Lorenzo Cedrola — OGILVIE

Lorenzo CedrolaCF Tigres de Aragua

Age 28 R/R 5'8" / 152 lbs INTL Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 170 proj PA

wRC+†77

AVG/OBP/SLG.219 / .289 / .341

PA170

HR3

SB5

K%25

BB%7

ISO123

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox 2	—	312	275	71	6	5	1	13	47	23	27	7	258	344	327	671	69	307	15	4	292	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox 2	—	312	265	85	8	7	1	23	33	23	27	7	321	421	415	836	94	362	11	7	382	150	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	18	ROK	GCL Red Sox	—	238	218	49	10	1	2	7	40	10	9	4	225	281	307	588	83	264	17	3	243	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	18	ROK	GCL Red Sox	—	238	214	62	14	1	2	11	28	10	9	4	290	353	393	746	103	323	12	5	334	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	19	A	Greenville Drive	—	379	359	88	15	2	2	6	65	9	19	7	245	275	315	590	70	293	17	2	256	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	19	A	Greenville Drive	—	379	354	101	18	3	4	11	48	9	19	7	285	324	387	711	102	319	13	3	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	20	A	Dayton Dragons	—	417	386	98	19	6	1	8	80	11	23	15	254	289	342	631	88	313	19	2	265	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	20	A	Dayton Dragons	—	417	380	111	21	5	1	14	57	11	23	15	292	336	382	717	89	336	14	3	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A+	Daytona Tortugas	—	381	348	84	8	4	1	12	63	12	18	10	241	290	296	586	55	288	17	3	258	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A+	Daytona Tortugas	—	381	343	95	10	7	1	17	43	12	18	10	277	333	356	689	79	310	11	4	306	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	22	INTL	Tiburones de La Guaira	—	76	70	22	3	0	0	4	13	1	4	0	314	360	357	717	43	379	17	5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	22	INTL	Tiburones de La Guaira	—	76	70	22	3	0	0	4	13	1	4	0	314	360	357	717	43	379	17	5	323	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA	3 teams	—	606	569	163	17	10	13	19	80	11	15	10	286	322	420	742	134	312	13	3	319	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA	3 teams	—	606	561	169	26	8	10	27	65	11	15	10	301	346	430	775	128	324	11	4	342	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AAA	2 teams	—	519	494	116	18	6	2	9	114	12	15	6	235	266	308	574	73	300	22	2	250	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AAA	2 teams	—	519	490	129	20	5	4	13	86	12	15	6	263	299	349	648	86	311	17	3	290	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA	3 teams	—	438	379	82	15	2	9	35	70	16	22	8	216	309	338	647	121	240	16	8	291	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA	3 teams	—	438	373	107	16	4	8	41	54	16	22	8	287	381	416	797	129	314	12	9	355	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	INTL	2 teams	—	341	313	74	16	4	2	17	72	7	20	3	236	291	332	623	96	296	21	5	282	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	INTL	2 teams	—	341	301	108	14	8	5	28	35	7	20	3	359	424	508	933	150	389	10	8	408	171	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	INTL	Tigres de Aragua	—	228	205	65	10	4	2	8	24	6	12	7	317	361	434	795	117	344	11	4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	INTL	Tigres de Aragua	—	228	205	65	10	4	2	8	24	6	12	7	317	361	434	795	117	344	11	4	341	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	28	MLB	CLE	—	170	152	34	7	1	3	12	43	4	5	1	224	298	342	640	118	281	25	7	286	77	-4	+1	+0	+1	+5	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	29	MLB	CLE	22%	243	219	49	10	1	5	17	62	5	7	2	224	295	347	642	123	282	26	7	289	79	-6	+1	-1	+1	+7	0.1
2028	30	MLB	CLE	34%	290	261	57	11	1	6	21	74	6	7	2	218	292	337	629	119	282	26	7	289	79	-7	+1	-2	+1	+8	0.1
2027	29	MLB	CLE	22%	52	47	10	2	0	1	4	13	1	1	0	213	288	319	608	106	282	25	8	274	68	-2	+0	-0	+0	+1	-0.0
2028	30	MLB	CLE	34%	99	90	19	4	0	2	7	25	2	2	1	211	283	322	605	111	282	25	7	275	68	-4	+0	-1	+0	+3	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	151	137	29	6	0	3	11	38	3	3	1	212	285	321	606	109	271	25	7	274	68	-5	+0	-1	+1	+4	-0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	125	26	0	13	47	164	13	13	4	212	285	322	607	110	271	25	7	274	68	-23	+1	-4	+2	+18	-0.6
Career	—			—	4638	4248	1052	165	47	49	188	847	133	203	82	248	301	343	644	96	296	18	4	260	57	-226	+8	-3	+17	+131	-7.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	595	148	23	7	7	26	119	19	28	11	249	301	346	647	97	297	18	4	260	57	-32	+1	-0	+2	+18	-1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox 2	—	312	265	85	8	7	1	23	33	23	27	7	321	421	415	836	94	362	11	7	382	150	+18	+3	—	—	+9	3.0
2016	18	ROK	GCL Red Sox	—	238	214	62	14	1	2	11	28	10	9	4	290	353	393	746	103	323	12	5	334	114	+4	+0	—	—	+7	1.1
2017	19	A	Greenville Drive	—	379	354	101	18	3	4	11	48	9	19	7	285	324	387	711	102	319	13	3	315	99	-0	+1	—	—	+11	1.2
2018	20	A	Dayton Dragons	—	417	380	111	21	5	1	14	57	11	23	15	292	336	382	717	89	336	14	3	314	99	-1	-1	—	—	+12	1.0
2019	21	A+	Daytona Tortugas	—	381	343	95	10	7	1	17	43	12	18	10	277	333	356	689	79	310	11	4	306	92	-3	-0	—	—	+11	0.7
2020	22	INTL	Tiburones de La Guaira	—	76	70	22	3	0	0	4	13	1	4	0	314	360	357	717	43	379	17	5	323	106	+0	+1	—	—	+2	0.4
2021	23	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	39	35	9	3	0	1	2	2	2	2	0	257	333	429	762	171	250	5	5	342	120	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2021	23	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	437	406	130	16	7	9	17	50	8	8	8	320	360	461	820	140	345	11	4	359	133	+16	-2	—	—	+12	2.8
2021	23	INTL	Tiburones de La Guaira	—	130	120	30	7	1	0	8	13	1	5	2	250	302	325	627	75	278	10	6	283	75	-4	+0	—	—	+4	0.0
2022	24	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	504	475	127	20	5	4	13	84	12	15	6	267	304	356	660	88	316	17	3	295	84	-9	+1	—	—	+14	0.6
2022	24	INTL	Tiburones de La Guaira	—	15	15	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	133	133	133	267		154	13	0	121	-49	-3	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2023	25	AAA	Syracuse Mets	—	229	188	47	8	2	6	25	27	12	15	4	250	373	410	783	160	265	12	11	351	127	+7	+1	—	—	+6	1.5
2023	25	ROK	FCL Mets	—	22	20	5	1	0	0	2	3	0	0	0	250	318	300	618	50	294	14	9	286	77	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2023	25	INTL	Tiburones de La Guaira	—	187	165	55	7	2	2	14	24	4	7	4	333	399	436	835	103	371	13	7	368	140	+8	-0	—	—	+5	1.4
2024	26	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	103	91	25	6	1	1	8	16	3	9	1	275	353	396	749	121	320	16	8	336	115	+2	+1	—	—	+3	0.6
2024	26	INTL	Tigres de Aragua	—	238	210	83	8	7	4	20	19	4	11	2	395	455	557	1.012	162	416	8	8	440	195	+25	+1	—	—	+7	3.4
2025	27	INTL	Tigres de Aragua	—	228	205	65	10	4	2	8	24	6	12	7	317	361	434	795	117	344	11	4	341	119	+5	-0	—	—	+6	1.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#4Einar Díazlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,763 PA	6	1,763	16	10	248	297	342	+5	+12	2.4	2.4
#4Einar Díazlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,763 PA	/162	664	6	4	248	297	342	+1.9	+4.7	0.9	pk7: 2
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	321	7	9	222	290	347	+1	+5	0.2	0.2
	/162	664	14	18	222	290	347	+2.4	+10.3	0.4	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Lorenzo Cedrola (OGILVIE)	28	—	—	—	—	219/289/341	122	281	3	5	25%	7%	77	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Chris Owings 2020 · MLB	28	43→53	47→50	48→55	41	219/272/353	134	292	14	16	30%	6%	72	-0.2	214/278/359	145	296	16	14	31%	8%	76	+0.1	184/261/307	123	264	15	11	35%	8%	53	-0.8
✕Tim Lopes 2022 · MLB	28	44→54	47→45	52→55	44	223/282/361	138	282	14	17	26%	7%	79	+0.3	219/286/337	118	300	12	24	29%	8%	74	-0.1	218/291/320	101	306	10	31	30%	9%	68	-0.3
✕Scott Kingery 2022 · MLB	28	41→51	48→55	53→55	42	207/270/353	146	286	14	12	32%	7%	72	-0.2	199/262/324	125	297	13	22	35%	8%	60	-1.0	198/239/341	143	265	19	17	33%	5%	52	-0.8
✕Christian Lopes 2021 · AAA	28	46→50	44→45	47→50	49	225/299/344	120	279	11	13	23%	8%	82	+0.5	212/291/340	128	302	13	11	32%	8%	78	+0.2	192/281/315	123	279	13	9	33%	9%	65	-0.2
✕Kramer Robertson 2023 · AAA	28	43→51	44→45	54→55	50	211/304/325	114	268	12	21	24%	9%	79	+0.3	200/298/284	84	273	7	21	27%	10%	67	-0.5	173/285/221	48	247	3	23	28%	11%	45	-1.8
✕Chris Basak 2007 · AAA	28	46	44→45	56→55	45	229/284/354	124	277	11	21	22%	6%	77	+0.1	220/263/330	110	269	10	17	22%	5%	62	-0.9	212/251/314	102	257	9	18	21%	4%	50	-1.1
✕JaCoby Jones 2019 · MLB	27	43→46	46→50	52→50	38	213/268/352	139	299	13	16	32%	6%	70	-0.3	229/293/393	164	321	17	11	32%	7%	92	+1.2	222/288/377	154	325	17	7	35%	7%	82	+0.2
✕Chip Ambres 2007 · MLB	27	44→49	45→50	48→50	49	217/286/342	125	267	12	15	23%	8%	76	+0.0	218/287/363	145	270	17	9	25%	8%	81	+0.4	214/283/358	144	260	17	6	24%	8%	76	+0.0
✕Jason Repko 2009 · MLB	28	47→48	44→50	54→55	44	227/300/348	121	296	11	19	26%	7%	83	+0.6	227/285/353	126	287	14	21	25%	6%	78	+0.2	224/280/344	120	279	14	24	24%	6%	71	-0.2
✕Garrett Hampson 2023 · MLB	28	41→51	42→45	56→60	46	202/267/311	109	263	9	22	26%	8%	59	-1.1	242/305/337	95	325	6	18	25%	8%	81	+0.4	244/299/335	90	331	5	17	26%	7%	74	-0.0
✕Jimmy Herron 2023 · AAA	27	42→45	48→45	53→55	48	215/291/358	143	260	16	16	24%	8%	82	+0.5	217/288/337	120	273	13	24	24%	8%	76	+0.0	211/282/316	105	266	12	28	24%	8%	65	-0.5
✕Garrett Stubbs 2021 · MLB	28	46	44→45	54→50	47	229/290/350	121	273	12	17	21%	7%	79	+0.3	228/308/352	124	288	13	12	24%	10%	87	+0.8	220/310/331	111	279	11	10	23%	11%	81	+0.1
✕Taylor Featherston 2018 · MLB	28	39→45	46→55	51→50	39	202/256/326	125	272	14	12	31%	6%	59	-1.1	180/236/306	126	304	15	10	44%	5%	46	-2.0	152/209/273	121	273	16	8	48%	4%	23	-2.4
✕Jorge Mateo 2022 · MLB	27	45→46	45→50	54→65	37	223/266/351	128	303	12	21	30%	4%	69	-0.4	217/265/355	138	277	13	36	26%	6%	69	-0.4	222/263/355	133	288	13	49	27%	5%	66	-0.2
✕Josh Wilson 2008 · MLB	27	47→50	43→45	52→50	46	231/285/348	117	271	10	15	19%	6%	76	+0.1	228/281/329	101	273	8	11	19%	5%	69	-0.4	226/275/323	96	276	6	6	20%	4%	63	-0.4
✕Rylan Bannon 2023 · MLB	27	37→42	49→50	52→50	48	196/278/340	144	250	18	12	29%	9%	72	-0.2	207/297/365	158	271	19	13	29%	11%	87	+0.8	195/295/355	161	251	20	12	30%	12%	82	+0.4
✕David Matranga 2006 · AAA	29	44	43→45	48→50	49	213/288/334	121	268	10	13	24%	8%	74	-0.1	204/270/325	121	268	14	11	28%	6%	65	-0.7	212/294/334	122	284	13	9	28%	8%	75	+0.0
✕Ryan Klosterman 2010 · AAA	28	43→45	42→45	50→55	44	213/272/316	104	275	9	15	26%	7%	63	-0.9	207/272/329	122	274	12	13	28%	7%	66	-0.6	160/272/270	110	236	10	19	33%	13%	50	-0.3
✕Zack Short 2023 · MLB	28	37→38	46→50	46→45	51	190/285/315	126	261	13	9	31%	11%	69	-0.4	190/284/317	127	263	14	10	31%	11%	69	-0.4	173/272/299	126	234	15	8	31%	11%	58	-0.7
✕Jonathan Davis 2019 · MLB	27	47→52	43→45	54→55	46	228/302/343	115	291	10	20	24%	8%	82	+0.5	216/304/336	120	286	11	19	27%	8%	82	+0.5	224/306/341	117	313	11	22	29%	9%	81	+0.2