Travis Sykora
P
Wilmington Blue Rocks
+0.6
WAR
Age 22
RHP
6'6" / 232 lbs
A+
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
peak 0.6 · 2027
ERA3.88
FIP3.88
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%25.9%
BB%9.2%
K-BB%16.7%
IP41
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.6peak
2027
OFP—50
K†6065
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20 | A | Fredericksburg Nationals | 20 | 20 | 85 | 329 | 129 | 27 | 2 | 29.0% | 9.7% | 0.7% | 2.33 | 2.28 | +2.8 |
| 2025 | 21 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | 12 | 12 | 45 | 169 | 79 | 17 | 0 | 34.1% | 8.7% | 0.0% | 1.79 | 1.32 | +1.9 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | MLB | WSH | 41 | — | 41 | 173 | 45 | 16 | 4 | 25.9% | 9.2% | 2.6% | 3.88 | 3.88 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | WSH | 42 | — | 42 | 179 | 47 | 16 | 5 | 26.3% | 8.8% | 2.6% | 3.84 | 3.79 | +0.6 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | WSH | 44 | — | 44 | 184 | 49 | 16 | 5 | 26.7% | 8.5% | 2.6% | 3.79 | 3.73 | +0.6 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | WSH | 44 | — | 44 | 186 | 50 | 16 | 5 | 26.9% | 8.4% | 2.6% | 3.75 | 3.70 | +0.6 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB | WSH | 44 | — | 44 | 186 | 50 | 16 | 5 | 27.0% | 8.4% | 2.6% | 3.72 | 3.69 | +0.6 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB | WSH | 44 | — | 44 | 185 | 50 | 16 | 5 | 27.0% | 8.4% | 2.6% | 3.71 | 3.70 | +0.6 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB | WSH | 43 | — | 43 | 182 | 49 | 15 | 5 | 27.0% | 8.5% | 2.6% | 3.72 | 3.73 | +0.6 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB | WSH | 42 | — | 42 | 177 | 48 | 15 | 5 | 26.8% | 8.5% | 2.7% | 3.75 | 3.78 | +0.6 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB | WSH | 41 | — | 41 | 172 | 46 | 15 | 5 | 26.6% | 8.6% | 2.8% | 3.80 | 3.84 | +0.5 |
| 2035 | 31 | MLB | WSH | 39 | — | 39 | 166 | 44 | 15 | 5 | 26.4% | 8.8% | 2.8% | 3.87 | 3.91 | +0.5 |
| 2036 | 32 | MLB | WSH | 38 | — | 38 | 159 | 42 | 14 | 5 | 26.1% | 8.9% | 2.9% | 3.95 | 4.00 | +0.4 |
| 2037 | 33 | MLB | WSH | 36 | — | 36 | 152 | 39 | 14 | 5 | 25.8% | 9.1% | 3.0% | 4.04 | 4.10 | +0.3 |
| 2038 | 34 | MLB | WSH | 34 | — | 34 | 144 | 37 | 13 | 4 | 25.5% | 9.3% | 3.1% | 4.14 | 4.21 | +0.3 |
| 2039 | 35 | MLB | WSH | 32 | — | 32 | 136 | 34 | 13 | 4 | 25.1% | 9.5% | 3.2% | 4.25 | 4.33 | +0.2 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 32 | 32 | 130 | 498 | 153 | 47 | 2 | 30.8% | 9.3% | 0.5% | 2.14 | 1.96 | +4.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 49 | 49 | 200 | 764 | 235 | 72 | 3 | 30.8% | 9.3% | 0.5% | 2.14 | 1.96 | +7.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Travis Sykora (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.88 | 25.9% | 9.2% | 2.6% | — | 3.74 | 26.6% | 18.1% | 130 | -0.14 | — | — | — |
| Eric Orze R 2027 · 3.46 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.46 | 26.9% | 7.6% | 3.0% | .284 | 4.34 | 27.8% | 15.6% | 170 | +0.88 | 3.46 | 290 | 90 |
| Magnus Ellerts R 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.63 | 29.5% | 11.5% | 2.9% | .325 | 3.92 | 27.3% | 11.2% | 98 | +0.29 | 3.55 | 139 | 90 |
| Joey Gerber R 2026 · 3.01 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.01 | 26.6% | 10.5% | 1.5% | .316 | 4.15 | 9.7% | 1.6% | 16 | +1.14 | 3.01 | 137 | 89 |
| Sam Delaplane R 2026 · 3.18 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.18 | 24.6% | 7.7% | 2.1% | .342 | 2.87 | 32.7% | 23.4% | 128 | -0.31 | 2.58 | 194 | 88 |
| Eli Villalobos R 2028 · 3.75 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.75 | 28.1% | 9.6% | 3.3% | .337 | 4.99 | 23.1% | 9.0% | 153 | +1.24 | 3.75 | 198 | 88 |
| Jimmy Joyce R 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.78 | 25.0% | 9.0% | 3.0% | .341 | 4.02 | 20.4% | 9.7% | 242 | +0.24 | 3.40 | 259 | 88 |
| Taylor Floyd R 2027 · 3.48 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.48 | 27.7% | 12.1% | 2.2% | .291 | 4.31 | 19.4% | 6.5% | 183 | +0.83 | 3.48 | 290 | 87 |
| Bryan Garcia R 2026 · 2.59 FIP | 22 | SU | 2.59 | 27.2% | 9.4% | 1.1% | .262 | 4.16 | 17.8% | 7.1% | 55 | +1.57 | 2.59 | 319 | 87 |
| Patrick Ruotolo R 2026 · 3.02 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.02 | 27.6% | 7.0% | 2.5% | .245 | 4.20 | 27.5% | 16.9% | 44 | +1.18 | 3.02 | 190 | 87 |
| Antonio Menendez R 2027 · 2.93 FIP | 23 | SU | 2.93 | 24.7% | 8.1% | 1.6% | .314 | 3.71 | 19.9% | 6.2% | 166 | +0.78 | 2.93 | 188 | 87 |
| Connor Cooke R 2026 · 3.37 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.37 | 23.7% | 8.4% | 2.2% | .350 | 4.28 | 24.6% | 10.4% | 56 | +0.91 | 2.93 | 103 | 86 |
| Kenny Oakley R 2026 · 3.50 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.50 | 23.8% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .348 | 3.89 | 17.3% | 7.8% | 115 | +0.39 | 3.18 | 144 | 86 |
| Jacob Dorris R 2027 · 4.10 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.10 | 26.9% | 12.4% | 3.1% | .295 | 4.58 | 19.2% | 8.8% | 88 | +0.48 | 4.10 | 130 | 86 |
| Justin Yeager R 2027 · 3.59 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.59 | 26.6% | 12.3% | 2.1% | .281 | 3.93 | 25.4% | 12.6% | 103 | +0.34 | 3.29 | 201 | 86 |
| Grant Dyer R 2025 · 3.43 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.43 | 26.9% | 7.2% | 3.1% | .236 | 3.68 | 18.5% | 12.1% | 92 | +0.25 | 2.95 | 118 | 86 |
| Nick Sandlin R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.74 | 29.2% | 8.8% | 3.6% | .275 | 2.97 | 27.7% | 15.8% | 78 | -0.77 | 2.49 | 229 | 86 |
| Alejandro Chacin R 2026 · 2.87 FIP | 22 | SW | 2.87 | 26.0% | 8.2% | 1.7% | .298 | 3.72 | 21.5% | 11.4% | 166 | +0.85 | 2.87 | 217 | 85 |
| Carson Rudd R 2026 · 3.40 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.40 | 25.4% | 10.6% | 2.0% | .351 | 5.26 | 21.6% | 5.6% | 193 | +1.86 | 3.40 | 242 | 85 |
| Zac Leigh R 2028 · 3.72 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.72 | 28.5% | 12.3% | 2.7% | .270 | 4.50 | 21.7% | 5.4% | 130 | +0.78 | 3.72 | 164 | 85 |
| Lucas Wepf R 2027 · 3.65 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.65 | 27.6% | 10.7% | 2.8% | .323 | 3.49 | 26.5% | 14.2% | 85 | -0.16 | 2.90 | 144 | 85 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2028
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2033
First FA Year 2034
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2028 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | +0.6 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2029 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | +0.6 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2030 | Pre-Arb | $0.9M | +0.6 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2031 | Arb-1 | $1M | +0.6 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2032 | Arb-2 | $2M | +0.6 | $3M | +$0.9M |
| 2033 | Arb-3 | $3M | +0.6 | $3M | +$0.0M (cut) |
| Totals | $8M | $16M | +$8M | ||