Isaac Paredes
3B Houston Astros| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25 | INTLNaranjeros de… | 39 | .276/.447/.379 | 0 | 0 | 141 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MLBCHC | 641 | .238/.350/.393 | 19 | 1 | 112 | 2.5 |
| 2025 | 26 | INTLNaranjeros de… | 34 | .292/.500/.333 | 0 | 0 | 161 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MLBHOU | 438 | .254/.353/.458 | 20 | 0 | 129 | 2.5 |
| 2026 | 27 | MLBHOU | 659 | .262/.363/.447 | 25 | 0 | 128 | 3.8 |
| 2027PROJ | 28 | MLBHOU | 614 | .236/.340/.406 | 21 | 1 | 112 | 2.0 |
| 2028PROJ | 29 | MLBHOU | 613 | .233/.337/.399 | 21 | 1 | 109 | 1.7 |
| 2029PROJ | 30 | MLBHOU | 592 | .229/.333/.390 | 20 | 1 | 106 | 1.4 |
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Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 17 | ROK | AZL Cubs | — | 185 | 167 | 51 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 20 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 305 | 363 | 443 | 806 | 138 | 338 | 11 | 7 | 353 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | A | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 517 | 452 | 114 | 28 | 0 | 11 | 42 | 67 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 252 | 340 | 387 | 727 | 135 | 273 | 13 | 8 | 327 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | INTL | Yaquis de Obregon | — | 61 | 54 | 20 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 370 | 433 | 556 | 989 | 185 | 388 | 8 | 8 | 429 | 176 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | — | 155 | 131 | 42 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 22 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 321 | 414 | 458 | 872 | 137 | 358 | 14 | 12 | 385 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | A+ | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 347 | 301 | 78 | 19 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 54 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 259 | 344 | 455 | 799 | 196 | 274 | 16 | 9 | 348 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | INTL | Yaquis de Obregon | — | 186 | 148 | 35 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 28 | 23 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 236 | 383 | 392 | 774 | 155 | 252 | 12 | 15 | 350 | 123 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | — | 552 | 478 | 135 | 23 | 1 | 13 | 57 | 61 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 282 | 372 | 416 | 788 | 134 | 298 | 11 | 10 | 353 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | INTL | Yaquis de Obregon | — | 257 | 219 | 60 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 29 | 31 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 274 | 376 | 379 | 755 | 105 | 301 | 12 | 11 | 344 | 119 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 21 | MLB | Detroit Tigers | — | 108 | 100 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 220 | 278 | 290 | 568 | 70 | 280 | 22 | 7 | 261 | 65 | -4 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +2 | -0.3 |
| 2020 | 21 | INTL | Mexico | — | 199 | 165 | 57 | 17 | 1 | 4 | 29 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 345 | 452 | 533 | 985 | 188 | 361 | 8 | 15 | 432 | 178 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MLB | Detroit Tigers | — | 85 | 72 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 208 | 313 | 319 | 633 | 111 | 226 | 13 | 12 | 286 | 77 | -2 | +0 | +2 | +2 | +2 | 0.3 |
| 2021 | 22 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 315 | 253 | 67 | 10 | 2 | 11 | 56 | 47 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 265 | 402 | 451 | 853 | 186 | 281 | 15 | 18 | 379 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | INTL | Venados de Mazatlan | — | 181 | 142 | 40 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 37 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 282 | 436 | 408 | 845 | 127 | 305 | 11 | 20 | 389 | 150 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 381 | 331 | 68 | 16 | 0 | 20 | 44 | 67 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 205 | 306 | 435 | 741 | 230 | 195 | 18 | 12 | 327 | 110 | +4 | -0 | +4 | +2 | +8 | 1.9 |
| 2022 | 23 | AAA | Durham Bulls | — | 113 | 95 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 263 | 364 | 484 | 848 | 221 | 280 | 17 | 12 | 365 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | INTL | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 101 | 80 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 125 | 300 | 237 | 537 | 112 | 127 | 16 | 18 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 571 | 492 | 123 | 24 | 0 | 31 | 58 | 104 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 250 | 353 | 488 | 840 | 238 | 257 | 18 | 10 | 371 | 139 | +26 | +0 | -0 | +2 | +12 | 4.2 |
| 2023 | 24 | INTL | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 85 | 62 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 355 | 512 | 613 | 1.125 | 258 | 339 | 7 | 22 | 471 | 205 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | — | 641 | 542 | 129 | 25 | 1 | 19 | 76 | 105 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 238 | 350 | 393 | 743 | 155 | 259 | 16 | 12 | 335 | 112 | +9 | -0 | -0 | +2 | +14 | 2.5 |
| 2024 | 25 | INTL | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 39 | 29 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 276 | 447 | 379 | 827 | 103 | 296 | 8 | 21 | 377 | 141 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB | Houston Astros | — | 438 | 378 | 96 | 15 | 1 | 20 | 50 | 76 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 254 | 353 | 458 | 811 | 204 | 268 | 17 | 11 | 360 | 129 | +15 | -0 | -2 | +2 | +9 | 2.5 |
| 2025 | 26 | INTL | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 34 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 292 | 500 | 333 | 833 | 42 | 318 | 6 | 21 | 406 | 161 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | Houston Astros | — | 659 | 562 | 147 | 27 | 1 | 25 | 71 | 88 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 262 | 363 | 447 | 810 | 185 | 268 | 13 | 11 | 359 | 128 | +22 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +14 | 3.8 |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 2883 | 2477 | 600 | 114 | 4 | 117 | 317 | 475 | 69 | 2 | 3 | 242 | 344 | 433 | 778 | 191 | 254 | 16 | 11 | 346 | 121 | +70 | -1 | -0 | +14 | +62 | 14.9 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 17 | ROK MLE | AZL Cubs | — | 185 | 172 | 40 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 29 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 233 | 275 | 331 | 606 | 99 | 271 | 16 | 4 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | A MLE | West Michigan Whitecaps | — | 517 | 463 | 97 | 24 | 0 | 11 | 31 | 93 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 210 | 285 | 333 | 618 | 123 | 233 | 18 | 6 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | AA MLE | Erie SeaWolves | — | 155 | 137 | 40 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 292 | 362 | 394 | 756 | 102 | 333 | 17 | 8 | 340 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | A+ MLE | Lakeland Flying Tigers | — | 347 | 310 | 69 | 18 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 78 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 223 | 291 | 365 | 656 | 142 | 257 | 22 | 7 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | AA MLE | Erie SeaWolves | — | 552 | 495 | 127 | 19 | 1 | 8 | 40 | 75 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 257 | 326 | 347 | 673 | 91 | 280 | 14 | 7 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 21 | MLB MLE | Detroit Tigers | — | 108 | 100 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 220 | 278 | 290 | 568 | 70 | 280 | 22 | 7 | 265 | 65 | -4 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +2 | -0.3 |
| 2021 | 22 | MLB MLE | Detroit Tigers | — | 85 | 73 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 205 | 301 | 315 | 616 | 110 | 226 | 13 | 11 | 282 | 77 | -2 | +0 | +2 | +2 | +2 | 0.3 |
| 2021 | 22 | AAA MLE | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 315 | 270 | 65 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 39 | 56 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 241 | 341 | 378 | 719 | 137 | 267 | 18 | 12 | 320 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MLB MLE | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 381 | 331 | 68 | 16 | 0 | 21 | 44 | 67 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 205 | 306 | 444 | 750 | 239 | 195 | 18 | 12 | 330 | 110 | +4 | -0 | +4 | +2 | +8 | 1.9 |
| 2022 | 23 | AAA MLE | Durham Bulls | — | 113 | 99 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 232 | 309 | 404 | 713 | 172 | 244 | 20 | 8 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MLB MLE | Tampa Bay Rays | — | 571 | 492 | 124 | 25 | 0 | 32 | 58 | 104 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 252 | 354 | 498 | 852 | 246 | 257 | 18 | 10 | 374 | 139 | +26 | +0 | -0 | +2 | +12 | 4.2 |
| 2024 | 25 | MLB MLE | Chicago Cubs | — | 641 | 544 | 129 | 24 | 1 | 20 | 74 | 105 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 237 | 346 | 395 | 742 | 158 | 259 | 16 | 12 | 333 | 112 | +9 | -0 | -0 | +2 | +14 | 2.5 |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 438 | 378 | 96 | 14 | 1 | 21 | 50 | 76 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 254 | 353 | 463 | 816 | 209 | 268 | 17 | 11 | 359 | 129 | +15 | -0 | -2 | +2 | +9 | 2.5 |
| 2026 | 27 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 659 | 562 | 147 | 26 | 1 | 26 | 71 | 88 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 262 | 363 | 450 | 814 | 189 | 268 | 13 | 11 | 358 | 128 | +22 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +14 | 3.8 |
| 2016 | 17 | ROK MLE | AZL Cubs | — | 185 | 172 | 40 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 29 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 233 | 275 | 331 | 606 | 99 | 271 | 16 | 4 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 17 | ROK RAW | AZL Cubs | — | 185 | 167 | 51 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 20 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 305 | 363 | 443 | 806 | 138 | 338 | 11 | 7 | 353 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 578 | 519 | 109 | 27 | 0 | 12 | 34 | 104 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 210 | 283 | 331 | 615 | 121 | 238 | 18 | 6 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 578 | 506 | 134 | 35 | 0 | 12 | 47 | 72 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 265 | 350 | 405 | 755 | 140 | 286 | 12 | 8 | 338 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 688 | 610 | 151 | 36 | 2 | 15 | 49 | 143 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 248 | 320 | 387 | 707 | 139 | 294 | 21 | 7 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 688 | 580 | 155 | 37 | 3 | 19 | 79 | 99 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 267 | 370 | 440 | 810 | 172 | 288 | 14 | 11 | 357 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 809 | 725 | 187 | 28 | 1 | 12 | 58 | 110 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 258 | 328 | 349 | 677 | 91 | 286 | 14 | 7 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 809 | 697 | 195 | 30 | 3 | 17 | 86 | 92 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 280 | 373 | 405 | 778 | 125 | 299 | 11 | 11 | 350 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 21 | INTL MLE | 2 teams | — | 307 | 279 | 64 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 68 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 229 | 295 | 305 | 600 | 75 | 290 | 22 | 7 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 21 | INTL RAW | 2 teams | — | 307 | 265 | 79 | 21 | 1 | 5 | 37 | 40 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 298 | 390 | 442 | 832 | 143 | 333 | 13 | 12 | 372 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 581 | 500 | 116 | 18 | 4 | 13 | 70 | 98 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 232 | 332 | 362 | 694 | 130 | 261 | 17 | 12 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 581 | 467 | 122 | 19 | 3 | 16 | 103 | 78 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 261 | 400 | 418 | 818 | 156 | 280 | 13 | 18 | 368 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 595 | 517 | 108 | 26 | 1 | 28 | 64 | 108 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 209 | 306 | 426 | 731 | 217 | 207 | 18 | 11 | 324 | 105 | +4 | -1 | +4 | +2 | +13 | 2.2 |
| 2022 | 23 | MLB RAW | 3 teams | — | 595 | 506 | 103 | 26 | 1 | 26 | 75 | 102 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 204 | 316 | 413 | 729 | 209 | 201 | 17 | 13 | 324 | 105 | +4 | -1 | +4 | +2 | +13 | 2.2 |
| 2023 | 24 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 656 | 564 | 142 | 28 | 0 | 37 | 67 | 119 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 252 | 353 | 498 | 851 | 246 | 255 | 18 | 10 | 374 | 139 | +30 | +0 | -0 | +2 | +14 | 4.8 |
| 2023 | 24 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 656 | 554 | 145 | 29 | 1 | 34 | 77 | 110 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 262 | 373 | 502 | 875 | 240 | 268 | 17 | 12 | 384 | 139 | +30 | +0 | -0 | +2 | +14 | 4.8 |
| 2024 | 25 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 680 | 576 | 137 | 26 | 1 | 21 | 79 | 111 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 238 | 348 | 396 | 744 | 158 | 257 | 16 | 12 | 333 | 112 | +9 | -0 | -0 | +2 | +15 | 2.7 |
| 2024 | 25 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 680 | 571 | 137 | 28 | 1 | 19 | 84 | 108 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 240 | 355 | 392 | 747 | 152 | 262 | 16 | 12 | 337 | 112 | +9 | -0 | -0 | +2 | +15 | 2.7 |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 472 | 405 | 102 | 15 | 1 | 22 | 54 | 82 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 252 | 355 | 457 | 812 | 205 | 264 | 17 | 11 | 359 | 129 | +16 | -0 | -2 | +2 | +10 | 2.7 |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 472 | 402 | 103 | 16 | 1 | 20 | 57 | 78 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 256 | 364 | 450 | 814 | 194 | 271 | 17 | 12 | 363 | 129 | +16 | -0 | -2 | +2 | +10 | 2.7 |
| 2026 | 27 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 659 | 562 | 147 | 26 | 1 | 26 | 71 | 88 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 262 | 363 | 450 | 814 | 189 | 266 | 13 | 11 | 358 | 128 | +22 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +14 | 3.8 |
| 2026 | 27 | MLB RAW | Houston Astros | — | 659 | 562 | 147 | 27 | 1 | 25 | 71 | 88 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 262 | 363 | 447 | 810 | 185 | 268 | 13 | 11 | 359 | 128 | +22 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +14 | 3.8 |
| 2016 | 17 | ROK MLE | AZL Cubs | — | 185 | 173 | 40 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 29 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 231 | 275 | 329 | 604 | 98 | 271 | 16 | 4 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 578 | 520 | 109 | 27 | 0 | 12 | 34 | 104 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 210 | 283 | 331 | 614 | 121 | 233 | 18 | 6 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 688 | 618 | 151 | 36 | 2 | 15 | 49 | 143 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 244 | 320 | 382 | 702 | 138 | 280 | 21 | 7 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 809 | 727 | 187 | 28 | 1 | 12 | 58 | 110 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 257 | 328 | 348 | 676 | 91 | 280 | 14 | 7 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 21 | INTL MLE | 2 teams | — | 307 | 278 | 64 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 68 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 230 | 295 | 306 | 601 | 76 | 280 | 22 | 7 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 581 | 501 | 116 | 18 | 4 | 13 | 70 | 98 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 232 | 332 | 361 | 693 | 130 | 258 | 17 | 12 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 595 | 518 | 108 | 26 | 1 | 28 | 64 | 108 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 208 | 306 | 425 | 730 | 216 | 206 | 18 | 11 | 324 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 656 | 563 | 142 | 28 | 0 | 37 | 67 | 119 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 252 | 353 | 499 | 852 | 247 | 257 | 18 | 10 | 374 | 139 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 680 | 578 | 137 | 26 | 1 | 21 | 79 | 111 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 237 | 348 | 394 | 742 | 157 | 259 | 16 | 12 | 333 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 472 | 404 | 102 | 15 | 1 | 22 | 54 | 82 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 252 | 355 | 458 | 813 | 205 | 268 | 17 | 11 | 359 | 129 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 659 | 564 | 147 | 26 | 1 | 26 | 71 | 88 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 261 | 363 | 449 | 812 | 188 | 268 | 13 | 11 | 358 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 25 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 680 | 578 | 137 | 26 | 1 | 21 | 79 | 111 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 237 | 348 | 394 | 742 | 157 | 259 | 16 | 12 | 333 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 472 | 404 | 102 | 15 | 1 | 22 | 54 | 82 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 252 | 355 | 458 | 813 | 205 | 268 | 17 | 11 | 359 | 129 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 659 | 564 | 147 | 26 | 1 | 26 | 71 | 88 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 261 | 363 | 449 | 812 | 188 | 268 | 13 | 11 | 358 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB MLE | HOU | 100% | 579 | 496 | 116 | 21 | 1 | 21 | 64 | 88 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 234 | 339 | 405 | 744 | 172 | 243 | 15 | 11 | 334 | 112 | +8 | +0 | -4 | +2 | +13 | 2.4 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB CTX | HOU | 100% | 614 | 526 | 123 | 23 | 1 | 21 | 68 | 93 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 236 | 340 | 406 | 747 | 171 | 246 | 15 | 11 | 335 | 112 | +9 | -0 | -4 | +2 | +13 | 2.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 29 | MLB MLE | HOU | 100% | 613 | 525 | 121 | 22 | 1 | 21 | 68 | 95 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 231 | 336 | 398 | 734 | 167 | 241 | 15 | 11 | 330 | 109 | +7 | +0 | -5 | +2 | +13 | 1.7 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB MLE | HOU | 100% | 592 | 508 | 115 | 20 | 1 | 20 | 65 | 93 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 227 | 332 | 389 | 721 | 162 | 239 | 16 | 11 | 325 | 106 | +4 | +0 | -6 | +2 | +13 | 1.4 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB MLE | HOU | 100% | 566 | 485 | 108 | 19 | 0 | 19 | 62 | 91 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 222 | 326 | 377 | 703 | 155 | 235 | 16 | 11 | 318 | 101 | +1 | +0 | -6 | +2 | +12 | 0.9 |
| 2031 | 32 | MLB MLE | HOU | 100% | 551 | 474 | 101 | 17 | 0 | 17 | 59 | 91 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 215 | 319 | 361 | 680 | 146 | 229 | 17 | 11 | 309 | 95 | -3 | +0 | -7 | +2 | +12 | 0.4 |
| 2032 | 33 | MLB MLE | HOU | 100% | 505 | 436 | 91 | 15 | 0 | 15 | 53 | 87 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 207 | 310 | 342 | 651 | 135 | 223 | 17 | 10 | 297 | 87 | -8 | +0 | -7 | +2 | +11 | -0.2 |
| 2033 | 34 | MLB MLE | HOU | 100% | 447 | 387 | 76 | 12 | 0 | 12 | 47 | 80 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 197 | 299 | 320 | 619 | 124 | 214 | 18 | 11 | 284 | 79 | -11 | +0 | -8 | +2 | +10 | -0.8 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB CTX | HOU | 100% | 613 | 525 | 123 | 23 | 1 | 21 | 68 | 95 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 233 | 337 | 399 | 737 | 166 | 245 | 15 | 11 | 331 | 109 | +7 | +0 | -5 | +2 | +13 | 1.7 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB CTX | HOU | 100% | 592 | 508 | 118 | 22 | 1 | 20 | 65 | 93 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 229 | 333 | 390 | 723 | 161 | 242 | 16 | 11 | 326 | 106 | +4 | +0 | -6 | +2 | +13 | 1.4 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB CTX | HOU | 100% | 566 | 485 | 108 | 20 | 0 | 18 | 62 | 91 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 224 | 328 | 378 | 706 | 154 | 238 | 16 | 11 | 319 | 101 | +1 | +0 | -6 | +2 | +12 | 0.9 |
| 2031 | 32 | MLB CTX | HOU | 100% | 551 | 474 | 103 | 18 | 0 | 17 | 59 | 91 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 217 | 320 | 362 | 682 | 145 | 233 | 17 | 11 | 310 | 95 | -3 | +0 | -7 | +2 | +12 | 0.4 |
| 2032 | 33 | MLB CTX | HOU | 100% | 505 | 436 | 90 | 15 | 0 | 14 | 53 | 87 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 208 | 311 | 343 | 654 | 134 | 226 | 17 | 10 | 298 | 87 | -8 | +0 | -7 | +2 | +11 | -0.2 |
| 2033 | 34 | MLB CTX | HOU | 100% | 447 | 387 | 77 | 12 | 0 | 12 | 47 | 80 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 198 | 300 | 321 | 621 | 123 | 217 | 18 | 11 | 285 | 79 | -11 | +0 | -8 | +2 | +10 | -0.8 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 6157 | 5292 | 1219 | 224 | 6 | 219 | 671 | 1012 | 146 | 7 | 3 | 230 | 333 | 399 | 732 | 169 | 244 | 16 | 11 | 329 | 102 | +60 | +0 | -40 | +26 | +133 | 18.3 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 559 | 129 | 24 | 1 | 23 | 71 | 107 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 231 | 333 | 401 | 734 | 170 | 245 | 16 | 11 | 329 | 102 | +6 | +0 | -4 | +3 | +14 | 1.9 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 10098 | 8770 | 2038 | 379 | 16 | 316 | 999 | 1690 | 232 | 28 | 16 | 232 | 327 | 387 | 714 | 155 | 252 | 17 | 10 | 318 | 102 | +69 | +0 | -44 | +28 | +147 | 20.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 565 | 130 | 24 | 1 | 20 | 64 | 109 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 230 | 325 | 382 | 707 | 152 | 249 | 17 | 10 | 318 | 102 | +7 | +0 | -4 | +3 | +14 | 2.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2022 AAADurham Bulls · 113 PAwOBA .365 → .302 (−63)K% 16.8% → 20.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.81% | ÷0.999 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.50% | ÷1.059 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 7.87% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.77% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 1.75% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.11% | ÷0.988 | ×0.930 | ×0.958 | ×1.050 | 16.20% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.21% | ÷1.091 | ×0.830 | ×0.958 | ×1.050 | 7.05% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.32% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.958 | ×1.050 | 1.12% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.26% | ÷1.034 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 3.74% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 98, 2B 118, 3B 130, K 100, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.958.
Result: wOBA .365 → .302; ISO .221 → .171; BABIP .280 → .244. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 315 PAwOBA .374 → .320 (−54)K% 14.9% → 17.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.92% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 17.91% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.78% | ÷1.038 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 12.41% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.63% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.63% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.36% | ÷0.991 | ×0.930 | ×1.001 | ×1.050 | 21.06% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.85% | ÷1.013 | ×0.830 | ×1.001 | ×1.050 | 4.18% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.97% | ÷0.981 | ×0.920 | ×1.001 | ×1.050 | 0.96% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.34% | ÷1.052 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 3.73% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 98, 2B 103, 3B 96, K 100, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.001.
Result: wOBA .374 → .320; ISO .186 → .149; BABIP .281 → .267. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAErie SeaWolves · 552 PAwOBA .348 → .300 (−48)K% 11.1% → 13.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.05% | ÷0.994 | ×1.220 | — | — | 13.56% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.33% | ÷1.050 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 7.23% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.99% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.050 | 1.78% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.50% | ÷0.978 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | 23.25% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.52% | ÷1.077 | ×0.860 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | 4.39% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.24% | ÷1.127 | ×0.950 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | 0.20% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.12% | ÷1.294 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 1.97% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 159, 1B 96, 2B 115, 3B 125, K 99, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .348 → .300; ISO .134 → .096; BABIP .298 → .280. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 A+Lakeland Flying Tigers · 347 PAwOBA .345 → .290 (−55)K% 15.6% → 22.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.56% | ÷0.987 | ×1.420 | — | — | 22.39% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.22% | ÷1.097 | ×0.750 | — | ×1.050 | 6.62% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.02% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×1.050 | 1.97% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.22% | ÷0.974 | ×0.920 | ×0.961 | ×1.050 | 17.37% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷0.995 | ×0.960 | ×0.961 | ×1.050 | 7.49% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.81% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×0.961 | ×1.050 | 0.58% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.86% | ÷1.277 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.050 | 3.51% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 155, 1B 95, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 97, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.961.
Result: wOBA .345 → .290; ISO .196 → .153; BABIP .274 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAErie SeaWolves · 155 PAwOBA .381 → .340 (−41)K% 14.2% → 17.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.19% | ÷0.999 | ×1.220 | — | — | 17.34% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.61% | ÷1.007 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 8.48% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.29% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.050 | 1.15% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.52% | ÷1.016 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | 26.20% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.26% | ÷0.974 | ×0.860 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | 7.27% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.901 | ×0.950 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.75% | ÷1.112 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 2.03% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 122, 1B 103, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 100, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .381 → .340; ISO .137 → .115; BABIP .358 → .333. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AWest Michigan Whitecaps · 517 PAwOBA .321 → .268 (−53)K% 13.0% → 18.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.96% | ÷0.978 | ×1.360 | — | — | 18.01% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.12% | ÷0.992 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 5.93% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.48% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 2.85% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.48% | ÷1.084 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | 16.49% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.27% | ÷0.958 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | 6.29% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.86% | ÷0.849 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.050 | 2.83% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 70, 1B 117, 2B 92, 3B 130, K 96, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 22.0 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .321 → .268; ISO .135 → .124; BABIP .273 → .233. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 ROKAZL Cubs · 185 PAwOBA .348 → .267 (−81)K% 10.8% → 15.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.81% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 15.57% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.03% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.038 | 4.52% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.08% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.038 | 0.81% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.45% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.984 | ×1.038 | 18.79% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.52% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.984 | ×1.038 | 7.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.04% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.984 | ×1.038 | 1.50% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.68% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.038 | 0.55% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 19.5 → +3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.
Result: wOBA .348 → .267; ISO .138 → .102; BABIP .338 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .