Isaac Paredes — OGILVIE

Isaac Paredes3B Houston Astros

Age 27 R/R 5'11" / 213 lbs MLB H +4%HR -3% Svc 6.000 · Ctrl thru 2027 peak 2.3 · 2027

wRC+†vL 129112vR 111

AVG/OBP/SLG.230 / .333 / .413

PA530

HR21

K%17

BB%11

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

45→45

PWR

40→40

SPD

35→35

EYE

61↘55

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.7peak

2026

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2020

Service 6.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2028

DEF 10%

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Ext / FA-deal	$9M	+2.2	$18M	+$8M
2027	Ext / FA-deal	$13M	+2.3	$19M	+$6M
Totals		$23M		$37M	+$14M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	17	ROK	AZL Cubs	185	172	40	10	2	1	8	29	2	4	0	.233	.275	.331	.606	.099	.271	16	4	.258	56	-9	+1	+0	+1	+5	-0.3
2017	18	A	2 teams	578	519	105	25	0	12	34	97	19	3	2	.202	.276	.320	.596	.118	.225	17	6	.259	56	-28	-0	+0	+2	+16	-1.0
2018	19	A+	3 teams	688	611	144	34	2	15	48	145	16	2	5	.236	.308	.372	.680	.136	.279	21	7	.293	82	-14	-2	+0	+2	+19	0.7
2019	20	AA	2 teams	809	727	178	26	1	13	56	115	18	6	4	.245	.315	.337	.652	.092	.272	14	7	.289	79	-19	-0	+0	+3	+23	0.7
2020	21	INTL	2 teams	307	279	65	12	0	3	23	68	3	5	0	.233	.298	.308	.607	.075	.295	22	7	.264	60	-14	+1	-2	+1	+9	-0.5
2021	22	AAA	3 teams	581	501	114	17	4	15	69	98	5	0	0	.228	.327	.367	.694	.140	.251	17	12	.307	93	-5	+0	+2	+2	+16	1.6
2022	23	MLB	3 teams	595	518	111	27	1	29	63	108	8	0	2	.214	.309	.438	.747	.224	.212	18	11	.318	102	+1	-1	+4	+2	+17	2.3
2023	24	MLB	2 teams	656	564	139	28	0	34	67	119	21	1	0	.246	.348	.477	.825	.230	.253	18	10	.360	133	+25	+0	+0	+2	+19	4.7
2024	25	MLB	2 teams	680	574	141	29	1	20	81	111	18	1	1	.246	.357	.404	.761	.159	.269	16	12	.336	116	+12	-0	-0	+2	+19	3.4
2025	26	MLB	2 teams	472	405	101	16	1	22	54	82	11	0	1	.249	.353	.457	.810	.207	.261	17	11	.356	130	+16	-0	-2	+2	+13	2.9
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	27	MLB	Houston Astros	87	75	17	4	0	2	8	17	4	0	0	.227	.333	.360	.693	.133	.268	20	9	.316	100	-0	+0	-1	+0	+2	0.1
ROS	27	MLB	HOU	443	380	88	17	1	16	47	77	13	1	0	.232	.336	.408	.744	.176	.247	17	11	.334	114	+7	+0	-1	+2	+13	2.1
TOT	27	MLB	HOU	530	455	105	21	1	18	55	94	17	1	0	.231	.336	.400	.736	.169	.252	18	10	.331	112	+7	+0	-2	+2	+15	2.2
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	28	MLB	HOU	522	446	103	20	1	19	56	74	15	1	0	.231	.337	.408	.745	.177	.234	14	11	.333	113	+8	+0	-1	+2	+15	2.4
2028	29	MLB	HOU	510	436	100	20	1	18	55	73	14	0	0	.229	.335	.404	.738	.174	.233	14	11	.331	111	+7	+0	-2	+2	+14	2.1
2029	30	MLB	HOU	498	427	96	19	0	18	54	73	14	0	0	.225	.331	.396	.727	.171	.232	15	11	.328	109	+5	+0	-3	+2	+14	1.9
2030	31	MLB	HOU	483	414	92	18	0	17	52	73	14	0	0	.222	.329	.389	.718	.167	.230	15	11	.324	106	+3	+0	-3	+2	+14	1.6
2031	32	MLB	HOU	464	398	87	17	0	16	50	73	13	0	0	.219	.325	.382	.707	.163	.228	16	11	.319	102	+1	+0	-4	+2	+13	1.2
2032	33	MLB	HOU	434	372	79	15	0	14	47	71	12	0	0	.212	.320	.366	.686	.153	.226	16	11	.312	97	-1	+0	-5	+2	+12	0.8
2033	34	MLB	HOU	388	333	69	13	0	12	41	67	11	0	0	.207	.314	.354	.669	.147	.223	17	11	.305	92	-4	+0	-5	+1	+11	0.3
2034	35	MLB	HOU	334	287	58	11	0	10	35	61	9	0	0	.202	.308	.345	.653	.143	.220	18	10	.296	85	-6	+0	-6	+1	+9	-0.1
2035	36	MLB	HOU	275	237	45	8	0	7	29	53	7	0	0	.190	.297	.312	.609	.122	.216	19	11	.287	78	-7	+0	-7	+1	+8	-0.5
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			9902	8600	1955	382	15	311	969	1667	243	24	15	.227	.323	.384	.706	.156	.246	17	10	.313	98	-22	-1	-36	+35	+281	26.2
/ 162G	—			650	565	128	25	1	20	64	109	16	2	1	.227	.323	.381	.704	.154	.245	17	10	.313	98	-1	+0	-2	+2	+18	1.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	17	ROK	AZL Cubs	185	167	51	14	3	1	13	20	2	4	0	.305	.363	.443	.806	.138	.338	11	7	.353	128	+6	+1	—	—	+5	1.2
2017	18	A	West Michigan Whitecaps	517	452	114	28	0	11	42	67	18	2	1	.252	.340	.387	.727	.135	.273	13	8	.327	109	+5	+0	—	—	+15	2.0
2017	18	INTL	Yaquis de Obregon	61	54	20	7	0	1	5	5	1	1	1	.370	.433	.556	.989	.185	.388	8	8	.429	186	+6	-0	—	—	+2	0.8
2018	19	AA	Erie SeaWolves	155	131	42	9	0	3	19	22	2	1	0	.321	.414	.458	.872	.137	.358	14	12	.385	153	+9	+0	—	—	+4	1.4
2018	19	A+	Lakeland Flying Tigers	347	301	78	19	2	12	32	54	7	1	0	.259	.344	.455	.799	.196	.274	16	9	.348	125	+10	+0	—	—	+10	2.0
2018	19	INTL	Yaquis de Obregon	186	148	35	9	1	4	28	23	7	0	5	.236	.383	.392	.774	.155	.252	12	15	.350	126	+6	-2	—	—	+5	0.9
2019	20	AA	Erie SeaWolves	552	478	135	23	1	13	57	61	11	5	3	.282	.372	.416	.788	.134	.298	11	10	.353	128	+18	-0	—	—	+16	3.4
2019	20	INTL	Yaquis de Obregon	257	219	60	7	2	4	29	31	7	1	1	.274	.376	.379	.755	.105	.301	12	11	.344	122	+6	-0	—	—	+7	1.4
2020	21	MLB	Detroit Tigers	108	100	22	4	0	1	8	24	0	0	0	.220	.278	.290	.568	.070	.280	22	7	.261	58	-5	+0	-2	+1	+3	-0.3
2020	21	INTL	Mexico	199	165	57	17	1	4	29	16	3	5	0	.345	.452	.533	.985	.188	.361	8	15	.432	188	+20	+1	—	—	+6	2.7
2021	22	MLB	Detroit Tigers	85	72	15	3	1	1	10	11	1	0	0	.208	.313	.319	.633	.111	.226	13	12	.286	77	-2	+0	+2	+2	+2	0.4
2021	22	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	315	253	67	10	2	11	56	47	2	0	0	.265	.402	.451	.853	.186	.281	15	18	.379	148	+17	+0	—	—	+9	2.7
2021	22	INTL	Venados de Mazatlan	181	142	40	6	0	4	37	20	2	0	0	.282	.436	.408	.845	.127	.305	11	20	.389	156	+11	+0	—	—	+5	1.7
2022	23	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	381	331	68	16	0	20	44	67	4	0	1	.205	.306	.435	.741	.230	.195	18	12	.327	109	+4	-0	+4	+2	+11	2.0
2022	23	AAA	Durham Bulls	113	95	25	7	1	4	13	19	2	0	1	.263	.364	.484	.848	.221	.280	17	12	.365	137	+5	-0	—	—	+3	0.8
2022	23	INTL	Naranjeros de Hermosillo	101	80	10	3	0	2	18	16	2	0	0	.125	.300	.237	.537	.112	.127	16	18	.263	59	-5	+0	—	—	+3	-0.2
2023	24	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	571	492	123	24	0	31	58	104	20	1	0	.250	.353	.488	.840	.238	.257	18	10	.371	142	+27	+0	+0	+2	+16	4.7
2023	24	INTL	Naranjeros de Hermosillo	85	62	22	5	1	3	19	6	1	0	0	.355	.512	.613	1.125	.258	.339	7	22	.471	219	+11	+0	—	—	+2	1.4
2024	25	MLB	Chicago Cubs	641	542	129	25	1	19	76	105	17	1	1	.238	.350	.393	.743	.155	.259	16	12	.335	115	+11	-0	-0	+2	+18	3.1
2024	25	INTL	Naranjeros de Hermosillo	39	29	8	3	0	0	8	3	1	0	0	.276	.447	.379	.827	.103	.296	8	21	.377	146	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2025	26	MLB	Houston Astros	438	378	96	15	1	20	50	76	8	0	1	.254	.353	.458	.811	.204	.268	17	11	.360	133	+17	-0	-2	+2	+12	2.9
2025	26	INTL	Naranjeros de Hermosillo	34	24	7	1	0	0	7	2	3	0	0	.292	.500	.333	.833	.042	.318	6	21	.406	169	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			2224	1915	453	87	3	92	246	387	50	2	3	.237	.339	.429	.768	.193	.249	17	11	.342	120	+51	-1	+1	+12	+63	12.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Isaac Paredes (OGILVIE)	27	45	40	35	55	.229/.334/.406	.176	.235	20	1	14%	11%	114	+2.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●J.J. Hardy 2010 · MLB	27	50→56	52→55	41→30	52	.259/.317/.426	.168	.276	20	2	16%	8%	110	+2.4	.252/.304/.409	.157	.275	19	2	16%	7%	100	+1.7	.250/.294/.416	.165	.261	22	1	14%	6%	93	+1.3
●Joe Crede 2005 · MLB	27	48→53	54→60	38→30	48	.252/.304/.432	.180	.261	23	3	15%	6%	106	+2.2	.256/.306/.448	.192	.258	26	2	13%	6%	112	+2.6	.258/.305/.453	.194	.255	27	0	12%	5%	110	+1.6
✕Devin Mesoraco 2015 · MLB	27	48→52	54→60	35→40	50	.251/.323/.433	.182	.284	22	3	21%	8%	115	+2.7	.237/.319/.403	.166	.279	19	5	22%	9%	105	+2.1	.214/.306/.378	.164	.240	21	1	21%	9%	88	+0.4
●Matthew LeCroy 2003 · MLB	27	48	54→55	38→30	48	.247/.304/.429	.182	.277	21	4	20%	7%	105	+2.1	.272/.331/.459	.187	.317	24	3	22%	7%	124	+3.4	.272/.340/.454	.182	.319	26	0	22%	8%	124	+1.9
✕Chris Snyder 2008 · MLB	27	48→44	49→55	39→30	55	.242/.328/.392	.150	.278	17	2	20%	10%	106	+2.2	.233/.337/.416	.183	.276	21	2	23%	13%	116	+2.8	.213/.332/.394	.180	.254	22	0	25%	14%	96	+0.8
●Robinson Chirinos 2011 · AAA	27	51→47	53→60	40→50	52	.257/.331/.438	.181	.287	19	4	18%	8%	119	+3.1	.240/.307/.378	.138	.289	15	4	22%	7%	94	+1.3	.229/.342/.433	.204	.295	26	2	29%	11%	117	+1.9
●Max Kepler 2020 · MLB	27	44→54	58→60	38→50	56	.238/.321/.445	.207	.248	26	4	17%	10%	117	+2.9	.231/.320/.435	.204	.244	25	7	18%	11%	115	+2.7	.233/.321/.423	.190	.255	23	6	19%	10%	108	+1.8
✕Nick Hundley 2011 · MLB	27	45	50→55	40	47	.232/.291/.391	.159	.279	17	5	24%	8%	90	+1.0	.237/.299/.389	.152	.297	16	4	25%	8%	93	+1.3	.260/.304/.426	.166	.311	18	3	22%	6%	98	+0.9
●Fernando Tatis 2003 · MLB	28	47→54	53→55	41→45	53	.241/.331/.417	.176	.284	20	4	23%	10%	114	+2.7	.226/.304/.357	.131	.270	14	7	21%	9%	87	+0.8	.250/.318/.422	.172	.288	19	6	20%	8%	105	+1.6
✕Willy Aybar 2010 · MLB	27	50→56	51→50	45→40	56	.252/.327/.412	.160	.268	19	5	14%	9%	111	+2.5	.237/.315/.374	.137	.274	15	4	19%	10%	95	+1.4	.233/.302/.354	.121	.271	13	0	19%	8%	82	+0.2
✕Aledmys Díaz 2019 · MLB	28	51→58	52→55	41→45	48	.259/.308/.426	.167	.276	19	7	15%	6%	106	+2.2	.252/.311/.420	.168	.273	19	6	16%	7%	106	+2.2	.246/.310/.399	.154	.269	18	2	16%	7%	97	+0.8
●Jedd Gyorko 2016 · MLB	27	45→53	50→60	39→45	46	.233/.292/.383	.150	.274	19	3	23%	7%	89	+0.9	.250/.316/.444	.194	.283	27	4	22%	9%	115	+2.7	.258/.332/.467	.210	.287	29	4	21%	10%	125	+2.5
✕Luis Urías 2023 · MLB	26	47→57	51→55	43→45	54	.240/.331/.401	.161	.281	19	5	21%	10%	110	+2.4	.220/.316/.357	.137	.263	16	6	22%	10%	93	+1.3	.206/.306/.322	.116	.244	14	5	21%	10%	77	+0.1
✕Carson Kelly 2020 · MLB	26	46→48	51→55	42→40	55	.234/.318/.390	.157	.264	19	2	20%	10%	102	+1.8	.235/.318/.402	.167	.270	21	3	21%	10%	105	+2.1	.239/.318/.381	.142	.276	19	2	20%	9%	96	+0.7
✕Andy Marte 2011 · MLB	27	46→50	51→55	41→40	47	.238/.289/.401	.163	.265	19	4	19%	7%	92	+1.2	.215/.271/.353	.138	.251	16	5	21%	7%	72	-0.2	.226/.272/.357	.130	.255	16	2	18%	5%	72	-0.1
✕Steve Cox 2002 · MLB	27	53→51	51→50	40	53	.265/.343/.434	.169	.294	19	5	17%	9%	123	+3.3	.254/.330/.406	.152	.293	16	6	19%	9%	110	+2.4	.251/.330/.392	.141	.290	15	5	18%	9%	101	+1.9
●Trevor Plouffe 2014 · MLB	28	46→51	54→60	41→45	48	.243/.304/.419	.176	.276	22	4	21%	7%	103	+1.9	.250/.313/.420	.170	.288	19	3	20%	8%	107	+2.2	.250/.313/.423	.173	.285	19	2	19%	8%	105	+1.8
✕Maikel Franco 2020 · MLB	27	45→55	53→55	47→40	51	.235/.291/.400	.165	.243	21	2	15%	7%	92	+1.2	.232/.282/.380	.148	.253	18	3	16%	6%	83	+0.6	.225/.266/.352	.128	.252	15	1	18%	5%	67	-0.3
✕John Buck 2008 · MLB	28	45→53	53→55	37→30	47	.236/.303/.407	.171	.272	21	3	22%	7%	100	+1.7	.237/.304/.411	.174	.287	19	2	24%	8%	102	+1.8	.244/.300/.417	.173	.301	19	1	25%	6%	97	+0.9
✕Josmil Pinto 2016 · MLB	27	48→58	49→55	38→40	49	.244/.308/.391	.147	.290	17	2	22%	8%	97	+1.5	.227/.278/.364	.137	.291	15	4	27%	6%	77	+0.1	.230/.273/.370	.140	.300	16	0	28%	6%	73	-0.1

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)