Sam Benschoter
P
Louisville Bats
Age 28
RHP
6'3" / 215 lbs
AAA
2026 ROS PROJECTION51 act + 69 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129120vR 111
ERA4.88
FIP4.88
K%18.0%
BB%8.2%
K-BB%9.7%
ROS IP69
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 120 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 5 | 2 | 9 | 38 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 40% | 1.8 | 50.0% | 10.5% | 39.5% | 0.0% | 2.00 | 0.21 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 5 | 2 | 9 | 38 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 40% | 1.8 | 50.0% | 10.5% | 39.5% | 0.0% | 2.00 | 0.21 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 4 levels | 22 | 17 | 78 | 336 | 118 | 31 | 8 | 77% | 3.5 | 26.3% | 9.2% | 17.1% | 3.5% | 4.73 | 3.96 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 4 levels | 22 | 17 | 78 | 336 | 118 | 31 | 8 | 77% | 3.5 | 35.1% | 9.2% | 25.9% | 2.4% | 4.73 | 2.60 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | 27 | 27 | 124 | 576 | 140 | 67 | 29 | 100% | 4.6 | 19.7% | 12.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.28 | 6.27 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | 27 | 27 | 124 | 576 | 140 | 67 | 29 | 100% | 4.6 | 24.3% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 5.0% | 7.28 | 5.51 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 11 | 104 | 453 | 101 | 43 | 6 | 33% | 3.2 | 18.3% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 1.3% | 4.33 | 3.58 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 11 | 104 | 453 | 101 | 43 | 6 | 33% | 3.2 | 22.3% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 1.3% | 4.33 | 3.15 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA | Louisville Bats | 38 | 5 | 79 | 326 | 68 | 22 | 11 | 13% | 2.1 | 18.4% | 7.1% | 11.3% | 4.6% | 4.12 | 4.98 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA | Louisville Bats | 38 | 5 | 79 | 326 | 68 | 22 | 11 | 13% | 2.1 | 20.9% | 6.7% | 14.1% | 3.4% | 4.12 | 4.03 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | AAA | Louisville Bats | 24 | 8 | 51 | 237 | 43 | 17 | 6 | 33% | 2.1 | 16.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 2.8% | 5.29 | 4.23 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | CIN | 66 | 0 | 69 | 293 | 53 | 24 | 10 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.0% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 3.4% | 4.88 | 4.88 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | CIN | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.0% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 3.4% | 4.88 | 4.88 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 28 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 120 | 530 | 96 | 41 | 16 | — | — | 18.0% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 3.0% | 5.06 | 4.61 | +1.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 28 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 7 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 1 | — | — | 18.0% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 3.4% | 4.88 | 4.50 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | CIN | 63 | 0 | 66 | 280 | 51 | 24 | 10 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.3% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 3.5% | 4.90 | 4.96 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | CIN | 59 | 0 | 62 | 263 | 48 | 23 | 10 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.3% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 3.7% | 4.99 | 5.08 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | CIN | 55 | 0 | 58 | 245 | 44 | 23 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.1% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 3.9% | 5.13 | 5.25 | -0.5 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | CIN | 23 | 0 | 24 | 101 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.3% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 3.5% | 4.90 | 4.96 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | CIN | 32 | 0 | 34 | 144 | 26 | 13 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.3% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 3.7% | 4.99 | 5.08 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | CIN | 37 | 0 | 39 | 165 | 30 | 15 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.1% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 3.9% | 5.13 | 5.25 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 100 | 0 | 105 | 443 | 81 | 39 | 16 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 3.7% | 5.01 | 4.72 | +0.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 155 | 74 | 31 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 3.7% | 5.01 | 4.72 | +1.6 | ||
| Career | — | 149 | 70 | 444 | 1966 | 402 | 197 | 73 | 47% | 3.0 | 20.4% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 3.7% | 5.25 | 4.68 | +3.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 67 | 32 | 200 | 885 | 181 | 88 | 33 | 47% | 3.0 | 20.4% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 3.7% | 5.25 | 4.68 | +1.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Sam Benschoter (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.88 | 18.0% | 8.2% | 3.4% | — | 5.09 | 18.2% | 9.4% | 186 | +0.21 | — | — | — |
| Ramon Delgado R 2027 · 4.73 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.73 | 13.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | .332 | 4.45 | 11.2% | 7.2% | 74 | -0.28 | 4.45 | 135 | 84 |
| Bud Norris R 2028 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.90 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 4.3% | .327 | 3.85 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 233 | -1.05 | 3.52 | 316 | 84 |
| Josh Roeder R 2024 · 4.75 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.75 | 15.1% | 8.7% | 3.3% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.75 | 175 | 82 |
| Casey Sadler R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.90 | 16.0% | 7.8% | 2.1% | .298 | 3.37 | 23.2% | 16.5% | 145 | -0.53 | 2.22 | 385 | 80 |
| Yoanner Negrin R 2029 · 4.02 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.02 | 15.1% | 7.5% | 2.3% | .256 | 3.39 | 15.0% | 8.5% | 270 | -0.63 | 3.19 | 485 | 80 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.14 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% | .348 | 3.66 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.48 | 2.38 | 160 | 80 |
| Alfonso Sanchez R 2026 · 5.49 FIP | 28 | SW | 5.49 | 15.9% | 7.4% | 5.1% | .244 | 5.53 | 11.2% | 2.3% | 115 | +0.04 | 4.54 | 224 | 80 |
| Jose Pina R 2027 · 5.09 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.09 | 16.9% | 9.2% | 4.1% | .231 | 3.69 | 13.6% | 6.9% | 246 | -1.40 | 3.68 | 424 | 80 |
| Nelson Gonzalez R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.72 | 19.2% | 8.2% | 4.0% | .311 | 5.88 | 16.9% | 4.6% | 74 | +1.16 | 3.33 | 258 | 78 |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2026 · 6.03 FIP | 28 | SW | 6.03 | 17.0% | 10.1% | 5.6% | .289 | 4.41 | 8.3% | -7.5% | 10 | -1.62 | 3.92 | 233 | 78 |
| Rodolfo Aguirre R 2028 · 4.28 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.28 | 12.4% | 6.9% | 2.5% | .288 | 4.99 | 11.4% | 1.3% | 125 | +0.71 | 3.49 | 212 | 78 |
| Lisalverto Bonilla R 2025 · 4.60 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.60 | 18.2% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .304 | 4.88 | 15.8% | 3.2% | 11 | +0.28 | 3.25 | 221 | 77 |
| Chris Leroux R 2029 · 4.50 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.50 | 15.2% | 8.6% | 2.9% | .279 | 3.94 | 13.5% | 5.5% | 140 | -0.56 | 3.94 | 219 | 77 |
| Dennis O'Grady R 2024 · 5.19 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.19 | 13.5% | 11.0% | 3.4% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.79 | 157 | 77 |
| Dakota Hawkins R 2024 · 3.90 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.90 | 16.7% | 6.8% | 2.5% | .243 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 167 | 76 |
| Donovan Hand R 2027 · 4.29 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.29 | 11.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | .305 | 4.30 | 12.5% | 5.7% | 140 | +0.01 | 4.29 | 237 | 75 |
| Christian Bergman R 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.43 | 15.3% | 5.6% | 3.5% | .309 | 4.70 | 15.0% | 9.1% | 322 | +0.27 | 3.80 | 467 | 74 |
| Chris Bassitt R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.00 | 17.5% | 9.8% | 2.1% | .313 | 3.74 | 21.7% | 14.1% | 336 | -0.26 | 3.02 | 1,507 | 73 |
| David Martinez R 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.57 | 14.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% | .368 | 4.96 | 15.0% | 6.8% | 136 | +0.39 | 3.84 | 297 | 73 |
| Jack Cushing R 2026 · 4.70 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.70 | 20.1% | 7.8% | 4.2% | .340 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.67 | 523 | 73 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 64 | 18.2% | 8.7% | 1.40 | 4.97 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Alex Young ('23) | 5 | 52 | 19.5% | 8.6% | 1.61 | 4.43 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |