Jesús Sánchez — OGILVIE

Jesús SánchezRF Toronto Blue Jays

Age 28 L/R 6'3" / 222 lbs MLB HR +12%BB +4% Svc 6.000 · Ctrl thru 2026 peak 1.1 · 2026

wRC+†vL 26105vR 113

AVG/OBP/SLG.243 / .310 / .421

PA494

HR18

SB8

K%24

BB%8

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

50→50

PWR

55→55

SPD

50→50

EYE

49↘40

trajectory · 10 yrs

1.4peak

2026

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2020

Service 6.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Ext / FA-deal	$10M	+1.1	$9M	-$2M
Totals		$10M		$9M	-$2M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	17	ROK	DSL Rays	268	248	61	9	5	3	11	47	2	8	1	.246	.284	.359	.642	.113	.284	18	4	.283	75	-8	+1	+0	-3	+8	-0.2
2016	18	ROK	Princeton Rays	226	216	54	7	6	5	6	61	0	2	5	.250	.270	.407	.678	.157	.320	27	3	.287	78	-6	-2	+0	-2	+6	-0.3
2017	19	A	Bowling Green Hot Rods	512	486	128	22	3	12	21	119	1	7	2	.263	.295	.395	.690	.132	.323	23	4	.297	85	-8	+1	+0	-5	+15	0.1
2018	20	A+	3 teams	505	483	117	30	1	11	17	133	3	7	5	.242	.272	.377	.649	.135	.311	26	3	.282	74	-15	-1	+0	-5	+14	-0.7
2019	21	AA	2 teams	465	427	93	11	2	11	27	134	4	5	4	.218	.271	.330	.601	.112	.285	29	6	.264	60	-21	-1	+0	-5	+13	-1.3
2020	22	INTL	2 teams	66	57	2	2	0	0	9	25	0	0	1	.035	.167	.070	.237	.035	.062	38	14	.144	-32	-10	-0	-0	-1	+2	-1.0
2021	23	MLB	3 teams	490	450	124	15	7	30	33	137	6	2	1	.276	.333	.540	.873	.264	.331	28	7	.365	138	+21	+0	-0	-5	+14	3.0
2022	24	MLB	3 teams	647	590	138	27	4	22	50	172	6	6	1	.234	.300	.405	.705	.171	.292	27	8	.304	91	-7	+1	-2	+2	+18	1.3
2023	25	MLB	Miami Marlins	402	360	86	22	2	14	38	107	2	3	1	.239	.315	.428	.743	.189	.300	27	9	.325	107	+3	+0	-2	-4	+11	0.9
2024	26	MLB	Miami Marlins	537	489	126	26	1	18	41	140	4	16	2	.258	.320	.425	.746	.168	.324	26	8	.322	105	+3	+2	-0	-6	+15	1.5
2025	27	MLB	Houston Astros	497	451	103	21	3	14	42	110	2	13	3	.228	.297	.381	.678	.153	.271	22	8	.303	90	-5	+1	-2	-5	+14	0.3
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	28	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	80	71	19	3	0	2	5	14	2	0	0	.268	.333	.394	.728	.127	.298	18	6	.308	94	-1	+0	-1	-1	+2	0.0
ROS	28	MLB	TOR	414	374	94	19	2	14	33	96	4	8	2	.251	.319	.425	.744	.174	.296	23	8	.326	107	+3	+1	-1	-4	+12	1.1
TOT	28	MLB	TOR	494	445	113	22	2	16	38	110	6	8	2	.254	.321	.420	.741	.166	.300	22	8	.323	105	+3	+1	-1	-5	+14	1.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	29	MLB	TOR	482	437	108	22	2	16	38	99	4	8	2	.247	.313	.416	.730	.169	.283	21	8	.324	106	+3	+1	-2	-5	+14	1.0
2028	30	MLB	TOR	470	426	104	21	2	15	37	98	4	7	2	.244	.310	.408	.719	.164	.281	21	8	.320	103	+2	+1	-3	-5	+13	0.8
2029	31	MLB	TOR	455	412	100	20	2	15	36	97	4	5	1	.243	.310	.410	.720	.167	.280	21	8	.317	101	+0	+1	-4	-5	+13	0.5
2030	32	MLB	TOR	436	394	95	19	2	14	35	95	4	3	0	.241	.309	.406	.716	.165	.278	22	8	.312	97	-2	+1	-4	-5	+12	0.3
2031	33	MLB	TOR	406	368	86	17	1	12	32	92	3	1	0	.234	.300	.383	.683	.149	.277	23	8	.306	93	-3	+0	-5	-4	+12	-0.1
2032	34	MLB	TOR	361	327	75	15	1	10	28	84	3	0	0	.229	.296	.373	.669	.144	.275	23	8	.299	87	-5	+0	-6	-4	+10	-0.4
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			7639	6995	1694	325	46	236	534	1846	56	101	33	.242	.301	.403	.704	.161	.294	24	7	.308	94	-54	+7	-30	-73	+216	6.8
/ 162G	—			650	595	144	28	4	20	45	157	5	9	3	.242	.301	.403	.704	.161	.294	24	7	.308	94	-5	+1	-3	-6	+18	0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	17	ROK	DSL Rays	268	239	79	13	7	4	20	33	2	8	1	.331	.387	.494	.881	.163	.361	12	7	.379	148	+15	+1	—	—	+8	2.4
2016	18	ROK	Princeton Rays	226	213	70	10	8	7	9	43	0	2	5	.329	.356	.549	.905	.221	.380	19	4	.386	154	+14	-2	—	—	+6	1.9
2017	19	A	Bowling Green Hot Rods	512	475	145	29	4	15	32	91	1	7	2	.305	.350	.478	.828	.173	.349	18	6	.363	136	+21	+1	—	—	+15	3.7
2018	20	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	110	98	21	8	0	1	11	21	1	1	1	.214	.300	.327	.627	.112	.263	19	10	.287	78	-3	-0	—	—	+3	0.0
2018	20	A+	Charlotte Stone Crabs	378	359	108	24	2	10	15	71	2	6	3	.301	.332	.462	.795	.162	.350	19	4	.349	125	+11	+0	—	—	+11	2.2
2018	20	INTL	Toros del Este	17	15	3	1	0	0	2	6	0	0	1	.200	.294	.267	.561	.067	.333	35	12	.264	60	-1	-0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2019	21	AAA	New Orleans Baby Cakes	149	128	29	3	1	5	15	35	2	0	0	.227	.317	.383	.700	.156	.264	23	10	.308	94	-1	+0	—	—	+4	0.3
2019	21	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	316	287	79	11	1	8	24	65	2	5	4	.275	.335	.404	.740	.129	.327	21	8	.329	110	+4	-1	—	—	+9	1.2
2020	22	MLB	Miami Marlins	29	25	1	1	0	0	4	11	0	0	0	.040	.172	.080	.252	.040	.071	38	14	.141	-34	-4	+0	-0	-1	+1	-0.5
2020	22	INTL	Toros del Este	37	36	10	2	1	1	1	10	0	0	1	.278	.297	.472	.770	.194	.360	27	3	.335	114	+1	-0	—	—	+1	0.1
2021	23	MLB	Miami Marlins	251	227	57	8	2	14	20	78	3	0	1	.251	.320	.489	.809	.238	.316	31	8	.353	128	+8	-0	-0	-5	+7	1.0
2021	23	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	155	141	49	5	4	10	12	29	2	1	0	.348	.406	.652	1.059	.305	.382	19	8	.456	207	+19	+0	—	—	+4	2.4
2021	23	INTL	Toros del Este	84	71	23	10	0	0	12	15	1	1	0	.324	.429	.465	.893	.141	.411	18	14	.401	165	+6	+0	—	—	+2	0.9
2022	24	MLB	Miami Marlins	343	313	67	14	3	13	26	92	3	1	0	.214	.281	.403	.683	.188	.258	27	8	.302	90	-4	+0	-2	+2	+10	0.6
2022	24	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	183	159	49	7	0	6	21	39	3	4	1	.308	.399	.465	.864	.157	.377	21	11	.387	155	+11	+0	—	—	+5	1.7
2022	24	INTL	Toros del Este	121	109	28	7	1	1	12	24	0	1	0	.257	.331	.367	.698	.110	.321	20	10	.316	100	+0	+0	—	—	+3	0.4
2023	25	MLB	Miami Marlins	402	360	91	23	3	14	38	107	2	3	1	.253	.328	.450	.778	.197	.321	27	9	.342	120	+9	+0	-2	-4	+11	1.5
2024	26	MLB	Miami Marlins	537	489	123	25	1	18	41	140	4	16	2	.252	.315	.417	.732	.166	.315	26	8	.324	106	+4	+2	-0	-6	+15	1.6
2025	27	MLB	Houston Astros	497	451	107	21	4	14	42	110	2	13	3	.237	.305	.395	.700	.157	.283	22	8	.312	97	-2	+1	-2	-5	+14	0.7
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			2059	1865	446	92	13	73	171	538	14	33	7	.239	.308	.420	.728	.181	.296	26	8	.322	105	+11	+4	-6	-19	+58	4.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jesús Sánchez (OGILVIE)	28	50	55	50	40	.247/.313/.417	.170	.283	17	10	20%	8%	107	+1.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Gregory Polanco 2020 · MLB	28	48→55	55→60	53→55	52	.246/.319/.438	.192	.285	22	12	22%	9%	114	+2.7	.221/.292/.402	.181	.278	23	16	28%	9%	94	+1.3	.201/.272/.373	.171	.249	24	19	29%	8%	73	-0.1
●Brian Goodwin 2019 · MLB	28	46→52	51→60	50	44	.235/.293/.400	.165	.301	19	13	28%	7%	93	+1.3	.238/.309/.418	.180	.311	21	11	29%	9%	105	+2.1	.230/.307/.402	.172	.298	19	9	28%	10%	95	+0.8
●Kole Calhoun 2016 · MLB	28	52→56	53→60	47→50	47	.266/.321/.439	.173	.308	21	7	21%	7%	115	+2.7	.253/.326/.414	.161	.298	18	5	21%	9%	111	+2.5	.242/.324/.398	.156	.283	17	4	20%	10%	101	+1.9
✕Scott Schebler 2019 · MLB	28	46→52	55→60	44→50	47	.244/.314/.431	.187	.282	23	6	23%	7%	111	+2.5	.204/.274/.342	.138	.264	17	5	29%	7%	71	-0.3	.164/.226/.272	.108	.237	13	4	36%	5%	30	-1.5
●Michael Saunders 2015 · MLB	28	50→52	52→55	51→55	52	.252/.327/.427	.175	.309	18	15	24%	10%	115	+2.7	.239/.316/.405	.166	.305	18	6	26%	10%	105	+2.1	.215/.287/.378	.162	.268	19	2	26%	8%	80	+0.2
●Ryan Church 2007 · MLB	28	48→55	52→55	50→45	49	.245/.318/.416	.171	.302	20	11	25%	9%	108	+2.3	.262/.335/.433	.171	.316	17	7	22%	9%	119	+3.1	.271/.344/.428	.157	.322	14	5	19%	9%	114	+1.9
✕Alex Dickerson 2019 · MLB	29	51→54	51→55	50→45	48	.259/.316/.424	.165	.283	18	8	16%	6%	109	+2.4	.262/.330/.452	.190	.306	22	5	21%	8%	122	+3.3	.259/.331/.461	.202	.298	24	1	22%	8%	119	+1.5
✕Chris Heisey 2013 · MLB	28	49→52	51→55	49→55	43	.247/.304/.407	.160	.300	19	10	24%	6%	100	+1.7	.230/.286/.388	.158	.274	18	10	23%	6%	87	+0.8	.199/.276/.375	.176	.231	24	8	26%	8%	76	+0.0
●LaMonte Wade Jr. 2022 · MLB	28	45→54	53→55	48→45	53	.232/.318/.404	.172	.266	20	9	22%	10%	105	+2.1	.241/.339/.409	.168	.280	20	5	21%	12%	115	+2.8	.244/.359/.388	.144	.287	17	2	20%	14%	115	+1.9
✕Rob Mackowiak 2004 · MLB	28	51→57	51→55	52→50	48	.254/.327/.423	.169	.321	19	13	26%	8%	113	+2.6	.257/.329/.409	.152	.311	16	12	22%	9%	111	+2.5	.262/.335/.399	.137	.315	14	11	20%	9%	105	+1.5
✕John Rodriguez 2006 · MLB	28	48→47	56→55	52→40	45	.249/.317/.443	.194	.301	25	10	26%	7%	115	+2.8	.247/.321/.412	.165	.311	18	6	25%	8%	108	+2.3	.239/.321/.389	.150	.307	15	1	25%	9%	99	+0.7
●Josh Reddick 2015 · MLB	28	48→58	55→60	51→50	51	.249/.313/.439	.190	.277	22	8	20%	8%	111	+2.5	.272/.331/.442	.170	.292	19	9	14%	8%	120	+3.1	.283/.343/.446	.162	.302	18	9	13%	8%	122	+2.9
●David Murphy 2010 · MLB	28	52→60	50→55	49→50	50	.261/.319/.425	.164	.300	17	10	19%	8%	110	+2.4	.273/.338/.420	.147	.309	16	14	16%	9%	117	+2.9	.281/.349/.418	.137	.313	14	15	14%	9%	114	+2.1
●Chris Richard 2002 · MLB	28	51→53	54→60	45→50	51	.261/.329/.452	.192	.289	21	13	18%	8%	122	+3.3	.248/.315/.416	.168	.283	18	9	19%	8%	107	+2.2	.233/.305/.418	.185	.287	22	8	26%	7%	103	+1.4
✕Alex Call 2023 · MLB	28	47→48	51→50	49→50	53	.239/.324/.402	.163	.270	19	14	20%	10%	108	+2.3	.227/.322/.365	.138	.265	15	15	19%	11%	97	+1.5	.223/.324/.347	.125	.262	12	14	19%	12%	92	+0.8
✕Mark Payton 2021 · MLB	29	46→54	53→55	44→50	47	.240/.299/.414	.174	.283	21	9	23%	8%	99	+1.7	.240/.294/.391	.151	.280	15	12	20%	7%	91	+1.1	.246/.302/.385	.139	.289	13	10	19%	7%	90	+0.8
✕Aaron Altherr 2018 · MLB	27	49→51	52→55	51→50	48	.246/.318/.421	.175	.303	18	13	25%	8%	109	+2.4	.212/.295/.361	.149	.285	16	10	30%	9%	85	+0.7	.178/.270/.308	.130	.245	14	9	31%	10%	59	-0.5
●Mike Tauchman 2020 · MLB	29	51→59	51→55	51→55	50	.254/.321/.426	.172	.302	17	14	22%	9%	111	+2.5	.231/.315/.375	.144	.300	14	14	26%	10%	96	+1.5	.248/.354/.375	.127	.310	13	6	22%	13%	110	+1.7
✕Brennan Boesch 2012 · MLB	27	51→55	53→55	49→50	46	.259/.313/.434	.174	.303	20	8	22%	6%	111	+2.5	.249/.300/.402	.153	.295	17	9	21%	6%	96	+1.5	.241/.281/.378	.137	.299	16	9	24%	5%	79	+0.2
●Harrison Bader 2022 · MLB	28	47→55	56→55	50→55	49	.245/.324/.441	.196	.295	24	14	25%	9%	118	+3.0	.242/.294/.380	.138	.285	15	23	20%	6%	89	+0.9	.240/.297/.372	.133	.292	15	22	23%	6%	85	+0.5

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)