Joshua Kuroda-GrauerSS Las Vegas Aviators
Age 23 R/R 5'10" / 205 lbs MLB HR -4% Svc 0.000 · Ctrl thru 2031
2026 ROS PROJECTION411 act + 274 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†96
AVG/OBP/SLG.281 / .324 / .379
PA274
HR3
SB9
K%11
BB%4
BABIP309
ISO98
MLB%100%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: +4.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+5BATRUN: +2.9 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+3RUNFLD: +0.2 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +7.3 runs (Positional adjustment)+7POSREP: +19.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+19REPTotal WAR: +3.40+3.4WAR
0.02.04.01.42.52.93.13.12.9+$90M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit post-control
Tools · ContractCON 57 / POW 33
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026
CONTACT57
xwOBA
460.304
POWER33
Avg EV
4088.4
EYE36
scouting grade only
SPEED54
Sprint
6027.9
DEFENSE52
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Pre-Arb
MLB Debut   2026
Service   0.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2031
First FA Year   2032
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026ROSPre-Arb$0.3M+1.4$11M+$11M
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M+2.5$19M+$18M
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M+2.9$20M+$19M
2029Arb-1$7M+3.1$20M+$15M
2030Arb-2$12M+3.1$18M+$11M
2031Arb-3$17M+2.9$16M+$6M
Totals $37M $103M +$79M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202421 A2 teams 11399 30200 9115 52 303389323713 20341 108 315 99
202421 A2 teams 11396 33200 1285 52 344442365807 21375 711 378 147
202522 A+3 teams 614572 1312112 287712 346 229279280559 51261 135 247 47
202522 A+3 teams 614555 1673622 455612 346 301366384750 83331 97 340 118
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD23 AAAOAK 411388 1172436 15425 155 302336425761 124324 104 333 113 +6 +1 +0 +4 +12 2.4
YTD23 AAAOAK 411382 1282847 21345 155 335377484862 149352 85 379 148 +22 +1 +0 +4 +12 4.0
ROS23 AAAOAK 100% 274256 721413 12314 93 281324379702 98307 114 310 96 -1 +1 +0 +3 +8 1.0
ROS23 MLBOAK 100% 274256 711313 12314 93 277320371691 94304 114 298 86 -4 +1 +0 +3 +8 0.7
FULL23 AAAOAK 685644 1883749 27739 248 292329404733 112316 114 319 102 +2 +2 +0 +7 +19 3.1
TOT23 AAAOAK 685644 1893849 27739 248 293331407738 113318 114 324 106 +5 +2 +0 +7 +19 3.4
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202724 MLBOAK 82% 660617 1703247 29769 196 276318374692 99301 124 308 94 -4 +1 +0 +7 +19 2.4
202825 MLBOAK 82% 660615 17032410 31809 196 276321390711 114301 125 315 99 -1 +1 +0 +7 +19 2.7
202926 MLBOAK 82% 660613 16932411 33849 196 276322395717 119301 135 318 101 +1 +1 +0 +7 +19 2.9
203027 MLBOAK 82% 660611 16732311 35869 196 273322390712 116301 135 318 102 +1 +1 +0 +7 +19 2.9
203128 MLBOAK 82% 651602 16431311 35859 185 272322389711 116301 135 317 101 +1 +2 -0 +7 +18 2.8
203229 MLBOAK 82% 638591 16030310 34858 175 271319382702 112300 135 316 100 -0 +1 -1 +7 +18 2.6
203330 MLBOAK 82% 625578 15629310 34858 154 270319382702 112300 145 313 98 -2 +1 -2 +7 +18 2.3
203431 MLBOAK 82% 613567 1512839 33858 124 266316374690 108298 145 309 95 -4 +1 -2 +7 +17 1.9
203532 MLBOAK 82% 600555 1462738 32868 103 263313366678 103295 145 304 90 -6 +1 -3 +6 +17 1.5
203633 MLBOAK 82% 518480 1242227 27776 72 258306356662 98292 155 297 85 -9 +1 -4 +6 +15 0.9
203734 MLBOAK 77% 437406 1011725 23675 41 249297337635 89287 155 288 78 -11 +0 -5 +5 +12 0.2
203835 MLBOAK 73% 370344 841424 19604 31 244292331623 87281 165 278 71 -12 +0 -5 +4 +10 -0.3
202724 MLBOAK 82% 541506 1382636 23627 165 273313372685 99299 114 296 85 -9 +1 +0 +6 +15 1.4
202825 MLBOAK 82% 541503 1382638 26667 165 274319386705 111299 125 302 89 -7 +1 +0 +6 +15 1.7
202926 MLBOAK 82% 541502 1382639 27697 165 275321392713 118299 135 305 92 -5 +1 +0 +6 +15 1.8
203027 MLBOAK 82% 541501 1362539 28707 165 271319387706 116299 135 306 92 -5 +1 +0 +6 +15 1.8
203128 MLBOAK 82% 534494 1352539 28707 154 273321391712 117298 135 305 91 -5 +1 -0 +6 +15 1.7
203229 MLBOAK 82% 523483 1302438 28707 144 269319381699 112298 135 303 90 -6 +1 -1 +6 +15 1.5
203330 MLBOAK 82% 512472 1272428 28707 124 269320379699 110297 145 301 88 -7 +1 -1 +5 +15 1.3
203431 MLBOAK 82% 503464 1232327 27707 103 265315369684 103296 145 297 85 -8 +1 -2 +5 +14 1.0
203532 MLBOAK 82% 492457 1192227 26706 82 260309363672 103293 145 292 81 -10 +1 -3 +5 +14 0.7
203633 MLBOAK 82% 425394 1011825 23635 62 256306350656 94290 155 285 76 -11 +0 -3 +5 +12 0.3
203734 MLBOAK 77% 339314 771314 18524 31 245295331626 86285 155 277 70 -12 +0 -4 +4 +10 -0.2
203835 MLBOAK 73% 270251 611013 14443 21 243291327618 84279 165 267 63 -11 +0 -4 +3 +8 -0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career 60365597 14942752986 30880778 14344 267314373687 106297 135 297 85 -101 +11 -16 +65 +171 13.3
/ 162G 650603 1613039 33878 155 267313371685 104298 135 297 85 -11 +1 -2 +7 +18 1.4
Career 80937506 199536338108 4141075113 21060 266314367681 102297 135 304 91 -84 +18 -20 +87 +229 23.5
/ 162G 650603 1602939 33869 175 265313368681 103295 135 304 91 -7 +1 -2 +7 +18 1.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202421 A+Lansing Lugnuts 5042 12200 533 11 286400333733 48308 610 346 123 +1 -0 +1 0.3
202421 AStockton Ports 6354 21000 752 41 389476389865 429 811 403 166 +5 +0 +2 0.7
202522 AAMidland RockHounds 183163 49902 14125 10 301374393766 92313 78 347 124 +5 +0 +5 1.1
202522 A+Lansing Lugnuts 366334 982110 26375 266 293353362716 69330 107 326 107 +3 +3 +10 1.7
202522 INTLMesa Solar Sox 6558 20610 572 70 345415483898 138392 118 401 165 +5 +1 +2 0.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Julio Lugolast yr '10
career totals — 11 seasons, 5,290 PA
115,29080198270334386+31+2523.823.1
/1626641025+3.9+3.13.0pk7: 22
#2Erick Aybarlast yr '17
career totals — 11 seasons, 5,588 PA
115,58858154271314372+58+4922.021.3
/162664718+6.9+5.82.6pk7: 21
#3Austin Jacksonlast yr '18
career totals — 9 seasons, 4,653 PA
94,65365114273333396+17+1319.519.5
/162664916+2.4+1.92.8pk7: 19
#4Felipe Lopezlast yr '11
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,864 PA
114,86490124264333391+31-1917.618.1
/1626641217+4.2-2.62.4pk7: 19
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 11 projected seasons
116,08286143269313375+61+919.417.3
/162664916+6.6+1.02.1pk7: 15
#5Cristian Guzmanlast yr '10
career totals — 10 seasons, 5,329 PA
105,32961116275311392+23+2416.816.7
/162664814+2.9+3.02.1pk7: 17
#6Royce Claytonlast yr '07
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,920 PA
83,9205470256311365+18+1710.110.0
/162664912+3.1+2.91.7pk7: 10

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Joshua Kuroda-Grauer (OGILVIE) 23 45→57 30→33 50→54 36 293/331/407 113318 924 11% 4% 106 +3.4
David Fletcher
2017 · AA
23 52→62 37→45 52→50 46 245/283/317 73282 414 15% 5% 66 -0.6 254/296/341 87288 513 13% 5% 78 +0.2 289/340/3991103166810%7%108+1.9
Ernie Clement
2019 · AA
23 54→57 37→50 47→50 49 253/301/331 78281 313 11% 6% 77 +0.1 236/280/317 81266 413 12% 5% 65 -0.7 274/308/41213828314129%4%99+1.3
Tyler Freeman
2022 · AA
23 52→60 40 50→55 43 247/297/347 100284 611 16% 4% 80 +0.4 256/331/354 98289 915 14% 6% 98 +1.6 251/335/34796281101814%7%95+0.9
Nick Madrigal
2020 · AAA
23 55→57 37→40 52→50 51 256/304/334 78264 423 5% 5% 79 +0.3 267/315/345 78288 414 9% 5% 87 +0.8 275/327/3638830231010%5%94+0.6
Isiah Kiner-Falefa
2018 · AA
23 52→56 36→40 47→55 45 246/294/309 63293 311 17% 5% 69 -0.4 244/301/332 88293 612 18% 6% 78 +0.2 264/312/3417729962114%5%81+0.3
Tyler Pastornicky
2013 · MLB
23 52→61 42→45 51→60 47 252/295/358 106287 917 16% 6% 82 +0.5 247/289/330 83292 612 17% 5% 72 -0.2 249/291/3166629341016%5%65-0.4
Mauricio Dubón
2017 · AA
23 54→58 39→50 55 45 257/298/346 89306 520 18% 5% 79 +0.3 243/279/346 103291 922 19% 5% 72 -0.2 259/306/396137295161118%5%93+0.9
Osleivis Basabe
2023 · AA
22 57→61 39→45 56→50 46 268/314/370 102319 517 17% 6% 92 +1.2 244/289/350 106296 813 20% 5% 77 +0.1 231/277/341111278101120%5%68-0.4
Robbie Podorsky
2018 · A
23 50 38→40 52→60 48 235/293/323 88283 410 18% 7% 72 -0.2 260/308/342 82314 321 17% 5% 82 +0.5 275/321/3628733433418%5%89+0.3
Chin-Lung Hu
2007 · AA
23 53→61 40→45 48→50 46 254/295/343 89285 712 14% 5% 78 +0.2 259/293/368 109292 811 14% 4% 83 +0.6 267/297/37610929881113%4%82+0.4
Jose Aguilar
2013 · AAA
23 57→61 41→45 52→55 46 271/322/371 100315 716 16% 6% 97 +1.5 277/329/386 109315 916 14% 6% 104 +2.0 284/341/39711331991613%6%107+1.5
Andrelton Simmons
2012 · A
22 56→62 36→45 49→50 45 261/295/336 75288 216 11% 4% 76 +0.0 255/299/369 114275 910 11% 5% 86 +0.8 283/332/40412129810149%6%107+2.2
Nicky Lopez
2018 · AA
23 50→60 38→40 52→55 50 238/293/321 83269 516 14% 6% 72 -0.2 250/302/338 88283 611 13% 7% 79 +0.3 266/326/3508430641413%8%90+0.8
Alberto Robles
2014 · A
23 54 36→30 50→55 46 251/301/318 67294 316 16% 5% 74 -0.1 224/266/308 84268 613 18% 5% 56 -1.3 208/242/2797124261516%4%35-1.1
Kevin Newman
2017 · AA
23 56→62 39→45 49→50 51 263/318/350 86291 511 12% 6% 89 +1.0 257/298/348 91292 615 14% 5% 81 +0.4 275/321/3719630771813%6%92+0.9
Ali Castillo
2012 · A
23 51→61 38→40 54→55 51 239/297/334 95271 313 13% 7% 76 +0.1 237/288/314 77283 513 17% 6% 68 -0.5 266/300/3215630822114%4%70-0.2
Ronald Torreyes
2016 · AAA
23 53→57 37→45 45→50 47 247/285/325 78267 48 10% 4% 69 -0.4 253/288/338 85285 57 13% 4% 73 -0.1 263/294/341772993313%4%75-0.0
Alberto Gonzalez
2006 · A
23 55→58 38→40 52→45 43 258/293/348 90304 310 16% 4% 78 +0.2 252/292/346 94288 58 14% 4% 77 +0.1 249/293/344952835713%4%76+0.0
Bryson Brigman
2019 · AA
24 53→59 37→40 50 45 251/300/324 73312 413 20% 6% 75 -0.0 240/296/324 84302 59 21% 7% 74 -0.1 236/292/3309430071123%6%71-0.2
Nick Van Stratten
2008 · A
23 49→59 41→45 58→55 50 234/296/339 105259 612 13% 6% 78 +0.2 255/309/353 98303 512 17% 6% 86 +0.8 302/337/3868433942312%4%102+0.8