Matt Carpenter

PosDH

B/TL/R

Born1985-11-26

Age (2027)41

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

MLBLAST SEASON 2024

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2022	36	AAATEX	95	.275/.383/.612	6	1	102	—	.212/.287/.447
2022	36	MLBNYY	154	.305/.414/.727	15	0	197	1.9
2023	37	MLBSD	237	.176/.328/.319	5	1	90	-0.3
2024	38	MLBSTL	157	.234/.316/.372	4	0	96	-0.1
2025	39	No MLB games played
2026	40	No MLB games played

Last 3 seasons WAR 1.5

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2022-2024

Barrel%66

xwOBA59

Bat Spd31

Avg EV28

Speed10

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2009	23	A+	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	128	114	25	6	1	2	10	24	1	1	0	219	288	342	630	123	258	19	8	279	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	A	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	126	105	31	6	2	0	17	13	3	2	0	295	408	390	798	95	333	10	13	364	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	472	396	125	26	3	12	64	88	4	11	2	316	416	487	903	172	377	19	14	396	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	A+	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	128	99	28	5	2	1	26	14	2	0	1	283	441	404	845	121	321	11	20	386	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	19	15	1	1	0	0	4	4	0	0	0	67	263	133	396	67	91	21	21	214	32	-2	+0	-0	+2	+0	0.1
2011	25	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	535	434	130	29	3	12	84	68	8	5	4	300	422	463	885	164	328	13	16	391	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	INTL	Tigres del Licey	—	15	13	3	0	0	0	2	4	0	1	0	231	333	231	564		333	27	13	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	340	296	87	22	5	6	34	63	3	1	1	294	372	463	835	169	346	19	10	364	130	+12	-0	-7	-6	+7	0.6
2013	27	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	717	626	199	55	7	11	72	98	9	3	3	318	396	481	877	163	359	14	10	385	146	+39	-1	+3	+3	+16	6.1
2014	28	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	709	595	162	33	2	8	95	111	8	5	3	272	380	375	754	103	318	16	13	341	117	+14	-0	-3	+3	+15	2.9
2015	29	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	665	574	156	44	3	28	81	151	6	4	3	272	368	505	873	233	321	23	12	382	144	+35	-0	-3	+2	+14	5.0
2016	30	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	566	473	128	36	6	21	81	108	5	0	4	271	383	505	888	235	307	19	14	386	146	+31	-2	-2	+2	+12	4.3
2017	31	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	622	497	120	31	2	23	109	125	9	2	1	241	387	451	838	209	274	20	18	372	139	+29	+0	-8	-11	+13	2.4
2018	32	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	677	564	145	42	0	36	102	158	6	4	1	257	376	523	899	266	291	23	15	392	144	+36	+0	-9	-12	+15	3.0
2019	33	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	492	416	94	20	2	15	63	129	7	6	1	226	337	392	729	166	285	26	13	327	111	+6	+1	+4	+2	+11	2.4
2019	33	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	19	15	0	0	0	0	4	4	0	0	0		211		211			21	21	147	-47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	34	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	169	140	26	6	0	4	23	48	6	0	0	186	325	314	640	129	250	28	14	302	90	-2	+0	+2	+1	+4	0.4
2021	35	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	249	207	35	11	1	3	35	77	6	2	0	169	306	275	582	106	250	31	14	277	73	-8	+0	-1	+1	+5	-0.3
2022	36	MLB	New York Yankees	—	154	128	39	9	0	15	19	35	5	0	0	305	414	727	1.141	422	304	23	12	476	197	+18	+0	+0	-3	+3	1.9
2022	36	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	95	80	22	5	2	6	14	20	0	1	1	275	383	613	995	338	291	21	15	422	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	37	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	237	188	33	12	0	5	41	67	2	1	0	176	328	319	647	144	231	28	17	297	90	-3	+0	-1	-4	+5	-0.3
2024	38	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	157	137	32	7	0	4	15	51	2	0	2	234	316	372	688	139	333	32	10	307	96	-1	-1	+0	-3	+3	-0.1
2024	38	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	17	13	3	0	0	2	4	6	0	0	0	231	412	692	1.104	462	200	35	24	462	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	5773	4856	1257	329	28	179	774	1225	74	28	19	259	369	449	818	190	307	21	13	362	131	+212	-2	-25	-24	+125	29.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2009	23	A+ MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	128	117	22	5	1	2	7	34	1	1	0	188	240	299	539	111	232	27	5	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	A MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	126	111	28	5	2	0	11	18	3	2	0	252	336	333	669	81	295	14	9	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	472	419	113	22	3	9	41	106	4	11	2	270	341	401	741	131	331	22	9	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	A+ MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	128	107	26	5	2	1	18	20	2	0	1	243	362	355	717	112	281	16	14	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	19	15	1	1	0	0	4	4	0	0	0	67	263	133	396	67	91	21	21	215	32	-2	+0	-0	+2	+0	0.1
2011	25	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	535	459	128	28	3	11	59	89	8	5	4	279	371	425	796	146	312	17	11	347	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	340	298	86	21	5	6	32	63	3	1	1	289	363	453	816	164	346	19	9	360	130	+12	-0	-7	-6	+7	0.6
2013	27	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	717	627	198	53	7	12	71	98	9	3	3	316	393	480	873	164	359	14	10	384	146	+39	-1	+3	+3	+16	6.1
2014	28	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	709	597	162	32	2	9	93	111	8	5	3	271	377	377	754	106	318	16	13	341	117	+14	-0	-3	+3	+15	2.9
2015	29	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	665	579	156	42	3	30	76	151	6	4	3	269	360	508	868	238	321	23	11	381	144	+35	-0	-3	+2	+14	5.0
2016	30	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	566	479	128	34	6	23	75	108	5	0	4	267	372	507	879	240	307	19	13	384	146	+31	-2	-2	+2	+12	4.3
2017	31	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	622	501	121	30	2	25	105	125	9	2	1	242	382	459	841	218	274	20	17	374	139	+29	+0	-8	-11	+13	2.4
2018	32	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	677	582	146	40	0	39	85	158	6	4	1	251	352	521	873	270	291	23	13	381	144	+36	+0	-9	-12	+15	3.0
2019	33	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	492	416	94	19	2	16	63	129	7	6	1	226	337	397	734	171	285	26	13	332	111	+6	+1	+4	+2	+11	2.4
2019	33	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	19	16	0	0	0	0	3	5	0	0	0		158		158			26	16	99	-47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	34	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	169	141	26	6	0	4	22	48	6	0	0	184	320	312	632	128	250	28	13	302	90	-2	+0	+2	+1	+4	0.4
2021	35	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	249	208	35	11	1	3	34	77	6	2	0	168	302	274	576	106	250	31	14	276	73	-8	+0	-1	+1	+5	-0.3
2022	36	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	—	154	129	38	9	0	14	18	35	5	0	0	295	401	690	1.091	395	304	23	12	459	197	+18	+0	+0	-3	+3	1.9
2022	36	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	95	85	18	4	2	4	9	24	0	1	1	212	287	447	734	235	237	25	9	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	37	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	237	189	34	13	0	5	41	67	2	1	0	180	332	328	660	148	231	28	17	301	90	-3	+0	-1	-4	+5	-0.3
2024	38	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	157	138	32	7	0	4	15	51	2	0	2	232	316	370	686	138	333	32	10	311	96	-1	-1	+0	-3	+3	-0.1
2024	38	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	17	14	2	0	0	1	3	8	0	0	0	143	294	357	651	214	155	47	18	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	254	227	50	10	3	2	19	52	4	3	0	220	292	317	609	97	274	20	7	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	254	219	56	12	3	2	27	37	4	3	0	256	348	365	713	110	297	15	11	321	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	600	526	139	27	5	10	59	127	6	11	3	264	345	392	737	127	328	21	10	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	600	495	153	31	5	13	90	102	6	11	3	309	421	471	892	162	365	17	15	394	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	569	487	132	30	3	11	65	96	8	6	4	271	366	413	779	142	313	17	11	342	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	569	462	134	30	3	12	90	76	8	6	4	290	414	446	860	156	321	13	16	382	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	340	298	86	21	5	6	32	63	3	1	1	289	363	453	816	164	339	19	9	360	130	+12	-0	-7	-6	+7	0.6
2012	26	MLB RAW	St. Louis Cardinals	—	340	296	87	22	5	6	34	63	3	1	1	294	372	463	835	169	346	19	10	364	130	+12	-0	-7	-6	+7	0.6
2013	27	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	717	627	198	53	7	12	71	98	9	3	3	316	393	480	873	164	355	14	10	384	146	+39	-1	+3	+3	+16	6.1
2013	27	MLB RAW	St. Louis Cardinals	—	717	626	199	55	7	11	72	98	9	3	3	318	396	481	877	163	359	14	10	385	146	+39	-1	+3	+3	+16	6.1
2014	28	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	709	597	162	32	2	9	93	111	8	5	3	271	377	377	754	106	315	16	13	341	117	+14	-0	-3	+3	+15	2.9
2014	28	MLB RAW	St. Louis Cardinals	—	709	595	162	33	2	8	95	111	8	5	3	272	380	375	754	103	318	16	13	341	117	+14	-0	-3	+3	+15	2.9
2015	29	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	665	579	156	42	3	30	76	151	6	4	3	269	360	508	868	238	313	23	11	381	144	+35	-0	-3	+2	+14	5.0
2015	29	MLB RAW	St. Louis Cardinals	—	665	574	156	44	3	28	81	151	6	4	3	272	368	505	873	233	321	23	12	382	144	+35	-0	-3	+2	+14	5.0
2016	30	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	566	479	128	34	6	23	75	108	5	0	4	267	372	507	879	240	298	19	13	384	146	+31	-2	-2	+2	+12	4.3
2016	30	MLB RAW	St. Louis Cardinals	—	566	473	128	36	6	21	81	108	5	0	4	271	383	505	888	235	307	19	14	386	146	+31	-2	-2	+2	+12	4.3
2017	31	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	622	501	121	30	2	25	105	125	9	2	1	242	382	459	841	218	270	20	17	374	139	+29	+0	-8	-11	+13	2.4
2017	31	MLB RAW	St. Louis Cardinals	—	622	497	120	31	2	23	109	125	9	2	1	241	387	451	838	209	274	20	18	372	139	+29	+0	-8	-11	+13	2.4
2018	32	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	677	582	146	40	0	39	85	158	6	4	1	251	352	521	873	270	275	23	13	381	144	+36	+0	-9	-12	+15	3.0
2018	32	MLB RAW	St. Louis Cardinals	—	677	564	145	42	0	36	102	158	6	4	1	257	376	523	899	266	291	23	15	392	144	+36	+0	-9	-12	+15	3.0
2019	33	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	511	432	94	19	2	16	66	134	7	6	1	218	331	382	713	164	272	26	13	323	105	+3	+1	+4	+2	+11	2.2
2019	33	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	511	431	94	20	2	15	67	133	7	6	1	218	333	378	711	160	274	26	13	320	105	+3	+1	+4	+2	+11	2.2
2020	34	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	169	141	26	6	0	4	22	48	6	0	0	184	320	312	632	128	247	28	13	302	90	-2	+0	+2	+1	+4	0.4
2020	34	MLB RAW	St. Louis Cardinals	—	169	140	26	6	0	4	23	48	6	0	0	186	325	314	640	129	250	28	14	302	90	-2	+0	+2	+1	+4	0.4
2021	35	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	249	208	35	11	1	3	34	77	6	2	0	168	302	274	576	106	248	31	14	276	73	-8	+0	-1	+1	+5	-0.3
2021	35	MLB RAW	St. Louis Cardinals	—	249	207	35	11	1	3	35	77	6	2	0	169	306	275	582	106	250	31	14	277	73	-8	+0	-1	+1	+5	-0.3
2022	36	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	249	214	56	13	2	18	27	59	5	1	1	262	358	593	951	332	273	24	11	406	161	+18	-0	+0	-3	+5	2.1
2022	36	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	249	208	61	14	2	21	33	55	5	1	1	293	402	683	1.085	389	299	22	13	455	161	+18	-0	+0	-3	+5	2.1
2023	37	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	237	189	34	13	0	5	41	67	2	1	0	180	332	328	660	148	238	28	17	301	90	-3	+0	-1	-4	+5	-0.3
2023	37	MLB RAW	San Diego Padres	—	237	188	33	12	0	5	41	67	2	1	0	176	328	319	647	144	231	28	17	297	90	-3	+0	-1	-4	+5	-0.3
2024	38	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	174	152	35	7	0	6	18	59	2	0	2	230	320	395	715	164	326	34	10	309	95	-1	-1	+0	-3	+4	-0.1
2024	38	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	174	150	35	7	0	6	19	57	2	0	2	233	326	400	726	167	326	33	11	322	95	-1	-1	+0	-3	+4	-0.1
2009	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	254	229	50	10	3	2	19	52	4	3	0	218	292	314	606	96	263	20	7	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	600	530	139	27	5	10	59	127	6	11	3	262	345	389	734	126	320	21	10	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	25	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	569	491	132	30	3	11	65	96	8	6	4	269	366	409	775	141	304	17	11	342	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	26	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	340	302	86	21	5	6	32	63	3	1	1	285	363	447	810	162	346	19	9	360	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	27	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	717	631	198	53	7	12	71	98	9	3	3	314	393	477	870	163	359	14	10	384	146	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	28	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	709	602	162	32	2	9	93	111	8	5	3	269	377	374	751	105	318	16	13	341	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	29	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	665	578	156	42	3	30	76	151	6	4	3	270	360	509	869	239	321	23	11	381	144	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	30	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	566	481	128	34	6	23	75	108	5	0	4	266	372	505	877	239	307	19	13	384	146	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	31	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	622	503	121	30	2	25	105	125	9	2	1	241	382	457	839	217	274	20	17	374	139	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	32	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	677	581	146	40	0	39	85	158	6	4	1	251	352	522	874	270	291	23	13	381	144	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	33	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	511	433	94	19	2	16	66	134	7	6	1	217	331	381	712	164	275	26	13	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	34	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	169	139	26	6	0	4	22	48	6	0	0	187	320	317	636	129	250	28	13	302	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	35	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	249	207	35	11	1	3	34	77	6	2	0	169	302	275	578	106	250	31	14	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	36	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	249	215	56	13	2	18	27	59	5	1	1	260	358	591	948	330	278	24	11	406	161	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	37	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	237	192	34	13	0	5	41	67	2	1	0	177	332	323	655	146	231	28	17	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	38	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	174	152	35	7	0	6	18	59	2	0	2	230	320	395	715	164	316	34	10	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	38	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	174	152	35	7	0	6	18	59	2	0	2	230	320	395	715	164	316	34	10	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	5773	4856	1257	329	28	179	774	1225	74	28	19	259	369	449	818	190	307	21	13	362	124	+212	-2	-25	-24	+125	29.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	547	141	37	3	20	87	138	8	3	2	258	367	446	813	188	306	21	13	362	124	+24	-0	-3	-3	+14	3.3
Career	—	MLE		—	7308	6239	1598	388	41	219	888	1533	92	49	27	256	357	437	794	181	303	21	12	351	124	+212	-2	-25	-24	+125	29.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	555	142	35	4	19	79	136	8	4	2	256	357	436	793	180	303	21	12	351	124	+24	-0	-3	-3	+14	3.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2024 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 17 PAwOBA .450 → .298 (−152)K% 35.3% → 44.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	35.29%	÷0.953	×1.200	—	—	44.45%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	23.53%	÷1.014	×0.690	—	×0.940	15.05%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	0.00%
Singles /BIP	14.29%	÷0.991	×0.930	—	×0.940	12.60%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷0.920	×0.830	—	×0.940	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.970	—	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	28.57%	÷1.020	×0.700	—	×0.940	18.42%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 98, 2B 84, 3B 130, K 91, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 39 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (11.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .450 → .298; ISO .462 → .293; BABIP .200 → .155. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAARound Rock Express · 95 PAwOBA .415 → .319 (−95)K% 21.1% → 24.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.05%	÷1.015	×1.200	—	—	24.88%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	14.74%	÷0.997	×0.690	—	×0.940	9.59%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	0.00%
Singles /BIP	15.00%	÷0.986	×0.930	×0.950	×0.940	12.63%
Doubles /BIP	8.33%	÷0.938	×0.830	×0.950	×0.940	6.58%
Triples /BIP	3.33%	÷0.900	×0.970	×0.950	×0.940	3.21%
Home runs /BIP	10.00%	÷0.957	×0.700	—	×0.940	6.87%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 97, 2B 88, 3B 80, K 103, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 37 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (9.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .415 → .319; ISO .338 → .262; BABIP .291 → .237. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AASpringfield Cardinals · 19 PAwOBA .145 → .099 (−46)K% 21.1% → 26.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.05%	÷0.985	×1.220	—	—	26.08%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	21.05%	÷0.965	×0.700	—	×0.940	14.36%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.870	—	×0.940	0.00%
Singles /BIP	0.00%	÷0.974	×0.920	—	×0.940	0.00%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.070	×0.840	—	×0.940	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.108	×0.940	—	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.108	×0.800	—	×0.940	0.00%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 122, 1B 95, 2B 114, 3B 122, K 97, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 24.8 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (9.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .145 → .099; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .000 → .000. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 535 PAwOBA .386 → .347 (−38)K% 12.7% → 16.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.71%	÷0.979	×1.290	—	—	16.75%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	15.51%	÷1.008	×0.710	—	×1.018	11.13%
HBP% /PA	1.50%	—	×0.980	—	×1.018	1.49%
Singles /BIP	23.50%	÷0.982	×0.900	×1.038	×1.018	22.75%
Doubles /BIP	7.92%	÷0.923	×0.810	×1.038	×1.018	7.35%
Triples /BIP	0.82%	÷0.999	×0.810	×1.038	×1.018	0.70%
Home runs /BIP	3.28%	÷0.893	×0.780	—	×1.018	2.92%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 96, 2B 85, 3B 100, K 96, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.038.

Result: wOBA .386 → .347; ISO .164 → .152; BABIP .328 → .312. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 AASpringfield Cardinals · 472 PAwOBA .386 → .326 (−61)K% 18.6% → 22.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.64%	÷1.009	×1.220	—	—	22.54%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.71%	÷1.024	×0.700	—	×0.998	8.67%
HBP% /PA	0.85%	—	×0.870	—	×0.998	0.74%
Singles /BIP	27.27%	÷1.026	×0.920	×1.012	×0.998	24.71%
Doubles /BIP	8.44%	÷1.051	×0.840	×1.012	×0.998	6.81%
Triples /BIP	0.97%	÷0.900	×0.940	×1.012	×0.998	1.03%
Home runs /BIP	3.90%	÷1.101	×0.800	—	×0.998	2.83%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 105, 2B 110, 3B 80, K 102, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.

Result: wOBA .386 → .326; ISO .172 → .141; BABIP .377 → .331. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 A+Palm Beach Cardinals · 128 PAwOBA .378 → .314 (−64)K% 10.9% → 15.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	10.94%	÷0.978	×1.420	—	—	15.88%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	20.31%	÷1.045	×0.750	—	×0.978	14.26%
HBP% /PA	1.56%	—	×0.930	—	×0.978	1.42%
Singles /BIP	23.53%	÷1.030	×0.920	×0.976	×0.978	20.06%
Doubles /BIP	5.88%	÷0.928	×0.960	×0.976	×0.978	5.81%
Triples /BIP	2.35%	÷0.934	×0.810	×0.976	×0.978	1.95%
Home runs /BIP	1.18%	÷0.984	×0.880	—	×0.978	1.03%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 106, 2B 86, 3B 87, K 96, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.976.

Result: wOBA .378 → .314; ISO .121 → .113; BABIP .321 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2009 A+Palm Beach Cardinals · 128 PAwOBA .274 → .228 (−46)K% 18.8% → 26.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.75%	÷1.000	×1.420	—	—	26.62%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.81%	÷1.000	×0.750	—	×0.988	5.79%
HBP% /PA	0.78%	—	×0.930	—	×0.988	0.72%
Singles /BIP	17.78%	÷1.000	×0.920	×0.986	×0.988	15.93%
Doubles /BIP	6.67%	÷1.000	×0.960	×0.986	×0.988	6.23%
Triples /BIP	1.11%	÷1.000	×0.810	×0.986	×0.988	0.88%
Home runs /BIP	2.22%	÷1.000	×0.880	—	×0.988	1.93%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.

Result: wOBA .274 → .228; ISO .123 → .103; BABIP .258 → .232. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2009 AQuad Cities River Bandits · 126 PAwOBA .358 → .300 (−58)K% 10.3% → 14.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	10.32%	÷1.000	×1.360	—	—	14.03%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.49%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×0.980	9.12%
HBP% /PA	2.38%	—	×0.780	—	×0.980	1.82%
Singles /BIP	25.00%	÷1.000	×0.920	×1.000	×0.980	22.53%
Doubles /BIP	6.52%	÷1.000	×0.830	×1.000	×0.980	5.30%
Triples /BIP	2.17%	÷1.000	×0.910	×1.000	×0.980	1.94%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×0.980	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.000.

Result: wOBA .358 → .300; ISO .095 → .083; BABIP .333 → .295. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .