Robert Saucedo
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 37 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 458 | .268/.361/.463 | 21 | 0 | 79 | — | .219/.288/.377 |
| 2014 | 38 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 271 | .270/.352/.456 | 11 | 0 | 78 | — | .209/.279/.330 |
| 2015 | 39 | AAALeones de Yuc… | 79 | .236/.304/.361 | 2 | 0 | 47 | — | .200/.241/.320 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 29 | AAA | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 460 | 403 | 137 | 19 | 0 | 35 | 47 | 50 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 340 | 415 | 648 | 1.063 | 308 | 316 | 11 | 10 | 454 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 30 | AAA | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 463 | 413 | 134 | 25 | 1 | 27 | 43 | 59 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 324 | 393 | 586 | 979 | 262 | 324 | 13 | 9 | 424 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 31 | AAA | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 465 | 423 | 131 | 29 | 1 | 25 | 31 | 55 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 310 | 365 | 560 | 926 | 251 | 305 | 12 | 7 | 399 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 32 | AAA | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 330 | 295 | 93 | 23 | 0 | 17 | 31 | 33 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 315 | 384 | 566 | 950 | 251 | 308 | 10 | 9 | 412 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 33 | AAA | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 473 | 420 | 146 | 25 | 2 | 24 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 348 | 415 | 588 | 1.003 | 240 | 342 | 9 | 10 | 433 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 34 | AAA | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 374 | 332 | 89 | 22 | 0 | 13 | 33 | 35 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 268 | 343 | 452 | 795 | 184 | 264 | 9 | 9 | 350 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 34 | INTL | Venados de Mazatlan | — | 250 | 215 | 47 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 29 | 48 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 219 | 323 | 391 | 713 | 172 | 237 | 19 | 12 | 320 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 35 | AAA | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 188 | 157 | 49 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 312 | 413 | 580 | 993 | 268 | 317 | 15 | 13 | 423 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 35 | INTL | Venados de Mazatlan | — | 136 | 113 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 248 | 366 | 381 | 746 | 133 | 272 | 15 | 14 | 337 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 36 | AAA | Vaqueros de la Laguna | — | 429 | 377 | 112 | 21 | 1 | 24 | 41 | 73 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 297 | 375 | 549 | 924 | 252 | 309 | 17 | 10 | 399 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 36 | INTL | Aguilas de Mexicali | — | 79 | 73 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 137 | 192 | 247 | 439 | 110 | 148 | 23 | 6 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 37 | AAA | Leones de Yucatan | — | 402 | 344 | 96 | 12 | 0 | 20 | 47 | 56 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 279 | 374 | 488 | 862 | 209 | 278 | 14 | 12 | 377 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 37 | INTL | Yaquis de Obregon | — | 56 | 51 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 196 | 268 | 294 | 562 | 98 | 205 | 11 | 9 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 38 | AAA | Leones de Yucatan | — | 229 | 198 | 53 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 27 | 40 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 268 | 358 | 449 | 808 | 182 | 291 | 17 | 12 | 356 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 38 | INTL | Yaquis de Obregon | — | 42 | 39 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 282 | 317 | 487 | 804 | 205 | 273 | 12 | 5 | 344 | 119 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 39 | AAA | Leones de Yucatan | — | 79 | 72 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 236 | 304 | 361 | 665 | 125 | 246 | 11 | 8 | 301 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 29 | AAA MLE | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 460 | 420 | 116 | 15 | 0 | 25 | 30 | 60 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 276 | 332 | 490 | 822 | 214 | 264 | 13 | 7 | 352 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 30 | AAA MLE | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 463 | 427 | 108 | 19 | 1 | 18 | 29 | 71 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 253 | 307 | 429 | 735 | 176 | 262 | 15 | 6 | 318 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 31 | AAA MLE | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 465 | 435 | 105 | 22 | 1 | 17 | 19 | 66 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 241 | 283 | 414 | 696 | 172 | 243 | 14 | 4 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 32 | AAA MLE | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 330 | 310 | 76 | 18 | 0 | 12 | 16 | 40 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 245 | 287 | 419 | 706 | 174 | 242 | 12 | 5 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 33 | AAA MLE | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 473 | 439 | 119 | 19 | 2 | 16 | 27 | 53 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 271 | 316 | 433 | 749 | 162 | 271 | 11 | 6 | 327 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 34 | AAA MLE | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 374 | 346 | 68 | 16 | 0 | 8 | 19 | 45 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 197 | 249 | 312 | 561 | 116 | 199 | 12 | 5 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 35 | AAA MLE | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 188 | 168 | 41 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 35 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 244 | 310 | 429 | 738 | 185 | 248 | 19 | 7 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 36 | AAA MLE | Vaqueros de la Laguna | — | 429 | 393 | 81 | 14 | 1 | 15 | 25 | 95 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 206 | 264 | 361 | 625 | 155 | 223 | 22 | 6 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 37 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 402 | 361 | 79 | 9 | 0 | 16 | 30 | 70 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 219 | 288 | 377 | 665 | 158 | 220 | 17 | 7 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 38 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 229 | 206 | 43 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 209 | 279 | 330 | 609 | 121 | 240 | 21 | 8 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 39 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 79 | 75 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 241 | 320 | 561 | 120 | 208 | 14 | 4 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 29 | AAA MLE | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 460 | 420 | 116 | 15 | 0 | 25 | 30 | 60 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 276 | 332 | 490 | 822 | 214 | 268 | 13 | 7 | 352 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 29 | AAA RAW | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 460 | 403 | 137 | 19 | 0 | 35 | 47 | 50 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 340 | 415 | 648 | 1.063 | 308 | 316 | 11 | 10 | 454 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 30 | AAA MLE | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 463 | 427 | 108 | 19 | 1 | 18 | 29 | 71 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 253 | 307 | 429 | 735 | 176 | 264 | 15 | 6 | 318 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 30 | AAA RAW | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 463 | 413 | 134 | 25 | 1 | 27 | 43 | 59 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 324 | 393 | 586 | 979 | 262 | 324 | 13 | 9 | 424 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 31 | AAA MLE | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 465 | 435 | 105 | 22 | 1 | 17 | 19 | 66 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 241 | 283 | 414 | 696 | 172 | 246 | 14 | 4 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 31 | AAA RAW | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 465 | 423 | 131 | 29 | 1 | 25 | 31 | 55 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 310 | 365 | 560 | 926 | 251 | 305 | 12 | 7 | 399 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 32 | AAA MLE | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 330 | 310 | 76 | 18 | 0 | 12 | 16 | 40 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 245 | 287 | 419 | 706 | 174 | 246 | 12 | 5 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 32 | AAA RAW | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 330 | 295 | 93 | 23 | 0 | 17 | 31 | 33 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 315 | 384 | 566 | 950 | 251 | 308 | 10 | 9 | 412 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 33 | AAA MLE | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 473 | 439 | 119 | 19 | 2 | 16 | 27 | 53 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 271 | 316 | 433 | 749 | 162 | 275 | 11 | 6 | 327 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 33 | AAA RAW | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 473 | 420 | 146 | 25 | 2 | 24 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 348 | 415 | 588 | 1.003 | 240 | 342 | 9 | 10 | 433 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 34 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 624 | 578 | 114 | 27 | 0 | 14 | 31 | 75 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 197 | 249 | 317 | 566 | 119 | 202 | 12 | 5 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 34 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 624 | 547 | 136 | 32 | 0 | 22 | 62 | 83 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 249 | 335 | 428 | 763 | 179 | 254 | 13 | 10 | 338 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 35 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 324 | 290 | 69 | 14 | 1 | 11 | 23 | 60 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 238 | 305 | 407 | 712 | 169 | 258 | 19 | 7 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 35 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 324 | 270 | 77 | 16 | 1 | 13 | 43 | 48 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 285 | 393 | 496 | 889 | 211 | 298 | 15 | 13 | 387 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 36 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 508 | 466 | 96 | 17 | 1 | 18 | 30 | 112 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 206 | 263 | 363 | 626 | 157 | 228 | 22 | 6 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 36 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 508 | 450 | 122 | 23 | 1 | 26 | 46 | 91 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 271 | 347 | 500 | 847 | 229 | 283 | 18 | 9 | 368 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 37 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 458 | 413 | 91 | 11 | 0 | 18 | 34 | 79 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 220 | 288 | 378 | 665 | 157 | 227 | 17 | 7 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 37 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 458 | 395 | 106 | 14 | 0 | 21 | 52 | 62 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 268 | 361 | 463 | 824 | 195 | 268 | 14 | 11 | 362 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 38 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 271 | 244 | 51 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 22 | 59 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 209 | 277 | 328 | 605 | 119 | 243 | 22 | 8 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 38 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 271 | 237 | 64 | 11 | 0 | 11 | 29 | 45 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 270 | 352 | 456 | 808 | 186 | 288 | 17 | 11 | 354 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 39 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 79 | 75 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 241 | 320 | 561 | 120 | 210 | 14 | 4 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 39 | AAA RAW | Leones de Yucatan | — | 79 | 72 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 236 | 304 | 361 | 665 | 125 | 246 | 11 | 8 | 301 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 29 | AAA MLE | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 460 | 422 | 116 | 15 | 0 | 25 | 30 | 60 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 275 | 332 | 488 | 820 | 213 | 264 | 13 | 7 | 352 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 30 | AAA MLE | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 463 | 427 | 108 | 19 | 1 | 18 | 29 | 71 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 253 | 307 | 429 | 735 | 176 | 262 | 15 | 6 | 318 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 31 | AAA MLE | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 465 | 437 | 105 | 22 | 1 | 17 | 19 | 66 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 240 | 283 | 412 | 695 | 172 | 243 | 14 | 4 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 32 | AAA MLE | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 330 | 309 | 76 | 18 | 0 | 12 | 16 | 40 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 287 | 421 | 707 | 175 | 242 | 12 | 5 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 33 | AAA MLE | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 473 | 441 | 119 | 19 | 2 | 16 | 27 | 53 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 270 | 316 | 431 | 747 | 161 | 271 | 11 | 6 | 327 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 34 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 624 | 579 | 114 | 27 | 0 | 14 | 31 | 75 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 197 | 249 | 316 | 565 | 119 | 199 | 12 | 5 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 35 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 324 | 293 | 69 | 14 | 1 | 11 | 23 | 60 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 235 | 305 | 403 | 708 | 167 | 248 | 19 | 7 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 36 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 508 | 467 | 96 | 17 | 1 | 18 | 30 | 112 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 206 | 263 | 362 | 625 | 156 | 223 | 22 | 6 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 37 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 458 | 416 | 91 | 11 | 0 | 18 | 34 | 79 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 219 | 288 | 375 | 663 | 156 | 220 | 17 | 7 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 38 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 271 | 246 | 51 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 22 | 59 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 207 | 277 | 325 | 602 | 118 | 240 | 22 | 8 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 39 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 79 | 75 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 241 | 320 | 561 | 120 | 208 | 14 | 4 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4455 | 4097 | 960 | 173 | 6 | 158 | 264 | 686 | 46 | 11 | 10 | 234 | 288 | 395 | 683 | 161 | 243 | 15 | 6 | 298 | 88 | -65 | -2 | +0 | -111 | +97 | -8.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 598 | 140 | 25 | 1 | 23 | 39 | 100 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 234 | 289 | 395 | 684 | 161 | 243 | 15 | 6 | 298 | 88 | -10 | +0 | +0 | -16 | +14 | -1.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2015 AAALeones de Yucatan · 79 PAwOBA .288 → .237 (−51)K% 11.4% → 13.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.39% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 13.67% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.33% | ÷0.949 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 4.32% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.27% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 1.12% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.05% | ÷1.005 | ×0.930 | ×0.990 | ×0.940 | 16.39% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.76% | ÷0.935 | ×0.830 | ×0.990 | ×0.940 | 3.93% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×0.990 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.17% | ÷0.849 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 2.46% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 70, 1B 101, 2B 87, 3B 130, K 100, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 40 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (12.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.
Result: wOBA .288 → .237; ISO .125 → .100; BABIP .246 → .208. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAALeones de Yucatan · 229 PAwOBA .350 → .272 (−78)K% 17.5% → 21.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.47% | ÷0.971 | ×1.200 | — | — | 21.59% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.79% | ÷0.921 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 8.31% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.44% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 0.39% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.15% | ÷0.969 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×0.940 | 18.99% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.70% | ÷0.970 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.940 | 4.35% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.70% | ÷0.947 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 3.96% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 94, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 94, BB 84 — applied at half strength. Age: age 39 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (11.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .350 → .272; ISO .182 → .131; BABIP .291 → .240. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAALeones de Yucatan · 402 PAwOBA .370 → .289 (−80)K% 13.9% → 17.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.93% | ÷0.964 | ×1.200 | — | — | 17.35% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.19% | ÷0.987 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 7.36% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.24% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 1.10% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷1.019 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×0.940 | 18.11% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.17% | ÷0.992 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.940 | 3.11% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.955 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.94% | ÷0.866 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 5.28% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 104, 2B 98, 3B 91, K 93, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 38 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (10.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .370 → .289; ISO .209 → .164; BABIP .278 → .220. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAAVaqueros de la Laguna · 429 PAwOBA .390 → .275 (−115)K% 17.0% → 22.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.02% | ÷0.925 | ×1.200 | — | — | 22.07% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.62% | ÷0.942 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 5.94% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.40% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 1.24% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.71% | ÷1.081 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×0.940 | 16.68% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.91% | ÷1.114 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.940 | 4.60% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.33% | ÷1.132 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.940 | 0.24% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.89% | ÷1.018 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 5.10% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 116, 2B 123, 3B 126, K 85, BB 88 — applied at half strength. Age: age 37 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (9.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .390 → .275; ISO .252 → .164; BABIP .309 → .223. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAASultanes de Monterrey · 188 PAwOBA .416 → .317 (−99)K% 14.9% → 18.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.89% | ÷0.972 | ×1.200 | — | — | 18.40% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.17% | ÷1.026 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 7.06% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.60% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 1.41% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.71% | ÷1.003 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×0.940 | 17.98% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.75% | ÷0.997 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.940 | 5.76% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.78% | ÷1.020 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.940 | 0.62% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.75% | ÷1.053 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 4.85% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 101, 2B 99, 3B 104, K 94, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 36 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (8.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .416 → .317; ISO .268 → .189; BABIP .317 → .248. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AAADiablos Rojos del Mexico · 374 PAwOBA .341 → .249 (−92)K% 9.4% → 12.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.36% | ÷0.938 | ×1.200 | — | — | 11.97% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.02% | ÷1.031 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 5.05% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.34% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 1.18% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.18% | ÷1.054 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×0.940 | 14.33% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.41% | ÷1.029 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.940 | 5.34% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.38% | ÷1.081 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 2.67% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 111, 2B 106, 3B 130, K 88, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 35 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .341 → .249; ISO .184 → .123; BABIP .264 → .199. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 AAADiablos Rojos del Mexico · 473 PAwOBA .423 → .327 (−96)K% 9.3% → 11.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.30% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 11.16% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.88% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 5.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.42% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 0.37% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.27% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×0.940 | 20.98% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.65% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.940 | 4.93% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.53% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.940 | 0.44% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.38% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 4.20% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .423 → .327; ISO .240 → .171; BABIP .342 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2008 AAADiablos Rojos del Mexico · 330 PAwOBA .398 → .305 (−92)K% 10.0% → 12.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.00% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 12.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.58% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.942 | 4.92% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.61% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.942 | 0.54% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.23% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×0.942 | 16.84% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.78% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.942 | 6.52% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.942 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.49% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.942 | 4.28% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .398 → .305; ISO .251 → .179; BABIP .308 → .242. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .