Austin Hays — OGILVIE

Austin HaysLF Chicago White Sox

INJURED · Injured 10-Day (D10)

Age 31 R/R 5'10" / 200 lbs MLB BB +6%HR -6% Svc 9.000 · Ctrl thru 2027 peak 0.3 · 2027

wRC+†vL 15093vR 65

AVG/OBP/SLG.252 / .308 / .430

PA185

HR6

K%25

BB%7

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

45→45

PWR

50→50

SPD

50→50

EYE

42↘40

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.6peak

2027

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2017

Service 9.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2028

DEF 10%

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Ext / FA-deal	$5M	—	—	—
2027	Ext / FA-deal	$8M	+0.3	$1M	-$7M
Totals		$13M		$1M	-$12M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	22	AA	3 teams	626	592	162	29	4	27	18	133	8	5	7	.274	.304	.473	.777	.199	.308	21	3	.328	109	+6	-2	-1	-7	+18	1.5
2018	23	AA	Bowie Baysox	288	277	57	10	2	9	8	79	0	6	3	.206	.228	.354	.582	.148	.250	27	3	.255	53	-15	+0	+0	-3	+8	-1.0
2019	24	AAA	4 teams	433	407	88	22	1	17	18	119	7	11	5	.216	.262	.400	.662	.184	.261	27	4	.284	75	-12	+0	+0	+2	+12	0.2
2020	25	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	134	122	34	2	0	4	8	25	2	2	3	.279	.333	.393	.727	.115	.316	19	6	.324	106	+1	-1	+1	+0	+4	0.6
2021	26	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	529	488	122	25	4	19	28	107	9	4	3	.250	.303	.434	.737	.184	.284	20	5	.319	102	+1	-0	-2	-6	+15	0.9
2022	27	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	582	535	132	35	2	17	34	114	10	2	4	.247	.304	.415	.719	.168	.283	20	6	.312	97	-2	-1	-4	-6	+16	0.4
2023	28	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	566	520	143	37	2	15	38	141	3	5	1	.275	.328	.440	.768	.165	.347	25	7	.333	113	+9	+1	+2	-6	+16	2.2
2024	29	MLB	3 teams	289	265	67	19	0	6	12	71	9	2	2	.253	.308	.392	.700	.140	.321	25	4	.304	91	-3	-0	-4	-3	+8	-0.2
2025	30	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	416	380	99	15	6	14	29	107	1	7	0	.261	.315	.442	.757	.182	.321	26	7	.319	102	+1	+1	-0	-4	+12	1.0
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	31	MLB	Chicago White Sox	33	32	7	1	0	1	1	12	0	0	1	.219	.242	.344	.586	.125	.316	36	3	.236	39	-2	-0	-1	-0	+1	-0.3
ROS	31	MLB	CWS	152	140	35	7	1	5	10	39	1	2	1	.250	.305	.421	.726	.171	.311	26	7	.323	105	+1	+0	-1	-2	+4	0.3
TOT	31	MLB	CWS	185	172	42	8	1	6	11	51	1	2	2	.244	.293	.407	.700	.163	.310	28	6	.307	93	-1	-0	-2	-2	+5	-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	32	MLB	CWS	392	361	90	18	3	13	25	92	3	3	2	.249	.303	.424	.727	.175	.297	23	6	.318	101	+1	-0	-5	-4	+11	0.3
2028	33	MLB	CWS	362	333	80	16	2	11	23	88	3	2	1	.240	.295	.399	.695	.159	.295	24	6	.312	97	-1	+0	-5	-4	+10	-0.0
2029	34	MLB	CWS	318	292	71	14	2	10	20	80	3	1	1	.243	.298	.408	.706	.164	.293	25	6	.305	92	-3	-0	-6	-3	+9	-0.4
2030	35	MLB	CWS	265	245	58	11	2	8	16	69	2	0	0	.237	.289	.396	.685	.159	.291	26	6	.297	85	-4	+0	-7	-3	+8	-0.6
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			5352	4957	1238	260	31	175	287	1264	61	52	33	.250	.299	.421	.720	.171	.299	24	5	.311	96	-21	-3	-30	-49	+152	5.0
/ 162G	—			650	602	151	32	4	21	35	154	7	6	4	.251	.299	.422	.721	.171	.302	24	5	.311	96	-3	-0	-4	-6	+18	0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	22	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	63	60	13	3	0	1	2	16	0	0	0	.217	.242	.317	.559	.100	.273	25	3	.246	46	-4	+0	-1	-7	+2	-1.0
2017	22	AA	Bowie Baysox	283	261	86	17	2	16	13	45	4	1	1	.330	.371	.594	.964	.264	.345	16	5	.412	173	+23	-0	—	—	+8	3.2
2017	22	A+	Frederick Keys	280	262	86	15	3	16	12	40	4	4	6	.328	.367	.592	.959	.263	.337	14	4	.413	175	+24	-2	—	—	+8	3.1
2018	23	AA	Bowie Baysox	288	273	66	12	2	12	12	59	0	6	3	.242	.274	.432	.706	.190	.263	20	4	.306	92	-2	+0	—	—	+8	0.6
2019	24	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	75	68	21	6	0	4	7	13	0	2	0	.309	.373	.574	.947	.265	.333	17	9	.412	173	+6	+0	+0	+2	+2	1.1
2019	24	AAA	Norfolk Tides	257	240	61	16	1	10	11	61	6	6	4	.254	.304	.454	.758	.200	.302	24	4	.334	114	+4	-0	—	—	+7	1.1
2019	24	AA	Bowie Baysox	61	56	15	5	0	3	5	11	0	3	1	.268	.328	.518	.846	.250	.286	18	8	.369	140	+3	+0	—	—	+2	0.5
2019	24	A+	Frederick Keys	40	37	6	0	0	2	1	11	1	0	0	.162	.205	.324	.529	.162	.160	28	2	.230	34	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2020	25	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	134	122	34	2	0	4	8	25	2	2	3	.279	.333	.393	.727	.115	.316	19	6	.323	105	+1	-1	+1	+0	+4	0.6
2021	26	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	529	488	125	26	4	22	28	107	9	4	3	.256	.309	.461	.770	.205	.286	20	5	.336	115	+9	-0	-2	-6	+15	1.7
2022	27	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	582	535	134	35	2	16	34	114	10	2	4	.250	.307	.413	.721	.163	.289	20	6	.319	103	+2	-1	-4	-6	+16	0.7
2023	28	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	566	520	143	36	2	16	38	141	3	5	1	.275	.328	.444	.772	.169	.345	25	7	.339	118	+11	+1	+2	-6	+16	2.5
2024	29	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	255	235	60	18	0	5	9	59	8	2	2	.255	.306	.396	.701	.140	.318	23	4	.310	96	-1	-0	-4	-3	+7	-0.1
2024	29	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	17	14	3	0	0	0	2	6	1	0	0	.214	.353	.214	.567	.000	.375	35	12	.285	76	-0	+0	—	—	+0	0.0
2024	29	AA	Bowie Baysox	17	14	5	1	0	2	3	4	0	0	0	.357	.471	.857	1.328	.500	.375	24	18	.550	279	+3	+0	—	—	+0	0.4
2025	30	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	416	380	101	16	5	15	29	107	1	7	0	.266	.320	.453	.772	.187	.326	26	7	.336	115	+7	+1	-0	-4	+12	1.6
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			2620	2408	631	142	13	83	155	582	33	24	13	.262	.315	.435	.751	.173	.311	22	6	.330	111	+31	-0	-6	-30	+74	7.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Austin Hays (OGILVIE)	31	45	50	50	40	.250/.304/.424	.174	.298	6	2	23%	6%	105	+0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕John Mayberry Jr. 2014 · MLB	30	47→48	52→55	46→50	47	.240/.297/.410	.170	.281	20	8	22%	7%	98	+1.6	.216/.285/.374	.158	.262	17	6	24%	8%	84	+0.6	.180/.259/.335	.155	.212	17	2	24%	9%	64	-0.2
✕Alejandro Freire 2006 · MLB	31	51→53	51→55	48→30	47	.260/.317/.423	.163	.287	19	4	18%	6%	109	+2.4	.237/.293/.366	.129	.285	14	5	22%	6%	85	+0.7	.202/.261/.276	.073	.260	8	0	24%	5%	44	-0.7
●Jonny Gomes 2012 · MLB	31	47→52	55→60	46→50	49	.243/.324/.428	.184	.294	23	9	25%	9%	114	+2.7	.244/.343/.421	.177	.310	23	6	27%	11%	120	+3.1	.243/.348/.410	.167	.313	22	2	28%	12%	112	+1.5
✕Chad Pinder 2022 · MLB	30	48→53	53→55	45	44	.245/.299/.419	.175	.298	20	4	25%	7%	102	+1.8	.240/.281/.397	.157	.314	19	5	29%	5%	88	+0.9	.239/.267/.392	.154	.317	21	3	31%	4%	79	+0.2
✕Stephen Piscotty 2022 · MLB	31	47→54	50→60	51→45	45	.241/.298/.393	.152	.294	19	7	25%	7%	94	+1.3	.217/.278/.353	.136	.282	17	6	28%	7%	75	-0.0	.192/.254/.305	.113	.253	15	2	29%	6%	49	-0.6
●Scott Hairston 2011 · MLB	31	46→51	54→60	50	49	.242/.305/.422	.180	.271	22	11	20%	8%	105	+2.1	.242/.298/.449	.207	.270	26	10	21%	7%	109	+2.4	.238/.285/.479	.241	.256	33	9	22%	5%	109	+0.9
✕Andy Phillips 2007 · MLB	30	46→55	55	47→40	45	.243/.292/.425	.182	.277	23	7	22%	6%	99	+1.7	.258/.309/.400	.142	.292	16	5	17%	6%	99	+1.7	.267/.318/.395	.127	.298	15	3	15%	6%	100	+1.0
✕Chris Aguila 2010 · MLB	31	45→54	53→55	49→50	43	.234/.289/.398	.164	.290	22	12	27%	7%	92	+1.2	.217/.272/.363	.146	.288	17	7	30%	6%	76	+0.0	.209/.266/.343	.134	.279	15	5	30%	6%	64	-0.5
✕Jeff Bailey 2010 · MLB	31	45→49	52→55	46→45	50	.234/.316/.402	.168	.277	20	7	23%	9%	104	+2.0	.224/.300/.359	.135	.279	14	6	24%	8%	86	+0.8	.213/.291/.336	.123	.270	11	5	24%	8%	74	-0.1
✕Hector Luna 2011 · MLB	31	50→49	50→55	48→50	46	.254/.307/.407	.154	.291	18	8	20%	6%	101	+1.8	.245/.294/.390	.145	.282	17	7	19%	6%	91	+1.1	.243/.288/.380	.137	.277	15	5	18%	5%	82	+0.3
✕Donnie Murphy 2014 · MLB	31	41	54→60	47→45	42	.219/.284/.396	.177	.269	22	7	28%	6%	89	+1.0	.205/.270/.344	.139	.260	17	6	27%	6%	69	-0.4	.170/.239/.268	.098	.215	12	0	27%	7%	35	-0.9
✕Chad Huffman 2016 · AAA	31	47→50	49→50	49→45	47	.237/.305/.382	.145	.296	16	8	25%	8%	94	+1.3	.232/.310/.392	.160	.283	17	9	23%	8%	99	+1.7	.224/.306/.383	.159	.275	17	5	24%	8%	92	+0.8
✕Juan Encarnacion 2007 · MLB	31	53→58	51→55	43→50	48	.268/.321/.432	.164	.295	18	7	16%	6%	113	+2.6	.260/.310/.413	.153	.288	17	7	16%	6%	103	+1.9	.253/.301/.395	.142	.281	15	4	15%	6%	93	+0.8
✕Michael Restovich 2010 · MLB	31	47→49	52→55	44→30	42	.240/.288/.410	.170	.304	20	4	28%	6%	94	+1.3	.224/.275/.358	.134	.308	14	4	30%	6%	75	-0.0	.202/.255/.311	.109	.293	11	1	33%	6%	50	-0.7
✕Xavier Scruggs 2019 · MLB	31	47	55	47→45	47	.242/.321/.429	.187	.313	22	8	29%	9%	113	+2.6	.240/.310/.426	.186	.313	24	8	30%	6%	108	+2.3	.228/.306/.429	.201	.290	29	2	31%	6%	103	+0.8
●Joey Meneses 2023 · MLB	31	51→56	56→60	47→40	42	.263/.304/.452	.189	.311	24	3	24%	5%	112	+2.6	.252/.299/.394	.142	.301	15	3	21%	6%	94	+1.3	.239/.290/.363	.124	.284	12	1	20%	6%	79	+0.3
✕John Rodriguez 2008 · MLB	30	49→47	52→55	51→40	48	.246/.322/.419	.172	.303	19	6	25%	8%	111	+2.5	.228/.301/.382	.154	.286	17	4	26%	7%	92	+1.2	.214/.287/.365	.151	.263	18	1	25%	7%	80	+0.1
✕Andrew Brown 2014 · MLB	29	45→46	54→55	45→40	44	.234/.297/.416	.182	.305	22	5	30%	8%	99	+1.7	.231/.295/.407	.176	.289	21	5	27%	8%	97	+1.5	.218/.287/.392	.174	.264	23	2	27%	8%	86	+0.6
✕Kyle Garlick 2023 · MLB	31	43→48	58→60	49→40	40	.234/.290/.430	.196	.296	27	6	31%	6%	101	+1.8	.197/.266/.352	.155	.282	21	4	36%	7%	70	-0.3	.170/.244/.307	.137	.246	19	2	38%	8%	49	-1.5
●Cody Ross 2012 · MLB	31	50→52	51→65	47→45	49	.253/.317/.419	.165	.295	19	8	21%	8%	108	+2.3	.254/.317/.411	.157	.301	18	5	21%	8%	106	+2.2	.256/.315/.399	.143	.303	16	3	20%	7%	98	+1.0

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)