Paul Goldschmidt

1B New York Yankees

Age 39 R/R 6'2" / 225 lbs MLB HR +14% Svc 15.343 · Ctrl thru 2027

Overview

MLB40-MANExt / FA-dealFA 2028

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR
2024	36	MLBSTL	654	.245/.301/.414	22	11	101	-0.1
2025	37	MLBNYY	534	.274/.327/.403	10	5	101	-0.4
2026	38	MLBNYY	380	.252/.316/.452	18	1	108	0.6
2027PROJ	39	MLBNYY	246	.263/.319/.448	10	3	111	0.6
2028PROJ	40	MLBNYY	181	.255/.311/.429	7	1	104	-0.6

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.1 · Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2027Service15.343First FA2028Options2NTC

2027Ext / FA-deal$2M

Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026

xwOBA65

Bat Spd62

Avg EV61

Barrel%59

Speed10

Form.276/.329/.445 ▲ rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .261/.315/.439

CompsMarquis Grissom (age 38) · Matt Stairs (age 39) · Ruben Sierra (age 38)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†vL 118111vR 92

AVG/OBP/SLG.263 / .319 / .448

PA246

HR10

K%22

BB%7

BABIP304

ISO196

MLB%100%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Recent Form · Splits · Contract

ToolsStatcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT

xAVG

520.253

POWER

Barrel%

599.6

Avg EV

6189.9

Bat Spd

6272.6

SPEED

Sprint

1025.5

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%17%▲▲10% over 42 PA (60d) · proj 22%

BB%7%·7% over 42 PA (60d) · proj 7%

ISO.170·.135 over 37 AB (60d) · proj .178

HR/BB4.6%·2.9% over 35 BBE (60d) · proj 5.2%

BABIP.303·.294 over 34 BIP (60d) · proj .304

SLASH.276/.329/.445▲proj .261/.315/.439

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1211 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

358

853

—

wRC+

145

◀◀L

wOBA

383

287

◀◀L

ISO

200

130

◀◀L

BABIP

330

305

◀L

14.8%

26.5%

◀◀L

BB%

8.7%

5.7%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2011

Service 15.343 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2028

NTCOPT

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Ext / FA-deal	$2M	+0.4	$2M	-$0.8M
Totals		$2M		$2M	-$0.8M

Options · projected decision
2027	CLUB OPT	$2.4M / $0.0M buyout	DECLINE
2028	CLUB OPT	$14.5M / $2.0M buyout	DECLINE

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2009	21	ROK	Missoula Osprey	—	331	287	96	27	3	18	36	74	3	4	3	334	414	638	1.052	303	390	22	11	446	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	22	A+	Visalia Rawhide	—	599	525	165	42	3	35	57	161	8	5	1	314	390	606	996	291	385	27	10	424	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	23	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	177	156	39	9	1	8	20	53	0	4	0	250	335	474	810	224	323	30	11	355	120	+4	+1	-4	-11	+4	-0.7
2011	23	AA	Mobile BayBears	—	457	366	112	21	3	30	82	92	5	9	3	306	439	626	1.065	320	331	20	18	454	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	587	514	147	43	1	20	60	130	4	18	3	286	365	490	855	204	340	22	10	372	128	+19	+2	-13	-10	+13	1.1
2013	25	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	710	602	182	36	3	36	99	145	3	15	7	302	403	551	954	249	343	20	14	414	148	+40	+0	-10	-13	+15	3.5
2014	26	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	479	406	122	39	1	19	64	110	2	9	3	300	395	542	937	241	368	23	13	406	143	+25	+1	-8	-9	+10	2.0
2015	27	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	695	567	182	38	2	33	118	151	2	21	5	321	439	570	1.009	249	382	22	17	436	156	+46	+2	-7	-12	+15	4.5
2016	28	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	705	579	172	33	3	24	110	150	7	32	5	297	415	489	903	192	358	21	16	398	140	+33	+4	-7	-13	+15	3.4
2017	29	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	665	558	166	34	3	36	94	147	8	18	5	297	405	563	968	265	343	22	14	420	153	+42	+2	-2	-12	+14	4.5
2018	30	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	690	593	172	35	5	33	90	173	6	7	4	290	388	533	921	243	359	25	13	404	149	+40	-0	-9	-12	+15	3.4
2019	31	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	682	597	155	25	1	34	78	166	2	3	1	260	346	476	822	216	302	24	11	361	134	+28	+0	-1	-12	+15	3.0
2020	32	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	231	191	58	13	0	6	37	43	1	1	0	304	417	466	883	162	364	19	16	394	155	+15	+0	+0	-4	+5	1.7
2021	33	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	679	603	177	36	2	31	67	136	4	12	0	294	368	514	882	221	331	20	10	385	149	+40	+2	-2	-12	+15	4.4
2022	34	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	651	561	178	41	0	35	79	141	5	7	0	317	405	578	982	260	368	22	12	425	178	+60	+1	-9	-12	+14	5.6
2023	35	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	687	593	159	31	0	25	87	161	3	11	2	268	364	447	811	179	327	23	13	361	130	+24	+1	-3	-12	+15	2.6
2024	36	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	654	599	147	33	1	22	47	173	2	11	0	245	301	414	715	169	308	26	7	316	101	+1	+2	-6	-12	+14	-0.1
2025	37	MLB	New York Yankees	—	534	489	134	31	1	10	36	100	4	5	1	274	327	403	730	129	325	19	7	325	101	+0	+1	-7	-10	+12	-0.4
2026	38	MLB	New York Yankees	—	380	345	87	13	1	18	29	86	3	1	0	252	316	452	768	200	283	23	8	337	108	+3	+0	+0	-7	+8	0.6
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	9206	7953	2277	490	25	390	1115	2065	56	175	36	286	377	501	878	215	340	22	12	385	147	+509	+21	-87	-173	+199	48.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2009	21	ROK MLE	Missoula Osprey	—	331	301	66	17	2	12	22	107	3	4	3	219	279	409	688	189	281	32	7	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	22	A+ MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	599	542	140	33	2	30	40	208	8	5	1	258	319	493	811	234	339	35	7	342	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	23	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	177	156	38	8	1	8	20	53	0	4	0	244	330	462	791	218	323	30	11	346	120	+4	+1	-4	-11	+4	-0.7
2011	23	AA MLE	Mobile BayBears	—	457	397	98	19	3	24	51	112	5	9	3	247	340	491	831	244	277	25	11	364	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	587	518	143	39	1	20	56	130	4	18	3	276	351	471	822	195	340	22	10	357	128	+19	+2	-13	-10	+13	1.1
2013	25	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	710	622	177	33	2	36	80	145	3	15	7	285	369	518	886	233	343	20	11	387	148	+40	+0	-10	-13	+15	3.5
2014	26	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	479	420	119	36	1	19	54	110	2	9	3	283	368	510	877	226	368	23	11	380	143	+25	+1	-8	-9	+10	2.0
2015	27	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	695	597	178	35	2	33	89	151	2	21	5	298	391	529	920	231	382	22	13	398	156	+46	+2	-7	-12	+15	4.5
2016	28	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	705	595	167	30	2	24	95	150	7	32	5	281	386	459	845	178	358	21	13	375	140	+33	+4	-7	-13	+15	3.4
2017	29	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	665	574	162	31	2	36	79	147	8	18	5	282	377	531	908	249	343	22	12	395	153	+42	+2	-2	-12	+14	4.5
2018	30	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	690	605	169	31	4	35	79	173	6	7	4	279	368	517	885	238	359	25	11	388	149	+40	-0	-9	-12	+15	3.4
2019	31	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	682	601	157	24	1	37	76	166	2	3	1	261	346	489	835	228	302	24	11	367	134	+28	+0	-1	-12	+15	3.0
2020	32	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	231	192	57	12	0	6	37	43	1	1	0	297	413	453	866	156	364	19	16	398	155	+15	+0	+0	-4	+5	1.7
2021	33	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	679	605	177	34	2	33	65	136	4	12	0	293	365	519	884	226	331	20	10	389	149	+40	+2	-2	-12	+15	4.4
2022	34	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	651	564	179	39	0	38	78	141	5	7	0	317	405	589	994	271	368	22	12	431	178	+60	+1	-9	-12	+14	5.6
2023	35	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	687	600	160	30	0	27	81	161	3	11	2	267	357	452	808	185	327	23	12	360	130	+24	+1	-3	-12	+15	2.6
2024	36	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	654	605	148	32	1	24	45	173	2	11	0	245	299	420	719	175	308	26	7	317	101	+1	+2	-6	-12	+14	-0.1
2025	37	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	—	534	497	133	31	1	9	31	100	4	5	1	268	316	388	704	121	325	19	6	317	101	+0	+1	-7	-10	+12	-0.4
2026	38	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	—	380	347	86	13	1	17	27	86	3	1	0	248	308	438	746	190	283	23	7	327	108	+3	+0	+0	-7	+8	0.6
2009	21	ROK MLE	Missoula Osprey	—	331	301	66	17	2	12	22	107	3	4	3	219	279	409	688	189	289	32	7	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	21	ROK RAW	Missoula Osprey	—	331	287	96	27	3	18	36	74	3	4	3	334	414	638	1.052	303	390	22	11	446	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	22	A+ MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	599	542	140	33	2	30	40	208	8	5	1	258	319	493	811	234	351	35	7	342	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	22	A+ RAW	Visalia Rawhide	—	599	525	165	42	3	35	57	161	8	5	1	314	390	606	996	291	385	27	10	424	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	634	553	135	27	4	31	71	165	5	13	3	244	335	476	811	231	287	26	11	359	129	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	634	522	151	30	4	38	102	145	5	13	3	289	410	580	991	291	328	23	16	426	129	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	587	518	143	39	1	20	56	130	4	18	3	276	351	471	822	195	326	22	10	357	128	+19	+2	-13	-10	+13	1.1
2012	24	MLB RAW	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	587	514	147	43	1	20	60	130	4	18	3	286	365	490	855	204	340	22	10	372	128	+19	+2	-13	-10	+13	1.1
2013	25	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	710	622	177	33	2	36	80	145	3	15	7	285	369	518	886	233	316	20	11	387	148	+40	+0	-10	-13	+15	3.5
2013	25	MLB RAW	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	710	602	182	36	3	36	99	145	3	15	7	302	403	551	954	249	343	20	14	414	148	+40	+0	-10	-13	+15	3.5
2014	26	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	479	420	119	36	1	19	54	110	2	9	3	283	368	510	877	226	340	23	11	380	143	+25	+1	-8	-9	+10	2.0
2014	26	MLB RAW	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	479	406	122	39	1	19	64	110	2	9	3	300	395	542	937	241	368	23	13	406	143	+25	+1	-8	-9	+10	2.0
2015	27	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	695	597	178	35	2	33	89	151	2	21	5	298	391	529	920	231	345	22	13	398	156	+46	+2	-7	-12	+15	4.5
2015	27	MLB RAW	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	695	567	182	38	2	33	118	151	2	21	5	321	439	570	1.009	249	382	22	17	436	156	+46	+2	-7	-12	+15	4.5
2016	28	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	705	595	167	30	2	24	95	150	7	32	5	281	386	459	845	178	333	21	13	375	140	+33	+4	-7	-13	+15	3.4
2016	28	MLB RAW	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	705	579	172	33	3	24	110	150	7	32	5	297	415	489	903	192	358	21	16	398	140	+33	+4	-7	-13	+15	3.4
2017	29	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	665	574	162	31	2	36	79	147	8	18	5	282	377	531	908	249	319	22	12	395	153	+42	+2	-2	-12	+14	4.5
2017	29	MLB RAW	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	665	558	166	34	3	36	94	147	8	18	5	297	405	563	968	265	343	22	14	420	153	+42	+2	-2	-12	+14	4.5
2018	30	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	690	605	169	31	4	35	79	173	6	7	4	279	368	517	885	238	338	25	11	388	149	+40	-0	-9	-12	+15	3.4
2018	30	MLB RAW	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	690	593	172	35	5	33	90	173	6	7	4	290	388	533	921	243	359	25	13	404	149	+40	-0	-9	-12	+15	3.4
2019	31	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	682	601	157	24	1	37	76	166	2	3	1	261	346	489	835	228	299	24	11	367	134	+28	+0	-1	-12	+15	3.0
2019	31	MLB RAW	St. Louis Cardinals	—	682	597	155	25	1	34	78	166	2	3	1	260	346	476	822	216	302	24	11	361	134	+28	+0	-1	-12	+15	3.0
2020	32	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	231	192	57	12	0	6	37	43	1	1	0	297	413	453	866	156	354	19	16	398	155	+15	+0	+0	-4	+5	1.7
2020	32	MLB RAW	St. Louis Cardinals	—	231	191	58	13	0	6	37	43	1	1	0	304	417	466	883	162	364	19	16	394	155	+15	+0	+0	-4	+5	1.7
2021	33	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	679	605	177	34	2	33	65	136	4	12	0	293	365	519	884	226	327	20	10	389	149	+40	+2	-2	-12	+15	4.4
2021	33	MLB RAW	St. Louis Cardinals	—	679	603	177	36	2	31	67	136	4	12	0	294	368	514	882	221	331	20	10	385	149	+40	+2	-2	-12	+15	4.4
2022	34	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	651	564	179	39	0	38	78	141	5	7	0	317	405	589	994	271	362	22	12	431	178	+60	+1	-9	-12	+14	5.6
2022	34	MLB RAW	St. Louis Cardinals	—	651	561	178	41	0	35	79	141	5	7	0	317	405	578	982	260	368	22	12	425	178	+60	+1	-9	-12	+14	5.6
2023	35	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	687	600	160	30	0	27	81	161	3	11	2	267	357	452	808	185	320	23	12	360	130	+24	+1	-3	-12	+15	2.6
2023	35	MLB RAW	St. Louis Cardinals	—	687	593	159	31	0	25	87	161	3	11	2	268	364	447	811	179	327	23	13	361	130	+24	+1	-3	-12	+15	2.6
2024	36	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	654	605	148	32	1	24	45	173	2	11	0	245	299	420	719	175	302	26	7	317	101	+1	+2	-6	-12	+14	-0.1
2024	36	MLB RAW	St. Louis Cardinals	—	654	599	147	33	1	22	47	173	2	11	0	245	301	414	715	169	308	26	7	316	101	+1	+2	-6	-12	+14	-0.1
2025	37	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	—	534	497	133	31	1	9	31	100	4	5	1	268	316	388	704	121	318	19	6	317	101	+0	+1	-7	-10	+12	-0.4
2025	37	MLB RAW	New York Yankees	—	534	489	134	31	1	10	36	100	4	5	1	274	327	403	730	129	325	19	7	325	101	+0	+1	-7	-10	+12	-0.4
2026	38	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	—	380	347	86	13	1	17	27	86	3	1	0	248	308	438	746	190	279	23	7	327	108	+3	+0	+0	-7	+8	0.6
2026	38	MLB RAW	New York Yankees	—	380	345	87	13	1	18	29	86	3	1	0	252	316	452	768	200	283	23	8	337	108	+3	+0	+0	-7	+8	0.6
2009	21	ROK MLE	Missoula Osprey	—	331	303	66	17	2	12	22	107	3	4	3	218	279	406	685	188	281	32	7	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	22	A+ MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	599	546	140	33	2	30	40	208	8	5	1	256	319	489	808	233	339	35	7	342	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	634	553	135	27	4	31	71	165	5	13	3	244	335	476	811	231	290	26	11	359	129	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	24	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	587	522	143	39	1	20	56	130	4	18	3	274	351	467	819	193	340	22	10	357	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	25	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	710	621	177	33	2	36	80	145	3	15	7	285	369	519	887	233	343	20	11	387	148	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	26	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	479	420	119	36	1	19	54	110	2	9	3	283	368	510	877	226	368	23	11	380	143	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	27	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	695	599	178	35	2	33	89	151	2	21	5	297	391	528	919	230	382	22	13	398	156	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	28	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	705	597	167	30	2	24	95	150	7	32	5	280	386	457	843	178	358	21	13	375	140	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	29	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	665	573	162	31	2	36	79	147	8	18	5	283	377	532	909	250	343	22	12	395	153	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	30	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	690	600	169	31	4	35	79	173	6	7	4	282	368	522	890	240	359	25	11	388	149	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	31	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	682	599	157	24	1	37	76	166	2	3	1	262	346	491	837	229	302	24	11	367	134	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	32	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	231	191	57	12	0	6	37	43	1	1	0	298	413	455	869	157	364	19	16	398	155	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	33	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	679	605	177	34	2	33	65	136	4	12	0	293	365	519	884	226	331	20	10	389	149	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	34	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	651	563	179	39	0	38	78	141	5	7	0	318	405	590	995	272	368	22	12	431	178	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	35	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	687	598	160	30	0	27	81	161	3	11	2	268	357	453	810	186	327	23	12	360	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	36	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	654	602	148	32	1	24	45	173	2	11	0	246	299	422	721	176	308	26	7	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	37	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	—	534	494	133	31	1	9	31	100	4	5	1	269	316	391	706	121	325	19	6	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	38	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	—	380	347	86	13	1	17	27	86	3	1	0	248	308	438	746	190	283	23	7	327	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	36	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	654	602	148	32	1	24	45	173	2	11	0	246	299	422	721	176	308	26	7	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	37	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	—	534	494	133	31	1	9	31	100	4	5	1	269	316	391	706	121	325	19	6	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	38	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	—	380	347	86	13	1	17	27	86	3	1	0	248	308	438	746	190	283	23	7	327	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	39	MLB MLE	NYY	100%	358	328	86	17	1	13	24	79	3	4	1	261	317	439	756	178	304	22	7	332	111	+5	+0	+2	-6	+8	0.4
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	39	MLB CTX	NYY	100%	246	225	60	12	1	10	17	54	2	3	1	263	319	448	768	185	304	22	7	337	111	+3	+0	+2	-4	+5	0.6
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	40	MLB MLE	NYY	100%	181	166	42	8	1	6	12	40	1	1	0	253	309	420	730	167	294	22	7	322	104	+1	+0	-8	-3	+4	-0.6
2028	40	MLB CTX	NYY	100%	181	166	43	8	1	7	12	40	1	1	0	255	311	429	741	175	294	22	7	326	104	+1	+0	-8	-3	+4	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	9387	8119	2320	498	26	397	1127	2105	57	176	36	286	376	500	876	214	339	22	12	384	134	+510	+21	-95	-176	+203	47.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	562	160	34	2	27	78	146	4	12	2	285	375	496	871	212	338	22	12	384	134	+35	+1	-7	-12	+14	3.3
Career	—	MLE		—	11020	9729	2654	547	30	482	1134	2586	75	197	44	273	353	484	837	211	322	23	10	367	134	+514	+21	-93	-180	+209	47.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	574	156	32	2	28	67	153	4	12	3	272	352	481	833	209	322	24	10	367	134	+35	+1	-6	-12	+14	3.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2011 AAMobile BayBears · 457 PAwOBA .440 → .364 (−76)K% 20.1% → 24.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.13%	÷0.996	×1.220	—	—	24.65%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	15.32%	÷0.938	×0.680	—	×1.012	11.24%
HBP% /PA	1.09%	—	×0.840	—	×1.012	0.93%
Singles /BIP	21.17%	÷1.039	×0.920	×0.957	×1.012	18.14%
Doubles /BIP	7.66%	÷1.012	×0.910	×0.957	×1.012	6.67%
Triples /BIP	1.09%	÷0.900	×0.880	×0.957	×1.012	1.04%
Home runs /BIP	10.95%	÷1.088	×0.800	—	×1.012	8.15%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 108, 2B 102, 3B 80, K 99, BB 88 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.957.

Result: wOBA .440 → .364; ISO .320 → .262; BABIP .331 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 A+Visalia Rawhide · 599 PAwOBA .419 → .342 (−77)K% 26.9% → 34.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	26.88%	÷1.035	×1.340	—	—	34.81%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.52%	÷1.025	×0.710	—	×0.998	6.58%
HBP% /PA	1.34%	—	×0.790	—	×0.998	1.05%
Singles /BIP	23.35%	÷0.978	×0.910	×0.999	×0.998	21.66%
Doubles /BIP	11.54%	÷0.996	×0.820	×0.999	×0.998	9.46%
Triples /BIP	0.82%	÷0.904	×0.760	×0.999	×0.998	0.69%
Home runs /BIP	9.62%	÷1.015	×0.920	—	×0.998	8.69%

Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 96, 2B 99, 3B 81, K 107, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.

Result: wOBA .419 → .342; ISO .291 → .242; BABIP .385 → .339. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2009 ROKMissoula Osprey · 331 PAwOBA .441 → .296 (−144)K% 22.4% → 32.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.36%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	32.19%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.88%	÷1.000	×0.610	—	×0.975	6.47%
HBP% /PA	0.91%	—	×0.720	—	×0.975	0.64%
Singles /BIP	22.54%	÷1.000	×0.820	×0.969	×0.975	17.45%
Doubles /BIP	12.68%	÷1.000	×0.720	×0.969	×0.975	8.62%
Triples /BIP	1.41%	÷1.000	×0.720	×0.969	×0.975	0.96%
Home runs /BIP	8.45%	÷1.000	×0.750	—	×0.975	6.18%

Factors used: league row PIO. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.969.

Result: wOBA .441 → .296; ISO .303 → .204; BABIP .390 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Miguel Cabreralast yr '23 MVP×2ROYAS×12SS×7HOF career totals — 21 seasons, 11,796 PA	17.8	11,796	511	40	306	382	518	-133	-139	79.4	65.7
/162	664	29	2	-7.5	-7.8	4.5	pk7: 52
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 18 projected seasons	14.5	9,633	405	179	286	372	500	-173	-140	62.5	52.8
/162	664	28	12	-11.9	-9.7	4.3	pk7: 43
#2Joey Vottolast yr '23 MVPAS×6SS career totals — 17 seasons, 8,746 PA	13.2	8,746	356	80	294	409	511	-156	-146	57.2	49.2
/162	664	27	6	-11.9	-11.1	4.3	pk7: 41
#3Jason Giambi'95-'14 * career totals — 20 seasons, 8,908 PA	13.4	8,908	440	20	266*	387*	504*	-167	-86	54.2	48.6
/162	664	33	1	-12.5	-6.4	4.0	pk7: 43
#4Matt Hollidaylast yr '18 AS×7SS×4 career totals — 15 seasons, 7,981 PA	12.0	7,981	316	108	299	379	510	-89	-91	52.3	45.5
/162	664	26	9	-7.4	-7.5	4.4	pk7: 39
#5Ken Singleton'70-'84 * career totals — 15 seasons, 8,558 PA	12.9	8,558	246	21	279*	387*	469*	-120	-74	43.6	38.8
/162	664	19	2	-9.3	-5.7	3.4	pk7: 34
#6Mo Vaughn'91-'03 * career totals — 12 seasons, 6,410 PA	9.7	6,410	328	30	280*	367*	513*	-120	-46	34.7	33.2
/162	664	34	3	-12.4	-4.8	3.6	pk7: 32

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Paul Goldschmidt (OGILVIE)	39	—	—	—	—	259/315/435	176	304	9	3	22%	7%	111	+0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Marquis Grissom 2005 · MLB	38	55→59	53→60	49→50	46	281/315/455	174	296	21	7	14%	5%	115	+2.4	248/293/391	143	269	17	7	15%	6%	92	+0.7	202/236/279	78	219	10	4	14%	4%	44	-0.7
●Matt Stairs 2007 · MLB	39	51→55	52→65	42→45	55	257/338/428	171	291	19	2	19%	10%	117	+2.6	257/335/451	194	292	24	4	20%	10%	122	+2.9	254/337/456	202	285	25	2	20%	10%	124	+1.6
✕Ruben Sierra 2004 · MLB	38	52→53	52→60	48→40	49	267/313/434	167	284	20	6	15%	6%	109	+2.0	242/291/410	168	266	21	4	18%	7%	96	+1.0	233/276/414	182	249	24	1	18%	6%	92	+0.3
●Raul Ibanez 2012 · MLB	40	49→59	53→60	47→45	49	254/308/434	180	282	20	4	18%	7%	107	+1.9	236/298/432	196	261	24	4	20%	8%	103	+1.6	223/293/426	203	243	26	3	21%	9%	101	+1.0
✕Vinny Castilla 2006 · MLB	39	50→53	55→60	44→40	48	259/312/451	192	276	22	3	16%	6%	114	+2.3	242/291/375	133	274	14	5	17%	6%	87	+0.4	234/267/321	88	270	9	0	17%	3%	65	-0.6
✕Jayson Werth 2018 · MLB	39	46→56	52→60	44→55	55	236/324/404	168	279	20	6	23%	11%	107	+1.8	222/297/379	157	277	18	8	25%	9%	91	+0.6	156/220/295	138	198	13	0	28%	6%	42	-0.7
●Jeff Conine 2004 · MLB	38	55→62	51→55	51→50	51	275/327/440	165	288	18	8	12%	7%	116	+2.5	275/333/417	142	303	13	5	13%	8%	112	+2.2	275/336/403	128	307	11	4	13%	8%	111	+1.8
✕Ruben Mateo 2015 · AAA	37	48→50	55→60	43→45	43	252/312/433	180	280	24	3	20%	5%	109	+2.0	221/285/361	140	262	18	6	23%	5%	83	+0.1	149/217/253	104	165	17	0	23%	4%	32	-1.2
✕Craig Biggio 2006 · MLB	40	52→58	54→60	49→50	48	267/328/453	186	282	21	8	14%	6%	120	+2.8	250/300/412	162	275	18	6	16%	6%	100	+1.3	244/292/393	150	272	16	4	17%	5%	93	+0.8
✕Paul Konerko 2014 · MLB	38	53→58	51→65	44→30	54	268/336/422	155	283	21	2	14%	9%	115	+2.4	236/297/368	132	273	16	5	19%	7%	88	+0.5	204/254/312	108	246	13	0	23%	4%	60	-0.6
✕Kurt Suzuki 2022 · MLB	38	48→58	49→60	45	48	242/312/390	148	262	18	4	16%	6%	100	+1.3	224/301/361	137	255	16	6	19%	8%	88	+0.5	177/265/289	112	194	15	0	18%	9%	60	-0.4
✕Ken Griffey Jr. 2009 · MLB	39	48→54	56→70	44→45	57	252/332/445	192	264	24	3	16%	10%	119	+2.7	228/317/392	164	248	20	3	17%	11%	101	+1.4	206/306/365	159	219	20	0	17%	12%	93	+0.4
✕Mendy López 2013 · AAA	39	44→54	55	41→30	47	231/306/408	177	291	25	3	29%	9%	101	+1.4	226/303/387	161	284	21	5	27%	9%	95	+1.0	208/295/358	150	251	21	0	26%	10%	87	+0.2
●Torii Hunter 2013 · MLB	38	58→65	51→65	43→55	49	287/348/444	156	338	19	8	20%	8%	124	+3.1	286/329/448	162	327	18	5	18%	5%	118	+2.7	277/319/442	165	310	19	3	17%	5%	114	+2.4
✕Brian Jordan 2005 · MLB	38	51→56	49→55	42→45	50	256/312/405	148	278	16	5	15%	7%	102	+1.5	244/299/374	130	287	14	7	20%	7%	90	+0.6	248/299/360	112	297	13	4	21%	6%	89	+0.2
✕Robert Saucedo 2014 · AAA	38	41→51	52→60	42→40	48	220/281/379	159	239	22	2	20%	7%	85	+0.2	221/282/359	138	252	17	5	20%	7%	80	-0.1	208/277/332	124	243	17	0	22%	8%	70	-0.3
✕Matt Holliday 2018 · MLB	38	46→56	55→65	46→50	53	240/321/423	184	273	23	3	22%	10%	110	+2.1	245/329/414	169	299	20	6	24%	10%	111	+2.1	264/369/414	150	333	18	0	24%	14%	126	+0.7
✕Robinson Chirinos 2022 · MLB	38	44→46	54→60	45→50	48	228/319/409	182	301	22	4	30%	10%	107	+1.8	215/295/356	141	291	16	7	30%	9%	85	+0.2	174/260/278	104	240	11	3	30%	9%	56	-0.7
✕Marlon Byrd 2016 · MLB	38	50→60	57→60	44→50	40	260/302/458	199	320	25	4	27%	5%	112	+2.2	252/307/437	185	317	23	6	27%	7%	108	+1.9	260/317/436	176	340	23	0	29%	8%	112	+0.5
✕José Hernández 2007 · MLB	38	50→60	48→55	42→45	46	249/304/386	137	305	17	5	24%	7%	95	+0.9	228/284/344	116	292	12	7	25%	7%	78	-0.3	224/280/336	112	288	11	7	25%	6%	72	-0.5

Paul Goldschmidt

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps