Mike Trout

CF Los Angeles Angels
Age 35 R/R 6'1" / 235 lbs MLB K +5%HR +4% Svc 15.407 · Ctrl thru 2030
Overview
MLB40-MANExtFA 2031
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WAR
202432MLBLAA126.220/.325/.5411061340.8
202533MLBLAA556.232/.362/.4392621181.6
202634MLBLAA634.242/.383/.42122111243.5
2027PROJ35MLBLAA485.259/.377/.4832481423.5
2028PROJ36MLBLAA438.248/.366/.4572031332.0
2029PROJ37MLBLAA376.237/.355/.4321611231.1
Last 3 seasons WAR 5.9  ·  Next 3 projected WAR 6.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractCONFIRMED
Control thru2030Service15.407First FA2031
2027Ext$36M2028Ext$36M2029Ext$36M2030Ext$36M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026
Barrel%90
xwOBA90
Bat Spd85
Speed79
Avg EV68
Form.248/.369/.435 ▼▼ rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .260/.375/.482
CompsJose Altuve (age 34) · Paul Goldschmidt (age 35) · Mike Cameron (age 35)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 142142vR 140
AVG/OBP/SLG.259 / .377 / .483
PA485
HR24
SB8
K%27
BB%14
BABIP321
ISO227
MLB%100%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: +24.5 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+25BATRUN: +2.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+2RUNFLD: -2.9 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-3FLDPOS: +1.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +10.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+11REPTotal WAR: +2.90+2.9WAR
0.02.55.02.92.01.10.327282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$92M ctrl surplus
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · Contract
ToolsStatcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT
xAVG
460.249
POWER
Barrel%
9016.0
Avg EV
6890.4
Bat Spd
8575.1
SPEED
Sprint
7928.6
Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ
K%28%▼28% over 117 PA (60d) · proj 27%
BB%15%▲15% over 117 PA (60d) · proj 14%
ISO.187▼▼.128 over 94 AB (60d) · proj .222
HR/BB6.6%▼▼3.3% over 61 BBE (60d) · proj 8.4%
BABIP.326·.356 over 59 BIP (60d) · proj .324
SLASH.248/.369/.435▼▼proj .260/.375/.482
Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 785 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
133
652
—
wRC+
107
138
▶▶R
wOBA
326
372
▶R
ISO
194
255
▶▶R
BABIP
321
277
◀L
K%
34.6%
27.9%
▶▶R
BB%
12.8%
14.7%
▶R
Contract CONFIRMED · hand-curated extension
Status   FA
MLB Debut   2011
Service   15.407 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2030
First FA Year   2031
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Ext$36M+2.9$26M-$10M
2028Ext$36M+2.0$15M-$17M
2029Ext$36M+1.1$8M-$21M
2030Ext$36M+0.3$1.0M-$25M
Totals $142M $49M -$73M
Underwater contract
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$73M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
200917 ACedar Rapids Kernels — 2015 4000 460 00 267421267688 444 3020 321 68 — — — — — —
200917 ROKAZL Angels — 187164 59771 18280 132 360423506929 146423 1510 400 93 — — — — — —
201018 A+Rancho Cucamonga Quakes — 233196 60924 27331 116 306391434825 128346 1412 358 115 — — — — — —
201018 ACedar Rapids Kernels — 368312 1131976 46527 459 362455526980 163420 1412 431 125 — — — — — —
201119 MLBLos Angeles Angels — 135123 27605 9302 40 220284390674 171247 227 299 89 -2 +1 +2 -7 +3 -0.3
201119 AAArkansas Travelers — 412353 115181311 45769 3310 326415544959 218390 1811 415 125 — — — — — —
