Carson Kelly — OGILVIE

Carson KellyC Chicago Cubs

Age 32 R/R 6'1" / 212 lbs MLB HR -8% Svc 7.936 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION395 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†vL 107103vR 91

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%22

BB%11

BABIP267

ISO159

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT50

Whiff%

905.8%

xAVG

330.237

POWER50

Barrel%

447.4

Avg EV

3487.9

Bat Spd

4470.8

EYE60

Chase%

9017.4%

SPEED40

Sprint

1625.8

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%17%▲16% over 74 PA (30d) · proj 18%

BB%8%▼▼7% over 144 PA (60d) · proj 10%

ISO.145▼.128 over 133 AB (60d) · proj .160xISO .133 vs .176 prior — approach backs the move

HR/BB4.3%▼3.7% over 109 BBE (60d) · proj 4.9%barrel% 5.6% vs 8.3% prior — approach backs the move

BABIP.263·.267 over 105 BIP (60d) · proj .262xBABIP .261 vs .277 prior

SLASH.240/.310/.386▼proj .239/.322/.399

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 813 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

213

600

—

wRC+

141

◀◀L

wOBA

376

315

◀◀L

ISO

185

151

◀◀L

BABIP

323

265

◀◀L

16.4%

19.0%

◀L

BB%

12.7%

9.2%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2017

Service 7.936 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

OPT

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.5M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.1M
Totals		$0.5M		$0.6M	+$0.1M

Options · projected decision
2027	MUTUAL OPT	$5.8M / $0.0M buyout	DECLINE
2028	MUTUAL OPT	$7.5M / $1.5M buyout	DECLINE
2029	CLUB OPT	$5.8M / $0.0M buyout	DECLINE
2030	CLUB OPT	$5.8M / $0.0M buyout	DECLINE

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2012	18	ROK	Johnson City Cardinals	—	225	213	48	10	0	9	10	33	1	0	0	225	263	399	662	174	228	15	4	291	83	-4	+0	—	—	+5	0.0
2013	19	A	Peoria Chiefs	—	168	146	32	6	0	2	13	25	2	0	0	219	292	301	593	82	248	15	8	263	64	-7	+0	—	—	+4	-0.4
2014	20	A	Peoria Chiefs	—	415	363	90	17	4	6	37	54	7	1	0	248	329	366	696	118	274	13	9	310	96	-2	+0	—	—	+9	0.7
2015	21	A+	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	419	389	85	18	1	8	22	64	3	0	0	219	266	332	597	113	239	15	5	266	66	-17	+0	—	—	+9	-0.8
2016	22	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	126	113	33	10	0	0	11	17	0	0	0	292	355	381	735	88	340	13	9	328	108	+1	+0	—	—	+3	0.4
2016	22	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	236	216	62	7	0	6	14	46	3	0	1	287	339	403	742	116	339	19	6	330	109	+3	-0	—	—	+5	0.7
2016	22	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	94	77	22	4	0	3	13	4	1	2	0	286	396	455	850	169	264	4	14	370	136	+4	+0	—	—	+2	0.7
2017	23	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	75	69	12	3	0	0	5	11	1	0	0	174	240	217	457	43	207	15	7	216	33	-6	+0	+1	+6	+2	0.3
2017	23	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	280	244	69	13	0	10	33	40	3	0	2	283	375	459	834	176	304	14	12	373	138	+13	-1	—	—	+6	1.8
2018	24	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	42	35	4	0	0	0	3	7	1	0	0	114	205	114	319		143	17	7	154	-10	-5	+0	-1	+7	+1	0.2
2018	24	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	349	294	79	14	1	7	48	48	5	0	0	269	380	395	775	126	299	14	14	352	124	+10	+0	—	—	+8	1.8
2019	25	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	365	314	77	19	0	18	48	79	2	0	0	245	349	478	827	232	271	22	13	364	133	+14	+0	+9	+7	+8	3.9
2020	26	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	129	122	27	5	0	5	6	29	1	0	0	221	264	385	649	164	250	22	5	288	81	-3	+0	+4	+2	+3	0.7
2021	27	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	359	304	73	11	1	13	44	74	6	0	0	240	347	411	759	171	270	21	12	338	115	+6	+0	+5	+6	+8	2.6
2022	28	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	354	317	67	18	0	7	29	71	4	2	0	211	286	334	620	123	247	20	8	279	75	-10	+0	+6	+7	+8	1.0
2022	28	AAA	Reno Aces	—	22	17	6	2	0	2	4	1	0	0	0	353	476	824	1.300	471	267	5	18	515	235	+4	+0	—	—	+0	0.4
2023	29	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	151	136	28	5	0	2	14	40	0	1	0	206	280	287	567	81	274	26	9	261	63	-7	+0	+5	+3	+3	0.5
2023	29	AAA	Reno Aces	—	34	29	10	3	0	0	3	8	1	0	0	345	424	448	873	103	455	24	9	383	145	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2024	30	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	313	281	67	9	1	9	25	55	6	0	0	238	314	374	688	135	266	18	8	311	96	-1	+0	+11	+6	+7	2.3
2025	31	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	421	369	92	13	1	17	45	80	3	2	0	249	336	428	764	179	272	19	11	338	115	+8	+0	+8	+8	+9	3.4
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	2209	1947	447	83	3	71	219	446	24	5	0	230	315	385	700	155	260	20	10	313	98	-5	+1	+49	+52	+48	14.7
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2012	18	ROK MLE	Johnson City Cardinals	—	225	217	37	7	0	7	6	47	1	0	0	171	196	300	496	129	186	21	3	214	31	-18	+0	—	—	+5	-1.4
2013	19	A MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	168	151	29	4	0	2	8	35	2	0	0	192	242	258	501	66	221	21	5	219	34	-13	+0	—	—	+4	-1.0
2014	20	A MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	415	375	80	16	4	4	25	68	7	1	0	213	275	309	585	96	239	16	6	255	59	-20	+0	—	—	+9	-1.1
2015	21	A+ MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	419	393	71	15	1	7	18	93	3	0	0	181	222	277	500	97	210	22	4	217	33	-33	+0	—	—	+9	-2.5
2016	22	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	126	116	29	8	0	0	8	22	0	0	0	250	298	319	617	69	299	17	6	272	70	-4	+0	—	—	+3	-0.2
2016	22	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	236	220	58	6	0	4	10	55	3	0	1	264	305	345	650	82	329	23	4	284	78	-6	-0	—	—	+5	-0.1
2017	23	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	75	69	12	3	0	0	5	11	1	0	0	174	240	217	457	43	207	15	7	215	32	-6	+0	+1	+6	+2	0.3
2017	23	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	280	253	58	10	0	8	24	51	3	0	2	229	304	364	667	134	259	18	9	294	85	-5	-1	—	—	+6	0.0
2018	24	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	42	35	4	0	0	0	3	7	1	0	0	114	205	114	319		143	17	7	153	-10	-6	+0	-1	+7	+1	0.2
2018	24	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	349	310	71	12	1	6	32	64	5	0	0	229	311	332	643	103	266	18	9	292	84	-7	+0	—	—	+8	0.1
2019	25	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	365	314	77	18	0	19	48	79	2	0	0	245	349	484	833	239	271	22	13	343	118	+8	+0	+9	+7	+8	3.2
2020	26	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	129	122	27	5	0	5	6	29	1	0	0	221	264	385	649	164	250	22	5	286	79	-3	+0	+4	+2	+3	0.6
2021	27	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	359	304	73	10	1	14	44	74	6	0	0	240	347	418	765	178	270	21	12	333	111	+5	+0	+5	+6	+8	2.5
2022	28	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	354	317	66	17	0	7	29	71	4	2	0	208	283	328	611	120	247	20	8	274	71	-12	+0	+6	+7	+8	0.9
2022	28	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	22	18	6	2	0	2	3	1	0	0	0	333	429	778	1.206	444	221	5	14	455	194	+2	+0	—	—	+0	0.3
2023	29	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	151	136	28	5	0	2	14	40	0	1	0	206	280	287	567	81	274	26	9	262	63	-7	+0	+5	+3	+3	0.5
2023	29	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	34	30	8	2	0	0	2	11	1	0	0	267	333	333	667	67	383	32	6	303	91	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2024	30	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	313	281	66	9	1	8	25	55	6	0	0	235	311	359	670	125	266	18	8	301	90	-4	+0	+11	+6	+7	2.0
2025	31	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	—	421	369	93	13	1	18	45	80	3	2	0	252	338	439	777	187	272	19	11	337	114	+7	+0	+8	+8	+9	3.3
2012	18	ROK MLE	Johnson City Cardinals	—	225	217	37	7	0	7	6	47	1	0	0	171	196	300	496	129	184	21	3	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	18	ROK RAW	Johnson City Cardinals	—	225	213	48	10	0	9	10	33	1	0	0	225	263	399	662	174	228	15	4	291	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	19	A MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	168	151	29	4	0	2	8	35	2	0	0	192	242	258	501	66	233	21	5	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	19	A RAW	Peoria Chiefs	—	168	146	32	6	0	2	13	25	2	0	0	219	292	301	593	82	248	15	8	263	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	20	A MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	415	375	80	16	4	4	25	68	7	1	0	213	275	309	585	96	248	16	6	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	20	A RAW	Peoria Chiefs	—	415	363	90	17	4	6	37	54	7	1	0	248	329	366	696	118	274	13	9	310	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	21	A+ MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	419	393	71	15	1	7	18	93	3	0	0	181	222	277	500	97	215	22	4	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	21	A+ RAW	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	419	389	85	18	1	8	22	64	3	0	0	219	266	332	597	113	239	15	5	266	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	22	AA MLE	3 teams	—	456	422	111	19	0	5	22	97	4	2	1	263	306	344	649	81	327	21	5	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	22	AA RAW	3 teams	—	456	406	117	21	0	9	38	67	4	2	1	288	355	406	761	118	323	15	8	337	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	355	322	70	13	0	8	29	62	4	0	2	217	290	332	622	115	246	17	8	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	355	313	81	16	0	10	38	51	4	0	2	259	346	406	752	147	282	14	11	340	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	391	345	75	12	1	6	35	71	6	0	0	217	301	310	611	93	256	18	9	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	391	329	83	14	1	7	51	55	6	0	0	252	363	365	727	112	283	14	13	331	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	25	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	365	314	77	18	0	19	48	79	2	0	0	245	349	484	833	239	267	22	13	343	118	+8	+0	+9	+7	+8	3.2
2019	25	MLB RAW	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	365	314	77	19	0	18	48	79	2	0	0	245	349	478	827	232	271	22	13	364	118	+8	+0	+9	+7	+8	3.2
2020	26	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	129	122	27	5	0	5	6	29	1	0	0	221	264	385	649	164	250	22	5	286	79	-3	+0	+4	+2	+3	0.6
2020	26	MLB RAW	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	129	122	27	5	0	5	6	29	1	0	0	221	264	385	649	164	250	22	5	288	79	-3	+0	+4	+2	+3	0.6
2021	27	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	359	304	73	10	1	14	44	74	6	0	0	240	347	418	765	178	267	21	12	333	111	+5	+0	+5	+6	+8	2.5
2021	27	MLB RAW	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	359	304	73	11	1	13	44	74	6	0	0	240	347	411	759	171	270	21	12	338	111	+5	+0	+5	+6	+8	2.5
2022	28	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	376	335	72	19	0	9	32	72	4	2	0	215	291	352	643	137	243	19	9	284	79	-10	+0	+6	+7	+8	1.2
2022	28	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	376	334	73	20	0	9	33	72	4	2	0	219	296	359	656	141	248	19	9	293	79	-10	+0	+6	+7	+8	1.2
2023	29	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	185	166	36	7	0	2	16	51	1	1	0	217	290	295	585	78	296	28	9	269	68	-7	+0	+5	+3	+4	0.5
2023	29	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	185	165	38	8	0	2	17	48	1	1	0	230	306	315	621	85	308	26	9	283	68	-7	+0	+5	+3	+4	0.5
2024	30	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	313	281	66	9	1	8	25	55	6	0	0	235	311	359	670	125	265	18	8	301	90	-4	+0	+11	+6	+7	2.0
2024	30	MLB RAW	Texas Rangers	—	313	281	67	9	1	9	25	55	6	0	0	238	314	374	688	135	266	18	8	311	90	-4	+0	+11	+6	+7	2.0
2025	31	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	—	421	369	93	13	1	18	45	80	3	2	0	252	338	439	777	187	273	19	11	337	114	+7	+0	+8	+8	+9	3.3
2025	31	MLB RAW	Chicago Cubs	—	421	369	92	13	1	17	45	80	3	2	0	249	336	428	764	179	272	19	11	338	114	+7	+0	+8	+8	+9	3.3
2012	18	ROK MLE	Johnson City Cardinals	—	225	216	37	7	0	7	6	47	1	0	0	171	196	301	497	130	186	21	3	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	19	A MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	168	156	29	4	0	2	8	35	2	0	0	186	242	250	492	64	221	21	5	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	20	A MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	415	380	80	16	4	4	25	68	7	1	0	211	275	305	580	95	239	16	6	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	21	A+ MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	419	395	71	15	1	7	18	93	3	0	0	180	222	276	498	96	210	22	4	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	22	AA MLE	3 teams	—	456	427	111	19	0	5	22	97	4	2	1	260	306	340	645	80	319	21	5	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	355	319	70	13	0	8	29	62	4	0	2	219	290	335	626	116	248	17	8	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	391	347	75	12	1	6	35	71	6	0	0	216	301	308	609	92	253	18	9	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	25	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	365	312	77	18	0	19	48	79	2	0	0	247	349	487	836	240	271	22	13	343	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	26	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	129	121	27	5	0	5	6	29	1	0	0	223	264	388	652	165	250	22	5	286	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	27	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	359	306	73	10	1	14	44	74	6	0	0	239	347	415	762	176	270	21	12	333	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	28	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	376	337	72	19	0	9	32	72	4	2	0	214	291	350	641	136	245	19	9	284	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	29	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	185	166	36	7	0	2	16	51	1	1	0	217	290	295	585	78	294	28	9	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	30	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	313	279	66	9	1	8	25	55	6	0	0	237	311	362	673	125	266	18	8	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	31	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	—	421	370	93	13	1	18	45	80	3	2	0	251	338	438	776	186	272	19	11	337	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	29	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	185	166	36	7	0	2	16	51	1	1	0	217	290	295	585	78	294	28	9	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	30	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	313	279	66	9	1	8	25	55	6	0	0	237	311	362	673	125	266	18	8	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	31	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	—	421	370	93	13	1	18	45	80	3	2	0	251	338	438	776	186	272	19	11	337	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	32	MLB MLE	CHC	—	395	353	92	15	0	10	38	66	4	0	1	261	339	388	727	127	296	17	10	327	107	+4	-0	-0	+7	+9	1.9
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	32	MLB RAW	CHC	—	395	353	92	15	0	10	38	66	4	0	1	261	339	388	727	127	296	17	10	330	107	+4	-0	-0	+7	+9	1.9
YTD	32	MLB RAW	CHC	—	395	353	92	15	0	10	38	66	4	0	1	261	339	388	727	127	296	17	10	330	109	+4	-0	-0	+7	+9	2.0
ROS	32	MLB MLE	CHC	100%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		267	22	11	320	103	+0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
ROS	32	MLB CTX	CHC	100%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		267	22	11	311	103	+0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	32	MLB A+C	CHC	—	404	361	93	15	0	10	39	68	4	0	1	258	337	382	719	125	293	17	10	329	107	+4	-0	-0	+7	+9	1.9
TOT	32	MLB MLE	CHC	—	404	361	93	15	0	10	39	68	4	0	1	258	337	382	719	125	293	17	10	327	107	+4	-0	-0	+7	+9	1.9
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	33	MLB MLE	CHC	100%	295	261	60	11	0	9	29	53	3	1	0	230	314	375	689	146	255	18	10	309	96	-2	+0	-3	+5	+6	0.7
2028	34	MLB MLE	CHC	100%	246	218	48	8	0	7	24	46	2	0	0	220	303	353	656	133	248	19	10	299	89	-3	+0	-4	+4	+5	0.2
2027	33	MLB CTX	CHC	100%	295	261	60	11	0	8	29	53	3	1	0	230	314	364	678	134	256	18	10	301	96	-2	+0	-3	+5	+6	0.7
2028	34	MLB CTX	CHC	100%	246	218	48	8	0	7	24	46	2	0	0	220	303	353	656	133	249	19	10	291	89	-3	+0	-4	+4	+5	0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2759	2434	556	102	3	86	273	547	29	6	0	228	314	379	692	150	258	20	10	310	79	-10	+1	+41	+62	+60	15.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	573	131	24	1	20	64	129	7	1	0	229	313	379	692	150	259	20	10	310	79	-2	+0	+10	+14	+14	3.7
Career	—	MLE		—	5127	4603	1026	186	9	130	413	1014	55	9	3	223	295	352	647	129	256	20	8	284	79	-10	+1	+41	+62	+60	15.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	130	24	1	16	52	129	7	1	0	223	294	349	643	127	257	20	8	284	79	-2	+0	+10	+14	+14	3.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jason Castrolast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,381 PA	5.1	3,381	97	6	227	312	387	+60	+77	22.5	21.6
/162	664	19	1	+11.9	+15.1	4.4	pk7: 21
#2Yorvit Torrealbalast yr '13 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,179 PA	4.8	3,179	56	19	256	314	379	+53	+79	20.2	18.4
/162	664	12	4	+11.1	+16.6	4.2	pk7: 17
#3Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#4John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 12 projected seasons	5.3	3,525	111	8	237	317	389	+63	+53	15.6	15.0
/162	664	21	1	+11.9	+10.0	2.9	pk7: 14
#5Dioner Navarrolast yr '16 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,544 PA	5.3	3,544	77	14	250	308	370	+63	-1	12.1	11.6
/162	664	14	3	+11.9	-0.2	2.3	pk7: 11
#6Kelly Shoppachlast yr '13 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,839 PA	2.8	1,839	70	1	225	314	417	+33	+14	11.3	11.5
/162	664	25	0	+11.9	+5.0	4.1	pk7: 12

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carson Kelly (OGILVIE)	32	50	50	40	60	239/322/386	146	267	13	1	18%	10%	103	+1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕John Buck 2012 · MLB	32	48→53	54→60	41→30	48	250/316/424	174	295	22	2	23%	8%	108	+1.9	228/305/379	151	277	19	3	24%	9%	95	+0.9	218/297/355	138	267	18	1	25%	9%	80	-0.1
✕A.J. Ellis 2013 · MLB	32	54→55	45	41→40	60	258/362/382	124	307	12	2	19%	13%	116	+2.5	233/333/352	119	273	12	2	18%	12%	99	+1.2	219/326/329	109	253	11	0	17%	13%	88	+0.3
✕Michael McKenry 2016 · MLB	31	48	50→55	43→40	53	242/327/404	162	294	17	8	23%	10%	107	+1.9	209/304/339	130	288	12	6	29%	11%	85	+0.2	181/285/291	110	259	9	2	31%	12%	65	-0.5
✕Stephen Vogt 2017 · MLB	32	51→61	52→60	42→40	52	261/323/435	173	285	19	2	17%	8%	113	+2.3	247/306/432	185	277	21	4	19%	8%	106	+1.8	229/297/417	188	262	22	2	22%	9%	96	+0.5
✕Nick Hundley 2017 · MLB	33	51→46	49→55	42→40	47	256/307/406	150	303	16	5	21%	7%	100	+1.3	243/290/411	168	307	19	4	26%	6%	95	+1.0	232/275/401	169	301	19	2	29%	5%	84	+0.1
✕James McCann 2022 · MLB	32	50→55	50	41→45	45	251/313/402	152	323	19	5	28%	8%	102	+1.5	226/283/359	133	289	16	7	26%	6%	81	-0.1	249/292/400	151	311	20	1	26%	5%	92	+0.3
✕Curt Casali 2020 · MLB	31	49	47→50	40→30	49	244/311/377	133	297	15	3	23%	8%	95	+1.0	231/325/393	162	301	19	5	28%	11%	105	+1.7	210/316/296	86	281	8	0	25%	11%	79	-0.1
✕Aledmys Díaz 2023 · MLB	32	48→58	51→55	41→45	46	246/299/406	159	271	20	3	18%	6%	98	+1.2	226/282/351	125	264	12	5	19%	6%	78	-0.3	228/282/339	111	275	8	2	19%	5%	72	-0.4
✕Miguel Ojeda 2007 · MLB	32	47→48	45	41→45	51	232/303/355	123	270	13	5	19%	8%	87	+0.4	242/307/367	125	284	12	7	19%	8%	91	+0.7	251/320/386	134	285	14	7	17%	8%	99	+0.6
●Robinson Chirinos 2016 · MLB	32	43→46	52→60	44→50	49	226/300/394	167	262	20	3	22%	8%	96	+1.0	235/328/443	208	283	26	4	26%	10%	118	+2.6	231/343/438	208	297	26	2	29%	11%	118	+1.7
✕Brook Fordyce 2002 · MLB	32	48	49→50	40→30	48	244/298/395	151	270	16	4	17%	6%	95	+0.9	242/294/354	112	272	11	5	15%	6%	84	+0.1	243/292/332	89	275	8	3	14%	5%	75	-0.2
✕Wilson Ramos 2020 · MLB	32	57→60	50→55	47→30	52	286/343/437	151	313	19	2	16%	8%	121	+2.9	257/310/417	160	286	21	4	18%	7%	104	+1.6	234/278/400	165	256	24	0	20%	5%	87	+0.1
✕Oscar Salazar 2010 · MLB	32	55	51→55	42→45	48	278/320/446	168	303	17	5	15%	6%	114	+2.4	243/293/370	127	275	14	8	17%	7%	86	+0.3	216/273/304	88	255	10	7	19%	7%	62	-0.3
✕Alex Gonzalez 2005 · MLB	32	45→50	51→55	41→45	47	231/288/396	165	267	18	5	21%	7%	91	+0.7	240/294/377	137	287	14	6	21%	7%	89	+0.5	265/321/404	138	314	14	3	19%	7%	102	+0.9
✕Rod Barajas 2008 · MLB	32	48→47	52→60	41→30	51	247/313/415	168	267	19	3	16%	8%	105	+1.7	238/288/407	169	256	21	3	17%	5%	94	+0.9	233/275/406	173	244	23	1	16%	4%	85	+0.2
✕Dioner Navarro 2016 · MLB	32	52→61	49→50	47→45	51	262/318/402	140	285	17	4	15%	8%	103	+1.6	227/288/357	130	268	14	5	20%	7%	82	+0.0	197/264/293	96	241	9	1	21%	8%	57	-0.7
✕Kevan Smith 2021 · MLB	33	51→55	47→50	49→40	50	251/320/387	135	288	14	7	18%	8%	101	+1.4	224/297/340	116	296	11	8	26%	9%	82	-0.0	167/245/198	31	246	0	0	29%	9%	15	-0.9
✕Damian Miller 2002 · MLB	32	53→56	50→55	39→30	52	267/334/425	158	308	18	3	20%	9%	115	+2.4	252/327/407	155	308	16	3	22%	10%	108	+1.9	262/332/397	135	324	12	0	21%	9%	101	+1.0
✕Trevor Plouffe 2018 · MLB	32	45→52	50→55	42→45	48	231/293/383	151	271	19	3	23%	8%	91	+0.6	216/299/373	157	280	19	7	28%	10%	91	+0.6	178/282/345	166	231	20	5	31%	12%	78	-0.1
✕Humberto Cota 2011 · AAA	32	52	46→50	38→30	50	256/316/386	131	305	13	3	21%	8%	99	+1.2	259/326/372	113	322	11	4	22%	9%	100	+1.3	249/317/354	106	306	12	1	22%	8%	90	+0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps