Joey Meneses

1B Las Vegas Aviators

Age 35 R/R 6'4" / 235 lbs AAA HR -5% Svc 2.257 · Ctrl thru 2030

Overview

AAAPre-ArbFA 2031

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	32	AAA/INTL2 orgs	473	.290/.362/.493	19	4	110	—	.190/.244/.338
2024	32	MLBWSH	313	.231/.296/.302	3	2	68	-2.3
2025	33	AAA/INTL2 orgs	710	.262/.327/.412	15	2	71	—	.205/.246/.321
2026	34	AAAOAK	545	.304/.368/.462	16	0	86	—	.260/.304/.373
2026	34	MLBOAK	25	.150/.292/.150	0	0	35	-1.2
2027PROJ10% MLB	35	MLBOAK	24	.255/.303/.392	1	0	89	-0.0
2028PROJMLE	36	MLBOAK	3	.242/.288/.364	0	0	78	-0.0

Last 3 seasons WAR -3.5 · Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2030Service2.257First FA2031

2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Arb-1$0.3M2029Ext$0.4M2030Ext$0.7M

Skills · percentileStatcast 2023-2026

Avg EV53

Bat Spd41

xwOBA33

Barrel%25

Speed10

CompsAbraham Valencia (age 34) · Issmael Salas (age 35) · Shawn Wooten (age 34)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†vL 9089vR 86

AVG/OBP/SLG.255 / .303 / .392

PA24

HR1

K%17

BB%4

BABIP290

ISO174

MLB%10%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · Splits · Contract

ToolsStatcast %ile · 2023-2026

CONTACT

xAVG

330.237

POWER

Barrel%

255.0

Avg EV

5389.3

Bat Spd

4170.4

SPEED

Sprint

1025.3

Platoon Splits2024 · 313 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

216

—

wRC+

▶▶R

wOBA

218

288

▶▶R

ISO

058

077

▶▶R

BABIP

219

306

▶▶R

23.7%

18.5%

▶▶R

BB%

5.1%

6.9%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2022

Service 2.257 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2028	Arb-1	$0.3M	—	—	—
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2011	19	ROK	DSL Braves	—	70	63	13	0	0	0	7	14	0	0	0	206	286	206	492		265	20	10	238	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	20	ROK	GCL Braves	—	159	145	44	5	5	0	9	29	3	2	4	303	357	407	764	103	373	18	6	338	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	21	A	Rome Braves	—	414	381	98	21	4	2	28	97	1	1	5	257	310	349	659	92	337	23	7	295	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	21	INTL	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	54	46	15	2	0	2	7	14	0	1	0	326	415	500	915	174	419	26	13	399	156	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	22	A	Rome Braves	—	238	212	60	15	3	8	22	48	2	2	1	283	356	495	851	212	331	20	9	371	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	22	INTL	Mexico	—	163	149	38	9	1	4	10	42	2	1	1	255	311	409	720	154	327	26	6	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	23	A+	Carolina Mudcats	—	433	394	94	18	4	3	32	80	3	2	2	239	301	327	628	89	289	18	7	284	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	23	INTL	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	204	181	49	9	0	3	14	44	4	2	4	271	337	370	707	99	338	22	7	314	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	24	AA	Mississippi Braves	—	240	222	52	9	3	2	15	40	2	0	0	234	289	329	618	95	278	17	6	279	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	24	A+	Carolina Mudcats	—	269	243	83	19	1	5	24	38	1	2	1	342	403	490	893	148	388	14	9	395	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	24	INTL	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	261	234	72	9	1	7	16	47	2	0	1	308	357	444	802	137	344	18	6	345	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	25	AA	Mississippi Braves	—	401	360	105	13	0	9	38	81	1	0	0	292	361	403	764	111	354	20	9	344	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	25	INTL	Mexico	—	295	268	67	15	0	5	19	42	2	6	6	250	304	362	666	112	273	14	6	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	26	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	536	492	153	27	1	23	40	110	0	0	0	311	363	510	873	199	358	21	7	381	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	26	INTL	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	17	12	5	0	0	1	4	1	0	0	0	417	562	667	1.229	250	364	6	24	499	224	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	27	INTL	Mexico	—	299	260	88	20	2	7	38	38	0	8	3	338	423	512	934	173	375	13	13	413	165	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	28	INTL	Mexico	—	265	242	61	18	0	6	18	46	3	6	3	252	312	401	713	149	286	17	7	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	29	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	—	162	146	38	9	2	5	13	39	0	0	0	260	321	452	773	192	314	24	8	334	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	29	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	207	188	57	22	1	10	12	35	3	0	1	303	355	590	945	287	320	17	6	401	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	29	INTL	Mexico	—	259	233	65	15	1	7	22	28	2	4	3	279	346	442	788	163	290	11	8	349	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	30	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	240	222	72	14	0	13	15	52	1	1	0	324	370	563	933	239	371	22	6	404	155	+16	+0	-5	-13	+5	0.4
2022	30	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	414	374	107	14	1	20	32	89	2	1	0	286	346	489	835	203	321	21	8	363	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	30	INTL	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	55	45	12	3	0	1	10	7	0	0	3	267	400	400	800	133	297	13	18	366	134	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	31	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	657	611	168	36	1	13	38	130	5	0	0	275	323	401	724	126	329	20	6	322	104	+3	+0	-2	-13	+14	0.2
2023	31	INTL	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	58	49	11	2	0	2	7	8	0	0	0	224	321	388	709	163	220	14	12	309	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	32	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	313	281	65	11	0	3	21	63	5	2	0	231	296	302	599	71	281	20	7	271	68	-12	+0	-4	-14	+7	-2.3
2024	32	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	211	189	48	14	0	9	18	38	2	0	0	254	325	471	796	217	271	18	9	348	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	32	INTL	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	262	231	74	14	0	10	25	21	2	4	0	320	391	511	902	190	314	8	10	393	152	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	33	AAA	Syracuse Mets	—	419	385	102	35	1	11	29	62	4	2	0	265	323	447	770	182	291	15	7	340	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	33	INTL	Mexico Verde	—	291	255	66	10	2	4	27	47	1	0	0	259	332	361	693	102	292	16	9	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	34	MLB	Athletics	—	25	20	3	0	0	0	3	4	1	0	0	150	292	150	442		176	16	12	222	35	-2	+0	+0	-10	+1	-1.2
2026	34	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	—	545	487	148	27	1	16	45	62	4	0	0	304	368	462	830	158	316	11	8	363	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1235	1134	308	61	1	29	77	249	12	3	0	272	325	404	728	132	321	20	6	323	105	+7	+1	-10	-50	+27	-2.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2011	19	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	70	65	9	0	0	0	5	17	0	0	0	138	200	138	338		188	24	7	162	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	20	ROK MLE	GCL Braves	—	159	148	36	4	4	0	6	42	3	2	4	243	287	324	611	81	310	26	4	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	21	A MLE	Rome Braves	—	414	392	87	17	3	2	17	132	1	1	5	222	256	296	552	74	319	32	4	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	22	A MLE	Rome Braves	—	238	219	53	13	3	7	15	67	2	2	1	242	297	425	721	183	305	28	6	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	23	A+ MLE	Carolina Mudcats	—	433	407	83	14	3	2	19	112	3	2	2	204	245	268	513	64	269	26	4	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	24	AA MLE	Mississippi Braves	—	240	227	47	8	2	1	10	47	2	0	0	207	247	273	520	66	256	20	4	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	24	A+ MLE	Carolina Mudcats	—	269	254	75	16	1	3	13	52	1	2	1	295	332	402	734	106	358	19	5	324	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	25	AA MLE	Mississippi Braves	—	401	372	97	13	0	8	26	102	1	0	0	261	311	360	671	99	334	25	6	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	26	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	536	506	142	24	1	20	26	137	0	0	0	281	316	451	766	170	342	26	5	332	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	29	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	—	162	150	33	7	2	3	9	46	0	0	0	220	264	353	617	133	277	28	6	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	29	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	207	193	48	18	1	8	7	42	3	0	1	249	286	477	762	228	263	20	3	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	30	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	240	224	72	14	0	13	13	52	1	1	0	321	361	558	919	237	371	22	5	397	155	+16	+0	-5	-13	+5	0.4
2022	30	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	414	385	92	12	1	13	21	102	2	1	0	239	282	377	658	138	282	25	5	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	31	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	657	611	167	35	1	13	38	130	5	0	0	273	321	398	719	124	329	20	6	322	104	+3	+0	-2	-13	+14	0.2
2024	32	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	313	282	65	11	0	3	20	63	5	2	0	230	293	301	595	71	281	20	6	268	68	-12	+0	-4	-14	+7	-2.3
2024	32	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	211	195	37	11	0	6	12	47	2	0	0	190	244	338	582	149	214	22	6	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	33	AAA MLE	Syracuse Mets	—	419	396	81	26	1	6	18	76	4	2	0	205	246	321	567	116	238	18	4	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	34	MLB MLE	Athletics	—	25	20	3	0	0	0	3	4	1	0	0	150	292	150	442		176	16	12	221	35	-2	+0	+0	-10	+1	-1.2
2026	34	AAA MLE	Las Vegas Aviators	—	545	504	131	22	1	11	28	75	4	0	0	260	304	373	677	113	275	14	5	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	19	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	70	65	9	0	0	0	5	17	0	0	0	138	200	138	338		188	24	7	162	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	19	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	—	70	63	13	0	0	0	7	14	0	0	0	206	286	206	492		265	20	10	238	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	20	ROK MLE	GCL Braves	—	159	148	36	4	4	0	6	42	3	2	4	243	287	324	611	81	333	26	4	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	20	ROK RAW	GCL Braves	—	159	145	44	5	5	0	9	29	3	2	4	303	357	407	764	103	373	18	6	338	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	468	443	98	19	4	2	19	149	1	2	5	221	255	296	551	74	324	32	4	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	468	427	113	23	4	4	35	111	1	2	5	265	322	365	687	101	345	24	7	307	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	401	368	88	21	4	12	25	112	4	3	2	239	295	416	710	177	309	28	6	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	401	361	98	24	4	12	32	90	4	3	2	271	338	460	797	188	330	22	8	349	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	637	592	123	20	5	4	29	165	7	4	6	208	253	279	532	71	277	26	5	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	637	575	143	27	4	6	46	124	7	4	6	249	312	341	653	92	304	19	7	293	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	24	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	770	720	185	36	5	7	34	150	5	2	2	257	295	350	645	93	311	19	4	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	24	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	770	699	207	37	5	14	55	125	5	2	2	296	352	423	775	127	339	16	7	342	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	696	640	167	22	0	13	45	177	3	6	6	261	312	356	669	95	337	25	6	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	25	AA RAW	2 teams	—	696	628	172	28	0	14	57	123	3	6	6	274	337	385	723	111	317	18	8	323	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	553	521	146	24	1	21	27	142	0	0	0	280	316	451	767	171	344	26	5	332	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	553	504	158	27	1	24	44	111	0	0	0	313	369	514	883	200	358	20	8	385	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	27	INTL MLE	Mexico	—	299	260	88	20	2	7	38	38	0	8	3	338	423	512	934	173	375	13	13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	27	INTL RAW	Mexico	—	299	260	88	20	2	7	38	38	0	8	3	338	423	512	934	173	375	13	13	413	165	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	28	INTL MLE	Mexico	—	265	242	61	18	0	6	18	46	3	6	3	252	312	401	713	149	286	17	7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	28	INTL RAW	Mexico	—	265	242	61	18	0	6	18	46	3	6	3	252	312	401	713	149	286	17	7	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	29	INTL MLE	3 teams	—	628	587	138	43	5	19	27	149	5	4	4	235	275	422	697	187	278	24	4	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	29	INTL RAW	3 teams	—	628	567	160	46	4	22	47	102	5	4	4	282	342	494	836	212	305	16	7	362	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	30	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	709	661	178	28	1	28	37	167	3	2	3	269	311	442	753	172	316	24	5	327	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	30	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	709	641	191	31	1	34	57	148	3	2	3	298	358	509	867	211	336	21	8	377	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	31	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	715	664	182	39	1	14	41	141	5	0	0	274	321	399	720	125	327	20	6	322	104	+3	+0	-2	-13	+15	0.4
2023	31	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	715	660	179	38	1	15	45	138	5	0	0	271	323	400	723	129	320	19	6	321	104	+3	+0	-2	-13	+15	0.4
2024	32	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	786	717	153	32	0	14	48	166	9	6	0	213	271	317	588	103	253	21	6	262	64	-34	+1	-4	-14	+17	-3.4
2024	32	MLB RAW	3 teams	—	786	701	187	39	0	22	64	122	9	6	0	267	336	417	752	150	290	16	8	332	64	-34	+1	-4	-14	+17	-3.4
2025	33	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	710	665	138	44	2	10	31	129	5	2	0	208	248	325	573	117	239	18	4	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	33	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	710	640	168	45	3	15	56	109	5	2	0	263	327	412	739	150	291	15	8	326	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	34	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	570	524	134	22	1	11	31	79	5	0	0	256	304	365	668	109	277	14	5	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	34	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	570	507	151	27	1	16	48	66	5	0	0	298	364	450	814	152	310	12	8	357	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	19	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	70	65	9	0	0	0	5	17	0	0	0	138	200	138	338		188	24	7	162	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	20	ROK MLE	GCL Braves	—	159	149	36	4	4	0	6	42	3	2	4	242	287	322	609	81	310	26	4	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	468	445	98	19	4	2	19	149	1	2	5	220	255	294	549	74	319	32	4	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	401	369	88	21	4	12	25	112	4	3	2	238	295	415	709	176	305	28	6	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	637	596	123	20	5	4	29	165	7	4	6	206	253	277	530	70	269	26	5	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	24	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	770	725	185	36	5	7	34	150	5	2	2	255	295	348	643	92	310	19	4	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	696	643	167	22	0	13	45	177	3	6	6	260	312	355	667	95	334	25	6	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	553	521	146	24	1	21	27	142	0	0	0	280	316	451	767	171	342	26	5	332	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	29	INTL MLE	3 teams	—	628	591	138	43	5	19	27	149	5	4	4	234	275	420	694	186	269	24	4	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	30	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	709	663	178	28	1	28	37	167	3	2	3	268	311	440	751	172	315	24	5	327	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	31	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	715	663	182	39	1	14	41	141	5	0	0	275	321	400	721	125	329	20	6	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	32	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	786	723	153	32	0	14	48	166	9	6	0	212	271	314	585	102	254	21	6	262	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	33	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	710	668	138	44	2	10	31	129	5	2	0	207	248	323	572	117	238	18	4	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	34	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	570	529	134	22	1	11	31	79	5	0	0	253	304	361	665	108	271	14	5	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	32	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	786	723	153	32	0	14	48	166	9	6	0	212	271	314	585	102	254	21	6	262	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	33	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	710	668	138	44	2	10	31	129	5	2	0	207	248	323	572	117	238	18	4	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	34	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	570	529	134	22	1	11	31	79	5	0	0	253	304	361	665	108	271	14	5	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	35	MLB MLE	OAK	10%	490	456	112	24	1	11	27	84	4	2	1	248	296	379	676	132	280	17	6	300	89	-6	+0	+0	-9	+11	-0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	35	MLB CTX	OAK	10%	24	23	6	1	0	1	1	4	0	0	0	255	303	392	695	137	290	17	4	308	89	-0	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	36	MLB MLE	OAK	1%	307	285	67	14	1	6	16	55	3	1	0	235	282	352	634	118	269	18	5	283	78	-8	+0	-6	-5	+7	-1.3
2028	36	MLB CTX	OAK	1%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	242	288	364	652	122	278	33	0	290	78	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1238	1137	308	61	1	29	77	250	12	3	0	271	324	403	727	132	321	20	6	323	66	+7	+1	-10	-50	+27	-2.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	597	162	32	1	15	40	131	6	2	0	271	323	404	727	132	322	20	6	323	66	+4	+0	-5	-26	+14	-1.4
Career	—	MLE		—	8981	8323	2046	418	37	179	490	1965	63	49	38	246	293	369	662	124	298	22	5	266	66	-4	+1	-16	-59	+39	-4.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	602	148	30	3	13	35	142	5	4	3	246	293	370	663	125	297	22	5	266	66	-1	+0	-6	-22	+14	-1.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAALas Vegas Aviators · 545 PAwOBA .359 → .296 (−62)K% 11.4% → 13.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	11.38%	÷1.000	×1.200	—	—	13.65%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.07%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×0.940	5.24%
HBP% /PA	0.73%	—	×0.940	—	×0.940	0.65%
Singles /BIP	24.47%	÷1.000	×0.930	×1.031	×0.940	22.06%
Doubles /BIP	6.35%	÷1.000	×0.830	×1.031	×0.940	5.11%
Triples /BIP	0.24%	÷1.000	×0.970	×1.031	×0.940	0.22%
Home runs /BIP	3.76%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×0.940	2.48%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.031.

Result: wOBA .359 → .296; ISO .158 → .117; BABIP .316 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAASyracuse Mets · 419 PAwOBA .330 → .249 (−82)K% 14.8% → 18.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.80%	÷0.981	×1.200	—	—	18.10%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.68%	÷1.005	×0.690	—	×0.942	4.32%
HBP% /PA	0.95%	—	×0.940	—	×0.942	0.85%
Singles /BIP	17.03%	÷0.975	×0.930	×0.979	×0.942	14.98%
Doubles /BIP	10.84%	÷1.022	×0.830	×0.979	×0.942	8.12%
Triples /BIP	0.31%	÷0.959	×0.970	×0.979	×0.942	0.29%
Home runs /BIP	3.41%	÷1.167	×0.700	—	×0.942	1.92%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 133, 1B 95, 2B 104, 3B 92, K 96, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.979.

Result: wOBA .330 → .249; ISO .182 → .121; BABIP .291 → .238. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAARochester Red Wings · 211 PAwOBA .341 → .254 (−87)K% 18.0% → 22.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.01%	÷0.958	×1.200	—	—	22.55%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.53%	÷0.969	×0.690	—	×0.952	5.78%
HBP% /PA	0.95%	—	×0.940	—	×0.952	0.85%
Singles /BIP	16.56%	÷1.029	×0.930	×0.951	×0.952	13.54%
Doubles /BIP	9.27%	÷0.962	×0.830	×0.951	×0.952	7.24%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.970	×0.951	×0.952	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	5.96%	÷0.986	×0.700	—	×0.952	4.03%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 106, 2B 92, 3B 130, K 92, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.951.

Result: wOBA .341 → .254; ISO .217 → .153; BABIP .271 → .214. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAARochester Red Wings · 414 PAwOBA .356 → .287 (−69)K% 21.5% → 24.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.50%	÷1.049	×1.200	—	—	24.60%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.25%	÷0.973	×0.690	—	×0.972	5.00%
HBP% /PA	0.48%	—	×0.940	—	×0.972	0.44%
Singles /BIP	25.26%	÷1.011	×0.930	×1.011	×0.972	22.85%
Doubles /BIP	4.91%	÷0.930	×0.830	×1.011	×0.972	4.31%
Triples /BIP	0.35%	÷0.913	×0.970	×1.011	×0.972	0.37%
Home runs /BIP	7.02%	÷1.084	×0.700	—	×0.972	4.40%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 102, 2B 86, 3B 83, K 110, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.

Result: wOBA .356 → .287; ISO .203 → .141; BABIP .321 → .282. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAPortland Sea Dogs · 207 PAwOBA .395 → .325 (−70)K% 16.9% → 20.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.91%	÷1.025	×1.220	—	—	20.12%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.31%	÷1.078	×0.690	—	×0.958	3.26%
HBP% /PA	1.45%	—	×0.850	—	×0.958	1.18%
Singles /BIP	15.69%	÷1.047	×0.940	×1.006	×0.958	13.57%
Doubles /BIP	14.38%	÷1.064	×0.870	×1.006	×0.958	11.34%
Triples /BIP	0.65%	÷0.900	×0.920	×1.006	×0.958	0.64%
Home runs /BIP	6.54%	÷0.900	×0.780	—	×0.958	5.43%

Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 109, 2B 113, 3B 80, K 105, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 24.8 → −4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.

Result: wOBA .395 → .325; ISO .287 → .240; BABIP .320 → .263. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAAWorcester Red Sox · 162 PAwOBA .331 → .261 (−70)K% 24.1% → 28.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	24.07%	÷1.021	×1.200	—	—	28.31%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.02%	÷1.008	×0.690	—	×0.982	5.40%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.982	0.00%
Singles /BIP	20.56%	÷0.974	×0.930	×0.999	×0.982	19.27%
Doubles /BIP	8.41%	÷0.992	×0.830	×0.999	×0.982	6.91%
Triples /BIP	1.87%	÷1.023	×0.920	×0.999	×0.982	1.65%
Home runs /BIP	4.67%	÷1.318	×0.700	—	×0.982	2.44%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 164, 1B 95, 2B 98, 3B 105, K 104, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.

Result: wOBA .331 → .261; ISO .192 → .129; BABIP .314 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 536 PAwOBA .370 → .332 (−38)K% 20.5% → 25.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.52%	÷0.962	×1.200	—	—	25.59%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.53%	÷0.932	×0.690	—	×1.018	4.92%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×1.018	0.00%
Singles /BIP	26.70%	÷1.000	×0.930	×1.030	×1.018	26.05%
Doubles /BIP	7.07%	÷0.971	×0.830	×1.030	×1.018	6.34%
Triples /BIP	0.26%	÷0.900	×0.970	×1.030	×1.018	0.30%
Home runs /BIP	6.02%	÷0.954	×0.840	—	×1.018	5.40%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 100, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 92, BB 86 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.030.

Result: wOBA .370 → .332; ISO .199 → .175; BABIP .358 → .342. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAMississippi Braves · 401 PAwOBA .336 → .292 (−44)K% 20.2% → 25.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.20%	÷0.970	×1.220	—	—	25.39%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.48%	÷0.989	×0.680	—	×0.998	6.50%
HBP% /PA	0.25%	—	×0.840	—	×0.998	0.21%
Singles /BIP	29.75%	÷1.026	×0.920	×1.050	×0.998	27.97%
Doubles /BIP	4.66%	÷0.951	×0.910	×1.050	×0.998	4.67%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.146	×0.880	×1.050	×0.998	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.23%	÷0.925	×0.800	—	×0.998	2.79%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 105, 2B 90, 3B 129, K 94, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .336 → .292; ISO .111 → .099; BABIP .354 → .334. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Allen Craiglast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,013 PA	3.0	2,013	59	11	276	333	435	-29	-33	3.1	3.1
/162	664	19	4	-9.7	-10.8	1.0	pk7: 3
#2Gaby Sanchezlast yr '14 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,240 PA	3.4	2,240	59	12	254	332	411	-40	-26	2.2	2.2
/162	664	17	4	-11.9	-7.8	0.6	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.9	1,237	30	3	274	322	409	-22	-14	1.9	1.9
/162	664	16	2	-11.9	-7.6	1.0	pk7: 2
#3Randall Simon'97-'06 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,717 PA	2.6	1,717	49	2	273*	310*	410*	-34	-4	0.9	1.6
/162	664	19	1	-13.0	-1.4	0.3	pk7: 2
#4Harold Ramírezlast yr '24 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,922 PA	2.9	1,922	38	19	286	323	408	-24	-27	1.1	1.1
/162	664	13	7	-8.2	-9.4	0.4	pk7: 1
#5Gene Larkin'87-'93 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,670 PA	4.0	2,670	32	23	265*	348*	400*	-48	-24	0.7	0.7
/162	664	8	6	-11.9	-5.9	0.2	pk7: 1
#6Ricky Jordan'88-'96 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,221 PA	3.3	2,221	55	10	280*	309*	455*	-39	-39	-1.1	-0.4
/162	664	16	3	-11.8	-11.6	-0.3	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Joey Meneses (OGILVIE)	35	—	—	—	—	245/294/376	131	280	5	1	17%	6%	89	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Abraham Valencia 2014 · AAA	34	44→50	47→45	43→45	41	227/283/359	132	269	16	4	23%	5%	82	-0.0	232/294/334	102	282	10	7	21%	5%	79	-0.2	237/301/296	59	285	5	3	18%	5%	70	-0.4
✕Issmael Salas 2017 · AAA	35	48	42→45	42→50	44	236/275/342	107	266	10	7	16%	4%	73	-0.6	233/279/343	110	256	11	6	14%	5%	75	-0.5	231/277/333	102	249	11	3	12%	5%	71	-0.5
✕Shawn Wooten 2006 · MLB	34	44→42	47→45	40→30	45	221/271/346	125	245	16	3	18%	5%	74	-0.6	205/251/295	90	250	9	3	21%	5%	54	-2.0	186/232/248	62	234	6	1	22%	5%	34	-1.4
✕Raul Gonzalez 2009 · AAA	35	51→58	41→45	37→50	48	245/296/347	102	279	9	5	16%	6%	82	-0.0	266/326/384	118	304	12	13	16%	7%	102	+1.5	293/358/411	118	331	12	16	15%	8%	116	+1.0
✕Mike Cervenak 2012 · AAA	35	47→57	44→45	43→40	44	233/270/345	113	254	12	5	14%	4%	72	-0.7	251/294/367	116	279	12	5	15%	5%	86	+0.3	264/306/372	107	293	12	3	14%	5%	91	+0.4
✕Jolbert Cabrera 2008 · AAA	35	45→48	43→45	41→50	42	220/265/333	113	253	10	6	18%	4%	68	-1.0	239/282/363	124	289	10	11	21%	4%	81	-0.1	253/295/377	124	306	10	12	20%	4%	87	+0.2
✕Andy Abad 2008 · AAA	35	48	48→50	44→45	46	242/284/379	137	258	17	7	15%	5%	86	+0.3	224/275/334	110	264	11	9	19%	6%	72	-0.7	169/227/206	37	212	0	0	19%	5%	23	-0.9
✕Edgard Clemente 2010 · AAA	34	46	50	39→40	49	236/302/386	150	279	18	6	22%	8%	95	+0.9	246/305/399	153	301	17	8	23%	7%	99	+1.2	225/287/381	156	284	20	9	28%	6%	84	+0.0
✕Clint Barmes 2014 · MLB	35	44→54	44→55	40→50	42	222/265/332	110	262	12	3	21%	5%	68	-1.0	221/268/328	107	269	9	4	21%	5%	68	-1.0	212/261/306	94	262	6	1	21%	4%	60	-0.4
✕Brian Burgamy 2016 · AAA	35	44→47	49→50	41→50	48	226/293/372	145	276	17	5	24%	8%	88	+0.4	226/294/342	116	303	11	9	27%	8%	81	-0.1	225/298/331	106	305	9	10	27%	9%	80	-0.1
✕Fernando Rodriguez 2009 · AAA	35	53	43→45	47→40	47	257/301/364	107	287	10	6	15%	5%	88	+0.4	256/298/347	91	293	7	5	15%	5%	82	+0.0	281/321/356	76	318	5	0	13%	5%	91	+0.2
✕Eric Karros 2003 · MLB	35	50→55	50→55	43→40	50	254/314/405	151	279	18	5	16%	8%	103	+1.6	257/311/404	147	278	17	5	14%	7%	101	+1.4	262/313/411	149	278	18	3	13%	7%	104	+0.7
✕Matt McBride 2019 · MLB	34	38→48	51→55	42→40	45	204/261/364	161	235	18	4	23%	6%	74	-0.5	214/266/385	171	257	22	7	26%	6%	81	-0.1	174/211/355	181	185	29	0	27%	3%	51	-0.6
●John Lindsey 2012 · AAA	35	44→51	50→60	44→30	39	227/287/382	155	287	17	3	27%	5%	88	+0.5	231/300/429	198	285	26	2	28%	6%	105	+1.7	221/296/425	204	267	29	0	29%	6%	100	+1.0
✕Ryan Roberts 2015 · MLB	34	44→52	44→50	41→55	46	219/271/332	113	265	11	7	22%	7%	70	-0.9	224/276/353	129	256	14	4	18%	6%	76	-0.4	221/271/348	127	243	14	0	16%	6%	72	-0.6
✕Ron Coomer 2003 · MLB	36	52→54	46→50	47→40	48	258/305/390	132	282	14	3	15%	6%	96	+1.0	245/298/386	141	272	17	6	16%	7%	93	+0.8	234/285/359	125	248	18	0	14%	6%	82	+0.0
✕Oscar Ramirez 2014 · AAA	35	48→58	43→45	41→45	43	232/286/343	111	299	10	5	25%	6%	78	-0.3	222/285/340	118	291	10	8	26%	6%	78	-0.3	203/275/307	104	268	8	4	26%	6%	66	-0.5
✕Refugio Cervantes 2014 · AAA	35	46→52	49→60	43→30	41	236/272/375	139	272	18	3	21%	4%	80	-0.1	215/247/330	115	266	13	4	24%	4%	60	-1.6	204/234/312	109	249	12	1	24%	4%	51	-1.0
✕Robert Saucedo 2011 · AAA	35	46→53	49→60	45→40	48	233/280/377	144	240	17	4	12%	6%	84	+0.1	222/279/375	153	243	20	3	18%	6%	84	+0.1	213/275/371	158	231	22	0	20%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Wes Helms 2011 · MLB	35	50→49	44→55	40→30	46	241/306/362	121	310	10	3	25%	7%	90	+0.6	223/296/331	108	297	9	6	26%	8%	80	-0.2	182/261/219	37	264	0	0	28%	7%	42	-0.8

Joey Meneses

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps