Nick Frasso P Oklahoma City Comets
Age 27 RHP 6'5" / 200 lbs AAA ILReassigned to Minors (RM)
2026 ROS PROJECTION24 act + 47 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 141132vR 123
ERA5.44
FIP5.44
K%16.7%
BB%13.3%
K-BB%3.4%
ROS IP47
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 71 IP
K: +0.2 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+0KBB: -4.2 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-4BBCONTACT: -1.3 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-1CONTACTSTAM: +4.8 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+5STAMTotal WAR: -0.06 (71 IP)-0.1WAR
-0.2-0.3-0.3-0.4262829
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF4040
CTRL4040
CMD4040
K†4040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202122ADunedin Blue Jays3252182067%1.738.1%9.5%28.6%0.0%0.001.09
202122ADunedin Blue Jays3252182067%1.738.1%9.5%28.6%0.0%0.001.10
202223MIX3 levels16165421276172100%3.427.2%9.2%18.0%1.1%1.832.60
202223MIX3 levels16165421276172100%3.435.8%8.0%27.8%0.9%1.831.71
202324MIX2 levels252593399107314100%3.721.9%8.5%13.5%1.0%3.772.88
202324MIX2 levels252593399107314100%3.726.8%7.8%19.0%1.0%3.772.36
202526AAAOklahoma City Comets4377734668421016%1.817.3%12.7%4.5%3.5%5.495.17
202526AAAOklahoma City Comets4377734668421016%1.819.7%12.1%7.5%2.9%5.494.66
▸ 2026 Season
202627AAAOklahoma City Comets20124111381725%1.230.1%16.1%14.0%2.0%4.943.68+0.2
ROS27MLBLAD45047198332660%1.016.7%13.3%3.4%3.1%5.445.44-0.5
ROS27MLBLAD1801980131120%1.116.7%13.3%3.4%3.1%5.445.44-0.2
2026 TOT27MLBLAD713097143823.0%14.0%9.0%2.6%5.274.85-0.1
2026 FULL27MLBLAD19791311216.7%13.3%3.4%3.1%5.445.06-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202728MLBLAD65068287503790%1.017.3%13.1%4.2%3.2%5.385.42-0.6
202829MLBLAD62065274483690%1.017.5%13.0%4.5%3.3%5.405.46-0.6
202930MLBLAD58061257453490%1.117.4%13.1%4.3%3.5%5.495.58-0.7
202728MLBLAD39041173302350%1.117.3%13.1%4.2%3.2%5.385.42-0.4
202829MLBLAD44046194342560%1.017.5%13.0%4.5%3.3%5.405.46-0.5
202930MLBLAD46048203352770%1.017.4%13.1%4.3%3.5%5.495.58-0.6
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career148015565411386220%1.017.3%13.1%4.2%3.3%5.435.11+0.5
/ 200 IP1900200844146111280%1.117.3%13.1%4.2%3.3%5.435.11+0.7
Career1075125310892471172148%2.422.6%10.8%11.9%1.9%3.923.60+5.3
/ 200 IP8540200862195931648%2.422.6%10.8%11.9%1.9%3.923.60+4.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Nick Frasso (OGILVIE) 5.44 16.7%13.3%3.1% 5.48 17.4%4.3%194 +0.04
Grant Black R 2026 · 4.49 FIP 27 SW 4.49 19.0%13.9%2.2%.327 5.46 15.2%3.1%156 +0.97 4.49 215 86
Paul Clemens R 2026 · 5.36 FIP 27 SP- 5.36 14.3%14.1%3.1%.310 4.76 16.9%7.3%200 -0.60 4.76 247 80
Luis Mateo R 2026 · 4.33 FIP 27 SU 4.33 17.6%11.2%2.4%.309 5.34 8.6%-4.8%43 +1.01 3.43 160 78
Dustin Antolin R 2026 · 4.36 FIP 27 SW 4.36 16.2%14.4%1.5%.368 2.90 159 78
Alex Caldera R 2028 · 5.56 FIP 29 SW 5.56 10.4%13.1%3.1%.333 4.61 11.9%0.8%84 -0.95 4.61 120 78
Julian Arballo R 2026 · 5.47 FIP 27 SU 5.47 15.1%13.8%3.5%.335 4.38 12.6%0.6%116 -1.09 4.28 214 78
Colby Morris R 2024 · 5.76 FIP 25 SW 5.76 16.2%11.8%4.6%.268 4.23 105 78
Dennis O'Grady R 2025 · 5.19 FIP 26 SW 5.19 13.5%11.0%3.4%.339 3.79 157 77
Mike Adams R 2026 · 5.26 FIP 27 SU 5.26 17.1%11.2%4.0%.326 3.66 109 77
Fernando Cruz R 2024 · 5.41 FIP 25 SU 5.41 15.6%12.2%3.8%.284 2.52 356 77
Stephen Johnson R 2024 · 5.44 FIP 25 SU 5.44 16.7%12.7%3.9%.268 3.10 141 76
Logan Taylor R 2025 · 4.78 FIP 26 SU 4.78 17.2%12.1%2.9%.316 3.49 300 76
Taylor Grover R 2025 · 4.89 FIP 26 SW 4.89 20.0%10.9%3.8%.320 4.92 16.2%8.9%14 +0.03 3.63 239 76
Jorge Reyes R 2026 · 5.25 FIP 27 SW 5.25 15.9%8.5%4.4%.307 3.44 14.2%6.2%129 -1.81 3.32 227 75
Alfonso Sanchez R 2026 · 4.81 FIP 27 SP- 4.81 12.5%9.1%2.9%.346 4.97 14.0%5.3%138 +0.16 4.54 224 74
Chris Beck R 2026 · 4.83 FIP 27 SU 4.83 17.4%12.2%3.0%.305 5.33 18.1%9.3%41 +0.50 3.11 313 74
Josh Roeder R 2025 · 4.75 FIP 26 SW 4.75 15.1%8.7%3.3%.264 4.75 175 73
Cesar Gomez R 2026 · 5.27 FIP 27 SW 5.27 14.2%9.1%4.1%.316 3.97 345 73
Chris Jefferson R 2026 · 5.37 FIP 27 SU 5.37 16.4%13.6%3.5%.308 3.74 140 73
Clate Schmidt R 2024 · 5.61 FIP 25 SU 5.61 13.5%13.9%3.4%.290 3.58 160 73

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION46017.3%13.1%1.275.42
Roansy Contreras ('24)37719.5%10.1%1.364.78
Jorge De La Rosa ('18)49819.5%10.3%1.224.52
Travis Wood ('17)38520.8%9.8%1.344.72
Amir Garrett ('23)65125.8%13.4%1.505.10
Steven Brault ('21)65718.8%11.3%1.004.77
José Ruiz ('24)55222.2%10.4%1.414.41