Sam Benschoter — OGILVIE

Sam Benschoter P Louisville Bats

Age 28 RHP 6'3" / 215 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION67 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125117vR 109

ERA4.84

FIP4.84

K%17.3%

BB%8.0%

K-BB%9.3%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 73 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL6060

CMD5050

K†4040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	5	2	9	38	19	4	0	40%	1.8	50.0%	10.5%	39.5%	0.0%	2.00	0.21	—
2021	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	5	2	9	38	19	4	0	40%	1.8	50.0%	10.5%	39.5%	0.0%	2.00	0.21	—
2022	24	MIX MLE	4 levels	22	17	78	336	118	31	8	77%	3.5	26.3%	9.2%	17.1%	3.0%	4.73	3.71	—
2022	24	MIX RAW	4 levels	22	17	78	336	118	31	8	77%	3.5	35.1%	9.2%	25.9%	2.4%	4.73	2.60	—
2023	25	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	27	27	124	576	140	67	29	100%	4.6	19.7%	12.8%	6.9%	5.9%	7.28	6.32	—
2023	25	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	27	27	124	576	140	67	29	100%	4.6	19.7%	12.8%	6.9%	5.9%	7.28	6.32	—
2023	25	AA RAW	Chattanooga Lookouts	27	27	124	576	140	67	29	100%	4.6	24.3%	11.6%	12.7%	5.0%	7.28	5.51	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	11	104	453	101	43	6	33%	3.2	18.1%	10.0%	8.1%	1.4%	4.33	3.62	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	11	104	453	101	43	6	33%	3.2	18.1%	10.0%	8.1%	1.4%	4.33	3.62	—
2024	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	33	11	104	453	101	43	6	33%	3.2	22.3%	9.5%	12.8%	1.3%	4.33	3.15	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	38	5	79	326	68	22	11	13%	2.1	17.3%	6.1%	11.2%	4.1%	4.12	4.67	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	38	5	79	326	68	22	11	13%	2.1	17.3%	6.1%	11.2%	4.1%	4.12	4.67	—
2025	27	AAA RAW	Louisville Bats	38	5	79	326	68	22	11	13%	2.1	20.9%	6.7%	14.1%	3.4%	4.12	4.03	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	28	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	31	9	67	305	56	25	8	29%	2.2	15.2%	7.4%	7.9%	2.9%	4.86	4.33	—
YTD	28	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	31	9	67	305	56	25	8	29%	2.2	15.2%	7.4%	7.9%	2.9%	4.86	4.33	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	28	AAA RAW	CIN	31	9	67	305	56	25	8	29%	2.2	18.4%	8.2%	10.2%	2.6%	4.86	4.03	—
ROS	28	MLB MLE	CIN	6	0	6	27	5	2	1	0%	1.0	17.3%	8.0%	9.3%	3.3%	4.84	4.84	-0.0
2026 TOT	28	MLB MLE	CIN	—	—	73	332	61	27	9	—	—	18.3%	8.2%	10.1%	2.7%	4.86	4.38	+0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	CIN	63	0	66	280	49	23	10	0%	1.1	17.7%	8.3%	9.3%	3.4%	4.86	4.92	-0.3
2028	30	MLB MLE	CIN	59	0	62	263	47	23	9	0%	1.1	17.7%	8.7%	9.0%	3.6%	4.95	5.05	-0.3
2027	29	MLB CTX	CIN	23	0	24	101	18	8	3	0%	1.0	17.7%	8.3%	9.3%	3.4%	4.86	4.92	-0.1
2028	30	MLB CTX	CIN	32	0	34	144	25	13	5	0%	1.1	17.7%	8.7%	9.0%	3.6%	4.95	5.05	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		56	0	59	250	44	21	9	0%	1.1	17.7%	8.6%	9.1%	3.5%	4.91	4.61	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	149	71	30	0%	1.1	17.7%	8.6%	9.1%	3.5%	4.91	4.61	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		156	71	460	2034	406	197	73	46%	2.9	20.0%	9.7%	10.3%	3.6%	5.18	4.61	-0.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		68	31	200	884	177	85	32	46%	2.9	20.0%	9.7%	10.3%	3.6%	5.18	4.61	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Sam Benschoter (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.84	17.3%	8.0%	3.3%	—	4.98	17.7%	9.2%	128	+0.14	—	—	—
Ramon Delgado R 2016 · 4.60 FIP	29	SW	4.60	13.8%	5.9%	3.5%	.332	4.31	11.2%	7.2%	74	-0.29	4.31	135	86
Bud Norris R 2015 · 4.68 FIP	30	SW	4.68	18.8%	8.2%	3.9%	.327	3.78	24.2%	15.5%	233	-0.90	3.51	316	85
Josh Roeder R 2019 · 4.71 FIP	26	SW	4.71	15.1%	8.7%	3.3%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.71	175	82
Alfonso Sanchez R 2016 · 5.26 FIP	28	SW	5.26	15.9%	7.4%	4.7%	.244	5.55	11.2%	2.3%	115	+0.29	4.51	224	82
Casey Sadler R 2018 · 3.95 FIP	28	SW	3.95	16.0%	7.8%	2.2%	.298	3.35	23.2%	16.5%	145	-0.60	2.21	385	82
Jose Pina R 2015 · 4.90 FIP	29	SW	4.90	16.9%	9.2%	3.8%	.231	3.66	13.6%	6.9%	246	-1.24	3.63	424	81
Yoanner Negrin R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	31	SW	3.79	15.1%	7.5%	1.9%	.256	3.29	15.0%	8.5%	270	-0.50	3.15	485	80
Coleman Huntley III R 2021 · 3.85 FIP	28	SW	3.85	20.2%	7.4%	2.8%	.348	3.56	23.4%	13.2%	86	-0.29	2.38	160	80
Rodolfo Aguirre R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	30	SW	4.29	12.4%	6.9%	2.5%	.288	4.81	11.4%	1.3%	125	+0.52	3.39	212	80
Chris Leroux R 2015 · 4.20 FIP	31	SU	4.20	15.2%	8.6%	2.4%	.279	4.08	13.5%	5.5%	140	-0.12	4.08	219	78
Dennis O'Grady R 2015 · 4.95 FIP	26	SW	4.95	13.5%	11.0%	2.9%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	157	77
Donovan Hand R 2015 · 4.30 FIP	29	SW	4.30	11.1%	4.3%	2.9%	.305	4.56	12.5%	5.7%	140	+0.26	4.30	237	77
Nelson Gonzalez R 2018 · 5.03 FIP	28	SW	5.03	19.2%	8.2%	4.6%	.311	6.22	16.9%	4.6%	74	+1.19	3.42	258	77
Lisalverto Bonilla R 2017 · 4.61 FIP	27	SW	4.61	18.2%	10.5%	3.1%	.304	4.70	15.8%	3.2%	11	+0.09	3.22	221	77
Tristan Stevens R 2023 · 4.14 FIP	25	SW	4.14	17.3%	8.2%	2.7%	.411	3.68	15.0%	7.7%	91	-0.46	3.68	126	76
David Martinez R 2016 · 4.58 FIP	28	SW	4.58	14.9%	5.5%	3.7%	.368	4.88	15.0%	6.8%	136	+0.30	3.92	297	73
Christian Bergman R 2016 · 4.74 FIP	28	SW	4.74	15.3%	5.6%	4.0%	.309	4.62	15.0%	9.1%	322	-0.12	3.99	467	73
Chris Kachmar R 2023 · 4.82 FIP	26	SW	4.82	20.5%	7.8%	4.5%	.319	4.67	18.2%	7.1%	248	-0.15	4.29	360	73
Mike Connolly R 2018 · 5.13 FIP	26	SW	5.13	13.2%	9.4%	3.5%	.321	—	—	—	—	—	3.94	328	73
Tanner Roark R 2015 · 4.46 FIP	28	SW	4.46	15.0%	4.9%	3.6%	.286	3.78	20.2%	12.9%	572	-0.68	3.13	942	72

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	66	17.6%	8.3%	1.32	4.88
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79