Jesus Arredondo
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 29 | INTLCaneros de lo… | 117 | .210/.284/.257 | 0 | 6 | 56 | — |
| 2021 | 30 | INTLMayos de Navo… | 162 | .260/.325/.438 | 6 | 5 | 113 | — |
| 2022 | 31 | INTLMayos de Navo… | 45 | .132/.250/.263 | 1 | 0 | 47 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2011 | 20 | INTL | Caneros de los Mochis | — | 63 | 59 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 339 | 371 | 390 | 761 | 51 | 400 | 14 | 5 | 338 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A | Great Lakes Loons | — | 438 | 394 | 100 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 28 | 41 | 3 | 13 | 8 | 254 | 308 | 340 | 648 | 86 | 280 | 9 | 6 | 285 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | INTL | Caneros de los Mochis | — | 200 | 166 | 38 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 229 | 333 | 271 | 604 | 42 | 268 | 12 | 12 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | AAA | Acereros del Norte | — | 424 | 374 | 112 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 54 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 299 | 364 | 420 | 784 | 120 | 335 | 13 | 8 | 342 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | INTL | Caneros de los Mochis | — | 68 | 57 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 246 | 328 | 281 | 609 | 35 | 318 | 19 | 7 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AAA | Acereros del Norte | — | 378 | 334 | 104 | 21 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 47 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 311 | 365 | 398 | 763 | 87 | 355 | 12 | 7 | 330 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | INTL | Caneros de los Mochis | — | 82 | 67 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 194 | 325 | 239 | 564 | 45 | 232 | 13 | 16 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA | Pericos de Puebla | — | 373 | 340 | 122 | 32 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 50 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 359 | 398 | 509 | 907 | 150 | 411 | 13 | 5 | 390 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | INTL | Caneros de los Mochis | — | 210 | 176 | 50 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 39 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 284 | 391 | 386 | 778 | 102 | 355 | 19 | 15 | 351 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA | Piratas de Campeche | — | 383 | 328 | 85 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 48 | 50 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 259 | 355 | 351 | 706 | 91 | 291 | 13 | 13 | 320 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | INTL | Caneros de los Mochis | — | 195 | 160 | 37 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 38 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 231 | 349 | 306 | 655 | 75 | 285 | 19 | 14 | 299 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA | Pericos de Puebla | — | 449 | 398 | 132 | 33 | 1 | 15 | 42 | 65 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 332 | 401 | 533 | 934 | 201 | 363 | 14 | 9 | 407 | 110 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | INTL | Caneros de los Mochis | — | 124 | 105 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 23 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 200 | 311 | 238 | 550 | 38 | 247 | 19 | 14 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | AAA | Pericos de Puebla | — | 410 | 353 | 100 | 22 | 1 | 16 | 53 | 52 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 283 | 378 | 487 | 866 | 204 | 293 | 13 | 13 | 381 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | INTL | Caneros de los Mochis | — | 218 | 191 | 50 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 45 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 262 | 338 | 335 | 673 | 73 | 331 | 21 | 10 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 29 | INTL | Caneros de los Mochis | — | 117 | 105 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 25 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 210 | 284 | 257 | 542 | 48 | 275 | 21 | 9 | 252 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 30 | INTL | Mayos de Navojoa | — | 162 | 146 | 38 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 38 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 260 | 325 | 438 | 763 | 178 | 311 | 23 | 9 | 335 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 31 | INTL | Mayos de Navojoa | — | 45 | 38 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 132 | 250 | 263 | 513 | 132 | 143 | 20 | 11 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 21 | A MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 438 | 405 | 98 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 17 | 56 | 3 | 13 | 8 | 242 | 278 | 316 | 594 | 74 | 268 | 13 | 4 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | AAA MLE | Acereros del Norte | — | 424 | 385 | 116 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 67 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 301 | 347 | 410 | 757 | 109 | 338 | 16 | 5 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AAA MLE | Acereros del Norte | — | 378 | 342 | 106 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 60 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 310 | 348 | 392 | 740 | 82 | 349 | 16 | 5 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA MLE | Pericos de Puebla | — | 373 | 346 | 111 | 27 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 66 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 321 | 351 | 436 | 787 | 116 | 374 | 18 | 3 | 332 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 383 | 343 | 83 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 33 | 62 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 242 | 310 | 306 | 616 | 64 | 278 | 16 | 9 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA MLE | Pericos de Puebla | — | 449 | 415 | 115 | 29 | 1 | 12 | 25 | 85 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 277 | 324 | 439 | 763 | 161 | 314 | 19 | 6 | 331 | 110 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | AAA MLE | Pericos de Puebla | — | 410 | 372 | 84 | 18 | 1 | 10 | 34 | 64 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 226 | 292 | 360 | 653 | 134 | 244 | 16 | 8 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | INTL MLE | Caneros de los Mochis | — | 63 | 59 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 339 | 371 | 390 | 761 | 51 | 400 | 14 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | INTL RAW | Caneros de los Mochis | — | 63 | 59 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 339 | 371 | 390 | 761 | 51 | 400 | 14 | 5 | 338 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 638 | 589 | 144 | 30 | 7 | 0 | 24 | 81 | 4 | 16 | 10 | 244 | 279 | 319 | 598 | 75 | 281 | 13 | 4 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 638 | 560 | 138 | 31 | 5 | 0 | 53 | 65 | 4 | 16 | 10 | 246 | 316 | 320 | 636 | 73 | 277 | 10 | 8 | 282 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 492 | 444 | 134 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 77 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 302 | 349 | 412 | 761 | 110 | 353 | 16 | 5 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 492 | 431 | 126 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 38 | 67 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 292 | 359 | 401 | 761 | 109 | 333 | 14 | 8 | 332 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 460 | 418 | 128 | 24 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 73 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 306 | 344 | 383 | 727 | 77 | 365 | 16 | 5 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 460 | 401 | 117 | 22 | 2 | 2 | 40 | 58 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 292 | 357 | 372 | 729 | 80 | 335 | 13 | 9 | 319 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 583 | 546 | 174 | 42 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 103 | 3 | 21 | 18 | 319 | 346 | 434 | 780 | 115 | 384 | 18 | 3 | 332 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 583 | 516 | 172 | 47 | 2 | 6 | 50 | 89 | 3 | 21 | 18 | 333 | 395 | 467 | 862 | 134 | 392 | 15 | 9 | 376 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 578 | 515 | 126 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 49 | 94 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 245 | 313 | 315 | 627 | 70 | 287 | 16 | 8 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 578 | 488 | 122 | 19 | 1 | 7 | 76 | 88 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 250 | 353 | 336 | 689 | 86 | 289 | 15 | 13 | 313 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA MLE | Pericos de Puebla | — | 449 | 415 | 115 | 29 | 1 | 12 | 25 | 85 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 277 | 324 | 439 | 763 | 161 | 320 | 19 | 6 | 331 | 110 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA RAW | Pericos de Puebla | — | 449 | 398 | 132 | 33 | 1 | 15 | 42 | 65 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 332 | 401 | 533 | 934 | 201 | 363 | 14 | 9 | 407 | 110 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | INTL MLE | Caneros de los Mochis | — | 124 | 105 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 23 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 200 | 311 | 238 | 550 | 38 | 247 | 19 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | INTL RAW | Caneros de los Mochis | — | 124 | 105 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 23 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 200 | 311 | 238 | 550 | 38 | 247 | 19 | 14 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 628 | 566 | 128 | 28 | 1 | 15 | 52 | 99 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 226 | 294 | 359 | 652 | 133 | 248 | 16 | 8 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 628 | 544 | 150 | 30 | 1 | 18 | 74 | 97 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 276 | 365 | 434 | 798 | 158 | 306 | 15 | 12 | 354 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 29 | INTL MLE | Caneros de los Mochis | — | 117 | 105 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 25 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 210 | 284 | 257 | 542 | 48 | 275 | 21 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 29 | INTL RAW | Caneros de los Mochis | — | 117 | 105 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 25 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 210 | 284 | 257 | 542 | 48 | 275 | 21 | 9 | 252 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 30 | INTL MLE | Mayos de Navojoa | — | 162 | 146 | 38 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 38 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 260 | 325 | 438 | 763 | 178 | 311 | 23 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 30 | INTL RAW | Mayos de Navojoa | — | 162 | 146 | 38 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 38 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 260 | 325 | 438 | 763 | 178 | 311 | 23 | 9 | 335 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 31 | INTL MLE | Mayos de Navojoa | — | 45 | 38 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 132 | 250 | 263 | 513 | 132 | 143 | 20 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 31 | INTL RAW | Mayos de Navojoa | — | 45 | 38 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 132 | 250 | 263 | 513 | 132 | 143 | 20 | 11 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 638 | 605 | 144 | 30 | 7 | 0 | 24 | 81 | 4 | 16 | 10 | 238 | 279 | 311 | 590 | 73 | 268 | 13 | 4 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 492 | 457 | 134 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 77 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 293 | 349 | 400 | 749 | 107 | 338 | 16 | 5 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 460 | 433 | 128 | 24 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 73 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 296 | 344 | 370 | 713 | 74 | 349 | 16 | 5 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 583 | 555 | 174 | 42 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 103 | 3 | 21 | 18 | 314 | 346 | 427 | 773 | 114 | 374 | 18 | 3 | 332 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 578 | 522 | 126 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 49 | 94 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 241 | 313 | 310 | 623 | 69 | 278 | 16 | 8 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA MLE | Pericos de Puebla | — | 449 | 417 | 115 | 29 | 1 | 12 | 25 | 85 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 276 | 324 | 436 | 761 | 161 | 314 | 19 | 6 | 331 | 110 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 628 | 569 | 128 | 28 | 1 | 15 | 52 | 99 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 225 | 294 | 357 | 650 | 132 | 244 | 16 | 8 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4339 | 3946 | 1055 | 202 | 24 | 53 | 268 | 716 | 24 | 117 | 78 | 267 | 318 | 371 | 689 | 104 | 313 | 17 | 6 | 264 | 65 | -180 | -8 | +0 | +46 | +94 | -4.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 591 | 158 | 30 | 4 | 8 | 40 | 107 | 4 | 18 | 12 | 267 | 318 | 372 | 690 | 105 | 313 | 16 | 6 | 264 | 65 | -27 | -1 | +0 | +7 | +14 | -0.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AAAPericos de Puebla · 410 PAwOBA .372 → .287 (−85)K% 12.7% → 15.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.68% | ÷0.970 | ×1.200 | — | — | 15.69% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.68% | ÷1.043 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 8.32% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.24% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.23% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.27% | ÷1.008 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | 17.61% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.31% | ÷0.964 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | 5.93% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.33% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.992 | 0.25% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.32% | ÷1.144 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 3.23% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 129, 1B 102, 2B 93, 3B 130, K 94, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .372 → .287; ISO .204 → .142; BABIP .293 → .244. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAAPericos de Puebla · 449 PAwOBA .395 → .331 (−65)K% 14.5% → 18.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.48% | ÷0.920 | ×1.200 | — | — | 18.88% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.02% | ÷1.033 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 5.45% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.89% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.85% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.92% | ÷1.055 | ×0.930 | ×0.973 | ×1.018 | 21.78% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.91% | ÷0.946 | ×0.830 | ×0.973 | ×1.018 | 8.62% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.30% | ÷1.114 | ×0.920 | ×0.973 | ×1.018 | 0.25% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.50% | ÷0.910 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 3.53% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 111, 2B 89, 3B 123, K 84, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.
Result: wOBA .395 → .331; ISO .201 → .166; BABIP .363 → .314. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAPiratas de Campeche · 383 PAwOBA .311 → .277 (−34)K% 13.1% → 16.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.05% | ÷0.966 | ×1.200 | — | — | 16.23% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.75% | ÷0.984 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 8.51% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.26% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.25% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.74% | ÷0.989 | ×0.930 | ×1.020 | ×1.033 | 23.52% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.68% | ÷1.075 | ×0.830 | ×1.020 | ×1.033 | 3.81% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.36% | ÷0.900 | ×0.920 | ×1.020 | ×1.033 | 0.39% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.80% | ÷1.132 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 1.15% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 126, 1B 98, 2B 115, 3B 80, K 93, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.020.
Result: wOBA .311 → .277; ISO .091 → .070; BABIP .291 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAPericos de Puebla · 373 PAwOBA .379 → .332 (−47)K% 13.4% → 17.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.40% | ÷0.913 | ×1.200 | — | — | 17.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.09% | ÷1.080 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 3.41% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.80% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.79% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.62% | ÷1.075 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 27.23% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.03% | ÷1.100 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 9.16% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.69% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 0.61% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.72% | ÷1.062 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 1.19% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 115, 2B 120, 3B 130, K 83, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .379 → .332; ISO .150 → .120; BABIP .411 → .374. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAAAcereros del Norte · 378 PAwOBA .323 → .310 (−13)K% 12.4% → 15.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.43% | ÷0.939 | ×1.200 | — | — | 15.89% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.14% | ÷1.032 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 5.01% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.26% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.26% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.87% | ÷1.019 | ×0.930 | ×1.047 | ×1.050 | 27.97% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.32% | ÷0.995 | ×0.830 | ×1.047 | ×1.050 | 6.71% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.35% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.047 | ×1.050 | 0.31% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.70% | ÷0.952 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 0.54% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 104, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 88, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.047.
Result: wOBA .323 → .310; ISO .087 → .080; BABIP .355 → .349. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAAAcereros del Norte · 424 PAwOBA .334 → .322 (−12)K% 12.7% → 15.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.74% | ÷0.971 | ×1.200 | — | — | 15.74% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.55% | ÷1.066 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 5.13% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.18% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 1.16% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.56% | ÷1.004 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 27.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.69% | ÷0.942 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 4.55% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.88% | ÷1.066 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 1.78% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.88% | ÷0.901 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 1.53% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 101, 2B 88, 3B 113, K 94, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .334 → .322; ISO .120 → .112; BABIP .335 → .338. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AGreat Lakes Loons · 438 PAwOBA .278 → .257 (−21)K% 9.4% → 12.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.36% | ÷0.999 | ×1.360 | — | — | 12.75% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.71% | ÷1.050 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 3.81% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.68% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 0.54% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.11% | ÷0.979 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.015 | 20.14% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.80% | ÷1.074 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.015 | 5.60% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.42% | ÷0.992 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×1.015 | 1.38% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.034 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 96, 2B 115, 3B 98, K 100, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .278 → .257; ISO .086 → .077; BABIP .280 → .268. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .