César Hernández

Pos2B
B/TS/R
Born1990-05-23
Age (2027)37
No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.
Overview
INTLLAST SEASON 2024
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202232MLBWSH617.248/.312/.31811081-0.0
202333AAA/INTL2 orgs402.286/.408/.398613114—.232/.346/.283
202434INTLTiburones de …106.270/.387/.48343148—
202535No MLB games played
202636No MLB games played
Last 3 seasons WAR -0.0
Contract
No contract data on file.
Skills · percentileStatcast 2020-2022
Speed71
xwOBA49
Barrel%21
Avg EV18

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
200717 ROKVSL Phillies — 205181 50782 11304 64 276332436768 160318 155 325 36 — — — — — —
200818 ROKVSL Phillies — 234197 62761 33221 197 315416426842 112347 914 376 59 — — — — — —
200919 ROKGCL Phillies — 175150 40510 17204 135 267357313670 47301 1110 306 51 — — — — — —
201020 INTLBravos de Margarita — 4439 10000 450 01 256326256582 294 119 269 68 — — — — — —
201121 A+Clearwater Threshers — 452421 113744 23801 2310 268308333640 64322 185 286 52 — — — — — —
201121 INTLBravos de Margarita — 124112 29200 9230 53 259314277591 18326 197 268 68 — — — — — —
201222 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs — 129121 30410 4110 53 248272298570 50270 93 249 54 — — — — — —
201222 AAReading Phillies — 450411 12526112 27670 1612 304347436783 131358 156 338 109 — — — — — —
201222 INTLBravos de Margarita — 176154 41531 17322 144 266347357704 91328 1810 316 100 — — — — — —
201323 MLBPhiladelphia Phillies — 131121 35500 9261 03 289344331674 41368 207 310 96 -1 -1 -5 +3 +3 -0.1
201323 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs — 440391 1211292 41811 328 309376402778 92384 189 346 105 — — — — — —
201323 INTLBravos de Margarita — 134118 30502 10322 20 254323347671 93326 247 297 87 — — — — — —
201424 MLBPhiladelphia Phillies — 125114 27201 9330 11 237293281573 44321 267 261 58 -6 -0 -2 +2 +3 -0.4
201424 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs — 171156 40630 15340 74 256322333655 77328 209 299 70 — — — — — —
201424 AAReading Fightin Phils — 117103 35413 13130 13 340414485899 146364 1111 397 130 — — — — — —
201424 INTLCardenales de Lara — 158139 43710 17240 62 309385374759 65371 1511 343 118 — — — — — —
201525 MLBPhiladelphia Phillies — 452405 1102041 40862 195 272340348688 77342 199 311 96 -2 +2 +0 +2 +10 1.1
201626 MLBPhiladelphia Phillies — 622547 16114116 661162 1713 294372393765 99363 1911 343 114 +10 -2 +5 +2 +13 3.0
201727 MLBPhiladelphia Phillies — 577511 1502669 611044 155 294373421794 127353 1811 357 126 +18 +1 -2 +2 +13 3.2
201727 A+Clearwater Threshers — 177 1000 921 00 143647143790 200 1253 466 132 — — — — — —
201828 MLBPhiladelphia Phillies — 708605 15315315 951554 196 253358362720 109315 2213 329 104 +4 +1 -3 +3 +15 2.1
201929 MLBPhiladelphia Phillies — 667612 17131314 451006 92 279335408743 129313 157 331 106 +5 +1 +2 +2 +14 2.5
202030 MLBCleveland Indians — 261233 662003 24572 00 283354408762 124364 229 341 116 +5 +0 +3 +1 +6 1.5
202131 MLBChicago White Sox — 637570 13221221 591355 11 232309386695 154266 219 311 94 -4 -0 +0 +2 +14 1.2
202232 MLBWashington Nationals — 617560 1392841 451147 104 248312318630 70309 187 287 81 -14 +0 -3 +2 +13 -0.0
202333 AAATacoma Rainiers — 164125 34800 37340 72 272438336774 64370 2123 364 85 — — — — — —
202333 INTLLeones del Caracas — 238204 60916 29452 62 294387436824 142348 1912 366 134 — — — — — —
202434 INTLTiburones de La Guaira — 10689 24514 15162 32 270387483870 213290 1514 386 148 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 47974278 11441823371 45392633 9140 267342375717 108325 199 323 105 +29 +2 -4 +21 +104 15.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
200717 ROK MLEVSL Phillies — 205184 35551 8374 64 190240288528 98216 184 222 36 — — — — — —
200818 ROK MLEVSL Phillies — 234208 43440 22271 197 207286264550 58232 129 256 59 — — — — — —
200919 ROK MLEGCL Phillies — 175156 35410 11294 135 224292263555 38254 176 243 51 — — — — — —
201121 A+ MLEClearwater Threshers — 452427 102733 171141 2310 239270290560 52311 254 245 52 — — — — — —
201222 AAA MLELehigh Valley IronPigs — 129123 32410 2130 53 260272309581 49276 102 248 54 — — — — — —
201222 AA MLEReading Phillies — 450417 13122131 21850 1612 314347436783 122376 195 330 109 — — — — — —
201323 MLB MLEPhiladelphia Phillies — 131121 35500 9261 03 289344331674 41368 207 310 96 -1 -1 -5 +3 +3 -0.1
201323 AAA MLELehigh Valley IronPigs — 440403 1231192 29991 328 305353392745 87390 227 323 105 — — — — — —
201424 MLB MLEPhiladelphia Phillies — 125115 27201 8330 11 235285278563 43321 266 254 58 -6 -0 -2 +2 +3 -0.4
201424 AAA MLELehigh Valley IronPigs — 171160 39530 11390 74 244292312605 69327 236 271 70 — — — — — —
201424 AA MLEReading Fightin Phils — 117107 36412 9160 13 336388449837 112374 148 361 130 — — — — — —
201525 MLB MLEPhiladelphia Phillies — 452406 1112141 39862 195 273340352692 79342 199 310 96 -2 +2 +0 +2 +10 1.1
201626 MLB MLEPhiladelphia Phillies — 622551 16014116 621162 1713 290364388753 98363 1910 337 114 +10 -2 +5 +2 +13 3.0
201727 MLB MLEPhiladelphia Phillies — 577512 1492768 601044 155 291370414784 123353 1810 354 126 +18 +1 -2 +2 +13 3.2
201727 A+ MLEClearwater Threshers — 1710 1000 631 00 100471100571 178 1835 364 132 — — — — — —
201828 MLB MLEPhiladelphia Phillies — 708609 15115314 911554 196 248349351701 103315 2213 322 104 +4 +1 -3 +3 +15 2.1
201929 MLB MLEPhiladelphia Phillies — 667616 17032313 411006 92 276327401728 125313 156 325 106 +5 +1 +2 +2 +14 2.5
202030 MLB MLECleveland Indians — 261234 662003 24572 00 282354406760 124364 229 339 116 +5 +0 +3 +1 +6 1.5
202131 MLB MLEChicago White Sox — 637572 13221221 571355 11 231306385691 154266 219 308 94 -4 -0 +0 +2 +14 1.2
202232 MLB MLEWashington Nationals — 617560 1402851 451147 104 250314323637 73309 187 288 81 -14 +0 -3 +2 +13 -0.0
202333 AAA MLETacoma Rainiers — 164138 32700 24400 72 232346283628 51324 2415 294 85 — — — — — —
200717 ROK MLEVSL Phillies — 205184 35551 8374 64 190240288528 98230 184 222 36 — — — — — —
200717 ROK RAWVSL Phillies — 205181 50782 11304 64 276332436768 160318 155 325 36 — — — — — —
200818 ROK MLEVSL Phillies — 234208 43440 22271 197 207286264550 58235 129 256 59 — — — — — —
200818 ROK RAWVSL Phillies — 234197 62761 33221 197 315416426842 112347 914 376 59 — — — — — —
200919 ROK MLEGCL Phillies — 175156 35410 11294 135 224292263555 38269 176 243 51 — — — — — —
200919 ROK RAWGCL Phillies — 175150 40510 17204 135 267357313670 47301 1110 306 51 — — — — — —
201020 INTL MLEBravos de Margarita — 4439 10000 450 01 256326256582 294 119 — — — — — — — —
201020 INTL RAWBravos de Margarita — 4439 10000 450 01 256326256582 294 119 269 68 — — — — — —
201121 A+ MLE2 teams — 576544 130943 211451 2813 239269287555 48319 254 245 52 — — — — — —
201121 A+ RAW2 teams — 576533 142944 321031 2813 266309321630 54322 186 282 52 — — — — — —
201222 AA MLE3 teams — 755704 21334182 301272 3519 303333411743 108364 174 312 97 — — — — — —
201222 AA RAW3 teams — 755686 19635153 481102 3519 286334394728 108334 156 318 97 — — — — — —
201323 AAA MLE3 teams — 705642 19520112 481544 3411 304356379734 75394 227 320 103 — — — — — —
201323 AAA RAW3 teams — 705630 1862294 601394 3411 295360378738 83371 209 330 103 — — — — — —
201424 AAA MLE4 teams — 571528 1421654 381220 1510 269318341659 72341 217 291 83 — — — — — —
201424 AAA RAW4 teams — 571512 1451954 541040 1510 283352363715 80346 189 323 83 — — — — — —
201525 MLB MLEPhiladelphia Phillies — 452406 1112141 39862 195 273340352692 79344 199 310 96 -2 +2 +0 +2 +10 1.1
201525 MLB RAWPhiladelphia Phillies — 452405 1102041 40862 195 272340348688 77342 199 311 96 -2 +2 +0 +2 +10 1.1
201626 MLB MLEPhiladelphia Phillies — 622551 16014116 621162 1713 290364388753 98357 1910 337 114 +10 -2 +5 +2 +13 3.0
201626 MLB RAWPhiladelphia Phillies — 622547 16114116 661162 1713 294372393765 99363 1911 343 114 +10 -2 +5 +2 +13 3.0
201727 MLB MLE2 teams — 594522 1512768 661075 155 289374410784 121350 1811 354 126 +18 +1 -2 +2 +13 3.3
201727 MLB RAW2 teams — 594518 1512669 701065 155 292381417798 125351 1812 360 126 +18 +1 -2 +2 +13 3.3
201828 MLB MLEPhiladelphia Phillies — 708609 15115314 911554 196 248349351701 103309 2213 322 104 +4 +1 -3 +3 +15 2.1
201828 MLB RAWPhiladelphia Phillies — 708605 15315315 951554 196 253358362720 109315 2213 329 104 +4 +1 -3 +3 +15 2.1
201929 MLB MLEPhiladelphia Phillies — 667616 17032313 411006 92 276327401728 125310 156 325 106 +5 +1 +2 +2 +14 2.5
201929 MLB RAWPhiladelphia Phillies — 667612 17131314 451006 92 279335408743 129313 157 331 106 +5 +1 +2 +2 +14 2.5
202030 MLB MLECleveland Indians — 261234 662003 24572 00 282354406760 124362 229 339 116 +5 +0 +3 +1 +6 1.5
202030 MLB RAWCleveland Indians — 261233 662003 24572 00 283354408762 124364 229 341 116 +5 +0 +3 +1 +6 1.5
202131 MLB MLEChicago White Sox — 637572 13221221 571355 11 231306385691 154265 219 308 94 -4 -0 +0 +2 +14 1.2
202131 MLB RAWChicago White Sox — 637570 13221221 591355 11 232309386695 154266 219 311 94 -4 -0 +0 +2 +14 1.2
202232 MLB MLEWashington Nationals — 617560 1402851 451147 104 250314323637 73311 187 288 81 -14 +0 -3 +2 +13 -0.0
202232 MLB RAWWashington Nationals — 617560 1392841 451147 104 248312318630 70309 187 287 81 -14 +0 -3 +2 +13 -0.0
202333 INTL MLE2 teams — 402337 801800 58982 134 237353291643 53331 2414 294 85 — — — — — —
202333 INTL RAW2 teams — 402329 941716 66792 134 286408398806 112356 2016 365 85 — — — — — —
202434 INTL MLETiburones de La Guaira — 10689 24514 15162 32 270387483870 213290 1514 — — — — — — — —
202434 INTL RAWTiburones de La Guaira — 10689 24514 15162 32 270387483870 213290 1514 386 148 — — — — — —
200717 ROK MLEVSL Phillies — 205191 35551 8374 64 183240277517 94216 184 222 36 — — — — — —
200818 ROK MLEVSL Phillies — 234209 43440 22271 197 206286263549 57232 129 256 59 — — — — — —
200919 ROK MLEGCL Phillies — 175158 35410 11294 135 222292259552 38254 176 243 51 — — — — — —
201121 A+ MLE2 teams — 576549 130943 211451 2813 237269284553 47311 254 245 52 — — — — — —
201222 AA MLE3 teams — 755717 21334182 301272 3519 297333403736 106354 174 312 97 — — — — — —
201323 AAA MLE3 teams — 705647 19520112 481544 3411 301356376731 74385 227 320 103 — — — — — —
201424 AAA MLE4 teams — 571528 1421654 381220 1510 269318341659 72338 217 291 83 — — — — — —
201525 MLB MLEPhiladelphia Phillies — 452408 1112141 39862 195 272340350691 78342 199 310 96 — — — — — —
201626 MLB MLEPhiladelphia Phillies — 622553 16014116 621162 1713 289364387751 98363 1910 337 114 — — — — — —
201727 MLB MLE2 teams — 594518 1512768 661075 155 292374413787 122348 1811 354 126 — — — — — —
201828 MLB MLEPhiladelphia Phillies — 708607 15115314 911554 196 249349353702 104315 2213 322 104 — — — — — —
201929 MLB MLEPhiladelphia Phillies — 667615 17032313 411006 92 276327402729 125313 156 325 106 — — — — — —
202030 MLB MLECleveland Indians — 261233 662003 24572 00 283354408762 124364 229 339 116 — — — — — —
202131 MLB MLEChicago White Sox — 637570 13221221 571355 11 232306386692 154266 219 308 94 — — — — — —
202232 MLB MLEWashington Nationals — 617560 1402851 451147 104 250314323637 73309 187 288 81 — — — — — —
202333 INTL MLE2 teams — 402339 801800 58982 134 236353289642 53324 2414 294 85 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 47974278 11441823371 45392633 9140 267342375717 108325 199 323 89 +29 +2 -4 +21 +104 15.5
/ 162G— A+C — 650580 15525410 611254 125 267341376716 109324 199 323 89 +4 +0 -0 +3 +14 2.1
Career— MLE — 83317501 19882938383 680163053 256112 265330359690 94327 208 300 89 +29 +2 -4 +21 +104 15.5
/ 162G— MLE — 650585 1542366 531274 209 263329354683 91325 208 300 89 +4 +0 -0 +3 +14 2.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2023 AAATacoma Rainiers · 164 PAwOBA .358 → .294 (−64)K% 20.7% → 24.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.73%÷1.024×1.200——24.30%
BB% (unintentional) /PA22.56%÷1.013×0.690—×0.94214.48%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.940—×0.9420.00%
Singles /BIP28.57%÷0.989×0.930×1.003×0.94225.38%
Doubles /BIP8.79%÷0.940×0.830×1.003×0.9427.33%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.970×1.003×0.9420.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.157×0.700—×0.9420.00%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 131, 1B 98, 2B 88, 3B 80, K 105, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.