201119 INTLScottsdale Scorpions — 111106 26501 5330 31 245279321600 75347 305 271 70 — — — — — —
201220 MLBLos Angeles Angels — 639559 18227830 671396 495 326403564967 238383 2210 418 166 +51 +8 +10 +3 +14 8.7
201220 AAASalt Lake Bees — 9377 31451 11161 61 4034836231.107 221476 1712 459 155 — — — — — —
201321 MLBLos Angeles Angels — 716589 19039927 1101369 337 323436557993 234376 1915 430 172 +61 +4 +1 +3 +16 8.6
201422 MLBLos Angeles Angels — 705602 17339936 8318410 162 287383561944 274349 2612 405 157 +48 +2 -4 +3 +15 6.6
201523 MLBLos Angeles Angels — 682575 17232641 9215810 117 299405590994 290344 2313 428 166 +54 -1 +7 +2 +15 7.9
201624 MLBLos Angeles Angels — 681549 17332529 11613711 307 315444550994 235371 2017 434 172 +58 +3 -1 +2 +15 7.9
201725 MLBLos Angeles Angels — 507402 12325333 94907 224 3064456291.075 323318 1819 458 183 +50 +3 -2 +2 +11 6.4
201725 A+Inland Empire 66ers — 159 2110 421 00 2224675561.022 333286 1327 428 116 — — — — — —
201826 MLBLos Angeles Angels — 608471 14724439 12212410 242 3124626281.090 316346 2020 466 182 +59 +4 +4 +2 +13 8.4
201927 MLBLos Angeles Angels — 600470 13727245 11012016 112 2914416451.086 353298 2018 462 187 +62 +1 -3 +2 +13 7.7
202028 MLBLos Angeles Angels — 241199 569217 35563 11 2813976031.000 322300 2315 424 165 +19 -0 -2 +1 +5 2.3
202129 MLBLos Angeles Angels — 146117 39818 27412 20 3334666241.090 291456 2818 471 189 +15 +0 +0 +1 +3 2.0
202230 MLBLos Angeles Angels — 499438 12428240 541396 10 2833696301.000 347323 2811 428 168 +40 +0 +1 +2 +11 5.5
202331 MLBLos Angeles Angels — 362308 8114118 451047 20 263369490860 227335 2912 379 140 +17 +0 +2 +1 +8 3.0
202432 MLBLos Angeles Angels — 126109 241210 16271 61 220325541867 321194 2113 374 134 +5 +1 -1 +0 +3 0.8
202533 MLBLos Angeles Angels — 556456 10614126 871786 20 232362439800 206310 3216 355 118 +12 +0 -2 -6 +12 1.6
202634 MLBLos Angeles Angels — 634513 12426022 10716511 111 242383421804 179311 2617 364 124 +18 +2 -2 +2 +14 3.5
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 78376480 187835155426 11741828117 22539 290408558966 268339 2315 418 169 +645 +29 +12 +13 +170 88.7
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
200917 A MLECedar Rapids Kernels — 2016 4000 380 00 250368250618 429 4015 269 68 — — — — — —
200917 ROK MLEAZL Angels — 187171 48551 11400 132 281324386710 105346 216 305 93 — — — — — —
201018 A+ MLERancho Cucamonga Quakes — 233204 61824 20441 116 299364417781 118343 199 338 115 — — — — — —
201018 A MLECedar Rapids Kernels — 368329 1021665 29747 459 310378441819 131378 208 353 125 — — — — — —
201119 MLB MLELos Angeles Angels — 135123 27605 9302 40 220284390674 171247 227 300 89 -2 +1 +2 -7 +3 -0.3
201119 AA MLEArkansas Travelers — 412368 104151211 30939 3310 283351478830 196345 237 353 125 — — — — — —
201220 MLB MLELos Angeles Angels — 639563 18228829 631396 495 323397556953 233383 2210 414 166 +51 +8 +10 +3 +14 8.7
201220 AAA MLESalt Lake Bees — 9379 27341 9211 61 342416519935 177411 2310 397 155 — — — — — —
201321 MLB MLELos Angeles Angels — 716599 19141926 1001369 337 319424548971 229376 1914 422 172 +61 +4 +1 +3 +16 8.6
201422 MLB MLELos Angeles Angels — 705608 17441935 7718410 162 286376556931 270349 2611 400 157 +48 +2 -4 +3 +15 6.6
201523 MLB MLELos Angeles Angels — 682589 17233640 7815810 117 292384572956 280344 2311 414 166 +54 -1 +7 +2 +15 7.9
201624 MLB MLELos Angeles Angels — 681561 17333528 10413711 307 308426535961 226371 2015 422 172 +58 +3 -1 +2 +15 7.9
201725 MLB MLELos Angeles Angels — 507417 12326332 79907 224 2954166021.017 307318 1816 438 183 +50 +3 -2 +2 +11 6.4
201725 A+ MLEInland Empire 66ers — 1511 2110 331 00 182400455855 273219 2020 339 116 — — — — — —
201826 MLB MLELos Angeles Angels — 608497 14725438 9712410 242 2964215921.012 296346 2016 437 182 +59 +4 +4 +2 +13 8.4
201927 MLB MLELos Angeles Angels — 600484 13728244 9612016 112 2834186221.040 339298 2016 445 187 +62 +1 -3 +2 +13 7.7
202028 MLB MLELos Angeles Angels — 241203 569217 31563 11 276380591971 315300 2313 411 165 +19 -0 -2 +1 +5 2.3
202129 MLB MLELos Angeles Angels — 146122 39818 22412 20 3204325981.030 279456 2815 448 189 +15 +0 +0 +1 +3 2.0
202230 MLB MLELos Angeles Angels — 499446 12429239 461396 10 278353614968 336323 289 416 168 +40 +0 +1 +2 +11 5.5
202331 MLB MLELos Angeles Angels — 362310 8215118 431047 20 265367494860 229335 2912 375 140 +17 +0 +2 +1 +8 3.0
202432 MLB MLELos Angeles Angels — 126110 241210 15271 61 218317536854 318194 2112 366 134 +5 +1 -1 +0 +3 0.8
202533 MLB MLELos Angeles Angels — 556467 10615125 771786 20 227344424768 197310 3214 342 118 +12 +0 -2 -6 +12 1.6
202634 MLB MLELos Angeles Angels — 634526 12527022 9516511 111 238366414780 177311 2615 351 124 +18 +2 -2 +2 +14 3.5
200917 ROK MLE2 teams — 207187 52551 14490 132 278328374703 96367 247 302 90 — — — — — —
200917 ROK RAW2 teams — 207179 63771 22340 132 352423486909 134425 1611 392 90 — — — — — —
201018 A MLE2 teams — 601533 1622479 491198 5615 304371426797 122374 208 347 121 — — — — — —
201018 A RAW2 teams — 601508 17328910 73858 5615 341431490921 150391 1412 403 121 — — — — — —
201119 AA MLE3 teams — 658594 158261419 4714811 4011 266331453784 187324 227 340 116 — — — — — —
201119 AA RAW3 teams — 658582 168291317 5913911 4011 289365471836 182353 219 367 116 — — — — — —
201220 MLB MLE2 teams — 732642 209311230 721607 556 326399551951 226387 2210 412 165 +57 +9 +10 +3 +16 9.6
201220 MLB RAW2 teams — 732636 213311331 781557 556 335413571984 236396 2111 423 165 +57 +9 +10 +3 +16 9.6
201321 MLB MLELos Angeles Angels — 716599 19141926 1001369 337 319424548971 229371 1914 422 172 +61 +4 +1 +3 +16 8.6
201321 MLB RAWLos Angeles Angels — 716589 19039927 1101369 337 323436557993 234376 1915 430 172 +61 +4 +1 +3 +16 8.6
201422 MLB MLELos Angeles Angels — 705608 17441935 7718410 162 286376556931 270348 2611 400 157 +48 +2 -4 +3 +15 6.6
201422 MLB RAWLos Angeles Angels — 705602 17339936 8318410 162 287383561944 274349 2612 405 157 +48 +2 -4 +3 +15 6.6
201523 MLB MLELos Angeles Angels — 682589 17233640 7815810 117 292384572956 280333 2311 414 166 +54 -1 +7 +2 +15 7.9
201523 MLB RAWLos Angeles Angels — 682575 17232641 9215810 117 299405590994 290344 2313 428 166 +54 -1 +7 +2 +15 7.9
201624 MLB MLELos Angeles Angels — 681561 17333528 10413711 307 308426535961 226362 2015 422 172 +58 +3 -1 +2 +15 7.9
201624 MLB RAWLos Angeles Angels — 681549 17332529 11613711 307 315444550994 235371 2017 434 172 +58 +3 -1 +2 +15 7.9
201725 MLB MLE2 teams — 522428 12527432 82938 224 2924155981.013 306303 1816 435 181 +50 +3 -2 +2 +11 6.5
201725 MLB RAW2 teams — 522411 12526433 98928 224 3044466281.074 324317 1819 458 181 +50 +3 -2 +2 +11 6.5
201826 MLB MLELos Angeles Angels — 608497 14725438 9712410 242 2964215921.012 296322 2016 437 182 +59 +4 +4 +2 +13 8.4
201826 MLB RAWLos Angeles Angels — 608471 14724439 12212410 242 3124626281.090 316346 2020 466 182 +59 +4 +4 +2 +13 8.4
201927 MLB MLELos Angeles Angels — 600484 13728244 9612016 112 2834186221.040 339287 2016 445 187 +62 +1 -3 +2 +13 7.7
201927 MLB RAWLos Angeles Angels — 600470 13727245 11012016 112 2914416451.086 353298 2018 462 187 +62 +1 -3 +2 +13 7.7
202028 MLB MLELos Angeles Angels — 241203 569217 31563 11 276380591971 315291 2313 411 165 +19 -0 -2 +1 +5 2.3
202028 MLB RAWLos Angeles Angels — 241199 569217 35563 11 2813976031.000 322300 2315 424 165 +19 -0 -2 +1 +5 2.3
202129 MLB MLELos Angeles Angels — 146122 39818 22412 20 3204325981.030 279425 2815 448 189 +15 +0 +0 +1 +3 2.0
202129 MLB RAWLos Angeles Angels — 146117 39818 27412 20 3334666241.090 291456 2818 471 189 +15 +0 +0 +1 +3 2.0
202230 MLB MLELos Angeles Angels — 499446 12429239 461396 10 278353614968 336316 289 416 168 +40 +0 +1 +2 +11 5.5
202230 MLB RAWLos Angeles Angels — 499438 12428240 541396 10 2833696301.000 347323 2811 428 168 +40 +0 +1 +2 +11 5.5
202331 MLB MLELos Angeles Angels — 362310 8215118 431047 20 265367494860 229337 2912 375 140 +17 +0 +2 +1 +8 3.0
202331 MLB RAWLos Angeles Angels — 362308 8114118 451047 20 263369490860 227335 2912 379 140 +17 +0 +2 +1 +8 3.0
202432 MLB MLELos Angeles Angels — 126110 241210 15271 61 218317536854 318192 2112 366 134 +5 +1 -1 +0 +3 0.8
202432 MLB RAWLos Angeles Angels — 126109 241210 16271 61 220325541867 321194 2113 374 134 +5 +1 -1 +0 +3 0.8
202533 MLB MLELos Angeles Angels — 556467 10615125 771786 20 227344424768 197300 3214 342 118 +12 +0 -2 -6 +12 1.6
202533 MLB RAWLos Angeles Angels — 556456 10614126 871786 20 232362439800 206310 3216 355 118 +12 +0 -2 -6 +12 1.6
202634 MLB MLELos Angeles Angels — 634526 12527022 9516511 111 238366414780 177302 2615 351 124 +18 +2 -2 +2 +14 3.5
202634 MLB RAWLos Angeles Angels — 634513 12426022 10716511 111 242383421804 179311 2617 364 124 +18 +2 -2 +2 +14 3.5
200917 ROK MLE2 teams — 207191 52551 14490 132 272328366695 94354 247 302 90 — — — — — —
201018 A MLE2 teams — 601539 1622479 491198 5615 301371421792 121364 208 347 121 — — — — — —
201119 AA MLE3 teams — 658595 158261419 4714811 4011 266331452783 187321 227 340 116 — — — — — —
201220 MLB MLE2 teams — 732647 209311230 721607 556 323399547947 224386 2210 412 165 — — — — — —
201321 MLB MLELos Angeles Angels — 716601 19141926 1001369 337 318424546969 228376 1914 422 172 — — — — — —
201422 MLB MLELos Angeles Angels — 705612 17441935 7718410 162 284376552928 268349 2611 400 157 — — — — — —
201523 MLB MLELos Angeles Angels — 682589 17233640 7815810 117 292384572956 280344 2311 414 166 — — — — — —
201624 MLB MLELos Angeles Angels — 681561 17333528 10413711 307 308426535961 226371 2015 422 172 — — — — — —
201725 MLB MLE2 teams — 522427 12527432 82938 224 2934156001.015 307315 1816 435 181 — — — — — —
201826 MLB MLELos Angeles Angels — 608496 14725438 9712410 242 2964215931.013 296346 2016 437 182 — — — — — —
201927 MLB MLELos Angeles Angels — 600483 13728244 9612016 112 2844186231.041 340298 2016 445 187 — — — — — —
202028 MLB MLELos Angeles Angels — 241205 569217 31563 11 273380585965 312300 2313 411 165 — — — — — —
202129 MLB MLELos Angeles Angels — 146121 39818 22412 20 3224326031.035 281456 2815 448 189 — — — — — —
202230 MLB MLELos Angeles Angels — 499444 12429239 461396 10 279353617971 338323 289 416 168 — — — — — —
202331 MLB MLELos Angeles Angels — 362309 8215118 431047 20 265367495862 230335 2912 375 140 — — — — — —
202432 MLB MLELos Angeles Angels — 126109 241210 15271 61 220317541859 321194 2112 366 134 — — — — — —
202533 MLB MLELos Angeles Angels — 556468 10615125 771786 20 226344423767 197310 3214 342 118 — — — — — —
202634 MLB MLELos Angeles Angels — 634523 12527022 9516511 111 239366417782 178311 2615 351 124 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202432 MLB MLELos Angeles Angels — 126109 241210 15271 61 220317541859 321194 2112 366 134 — — — — — —
202533 MLB MLELos Angeles Angels — 556468 10615125 771786 20 226344423767 197310 3214 342 118 — — — — — —
202634 MLB MLELos Angeles Angels — 634523 12527022 9516511 111 239366417782 178311 2615 351 124 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202735 MLB MLELAA 100% 554462 12021126 791508 92 260378482860 222324 2714 379 142 +28 +1 -3 +2 +12 2.9
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202735 MLB CTXLAA 100% 485406 10618124 691327 82 259377483860 223321 2714 379 142 +25 +1 -3 +2 +11 3.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202836 MLB MLELAA 100% 438367 9115120 621226 31 248366456822 208312 2814 364 133 +17 +0 -9 +2 +9 2.0
202937 MLB MLELAA 100% 376315 7612116 531065 11 238355431786 193301 2814 351 123 +10 -0 -9 +1 +8 1.1
203038 MLB MLELAA 100% 301253 588112 41864 00 228345406752 179291 2914 337 115 +5 +0 -10 +1 +7 0.3
202836 MLB CTXLAA 100% 438367 9014120 621226 31 248366457822 209310 2814 365 133 +17 +0 -9 +2 +9 2.0
202937 MLB CTXLAA 100% 376315 7511116 531065 11 237355432786 195299 2814 351 123 +10 -0 -9 +1 +8 1.1
203038 MLB CTXLAA 100% 301253 588112 41864 00 227345407752 180289 2914 338 115 +5 +0 -10 +1 +7 0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 89527415 210138458474 13302142132 22941 283401543944 259334 2415 410 151 +678 +29 -16 +17 +194 92.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650538 15228434 9715610 173 283402539941 257334 2415 410 151 +49 +2 -1 +1 +14 6.7
Career— MLE — 108769247 258647190512 13702584158 34872 280382516898 237333 2413 391 151 +702 +30 -19 +19 +204 95.6
/ 162G— MLE — 650553 15428531 821549 214 278380515896 237330 2413 391 151 +48 +2 -1 +1 +14 6.6

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2017 A+Inland Empire 66ers · 15 PAwOBA .420 → .339 (−81)K% 13.3% → 18.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA13.33%÷0.975×1.340——18.33%
BB% (unintentional) /PA26.67%÷1.003×0.710—×0.96818.27%
HBP% /PA6.67%—×0.790—×0.9685.10%
Singles /BIP0.00%÷0.955×0.910—×0.9680.00%
Doubles /BIP14.29%÷0.891×0.820—×0.96812.73%
Triples /BIP14.29%÷1.150×0.760—×0.9689.14%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.008×0.920—×0.9680.00%

Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 91, 2B 78, 3B 130, K 95, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .420 → .339; ISO .333 → .301; BABIP .286 → .219. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAASalt Lake Bees · 93 PAwOBA .462 → .397 (−66)K% 17.2% → 22.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.20%÷1.005×1.290——22.08%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.83%÷0.914×0.710—×1.0509.64%
HBP% /PA1.08%—×0.980—×1.0501.11%
Singles /BIP34.43%÷1.029×0.900×0.986×1.05031.17%
Doubles /BIP6.56%÷1.022×0.810×0.986×1.0505.38%
Triples /BIP8.20%÷1.150×0.810×0.986×1.0505.98%
Home runs /BIP1.64%÷1.053×0.780—×1.0501.28%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 106, 2B 104, 3B 130, K 101, BB 83 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.

Result: wOBA .462 → .397; ISO .221 → .172; BABIP .476 → .411. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAArkansas Travelers · 412 PAwOBA .405 → .353 (−52)K% 18.4% → 22.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.45%÷0.998×1.220——22.56%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.68%÷1.071×0.700—×1.0507.33%
HBP% /PA2.18%—×0.870—×1.0502.00%
Singles /BIP26.35%÷1.023×0.920×0.950×1.05023.64%
Doubles /BIP6.50%÷0.999×0.840×0.950×1.0505.45%
Triples /BIP4.69%÷1.048×0.940×0.950×1.0504.20%
Home runs /BIP3.97%÷0.849×0.800—×1.0503.93%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 70, 1B 105, 2B 100, 3B 110, K 100, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .405 → .353; ISO .218 → .204; BABIP .390 → .345. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 ACedar Rapids Kernels · 368 PAwOBA .420 → .353 (−67)K% 14.1% → 20.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.13%÷0.952×1.360——20.20%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.96%÷1.093×0.690—×1.0457.88%
HBP% /PA1.90%—×0.780—×1.0451.55%
Singles /BIP31.15%÷0.994×0.920×0.960×1.04528.93%
Doubles /BIP7.31%÷0.994×0.830×0.960×1.0456.12%
Triples /BIP2.69%÷1.150×0.910×0.960×1.0452.14%
Home runs /BIP2.31%÷0.964×0.800—×1.0452.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 99, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 90, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.960.

Result: wOBA .420 → .353; ISO .163 → .136; BABIP .420 → .378. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 A+Rancho Cucamonga Quakes · 233 PAwOBA .352 → .338 (−14)K% 14.2% → 19.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.16%÷0.996×1.340——19.05%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.16%÷0.979×0.710—×1.0508.50%
HBP% /PA0.43%—×0.790—×1.0500.36%
Singles /BIP27.61%÷0.956×0.910×1.020×1.05028.15%
Doubles /BIP5.52%÷0.983×0.820×1.020×1.0504.94%
Triples /BIP1.23%÷1.018×0.760×1.020×1.0500.98%
Home runs /BIP2.45%÷0.924×0.920—×1.0502.56%

Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 91, 2B 97, 3B 104, K 99, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.020.

Result: wOBA .352 → .338; ISO .128 → .125; BABIP .346 → .343. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2009 ROKAZL Angels · 187 PAwOBA .394 → .305 (−88)K% 15.0% → 21.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.97%÷1.000×1.440——21.56%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.63%÷1.000×0.620—×1.0226.10%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×1.0220.00%
Singles /BIP32.35%÷1.000×0.820×1.006×1.02227.30%
Doubles /BIP5.15%÷1.000×0.720×1.006×1.0223.81%
Triples /BIP5.15%÷1.000×0.720×1.006×1.0223.81%
Home runs /BIP0.74%÷1.000×0.780—×1.0220.59%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.

Result: wOBA .394 → .305; ISO .146 → .109; BABIP .423 → .346. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2009 ACedar Rapids Kernels · 20 PAwOBA .314 → .269 (−45)K% 30.0% → 40.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA30.00%÷1.000×1.360——40.80%
BB% (unintentional) /PA20.00%÷1.000×0.690—×1.05014.49%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780—×1.0500.00%
Singles /BIP44.44%÷1.000×0.920—×1.05042.93%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.830—×1.0500.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.910—×1.0500.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0500.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 22.0 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .314 → .269; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .444 → .429. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .