Edward Olivares — OGILVIE

Edward OlivaresRF Bravos de Margarita

Age 30 R/R 6'1" / 190 lbs INTL Svc 6.000 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 350 proj PA

wRC+†vL 9181vR 56

AVG/OBP/SLG.255 / .322 / .413

PA350

HR11

SB10

K%20

BB%7

ISO159

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 60 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2022-2024

CONTACT60

Whiff%

5011.0%

xwOBA

750.337

POWER45

Barrel%

427.1

Avg EV

3087.6

Bat Spd

5571.8

EYE45

Chase%

3335.0%

SPEED55

Sprint

5827.8

Platoon Splits2024 · 196 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

106

—

wRC+

◀◀L

wOBA

304

259

◀L

ISO

190

042

◀◀L

BABIP

236

259

▶R

24.4%

14.1%

▶▶R

BB%

8.9%

7.5%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2020

Service 6.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext / FA-deal	$2M	—	—	—
Totals		$2M		$0.0M	-$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2014	18	ROK	DSL Blue Jays	—	173	148	38	4	2	1	12	33	11	12	3	257	357	331	688	74	322	19	7	299	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	18	ROK	DSL Blue Jays	—	173	140	44	5	3	1	20	23	11	12	3	314	439	414	853	100	368	13	12	388	155	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	19	ROK	GCL Blue Jays	—	142	120	16	5	1	2	7	39	15	14	2	133	268	242	509	108	177	27	5	225	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	19	ROK	GCL Blue Jays	—	142	116	23	8	1	3	11	27	15	14	2	198	345	362	707	164	233	19	8	329	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	20	ROK	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	62	57	12	2	1	1	3	17	1	1	2	211	262	333	596	123	275	27	5	247	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	20	ROK	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	62	55	15	3	1	1	5	12	1	1	2	273	344	418	762	145	326	19	8	336	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	A	2 teams	—	541	506	111	20	6	16	18	145	14	20	9	219	266	377	643	158	273	27	3	274	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	A	2 teams	—	541	494	133	27	10	17	30	99	14	20	9	269	329	468	797	198	304	18	6	349	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A+	2 teams	—	679	643	147	21	11	18	20	173	9	26	9	229	262	379	641	151	282	25	3	275	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A+	2 teams	—	679	625	179	28	12	14	38	121	9	26	9	286	336	437	773	150	333	18	6	340	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	551	504	106	17	1	10	27	139	10	35	10	210	264	308	572	97	265	25	5	250	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	551	488	138	25	2	18	43	98	10	35	10	283	353	453	806	170	317	18	8	353	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	24	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	101	96	23	2	1	3	4	25	0	0	2	240	270	375	645	135	290	25	4	288	78	-2	-1	-2	+0	+3	-0.2
2020	24	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	101	96	23	2	1	3	4	25	0	0	2	240	270	375	645	135	290	25	4	283	75	-3	-1	-2	+0	+3	-0.3
2021	25	AAA	2 teams	—	403	366	90	12	3	17	25	76	10	14	6	246	312	434	746	189	266	19	6	325	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AAA	2 teams	—	403	357	104	14	3	20	34	65	10	14	6	291	369	515	884	224	308	16	8	387	155	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	MLB	3 teams	—	394	367	99	21	0	8	23	82	2	7	5	270	316	392	709	123	326	21	6	312	97	-1	-1	-3	-4	+11	0.2
2022	26	MLB	3 teams	—	394	359	99	24	1	7	31	66	2	7	5	276	337	407	743	131	319	17	8	332	112	+5	-1	-3	-4	+11	0.9
2023	27	MLB	3 teams	—	545	499	139	35	5	19	29	95	14	20	6	279	336	483	819	204	309	17	5	352	127	+17	+2	-6	-6	+15	2.3
2023	27	MLB	3 teams	—	545	497	143	35	6	16	31	85	14	20	6	288	347	479	826	191	318	16	6	363	136	+22	+2	-6	-6	+15	2.8
2024	28	MLB	3 teams	—	402	359	82	7	0	11	30	75	6	16	9	228	299	340	639	111	254	19	7	282	74	-12	-0	-7	-4	+11	-1.3
2024	28	MLB	3 teams	—	402	351	96	16	0	12	38	65	6	16	9	274	354	422	776	148	299	16	9	343	121	+9	-0	-7	-4	+11	0.9
2025	29	INTL	Bravos de Margarita	—	75	65	11	1	0	3	7	17	3	4	0	169	280	323	603	154	178	23	9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	INTL	Bravos de Margarita	—	75	65	11	1	0	3	7	17	3	4	0	169	280	323	603	154	178	23	9	279	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	30	MLB	PIT	—	350	316	82	14	2	11	25	71	6	10	2	259	326	421	747	161	296	20	7	329	110	+4	+1	-4	-4	+10	0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	31	MLB	PIT	27%	372	336	85	14	2	11	27	76	6	9	2	253	320	405	725	152	293	20	7	324	106	+2	+1	-7	-4	+11	0.3
2027	31	MLB	PIT	27%	100	91	22	4	0	3	7	20	2	3	1	242	310	385	695	143	292	20	7	310	96	-0	+0	-2	-1	+3	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1067	977	247	43	5	32	64	201	16	19	13	253	309	405	715	153	286	19	6	316	100	-0	-1	-23	-19	+30	-1.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	595	150	26	3	19	39	122	10	12	8	252	309	402	711	150	285	19	6	316	100	-0	-1	-14	-12	+18	-0.8
Career	—			—	4790	4382	1041	175	35	131	257	1063	107	188	67	238	296	383	679	146	282	22	5	291	81	-102	+11	-32	-50	+136	-3.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	595	142	24	5	18	35	144	15	26	9	239	298	387	685	148	283	22	5	291	81	-14	+2	-4	-7	+18	-0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2014	18	ROK	DSL Blue Jays	—	173	140	44	5	3	1	20	23	11	12	3	314	439	414	853	100	368	13	12	388	155	+11	+1	—	—	+5	1.7
2015	19	ROK	GCL Blue Jays	—	142	116	23	8	1	3	11	27	15	14	2	198	345	362	707	164	233	19	8	329	110	+2	+2	—	—	+4	0.8
2016	20	ROK	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	62	55	15	3	1	1	5	12	1	1	2	273	344	418	762	145	326	19	8	336	115	+1	-1	—	—	+2	0.2
2017	21	A+	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	77	68	15	1	1	0	8	17	1	2	2	221	312	265	576	44	294	22	10	272	67	-3	-0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2017	21	A	Lansing Lugnuts	—	464	426	118	26	9	17	22	82	13	18	7	277	332	500	832	223	306	18	5	362	135	+18	+1	—	—	+13	3.3
2018	22	A+	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	575	531	147	25	10	12	29	102	8	21	8	277	324	429	753	153	319	18	5	330	111	+7	+1	—	—	+16	2.5
2018	22	INTL	Tigres de Aragua	—	104	94	32	3	2	2	9	19	1	5	1	340	404	479	883	138	411	18	9	393	159	+7	+1	—	—	+3	1.1
2019	23	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	551	488	138	25	2	18	43	98	10	35	10	283	353	453	806	170	317	18	8	353	128	+17	+3	—	—	+16	3.7
2020	24	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	101	96	23	2	1	3	4	25	0	0	2	240	270	375	645	135	290	25	4	283	75	-3	-1	-2	+0	+3	-0.3
2021	25	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	111	101	24	2	0	5	5	19	3	2	2	238	294	406	700	168	244	17	5	307	93	-1	-0	-2	-4	+3	-0.5
2021	25	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	292	256	80	12	3	15	29	46	7	12	4	312	397	559	956	246	333	16	10	418	178	+26	+1	—	—	+8	3.6
2022	26	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	174	161	46	8	0	4	10	36	2	2	3	286	335	410	745	124	344	21	6	332	112	+2	-1	-3	-4	+5	-0.1
2022	26	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	86	78	21	7	0	1	8	14	0	2	1	269	337	397	735	128	317	16	9	330	111	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.4
2022	26	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	—	134	120	32	9	1	2	13	16	0	3	1	267	338	408	747	142	291	12	10	332	112	+2	+0	—	—	+4	0.6
2023	27	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	385	354	93	23	4	12	22	64	7	11	5	263	319	452	771	189	289	17	6	339	117	+7	+0	-6	-6	+11	0.7
2023	27	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	59	52	19	5	0	3	3	11	3	4	1	365	431	635	1.066	269	410	19	5	456	207	+7	+0	—	—	+2	0.9
2023	27	INTL	Bravos de Margarita	—	101	91	31	7	2	1	6	10	4	5	0	341	406	495	900	154	375	10	6	400	164	+7	+1	—	—	+3	1.1
2024	28	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	196	174	39	4	0	5	16	37	2	1	0	224	297	333	630	109	250	19	8	282	74	-6	+0	-7	-4	+6	-1.2
2024	28	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	108	95	25	2	0	3	9	15	3	9	5	263	346	379	725	116	282	14	8	328	109	+1	-0	—	—	+3	0.4
2024	28	INTL	Bravos de Margarita	—	98	82	32	10	0	4	13	13	1	6	4	390	479	659	1.138	268	418	13	13	482	227	+14	-0	—	—	+3	1.7
2025	29	INTL	Bravos de Margarita	—	75	65	11	1	0	3	7	17	3	4	0	169	280	323	603	154	178	23	9	279	72	-2	+1	—	—	+2	0.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	967	886	225	39	5	29	57	181	14	16	12	254	309	407	717	153	286	19	6	317	100	+0	-2	-21	-18	+27	-1.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Wil Corderolast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,639 PA	6	1,639	43	5	262	325	416	-17	-13	3.1	3.1
	/162	664	17	2	262	325	416	-7.0	-5.2	1.2	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	1,417	43	29	255	311	411	-15	-29	2.6	2.6
	/162	664	20	13	255	311	411	-7.1	-13.8	1.2	pk7: 3
#2Wily Mo Peñalast yr '11 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,827 PA	7	1,827	83	12	250	304	445	-12	-32	2.5	2.5
	/162	664	30	4	250	304	445	-4.3	-11.6	0.9	pk7: 3
#3Nolan Reimoldlast yr '16 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,556 PA	8	1,556	56	18	246	323	422	-17	-27	1.6	1.9
	/162	664	24	8	246	323	422	-7.1	-11.6	0.7	pk7: 2
#4Travis Sniderlast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,971 PA	8	1,971	54	22	244	311	399	-21	-17	1.4	1.8
	/162	664	18	7	244	311	399	-7.1	-5.8	0.5	pk7: 2
#5Ben Franciscolast yr '13 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,771 PA	7	1,771	50	30	253	323	418	-19	-29	1.7	1.7
	/162	664	19	11	253	323	418	-7.1	-10.9	0.6	pk7: 2
#6Brennan Boeschlast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,713 PA	6	1,713	48	22	250	303	400	-17	-35	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	19	9	250	303	400	-6.6	-13.6	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Edward Olivares (OGILVIE)	30	60	45	55	45	255/322/413	158	296	11	10	20%	7%	110	+1.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●José A. Martínez 2018 · MLB	30	56→66	50	52→50	49	278/333/434	156	322	17	10	19%	8%	118	+3.0	281/344/431	150	334	17	5	20%	9%	122	+3.3	293/358/438	145	346	17	2	19%	9%	127	+3.0
●Harrison Bader 2023 · MLB	29	50→56	49→55	55	46	253/308/405	152	298	17	21	21%	6%	101	+1.8	239/292/372	133	285	15	23	21%	6%	85	+0.7	242/304/399	157	300	20	16	25%	6%	96	+0.9
✕Ben Francisco 2012 · MLB	30	50→56	49→55	47→55	55	248/328/397	149	275	16	14	16%	9%	108	+2.3	220/282/334	114	272	10	8	22%	8%	72	-0.2	200/253/295	95	256	7	6	24%	6%	46	-0.8
✕Luis Fonseca 2015 · AAA	30	56→65	50	50→45	43	279/320/440	161	334	17	11	22%	5%	115	+2.7	245/276/370	125	304	14	9	24%	4%	78	+0.2	241/268/356	115	299	14	6	24%	3%	69	-0.2
●Juan Encarnacion 2004 · MLB	28	52→58	52→55	51→50	49	263/312/436	173	283	19	17	15%	6%	111	+2.5	263/318/430	167	291	18	9	16%	7%	111	+2.5	265/321/428	163	294	18	6	16%	6%	107	+2.1
✕Alejandro De Aza 2014 · MLB	30	55→61	46→50	52→55	49	267/328/403	136	320	13	21	20%	8%	108	+2.3	249/317/389	140	312	12	15	23%	8%	100	+1.7	241/315/378	137	306	11	14	23%	8%	92	+0.7
✕Danny Bautista 2002 · MLB	30	56→59	49→50	50→45	50	278/328/437	159	300	15	9	14%	6%	117	+2.9	281/332/422	141	311	14	9	14%	7%	115	+2.7	286/336/410	125	315	12	7	13%	6%	108	+1.4
●David Murphy 2012 · MLB	30	54→60	48→55	49→50	53	271/333/416	145	301	16	15	16%	9%	114	+2.7	263/329/413	150	287	15	9	14%	9%	111	+2.5	257/325/404	147	279	15	5	13%	9%	102	+1.5
●Eric Byrnes 2006 · MLB	30	51→57	50→60	54→60	51	254/320/422	168	282	16	12	17%	8%	110	+2.4	263/322/446	183	284	20	25	15%	7%	118	+3.0	265/324/452	187	282	21	31	15%	7%	116	+2.4
✕Josh Fields 2012 · MLB	29	50→56	52→55	51→50	44	255/310/428	173	317	20	12	26%	7%	108	+2.3	239/287/355	116	334	11	11	30%	6%	78	+0.2	250/287/350	100	340	7	9	28%	5%	74	-0.0
✕Elvis Andrus 2019 · MLB	30	55→61	46→50	50→60	49	271/321/410	139	302	12	16	15%	6%	107	+2.2	254/302/370	116	288	10	19	15%	6%	89	+0.9	247/300/359	112	282	10	17	16%	6%	82	+0.4
✕Hernán Pérez 2021 · MLB	30	46→55	50→55	52→55	43	238/282/393	155	288	19	16	25%	6%	86	+0.8	240/286/377	137	303	16	20	26%	6%	84	+0.6	239/283/364	126	302	16	24	26%	5%	78	+0.1
●Ian Desmond 2016 · MLB	30	49→59	51→60	51→55	44	247/304/410	162	316	19	16	28%	7%	101	+1.8	248/306/390	142	311	17	18	25%	7%	96	+1.5	241/303/376	135	297	16	20	24%	7%	88	+0.8
✕Mike Kinkade 2003 · MLB	30	56→62	49→50	48→45	51	279/359/431	152	321	17	10	18%	8%	129	+3.7	249/341/403	154	288	16	8	19%	7%	115	+2.8	272/340/407	135	315	12	7	17%	4%	113	+1.8
✕Cole Gillespie 2015 · MLB	31	49→59	46→50	50	50	244/311/377	132	293	14	12	21%	8%	95	+1.4	246/300/346	100	299	7	12	19%	7%	81	+0.4	245/298/331	85	301	3	11	18%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Pat O'Sullivan 2007 · AAA	30	54→50	54→55	50	46	277/325/460	183	313	22	15	20%	6%	122	+3.3	273/322/427	154	325	18	11	21%	6%	112	+2.6	287/338/428	141	351	17	6	22%	6%	117	+1.0
✕Scott Sizemore 2014 · MLB	29	52→56	49→50	48→50	54	256/343/414	158	325	16	11	25%	11%	118	+3.0	225/290/337	112	312	9	4	29%	8%	75	-0.0	212/285/311	99	290	8	2	28%	8%	64	-0.4
✕Jonathan Villar 2022 · MLB	31	50→60	50	53→65	49	250/319/403	153	314	18	24	26%	9%	105	+2.1	236/293/378	142	305	15	19	26%	7%	87	+0.8	226/270/352	127	298	11	25	27%	6%	67	-0.3
●Mike Tauchman 2021 · MLB	30	50→56	49→55	55	53	247/325/405	159	301	15	16	22%	10%	108	+2.3	232/324/367	135	305	13	11	26%	11%	98	+1.6	244/350/366	121	305	13	6	22%	13%	107	+1.6
●Ronnier Mustelier 2016 · AAA	31	53→62	45	53→50	46	261/304/382	121	291	13	14	16%	5%	92	+1.2	260/302/348	88	291	6	9	13%	5%	82	+0.5	289/332/407	117	311	11	7	10%	5%	109	+1.5