Result: wOBA .358 → .294; ISO .064 → .059; BABIP .370 → .324. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 A+Clearwater Threshers · 17 PAwOBA .460 → .364 (−96)K% 11.8% → 16.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA11.76%÷1.016×1.420——16.44%
BB% (unintentional) /PA52.94%÷0.998×0.750—×0.95838.10%
HBP% /PA5.88%—×0.930—×0.9585.24%
Singles /BIP20.00%÷0.989×0.920—×0.95817.83%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷0.907×0.960—×0.9580.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.002×0.810—×0.9580.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.058×0.880—×0.9580.00%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 98, 2B 82, 3B 100, K 103, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 22.8 → −4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .460 → .364; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .200 → .178. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 171 PAwOBA .291 → .271 (−20)K% 19.9% → 22.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.88%÷1.050×1.200——22.73%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.77%÷0.970×0.690—×1.0486.54%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.940—×1.0480.00%
Singles /BIP25.41%÷1.006×0.930×1.050×1.04825.86%
Doubles /BIP4.92%÷0.999×0.830×1.050×1.0484.50%
Triples /BIP2.46%÷1.136×0.970×1.050×1.0482.31%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.922×0.840—×1.0480.00%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 101, 2B 100, 3B 127, K 110, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .291 → .271; ISO .077 → .071; BABIP .328 → .327. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAReading Fightin Phils · 117 PAwOBA .390 → .361 (−30)K% 11.1% → 13.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA11.11%÷0.974×1.220——13.91%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.11%÷1.064×0.700—×1.0127.39%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.850—×1.0120.00%
Singles /BIP30.00%÷0.974×0.970×1.050×1.01231.74%
Doubles /BIP4.44%÷0.984×0.860×1.050×1.0124.13%
Triples /BIP1.11%÷0.923×0.950×1.050×1.0121.21%
Home runs /BIP3.33%÷1.317×0.780—×1.0122.00%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 163, 1B 95, 2B 97, 3B 85, K 95, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .390 → .361; ISO .146 → .112; BABIP .364 → .374. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 440 PAwOBA .339 → .323 (−15)K% 18.4% → 22.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.41%÷0.985×1.200——22.43%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.32%÷1.001×0.690—×1.0506.74%
HBP% /PA0.23%—×0.940—×1.0500.22%
Singles /BIP31.61%÷0.994×0.930×1.050×1.05032.60%
Doubles /BIP3.87%÷0.991×0.830×1.050×1.0503.57%
Triples /BIP2.90%÷1.116×0.970×1.050×1.0502.78%
Home runs /BIP0.65%÷0.891×0.840—×1.0500.64%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 99, 2B 98, 3B 123, K 97, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .339 → .323; ISO .092 → .088; BABIP .384 → .390. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAReading Phillies · 450 PAwOBA .330 → .330 (0)K% 14.9% → 18.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.89%÷0.963×1.220——18.86%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.00%÷0.947×0.700—×1.0424.62%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.850—×1.0420.00%
Singles /BIP25.00%÷0.960×0.970×1.050×1.04227.63%
Doubles /BIP7.56%÷1.117×0.860×1.050×1.0426.37%
Triples /BIP3.20%÷0.900×0.950×1.050×1.0423.69%
Home runs /BIP0.58%÷1.289×0.780—×1.0420.37%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 158, 1B 92, 2B 123, 3B 80, K 93, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .330 → .330; ISO .131 → .124; BABIP .358 → .376. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 129 PAwOBA .245 → .248 (+3)K% 8.5% → 9.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA8.53%÷1.057×1.200——9.68%
BB% (unintentional) /PA3.10%÷1.157×0.690—×1.0501.94%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.940—×1.0500.00%
Singles /BIP22.73%÷0.984×0.930×1.050×1.05023.69%
Doubles /BIP3.64%÷1.005×0.830×1.050×1.0503.31%
Triples /BIP0.91%÷1.150×0.970×1.050×1.0500.85%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.249×0.840—×1.0500.00%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 150, 1B 97, 2B 101, 3B 130, K 111, BB 131 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .245 → .248; ISO .050 → .047; BABIP .270 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 A+Clearwater Threshers · 452 PAwOBA .279 → .245 (−34)K% 17.7% → 25.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.70%÷0.997×1.420——25.22%
BB% (unintentional) /PA4.87%÷1.009×0.750—×1.0273.72%
HBP% /PA0.22%—×0.930—×1.0270.21%
Singles /BIP28.74%÷1.024×0.920×1.050×1.02727.85%
Doubles /BIP2.05%÷1.007×0.960×1.050×1.0272.11%
Triples /BIP1.17%÷0.945×0.810×1.050×1.0271.08%
Home runs /BIP1.17%÷1.245×0.880—×1.0270.85%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 149, 1B 105, 2B 101, 3B 89, K 99, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .279 → .245; ISO .064 → .052; BABIP .322 → .311. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .