Nick Madrigal — OGILVIE

Nick Madrigal3B Durham Bulls

Age 29 R/R 5'7" / 175 lbs MLB HR -6%H +4% Svc 6.000 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION430 act + 270 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 8169vR 37

AVG/OBP/SLG.273 / .336 / .359

PA270

HR3

SB6

K%9

BB%7

BABIP294

ISO86

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 80 / POW 32

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2023-2026

CONTACT80

Whiff%

903.5%

xwOBA

360.292

POWER32

Barrel%

100.5

Avg EV

1386.3

Bat Spd

1065.4

EYE53

Chase%

5530.7%

SPEED48

Sprint

3626.8

Platoon Splits2024 · 94 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

—

wRC+

◀◀L

wOBA

284

228

◀◀L

ISO

069

018

◀◀L

BABIP

280

235

◀◀L

12.1%

9.8%

▶▶R

BB%

6.1%

3.3%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2020

Service 6.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext / FA-deal	$3M	+0.8	$3M	+$0.5M
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$0.5M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	21	A+	3 teams	—	173	158	47	7	0	0	4	8	7	8	6	297	343	342	685	44	305	5	2	298	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	A+	3 teams	—	173	155	47	7	0	0	7	5	7	8	6	303	361	348	709	45	305	3	4	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A+	3 teams	—	532	488	129	22	4	3	29	22	9	35	13	264	317	344	662	80	270	4	5	291	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A+	3 teams	—	532	473	147	27	5	4	44	16	9	35	13	311	380	414	795	104	313	3	8	355	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	23	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	109	103	35	3	0	0	4	7	2	2	1	340	376	369	745	29	365	6	4	336	115	+2	+0	+2	+0	+3	0.7
2020	23	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	109	103	35	3	0	0	4	7	2	2	1	340	376	369	745	29	365	6	4	340	118	+2	+0	+2	+0	+3	0.8
2021	24	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	215	200	61	10	4	2	11	17	3	1	2	305	350	425	775	120	324	8	5	339	118	+4	-1	+1	+1	+6	1.2
2021	24	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	215	200	61	10	4	2	11	17	3	1	2	305	350	425	775	120	324	8	5	344	122	+5	-1	+1	+1	+6	1.3
2022	25	MLB	2 teams	—	271	249	63	8	0	0	16	33	4	3	1	253	309	285	594	32	292	12	6	269	64	-11	+0	+2	+1	+8	-0.0
2022	25	MLB	2 teams	—	271	248	64	8	0	0	17	32	4	3	1	258	316	290	606	32	296	12	6	280	72	-9	+0	+2	+1	+8	0.2
2023	26	MLB	2 teams	—	364	332	92	20	4	3	15	32	12	10	2	277	331	389	720	111	300	9	4	319	103	+1	+1	+8	+1	+10	2.2
2023	26	MLB	2 teams	—	364	329	96	22	4	3	18	31	12	10	2	292	351	410	761	119	315	9	5	338	117	+7	+1	+8	+1	+10	2.8
2024	27	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	94	86	19	3	0	0	4	10	3	1	0	221	280	256	535	35	250	11	4	244	45	-6	+0	-3	+0	+3	-0.6
2024	27	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	94	86	19	3	0	0	4	10	3	1	0	221	280	256	535	35	250	11	4	248	48	-6	+0	-3	+0	+3	-0.6
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	29	AAA	TB	—	430	377	100	11	2	4	34	28	5	9	1	265	334	337	671	72	270	7	8	298	86	-7	+1	+0	+2	+12	0.9
YTD	29	AAA	TB	—	430	366	101	12	2	5	45	23	5	9	1	276	363	361	724	85	275	5	10	322	104	+2	+1	+0	+2	+12	1.8
ROS	29	AAA	TB	100%	270	245	67	10	1	3	19	25	4	6	1	273	336	359	695	86	295	9	7	315	99	-0	+1	+1	+1	+8	1.0
ROS	29	MLB	TB	100%	270	245	67	10	1	2	19	25	4	6	1	273	336	347	683	73	299	9	7	305	92	-2	+1	+1	+1	+8	0.8
FULL	29	AAA	TB	—	700	622	167	21	3	6	53	53	9	15	2	268	335	341	676	72	280	8	8	301	89	-9	+2	+1	+2	+20	1.7
TOT	29	AAA	TB	—	700	622	167	21	3	7	53	53	9	15	2	268	335	346	680	77	279	8	8	305	91	-7	+2	+1	+2	+20	1.9
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	30	MLB	TB	92%	660	599	165	25	3	6	46	64	10	12	2	275	337	357	695	82	299	10	7	316	100	-0	+2	+1	+2	+19	2.4
2028	31	MLB	TB	92%	660	599	163	24	3	6	46	66	10	10	2	272	334	352	687	80	296	10	7	311	96	-3	+1	+0	+2	+19	2.0
2029	32	MLB	TB	92%	660	599	160	23	3	5	46	68	10	8	2	267	330	341	670	73	292	10	7	304	91	-7	+1	-1	+2	+19	1.5
2030	33	MLB	TB	92%	222	202	52	7	1	1	15	24	3	2	0	257	318	317	635	59	287	11	7	296	85	-4	+0	-3	+1	+6	0.0
2027	30	MLB	TB	92%	607	551	154	23	3	5	42	59	9	11	2	279	341	359	700	80	303	10	7	307	93	-5	+1	+1	+2	+17	1.7
2028	31	MLB	TB	92%	607	551	152	22	3	5	42	61	9	9	2	276	337	354	691	78	300	10	7	302	90	-7	+1	+0	+2	+17	1.3
2029	32	MLB	TB	92%	607	551	149	21	3	4	42	63	9	8	1	270	332	341	673	71	296	10	7	296	84	-11	+1	-1	+2	+17	0.9
2030	33	MLB	TB	92%	204	185	48	6	1	1	14	22	3	2	0	259	322	319	641	59	292	11	7	288	78	-5	+0	-3	+1	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3235	2951	808	121	16	21	202	315	54	53	12	274	332	347	679	73	300	10	6	301	88	-42	+6	+7	+12	+92	7.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	593	162	24	3	4	41	63	11	11	2	273	332	344	676	71	299	10	6	301	88	-8	+1	+1	+2	+18	1.6
Career	—			—	4230	3860	1053	162	23	29	255	376	77	98	32	273	330	349	680	76	295	9	6	306	92	-38	+7	+7	+15	+120	11.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	593	162	25	4	4	39	58	12	15	5	273	331	349	680	76	296	9	6	306	92	-6	+1	+1	+2	+18	1.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	21	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	107	98	30	4	0	0	5	5	3	6	3	306	358	347	705	41	319	5	5	321	104	+0	+0	—	—	+3	0.4
2018	21	A	Kannapolis Intimidators	—	49	44	15	3	0	0	1	0	1	2	2	341	370	409	779	68	319	0	2	329	110	+1	-0	—	—	+1	0.2
2018	21	ROK	ACL White Sox	—	17	13	2	0	0	0	1	0	3	0	1	154	353	154	507		154	0	6	277	70	-1	-0	—	—	+0	-0.0
2019	22	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	134	118	39	6	1	1	13	5	1	4	3	331	402	424	825	93	336	4	10	368	139	+6	-0	—	—	+4	1.0
2019	22	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	180	164	56	11	2	1	14	5	2	14	6	341	400	451	851	110	348	3	8	382	150	+10	+0	—	—	+5	1.6
2019	22	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	218	191	52	10	2	2	17	6	6	17	4	272	350	377	727	105	269	3	8	325	107	+2	+2	—	—	+6	1.0
2020	23	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	109	103	35	3	0	0	4	7	2	2	1	340	376	369	745	29	365	6	4	340	118	+2	+0	+2	+0	+3	0.8
2021	24	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	215	200	61	10	4	2	11	17	3	1	2	305	350	425	775	120	324	8	5	344	122	+5	-1	+1	+1	+6	1.3
2022	25	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	228	209	52	7	0	0	14	27	3	3	1	249	305	282	588	33	286	12	6	271	65	-9	+0	+2	+1	+6	0.1
2022	25	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	43	39	12	1	0	0	3	5	1	0	0	308	372	333	705	26	353	12	7	327	109	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2023	26	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	294	270	71	16	1	2	10	24	9	10	2	263	311	352	663	89	283	8	3	296	85	-5	+1	+8	+1	+8	1.4
2023	26	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	70	59	25	6	3	1	8	7	3	0	0	424	514	678	1.192	254	471	10	11	514	252	+12	+0	—	—	+2	1.4
2024	27	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	94	86	19	3	0	0	4	10	3	1	0	221	280	256	535	35	250	11	4	248	48	-6	+0	-3	+0	+3	-0.6
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	940	868	238	39	5	4	43	85	20	17	6	274	323	344	668	70	300	9	5	301	89	-12	+1	+9	+4	+27	2.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Maicer Izturislast yr '13 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,312 PA	10	3,312	39	92	269	331	372	+15	+23	13.1	13.4
	/162	664	8	18	269	331	372	+3.0	+4.6	2.6	pk7: 14
#2Matt Duffylast yr '23 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,549 PA	8	2,549	31	41	277	335	369	+10	+10	9.3	9.3
#2Matt Duffylast yr '23 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,549 PA	/162	664	8	11	277	335	369	+2.5	+2.6	2.4	pk7: 9
#3Endy Chavezlast yr '14 career totals — 13 seasons, 3,436 PA	13	3,436	30	106	270	308	364	-15	+29	6.5	8.0
	/162	664	6	20	270	308	364	-2.8	+5.7	1.3	pk7: 9
#4Mike Redmondlast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 2,096 PA	11	2,096	10	1	282	335	353	+21	+9	7.7	7.9
	/162	664	3	0	282	335	353	+6.7	+2.7	2.4	pk7: 8
#5Brock Holtlast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,661 PA	10	2,661	25	41	262	332	362	+5	+3	7.4	7.8
	/162	664	6	10	262	332	362	+1.2	+0.6	1.9	pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 11 projected seasons	11	3,298	23	54	272	328	348	+12	+23	7.5	7.5
	/162	664	5	11	272	328	348	+2.4	+4.5	1.5	pk7: 8
#6Jose Vizcainolast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,971 PA	7	1,971	15	15	269	315	355	+3	+2	2.8	2.8
	/162	664	5	5	269	315	355	+0.9	+0.6	0.9	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nick Madrigal (OGILVIE)	29	80	32	48	53	268/335/346	77	279	7	15	8%	8%	91	+1.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ramon Rios 2017 · AAA	29	62→69	39→40	47→50	44	299/323/381	82	320	6	7	9%	3%	99	+1.7	271/299/359	88	294	8	4	10%	3%	83	+0.6	271/298/348	77	291	7	1	10%	2%	77	+0.1
✕Michael Spidale 2012 · AAA	30	63→70	37→40	51→55	45	298/336/370	72	340	4	19	14%	4%	102	+1.8	268/300/341	73	302	5	14	13%	4%	79	+0.3	277/289/313	36	303	1	13	9%	1%	63	-0.4
✕Alejandro Ahumada 2008 · AAA	29	59→69	40	50→55	46	280/320/375	95	323	6	19	16%	5%	97	+1.5	252/293/331	79	308	5	18	19%	4%	74	-0.1	266/316/331	65	332	4	10	20%	6%	79	+0.1
✕Heber Gomez 2007 · AAA	29	58→62	39→40	45→50	52	274/326/364	90	291	6	12	8%	6%	96	+1.5	264/318/350	86	287	6	11	10%	6%	90	+1.0	268/323/342	74	293	5	12	10%	6%	87	+0.5
✕Norris Hopper 2009 · MLB	30	60→69	35→30	53→55	50	284/327/346	62	314	3	21	11%	6%	92	+1.2	254/296/304	50	281	2	21	10%	6%	68	-0.5	260/300/292	32	287	0	24	9%	5%	62	-0.7
✕Jose Iglesias 2019 · MLB	29	56→65	43→45	48→50	47	267/308/389	122	290	8	13	12%	5%	96	+1.5	279/315/406	127	308	11	9	13%	4%	103	+1.9	282/316/403	121	313	11	6	14%	4%	99	+1.1
✕Aaron Miles 2006 · MLB	29	57→65	39→40	48→45	46	270/304/350	81	293	6	10	11%	4%	83	+0.6	274/320/355	81	300	5	5	10%	6%	91	+1.1	284/332/357	73	309	4	3	9%	6%	90	+0.8
✕Jesus Merchan 2010 · AAA	29	58→64	39→45	48→50	44	278/319/369	90	310	6	6	13%	4%	95	+1.4	259/298/337	78	294	4	4	13%	4%	78	+0.2	274/310/343	70	305	3	2	11%	4%	79	+0.1
✕Roman Gonzalez 2006 · AAA	29	55→65	37→30	49→50	44	258/302/332	74	314	4	9	19%	5%	78	+0.2	271/311/338	67	308	2	11	12%	4%	83	+0.6	278/316/336	58	317	0	12	12%	4%	81	+0.3
✕Kelby Tomlinson 2019 · MLB	29	56→63	35→40	51→60	48	258/316/312	54	327	2	18	21%	7%	79	+0.3	217/265/283	66	295	4	9	26%	6%	50	-1.8	190/231/232	41	271	0	6	28%	4%	19	-2.4
●Jaime Brena 2009 · AAA	29	58→68	36→40	44→45	53	269/328/345	75	303	2	7	12%	7%	92	+1.2	268/331/362	94	302	5	7	12%	7%	98	+1.6	280/345/373	94	314	4	5	12%	7%	104	+1.0
✕Johnny Giavotella 2016 · MLB	29	53→61	41→45	49→50	50	254/301/360	106	281	7	10	13%	6%	85	+0.7	255/300/368	113	283	9	8	13%	6%	87	+0.8	265/307/382	117	290	9	6	12%	5%	92	+0.8
●Jeff Keppinger 2009 · MLB	29	60→69	40→45	43→40	54	288/335/383	96	296	7	4	6%	6%	105	+2.1	270/324/380	110	281	9	4	7%	7%	100	+1.7	289/336/393	104	298	9	2	6%	6%	106	+1.8
✕Ryan Theriot 2009 · MLB	29	61→65	36→40	53→55	59	285/354/359	74	312	3	23	10%	10%	107	+2.2	277/335/347	70	311	4	17	12%	8%	95	+1.4	272/327/337	65	306	3	15	12%	7%	86	+0.8
✕Jake Elmore 2015 · MLB	28	53→62	38→40	51→55	52	249/316/329	80	298	4	20	17%	8%	84	+0.6	224/297/281	57	269	4	15	17%	9%	64	-0.8	240/302/310	70	291	3	10	18%	7%	71	-0.2
✕Angel Sanchez 2013 · MLB	29	55→60	37→40	48→45	51	259/308/327	69	286	5	8	12%	6%	79	+0.3	225/272/305	80	261	7	6	16%	6%	59	-1.1	194/237/251	57	232	4	0	18%	4%	28	-1.0
✕Kevin Newman 2023 · MLB	29	53→62	39→45	50	48	249/291/340	91	274	6	10	12%	5%	76	+0.0	248/295/346	98	288	7	13	16%	6%	79	+0.3	244/289/332	88	288	6	13	17%	5%	71	-0.1
●Joe Inglett 2007 · MLB	29	59→63	41→45	53→50	47	284/329/398	113	327	7	16	15%	5%	106	+2.2	266/319/374	108	308	6	12	15%	6%	96	+1.5	292/353/408	116	340	5	12	15%	8%	116	+1.4
✕Irving Falu 2013 · MLB	30	59→65	39→40	53→55	47	283/317/374	91	318	5	20	13%	5%	95	+1.4	252/292/330	78	285	4	18	12%	5%	72	-0.2	269/307/361	91	294	8	13	11%	5%	84	+0.5
●Oswaldo Morejon 2008 · AAA	29	56→66	41→45	46→50	51	267/326/373	106	289	7	10	10%	6%	99	+1.7	270/328/365	95	295	7	11	11%	6%	98	+1.6	301/347/407	107	319	8	7	8%	4%	114	+1.8