Jesús Sánchez — OGILVIE

Jesús SánchezRF Toronto Blue Jays

Age 28 L/R 6'3" / 222 lbs MLB Svc 4.686 · Ctrl thru 2027 ILInjured 10-Day (D10)

2026 ROS PROJECTION234 act + 235 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 2790vR 115

AVG/OBP/SLG.251 / .309 / .428

PA235

HR8

K%23

BB%6

BABIP299

ISO177

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT50

Whiff%

4811.1%

xwOBA

740.336

POWER55

Barrel%

7211.5

Avg EV

8991.8

Bat Spd

5571.9

EYE40

Chase%

6029.7%

SPEED50

Sprint

2726.4

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1112 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

190

922

—

wRC+

115

▶▶R

wOBA

221

335

▶▶R

ISO

092

177

▶▶R

BABIP

210

317

▶▶R

29.5%

22.8%

▶▶R

BB%

6.3%

7.8%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-2

MLB Debut 2020

Service 4.686 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2028

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$3M	+0.5	$2M	-$0.6M
2027	Arb-3	$5M	+1.2	$9M	+$5M
Totals		$7M		$11M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	17	ROK	DSL Rays	—	268	248	61	9	5	3	11	47	2	8	1	246	284	359	642	113	284	18	4	283	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	17	ROK	DSL Rays	—	268	239	79	13	7	4	20	33	2	8	1	331	387	494	881	163	361	12	7	379	148	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	18	ROK	Princeton Rays	—	226	216	54	7	6	5	6	61	0	2	5	250	270	407	678	157	320	27	3	287	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	18	ROK	Princeton Rays	—	226	213	70	10	8	7	9	43	0	2	5	329	356	549	905	221	380	19	4	386	154	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	19	A	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	512	487	125	20	3	12	20	131	1	7	2	257	287	384	671	127	325	26	4	289	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	19	A	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	512	475	145	29	4	15	32	91	1	7	2	305	350	478	828	173	349	18	6	363	136	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	20	A+	3 teams	—	505	483	117	29	1	13	17	133	3	7	5	242	272	387	660	145	307	26	3	285	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	20	A+	3 teams	—	505	472	132	33	2	11	28	98	3	7	5	280	324	428	752	148	332	19	6	333	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	AA	2 teams	—	465	427	95	11	2	11	27	137	4	5	4	222	275	335	610	112	295	29	6	267	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	AA	2 teams	—	465	415	108	14	2	13	39	100	4	5	4	260	330	398	727	137	308	22	8	322	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	22	INTL	2 teams	—	66	57	2	2	0	0	9	25	0	0	1	35	167	70	237	35	62	38	14	141	-34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	22	INTL	2 teams	—	66	61	11	3	1	1	5	21	0	0	1	180	242	311	554	131	256	32	8	249	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	MLB	3 teams	—	490	450	129	16	6	31	33	138	6	2	1	287	344	556	899	269	348	28	7	377	147	+26	+0	-0	-5	+14	3.5
2021	23	MLB	3 teams	—	490	439	129	23	6	24	44	122	6	2	1	294	366	538	904	244	357	25	9	394	160	+33	+0	-0	-5	+14	4.3
2022	24	MLB	3 teams	—	647	589	136	27	4	22	51	175	6	6	1	231	299	402	701	171	290	27	8	308	94	-5	+1	-2	+2	+18	1.5
2022	24	MLB	3 teams	—	647	581	144	28	4	20	59	155	6	6	1	248	324	413	737	165	305	24	9	329	110	+7	+1	-2	+2	+18	2.7
2023	25	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	402	360	95	24	3	15	38	107	2	3	1	264	338	472	810	208	335	27	9	348	124	+11	+0	-2	-4	+11	1.7
2023	25	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	402	360	91	23	3	14	38	107	2	3	1	253	328	450	778	197	321	27	9	342	120	+9	+0	-2	-4	+11	1.5
2024	26	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	537	489	127	26	1	19	41	140	4	16	2	260	322	434	756	174	325	26	8	329	110	+6	+2	-0	-6	+15	1.8
2024	26	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	537	489	123	25	1	18	41	140	4	16	2	252	315	417	732	166	315	26	8	324	106	+4	+2	-0	-6	+15	1.6
2025	27	MLB	Houston Astros	—	497	451	104	20	4	13	42	110	2	13	3	231	299	379	678	149	276	22	8	300	88	-7	+1	-2	-5	+14	0.2
2025	27	MLB	Houston Astros	—	497	451	107	21	4	14	42	110	2	13	3	237	305	395	700	157	283	22	8	312	97	-2	+1	-2	-5	+14	0.7
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	28	MLB	TOR	—	234	215	59	14	0	7	10	52	5	1	1	274	322	437	759	163	325	22	4	325	107	+2	-0	-1	-3	+7	0.5
YTD	28	MLB	TOR	—	234	215	59	14	0	7	10	52	5	1	1	274	322	437	759	163	325	22	4	332	112	+3	-0	-1	-3	+7	0.7
ROS	28	MLB	TOR	100%	235	215	54	12	1	8	15	54	3	4	1	251	309	428	737	177	300	23	6	323	106	+1	+0	+2	-3	+7	0.8
ROS	28	MLB	TOR	100%	235	215	55	12	1	8	15	54	3	4	1	256	313	433	746	177	301	23	6	315	100	-0	+0	+2	-3	+7	0.6
FULL	28	MLB	TOR	—	469	430	114	26	1	15	25	106	8	5	2	265	317	435	752	170	315	23	5	320	103	+2	+0	+1	-5	+13	1.2
TOT	28	MLB	TOR	—	469	430	113	26	1	15	25	106	8	5	2	263	315	433	748	170	312	23	5	324	106	+3	+0	+1	-5	+13	1.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	29	MLB	TOR	100%	484	443	109	23	3	15	32	113	6	7	3	246	306	413	719	167	295	23	7	318	102	+1	+0	+2	-5	+14	1.2
2027	29	MLB	TOR	100%	484	443	109	23	3	15	32	113	6	7	3	246	306	413	719	167	296	23	7	311	96	-2	+0	+2	-5	+14	0.9
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2778	2523	610	127	17	96	218	705	23	44	11	242	308	420	728	178	297	25	8	320	103	+8	+4	-2	-27	+79	6.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	143	30	4	22	51	165	5	10	3	242	308	419	726	176	299	25	8	320	103	+2	+1	-1	-6	+18	1.5
Career	—			—	5334	4915	1208	226	39	167	342	1371	39	80	30	246	300	410	710	164	305	26	6	309	94	-34	+4	-2	-48	+151	7.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	599	148	28	5	20	42	167	5	10	4	247	302	411	713	164	308	26	6	309	94	-4	+0	-0	-6	+18	0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	17	ROK	DSL Rays	—	268	239	79	13	7	4	20	33	2	8	1	331	387	494	881	163	361	12	7	379	148	+15	+1	—	—	+8	2.4
2016	18	ROK	Princeton Rays	—	226	213	70	10	8	7	9	43	0	2	5	329	356	549	905	221	380	19	4	386	154	+14	-2	—	—	+6	1.9
2017	19	A	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	512	475	145	29	4	15	32	91	1	7	2	305	350	478	828	173	349	18	6	363	136	+21	+1	—	—	+15	3.7
2018	20	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	110	98	21	8	0	1	11	21	1	1	1	214	300	327	627	112	263	19	10	287	78	-3	-0	—	—	+3	0.0
2018	20	A+	Charlotte Stone Crabs	—	378	359	108	24	2	10	15	71	2	6	3	301	332	462	795	162	350	19	4	349	125	+11	+0	—	—	+11	2.2
2018	20	INTL	Toros del Este	—	17	15	3	1	0	0	2	6	0	0	1	200	294	267	561	67	333	35	12	264	60	-1	-0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2019	21	AAA	New Orleans Baby Cakes	—	149	128	29	3	1	5	15	35	2	0	0	227	317	383	700	156	264	23	10	308	94	-1	+0	—	—	+4	0.3
2019	21	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	316	287	79	11	1	8	24	65	2	5	4	275	335	404	740	129	327	21	8	329	110	+4	-1	—	—	+9	1.2
2020	22	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	29	25	1	1	0	0	4	11	0	0	0	40	172	80	252	40	71	38	14	141	-34	-4	+0	-0	-1	+1	-0.5
2020	22	INTL	Toros del Este	—	37	36	10	2	1	1	1	10	0	0	1	278	297	472	770	194	360	27	3	335	114	+1	-0	—	—	+1	0.1
2021	23	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	251	227	57	8	2	14	20	78	3	0	1	251	320	489	809	238	316	31	8	353	128	+8	-0	-0	-5	+7	1.0
2021	23	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	155	141	49	5	4	10	12	29	2	1	0	348	406	652	1.059	305	382	19	8	456	207	+19	+0	—	—	+4	2.4
2021	23	INTL	Toros del Este	—	84	71	23	10	0	0	12	15	1	1	0	324	429	465	893	141	411	18	14	401	165	+6	+0	—	—	+2	0.9
2022	24	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	343	313	67	14	3	13	26	92	3	1	0	214	281	403	683	188	258	27	8	302	90	-4	+0	-2	+2	+10	0.6
2022	24	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	183	159	49	7	0	6	21	39	3	4	1	308	399	465	864	157	377	21	11	387	155	+11	+0	—	—	+5	1.7
2022	24	INTL	Toros del Este	—	121	109	28	7	1	1	12	24	0	1	0	257	331	367	698	110	321	20	10	316	100	+0	+0	—	—	+3	0.4
2023	25	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	402	360	91	23	3	14	38	107	2	3	1	253	328	450	778	197	321	27	9	342	120	+9	+0	-2	-4	+11	1.5
2024	26	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	537	489	123	25	1	18	41	140	4	16	2	252	315	417	732	166	315	26	8	324	106	+4	+2	-0	-6	+15	1.6
2025	27	MLB	Houston Astros	—	497	451	107	21	4	14	42	110	2	13	3	237	305	395	700	157	283	22	8	312	97	-2	+1	-2	-5	+14	0.7
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	2059	1865	446	92	13	73	171	538	14	33	7	239	308	420	728	181	296	26	8	322	105	+11	+4	-6	-19	+58	4.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Wil Myerslast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,290 PA	11	4,290	156	107	252	326	437	-47	-45	10.7	10.7
#1Wil Myerslast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,290 PA	/162	664	24	17	252	326	437	-7.3	-6.9	1.7	pk7: 11
#2Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	11	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
	/162	664	24	4	242	316	418	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
#3Mitch Hanigerlast yr '24 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,089 PA	8	3,089	130	19	250	324	448	-31	-36	7.8	8.4
	/162	664	28	4	250	324	448	-6.7	-7.8	1.7	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	3,217	111	52	247	308	426	-34	-14	7.8	7.7
	/162	664	23	11	247	308	426	-7.1	-2.8	1.6	pk7: 8
#4Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#5Eric Karroslast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,197 PA	5	2,197	73	13	255	317	418	-19	-17	3.9	3.9
	/162	664	22	4	255	317	418	-5.7	-5.2	1.2	pk7: 4
#6Nomar Mazaralast yr '22 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,690 PA	7	2,690	85	7	256	315	414	-29	-21	3.7	3.7
	/162	664	21	2	256	315	414	-7.1	-5.3	0.9	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jesús Sánchez (OGILVIE)	28	50	55	50	40	263/315/433	170	312	15	5	23%	5%	106	+1.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Chris Heisey 2013 · MLB	28	49→52	51→55	50→55	43	250/305/411	161	301	19	10	24%	6%	102	+1.8	226/282/387	161	268	19	10	23%	6%	85	+0.7	198/274/383	185	226	26	8	26%	8%	78	+0.1
●Brian Goodwin 2019 · MLB	28	46→53	52→60	50	44	234/294/402	168	301	20	12	29%	7%	95	+1.4	240/311/424	184	314	21	11	29%	9%	107	+2.2	234/310/413	179	302	20	9	28%	9%	100	+1.0
✕Brennan Boesch 2013 · MLB	28	53→58	51→60	46→50	47	266/319/429	163	306	18	8	20%	6%	111	+2.5	246/289/400	154	302	17	9	24%	5%	92	+1.2	234/269/369	135	294	15	9	26%	4%	72	-0.1
✕John Rodriguez 2006 · MLB	28	48→47	57→55	52→40	45	249/317/444	195	301	25	9	26%	7%	115	+2.8	245/320/409	164	309	17	5	25%	8%	107	+2.2	239/321/389	150	307	15	1	25%	9%	99	+0.7
✕John Bowker 2010 · MLB	27	51→55	52→55	47→45	48	261/323/433	172	304	19	8	21%	8%	115	+2.7	252/302/421	169	294	20	5	21%	6%	102	+1.9	235/272/391	156	273	19	2	22%	4%	78	+0.2
●Zach McKinstry 2023 · MLB	28	47→54	49→55	51→55	47	239/300/397	159	290	16	10	23%	8%	95	+1.4	240/307/383	143	296	12	19	22%	8%	94	+1.3	243/315/392	149	299	12	23	22%	8%	98	+1.2
●Trenton Brooks 2023 · AAA	28	48→52	49→55	49→45	50	241/310/393	152	285	16	5	22%	8%	98	+1.6	239/319/386	147	274	16	8	18%	10%	101	+1.8	231/316/375	144	262	16	8	18%	10%	96	+1.1
●Alex Dickerson 2019 · MLB	29	51→55	51→60	51→45	48	259/316/428	169	287	18	9	17%	6%	110	+2.4	270/337/472	202	315	23	4	21%	8%	131	+3.9	270/342/486	215	312	26	1	22%	8%	132	+1.9
✕Derek Fisher 2022 · MLB	28	45→52	50→55	48→55	47	226/301/381	156	304	18	11	31%	9%	92	+1.2	207/270/343	136	309	15	8	36%	7%	69	-0.4	124/197/248	125	185	17	0	43%	8%	11	-0.8
✕Lonnie Chisenhall 2018 · MLB	29	53→56	50→55	49→45	47	264/317/425	162	306	16	7	20%	7%	109	+2.4	258/322/412	154	310	15	8	21%	8%	108	+2.3	299/376/441	142	348	9	5	15%	9%	130	+0.7
✕Rob Mackowiak 2003 · MLB	27	49→57	52→55	47→50	48	248/323/418	169	311	19	12	26%	9%	111	+2.5	254/326/416	162	313	18	13	23%	9%	111	+2.5	262/335/399	137	315	14	11	20%	9%	105	+1.5
✕Michael Ryan 2005 · MLB	28	52→49	50	48→30	48	263/319/425	161	308	17	11	20%	7%	110	+2.4	229/274/354	125	279	14	4	22%	6%	72	-0.2	234/274/402	168	277	20	2	23%	5%	87	+0.5
✕Gregory Polanco 2020 · MLB	28	48→55	55→60	53→55	51	248/321/440	193	293	21	12	23%	10%	115	+2.8	220/290/396	176	280	22	16	29%	9%	92	+1.2	201/272/370	169	252	22	19	29%	8%	73	-0.1
●Luke Raley 2023 · MLB	28	50→48	54→60	49→50	40	247/325/419	172	333	22	11	31%	6%	113	+2.6	244/325/449	205	319	26	14	31%	7%	121	+3.2	237/324/448	211	310	26	15	31%	7%	118	+1.9
✕Andy Dirks 2013 · MLB	27	56→54	51→55	52→55	47	280/326/446	166	313	18	13	17%	6%	118	+3.0	263/325/395	132	307	14	10	18%	8%	105	+2.1	264/331/378	115	307	12	9	17%	9%	98	+1.3
✕Jason Rogers 2016 · MLB	28	51→53	52→55	49→45	49	260/320/430	170	304	20	4	22%	8%	112	+2.6	255/313/390	135	306	15	5	21%	8%	98	+1.6	254/312/374	120	304	14	3	20%	7%	90	+0.6
✕Mark Payton 2021 · MLB	29	46→53	52→55	45→50	47	238/297/410	172	282	20	10	23%	8%	98	+1.6	235/289/375	140	278	13	12	20%	7%	85	+0.7	240/295/371	131	286	11	10	19%	7%	84	+0.5
✕Cedric Hunter 2016 · AAA	28	49→59	50→55	47→50	45	249/289/408	159	273	18	11	17%	5%	94	+1.3	236/267/364	128	272	15	10	19%	4%	72	-0.2	244/285/386	142	266	16	5	15%	5%	82	+0.3
●Domonic Brown 2015 · MLB	27	49→54	49→55	48→55	49	247/299/398	151	276	17	8	18%	7%	95	+1.4	222/268/326	104	272	10	9	22%	5%	63	-0.9	229/272/369	139	273	18	2	23%	5%	75	-0.0
✕Jorge Piedra 2006 · MLB	27	52	53→55	46→45	49	265/317/446	181	286	19	9	15%	7%	115	+2.8	240/297/401	161	277	17	6	20%	7%	95	+1.4	229/290/383	153	267	17	1	21%	7%	86	+0.3