Kyle Freeland
P
Colorado Rockies
+0.7
WAR
Age 33
LHP
6'4" / 202 lbs
MLB
peak 0.7 · 2026
ERA4.79
FIP4.61
xFIP4.16
SIERA3.80
K%17.6%
BB%5.6%
K-BB%12.0%
IP135
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.7peak
2026
K†3030
FB Velo
p2192.4
Whiff%
p5826.6%
K%
p3119.4%
xwOBA vs
p480.314
CT+1.5 (11%)
CH+1.0 (17%)
SI (4%)
CU (27%)
FB-0.6 (31%)
SL-0.9 (15%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 22 | A+ | Modesto Nuts | 9 | 9 | 47 | 196 | 28 | 10 | 5 | 8.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.05 | 5.57 | -0.3 |
| 2016 | 23 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | 26 | 26 | 162 | 675 | 108 | 44 | 16 | 13.6% | 7.0% | 2.4% | 3.89 | 4.19 | +2.0 |
| 2017 | 24 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 33 | 28 | 156 | 688 | 107 | 59 | 17 | 15.6% | 8.6% | 2.2% | 4.10 | 4.06 | +2.2 |
| 2018 | 25 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 33 | 33 | 202 | 844 | 173 | 68 | 17 | 20.5% | 8.1% | 1.9% | 2.85 | 3.43 | +4.3 |
| 2019 | 26 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 28 | 28 | 134 | 616 | 107 | 52 | 29 | 16.8% | 8.6% | 4.1% | 7.19 | 5.03 | +0.4 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 13 | 13 | 71 | 304 | 46 | 23 | 9 | 15.1% | 7.6% | 2.7% | 4.33 | 4.28 | +0.6 |
| 2021 | 28 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 25 | 25 | 131 | 552 | 109 | 39 | 20 | 20.4% | 7.2% | 3.3% | 4.13 | 4.11 | +1.8 |
| 2022 | 29 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 31 | 31 | 175 | 766 | 131 | 53 | 19 | 17.1% | 6.9% | 1.8% | 4.53 | 3.52 | +3.5 |
| 2023 | 30 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 29 | 29 | 156 | 677 | 94 | 42 | 29 | 13.9% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 5.03 | 4.95 | +0.6 |
| 2024 | 31 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 24 | 24 | 123 | 529 | 94 | 31 | 23 | 17.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.04 | 4.71 | +0.8 |
| 2025 | 32 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 31 | 31 | 163 | 709 | 124 | 36 | 22 | 17.5% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 4.98 | 4.02 | +2.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 33 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 3 | 3 | 16 | 67 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 19.4% | 6.0% | 1.5% | 2.30 | 3.04 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 33 | MLB | COL | 20 | 20 | 110 | 463 | 75 | 26 | 15 | 16.3% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 4.30 | 4.23 | +1.3 |
| 2026 Total | 33 | MLB | COL | — | — | 125 | 530 | 88 | 30 | 16 | 16.7% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 4.05 | 4.08 | +1.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | COL | 20 | 20 | 111 | 467 | 73 | 28 | 16 | 15.6% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 4.72 | 4.74 | +0.7 |
| 2028 | 35 | MLB | COL | 18 | 18 | 97 | 410 | 61 | 25 | 14 | 14.8% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 4.83 | 4.90 | +0.4 |
| 2029 | 36 | MLB | COL | 15 | 15 | 84 | 356 | 50 | 23 | 13 | 14.1% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 4.97 | 5.06 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 285 | 280 | 1534 | 6623 | 1104 | 464 | 197 | 16.7% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 4.49 | 4.21 | +19.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 37 | 36 | 200 | 863 | 144 | 60 | 26 | 16.7% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 4.49 | 4.21 | +2.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Kyle Freeland (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.82 | 15.2% | 5.6% | 3.5% | — | 4.89 | 14.9% | 8.8% | 292 | +0.07 | — | — | — |
| Arturo Lopez L 2026 · 5.12 FIP | 33 | SP- | 5.12 | 11.5% | 7.9% | 3.6% | .341 | 4.91 | 11.3% | 5.2% | 224 | -0.21 | 4.33 | 445 | 49 |
| Everett Teaford L 2024 · 4.43 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.43 | 13.9% | 7.6% | 2.8% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.43 | 103 | 48 |
| Oscar Rivera L 2027 · 3.71 FIP | 34 | SP- | 3.71 | 14.2% | 6.9% | 1.7% | .298 | 4.55 | 10.4% | 3.0% | 129 | +0.84 | 3.71 | 237 | 48 |
| Tomas Solis L 2026 · 4.90 FIP | 33 | SP- | 4.90 | 12.4% | 8.5% | 3.2% | .273 | 5.92 | 10.1% | 2.4% | 117 | +1.02 | 4.17 | 327 | 47 |
| Jorge Castillo L 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 33 | SP- | 4.49 | 16.8% | 9.2% | 3.0% | .292 | 4.82 | 12.4% | 7.2% | 186 | +0.33 | 4.49 | 408 | 46 |
| Jonathan Sánchez L 2029 · 4.73 FIP | 36 | SP- | 4.73 | 18.1% | 8.3% | 3.8% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.73 | 109 | 45 |
| Daniel Rodriguez L 2025 · 3.84 FIP | 32 | SP- | 3.84 | 13.1% | 9.7% | 1.1% | .335 | 4.77 | 20.8% | 13.0% | 112 | +0.93 | 2.89 | 391 | 45 |
| Cesár Ramos L 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 33 | SP- | 4.24 | 16.7% | 8.3% | 2.7% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.79 | 225 | 45 |
| Roy Merritt L 2024 · 3.92 FIP | 31 | SP- | 3.92 | 16.2% | 5.8% | 2.6% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.92 | 129 | 44 |
| Edgar Osuna L 2024 · 5.08 FIP | 31 | SP- | 5.08 | 10.0% | 7.2% | 3.5% | .373 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.04 | 175 | 44 |
| Orlando Lara L 2025 · 4.40 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.40 | 14.7% | 6.5% | 3.1% | .346 | 4.07 | 22.0% | 14.2% | 104 | -0.33 | 3.83 | 426 | 43 |
| Wandy Rodriguez L 2029 · 3.85 FIP | 36 | SP- | 3.85 | 19.4% | 8.5% | 2.4% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 101 | 43 |
| Kwang Hyun Kim L 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 33 | SP- | 4.23 | 17.7% | 8.2% | 2.9% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.69 | 146 | 42 |
| Travis Blackley L 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 33 | SP- | 3.85 | 11.6% | 10.7% | 0.7% | .301 | 6.89 | 6.1% | -3.6% | 27 | +3.04 | 3.85 | 225 | 41 |
| Ross Detwiler L 2026 · 6.01 FIP | 33 | SP- | 6.01 | 15.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | .289 | 4.07 | 24.3% | 17.1% | 98 | -1.94 | 3.45 | 512 | 40 |
| Francisco Liriano L 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 33 | SP- | 4.31 | 19.4% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .322 | 4.75 | 19.5% | 7.4% | 204 | +0.44 | 3.00 | 650 | 38 |
| Eric Stults L 2028 · 4.27 FIP | 35 | SP | 4.27 | 14.5% | 5.9% | 3.0% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.27 | 138 | 36 |
| James Russell L 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 33 | SP- | 4.26 | 16.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.65 | 233 | 36 |
| Drew Smyly L 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 33 | SP- | 4.19 | 20.4% | 5.8% | 3.8% | .271 | 4.58 | 22.3% | 13.5% | 201 | +0.39 | 1.80 | 840 | 36 |
| Gio Gonzalez L 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 33 | SP- | 3.83 | 21.7% | 9.6% | 2.5% | .300 | 4.84 | 22.2% | 9.8% | 32 | +1.01 | 2.84 | 864 | 36 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.