333	41	24	282	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	324	243	65	12	1	5	64	75	10	36	3	267	438	387	825	119	359	23	20	376	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	268	226	65	11	4	10	36	53	3	16	5	288	392	504	897	217	333	20	13	391	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	265	219	75	12	3	12	38	63	6	28	5	342	452	589	1.042	247	432	24	14	451	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	18	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	34	28	3	1	0	0	6	19	0	1	0	107	265	143	408	36	295	56	18	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	324	261	61	12	1	4	46	101	10	36	3	234	369	333	702	100	334	31	14	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	268	237	65	11	4	9	25	65	3	16	5	274	351	468	819	194	333	24	9	350	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	265	234	68	10	3	11	23	82	6	28	5	291	369	500	869	209	387	31	9	365	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	34	28	3	1	0	0	6	19	0	1	0	107	265	143	408	36	333	56	18	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	A RAW	Charleston RiverDogs	—	34	26	4	1	0	0	8	14	0	1	0	154	353	192	545	38	333	41	24	282	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	324	261	61	12	1	4	46	101	10	36	3	234	369	333	702	100	356	31	14	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A RAW	Charleston RiverDogs	—	324	243	65	12	1	5	64	75	10	36	3	267	438	387	825	119	359	23	20	376	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	AA MLE	2 teams	—	533	471	132	21	7	19	48	147	9	44	10	280	358	476	834	195	366	28	9	357	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	AA RAW	2 teams	—	533	445	140	23	7	22	74	116	9	44	10	315	422	546	968	231	379	22	14	421	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	34	28	3	1	0	0	6	19	0	1	0	107	265	143	408	36	295	56	18	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	324	265	61	12	1	4	46	101	10	36	3	230	369	328	697	98	334	31	14	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	AA MLE	2 teams	—	533	471	132	21	7	19	48	147	9	44	10	280	358	476	834	195	360	28	9	357	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	34	28	3	1	0	0	6	19	0	1	0	107	265	143	408	36	295	56	18	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	324	265	61	12	1	4	46	101	10	36	3	230	369	328	697	98	334	31	14	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	AA MLE	2 teams	—	533	471	132	21	7	19	48	147	9	44	10	280	358	476	834	195	360	28	9	357	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	TB	12%	581	510	126	21	5	19	57	147	9	25	5	246	332	417	749	171	306	25	10	333	112	+8	+3	+0	+2	+13	1.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	21	MLB CTX	TB	12%	38	33	7	1	0	1	4	10	1	2	0	248	334	416	749	168	310	26	11	333	112	+1	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	TB	60%	547	480	119	20	4	18	54	136	8	21	4	249	335	423	758	174	307	25	10	337	114	+9	+3	+0	+2	+12	2.6
2029	23	MLB MLE	TB	76%	583	512	129	22	5	20	58	141	8	20	4	252	338	432	770	180	306	24	10	341	117	+12	+2	+1	+2	+13	3.0
2030	24	MLB MLE	TB	80%	611	536	137	23	5	22	61	146	9	20	4	254	339	436	776	182	306	24	10	343	118	+13	+2	+1	+2	+13	3.3
2031	25	MLB MLE	TB	81%	627	551	141	24	5	23	62	149	9	19	4	254	340	438	778	184	306	24	10	344	119	+14	+2	+1	+2	+14	3.4
2032	26	MLB MLE	TB	82%	634	557	142	24	5	23	63	151	9	18	4	254	340	438	777	184	306	24	10	344	119	+14	+2	+1	+2	+14	3.4
2033	27	MLB MLE	TB	80%	634	557	142	24	5	23	63	152	9	17	4	253	339	435	774	182	305	24	10	343	118	+14	+2	+1	+2	+14	3.3
2034	28	MLB MLE	TB	80%	629	552	139	23	5	22	63	152	9	15	3	251	337	430	767	179	304	24	10	340	116	+12	+2	+0	+2	+14	3.1
2035	29	MLB MLE	TB	77%	619	544	135	23	4	21	62	151	8	13	3	249	334	423	757	175	303	24	10	336	114	+10	+1	-0	+2	+13	2.7
2036	30	MLB MLE	TB	76%	609	536	131	22	4	20	60	151	8	11	3	245	330	415	746	170	301	25	10	332	111	+8	+1	-1	+2	+13	2.3
2037	31	MLB MLE	TB	76%	595	525	127	21	4	19	58	149	7	9	3	241	325	405	731	164	298	25	10	326	106	+5	+1	-2	+2	+13	1.9
2038	32	MLB MLE	TB	75%	576	508	120	19	4	18	56	147	7	7	4	236	319	392	711	156	294	26	10	318	101	+1	-0	-2	+2	+12	1.3
2039	33	MLB MLE	TB	75%	546	483	110	17	3	16	52	143	6	5	7	229	312	376	688	147	289	26	10	308	95	-3	-2	-3	+2	+12	0.6
2028	22	MLB CTX	TB	60%	327	287	73	12	3	11	32	81	5	13	3	251	336	422	758	171	310	25	10	337	114	+5	+1	+0	+1	+7	1.6
2029	23	MLB CTX	TB	76%	443	390	99	16	4	15	44	107	6	16	3	254	339	430	769	177	310	24	10	341	117	+9	+2	+1	+2	+10	2.3
2030	24	MLB CTX	TB	80%	486	428	109	18	4	17	48	116	7	16	3	256	341	435	775	179	310	24	10	343	118	+11	+2	+1	+2	+11	2.6
2031	25	MLB CTX	TB	81%	508	446	114	19	4	18	50	121	7	15	3	256	341	436	777	180	309	24	10	344	119	+12	+2	+1	+2	+11	2.8
2032	26	MLB CTX	TB	82%	517	453	116	19	4	18	52	123	7	14	3	256	341	436	777	180	309	24	10	344	119	+12	+2	+1	+2	+11	2.8
2033	27	MLB CTX	TB	80%	509	446	114	19	4	18	51	122	7	13	3	255	340	433	773	178	309	24	10	343	118	+11	+1	+1	+2	+11	2.7
2034	28	MLB CTX	TB	80%	500	439	111	18	4	17	50	121	7	12	3	253	338	428	766	176	308	24	10	340	116	+10	+1	+0	+2	+11	2.4
2035	29	MLB CTX	TB	77%	479	422	106	17	4	16	48	117	6	10	2	250	335	422	757	172	306	24	10	336	114	+8	+1	-0	+2	+10	2.1
2036	30	MLB CTX	TB	76%	465	410	100	16	3	15	46	115	6	8	2	247	332	414	746	167	304	25	10	332	111	+6	+1	-1	+2	+10	1.8
2037	31	MLB CTX	TB	76%	450	397	97	16	3	14	44	113	6	6	2	243	327	404	731	161	301	25	10	326	106	+3	+0	-1	+2	+10	1.4
2038	32	MLB CTX	TB	75%	434	384	91	14	3	13	42	111	5	5	3	237	321	391	712	153	297	26	10	318	101	+1	-0	-2	+2	+9	1.0
2039	33	MLB CTX	TB	75%	410	363	84	13	3	11	39	107	5	4	5	231	313	375	689	145	292	26	10	309	95	-2	-1	-2	+1	+9	0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	5528	4865	1214	197	43	183	546	1354	74	132	35	250	334	421	755	171	307	24	10	335	113	+84	+12	-1	+20	+120	23.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	572	143	23	5	22	64	159	9	16	4	250	335	423	758	173	307	24	10	335	113	+10	+1	-0	+2	+14	2.8
Career	—	MLE		—	8421	7382	1838	308	64	278	843	2116	121	270	63	249	336	421	757	172	310	25	10	334	113	+113	+18	-2	+27	+163	32.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	570	142	24	5	21	65	163	9	21	5	249	335	419	755	170	310	25	10	334	113	+10	+2	-0	+2	+14	2.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Brett Gardnerlast yr '21 career totals — 13 seasons, 6,577 PA	9.9	6,577	139	272	256	341	398	-41	+49	29.8	26.6
/162	664	14	27	-4.2	+4.9	3.0	pk7: 23
#2Alex Gordonlast yr '20 AS×3GG×7SS career totals — 14 seasons, 7,250 PA	10.9	7,250	190	113	257	338	410	-58	+22	27.4	26.4
/162	664	17	10	-5.3	+2.0	2.5	pk7: 25
#3Alex Rioslast yr '15 career totals — 12 seasons, 6,929 PA	10.4	6,929	169	253	277	321	434	-57	+11	25.0	25.4
/162	664	16	24	-5.5	+1.0	2.4	pk7: 26
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	8.4	5,568	189	134	249	330	423	-33	+14	21.6	18.8
/162	664	23	16	-3.9	+1.7	2.6	pk7: 16
#4Yasiel Puiglast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,376 PA	5.1	3,376	132	79	277	348	475	-36	-12	17.1	17.1
/162	664	26	16	-7.1	-2.3	3.4	pk7: 17
#5Brad Wilkersonlast yr '08 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,753 PA	5.7	3,753	122	53	247	350	440	-35	-8	15.8	16.3
/162	664	22	9	-6.2	-1.4	2.8	pk7: 17
#6Eric Byrneslast yr '09 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,440 PA	5.2	3,440	106	125	260	321	441	-21	+3	14.9	15.2
/162	664	20	24	-4.1	+0.6	2.9	pk7: 16

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Theo Gillen (OGILVIE)	21	52→56	52→53	59	62	244/330/413	169	306	10	14	25%	10%	112	+1.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
★Pete Crow-Armstrong 2023 · A	21	52→53	48→65	55→60	41	255/308/405	150	338	15	21	28%	6%	100	+1.3	236/288/405	169	305	18	31	28%	6%	94	+0.9	247/308/475	228	288	29	35	25%	7%	118	+2.8
●Colby Rasmus 2008 · AA	21	45→54	53→65	54→50	47	233/303/412	180	281	20	15	25%	8%	101	+1.4	238/304/402	164	285	19	12	23%	8%	99	+1.2	243/309/466	223	315	29	3	32%	8%	116	+1.9
✕Evan Carter 2024 · MLB	21	51→55	48→50	55	53	249/338/400	151	321	14	22	25%	11%	110	+2.1	225/311/368	143	287	14	21	25%	10%	94	+0.9	200/289/333	133	250	13	24	24%	10%	77	-0.2
●Jordan Walker 2023 · AA	21	55→58	50→55	54→50	44	269/329/436	167	354	17	16	28%	7%	116	+2.5	245/306/393	148	317	16	11	26%	7%	97	+1.1	236/293/390	154	305	18	13	28%	7%	92	+0.7
●Corbin Carroll 2023 · MLB	22	52→53	58→60	62→60	48	258/340/480	222	335	23	25	29%	9%	130	+3.5	251/333/465	214	290	24	34	22%	9%	124	+3.1	245/330/467	222	275	25	37	21%	10%	124	+3.4
●B.J. Upton 2006 · MLB	21	56→60	49→60	58→60	49	270/336/428	157	342	15	29	24%	9%	116	+2.5	267/346/408	141	342	14	34	24%	10%	115	+2.4	264/354/415	151	338	15	35	24%	12%	120	+2.9
●Michael Harris II 2023 · MLB	22	56→59	52→60	58→55	42	277/324/454	177	345	18	24	25%	6%	118	+2.6	273/311/443	170	320	19	19	21%	5%	111	+2.1	268/297/436	169	304	21	14	20%	3%	105	+1.6
●Oneil Cruz 2022 · AAA	23	50→57	54→60	57→60	41	254/303/442	188	332	22	21	30%	6%	107	+1.9	239/302/430	191	317	23	20	30%	8%	104	+1.6	242/319/436	194	325	25	34	32%	10%	113	+2.0
●Jackson Chourio 2024 · AAA	20	48→57	50→60	56→55	41	243/288/398	155	310	17	24	27%	6%	91	+0.7	267/311/444	177	322	20	22	23%	6%	111	+2.1	275/322/461	186	325	22	23	22%	6%	120	+2.7
●Wyatt Langford 2024 · AAA	22	53→50	56→55	53→55	55	270/355/472	202	322	22	19	23%	11%	133	+3.7	246/328/416	170	300	18	20	23%	10%	111	+2.1	240/328/410	170	291	19	21	23%	11%	109	+1.8
●Carlos Correa 2016 · MLB	21	55→61	54→60	56→55	51	279/342/469	190	322	20	21	20%	8%	128	+3.3	272/345/463	191	318	22	11	21%	10%	128	+3.3	263/344/444	182	303	22	0	20%	10%	124	+3.1
●Chris Young 2006 · AA	22	46→48	56→60	55	47	238/309/441	203	302	22	23	28%	9%	110	+2.1	236/301/437	201	274	23	20	23%	8%	106	+1.8	238/319/427	189	288	21	17	24%	10%	111	+2.3
✕Anthony Volpe 2023 · AAA	22	44→50	53→55	60→55	49	227/311/414	187	277	19	29	25%	9%	104	+1.6	222/287/376	154	278	16	24	25%	8%	86	+0.3	226/286/365	138	282	13	24	24%	7%	83	+0.1
●Gregory Polanco 2014 · AA	22	51→57	46→60	55	47	253/305/388	136	295	13	25	19%	7%	95	+1.0	257/312/400	143	304	14	23	19%	8%	101	+1.4	250/314/453	203	277	24	14	19%	8%	115	+2.1
✕Jordan Lawlar 2023 · AA	21	53→55	48→50	60	44	250/321/400	150	359	16	25	33%	8%	104	+1.6	235/312/377	142	318	13	27	28%	8%	96	+1.0	231/307/395	164	304	17	30	28%	8%	96	+0.6
●Riley Greene 2022 · AAA	21	54→62	51→60	57→50	43	258/322/426	168	365	18	13	33%	8%	111	+2.1	265/332/421	156	363	15	8	29%	9%	113	+2.3	268/343/489	221	341	28	3	28%	9%	134	+3.9
●Joc Pederson 2014 · AA	22	49→54	51→65	53→55	46	249/311/413	164	306	19	22	25%	8%	104	+1.6	232/331/421	189	310	24	16	30%	12%	114	+2.3	259/358/487	228	294	30	5	22%	11%	139	+3.0
●James Wood 2024 · AA	21	49→59	52→60	55	42	234/305/414	179	354	19	15	37%	8%	101	+1.4	258/343/454	196	357	22	17	31%	11%	124	+3.1	264/360/472	208	351	25	19	29%	13%	135	+4.1
★Gunnar Henderson 2023 · MLB	22	51→56	50→60	56→55	49	244/328/411	167	344	17	15	32%	10%	109	+2.0	260/336/467	207	319	24	16	25%	10%	125	+3.2	263/338/474	211	310	25	18	23%	9%	129	+3.8
●Jackson Merrill 2024 · AA	21	51→57	47→60	51→50	45	253/296/391	138	291	15	12	19%	6%	93	+0.8	269/311/450	181	310	20	13	20%	6%	112	+2.2	269/313/462	193	313	22	15	21%	6%	117	+2.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps