Edward Olivares — OGILVIE

Edward OlivaresRF Bravos de Margarita

Age 30 R/R 6'1" / 190 lbs INTL BB +7% Svc 6.000 · Ctrl thru 2026 peak 0.5 · 2026

wRC+†vL 91111vR 56

AVG/OBP/SLG.255 / .323 / .414

PA350

HR11

SB11

K%19

BB%7

xwOBA.333

Barrel%6.4%

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

60→60

PWR

45→45

SPD

55→55

EYE

47↘45

trajectory · 10 yrs

1.1peak

2026

Barrel%

366.4

xwOBA

710.333

Avg EV

2086.8

Whiff%

500.109

Chase%

350.347

Speed

5827.8

Bat Spd

5571.8

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2020

Service 6.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Ext / FA-deal	$3M	+0.5	$2M	-$1M
Totals		$3M		$2M	-$1M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2014	18	ROK	DSL Blue Jays	173	148	38	4	2	1	12	33	11	12	3	.257	.357	.331	.688	.074	.322	19	7	.299	87	-3	+1	+0	-2	+5	0.2
2015	19	ROK	GCL Blue Jays	142	120	16	5	1	2	7	39	15	14	2	.133	.268	.242	.509	.108	.177	27	5	.225	30	-11	+2	+0	-2	+4	-0.7
2016	20	ROK	Bluefield Blue Jays	62	57	12	2	1	1	3	17	1	1	2	.211	.262	.333	.596	.123	.275	27	5	.247	47	-4	-1	+0	-1	+2	-0.3
2017	21	A	2 teams	541	504	112	21	7	14	20	131	14	20	9	.222	.271	.375	.646	.153	.271	24	4	.276	70	-18	+0	+0	-6	+15	-0.9
2018	22	A+	2 teams	679	641	149	22	12	15	22	167	9	26	9	.232	.268	.374	.642	.142	.288	25	3	.275	69	-24	+2	+0	-7	+19	-1.1
2019	23	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	551	503	107	17	2	11	28	136	10	35	10	.213	.268	.320	.588	.107	.264	25	5	.257	55	-28	+3	+0	-6	+16	-1.6
2020	24	MLB	Kansas City Royals	101	96	22	2	1	3	4	25	0	0	2	.229	.260	.365	.625	.135	.275	25	4	.267	63	-4	-1	-2	+0	+3	-0.4
2021	25	AAA	2 teams	403	366	92	12	3	17	25	75	10	14	6	.251	.317	.440	.757	.189	.273	19	6	.328	109	+4	+0	-2	-4	+11	1.0
2022	26	MLB	3 teams	394	367	96	21	0	7	23	81	2	7	5	.262	.309	.376	.685	.114	.317	21	6	.306	92	-3	-1	-3	-4	+11	-0.0
2023	27	MLB	3 teams	545	499	133	33	5	17	29	95	14	20	6	.267	.325	.455	.780	.188	.297	17	5	.336	115	+9	+2	-6	-6	+15	1.5
2024	28	MLB	3 teams	402	359	81	7	0	10	30	74	6	16	9	.226	.296	.329	.625	.103	.252	18	7	.278	71	-13	-0	-7	-4	+11	-1.4
2025	29	INTL	Bravos de Margarita	75	65	11	1	0	3	7	17	3	4	0	.169	.280	.323	.603	.154	.178	23	9	—	—	—	—	+0	-1	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	30	MLB	PIT	350	315	81	14	2	11	26	67	6	11	2	.257	.326	.419	.745	.162	.292	19	7	.330	111	+4	+1	-7	-4	+10	0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	31	MLB 7%	PIT	377	340	87	15	2	12	27	74	7	10	2	.256	.324	.418	.741	.162	.291	20	7	.326	108	+3	+1	-10	-4	+11	0.1
2028	32	MLB 18%	PIT	358	323	82	14	2	11	26	72	6	8	1	.254	.321	.412	.733	.158	.290	20	7	.321	104	+2	+1	-10	-4	+10	-0.1
2029	33	MLB 27%	PIT	328	295	74	13	2	9	24	68	6	6	1	.251	.320	.400	.720	.149	.288	21	7	.316	100	-0	+1	-10	-4	+9	-0.4
2030	34	MLB 39%	PIT	284	257	63	11	1	8	20	61	5	4	0	.245	.312	.389	.701	.144	.286	21	7	.309	95	-2	+1	-10	-3	+8	-0.6
2031	35	MLB 48%	PIT	232	210	49	8	1	6	16	52	4	3	0	.233	.300	.367	.667	.133	.284	22	7	.301	89	-3	+1	-10	-2	+7	-0.8
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			5997	5465	1305	222	44	158	349	1284	129	211	69	.239	.300	.382	.682	.143	.282	21	6	.295	84	-111	+15	-78	-63	+170	-6.9
/ 162G	—			650	592	141	24	5	17	38	139	14	23	7	.238	.300	.382	.681	.144	.281	21	6	.295	84	-12	+2	-8	-7	+18	-0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2014	18	ROK	DSL Blue Jays	173	140	44	5	3	1	20	23	11	12	3	.314	.439	.414	.853	.100	.368	13	12	.388	155	+11	+1	—	—	+5	1.7
2015	19	ROK	GCL Blue Jays	142	116	23	8	1	3	11	27	15	14	2	.198	.345	.362	.707	.164	.233	19	8	.329	110	+2	+2	—	—	+4	0.8
2016	20	ROK	Bluefield Blue Jays	62	55	15	3	1	1	5	12	1	1	2	.273	.344	.418	.762	.145	.326	19	8	.336	115	+1	-1	—	—	+2	0.2
2017	21	A+	Dunedin Blue Jays	77	68	15	1	1	0	8	17	1	2	2	.221	.312	.265	.576	.044	.294	22	10	.272	67	-3	-0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2017	21	A	Lansing Lugnuts	464	426	118	26	9	17	22	82	13	18	7	.277	.332	.500	.832	.223	.306	18	5	.362	135	+18	+1	—	—	+13	3.3
2018	22	A+	Lake Elsinore Storm	575	531	147	25	10	12	29	102	8	21	8	.277	.324	.429	.753	.153	.319	18	5	.330	111	+7	+1	—	—	+16	2.5
2018	22	INTL	Tigres de Aragua	104	94	32	3	2	2	9	19	1	5	1	.340	.404	.479	.883	.138	.411	18	9	.393	159	+7	+1	—	—	+3	1.1
2019	23	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	551	488	138	25	2	18	43	98	10	35	10	.283	.353	.453	.806	.170	.317	18	8	.353	128	+17	+3	—	—	+16	3.7
2020	24	MLB	Kansas City Royals	101	96	23	2	1	3	4	25	0	0	2	.240	.270	.375	.645	.135	.290	25	4	.283	75	-3	-1	-2	+0	+3	-0.3
2021	25	MLB	Kansas City Royals	111	101	24	2	0	5	5	19	3	2	2	.238	.294	.406	.700	.168	.244	17	5	.307	93	-1	-0	-2	-4	+3	-0.5
2021	25	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	292	256	80	12	3	15	29	46	7	12	4	.312	.397	.559	.956	.246	.333	16	10	.418	178	+26	+1	—	—	+8	3.6
2022	26	MLB	Kansas City Royals	174	161	46	8	0	4	10	36	2	2	3	.286	.335	.410	.745	.124	.344	21	6	.332	112	+2	-1	-3	-4	+5	-0.1
2022	26	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	86	78	21	7	0	1	8	14	0	2	1	.269	.337	.397	.735	.128	.317	16	9	.330	111	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.4
2022	26	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	134	120	32	9	1	2	13	16	0	3	1	.267	.338	.408	.747	.142	.291	12	10	.332	112	+2	+0	—	—	+4	0.6
2023	27	MLB	Kansas City Royals	385	354	93	23	4	12	22	64	7	11	5	.263	.319	.452	.771	.189	.289	17	6	.339	117	+7	+0	-6	-6	+11	0.7
2023	27	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	59	52	19	5	0	3	3	11	3	4	1	.365	.431	.635	1.066	.269	.410	19	5	.456	207	+7	+0	—	—	+2	0.9
2023	27	INTL	Bravos de Margarita	101	91	31	7	2	1	6	10	4	5	0	.341	.406	.495	.900	.154	.375	10	6	.400	164	+7	+1	—	—	+3	1.1
2024	28	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	196	174	39	4	0	5	16	37	2	1	0	.224	.297	.333	.630	.109	.250	19	8	.282	74	-6	+0	-7	-4	+6	-1.2
2024	28	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	108	95	25	2	0	3	9	15	3	9	5	.263	.346	.379	.725	.116	.282	14	8	.328	109	+1	-0	—	—	+3	0.4
2024	28	INTL	Bravos de Margarita	98	82	32	10	0	4	13	13	1	6	4	.390	.479	.659	1.138	.268	.418	13	13	.482	227	+14	-0	—	—	+3	1.7
2025	29	INTL	Bravos de Margarita	75	65	11	1	0	3	7	17	3	4	0	.169	.280	.323	.603	.154	.178	23	9	.279	72	-2	+1	—	—	+2	0.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			967	886	225	39	5	29	57	181	14	16	12	.254	.309	.407	.717	.153	.286	19	6	.317	100	+0	-2	-21	-18	+27	-1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Edward Olivares (OGILVIE)	30	60	45	55	45	.255/.323/.414	.159	.292	11	11	19%	7%	111	+1.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ben Francisco 2012 · MLB	30	50→56	49→55	48→55	54	.249/.328/.404	.155	.277	16	15	17%	9%	109	+2.4	.225/.289/.341	.116	.274	10	9	21%	8%	76	+0.0	.206/.259/.298	.092	.263	7	6	23%	6%	48	-0.8
●Harrison Bader 2023 · MLB	29	50→55	51→55	54→55	46	.254/.312/.415	.161	.300	18	20	22%	6%	105	+2.1	.240/.292/.372	.132	.286	15	23	21%	6%	85	+0.7	.240/.297/.372	.133	.292	15	22	23%	6%	85	+0.5
●Eric Byrnes 2006 · MLB	30	51→57	50→60	55→60	51	.256/.322/.427	.171	.284	16	13	16%	8%	112	+2.6	.263/.322/.446	.183	.284	20	24	15%	7%	118	+3.0	.265/.324/.452	.187	.282	21	31	15%	7%	116	+2.4
●Juan Encarnacion 2006 · MLB	30	52→58	51→55	46→50	49	.263/.321/.430	.167	.290	18	10	16%	7%	113	+2.6	.266/.316/.425	.159	.294	18	7	16%	6%	109	+2.4	.267/.310/.422	.155	.290	17	5	15%	5%	101	+1.4
●David Murphy 2012 · MLB	30	54→60	47→55	49→50	53	.270/.333/.408	.138	.303	15	14	16%	9%	111	+2.5	.266/.331/.415	.149	.291	15	9	14%	9%	112	+2.6	.260/.328/.412	.152	.282	15	5	13%	9%	104	+1.6
●Mike Tauchman 2021 · MLB	30	50→59	50→55	53→55	53	.251/.327/.419	.168	.302	16	15	22%	10%	112	+2.6	.227/.319/.358	.131	.300	13	12	26%	11%	94	+1.3	.248/.354/.375	.127	.310	13	6	22%	13%	110	+1.7
●José A. Martínez 2018 · MLB	30	56→66	49→55	52→50	49	.279/.333/.431	.152	.323	17	10	19%	8%	118	+3.0	.282/.344/.440	.158	.332	19	5	20%	9%	124	+3.4	.292/.357/.447	.154	.343	18	2	19%	9%	130	+3.1
✕Austin Slater 2023 · MLB	30	52→61	51→50	58→55	53	.255/.346/.421	.167	.328	19	24	26%	11%	121	+3.2	.248/.333/.379	.131	.338	14	13	28%	10%	105	+2.1	.238/.322/.345	.107	.332	12	7	29%	10%	89	+0.4
✕Luis Fonseca 2015 · AAA	30	57→65	51→50	50→45	43	.284/.325/.450	.166	.339	18	11	22%	6%	119	+3.1	.249/.280/.377	.128	.309	15	9	24%	4%	81	+0.4	.238/.264/.349	.111	.299	14	6	25%	3%	65	-0.4
✕Ivan Araujo 2014 · AAA	30	56→60	46→50	53→55	40	.273/.311/.411	.137	.339	13	16	23%	4%	103	+1.9	.256/.293/.374	.118	.316	12	19	22%	4%	85	+0.7	.255/.293/.346	.091	.319	10	22	23%	4%	75	-0.0
✕Danny Bautista 2002 · MLB	30	56→59	49→50	50→45	50	.277/.327/.437	.161	.298	16	9	14%	7%	116	+2.8	.281/.332/.424	.143	.310	14	9	14%	7%	115	+2.8	.286/.336/.410	.125	.315	12	7	13%	6%	108	+1.4
✕Xavier Paul 2014 · MLB	29	53→58	47→50	50→55	48	.260/.320/.402	.142	.317	14	16	22%	8%	105	+2.1	.218/.275/.349	.131	.286	15	6	28%	7%	72	-0.2	.178/.228/.284	.106	.247	14	1	33%	5%	33	-1.7
✕Jesus Guzman 2014 · MLB	30	52→62	49→55	46→50	50	.256/.323/.416	.160	.307	16	9	22%	8%	110	+2.4	.228/.303/.350	.122	.299	12	9	26%	10%	84	+0.6	.214/.297/.279	.065	.298	5	9	27%	11%	64	-0.3
✕Kevin Pillar 2019 · MLB	30	51→59	47→55	49→55	44	.253/.292/.396	.143	.282	14	14	16%	4%	92	+1.2	.255/.293/.427	.172	.280	20	13	17%	4%	101	+1.8	.253/.291/.431	.178	.275	22	11	17%	3%	97	+1.0
●Corey Hart 2010 · MLB	28	53→56	53→60	53→55	48	.268/.323/.456	.188	.300	19	18	18%	7%	121	+3.2	.267/.329/.465	.198	.312	23	9	21%	8%	125	+3.5	.266/.331/.473	.207	.312	25	6	23%	8%	121	+3.2
✕Ryan Spilborghs 2010 · MLB	30	54→63	49→50	47→50	55	.267/.342/.424	.156	.306	15	12	18%	10%	119	+3.1	.254/.325/.387	.133	.313	12	9	21%	9%	103	+1.9	.254/.322/.370	.116	.321	11	6	23%	8%	95	+0.9
●Christian Quintero 2006 · AAA	30	58→64	47→50	57→55	48	.286/.324/.431	.145	.299	14	21	10%	5%	114	+2.7	.285/.317/.407	.122	.302	12	23	10%	4%	104	+2.0	.294/.333/.430	.136	.313	15	21	11%	5%	115	+2.2
✕Mike Kinkade 2003 · MLB	30	56→62	49→50	48→45	51	.276/.355/.426	.150	.317	17	10	18%	8%	126	+3.5	.251/.343/.405	.154	.290	16	8	19%	7%	117	+2.9	.273/.341/.408	.135	.316	12	7	17%	4%	114	+1.9
✕Brandon Guyer 2016 · MLB	30	54→56	44→55	54→55	47	.259/.334/.392	.133	.302	10	17	17%	6%	108	+2.3	.245/.338/.382	.137	.284	13	9	18%	6%	109	+2.4	.224/.327/.357	.133	.262	14	4	19%	6%	94	+0.6
✕Yadir Drake 2019 · AAA	29	54	53→50	47→45	45	.275/.325/.452	.177	.307	21	11	18%	6%	120	+3.1	.255/.309/.413	.158	.275	19	9	15%	6%	103	+1.9	.256/.312/.408	.152	.266	20	5	13%	6%	101	+0.9

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)