Lorenzo Cedrola — OGILVIE

Lorenzo CedrolaCF Tigres de Aragua

Age 28 R/R 5'8" / 152 lbs INTL K +5%HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 0.5 · 2026

wRC+†92

AVG/OBP/SLG.237 / .309 / .366

PA170

HR4

SB5

K%20

BB%7

MLB%0%

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.6peak

2027

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$1M		$-5M	-$6M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox 2	312	275	71	6	5	1	13	47	23	27	7	.258	.344	.327	.671	.069	.307	15	4	.292	82	-6	+3	+0	+1	+9	0.6
2016	18	ROK	GCL Red Sox	238	218	49	10	1	2	7	40	10	9	4	.225	.281	.307	.588	.083	.264	17	3	.243	44	-15	+0	+0	+1	+7	-0.7
2017	19	A	Greenville Drive	379	359	84	14	2	2	6	63	9	19	7	.234	.265	.301	.566	.067	.277	17	2	.247	47	-23	+1	+0	+1	+11	-1.0
2018	20	A	Dayton Dragons	417	385	99	18	5	1	9	73	11	23	15	.257	.294	.338	.631	.081	.310	18	2	.267	63	-18	-1	+0	+1	+12	-0.6
2019	21	A+	Daytona Tortugas	381	347	83	9	4	1	13	62	12	18	10	.239	.290	.297	.587	.058	.285	16	3	.256	54	-20	-0	+0	+1	+11	-0.8
2020	22	INTL	Tiburones de La Guaira	76	70	22	3	0	0	4	13	1	4	0	.314	.360	.357	.717	.043	.379	17	5	—	—	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
2021	23	AA	3 teams	606	571	163	20	9	12	17	83	11	15	10	.285	.319	.415	.734	.130	.314	14	3	.316	100	-0	-1	+0	+2	+17	1.9
2022	24	AAA	2 teams	519	494	117	17	6	3	9	107	12	15	6	.237	.268	.314	.582	.077	.295	21	2	.253	52	-28	+1	+0	+2	+15	-1.1
2023	25	AAA	3 teams	438	381	81	14	2	9	33	67	16	22	8	.213	.302	.331	.633	.118	.233	15	8	.286	77	-11	+1	+0	+2	+12	0.4
2024	26	INTL	2 teams	341	312	75	16	4	3	18	67	7	20	3	.240	.297	.346	.643	.106	.293	20	5	.284	76	-9	+3	+0	+1	+10	0.4
2025	27	INTL	Tigres de Aragua	228	205	65	10	4	2	8	24	6	12	7	.317	.361	.434	.795	.117	.344	11	4	—	—	—	—	+0	+1	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	28	MLB	CLE	170	152	37	7	1	4	12	34	4	5	1	.243	.315	.382	.697	.138	.282	20	7	.306	92	-1	+1	+0	+1	+5	0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	29	MLB 7%	CLE	243	218	51	10	1	5	18	50	5	7	2	.234	.307	.358	.665	.124	.283	21	7	.306	92	-2	+1	-1	+1	+7	0.5
2028	30	MLB 18%	CLE	290	261	62	12	2	6	21	61	6	8	2	.238	.309	.368	.677	.130	.282	21	7	.304	91	-3	+1	-2	+1	+8	0.5
2029	31	MLB 27%	CLE	287	258	60	12	1	6	21	62	6	6	1	.233	.305	.357	.662	.124	.282	22	7	.301	89	-4	+1	-3	+1	+8	0.4
2030	32	MLB 39%	CLE	275	247	57	11	1	6	20	61	6	5	1	.231	.304	.356	.660	.126	.280	22	7	.297	85	-5	+1	-4	+1	+8	0.1
2031	33	MLB 48%	CLE	250	225	51	10	1	5	18	57	5	3	0	.227	.298	.347	.645	.120	.279	23	7	.292	81	-5	+1	-4	+1	+7	-0.1
2032	34	MLB 57%	CLE	211	190	42	8	1	4	15	50	4	2	0	.221	.292	.337	.629	.116	.277	24	7	.285	76	-6	+0	-5	+1	+6	-0.3
2033	35	MLB 74%	CLE	162	146	32	6	1	3	12	40	3	1	0	.219	.292	.336	.628	.116	.275	25	7	.278	71	-5	+0	-6	+1	+5	-0.6
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			5823	5314	1301	213	51	75	274	1061	157	221	84	.245	.301	.346	.648	.102	.291	18	5	.267	63	-245	+11	-24	+21	+165	-7.4
/ 162G	—			650	593	145	24	6	8	31	118	18	25	9	.245	.303	.346	.648	.101	.290	18	5	.267	63	-27	+1	-3	+2	+18	-0.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox 2	312	265	85	8	7	1	23	33	23	27	7	.321	.421	.415	.836	.094	.362	11	7	.382	150	+18	+3	—	—	+9	3.0
2016	18	ROK	GCL Red Sox	238	214	62	14	1	2	11	28	10	9	4	.290	.353	.393	.746	.103	.323	12	5	.334	114	+4	+0	—	—	+7	1.1
2017	19	A	Greenville Drive	379	354	101	18	3	4	11	48	9	19	7	.285	.324	.387	.711	.102	.319	13	3	.315	99	-0	+1	—	—	+11	1.2
2018	20	A	Dayton Dragons	417	380	111	21	5	1	14	57	11	23	15	.292	.336	.382	.717	.089	.336	14	3	.314	99	-1	-1	—	—	+12	1.0
2019	21	A+	Daytona Tortugas	381	343	95	10	7	1	17	43	12	18	10	.277	.333	.356	.689	.079	.310	11	4	.306	92	-3	-0	—	—	+11	0.7
2020	22	INTL	Tiburones de La Guaira	76	70	22	3	0	0	4	13	1	4	0	.314	.360	.357	.717	.043	.379	17	5	.323	106	+0	+1	—	—	+2	0.4
2021	23	AAA	Louisville Bats	39	35	9	3	0	1	2	2	2	2	0	.257	.333	.429	.762	.171	.250	5	5	.342	120	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2021	23	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	437	406	130	16	7	9	17	50	8	8	8	.320	.360	.461	.820	.140	.345	11	4	.359	133	+16	-2	—	—	+12	2.8
2021	23	INTL	Tiburones de La Guaira	130	120	30	7	1	0	8	13	1	5	2	.250	.302	.325	.627	.075	.278	10	6	.283	75	-4	+0	—	—	+4	0.0
2022	24	AAA	Louisville Bats	504	475	127	20	5	4	13	84	12	15	6	.267	.304	.356	.660	.088	.316	17	3	.295	84	-9	+1	—	—	+14	0.6
2022	24	INTL	Tiburones de La Guaira	15	15	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	.133	.133	.133	.267	.000	.154	13	0	.121	-49	-3	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2023	25	AAA	Syracuse Mets	229	188	47	8	2	6	25	27	12	15	4	.250	.373	.410	.783	.160	.265	12	11	.351	127	+7	+1	—	—	+6	1.5
2023	25	ROK	FCL Mets	22	20	5	1	0	0	2	3	0	0	0	.250	.318	.300	.618	.050	.294	14	9	.286	77	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2023	25	INTL	Tiburones de La Guaira	187	165	55	7	2	2	14	24	4	7	4	.333	.399	.436	.835	.103	.371	13	7	.368	140	+8	-0	—	—	+5	1.4
2024	26	AAA	Columbus Clippers	103	91	25	6	1	1	8	16	3	9	1	.275	.353	.396	.749	.121	.320	16	8	.336	115	+2	+1	—	—	+3	0.6
2024	26	INTL	Tigres de Aragua	238	210	83	8	7	4	20	19	4	11	2	.395	.455	.557	1.012	.162	.416	8	8	.440	195	+25	+1	—	—	+7	3.4
2025	27	INTL	Tigres de Aragua	228	205	65	10	4	2	8	24	6	12	7	.317	.361	.434	.795	.117	.344	11	4	.341	119	+5	-0	—	—	+6	1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Lorenzo Cedrola (OGILVIE)	28	—	—	—	—	.237/.309/.366	.129	.282	4	5	20%	7%	92	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Phillip Ervin 2020 · MLB	28	49→52	48→50	52→55	45	.242/.305/.389	.147	.301	14	18	24%	7%	95	+1.4	.216/.293/.350	.134	.284	14	15	27%	9%	81	+0.4	.163/.242/.272	.109	.220	15	21	32%	9%	36	-1.2
✕Jeff Fiorentino 2011 · MLB	28	50→54	44→50	51→50	49	.245/.303/.363	.118	.294	10	15	20%	8%	87	+0.8	.225/.290/.353	.128	.271	12	10	21%	8%	79	+0.3	.216/.288/.345	.130	.258	13	8	21%	8%	76	+0.0
✕Tyler Greene 2012 · MLB	28	49→51	48→50	59→55	44	.239/.309/.382	.143	.320	15	26	29%	7%	95	+1.4	.231/.286/.369	.138	.322	14	19	31%	6%	82	+0.5	.224/.268/.346	.121	.323	11	13	33%	5%	64	-0.5
✕Chris Aguila 2007 · MLB	28	52→54	47→55	50	45	.256/.300/.397	.141	.308	14	12	22%	6%	95	+1.4	.240/.290/.389	.149	.300	18	12	25%	6%	89	+0.9	.216/.276/.379	.163	.280	21	8	30%	7%	78	+0.1
✕Cole Gillespie 2012 · MLB	28	47→57	44→50	55→50	49	.228/.301/.354	.126	.287	11	17	24%	8%	85	+0.7	.234/.302/.359	.125	.290	12	14	22%	8%	86	+0.8	.252/.314/.361	.109	.301	9	13	19%	8%	90	+0.6
✕Jason Donald 2013 · MLB	28	51→55	42→45	50	44	.244/.305/.353	.108	.314	8	14	24%	6%	85	+0.7	.216/.263/.316	.100	.303	8	9	30%	5%	58	-1.2	.193/.231/.278	.084	.285	5	6	33%	4%	31	-1.3
●Taylor Motter 2018 · MLB	28	43→49	48→60	52→55	48	.220/.277/.359	.139	.252	16	22	20%	7%	76	+0.0	.188/.252/.321	.133	.228	16	13	25%	7%	56	-1.3	.216/.294/.407	.191	.261	25	5	27%	10%	94	+0.7
●Hector Luna 2007 · MLB	27	52→49	43→55	50	48	.251/.306/.367	.116	.294	9	17	18%	7%	89	+1.0	.247/.294/.369	.122	.288	12	9	18%	5%	85	+0.7	.255/.311/.415	.160	.291	19	7	19%	6%	102	+1.3
✕Scott Kingery 2021 · MLB	27	46→51	48→55	51→55	42	.229/.284/.378	.149	.296	15	13	28%	6%	83	+0.6	.203/.272/.331	.128	.300	12	18	34%	8%	66	-0.6	.201/.259/.337	.136	.285	17	26	34%	7%	59	-0.8
✕Hernán Pérez 2019 · MLB	28	51→56	48→50	55	43	.257/.293/.398	.141	.298	16	23	20%	5%	92	+1.2	.241/.284/.388	.147	.295	18	16	24%	6%	86	+0.8	.238/.283/.362	.124	.301	16	24	26%	5%	76	+0.0
✕Steve Tolleson 2012 · MLB	28	49→53	42→45	51→50	48	.237/.297/.343	.106	.283	9	16	20%	7%	79	+0.3	.234/.297/.337	.103	.295	9	15	22%	8%	78	+0.2	.235/.301/.332	.097	.298	8	14	23%	8%	77	+0.1
✕Manuel Margot 2023 · MLB	28	54→53	43→50	48→60	50	.262/.319/.376	.113	.303	10	16	17%	8%	97	+1.5	.248/.301/.355	.107	.292	8	12	17%	6%	84	+0.6	.235/.288/.327	.092	.279	6	10	17%	6%	68	-0.2
●TJ Friedl 2023 · MLB	27	47→53	48→50	55	48	.234/.303/.384	.149	.269	15	16	19%	7%	93	+1.3	.244/.323/.394	.150	.276	16	19	17%	8%	105	+2.1	.246/.337/.381	.136	.276	15	18	16%	10%	103	+1.8
✕Dwight Smith Jr. 2021 · MLB	28	48→53	49→50	50	49	.243/.307/.396	.153	.283	16	9	20%	8%	98	+1.6	.221/.283/.333	.112	.291	12	8	26%	8%	71	-0.3	.187/.257/.236	.049	.270	3	3	29%	8%	31	-0.7
✕Scott Heineman 2021 · MLB	28	49→55	47→45	48→50	43	.245/.302/.380	.135	.310	15	15	25%	6%	92	+1.2	.210/.270/.340	.130	.300	14	17	33%	6%	69	-0.4	.167/.232/.274	.107	.258	11	21	38%	6%	32	-0.5
✕Mark Mathias 2022 · MLB	27	47→46	46→50	53→50	44	.234/.289/.369	.135	.288	13	14	23%	6%	83	+0.6	.253/.329/.400	.147	.345	17	19	29%	9%	108	+2.3	.255/.341/.389	.134	.350	16	20	29%	10%	109	+1.2
✕Kramer Robertson 2023 · AAA	28	45→51	44→45	54→55	51	.219/.313/.337	.118	.275	12	21	24%	10%	86	+0.8	.204/.303/.288	.084	.276	7	21	26%	10%	70	-0.3	.178/.290/.225	.047	.253	3	23	27%	11%	47	-1.6
✕Matt Vierling 2023 · MLB	26	49→55	45→50	52→50	46	.242/.298/.366	.124	.292	13	16	22%	7%	86	+0.8	.252/.312/.387	.135	.309	14	10	22%	8%	98	+1.6	.252/.317/.390	.138	.311	14	7	22%	8%	97	+1.1
✕John Hester 2011 · MLB	27	50	49→55	48→50	41	.249/.294/.410	.161	.317	15	11	26%	6%	96	+1.5	.216/.273/.335	.119	.294	12	5	29%	7%	67	-0.5	.188/.247/.298	.110	.271	12	4	34%	7%	46	-0.9
✕Ed Lucas 2010 · AAA	28	50→56	43→45	52→50	47	.241/.303/.355	.114	.301	11	16	23%	8%	85	+0.7	.231/.290/.353	.122	.293	13	10	25%	7%	79	+0.3	.256/.307/.325	.069	.332	5	3	23%	6%	75	-0.0

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)