Austin Hays — OGILVIE

Austin HaysLF Chicago White Sox

Age 31 R/R 5'10" / 200 lbs MLB HR +4% Svc 6.331 · Ctrl thru 2026 ILInjured 60-Day (D60)

2026 ROS PROJECTION78 act + 192 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 168143vR 78

AVG/OBP/SLG.258 / .305 / .444

PA192

HR7

K%25

BB%6

BABIP315

ISO185

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT45

Whiff%

2114.3%

xwOBA

400.297

POWER50

Barrel%

538.6

Avg EV

4588.7

Bat Spd

5371.7

EYE40

Chase%

3135.5%

SPEED50

Sprint

4627.3

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 696 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

195

501

—

wRC+

169

◀◀L

wOBA

406

287

◀◀L

ISO

209

152

◀◀L

BABIP

447

278

◀◀L

24.6%

25.3%

—

BB%

7.7%

4.0%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2017

Service 6.331 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

OPT

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$2M	—	—	—
Totals		$2M		$0.0M	-$2M

Options · projected decision
2027	MUTUAL OPT	$6.0M / $0.0M buyout	DECLINE
2028	MUTUAL OPT	$8.0M / $1.0M buyout	DECLINE
2029	MUTUAL OPT	$6.0M / $0.0M buyout	DECLINE
2030	MUTUAL OPT	$12.0M / $1.0M buyout	DECLINE

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	22	AA	3 teams	—	626	593	159	30	4	25	17	135	8	5	7	268	298	459	756	191	305	22	3	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	AA	3 teams	—	626	583	185	35	5	33	27	101	8	5	7	317	356	564	920	247	334	16	4	396	161	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	288	277	56	10	2	9	8	83	0	6	3	202	225	350	575	148	250	29	3	247	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	288	273	66	12	2	12	12	59	0	6	3	242	274	432	706	190	263	20	4	306	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	AAA	4 teams	—	433	408	87	22	1	18	17	122	7	11	5	213	257	404	661	191	257	28	4	282	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	AAA	4 teams	—	433	401	103	27	1	19	24	96	7	11	5	257	310	471	782	214	293	22	6	343	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	25	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	134	122	33	2	0	4	8	25	2	2	3	270	326	385	711	115	305	19	6	310	96	-1	-1	+1	+0	+4	0.4
2020	25	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	134	122	34	2	0	4	8	25	2	2	3	279	333	393	727	115	316	19	6	323	105	+1	-1	+1	+0	+4	0.6
2021	26	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	529	488	120	24	4	20	28	107	9	4	3	246	299	434	733	189	276	20	5	321	104	+2	-0	-2	-6	+15	1.0
2021	26	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	529	488	125	26	4	22	28	107	9	4	3	256	309	461	770	205	286	20	5	336	115	+9	-0	-2	-6	+15	1.7
2022	27	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	582	535	129	33	2	15	34	114	10	2	4	241	299	394	693	153	279	20	6	305	92	-6	-1	-4	-6	+16	-0.0
2022	27	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	582	535	134	35	2	16	34	114	10	2	4	250	307	413	721	163	289	20	6	319	103	+2	-1	-4	-6	+16	0.7
2023	28	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	566	520	138	34	2	15	38	141	3	5	1	265	319	425	744	160	333	25	7	323	105	+3	+1	+2	-6	+16	1.6
2023	28	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	566	520	143	36	2	16	38	141	3	5	1	275	328	444	772	169	345	25	7	339	118	+11	+1	+2	-6	+16	2.5
2024	29	MLB	3 teams	—	289	265	65	18	0	6	12	71	9	2	2	245	301	381	682	136	311	25	4	299	87	-4	-0	-4	-3	+8	-0.3
2024	29	MLB	3 teams	—	289	263	68	19	0	7	14	69	9	2	2	259	318	411	729	152	323	24	5	323	105	+2	-0	-4	-3	+8	0.3
2025	30	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	416	380	98	15	5	14	29	107	1	7	0	258	312	434	746	176	317	26	7	322	104	+2	+1	-0	-4	+12	1.1
2025	30	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	416	380	101	16	5	15	29	107	1	7	0	266	320	453	772	187	326	26	7	336	115	+7	+1	-0	-4	+12	1.6
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	31	MLB	CWS	—	78	76	16	1	0	3	2	20	0	0	1	211	231	342	573	132	245	26	3	233	36	-6	-0	-1	-1	+2	-0.6
YTD	31	MLB	CWS	—	78	76	17	1	0	3	2	19	0	0	1	224	244	355	599	132	259	24	3	265	61	-3	-0	-1	-1	+2	-0.4
ROS	31	MLB	CWS	100%	192	178	46	10	1	7	11	48	1	2	1	258	305	444	749	185	309	25	6	324	106	+1	+0	+1	-2	+5	0.6
ROS	31	MLB	CWS	100%	192	178	46	10	1	7	11	48	1	2	1	258	305	444	749	185	310	25	6	321	103	+1	+0	+1	-2	+5	0.5
FULL	31	MLB	CWS	—	270	254	62	11	1	10	13	68	1	2	2	244	284	413	697	169	294	25	5	295	84	-5	-0	-0	-3	+8	-0.1
TOT	31	MLB	CWS	—	270	254	62	11	1	10	13	68	1	2	2	244	284	413	697	169	294	25	5	298	86	-4	-0	-0	-3	+8	-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	32	MLB	CWS	100%	382	354	89	19	2	13	22	97	3	4	2	251	301	427	727	175	306	25	6	317	101	+0	+0	-1	-4	+11	0.6
2028	33	MLB	CWS	100%	352	327	79	16	1	12	20	92	2	3	1	242	289	407	696	165	300	26	6	308	94	-2	+0	-2	-4	+10	0.2
2029	34	MLB	CWS	100%	308	286	67	13	1	10	17	82	2	2	1	234	282	392	674	157	291	27	6	297	85	-5	+0	-3	-3	+9	-0.3
2027	32	MLB	CWS	100%	382	354	89	19	2	13	22	97	3	4	2	251	301	427	727	175	307	25	6	314	98	-1	+0	-1	-4	+11	0.5
2028	33	MLB	CWS	100%	352	327	80	17	1	12	20	92	2	3	1	245	292	413	705	168	301	26	6	305	92	-3	+0	-2	-4	+10	0.1
2029	34	MLB	CWS	100%	308	286	68	14	1	10	17	82	2	2	1	238	285	399	684	161	292	27	6	294	83	-6	+0	-3	-3	+9	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3854	3553	914	202	18	125	225	901	41	35	18	257	309	430	739	173	309	23	6	323	105	+22	-0	-12	-43	+109	7.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	599	154	34	3	21	38	152	7	6	3	257	309	429	738	172	309	23	6	323	105	+4	+0	-2	-7	+18	1.3
Career	—			—	5097	4733	1166	246	25	168	261	1224	57	55	33	246	294	415	709	169	296	24	5	308	94	-37	-2	-12	-47	+144	4.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	604	148	31	3	21	33	156	7	7	4	245	292	411	703	166	294	24	5	308	94	-5	-0	-1	-6	+18	0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	22	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	63	60	13	3	0	1	2	16	0	0	0	217	242	317	559	100	273	25	3	246	46	-4	+0	-1	-7	+2	-1.0
2017	22	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	283	261	86	17	2	16	13	45	4	1	1	330	371	594	964	264	345	16	5	412	173	+23	-0	—	—	+8	3.2
2017	22	A+	Frederick Keys	—	280	262	86	15	3	16	12	40	4	4	6	328	367	592	959	263	337	14	4	413	175	+24	-2	—	—	+8	3.1
2018	23	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	288	273	66	12	2	12	12	59	0	6	3	242	274	432	706	190	263	20	4	306	92	-2	+0	—	—	+8	0.6
2019	24	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	75	68	21	6	0	4	7	13	0	2	0	309	373	574	947	265	333	17	9	412	173	+6	+0	+0	+2	+2	1.1
2019	24	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	257	240	61	16	1	10	11	61	6	6	4	254	304	454	758	200	302	24	4	334	114	+4	-0	—	—	+7	1.1
2019	24	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	61	56	15	5	0	3	5	11	0	3	1	268	328	518	846	250	286	18	8	369	140	+3	+0	—	—	+2	0.5
2019	24	A+	Frederick Keys	—	40	37	6	0	0	2	1	11	1	0	0	162	205	324	529	162	160	28	2	230	34	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2020	25	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	134	122	34	2	0	4	8	25	2	2	3	279	333	393	727	115	316	19	6	323	105	+1	-1	+1	+0	+4	0.6
2021	26	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	529	488	125	26	4	22	28	107	9	4	3	256	309	461	770	205	286	20	5	336	115	+9	-0	-2	-6	+15	1.7
2022	27	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	582	535	134	35	2	16	34	114	10	2	4	250	307	413	721	163	289	20	6	319	103	+2	-1	-4	-6	+16	0.7
2023	28	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	566	520	143	36	2	16	38	141	3	5	1	275	328	444	772	169	345	25	7	339	118	+11	+1	+2	-6	+16	2.5
2024	29	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	—	255	235	60	18	0	5	9	59	8	2	2	255	306	396	701	140	318	23	4	310	96	-1	-0	-4	-3	+7	-0.1
2024	29	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	17	14	3	0	0	0	2	6	1	0	0	214	353	214	567		375	35	12	285	76	-0	+0	—	—	+0	0.0
2024	29	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	17	14	5	1	0	2	3	4	0	0	0	357	471	857	1.328	500	375	24	18	550	279	+3	+0	—	—	+0	0.4
2025	30	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	416	380	101	16	5	15	29	107	1	7	0	266	320	453	772	187	326	26	7	336	115	+7	+1	-0	-4	+12	1.6
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	2620	2408	631	142	13	83	155	582	33	24	13	262	315	435	751	173	311	22	6	330	111	+31	-0	-6	-30	+74	7.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Josh Reddicklast yr '21 career totals — 13 seasons, 4,879 PA	13	4,879	146	61	262	321	426	-52	-8	13.1	13.0
	/162	664	20	8	262	321	426	-7.1	-1.1	1.8	pk7: 13
#2Jay Gibbonslast yr '11 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,177 PA	9	3,177	127	2	260	315	453	-30	-30	7.7	8.1
	/162	664	27	0	260	315	453	-6.3	-6.3	1.6	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 12 projected seasons	12	3,932	127	37	257	306	429	-42	-15	8.2	8.1
	/162	664	21	6	257	306	429	-7.1	-2.6	1.4	pk7: 8
#3Avisaíl Garcíalast yr '24 career totals — 13 seasons, 4,298 PA	13	4,298	140	51	263	316	417	-43	-35	6.6	8.0
	/162	664	22	8	263	316	417	-6.7	-5.4	1.0	pk7: 9
#4Scott Hairstonlast yr '14 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,624 PA	9	2,624	106	36	242	297	444	-18	-16	6.0	6.6
	/162	664	27	9	242	297	444	-4.5	-4.1	1.5	pk7: 7
#5Ryan Raburnlast yr '17 career totals — 11 seasons, 2,703 PA	11	2,703	93	15	255	318	439	-20	-40	5.0	6.6
	/162	664	23	4	255	318	439	-4.9	-9.9	1.2	pk7: 8
#6Daryle Wardlast yr '08 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,297 PA	9	2,297	82	1	262	321	445	-28	-23	4.7	5.3
	/162	664	24	0	262	321	445	-8.1	-6.6	1.4	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Austin Hays (OGILVIE)	31	45	50	50	40	244/284/413	169	294	10	2	25%	5%	86	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕John Mayberry Jr. 2014 · MLB	30	46→48	51→55	45→50	47	237/295/399	163	280	18	7	23%	7%	94	+1.3	215/284/374	159	260	18	6	24%	8%	83	+0.6	182/261/345	163	213	18	2	24%	9%	65	-0.2
✕Donnie Murphy 2014 · MLB	31	42→40	55→65	47→45	41	223/287/406	183	274	23	7	28%	6%	93	+1.3	203/268/336	133	258	16	6	27%	6%	66	-0.6	166/235/261	96	210	12	0	27%	7%	32	-1.0
✕Tim Beckham 2022 · MLB	32	45→55	54→55	45→50	40	235/281/415	180	297	23	6	29%	6%	92	+1.2	261/311/409	148	342	19	9	28%	6%	103	+1.9	321/370/451	131	434	19	6	28%	6%	132	+1.1
✕John Hicks 2021 · MLB	31	46→50	54→60	43→50	39	240/282/413	174	309	22	5	30%	6%	92	+1.2	234/275/426	192	308	25	13	32%	5%	93	+1.3	218/259/399	181	289	23	16	33%	5%	76	+0.0
✕Chris Aguila 2010 · MLB	31	45→54	53→55	49→50	44	235/291/404	169	290	22	12	27%	7%	94	+1.3	224/282/377	153	295	17	7	29%	7%	82	+0.5	219/280/366	147	290	17	5	29%	7%	76	+0.0
✕J.C. Linares 2016 · AAA	31	50→52	52→55	47→40	47	252/321/424	172	301	19	5	23%	7%	111	+2.5	231/295/377	146	271	16	9	21%	7%	89	+0.9	214/289/367	153	224	20	3	16%	9%	82	+0.1
✕Tagg Bozied 2010 · AAA	31	46→48	51→55	48→45	45	236/294/399	163	285	19	8	24%	7%	94	+1.3	231/301/406	175	311	20	5	30%	8%	98	+1.6	220/300/409	189	296	21	1	31%	9%	95	+0.8
●Jonny Gomes 2011 · MLB	30	48→52	55→60	47→50	46	250/318/438	188	297	23	8	24%	7%	114	+2.7	243/338/433	190	303	24	8	27%	11%	121	+3.2	233/346/427	193	294	26	6	28%	13%	118	+1.8
✕Hector Luna 2011 · MLB	31	50→49	52→55	48→50	48	257/316/420	163	292	20	8	20%	7%	108	+2.3	243/292/389	146	280	17	7	19%	6%	90	+1.0	239/284/377	138	273	16	5	19%	5%	81	+0.3
✕Brooks Conrad 2011 · MLB	31	43→44	52→55	53→50	44	222/284/389	167	280	19	12	28%	7%	87	+0.8	231/298/418	187	310	23	9	31%	8%	101	+1.8	210/276/405	195	273	27	2	33%	8%	86	+0.3
✕Andy Phillips 2007 · MLB	30	46→55	54→55	47→40	45	243/291/423	180	277	22	7	22%	6%	98	+1.6	259/309/398	139	292	16	5	17%	6%	99	+1.7	267/318/394	127	298	15	3	15%	6%	100	+0.9
✕Welington Castillo 2019 · MLB	32	50→57	52→55	48→30	43	255/304/414	160	316	22	4	26%	6%	102	+1.8	228/289/399	171	289	22	5	28%	7%	92	+1.2	204/264/404	200	244	28	0	29%	6%	82	+0.2
✕Chad Huffman 2016 · AAA	31	48→52	48→55	50→45	47	239/304/384	145	299	16	9	25%	8%	94	+1.3	231/309/398	167	277	19	8	23%	8%	100	+1.7	224/306/391	167	269	19	5	24%	8%	94	+0.8
✕Andrew Brown 2014 · MLB	29	44→47	53→55	46→40	44	227/291/404	177	300	21	5	31%	8%	94	+1.3	227/290/403	176	288	22	5	28%	7%	93	+1.3	214/279/394	179	263	25	2	28%	7%	84	+0.5
✕Mario Lisson 2015 · AAA	31	45→49	53→55	47→55	44	233/300/405	173	283	21	12	26%	7%	98	+1.6	228/292/366	138	298	17	8	28%	7%	85	+0.7	214/282/337	122	285	15	6	29%	8%	71	-0.1
✕Justin Maxwell 2014 · MLB	30	45→44	55→60	52→60	45	231/303/423	192	311	23	15	32%	8%	104	+2.0	214/278/348	134	312	15	9	34%	7%	73	-0.1	199/263/308	108	295	13	6	35%	6%	54	-0.6
✕Xavier Scruggs 2019 · MLB	31	48→47	55	47→45	47	245/322/437	192	314	23	9	29%	9%	115	+2.8	254/322/474	220	322	30	8	30%	6%	126	+3.5	252/329/512	260	306	39	2	30%	6%	133	+1.6
✕Jacob Wilson 2021 · AAA	31	47→48	51→55	46→40	47	241/303/404	163	288	19	6	24%	8%	98	+1.6	232/297/428	196	275	24	6	25%	7%	103	+1.9	215/288/439	225	240	27	0	24%	8%	100	+0.9
✕Jason Dubois 2010 · AAA	31	42→45	54→60	44→40	39	225/284/396	172	291	23	5	31%	6%	89	+1.0	243/301/464	221	304	31	6	30%	6%	115	+2.7	244/305/546	301	270	47	0	30%	7%	134	+1.7
✕Michael Restovich 2010 · MLB	31	47→49	52→55	43→30	43	242/291/412	169	305	19	3	27%	6%	95	+1.4	214/265/338	124	304	13	4	32%	6%	65	-0.7	188/240/285	97	280	9	1	35%	6%	37	-1.1