Daniel Robert — OGILVIE

Daniel Robert P Lehigh Valley IronPigs

Age 31 RHP 6'4" / 210 lbs AAA peak 0.3 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 110102vR 94

ERA4.11

FIP4.05

K%23.9%

BB%9.5%

K-BB%14.5%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p7496.2

Whiff%

p8530.8%

p6725.4%

xwOBA vs

p430.320

CT+0.8 (26%)

SI (9%)

FB-0.6 (33%)

SL-0.8 (42%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	24	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	4	0	9	34	13	3	1	0%	2.2	38.2%	8.8%	29.4%	2.9%	3.12	2.60	—
2019	24	A RAW	Hickory Crawdads	4	0	9	34	13	3	1	0%	2.2	38.2%	8.8%	29.4%	2.9%	3.12	2.64	—
2021	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	16	0	23	90	42	5	3	0%	1.4	37.5%	4.9%	32.6%	3.2%	2.78	2.32	—
2021	26	MIX RAW	3 levels	16	0	23	90	42	5	3	0%	1.4	46.7%	5.6%	41.1%	3.3%	2.78	1.78	—
2022	27	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	37	0	39	174	48	27	3	0%	1.0	24.3%	16.3%	8.0%	2.0%	6.28	4.20	—
2022	27	AAA RAW	Round Rock Express	37	0	39	174	48	27	3	0%	1.0	27.6%	15.5%	12.1%	1.7%	6.28	3.72	—
2023	28	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	28	2	43	193	51	23	3	7%	1.5	21.9%	10.7%	11.2%	1.7%	4.40	3.51	—
2023	28	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	28	2	43	193	51	23	3	7%	1.5	21.9%	10.7%	11.2%	1.7%	4.40	3.51	—
2023	28	AAA RAW	Round Rock Express	28	2	43	193	51	23	3	7%	1.5	26.4%	11.9%	14.5%	1.6%	4.40	3.24	—
2024	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	0	49	194	58	15	4	0%	1.3	25.7%	7.0%	18.7%	2.1%	2.76	2.98	+0.9
2024	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	0	49	194	58	15	4	0%	1.3	25.7%	7.0%	18.7%	2.1%	2.76	2.98	+0.9
2024	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	39	0	49	194	58	15	4	0%	1.3	29.9%	7.7%	22.2%	2.1%	2.76	2.71	+1.1
2025	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	43	0	43	191	51	19	3	0%	1.0	23.5%	9.5%	14.0%	1.6%	3.12	3.19	+0.7
2025	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	43	0	43	191	51	19	3	0%	1.0	23.5%	9.5%	14.0%	1.6%	3.12	3.19	+0.7
2025	30	MIX RAW	2 levels	43	0	43	191	51	19	3	0%	1.0	26.7%	9.9%	16.8%	1.6%	3.12	2.96	+0.8
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			19	0	19	85	21	12	3	0%	1.0	24.7%	14.1%	10.6%	3.5%	3.86	4.87	-0.1
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	31	MLB	PHI	2	0	2	8	2	1	0	0%	1.0	23.9%	9.5%	14.5%	2.5%	4.11	4.05	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	32	MLB MLE	PHI	21	0	22	94	22	9	3	0%	1.1	23.1%	9.9%	13.2%	2.8%	4.25	4.33	+0.1
2027	32	MLB CTX	PHI	8	0	8	34	8	3	1	0%	1.0	23.1%	9.9%	13.2%	2.8%	4.25	4.33	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		27	0	27	119	29	15	4	0%	1.0	24.2%	12.9%	11.4%	3.3%	3.98	4.51	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		200	0	200	891	216	112	30	0%	1.0	24.2%	12.9%	11.4%	3.3%	3.98	4.51	+0.1
Career	—	MLE		167	2	205	876	226	88	18	1%	1.2	25.8%	10.1%	15.7%	2.0%	3.86	3.30	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		163	2	200	853	220	86	17	1%	1.2	25.8%	10.1%	15.7%	2.0%	3.86	3.30	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Daniel Robert (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.05	23.9%	9.5%	2.5%	—	4.33	23.1%	13.2%	22	+0.28	—	—	—
Fernando Nieve R 2015 · 4.27 FIP	33	SU	4.27	22.0%	10.5%	3.1%	.290	2.43	26.9%	22.6%	89	-1.84	1.96	112	82
Chris Hatcher R 2016 · 4.61 FIP	31	SU	4.61	23.8%	9.4%	4.2%	.283	4.69	22.0%	13.8%	96	+0.08	2.92	176	80
Ryan Cook R 2018 · 3.96 FIP	31	SU	3.96	25.1%	10.8%	2.9%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	102	79
Jonathan Broxton R 2015 · 3.67 FIP	31	SU	3.67	24.5%	8.2%	2.9%	.325	3.89	21.7%	13.5%	76	+0.22	3.67	137	78
Mike Broadway R 2018 · 4.65 FIP	31	SU	4.65	23.0%	10.6%	3.9%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	1.74	195	78
Ross Ohlendorf R 2015 · 3.30 FIP	32	SU	3.30	23.7%	7.2%	2.3%	.342	4.93	23.4%	12.7%	66	+1.63	3.30	122	77
Tom Wilhelmsen R 2015 · 3.07 FIP	31	SU	3.07	22.5%	9.7%	1.1%	.298	5.78	13.8%	4.1%	86	+2.71	3.07	148	77
Brian Schlitter R 2016 · 3.28 FIP	30	SU	3.28	20.6%	10.8%	1.0%	.333	3.81	14.4%	6.6%	110	+0.53	3.28	244	75
Carlos Fisher R 2015 · 3.45 FIP	32	SU	3.45	22.6%	11.6%	1.4%	.236	3.17	22.5%	11.1%	91	-0.28	2.48	147	75
David Robertson R 2016 · 3.27 FIP	31	SU	3.27	28.1%	10.5%	2.2%	.297	2.39	34.6%	26.8%	138	-0.88	2.00	494	74
Matt Bush R 2017 · 3.60 FIP	31	SU	3.60	24.2%	7.9%	2.8%	.321	4.72	17.6%	4.6%	23	+1.12	2.87	249	74
Mark Serrano R 2017 · 3.56 FIP	31	SU	3.56	21.9%	6.4%	2.7%	.240	5.25	20.2%	12.3%	42	+1.69	3.16	120	74
Blake Wood R 2017 · 3.44 FIP	31	SU	3.44	25.3%	9.3%	2.4%	.364	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	210	73
Daniel Hudson R 2018 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	22.3%	8.6%	2.9%	.246	3.69	28.8%	20.4%	145	-0.22	1.68	468	73
Kevin Jepsen R 2015 · 3.47 FIP	31	SU	3.47	20.7%	9.1%	1.8%	.241	5.85	16.9%	7.2%	90	+2.38	3.47	160	73
Ryan Brasier R 2019 · 4.12 FIP	31	SU	4.12	25.3%	8.3%	3.8%	.278	3.56	24.3%	18.2%	99	-0.56	2.31	426	73
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2015 · 3.34 FIP	31	SU	3.34	26.5%	9.6%	2.3%	.241	3.89	23.3%	13.2%	105	+0.55	3.34	212	73
Spencer Patton R 2021 · 3.04 FIP	33	SU	3.04	27.9%	8.7%	2.2%	.305	5.01	20.8%	10.0%	88	+1.97	2.79	239	72
Jon Edwards R 2019 · 4.43 FIP	31	SU	4.43	25.1%	11.6%	3.6%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	2.40	132	72
Andrew Robinson R 2017 · 4.32 FIP	29	SU	4.32	23.4%	8.8%	3.8%	.245	—	—	—	—	—	3.19	160	72