Edward Olivares

PosRF

B/TR/R

Born1996-03-06

Age (2027)31

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

INTL

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	28	AAA/INTL2 orgs	206	.322/.409/.508	7	15	138	—	.224/.290/.306
2024	28	MLBPIT	196	.224/.297/.333	5	1	80	-1.2
2025	29	INTLBravos de Mar…	75	.169/.280/.323	3	4	75	—
2026	30	INTLBravos de Mar…	27	.238/.360/.381	0	2	99	—

Last 3 seasons WAR -1.2

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2022-2024

xwOBA75

Speed58

Bat Spd55

Barrel%42

Avg EV30

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2014	18	ROK	DSL Blue Jays	—	173	140	44	5	3	1	20	23	11	12	3	314	439	414	853	100	368	13	12	388	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	19	ROK	GCL Blue Jays	—	142	116	23	8	1	3	11	27	15	14	2	198	345	362	707	164	233	19	8	329	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	20	ROK	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	62	55	15	3	1	1	5	12	1	1	2	273	344	418	762	145	326	19	8	336	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	A+	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	77	68	15	1	1	0	8	17	1	2	2	221	312	265	576	44	294	22	10	272	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	A	Lansing Lugnuts	—	464	426	118	26	9	17	22	82	13	18	7	277	332	500	832	223	306	18	5	362	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A+	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	575	531	147	25	10	12	29	102	8	21	8	277	324	429	753	153	319	18	5	330	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	INTL	Tigres de Aragua	—	104	94	32	3	2	2	9	19	1	5	1	340	404	479	883	138	411	18	9	393	152	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	551	488	138	25	2	18	43	98	10	35	10	283	353	453	806	170	317	18	8	353	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	24	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	101	96	23	2	1	3	4	25	0	0	2	240	270	375	645	135	290	25	4	283	81	-2	-1	-2	+0	+2	-0.3
2021	25	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	111	101	24	2	0	5	5	19	3	2	2	238	294	406	700	168	244	17	5	307	100	-0	-0	-2	-4	+2	-0.5
2021	25	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	292	256	80	12	3	15	29	46	7	12	4	312	397	559	956	246	333	16	10	418	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	174	161	46	8	0	4	10	36	2	2	3	286	335	410	745	124	344	21	6	332	115	+3	-1	-3	-4	+4	-0.2
2022	26	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	86	78	21	7	0	1	8	14	0	2	1	269	337	397	735	128	317	16	9	330	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	—	134	120	32	9	1	2	13	16	0	3	1	267	338	408	747	142	291	12	10	332	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	385	354	93	23	4	12	22	64	7	11	5	263	319	452	771	189	289	17	6	339	118	+8	+0	-6	-6	+8	0.5
2023	27	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	59	52	19	5	0	3	3	11	3	4	1	365	431	635	1.066	269	410	19	5	456	146	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	INTL	Bravos de Margarita	—	101	91	31	7	2	1	6	10	4	5	0	341	406	495	900	154	375	10	6	400	157	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	196	174	39	4	0	5	16	37	2	1	0	224	297	333	630	109	250	19	8	282	80	-5	+0	-7	-4	+4	-1.2
2024	28	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	108	95	25	2	0	3	9	15	3	9	5	263	346	379	725	116	282	14	8	328	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	INTL	Bravos de Margarita	—	98	82	32	10	0	4	13	13	1	6	4	390	479	659	1.138	268	418	13	13	482	212	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	INTL	Bravos de Margarita	—	75	65	11	1	0	3	7	17	3	4	0	169	280	323	603	154	178	23	9	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	30	INTL	Bravos de Margarita	—	27	21	5	3	0	0	3	5	1	2	1	238	360	381	741	143	278	19	11	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	967	886	225	39	5	29	57	181	14	16	12	254	309	407	717	153	286	19	6	317	100	+0	-2	-21	-18	+21	-2.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2014	18	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays	—	173	146	31	3	2	0	14	28	11	12	3	212	327	260	588	48	258	16	8	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	19	ROK MLE	GCL Blue Jays	—	142	120	16	5	1	2	7	39	15	14	2	133	268	242	509	108	172	27	5	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	20	ROK MLE	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	62	57	12	2	1	1	3	17	1	1	2	211	262	333	596	123	261	27	5	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	A+ MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	77	70	13	1	1	0	6	24	1	2	2	186	260	229	488	43	282	31	8	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	A MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	—	464	434	100	20	7	15	14	116	13	18	7	230	275	412	688	182	271	25	3	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A+ MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	575	541	126	19	8	13	19	141	8	21	8	233	269	370	639	137	282	25	3	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	551	502	114	19	2	11	29	125	10	35	10	227	283	339	621	112	266	23	5	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	24	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	—	101	96	23	2	1	3	4	25	0	0	2	240	270	375	645	135	290	25	4	289	81	-2	-1	-2	+0	+2	-0.3
2021	25	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	—	111	101	24	2	0	5	5	19	3	2	2	238	294	406	700	168	244	17	5	315	100	-0	-0	-2	-4	+2	-0.5
2021	25	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	292	265	69	10	3	11	20	56	7	12	4	260	329	445	774	185	293	19	7	333	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	—	174	161	46	8	0	4	10	36	2	2	3	286	335	410	745	124	344	21	6	338	115	+3	-1	-3	-4	+4	-0.2
2022	26	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	86	80	19	6	0	1	6	18	0	2	1	237	291	350	641	112	288	21	7	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	—	385	355	94	23	4	13	21	64	7	11	5	265	319	462	781	197	289	17	5	342	118	+8	+0	-6	-6	+8	0.5
2023	27	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	59	53	16	4	0	2	2	13	3	4	1	302	362	491	853	189	368	22	3	384	146	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	196	174	39	4	0	5	16	37	2	1	0	224	297	333	630	109	250	19	8	286	80	-5	+0	-7	-4	+4	-1.2
2024	28	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	108	98	22	2	0	2	6	19	3	9	5	224	290	306	596	82	252	18	6	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	18	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays	—	173	146	31	3	2	0	14	28	11	12	3	212	327	260	588	48	261	16	8	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	18	ROK RAW	DSL Blue Jays	—	173	140	44	5	3	1	20	23	11	12	3	314	439	414	853	100	368	13	12	388	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	19	ROK MLE	GCL Blue Jays	—	142	120	16	5	1	2	7	39	15	14	2	133	268	242	509	108	177	27	5	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	19	ROK RAW	GCL Blue Jays	—	142	116	23	8	1	3	11	27	15	14	2	198	345	362	707	164	233	19	8	329	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	20	ROK MLE	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	62	57	12	2	1	1	3	17	1	1	2	211	262	333	596	123	275	27	5	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	20	ROK RAW	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	62	55	15	3	1	1	5	12	1	1	2	273	344	418	762	145	326	19	8	336	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	541	505	113	21	7	15	19	140	14	20	9	224	271	382	654	158	278	26	4	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	541	494	133	27	10	17	30	99	14	20	9	269	329	468	797	198	304	18	6	349	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	679	641	148	22	10	15	22	167	9	26	9	231	266	367	633	136	286	25	3	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	679	625	179	28	12	14	38	121	9	26	9	286	336	437	773	150	333	18	6	340	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	551	502	114	19	2	11	29	125	10	35	10	227	283	339	621	112	276	23	5	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA RAW	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	551	488	138	25	2	18	43	98	10	35	10	283	353	453	806	170	317	18	8	353	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	24	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	—	101	96	23	2	1	3	4	25	0	0	2	240	270	375	645	135	290	25	4	289	81	-2	-1	-2	+0	+2	-0.3
2020	24	MLB RAW	Kansas City Royals	—	101	96	23	2	1	3	4	25	0	0	2	240	270	375	645	135	290	25	4	283	81	-2	-1	-2	+0	+2	-0.3
2021	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	403	366	93	12	3	16	25	75	10	14	6	254	319	434	754	180	279	19	6	328	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	403	357	104	14	3	20	34	65	10	14	6	291	369	515	884	224	308	16	8	387	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	394	366	99	21	0	8	24	81	2	7	5	270	319	393	712	123	326	21	6	315	99	-0	-1	-3	-4	+9	0.0
2022	26	MLB RAW	3 teams	—	394	359	99	24	1	7	31	66	2	7	5	276	337	407	743	131	319	17	8	332	99	-0	-1	-3	-4	+9	0.0
2023	27	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	545	500	137	33	5	19	28	95	14	20	6	274	330	474	804	200	303	17	5	348	121	+14	+2	-6	-6	+12	1.6
2023	27	MLB RAW	3 teams	—	545	497	143	35	6	16	31	85	14	20	6	288	347	479	826	191	318	16	6	363	121	+14	+2	-6	-6	+12	1.6
2024	28	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	402	360	81	7	0	10	29	74	6	16	9	225	294	328	621	103	251	18	7	281	76	-11	-0	-7	-4	+9	-1.5
2024	28	MLB RAW	3 teams	—	402	351	96	16	0	12	38	65	6	16	9	274	354	422	776	148	299	16	9	343	76	-11	-0	-7	-4	+9	-1.5
2025	29	INTL MLE	Bravos de Margarita	—	75	65	11	1	0	3	7	17	3	4	0	169	280	323	603	154	178	23	9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	INTL RAW	Bravos de Margarita	—	75	65	11	1	0	3	7	17	3	4	0	169	280	323	603	154	178	23	9	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	30	INTL MLE	Bravos de Margarita	—	27	21	5	3	0	0	3	5	1	2	1	238	360	381	741	143	278	19	11	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	30	INTL RAW	Bravos de Margarita	—	27	21	5	3	0	0	3	5	1	2	1	238	360	381	741	143	278	19	11	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	18	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays	—	173	146	31	3	2	0	14	28	11	12	3	212	327	260	588	48	258	16	8	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	19	ROK MLE	GCL Blue Jays	—	142	119	16	5	1	2	7	39	15	14	2	134	268	244	511	109	172	27	5	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	20	ROK MLE	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	62	58	12	2	1	1	3	17	1	1	2	207	262	328	590	121	261	27	5	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	541	503	113	21	7	15	19	140	14	20	9	225	271	384	655	159	273	26	4	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	679	643	148	22	10	15	22	167	9	26	9	230	266	365	632	135	282	25	3	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	551	507	114	19	2	11	29	125	10	35	10	225	283	335	618	110	266	23	5	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	24	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	—	101	96	23	2	1	3	4	25	0	0	2	240	270	375	645	135	290	25	4	289	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	403	365	93	12	3	16	25	75	10	14	6	255	319	436	755	181	279	19	6	328	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	394	365	99	21	0	8	24	81	2	7	5	271	319	395	713	123	326	21	6	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	545	498	137	33	5	19	28	95	14	20	6	275	330	476	806	201	300	17	5	348	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	402	364	81	7	0	10	29	74	6	16	9	223	294	324	618	102	251	18	7	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	28	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	402	364	81	7	0	10	29	74	6	16	9	223	294	324	618	102	251	18	7	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	967	886	225	39	5	29	57	181	14	16	12	254	309	407	717	153	286	19	6	317	79	+0	-2	-21	-18	+21	-2.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	596	150	26	3	19	38	122	9	11	8	252	306	401	707	149	284	19	6	317	79	+0	-1	-14	-12	+14	-1.3
Career	—	MLE		—	4095	3745	883	151	32	103	214	888	96	171	64	236	294	376	670	140	280	22	5	285	79	+0	-2	-21	-18	+21	-2.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	594	140	24	5	16	34	141	15	27	10	236	293	374	667	138	281	22	5	285	79	+0	-1	-14	-12	+14	-1.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2024 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 108 PAwOBA .322 → .271 (−51)K% 13.9% → 17.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.89%	÷0.948	×1.200	—	—	17.59%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.33%	÷0.977	×0.690	—	×0.992	5.84%
HBP% /PA	2.78%	—	×0.940	—	×0.992	2.59%
Singles /BIP	25.00%	÷1.009	×0.930	×0.999	×0.992	22.85%
Doubles /BIP	2.50%	÷1.050	×0.830	×0.999	×0.992	1.96%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.970	×0.999	×0.992	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.75%	÷0.909	×0.700	—	×0.992	2.87%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 102, 2B 110, 3B 130, K 90, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.

Result: wOBA .322 → .271; ISO .116 → .089; BABIP .282 → .252. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 59 PAwOBA .451 → .384 (−67)K% 18.6% → 22.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.64%	÷0.995	×1.200	—	—	22.48%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.08%	÷1.030	×0.690	—	×1.003	3.42%
HBP% /PA	5.08%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	4.79%
Singles /BIP	26.83%	÷0.978	×0.930	—	×1.003	25.59%
Doubles /BIP	12.20%	÷1.000	×0.830	—	×1.003	10.15%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.970	—	×1.003	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	7.32%	÷0.942	×0.700	—	×1.003	5.45%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 96, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 99, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .451 → .384; ISO .269 → .208; BABIP .410 → .368. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 86 PAwOBA .322 → .269 (−53)K% 16.3% → 20.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.28%	÷0.957	×1.200	—	—	20.41%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.30%	÷1.001	×0.690	—	×1.018	6.53%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×1.018	0.00%
Singles /BIP	20.31%	÷1.016	×0.930	×1.025	×1.018	19.40%
Doubles /BIP	10.94%	÷1.041	×0.830	×1.025	×1.018	9.09%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.970	×1.025	×1.018	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.56%	÷0.984	×0.700	—	×1.018	1.13%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 103, 2B 108, 3B 130, K 91, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.025.

Result: wOBA .322 → .269; ISO .128 → .101; BABIP .317 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 292 PAwOBA .406 → .333 (−73)K% 15.8% → 19.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.75%	÷0.985	×1.200	—	—	19.20%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.59%	÷0.990	×0.690	—	×1.033	6.90%
HBP% /PA	2.40%	—	×0.940	—	×1.033	2.33%
Singles /BIP	23.81%	÷1.056	×0.930	×0.989	×1.033	21.42%
Doubles /BIP	5.71%	÷0.978	×0.830	×0.989	×1.033	4.95%
Triples /BIP	1.43%	÷0.936	×0.920	×0.989	×1.033	1.43%
Home runs /BIP	7.14%	÷1.027	×0.700	—	×1.033	5.03%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 111, 2B 96, 3B 87, K 97, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.989.

Result: wOBA .406 → .333; ISO .246 → .187; BABIP .333 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AAAmarillo Sod Poodles · 551 PAwOBA .347 → .270 (−77)K% 17.8% → 22.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.79%	÷0.955	×1.220	—	—	22.72%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.62%	÷1.037	×0.700	—	×1.027	5.28%
HBP% /PA	1.81%	—	×0.870	—	×1.027	1.62%
Singles /BIP	23.85%	÷1.014	×0.920	×0.950	×1.027	21.12%
Doubles /BIP	6.41%	÷1.097	×0.840	×0.950	×1.027	4.79%
Triples /BIP	0.51%	÷1.079	×0.940	×0.950	×1.027	0.44%
Home runs /BIP	4.62%	÷1.337	×0.800	—	×1.027	2.84%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 167, 1B 103, 2B 119, 3B 116, K 91, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .347 → .270; ISO .170 → .113; BABIP .317 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 A+Lake Elsinore Storm · 575 PAwOBA .325 → .273 (−52)K% 17.7% → 24.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.74%	÷0.966	×1.340	—	—	24.61%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.04%	÷1.087	×0.710	—	×1.012	3.33%
HBP% /PA	1.39%	—	×0.790	—	×1.012	1.11%
Singles /BIP	23.31%	÷1.020	×0.910	×1.001	×1.012	21.06%
Doubles /BIP	5.83%	÷1.038	×0.820	×1.001	×1.012	4.66%
Triples /BIP	2.33%	÷0.900	×0.760	×1.001	×1.012	1.99%
Home runs /BIP	2.80%	÷0.839	×0.920	—	×1.012	3.10%

Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 68, 1B 104, 2B 108, 3B 80, K 93, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.001.

Result: wOBA .325 → .273; ISO .153 → .138; BABIP .319 → .282. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 ALansing Lugnuts · 464 PAwOBA .353 → .288 (−65)K% 17.7% → 25.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.67%	÷0.960	×1.360	—	—	25.04%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	4.53%	÷1.055	×0.690	—	×1.015	3.00%
HBP% /PA	2.80%	—	×0.780	—	×1.015	2.22%
Singles /BIP	19.19%	÷0.988	×0.920	×0.992	×1.015	17.98%
Doubles /BIP	7.56%	÷1.033	×0.830	×0.992	×1.015	6.11%
Triples /BIP	2.62%	÷1.150	×0.910	×0.992	×1.015	2.08%
Home runs /BIP	4.94%	÷0.894	×0.800	—	×1.015	4.49%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 98, 2B 107, 3B 130, K 92, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.992.

Result: wOBA .353 → .288; ISO .223 → .180; BABIP .306 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 A+Dunedin Blue Jays · 77 PAwOBA .266 → .219 (−47)K% 22.1% → 31.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.08%	÷1.007	×1.420	—	—	31.14%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.39%	÷1.118	×0.750	—	×1.027	7.16%
HBP% /PA	1.30%	—	×0.930	—	×1.027	1.24%
Singles /BIP	25.49%	÷1.002	×0.920	×1.023	×1.027	24.60%
Doubles /BIP	1.96%	÷0.940	×0.960	×1.023	×1.027	2.10%
Triples /BIP	1.96%	÷1.150	×0.810	×1.023	×1.027	1.45%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.265	×0.880	—	×1.027	0.00%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 153, 1B 100, 2B 88, 3B 130, K 101, BB 124 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.

Result: wOBA .266 → .219; ISO .044 → .034; BABIP .294 → .282. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .