Lorenzo Cedrola — OGILVIE

Lorenzo CedrolaCF Tigres de Aragua

Age 28 R/R 5'8" / 152 lbs INTL Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 170 proj PA

wRC+†81

AVG/OBP/SLG.220 / .293 / .340

PA14

HR0

K%25

BB%7

ISO121

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2015	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox 2	—	312	265	85	8	7	1	23	33	23	27	7	321	421	415	836	94	362	11	7	382	144	+16	+3	—	—	+7	2.6
2016	18	ROK	GCL Red Sox	—	238	214	62	14	1	2	11	28	10	9	4	290	353	393	746	103	323	12	5	334	112	+3	+0	—	—	+5	0.9
2017	19	A	Greenville Drive	—	379	354	101	18	3	4	11	48	9	19	7	285	324	387	711	102	319	13	3	315	99	-0	+1	—	—	+8	0.9
2018	20	A	Dayton Dragons	—	417	380	111	21	5	1	14	57	11	23	15	292	336	382	717	89	336	14	3	314	99	-1	-1	—	—	+9	0.7
2019	21	A+	Daytona Tortugas	—	381	343	95	10	7	1	17	43	12	18	10	277	333	356	689	79	310	11	4	306	93	-3	-0	—	—	+8	0.5
2020	22	INTL	Tiburones de La Guaira	—	76	70	22	3	0	0	4	13	1	4	0	314	360	357	717	43	379	17	5	323	105	+0	+1	—	—	+2	0.3
2021	23	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	39	35	9	3	0	1	2	2	2	2	0	257	333	429	762	171	250	5	5	342	117	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2021	23	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	437	406	130	16	7	9	17	50	8	8	8	320	360	461	820	140	345	11	4	359	129	+15	-2	—	—	+9	2.4
2021	23	INTL	Tiburones de La Guaira	—	130	120	30	7	1	0	8	13	1	5	2	250	302	325	627	75	278	10	6	283	78	-3	+0	—	—	+3	-0.0
2022	24	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	504	475	127	20	5	4	13	84	12	15	6	267	304	356	660	88	316	17	3	295	86	-9	+1	—	—	+11	0.3
2022	24	INTL	Tiburones de La Guaira	—	15	15	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	133	133	133	267		154	13	0	121	-32	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2023	25	AAA	Syracuse Mets	—	229	188	47	8	2	6	25	27	12	15	4	250	373	410	783	160	265	12	11	351	123	+6	+1	—	—	+5	1.3
2023	25	ROK	FCL Mets	—	22	20	5	1	0	0	2	3	0	0	0	250	318	300	618	50	294	14	9	286	80	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.0
2023	25	INTL	Tiburones de La Guaira	—	187	165	55	7	2	2	14	24	4	7	4	333	399	436	835	103	371	13	7	368	136	+8	-0	—	—	+4	1.2
2024	26	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	103	91	25	6	1	1	8	16	3	9	1	275	353	396	749	121	320	16	8	336	113	+2	+1	—	—	+2	0.5
2024	26	INTL	Tigres de Aragua	—	238	210	83	8	7	4	20	19	4	11	2	395	455	557	1.012	162	416	8	8	440	184	+24	+1	—	—	+5	3.1
2025	27	INTL	Tigres de Aragua	—	228	205	65	10	4	2	8	24	6	12	7	317	361	434	795	117	344	11	4	341	117	+5	-0	—	—	+5	0.9
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2015	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox 2	—	312	275	71	6	5	1	13	47	23	27	7	258	344	327	671	69	299	15	4	292	84	-6	+3	—	—	+7	0.3
2016	18	ROK MLE	GCL Red Sox	—	238	218	49	10	1	2	7	40	10	9	4	225	281	307	588	83	249	17	3	243	51	-14	+0	—	—	+5	-0.9
2017	19	A MLE	Greenville Drive	—	379	359	89	15	3	2	6	65	9	19	7	248	278	323	601	75	288	17	2	258	61	-18	+1	—	—	+8	-0.9
2018	20	A MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	417	385	98	18	5	1	9	78	11	23	15	255	291	335	626	81	297	19	2	264	65	-17	-1	—	—	+9	-1.0
2019	21	A+ MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	381	347	84	9	5	1	13	62	12	18	10	242	293	305	598	63	274	16	3	256	59	-18	-0	—	—	+8	-1.1
2021	23	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	39	36	9	3	0	1	1	3	2	2	0	250	308	417	724	167	226	8	3	282	77	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2021	23	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	437	410	120	12	7	7	13	59	8	8	8	293	327	407	734	115	318	14	3	318	101	+1	-2	—	—	+9	0.9
2022	24	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	504	479	112	17	5	2	9	105	12	15	6	234	266	303	569	69	290	21	2	248	54	-28	+1	—	—	+11	-1.6
2023	25	AAA MLE	Syracuse Mets	—	229	195	42	7	2	4	18	34	12	15	4	215	320	333	653	118	237	15	8	291	83	-5	+1	—	—	+5	0.2
2023	25	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	—	22	21	4	1	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	190	227	238	465	48	229	23	5	199	21	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2024	26	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	—	103	94	23	5	1	1	5	20	3	9	1	245	304	351	655	106	289	19	5	279	75	-3	+1	—	—	+2	0.1
2015	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox 2	—	312	275	71	6	5	1	13	47	23	27	7	258	344	327	671	69	307	15	4	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	17	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox 2	—	312	265	85	8	7	1	23	33	23	27	7	321	421	415	836	94	362	11	7	382	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	18	ROK MLE	GCL Red Sox	—	238	218	49	10	1	2	7	40	10	9	4	225	281	307	588	83	264	17	3	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	18	ROK RAW	GCL Red Sox	—	238	214	62	14	1	2	11	28	10	9	4	290	353	393	746	103	323	12	5	334	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	19	A MLE	Greenville Drive	—	379	359	89	15	3	2	6	65	9	19	7	248	278	323	601	75	296	17	2	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	19	A RAW	Greenville Drive	—	379	354	101	18	3	4	11	48	9	19	7	285	324	387	711	102	319	13	3	315	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	20	A MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	417	385	98	18	5	1	9	78	11	23	15	255	291	335	626	81	312	19	2	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	20	A RAW	Dayton Dragons	—	417	380	111	21	5	1	14	57	11	23	15	292	336	382	717	89	336	14	3	314	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A+ MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	381	347	84	9	5	1	13	62	12	18	10	242	293	305	598	63	288	16	3	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A+ RAW	Daytona Tortugas	—	381	343	95	10	7	1	17	43	12	18	10	277	333	356	689	79	310	11	4	306	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	22	INTL MLE	Tiburones de La Guaira	—	76	70	22	3	0	0	4	13	1	4	0	314	360	357	717	43	379	17	5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	22	INTL RAW	Tiburones de La Guaira	—	76	70	22	3	0	0	4	13	1	4	0	314	360	357	717	43	379	17	5	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	606	570	163	19	9	10	18	78	11	15	10	286	321	404	724	118	314	13	3	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA RAW	3 teams	—	606	561	169	26	8	10	27	65	11	15	10	301	346	430	775	128	324	11	4	342	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	519	494	115	17	5	2	9	108	12	15	6	233	264	300	564	67	293	21	2	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	519	490	129	20	5	4	13	86	12	15	6	263	299	349	648	86	311	17	3	290	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	438	381	82	14	3	8	33	67	16	22	8	215	305	331	635	115	239	15	8	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	438	373	107	16	4	8	41	54	16	22	8	287	381	416	797	129	314	12	9	355	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	INTL MLE	2 teams	—	341	312	73	16	3	2	18	68	7	20	3	234	291	324	615	90	289	20	5	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	INTL RAW	2 teams	—	341	301	108	14	8	5	28	35	7	20	3	359	424	508	933	150	389	10	8	408	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	INTL MLE	Tigres de Aragua	—	228	205	65	10	4	2	8	24	6	12	7	317	361	434	795	117	344	11	4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	INTL RAW	Tigres de Aragua	—	228	205	65	10	4	2	8	24	6	12	7	317	361	434	795	117	344	11	4	341	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox 2	—	312	273	71	6	5	1	13	47	23	27	7	260	344	330	674	70	299	15	4	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	18	ROK MLE	GCL Red Sox	—	238	219	49	10	1	2	7	40	10	9	4	224	281	306	587	82	249	17	3	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	19	A MLE	Greenville Drive	—	379	361	89	15	3	2	6	65	9	19	7	247	278	321	599	75	288	17	2	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	20	A MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	417	394	98	18	5	1	9	78	11	23	15	249	291	327	619	79	297	19	2	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A+ MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	381	353	84	9	5	1	13	62	12	18	10	238	293	300	593	62	274	16	3	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	606	572	163	19	9	10	18	78	11	15	10	285	321	402	723	117	310	13	3	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	519	493	115	17	5	2	9	108	12	15	6	233	264	300	564	67	290	21	2	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	438	386	82	14	3	8	33	67	16	22	8	212	305	326	631	114	236	15	8	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	INTL MLE	2 teams	—	341	313	73	16	3	2	18	68	7	20	3	233	291	323	613	89	289	20	5	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	25	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	438	386	82	14	3	8	33	67	16	22	8	212	305	326	631	114	236	15	8	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	INTL MLE	2 teams	—	341	313	73	16	3	2	18	68	7	20	3	233	291	323	613	89	289	20	5	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	28	MLB MLE	CLE	0%	14	13	3	1	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	231	286	308	593	77	281	21	7	288	81	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	CLE	22%	243	218	49	10	1	5	18	60	5	7	2	225	299	349	647	124	281	25	7	290	83	-5	+1	-1	+1	+5	0.0
2028	30	MLB MLE	CLE	34%	290	260	57	11	1	6	22	72	6	7	2	219	295	338	634	119	281	25	8	290	83	-6	+1	-2	+1	+6	-0.0
2027	29	MLB CTX	CLE	22%	52	47	10	2	0	1	4	13	1	1	0	213	288	319	608	106	281	25	8	274	83	-1	+0	-0	+0	+1	0.0
2028	30	MLB CTX	CLE	34%	99	90	19	4	0	2	7	25	2	2	1	211	283	322	605	111	281	25	7	275	83	-2	+0	-1	+0	+2	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	151	137	29	6	0	3	11	38	3	3	1	212	285	321	606	109	271	25	7	275	60	-3	+0	-1	+1	+3	-0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	590	125	26	0	13	47	164	13	13	4	212	285	322	607	110	271	25	7	275	60	-14	+1	-4	+2	+14	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	4482	4107	1020	159	45	42	179	785	129	198	81	248	301	340	640	91	295	18	4	257	60	-11	+1	-3	+2	+12	0.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	596	148	23	7	6	26	114	19	29	12	248	301	341	642	92	295	18	4	257	60	-14	+1	-4	+2	+14	0.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ehire Adrianzalast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,519 PA	2.3	1,519	20	19	240	310	353	+10	+13	4.0	4.4
/162	664	9	8	+4.2	+5.5	1.8	pk7: 5
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.5	321	6	9	223	294	346	+1	+5	0.4	0.4
/162	664	13	18	+2.4	+10.3	0.8	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Lorenzo Cedrola (OGILVIE)	28	—	—	—	—	220/293/340	120	281	3	5	25%	7%	81	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jonathan Davis 2020 · MLB	28	46→52	43→45	53→55	46	223/301/338	115	287	10	19	25%	7%	84	+0.1	214/307/322	108	288	10	22	27%	9%	82	+0.0	221/304/328	106	311	9	22	29%	9%	79	-0.1
✕Adam Engel 2020 · MLB	28	44→48	45→50	52→60	39	218/274/342	124	296	11	16	30%	5%	74	-0.6	235/293/378	143	305	15	19	27%	6%	89	+0.5	203/276/332	129	289	14	30	33%	7%	70	-0.4
✕Christian Lopes 2021 · AAA	28	45→51	44→45	47→50	49	222/297/340	118	275	11	13	23%	8%	82	+0.0	213/291/335	122	306	12	11	32%	8%	79	-0.2	194/280/309	115	286	11	9	33%	9%	67	-0.4
✕Mark Mathias 2022 · MLB	27	47→46	45→50	52→50	45	232/289/358	126	289	11	14	23%	6%	82	+0.0	250/329/390	140	343	16	18	29%	10%	105	+1.7	250/337/379	129	345	16	20	29%	10%	104	+0.8
✕Jimmy Herron 2023 · AAA	27	43→45	47→45	53→55	49	218/294/356	138	264	15	16	23%	8%	84	+0.2	221/293/346	125	274	14	24	24%	8%	82	-0.0	215/286/326	111	267	12	28	23%	8%	73	-0.5
✕Jason Repko 2009 · MLB	28	47→48	44→50	54→55	44	228/302/349	121	297	11	19	26%	7%	86	+0.3	226/286/349	123	287	13	21	25%	6%	80	-0.2	222/279/337	115	278	13	24	24%	6%	72	-0.4
✕Chris Basak 2007 · AAA	28	46	43→45	56→55	46	227/283/343	116	276	10	21	22%	6%	76	-0.4	217/262/321	104	268	9	17	22%	5%	63	-1.3	209/248/303	94	257	8	18	21%	4%	52	-1.3
✕Ryan Cordell 2021 · MLB	29	43	46→50	49→50	42	215/271/341	126	287	13	11	30%	6%	72	-0.7	204/270/355	151	326	19	14	41%	7%	76	-0.4	143/213/283	140	229	22	18	47%	7%	37	-1.2
✕Garrett Stubbs 2021 · MLB	28	46	44→45	54→50	48	225/289/345	119	270	11	17	21%	7%	80	-0.2	227/309/347	120	288	12	12	24%	10%	88	+0.4	219/308/324	105	279	10	10	23%	11%	81	-0.0
✕Dylan Moore 2020 · MLB	27	43→48	47→50	50→65	44	217/285/360	143	273	14	20	26%	7%	82	+0.0	221/315/394	173	286	19	30	28%	9%	102	+1.5	207/330/379	172	285	16	41	30%	12%	101	+0.7
✕Tim Lopes 2022 · MLB	28	44→54	45	52→55	44	217/276/344	127	279	12	17	26%	7%	75	-0.5	218/284/336	118	299	12	24	29%	8%	76	-0.4	218/289/324	106	303	11	31	30%	8%	72	-0.5
✕Kramer Robertson 2023 · AAA	28	44→51	42→40	54→55	52	215/312/321	106	274	10	21	24%	10%	84	+0.2	203/304/283	80	278	6	21	27%	10%	73	-0.6	177/289/221	44	253	3	23	27%	11%	53	-1.8
✕Nick Franklin 2019 · MLB	28	47→49	45→50	53→50	49	231/296/357	126	273	13	16	20%	8%	85	+0.2	207/280/325	118	269	11	11	26%	8%	72	-0.7	173/252/275	102	230	8	8	27%	9%	49	-1.3
✕JaCoby Jones 2020 · MLB	28	45→47	49→50	52→50	42	225/290/384	159	305	15	14	30%	7%	89	+0.5	217/278/360	143	326	15	9	36%	7%	80	-0.2	190/245/303	113	313	13	5	41%	6%	51	-0.8
✕Tyler Saladino 2017 · MLB	28	51→47	44→45	56→55	44	251/296/368	116	296	12	23	19%	5%	87	+0.4	220/284/336	116	282	12	16	25%	7%	76	-0.4	199/274/322	123	260	14	15	28%	8%	67	-0.6
✕Reid Gorecki 2009 · AAA	28	48→51	46→50	50→55	47	239/298/361	122	295	14	21	24%	7%	86	+0.3	233/287/346	113	297	9	19	23%	6%	79	-0.2	227/282/339	112	291	7	20	23%	6%	72	-0.5
✕Scott Cousins 2013 · MLB	28	47→50	45→50	52→55	42	232/281/360	128	300	12	17	27%	6%	80	-0.2	216/275/316	100	293	9	16	28%	6%	68	-1.0	184/248/234	49	261	2	16	28%	5%	36	-1.2
✕Riley Unroe 2023 · AAA	27	46→48	43→45	54→55	49	224/295/336	111	285	10	20	24%	9%	80	-0.2	224/302/340	116	301	11	23	27%	10%	84	+0.1	221/306/334	113	298	11	26	27%	10%	81	-0.0
✕Garrett Hampson 2023 · MLB	28	44→54	44→45	56→60	46	216/280/333	117	279	11	22	26%	8%	73	-0.6	243/307/339	96	327	6	18	25%	8%	84	+0.2	243/297/329	86	328	4	17	26%	6%	75	-0.2
✕David Matranga 2006 · AAA	29	44	43→45	48→50	50	214/291/334	120	268	10	13	23%	9%	78	-0.3	204/272/326	122	268	14	11	28%	7%	70	-0.9	212/294/334	122	284	13	9	28%	8%	78	-0.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps