Joc Pederson1B Texas Rangers
Age 34 L/L 6'1" / 220 lbs MLB Svc 11.163 · Ctrl thru 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION294 act + 196 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†vL 129125vR 124
AVG/OBP/SLG.240 / .345 / .461
PA196
HR9
K%23
BB%12
BABIP272
ISO222
MLB%100%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: +12.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+13BATRUN: -0.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: -1.1 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-1FLDPOS: -7.4 runs (Positional adjustment)-7POSREP: +13.9 runs (Replacement-level credit)+14REPTotal WAR: +1.90+1.9WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
1.50.60.2-0.1262829
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 53 / POW 58
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT53
Whiff%
887.1%
xwOBA
880.352
POWER58
Barrel%
7111.4
Avg EV
9091.9
Bat Spd
5571.8
EYE53
Chase%
9022.0%
SPEED48
Sprint
1025.0
DEFENSE50
scouting grade only
Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 806 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
42
764
wRC+
128
121
L
wOBA
353
343
ISO
125
192
▶▶R
BABIP
462
274
◀◀L
K%
42.9%
21.9%
▶▶R
BB%
16.7%
11.1%
◀◀L
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   FA
MLB Debut   2014
Service   11.163 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2026
First FA Year   2027
OPT
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026ROSExt$7M+0.8$3M-$4M
Totals $7M $3M -$4M
Options · projected decision
2027MUTUAL OPT$18.5M / $0.0M buyoutDECLINE
2028MUTUAL OPT$18.5M / $0.0M buyoutDECLINE
2029CLUB OPT$27.0M / $0.0M buyoutDECLINE
2030MUTUAL OPT$18.5M / $0.0M buyoutDECLINE
2031MUTUAL OPT$14.0M / $3.0M buyoutDECLINE

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201119 ROK2 teams 370334 811418 25915 265 243305362667 120304 257 296 84
201119 ROK2 teams 370316 10220211 43635 265 323412503915 180368 1712 400 164
201220 A+2 teams 555503 13026315 3712411 2915 258323412735 153314 227 319 102
201220 A+2 teams 555486 14126419 548711 2915 290374477851 187319 1610 375 146
201321 AA2 teams 668608 13624327 471876 339 224286406692 183274 287 298 86
201321 AA2 teams 668549 15031427 1061566 339 273396492888 219332 2316 390 157
201422 AAA3 teams 685593 12315324 832586 3313 207311364675 157317 3812 300 88
201422 AAA3 teams 685557 16120534 1191936 3313 289419526945 237384 2817 415 176
201523 MLBLos Angeles Dodgers 585480 10520128 921709 47 219355440794 221271 2916 341 119 +13 -2 +1 +2 +17 3.1
201523 MLBLos Angeles Dodgers 585480 10119126 921709 47 210348417764 206262 2916 343 121 +14 -2 +1 +2 +17 3.2
201624 MLBLos Angeles Dodgers 476406 10327026 631304 62 254359512872 259306 2713 373 143 +23 +0 +1 +2 +13 4.1
201624 MLBLos Angeles Dodgers 476406 10026025 631304 62 246353495848 249296 2713 371 142 +23 +0 +1 +2 +13 4.0
201725 MLB2 teams 394340 7022014 428610 53 206311394705 188231 2211 311 96 -2 -0 -7 +1 +11 0.4
201725 MLB2 teams 394338 6921014 448210 53 204314391704 186225 2111 317 101 +0 -0 -7 +1 +11 0.6
201826 MLBLos Angeles Dodgers 443395 10128326 40854 15 256330539870 284261 199 368 140 +20 -2 -9 -5 +13 1.7
201826 MLBLos Angeles Dodgers 443395 9827325 40854 15 248323522845 273253 199 364 137 +18 -2 -9 -5 +13 1.6
201927 MLBLos Angeles Dodgers 514450 11617338 5011112 11 258348562910 304257 2210 386 154 +31 -0 -5 -6 +15 3.6
201927 MLBLos Angeles Dodgers 514450 11216336 5011112 11 249340538878 289249 2210 381 149 +29 -0 -5 -6 +15 3.4
202028 MLBLos Angeles Dodgers 138122 23407 11345 10 189283393676 205198 258 310 95 -1 +0 -2 -1 +4 0.0
202028 MLBLos Angeles Dodgers 138121 23407 11345 10 190283397679 207200 258 304 91 -1 +0 -2 -1 +4 -0.0
202129 MLBAtlanta Braves 481429 10219318 391178 23 238313422735 184281 248 321 103 +2 -1 -7 -5 +14 0.3
202129 MLBAtlanta Braves 481429 10219318 391178 23 238313422735 184281 248 324 106 +3 -1 -7 -5 +14 0.4
202230 MLBSan Francisco Giants 433380 10920325 421007 32 287368553921 266324 2310 388 155 +27 -0 -11 -5 +12 2.4
202230 MLBSan Francisco Giants 433380 10419323 421007 32 274357521878 247310 2310 381 150 +24 -0 -11 -5 +12 2.1
202331 MLBSan Francisco Giants 425358 8815316 57897 00 246360439799 193281 2113 342 120 +9 +0 -3 -5 +12 1.4
202331 MLBSan Francisco Giants 425358 8414315 57897 00 235351416767 182268 2113 344 121 +10 +0 -3 -5 +12 1.5
202432 MLBArizona Diamondbacks 449372 9816122 5510518 74 263384489874 226306 2312 380 149 +25 -0 +0 -5 +13 3.3
202432 MLBArizona Diamondbacks 449367 10117123 5510518 74 275391515906 240322 2312 395 160 +31 -0 +0 -5 +13 3.9
202533 MLBTexas Rangers 306266 481019 34655 20 180285327612 147202 2111 275 69 -11 +0 +0 -5 +9 -0.7
202533 MLBTexas Rangers 306265 481019 34655 20 181285328614 147203 2111 281 73 -9 +0 +0 -5 +9 -0.6
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD34 MLBTEX 294252 598215 36663 10 234337460797 226253 2212 343 121 +7 +0 -0 -5 +8 1.0
YTD34 MLBTEX 294251 598215 36663 10 235337462799 227254 2212 350 126 +9 +0 -0 -5 +8 1.2
ROS34 MLBTEX 100% 196167 40819 24453 10 240345461806 222266 2312 349 125 +6 +0 -1 -2 +6 0.8
ROS34 MLBTEX 100% 196167 40819 24453 10 240345461806 222268 2312 339 118 +4 +0 -1 -2 +6 0.7
FULL34 MLBTEX 490419 9916324 601116 20 236340461801 224260 2312 342 120 +11 +0 -1 -7 +14 1.7
TOT34 MLBTEX 490419 9916324 601116 20 236340461801 224260 2312 346 123 +13 +0 -1 -7 +14 1.9
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202735 MLBTEX 100% 293251 5611112 35695 10 223330418748 195258 2412 337 116 +5 +0 -7 -3 +8 0.4
202836 MLBTEX 100% 235201 43819 28574 10 214322398720 184248 2412 324 106 +2 +0 -8 -3 +7 -0.2
202937 MLBTEX 100% 173148 31517 20433 00 209316399714 189237 2512 310 95 -1 +0 -8 -2 +5 -0.6
202735 MLBTEX 100% 293251 5711113 35695 10 227333434768 207259 2412 328 109 +3 +0 -7 -3 +8 0.1
202836 MLBTEX 100% 235201 448110 28574 10 219326418744 199249 2412 314 99 -0 +0 -8 -3 +7 -0.4
202937 MLBTEX 100% 173148 31517 20433 00 209316399714 189239 2512 300 88 -2 +0 -8 -2 +5 -0.7
▸ Career Totals
Career 55084719 110722322257 6381299104 3427 235338455793 220266 2412 347 124 +148 -4 -65 -38 +156 20.1
/ 162G 650557 13026330 7515312 43 233336452789 219265 2412 347 124 +17 -0 -8 -5 +18 2.4
Career 78196803 160330932340 8241966132 15669 236330440770 205278 2511 334 114 +124 +4 -65 -55 +222 23.3
/ 162G 650566 13426328 6816311 136 237330442772 205280 2510 334 114 +10 +0 -5 -5 +18 1.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201119 AGreat Lakes Loons 6050 8000 792 20 160288160448 195 1512 227 32 -5 +0 +2 -0.3
201119 ROKOgden Raptors 310266 9420211 36543 245 3534365681.004 214403 1712 433 190 +31 +3 +9 4.4
201220 A+Rancho Cucamonga Quakes 499434 13626418 518110 2614 313398516914 203350 1610 401 165 +36 -0 +14 5.1
201220 INTLMesa Solar Sox 5652 5001 361 31 96161154315 5889 115 152 -25 -8 +0 +2 -0.6
201321 AAChattanooga Lookouts 519439 12224322 701145 318 278383497880 219327 2213 385 153 +31 +3 +15 5.0
201321 INTLCardenales de Lara 149110 28715 36421 21 255442473915 218359 2824 406 169 +12 +0 +4 1.6
201422 MLBLos Angeles Dodgers 3828 4000 9110 00 143351143494 235 2924 260 58 -2 +0 +0 +2 +1 0.2
201422 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes 553446 13517433 1001495 3013 3034365811.016 278385 2718 441 195 +60 +1 +16 7.8
201422 INTLLeones del Escogido 9483 22311 10331 30 265351361713 96429 3511 326 108 +1 +1 +3 0.4
201523 MLBLos Angeles Dodgers 585480 10119126 921709 47 210348417764 206262 2916 343 121 +14 -2 +1 +2 +17 3.2
201624 MLBLos Angeles Dodgers 476406 10026025 631304 62 246353495848 249296 2713 371 142 +23 +0 +1 +2 +13 4.0
201725 MLBLos Angeles Dodgers 323273 5820011 396810 43 212332407739 194241 2112 333 113 +5 -0 -7 +1 +9 0.8
201725 AAAOklahoma City Dodgers 7165 11103 5140 10 169229323552 154163 207 244 45 -4 +0 +2 -0.2
201826 MLBLos Angeles Dodgers 443395 9827325 40854 15 248323522845 273253 199 364 137 +18 -2 -9 -5 +13 1.6
201927 MLBLos Angeles Dodgers 514450 11216336 5011112 11 249340538878 289249 2210 381 149 +29 -0 -5 -6 +15 3.4
202028 MLBLos Angeles Dodgers 138121 23407 11345 10 190283397679 207200 258 304 91 -1 +0 -2 -1 +4 -0.0
202129 MLBAtlanta Braves 481429 10219318 391178 23 238313422735 184281 248 324 106 +3 -1 -7 -5 +14 0.4
202230 MLBSan Francisco Giants 433380 10419323 421007 32 274357521878 247310 2310 381 150 +24 -0 -11 -5 +12 2.1
202331 MLBSan Francisco Giants 425358 8414315 57897 00 235351416767 182268 2113 344 121 +10 +0 -3 -5 +12 1.5
202432 MLBArizona Diamondbacks 449367 10117123 5510518 74 275391515906 240322 2312 395 160 +31 -0 +0 -5 +13 3.9
202533 MLBTexas Rangers 306265 481019 34655 20 181285328614 147203 2111 281 73 -9 +0 +0 -5 +9 -0.6
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career 46113952 93519118218 531108589 3127 237340460799 223268 2412 352 128 +144 -5 -41 -29 +131 20.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Nick Swisherlast yr '15
career totals — 12 seasons, 6,308 PA
126,30824513249351447-62-5624.524.4
/162664261-6.5-5.92.6pk7: 24
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 16 projected seasons
166,04428139236335456-73-6524.621.9
/162664314-8.0-7.12.7pk7: 19
#2Jay Brucelast yr '20
career totals — 13 seasons, 6,603 PA
136,60331865245314469-71-5419.619.5
/162664327-7.1-5.42.0pk7: 19
#3Mark Reynoldslast yr '19
career totals — 13 seasons, 6,243 PA
136,24329864236328453-49-10515.916.3
/162664327-5.2-11.11.7pk7: 17
#4Matt Stairslast yr '11
career totals — 12 seasons, 4,099 PA
124,09916316255350454-47-6213.412.7
/162664263-7.7-10.02.2pk7: 12
#5Matt Joycelast yr '21
career totals — 13 seasons, 4,318 PA
134,31814634242343425-46-4411.711.9
/162664225-7.1-6.71.8pk7: 12
#6Jonny Gomeslast yr '15
career totals — 11 seasons, 3,978 PA
113,97816250243335438-43-678.39.2
/162664278-7.1-11.11.4pk7: 10

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Joc Pederson (OGILVIE) 34 53 58 48 53 236/340/461 224260 242 23% 12% 123 +1.9
Garrett Jones
2014 · MLB
33 48→53 57→60 49→50 48 251/307/455 204285 245 22% 7% 114 +2.7 245/303/417 172291 193 22% 8% 102 +1.8 244/304/40916529118022%8%95+0.8
Kole Calhoun
2022 · MLB
34 43→53 59→60 46→50 53 235/320/446 210265 285 24% 10% 117 +2.9 217/284/370 153273 184 27% 7% 82 +0.5 206/272/35214626017227%7%71-0.2
Dan Johnson
2014 · MLB
34 44→53 56→60 46→30 55 233/316/417 184249 252 19% 10% 108 +2.3 206/290/348 142243 173 22% 10% 79 +0.3 199/297/34514523218022%11%81+0.3
Yadiel Hernandez
2022 · MLB
34 50→55 55 46→45 46 261/316/438 177310 247 24% 7% 113 +2.6 251/298/392 141314 177 25% 6% 93 +1.3 267/312/40714032616423%6%101+1.0
Mitch Moreland
2020 · MLB
34 45→55 58→60 49→40 54 240/319/446 206269 253 22% 10% 116 +2.8 249/318/469 220281 284 22% 9% 122 +3.3 247/314/48223527132022%8%120+1.0
Lee Stevens
2001 · MLB
34 50→51 58→60 47→30 52 263/334/471 208297 253 21% 9% 129 +3.7 238/327/432 194281 233 23% 11% 116 +2.8 226/324/41719126523224%12%101+1.6
Luke Scott
2012 · MLB
34 47→55 58→65 45 55 250/333/458 207277 264 21% 11% 125 +3.5 236/308/427 191277 226 23% 8% 107 +2.2 231/298/41318227221423%7%95+0.8
Adam LaRoche
2014 · MLB
34 47→55 55→65 46→40 56 247/333/436 189283 244 22% 11% 120 +3.1 238/330/408 170282 214 22% 12% 111 +2.5 232/330/39516327321223%12%102+1.6
Matt Carpenter
2020 · MLB
34 46→56 57→60 48→45 61 238/353/444 206282 246 24% 14% 130 +3.8 222/335/403 181283 206 27% 13% 112 +2.6 223/337/44722427527228%13%121+1.2
David Dellucci
2008 · MLB
34 50→46 56→65 46→50 54 256/340/462 206294 236 21% 10% 128 +3.7 240/309/393 153290 157 22% 7% 98 +1.6 234/304/38014628514622%6%89+0.4
Alex Dickerson
2022 · MLB
32 50→55 58→60 48→45 48 263/333/474 211301 264 22% 8% 130 +3.8 225/284/391 166272 205 25% 7% 88 +0.9 196/249/34514923717125%6%58-0.8
Charlie Blackmon
2020 · MLB
34 51→57 55→60 45→55 50 263/327/455 192290 227 18% 8% 121 +3.2 247/313/389 142281 155 17% 8% 98 +1.6 232/307/35011926511416%8%83+0.5
Tino Martinez
2002 · MLB
34 52→54 57→55 43→40 52 270/327/467 197275 253 13% 7% 125 +3.5 266/341/446 180277 223 13% 10% 125 +3.5 262/350/43717427321313%11%116+2.6
Lucas Duda
2019 · MLB
33 43→53 61→65 47→30 49 235/318/459 224280 293 28% 10% 120 +3.1 218/289/381 163286 205 30% 8% 88 +0.9 162/232/28512321916033%7%37-1.0
Mike Moustakas
2022 · MLB
33 44→54 58→65 48→45 52 237/313/443 207256 264 20% 9% 114 +2.7 231/298/378 147285 174 25% 8% 90 +1.0 229/293/36613728617225%7%82+0.3
Jeromy Burnitz
2003 · MLB
34 43→52 57→65 41→45 57 233/332/431 198264 257 23% 12% 118 +3.0 253/325/477 224278 307 21% 9% 127 +3.6 259/327/48922927831519%8%124+3.3
Matt Joyce
2019 · MLB
34 46→53 56→60 41→50 60 239/341/436 196271 234 21% 13% 123 +3.3 251/353/398 147309 164 22% 13% 118 +3.0 251/369/37412331614122%15%115+0.8
Justin Bour
2021 · MLB
33 41→51 57→65 47→40 55 224/319/419 195266 265 26% 12% 110 +2.4 228/311/406 178280 228 26% 10% 103 +1.9 186/292/36918321324026%12%82+0.1
John Mabry
2005 · MLB
34 52 56→60 41→30 52 267/339/460 192305 253 21% 9% 128 +3.7 234/303/390 156284 183 23% 9% 95 +1.4 218/286/36014126615023%8%77+0.1
Josh Willingham
2014 · MLB
35 45→53 58→60 45 57 237/348/447 210283 264 25% 12% 129 +3.7 230/343/413 183292 226 27% 13% 118 +3.0 212/340/39718526824328%14%108+1.5