Dillon Dingler — OGILVIE

Dillon DinglerC Detroit Tigers

Age 27 R/R 6'1" / 210 lbs MLB HR -8% Svc 1.366 · Ctrl thru 2030

2026 ROS PROJECTION361 act + 240 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 144128vR 87

AVG/OBP/SLG.265 / .327 / .480

PA240

HR11

K%22

BB%6

BABIP304

ISO215

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 60 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT60

Whiff%

896.9%

xwOBA

900.355

POWER50

Barrel%

609.6

Avg EV

6189.9

Bat Spd

5371.7

EYE45

Chase%

9021.1%

SPEED50

Sprint

5027.5

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 648 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

176

472

—

wRC+

132

◀◀L

wOBA

358

305

◀L

ISO

220

137

◀◀L

BABIP

343

311

◀L

23.3%

24.4%

◀L

BB%

5.7%

4.2%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2024

Service 1.366 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.3M	+2.2	$18M	+$18M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+4.8	$36M	+$35M
2028	Arb-1	$9M	+4.6	$32M	+$24M
2029	Arb-2	$14M	+4.4	$28M	+$17M
2030	Arb-3	$20M	+4.0	$24M	+$10M
Totals		$45M		$137M	+$105M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	AA	2 teams	—	349	316	61	8	3	12	16	129	13	1	0	193	261	351	612	158	274	37	5	258	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	AA	2 teams	—	349	310	73	9	4	12	22	98	13	1	0	235	313	406	719	171	299	28	6	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	448	402	74	16	3	14	31	186	12	1	0	184	263	343	606	159	293	42	7	262	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	448	387	92	22	3	14	45	143	12	1	0	238	335	419	753	181	335	32	10	336	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA	3 teams	—	381	340	68	17	1	12	27	145	12	6	1	200	282	362	644	162	303	38	7	279	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA	3 teams	—	381	324	83	22	1	16	42	105	12	6	1	256	361	478	840	222	327	28	11	370	142	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA	2 teams	—	388	357	86	16	2	26	23	100	3	5	1	241	292	515	808	275	254	26	6	344	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA	2 teams	—	388	347	95	20	2	18	33	91	3	5	1	274	342	499	841	225	317	23	9	364	137	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	469	436	125	22	2	14	23	110	9	0	0	287	335	443	778	156	355	23	5	341	119	+10	+0	+19	+8	+13	5.2
2025	26	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	469	435	121	21	2	13	23	110	9	0	0	278	327	425	752	147	345	23	5	334	114	+7	+0	+19	+8	+13	4.9
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	27	MLB	DET	—	361	327	85	19	2	19	23	77	8	0	0	260	324	505	829	245	282	21	6	356	130	+12	+0	+3	+6	+10	3.3
YTD	27	MLB	DET	—	361	325	85	19	2	19	23	77	8	0	0	262	324	508	832	246	284	21	6	360	133	+14	+0	+3	+6	+10	3.4
ROS	27	MLB	DET	100%	240	218	58	12	1	11	15	54	5	1	0	265	327	480	807	215	302	22	6	349	125	+7	+0	+4	+4	+7	2.3
ROS	27	MLB	DET	100%	241	219	56	12	1	10	15	55	5	1	0	256	318	457	775	201	296	23	6	327	109	+2	+0	+4	+4	+7	1.9
FULL	27	MLB	DET	—	602	546	141	31	3	29	38	132	13	1	0	258	322	485	807	227	288	22	6	344	122	+15	+0	+8	+11	+17	5.2
TOT	27	MLB	DET	—	601	545	143	31	3	30	38	131	13	1	0	262	325	495	820	233	291	22	6	353	128	+19	+0	+8	+11	+17	5.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	28	MLB	DET	100%	520	472	125	26	3	23	33	118	10	1	0	265	326	479	805	214	301	23	6	347	124	+14	+0	+9	+9	+15	4.8
2028	29	MLB	DET	100%	520	472	123	26	3	22	33	119	10	1	0	261	322	468	791	208	300	23	6	345	122	+13	+0	+8	+9	+15	4.7
2029	30	MLB	DET	100%	520	472	122	25	3	22	33	121	10	1	0	258	320	464	784	206	299	23	6	342	120	+12	+0	+8	+9	+15	4.4
2030	31	MLB	DET	100%	504	458	116	24	2	21	32	119	9	1	0	253	315	452	767	199	296	24	6	338	117	+10	+0	+7	+9	+14	4.0
2031	32	MLB	DET	100%	489	446	111	23	2	20	31	117	9	1	0	249	311	444	755	195	292	24	6	331	112	+7	+0	+6	+9	+14	3.6
2032	33	MLB	DET	100%	427	389	95	19	2	17	27	104	8	0	0	244	307	434	741	190	286	24	6	323	105	+3	+0	+4	+8	+12	2.7
2033	34	MLB	DET	96%	348	317	77	15	2	13	22	87	6	0	0	243	304	426	730	183	287	25	6	318	102	+1	+0	+2	+6	+10	1.9
2034	35	MLB	DET	91%	285	261	60	11	1	10	17	74	5	0	0	230	290	395	684	165	283	26	6	309	95	-2	+0	-0	+5	+8	1.1
2035	36	MLB	DET	82%	171	156	36	6	1	6	10	46	3	0	0	231	290	397	687	167	279	27	6	299	87	-2	+0	-3	+3	+5	0.2
2036	37	MLB	DET	73%	115	105	24	4	1	4	7	31	2	0	0	229	289	400	689	171	275	27	6	289	79	-3	+0	-5	+2	+3	-0.2
2027	28	MLB	DET	100%	520	472	122	25	3	22	33	118	10	1	0	258	320	464	784	206	295	23	6	326	108	+4	+0	+9	+9	+15	3.8
2028	29	MLB	DET	100%	520	472	121	25	3	21	33	119	10	1	0	256	318	456	774	199	295	23	6	324	106	+4	+0	+8	+9	+15	3.7
2029	30	MLB	DET	100%	520	472	120	25	3	21	33	121	10	1	0	254	317	453	770	199	293	23	6	321	104	+2	+0	+8	+9	+15	3.5
2030	31	MLB	DET	100%	504	458	113	23	2	20	32	119	9	1	0	247	309	437	745	190	290	24	6	317	101	+1	+0	+7	+9	+14	3.1
2031	32	MLB	DET	100%	489	446	108	22	2	19	31	117	9	1	0	242	305	428	733	186	286	24	6	311	96	-2	+0	+6	+9	+14	2.7
2032	33	MLB	DET	100%	427	389	92	18	2	16	27	104	8	0	0	237	300	416	716	180	281	24	6	303	90	-5	+0	+4	+8	+12	1.9
2033	34	MLB	DET	96%	332	302	72	14	2	12	21	83	6	0	0	238	301	417	718	179	282	25	6	299	87	-5	+0	+1	+6	+9	1.2
2034	35	MLB	DET	91%	259	236	54	10	1	9	16	67	5	0	0	229	292	394	686	165	278	26	6	290	80	-6	+0	-0	+5	+7	0.6
2035	36	MLB	DET	82%	140	129	29	5	1	5	8	37	2	0	0	225	281	395	676	171	275	26	6	281	73	-4	+0	-3	+3	+4	-0.0
2036	37	MLB	DET	73%	84	78	17	3	0	3	5	23	1	0	0	218	274	372	646	154	271	27	6	271	65	-3	+0	-4	+1	+2	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4592	4192	1039	208	24	172	280	1103	84	6	0	248	308	432	740	184	295	24	6	313	98	-11	+1	+62	+87	+130	27.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	593	146	29	3	24	40	156	12	1	0	246	307	427	734	180	293	24	6	313	98	-2	+0	+9	+12	+18	3.9
Career	—			—	6174	5617	1361	270	32	247	380	1660	126	19	2	242	305	434	739	191	297	27	6	321	104	+27	+3	+60	+110	+175	38.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	591	142	28	3	26	40	175	13	2	0	240	302	430	732	190	294	27	6	321	104	+3	+0	+6	+12	+18	4.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	208	188	38	3	3	4	9	62	8	1	0	202	268	314	582	112	272	30	4	262	59	-10	+0	—	—	+6	-0.4
2021	22	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	141	122	35	6	1	8	13	36	5	0	0	287	379	549	928	262	342	26	9	403	166	+11	+0	—	—	+4	1.5
2022	23	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	448	387	92	22	3	14	45	143	12	1	0	238	335	419	753	181	335	32	10	336	115	+8	+0	—	—	+13	2.1
2023	24	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	109	99	20	7	1	3	8	34	1	0	0	202	269	384	652	182	270	31	7	287	78	-3	+0	—	—	+3	0.0
2023	24	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	219	182	46	11	0	9	27	63	8	3	1	253	372	462	833	209	333	29	12	370	142	+10	+0	—	—	+6	1.7
2023	24	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	53	43	17	4	0	4	7	8	3	3	0	395	509	767	1.277	372	419	15	13	541	272	+10	+1	—	—	+2	1.3
2024	25	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	87	84	14	5	2	1	3	30	0	0	0	167	195	310	505	143	245	34	3	221	28	-7	+0	+3	+7	+2	0.5
2024	25	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	301	263	81	15	0	17	30	61	3	5	1	308	385	559	944	251	337	20	10	406	169	+23	+1	—	—	+9	3.3
2025	26	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	469	435	121	21	2	13	23	110	9	0	0	278	327	425	752	147	345	23	5	334	114	+7	+0	+19	+8	+13	4.9
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	556	519	135	26	4	14	26	140	9	0	0	260	306	407	713	146	331	25	5	317	101	+0	+0	+22	+15	+16	5.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Brandon Crawfordlast yr '24 career totals — 14 seasons, 6,318 PA	14	6,318	147	47	249	318	395	+68	+142	38.9	34.0
	/162	664	15	5	249	318	395	+7.1	+14.9	4.1	pk7: 29
#2Matt Wieterslast yr '19 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,387 PA	11	4,387	146	9	250	313	411	+78	+81	30.0	28.4
	/162	664	22	1	250	313	411	+11.9	+12.2	4.5	pk7: 27
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 13 projected seasons	13	5,233	207	8	255	311	448	+76	+109	30.8	27.2
	/162	664	26	1	255	311	448	+9.7	+13.8	3.9	pk7: 24
#3Wilson Ramoslast yr '21 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,786 PA	12	3,786	136	1	271	318	432	+68	+61	28.0	26.7
	/162	664	24	0	271	318	432	+11.9	+10.7	4.9	pk7: 25
#4Yan Gomeslast yr '24 career totals — 13 seasons, 4,082 PA	13	4,082	137	8	246	295	412	+69	+103	27.4	26.2
#4Yan Gomeslast yr '24 career totals — 13 seasons, 4,082 PA	/162	664	22	1	246	295	412	+11.2	+16.8	4.4	pk7: 25
#5Bengie Molinalast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,049 PA	11	5,049	143	3	274	307	413	+59	+69	26.8	26.0
	/162	664	19	0	274	307	413	+7.7	+9.1	3.5	pk7: 25
#6Geovany Sotolast yr '16 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,801 PA	10	2,801	105	3	247	332	438	+50	+74	26.0	24.9
	/162	664	25	1	247	332	438	+11.9	+17.5	6.2	pk7: 24

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dillon Dingler (OGILVIE)	27	60	50	50	45	262/325/495	233	291	30	1	22%	6%	128	+5.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●J.D. Davis 2020 · MLB	27	54→60	56→60	49→40	46	276/331/468	193	331	25	5	24%	7%	128	+3.6	269/357/447	178	355	21	4	28%	10%	132	+4.0	260/349/438	178	362	21	2	31%	10%	124	+2.2
✕Kevin Kouzmanoff 2008 · MLB	27	55→62	56→60	44→40	46	284/335/479	195	314	23	4	18%	6%	131	+3.9	260/305/429	169	295	20	2	19%	5%	106	+2.2	253/297/416	163	286	19	1	19%	4%	95	+1.4
★Salvador Perez 2017 · MLB	27	50→60	55→70	47→30	42	261/295/445	184	284	24	2	18%	4%	106	+2.2	259/296/476	217	278	30	3	20%	4%	116	+2.8	281/321/549	268	313	41	1	24%	4%	142	+3.3
●William Contreras 2023 · MLB	25	49→59	57→55	49→45	48	256/325/450	193	317	26	4	27%	9%	120	+3.1	279/359/458	179	336	20	7	21%	11%	135	+4.2	280/367/450	170	331	18	6	20%	12%	131	+4.2
●Xander Bogaerts 2020 · MLB	27	55→64	57→60	48→55	55	281/356/492	211	310	23	7	18%	10%	143	+4.7	284/358/477	193	321	23	8	18%	10%	140	+4.5	287/361/450	163	330	18	10	18%	9%	131	+4.1
●Scooter Gennett 2018 · MLB	28	54→60	54→55	46→50	45	274/321/457	183	318	22	6	21%	6%	120	+3.1	277/324/443	166	332	20	5	22%	6%	118	+3.0	284/330/439	155	341	18	3	22%	6%	114	+1.8
●Willy Adames 2023 · MLB	27	48→52	61→65	44→50	48	254/319/479	225	309	29	7	28%	9%	125	+3.5	241/322/451	210	290	27	10	26%	10%	119	+3.1	236/326/443	207	281	27	11	26%	11%	115	+3.1
●Geovany Soto 2009 · MLB	26	55→60	56→60	41→30	51	278/347/477	199	335	23	2	24%	9%	135	+4.2	252/344/442	190	300	22	2	22%	12%	125	+3.5	236/337/418	182	280	21	0	23%	13%	111	+1.7
●Aaron Hill 2010 · MLB	28	54→61	55→60	44→50	49	280/327/466	186	293	23	6	14%	6%	125	+3.5	249/306/423	174	260	21	10	14%	7%	105	+2.1	272/332/433	161	293	16	13	13%	7%	113	+2.4
●Jason LaRue 2001 · MLB	27	47→52	55	48→40	47	247/313/429	182	268	24	7	19%	6%	110	+2.4	241/313/409	168	304	19	5	26%	7%	105	+2.1	243/334/428	185	300	20	1	25%	8%	111	+1.8
●Jonathan Schoop 2019 · MLB	27	49→57	56→60	42→45	41	257/297/445	188	291	25	2	22%	4%	108	+2.3	264/309/459	195	306	26	3	23%	5%	116	+2.8	274/321/464	190	318	25	1	22%	5%	120	+2.3
●Jorge Cantu 2009 · MLB	27	51→61	53→60	45→40	47	262/314/436	175	290	20	5	18%	6%	112	+2.6	263/315/414	151	294	16	3	16%	6%	106	+2.2	263/319/464	201	283	27	4	18%	6%	122	+2.1
●Jhonny Peralta 2009 · MLB	27	53→63	52→55	43→40	50	268/331/441	173	315	19	4	21%	8%	119	+3.1	266/326/422	156	310	16	2	19%	8%	112	+2.6	287/344/457	170	331	18	1	19%	8%	124	+3.1
✕Eloy Jiménez 2023 · MLB	26	51→56	55→65	45→40	47	265/322/445	180	313	25	2	24%	7%	118	+3.0	253/305/394	141	297	18	3	20%	7%	96	+1.5	246/296/371	125	288	15	2	20%	6%	83	+0.3
★Vernon Wells 2006 · MLB	27	53→61	57→60	48→50	52	277/331/477	200	283	24	7	13%	7%	129	+3.7	275/331/472	197	286	23	11	13%	8%	128	+3.6	277/334/473	196	287	23	10	13%	7%	125	+3.4
●Chris Iannetta 2010 · MLB	27	46→56	57→60	43→45	58	242/355/454	211	281	24	2	22%	12%	134	+4.1	221/334/394	173	257	20	5	22%	13%	110	+2.4	237/357/386	149	305	16	2	25%	15%	113	+1.5
●Wilson Ramos 2015 · MLB	27	51→60	52→60	42→30	47	264/304/422	158	280	22	2	16%	6%	104	+2.0	260/299/419	159	285	22	2	17%	5%	101	+1.8	288/335/471	183	313	25	0	17%	7%	125	+2.3
●Dansby Swanson 2022 · MLB	28	49→55	55	48→55	48	252/319/443	191	305	23	10	25%	8%	115	+2.8	256/322/427	171	319	21	13	25%	8%	112	+2.6	252/322/413	161	314	19	14	25%	9%	106	+2.3
●Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 2021 · MLB	27	52→61	58→60	43→45	42	273/315/478	206	316	26	8	23%	5%	124	+3.4	272/320/444	172	311	19	5	19%	6%	116	+2.8	270/319/435	165	305	18	3	18%	6%	110	+2.2
●Kevin Mench 2005 · MLB	27	52→54	59→60	45	51	275/336/498	223	284	26	3	15%	7%	137	+4.3	267/322/457	190	273	22	4	12%	7%	121	+3.2	264/318/442	178	269	20	3	11%	7%	108	+1.8