Carter Jensen
C Kansas City Royals| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | AA/A+/INTL3 orgs | 601 | .272/.385/.478 | 22 | 18 | 102 | — | .214/.296/.369 |
| 2025 | 22 | AAA/AA/INTL3 orgs | 529 | .285/.378/.487 | 20 | 10 | 95 | — | .243/.311/.407 |
| 2025 | 22 | MLBKC | 69 | .300/.391/.550 | 3 | 0 | 170 | 1.9 | |
| 2026 | 23 | MLBKC | 603 | .239/.327/.467 | 27 | 2 | 125 | 4.4 | |
| 2027PROJ | 24 | MLBKC | 445 | .232/.319/.429 | 18 | 4 | 115 | 2.8 | |
| 2028PROJ | 25 | MLBKC | 445 | .232/.320/.431 | 18 | 3 | 116 | 2.8 | |
| 2029PROJ | 26 | MLBKC | 445 | .232/.320/.431 | 18 | 3 | 115 | 2.8 |
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | ACL Royals Gold | — | 67 | 57 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 20 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 281 | 388 | 404 | 792 | 123 | 417 | 30 | 15 | 360 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A | Columbia Fireflies | — | 485 | 393 | 89 | 24 | 2 | 11 | 83 | 103 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 226 | 367 | 382 | 748 | 155 | 275 | 21 | 17 | 340 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A+ | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 497 | 399 | 84 | 20 | 4 | 11 | 92 | 120 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 211 | 360 | 363 | 723 | 153 | 267 | 24 | 19 | 331 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 170 | 150 | 35 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 45 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 233 | 307 | 480 | 787 | 247 | 267 | 26 | 9 | 336 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 376 | 310 | 84 | 15 | 3 | 10 | 57 | 83 | 4 | 16 | 2 | 271 | 391 | 435 | 826 | 165 | 333 | 22 | 15 | 368 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | INTL | Surprise Saguaros | — | 55 | 40 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 425 | 582 | 800 | 1.382 | 375 | 500 | 18 | 25 | 577 | 277 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | — | 69 | 60 | 18 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 300 | 391 | 550 | 941 | 250 | 333 | 17 | 13 | 411 | 170 | +6 | +0 | +0 | +11 | +1 | 1.9 |
| 2025 | 22 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 184 | 153 | 44 | 11 | 1 | 14 | 30 | 52 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 288 | 404 | 647 | 1.051 | 359 | 345 | 28 | 16 | 446 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 308 | 274 | 80 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 70 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 292 | 364 | 420 | 784 | 128 | 368 | 23 | 10 | 349 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | INTL | Aguilas Cibaenas | — | 37 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 207 | 361 | 276 | 637 | 69 | 333 | 32 | 19 | 299 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | — | 603 | 527 | 126 | 35 | 2 | 27 | 65 | 170 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 239 | 327 | 467 | 794 | 228 | 294 | 28 | 11 | 346 | 125 | +18 | +0 | +1 | +11 | +13 | 4.4 |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 672 | 587 | 144 | 41 | 2 | 30 | 74 | 182 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 245 | 334 | 475 | 809 | 230 | 298 | 27 | 11 | 353 | 125 | +20 | +0 | +2 | +21 | +15 | 5.9 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Royals Gold | — | 67 | 61 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 29 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 197 | 269 | 295 | 564 | 98 | 342 | 43 | 9 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A MLE | Columbia Fireflies | — | 485 | 421 | 72 | 19 | 2 | 8 | 55 | 149 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 171 | 273 | 283 | 556 | 112 | 235 | 31 | 11 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A+ MLE | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 497 | 418 | 75 | 17 | 4 | 9 | 73 | 152 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 179 | 303 | 304 | 607 | 124 | 242 | 31 | 15 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | AA MLE | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 170 | 155 | 30 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 55 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 194 | 247 | 406 | 653 | 213 | 230 | 32 | 6 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ MLE | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 376 | 326 | 73 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 41 | 103 | 4 | 16 | 2 | 224 | 318 | 353 | 671 | 129 | 285 | 27 | 11 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MLB MLE | Kansas City Royals | — | 69 | 60 | 18 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 300 | 391 | 550 | 941 | 250 | 333 | 17 | 13 | 420 | 170 | +6 | +0 | +0 | +11 | +1 | 1.9 |
| 2025 | 22 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 184 | 161 | 36 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 22 | 62 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 224 | 317 | 478 | 795 | 255 | 290 | 34 | 12 | 343 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | AA MLE | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 308 | 283 | 72 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 83 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 254 | 308 | 364 | 672 | 110 | 330 | 27 | 7 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | MLB MLE | Kansas City Royals | — | 603 | 528 | 128 | 35 | 2 | 29 | 64 | 170 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 242 | 329 | 481 | 810 | 239 | 294 | 28 | 11 | 353 | 125 | +18 | +0 | +1 | +11 | +13 | 4.4 |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Royals Gold | — | 67 | 61 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 29 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 197 | 269 | 295 | 564 | 98 | 355 | 43 | 9 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK RAW | ACL Royals Gold | — | 67 | 57 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 20 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 281 | 388 | 404 | 792 | 123 | 417 | 30 | 15 | 360 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A MLE | Columbia Fireflies | — | 485 | 421 | 72 | 19 | 2 | 8 | 55 | 149 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 171 | 273 | 283 | 556 | 112 | 238 | 31 | 11 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A RAW | Columbia Fireflies | — | 485 | 393 | 89 | 24 | 2 | 11 | 83 | 103 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 226 | 367 | 382 | 748 | 155 | 275 | 21 | 17 | 340 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A+ MLE | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 497 | 418 | 75 | 17 | 4 | 9 | 73 | 152 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 179 | 303 | 304 | 607 | 124 | 252 | 31 | 15 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A+ RAW | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 497 | 399 | 84 | 20 | 4 | 11 | 92 | 120 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 211 | 360 | 363 | 723 | 153 | 267 | 24 | 19 | 331 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 601 | 529 | 113 | 18 | 6 | 17 | 57 | 174 | 6 | 18 | 3 | 214 | 297 | 367 | 664 | 153 | 277 | 29 | 9 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 601 | 500 | 136 | 25 | 6 | 22 | 86 | 138 | 6 | 18 | 3 | 272 | 385 | 478 | 863 | 206 | 327 | 23 | 14 | 378 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | AA MLE | 4 teams | — | 598 | 536 | 134 | 25 | 6 | 19 | 56 | 168 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 250 | 322 | 425 | 747 | 175 | 326 | 28 | 9 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | AA RAW | 4 teams | — | 598 | 516 | 148 | 28 | 5 | 23 | 76 | 146 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 287 | 379 | 494 | 874 | 207 | 356 | 24 | 13 | 383 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | MLB MLE | Kansas City Royals | — | 603 | 528 | 128 | 35 | 2 | 29 | 64 | 170 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 242 | 329 | 481 | 810 | 239 | 295 | 28 | 11 | 353 | 125 | +18 | +0 | +1 | +11 | +13 | 4.4 |
| 2026 | 23 | MLB RAW | Kansas City Royals | — | 603 | 527 | 126 | 35 | 2 | 27 | 65 | 170 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 239 | 327 | 467 | 794 | 228 | 294 | 28 | 11 | 346 | 125 | +18 | +0 | +1 | +11 | +13 | 4.4 |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Royals Gold | — | 67 | 61 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 29 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 197 | 269 | 295 | 564 | 98 | 342 | 43 | 9 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A MLE | Columbia Fireflies | — | 485 | 423 | 72 | 19 | 2 | 8 | 55 | 149 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 170 | 273 | 281 | 554 | 111 | 235 | 31 | 11 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A+ MLE | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 497 | 420 | 75 | 17 | 4 | 9 | 73 | 152 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 179 | 303 | 302 | 605 | 124 | 242 | 31 | 15 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 601 | 533 | 113 | 18 | 6 | 17 | 57 | 174 | 6 | 18 | 3 | 212 | 297 | 364 | 661 | 152 | 268 | 29 | 9 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | AA MLE | 4 teams | — | 598 | 536 | 134 | 25 | 6 | 19 | 56 | 168 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 250 | 322 | 425 | 747 | 175 | 317 | 28 | 9 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | MLB MLE | Kansas City Royals | — | 603 | 530 | 128 | 35 | 2 | 29 | 64 | 170 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 242 | 329 | 479 | 808 | 238 | 294 | 28 | 11 | 353 | 125 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 21 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 601 | 533 | 113 | 18 | 6 | 17 | 57 | 174 | 6 | 18 | 3 | 212 | 297 | 364 | 661 | 152 | 268 | 29 | 9 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | AA MLE | 4 teams | — | 598 | 536 | 134 | 25 | 6 | 19 | 56 | 168 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 250 | 322 | 425 | 747 | 175 | 317 | 28 | 9 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | MLB MLE | Kansas City Royals | — | 603 | 530 | 128 | 35 | 2 | 29 | 64 | 170 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 242 | 329 | 479 | 808 | 238 | 294 | 28 | 11 | 353 | 125 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB MLE | KC | 100% | 627 | 551 | 130 | 28 | 2 | 27 | 66 | 162 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 236 | 323 | 444 | 767 | 208 | 280 | 26 | 11 | 338 | 115 | +11 | +1 | +3 | +11 | +14 | 3.1 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB CTX | KC | 100% | 445 | 392 | 91 | 20 | 2 | 18 | 47 | 115 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 232 | 319 | 429 | 748 | 197 | 277 | 26 | 11 | 330 | 115 | +8 | +0 | +2 | +8 | +10 | 2.8 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 25 | MLB MLE | KC | 100% | 445 | 392 | 94 | 20 | 2 | 20 | 47 | 114 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 237 | 324 | 447 | 770 | 209 | 280 | 26 | 11 | 339 | 116 | +8 | +0 | +2 | +8 | +10 | 2.8 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB MLE | KC | 100% | 445 | 392 | 94 | 20 | 2 | 20 | 47 | 114 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 237 | 324 | 446 | 770 | 209 | 280 | 26 | 11 | 339 | 115 | +8 | +0 | +2 | +8 | +10 | 2.8 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB MLE | KC | 100% | 445 | 392 | 93 | 19 | 2 | 20 | 47 | 115 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 236 | 323 | 443 | 766 | 208 | 279 | 26 | 11 | 337 | 115 | +8 | +0 | +2 | +8 | +10 | 2.8 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB MLE | KC | 100% | 445 | 392 | 90 | 19 | 1 | 19 | 47 | 116 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 234 | 321 | 439 | 759 | 205 | 278 | 26 | 11 | 335 | 113 | +7 | +0 | +1 | +8 | +10 | 2.6 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB MLE | KC | 100% | 445 | 392 | 90 | 19 | 1 | 19 | 47 | 117 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 231 | 318 | 432 | 750 | 201 | 276 | 26 | 11 | 331 | 110 | +5 | +0 | +0 | +8 | +10 | 2.4 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB MLE | KC | 100% | 445 | 392 | 90 | 19 | 1 | 19 | 47 | 119 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 228 | 314 | 424 | 738 | 196 | 274 | 27 | 11 | 326 | 107 | +4 | +0 | -0 | +8 | +10 | 2.1 |
| 2034 | 31 | MLB MLE | KC | 100% | 426 | 377 | 84 | 18 | 1 | 17 | 44 | 115 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 223 | 309 | 413 | 722 | 190 | 270 | 27 | 10 | 320 | 102 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +8 | +9 | 1.7 |
| 2035 | 32 | MLB MLE | KC | 100% | 407 | 360 | 78 | 16 | 1 | 16 | 42 | 112 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 217 | 302 | 398 | 700 | 181 | 264 | 28 | 10 | 311 | 97 | -2 | +0 | -2 | +7 | +9 | 1.3 |
| 2036 | 33 | MLB MLE | KC | 100% | 387 | 343 | 72 | 15 | 1 | 14 | 39 | 109 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 209 | 293 | 380 | 673 | 171 | 257 | 28 | 10 | 300 | 89 | -5 | +0 | -3 | +7 | +8 | 0.8 |
| 2037 | 34 | MLB MLE | KC | 96% | 328 | 291 | 57 | 11 | 0 | 11 | 33 | 95 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 199 | 282 | 359 | 641 | 159 | 248 | 29 | 10 | 287 | 81 | -8 | +0 | -4 | +6 | +7 | 0.2 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB CTX | KC | 100% | 445 | 392 | 91 | 20 | 2 | 18 | 47 | 114 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 232 | 320 | 431 | 751 | 198 | 277 | 26 | 11 | 332 | 116 | +8 | +0 | +2 | +8 | +10 | 2.8 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB CTX | KC | 100% | 445 | 392 | 91 | 20 | 2 | 18 | 47 | 114 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 232 | 320 | 431 | 750 | 198 | 277 | 26 | 11 | 331 | 115 | +8 | +0 | +2 | +8 | +10 | 2.8 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB CTX | KC | 100% | 445 | 392 | 90 | 19 | 2 | 18 | 47 | 115 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 231 | 319 | 428 | 747 | 197 | 276 | 26 | 11 | 330 | 115 | +8 | +0 | +2 | +8 | +10 | 2.8 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB CTX | KC | 100% | 445 | 392 | 90 | 19 | 2 | 18 | 47 | 116 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 229 | 317 | 423 | 740 | 194 | 275 | 26 | 11 | 327 | 113 | +7 | +0 | +1 | +8 | +10 | 2.6 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB CTX | KC | 100% | 445 | 392 | 89 | 19 | 1 | 18 | 47 | 117 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 227 | 314 | 417 | 731 | 190 | 274 | 26 | 11 | 324 | 110 | +5 | +0 | +0 | +8 | +10 | 2.4 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB CTX | KC | 100% | 445 | 392 | 87 | 19 | 1 | 17 | 47 | 119 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 223 | 310 | 409 | 719 | 185 | 271 | 27 | 11 | 319 | 107 | +4 | +0 | -0 | +8 | +10 | 2.1 |
| 2034 | 31 | MLB CTX | KC | 100% | 426 | 377 | 83 | 18 | 1 | 16 | 44 | 115 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 219 | 305 | 398 | 703 | 179 | 267 | 27 | 10 | 313 | 102 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +8 | +9 | 1.7 |
| 2035 | 32 | MLB CTX | KC | 100% | 407 | 360 | 77 | 16 | 1 | 15 | 42 | 112 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 213 | 298 | 384 | 682 | 172 | 262 | 28 | 10 | 304 | 97 | -2 | +0 | -2 | +7 | +9 | 1.3 |
| 2036 | 33 | MLB CTX | KC | 100% | 387 | 343 | 70 | 14 | 1 | 13 | 39 | 109 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 205 | 290 | 367 | 656 | 162 | 255 | 28 | 10 | 294 | 89 | -5 | +0 | -3 | +7 | +8 | 0.8 |
| 2037 | 34 | MLB CTX | KC | 96% | 313 | 278 | 54 | 11 | 0 | 10 | 31 | 90 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 195 | 279 | 346 | 625 | 151 | 245 | 29 | 10 | 281 | 81 | -7 | +0 | -3 | +6 | +7 | 0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 4875 | 4297 | 966 | 216 | 15 | 191 | 512 | 1303 | 29 | 13 | 5 | 225 | 311 | 415 | 727 | 191 | 274 | 27 | 11 | 322 | 100 | +47 | +1 | -0 | +96 | +106 | 25.5 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 573 | 129 | 29 | 2 | 25 | 68 | 174 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 225 | 312 | 414 | 725 | 188 | 275 | 27 | 10 | 322 | 100 | +6 | +0 | -0 | +13 | +14 | 3.4 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 7514 | 6608 | 1470 | 311 | 35 | 278 | 798 | 2083 | 44 | 68 | 17 | 222 | 310 | 406 | 717 | 184 | 277 | 28 | 11 | 316 | 100 | +55 | +1 | +1 | +105 | +116 | 28.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 572 | 127 | 27 | 3 | 24 | 69 | 180 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 222 | 310 | 406 | 716 | 184 | 277 | 28 | 11 | 316 | 100 | +7 | +0 | +0 | +13 | +14 | 3.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals · 308 PAwOBA .343 → .290 (−53)K% 22.7% → 27.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.73% | ÷1.022 | ×1.220 | — | — | 27.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.74% | ÷1.059 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.042 | 6.71% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.32% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.042 | 0.29% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.90% | ÷1.034 | ×0.920 | ×0.969 | ×1.042 | 26.86% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.41% | ÷0.984 | ×0.840 | ×0.969 | ×1.042 | 3.80% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.96% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×0.969 | ×1.042 | 2.07% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.94% | ÷1.077 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.042 | 2.28% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 107, 2B 97, 3B 80, K 104, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.969.
Result: wOBA .343 → .290; ISO .128 → .109; BABIP .368 → .330. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 184 PAwOBA .433 → .343 (−90)K% 28.3% → 33.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.26% | ÷1.007 | ×1.200 | — | — | 33.67% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.76% | ÷0.935 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 12.21% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.82% | ÷1.108 | ×0.930 | ×0.992 | ×1.050 | 15.57% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.89% | ÷1.006 | ×0.830 | ×0.992 | ×1.050 | 9.35% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.99% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.992 | ×1.050 | 1.11% |
| Home runs /BIP | 13.86% | ÷1.003 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 10.16% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 122, 2B 101, 3B 80, K 101, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.992.
Result: wOBA .433 → .343; ISO .359 → .274; BABIP .345 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Quad Cities River Bandits · 376 PAwOBA .362 → .298 (−64)K% 22.1% → 27.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.07% | ÷1.024 | ×1.270 | — | — | 27.37% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.63% | ÷0.967 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.027 | 11.03% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.06% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.027 | 0.86% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.67% | ÷0.988 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 22.41% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.61% | ÷1.113 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 4.69% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.32% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 0.95% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.41% | ÷0.959 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 3.78% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 98, 2B 123, 3B 130, K 105, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .362 → .298; ISO .165 → .132; BABIP .333 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals · 170 PAwOBA .334 → .281 (−53)K% 26.5% → 32.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.47% | ÷0.991 | ×1.220 | — | — | 32.57% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.82% | ÷1.056 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 6.14% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.59% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.050 | 0.54% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.19% | ÷1.073 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | 13.84% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.67% | ÷1.025 | ×0.840 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | 5.45% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.86% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | 2.98% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.62% | ÷0.920 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.050 | 6.96% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 115, 2B 105, 3B 80, K 98, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .334 → .281; ISO .247 → .222; BABIP .267 → .230. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Quad Cities River Bandits · 497 PAwOBA .326 → .272 (−53)K% 24.1% → 30.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.14% | ÷1.005 | ×1.270 | — | — | 30.51% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 18.31% | ÷0.929 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.042 | 14.58% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.20% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.042 | 0.17% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.56% | ÷0.997 | ×0.920 | ×0.970 | ×1.042 | 16.38% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.17% | ÷0.957 | ×0.810 | ×0.970 | ×1.042 | 6.13% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.43% | ÷0.908 | ×0.850 | ×0.970 | ×1.042 | 1.36% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.94% | ÷1.033 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.042 | 3.18% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 99, 2B 91, 3B 82, K 101, BB 86 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.970.
Result: wOBA .326 → .272; ISO .153 → .125; BABIP .267 → .242. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AColumbia Fireflies · 485 PAwOBA .335 → .253 (−82)K% 21.2% → 30.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.24% | ÷0.937 | ×1.360 | — | — | 30.82% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.91% | ÷1.069 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.045 | 11.40% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.82% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.045 | 0.67% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.93% | ÷1.054 | ×0.920 | ×0.956 | ×1.045 | 15.65% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.28% | ÷0.985 | ×0.830 | ×0.956 | ×1.045 | 6.97% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.69% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | ×0.956 | ×1.045 | 0.70% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.79% | ÷1.140 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.045 | 2.78% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 128, 1B 111, 2B 97, 3B 80, K 87, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.956.
Result: wOBA .335 → .253; ISO .155 → .118; BABIP .275 → .235. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ROKACL Royals Gold · 67 PAwOBA .351 → .238 (−113)K% 29.9% → 43.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.85% | ÷0.995 | ×1.440 | — | — | 43.21% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.93% | ÷1.004 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.022 | 9.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 32.43% | ÷0.998 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.022 | 27.26% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.41% | ÷0.949 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 4.19% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.70% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 1.99% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.70% | ÷1.006 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.022 | 2.14% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 100, 2B 90, 3B 100, K 99, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .351 → .238; ISO .123 → .081; BABIP .417 → .342. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .