Travis Sykora
P
Wilmington Blue Rocks
Age 22
RHP
6'6" / 232 lbs
A+
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
peak 0.6 · 2027
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 95 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 9687vR 78
ERA3.34
FIP3.34
K%32.1%
BB%9.1%
K-BB%23.0%
ROS IP95
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 95 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20 | A | Fredericksburg Nationals | 20 | 20 | 85 | 329 | 129 | 27 | 2 | 100% | 4.2 | 29.0% | 9.7% | 19.3% | 0.7% | 2.33 | 2.25 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A | Fredericksburg Nationals | 20 | 20 | 85 | 329 | 129 | 27 | 2 | 100% | 4.2 | 39.2% | 8.2% | 31.0% | 0.6% | 2.33 | 1.32 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | MIX | 4 levels | 12 | 12 | 45 | 169 | 79 | 17 | 0 | 100% | 3.8 | 34.1% | 8.7% | 25.5% | 0.0% | 1.79 | 1.32 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | MIX | 4 levels | 12 | 12 | 45 | 169 | 79 | 17 | 0 | 100% | 3.8 | 46.7% | 10.1% | 36.7% | 0.0% | 1.79 | 0.74 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | MLB | WSH | 19 | 19 | 95 | 401 | 129 | 37 | 10 | 100% | 5.0 | 32.1% | 9.1% | 23.0% | 2.6% | 3.34 | 3.34 | +2.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | WSH | 25 | 25 | 133 | 560 | 179 | 48 | 14 | 100% | 5.3 | 31.9% | 8.5% | 23.4% | 2.6% | 3.34 | 3.29 | +3.3 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | WSH | 29 | 29 | 162 | 684 | 217 | 56 | 18 | 100% | 5.6 | 31.7% | 8.2% | 23.5% | 2.6% | 3.32 | 3.26 | +4.1 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | WSH | 30 | 30 | 175 | 739 | 234 | 60 | 19 | 100% | 5.8 | 31.6% | 8.1% | 23.6% | 2.6% | 3.30 | 3.25 | +4.4 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB | WSH | 29 | 29 | 175 | 739 | 234 | 59 | 19 | 100% | 6.0 | 31.6% | 8.0% | 23.6% | 2.6% | 3.28 | 3.25 | +4.4 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB | WSH | 29 | 29 | 172 | 728 | 230 | 59 | 19 | 100% | 5.9 | 31.6% | 8.1% | 23.5% | 2.6% | 3.29 | 3.29 | +4.3 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB | WSH | 28 | 28 | 167 | 706 | 222 | 58 | 19 | 100% | 6.0 | 31.5% | 8.2% | 23.2% | 2.8% | 3.34 | 3.38 | +4.0 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB | WSH | 27 | 27 | 160 | 674 | 211 | 57 | 20 | 100% | 5.9 | 31.2% | 8.5% | 22.8% | 2.9% | 3.44 | 3.51 | +3.5 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB | WSH | 25 | 25 | 150 | 634 | 196 | 56 | 20 | 100% | 6.0 | 30.9% | 8.8% | 22.1% | 3.1% | 3.59 | 3.68 | +3.0 |
| 2035 | 31 | MLB | WSH | 23 | 23 | 140 | 591 | 180 | 54 | 20 | 100% | 6.1 | 30.5% | 9.1% | 21.4% | 3.3% | 3.77 | 3.89 | +2.5 |
| 2036 | 32 | MLB | WSH | 22 | 22 | 130 | 547 | 164 | 52 | 20 | 100% | 5.9 | 30.0% | 9.5% | 20.5% | 3.6% | 3.97 | 4.11 | +2.0 |
| 2037 | 33 | MLB | WSH | 20 | 20 | 119 | 502 | 148 | 50 | 19 | 100% | 5.9 | 29.5% | 10.0% | 19.6% | 3.9% | 4.20 | 4.36 | +1.4 |
| 2038 | 34 | MLB | WSH | 18 | 18 | 108 | 456 | 132 | 48 | 19 | 100% | 6.0 | 29.0% | 10.5% | 18.5% | 4.2% | 4.46 | 4.64 | +1.0 |
| 2039 | 35 | MLB | WSH | 16 | 16 | 97 | 410 | 116 | 45 | 18 | 100% | 6.1 | 28.4% | 11.0% | 17.4% | 4.5% | 4.75 | 4.94 | +0.4 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | WSH | 12 | 12 | 66 | 279 | 89 | 24 | 7 | 100% | 5.5 | 31.9% | 8.5% | 23.4% | 2.6% | 3.34 | 3.29 | +1.1 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | WSH | 20 | 20 | 113 | 477 | 151 | 39 | 12 | 100% | 5.7 | 31.7% | 8.2% | 23.5% | 2.6% | 3.32 | 3.26 | +2.8 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | WSH | 24 | 24 | 142 | 600 | 190 | 48 | 16 | 100% | 5.9 | 31.6% | 8.1% | 23.6% | 2.6% | 3.30 | 3.25 | +3.6 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB | WSH | 26 | 26 | 153 | 646 | 204 | 52 | 17 | 100% | 5.9 | 31.6% | 8.0% | 23.6% | 2.6% | 3.28 | 3.25 | +3.8 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB | WSH | 26 | 26 | 156 | 659 | 208 | 53 | 17 | 100% | 6.0 | 31.6% | 8.1% | 23.5% | 2.6% | 3.29 | 3.29 | +3.8 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB | WSH | 26 | 26 | 154 | 650 | 205 | 54 | 18 | 100% | 5.9 | 31.5% | 8.2% | 23.2% | 2.8% | 3.34 | 3.38 | +3.6 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB | WSH | 25 | 25 | 149 | 629 | 197 | 53 | 18 | 100% | 6.0 | 31.2% | 8.5% | 22.8% | 2.9% | 3.44 | 3.51 | +3.3 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB | WSH | 24 | 24 | 141 | 595 | 184 | 52 | 18 | 100% | 5.9 | 30.9% | 8.8% | 22.1% | 3.1% | 3.59 | 3.68 | +2.8 |
| 2035 | 31 | MLB | WSH | 22 | 22 | 133 | 562 | 171 | 51 | 19 | 100% | 6.0 | 30.5% | 9.1% | 21.4% | 3.3% | 3.77 | 3.89 | +2.3 |
| 2036 | 32 | MLB | WSH | 20 | 20 | 123 | 519 | 156 | 49 | 19 | 100% | 6.2 | 30.0% | 9.5% | 20.5% | 3.6% | 3.97 | 4.11 | +1.9 |
| 2037 | 33 | MLB | WSH | 19 | 19 | 113 | 477 | 141 | 48 | 18 | 100% | 5.9 | 29.5% | 10.0% | 19.6% | 3.9% | 4.20 | 4.36 | +1.4 |
| 2038 | 34 | MLB | WSH | 16 | 16 | 98 | 414 | 120 | 43 | 17 | 100% | 6.1 | 29.0% | 10.5% | 18.5% | 4.2% | 4.46 | 4.64 | +0.8 |
| 2039 | 35 | MLB | WSH | 14 | 14 | 83 | 350 | 99 | 39 | 16 | 100% | 5.9 | 28.4% | 11.0% | 17.4% | 4.5% | 4.75 | 4.94 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 274 | 274 | 1623 | 6852 | 2113 | 605 | 212 | 100% | 5.9 | 30.8% | 8.8% | 22.0% | 3.1% | 3.64 | 3.31 | +39.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 260 | 75 | 26 | 100% | 5.9 | 30.8% | 8.8% | 22.0% | 3.1% | 3.64 | 3.31 | +4.9 | ||
| Career | — | 32 | 32 | 130 | 498 | 153 | 47 | 2 | 100% | 4.1 | 30.8% | 9.3% | 21.4% | 0.5% | 2.14 | 1.93 | +5.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 49 | 49 | 200 | 764 | 235 | 71 | 3 | 100% | 4.1 | 30.8% | 9.3% | 21.4% | 0.5% | 2.14 | 1.93 | +8.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Travis Sykora (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.34 | 32.1% | 9.1% | 2.6% | — | 3.26 | 31.7% | 23.5% | 470 | -0.08 | — | — | — |
| Trey Yesavage R 2026 · 3.22 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.22 | 31.5% | 11.7% | 2.4% | .269 | 4.05 | 22.2% | 9.7% | 75 | +0.83 | 3.22 | 187 | 84 |
| Spencer Strider R 2026 · 3.64 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.64 | 30.7% | 11.6% | 3.0% | .298 | 2.16 | 37.4% | 29.6% | 318 | -1.48 | 1.65 | 589 | 83 |
| Gavin Stone R 2026 · 3.22 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.22 | 27.3% | 7.8% | 2.6% | .385 | 3.71 | 23.0% | 14.2% | 394 | +0.49 | 2.39 | 485 | 80 |
| José De León R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.46 | 27.9% | 8.6% | 3.0% | .295 | 3.73 | 25.9% | 17.9% | 130 | +0.27 | 3.14 | 445 | 78 |
| Nolan Perry R 2026 · 3.24 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.24 | 29.0% | 9.7% | 2.5% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.24 | 136 | 77 |
| Nick Frasso R 2027 · 2.60 FIP | 23 | SP | 2.60 | 27.2% | 9.2% | 1.1% | .265 | 3.92 | 19.8% | 9.4% | 170 | +1.32 | 2.60 | 248 | 75 |
| Tink Hence R 2025 · 2.48 FIP | 21 | SP | 2.48 | 27.6% | 8.9% | 1.1% | .300 | 5.79 | 18.3% | -0.3% | 20 | +3.31 | 2.13 | 248 | 75 |
| Cole Henry R 2026 · 3.12 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.12 | 29.8% | 7.8% | 2.8% | .233 | 4.91 | 21.8% | 7.7% | 56 | +1.79 | 3.12 | 180 | 75 |
| Kyle Brnovich R 2027 · 3.69 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.69 | 25.1% | 7.5% | 3.2% | .256 | 5.06 | 20.7% | 11.0% | 89 | +1.37 | 3.69 | 333 | 75 |
| Kumar Rocker R 2027 · 2.94 FIP | 23 | SP | 2.94 | 29.1% | 7.3% | 2.5% | .317 | 3.94 | 21.6% | 13.6% | 202 | +1.00 | 1.95 | 230 | 73 |
| Gavin Williams R 2027 · 3.43 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.43 | 26.2% | 9.9% | 2.3% | .238 | 3.89 | 25.1% | 14.1% | 398 | +0.46 | 3.43 | 626 | 73 |
| Ramon Marquez R 2024 · 3.00 FIP | 20 | SP | 3.00 | 30.4% | 10.6% | 2.1% | .239 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.00 | 104 | 72 |
| George Klassen R 2026 · 3.57 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.57 | 27.0% | 13.6% | 1.9% | .299 | 4.12 | 20.3% | 8.0% | 175 | +0.55 | 3.57 | 268 | 72 |
| German Nunez R 2026 · 2.77 FIP | 22 | SP | 2.77 | 24.8% | 6.8% | 1.7% | .298 | 3.22 | 22.1% | 11.2% | 19 | +0.45 | 2.27 | 151 | 71 |
| Jonah Tong R 2026 · 2.55 FIP | 22 | SP | 2.55 | 31.7% | 11.9% | 1.1% | .285 | 5.83 | 24.2% | 10.5% | 66 | +3.28 | 2.55 | 303 | 71 |
| Nate Pearson R 2026 · 3.49 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.49 | 24.8% | 7.7% | 2.8% | .235 | 4.69 | 27.5% | 13.9% | 76 | +1.20 | 3.45 | 387 | 71 |
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto R 2029 · 2.55 FIP | 25 | SP | 2.55 | 28.5% | 6.0% | 2.0% | .303 | 3.04 | 27.6% | 20.2% | 284 | +0.49 | 2.55 | 374 | 70 |
| Chase Hampton R 2025 · 4.00 FIP | 21 | SP | 4.00 | 26.1% | 9.5% | 3.5% | .296 | 5.51 | 12.7% | -8.5% | 17 | +1.51 | 4.00 | 124 | 70 |
| Ethan Pecko R 2026 · 3.32 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.32 | 24.4% | 9.0% | 2.1% | .330 | 4.32 | 18.1% | 8.7% | 56 | +1.00 | 3.32 | 242 | 69 |
| Sam Benschoter R 2028 · 3.96 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.96 | 26.3% | 9.2% | 3.5% | .344 | 5.03 | 18.9% | 8.4% | 306 | +1.07 | 3.58 | 426 | 69 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 14 | 142 | 31.0% | 8.8% | 1.18 | 3.61 |
| Rich Hill ('23) | 9 | 104 | 25.0% | 8.0% | 1.12 | 3.65 |
| Lance Lynn ('24) | 9 | 154 | 23.9% | 8.1% | 1.20 | 3.86 |
| Jon Gray ('24) | 10 | 122 | 23.4% | 7.8% | 1.15 | 4.45 |
| James Paxton ('24) | 8 | 106 | 25.8% | 7.7% | 1.12 | 3.89 |
| Trevor Bauer ('21) | 7 | 159 | 26.8% | 8.7% | 1.13 | 3.68 |
| Kenta Maeda ('24) | 8 | 122 | 25.9% | 6.9% | 1.30 | 4.17 |