Daniel Robert
P
Lehigh Valley IronPigs
Age 31
RHP
6'4" / 210 lbs
AAA
peak 0.3 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 24 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 111102vR 93
ERA4.11
FIP4.05
K%24.9%
BB%10.0%
K-BB%15.0%
ROS IP24
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 24 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p7496.2
Whiff%
p8530.8%
K%
p6725.4%
xwOBA vs
p430.320
CT+0.8 (26%)
SI (9%)
FB-0.6 (33%)
SL-0.8 (42%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 24 | A | Hickory Crawdads | 4 | 0 | 9 | 34 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 2.2 | 38.2% | 8.8% | 29.4% | 2.9% | 3.12 | 2.60 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | A | Hickory Crawdads | 4 | 0 | 9 | 34 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 2.2 | 38.2% | 8.8% | 29.4% | 2.9% | 3.12 | 2.64 | — |
| 2021 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 16 | 0 | 23 | 90 | 42 | 5 | 3 | 0% | 1.4 | 37.5% | 4.9% | 32.6% | 2.9% | 2.78 | 2.16 | — |
| 2021 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 16 | 0 | 23 | 90 | 42 | 5 | 3 | 0% | 1.4 | 46.7% | 5.6% | 41.1% | 3.3% | 2.78 | 1.78 | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA | Round Rock Express | 37 | 0 | 39 | 174 | 48 | 27 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.3% | 16.3% | 8.0% | 2.1% | 6.28 | 4.25 | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA | Round Rock Express | 37 | 0 | 39 | 174 | 48 | 27 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.6% | 15.5% | 12.1% | 1.7% | 6.28 | 3.72 | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AAA | Round Rock Express | 28 | 2 | 43 | 193 | 51 | 23 | 3 | 7% | 1.5 | 23.3% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 1.6% | 4.40 | 3.60 | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AAA | Round Rock Express | 28 | 2 | 43 | 193 | 51 | 23 | 3 | 7% | 1.5 | 26.4% | 11.9% | 14.5% | 1.6% | 4.40 | 3.24 | — |
| 2024 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 39 | 0 | 49 | 194 | 58 | 15 | 4 | 0% | 1.3 | 27.2% | 8.1% | 19.1% | 2.3% | 2.76 | 3.09 | +0.8 |
| 2024 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 39 | 0 | 49 | 194 | 58 | 15 | 4 | 0% | 1.3 | 29.9% | 7.7% | 22.2% | 2.1% | 2.76 | 2.71 | +1.1 |
| 2025 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 0 | 43 | 191 | 51 | 19 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.4% | 10.2% | 14.3% | 1.7% | 3.12 | 3.23 | +0.7 |
| 2025 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 0 | 43 | 191 | 51 | 19 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.7% | 9.9% | 16.8% | 1.6% | 3.12 | 2.96 | +0.8 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | MLB | PHI | 23 | 0 | 24 | 101 | 25 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.9% | 10.0% | 15.0% | 2.6% | 4.11 | 4.05 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | PHI | 21 | 0 | 22 | 94 | 22 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.0% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 2.9% | 4.25 | 4.33 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | PHI | 8 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.0% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 2.9% | 4.25 | 4.33 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 27 | 0 | 27 | 119 | 29 | 16 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.5% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 3.3% | 3.98 | 4.51 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 200 | 0 | 200 | 891 | 216 | 119 | 30 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.5% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 3.3% | 3.98 | 4.51 | +2.1 | ||
| Career | — | 167 | 2 | 205 | 876 | 233 | 95 | 18 | 1% | 1.2 | 26.6% | 10.9% | 15.8% | 2.0% | 3.86 | 3.35 | +4.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 163 | 2 | 200 | 853 | 227 | 93 | 17 | 1% | 1.2 | 26.6% | 10.9% | 15.8% | 2.0% | 3.86 | 3.35 | +4.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Daniel Robert (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.05 | 24.9% | 10.0% | 2.6% | — | 4.33 | 24.0% | 13.7% | 22 | +0.28 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Nieve R 2028 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 81 |
| Daniel Hudson R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.08 | 22.3% | 8.6% | 3.2% | .246 | 3.76 | 28.8% | 20.4% | 145 | -0.32 | 1.74 | 468 | 79 |
| Ryan Cook R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 102 | 79 |
| Mike Broadway R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.56 | 23.0% | 10.6% | 3.7% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.74 | 195 | 79 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2026 · 3.57 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.57 | 24.5% | 8.2% | 2.7% | .325 | 3.78 | 21.7% | 13.5% | 76 | +0.21 | 3.57 | 137 | 78 |
| Chris Hatcher R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.85 | 23.8% | 9.4% | 4.7% | .283 | 4.58 | 22.0% | 13.8% | 96 | -0.27 | 3.05 | 176 | 77 |
| Tom Wilhelmsen R 2026 · 3.09 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.09 | 22.5% | 9.7% | 1.2% | .298 | 5.84 | 13.8% | 4.1% | 86 | +2.75 | 3.09 | 148 | 77 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2027 · 3.26 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.26 | 23.7% | 7.2% | 2.3% | .342 | 4.99 | 23.4% | 12.7% | 66 | +1.73 | 3.26 | 122 | 77 |
| David Robertson R 2026 · 3.25 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.25 | 28.1% | 10.5% | 2.2% | .297 | 2.38 | 34.6% | 26.8% | 138 | -0.87 | 1.99 | 494 | 76 |
| Joe Kelly R 2026 · 3.45 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.45 | 27.4% | 8.8% | 2.8% | .312 | 2.75 | 29.2% | 18.8% | 81 | -0.70 | 2.48 | 556 | 74 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2027 · 3.44 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.44 | 22.6% | 11.6% | 1.4% | .236 | 3.25 | 22.5% | 11.1% | 91 | -0.19 | 2.56 | 147 | 74 |
| Matt Bush R 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.62 | 24.2% | 7.9% | 2.9% | .321 | 4.74 | 17.6% | 4.6% | 23 | +1.12 | 2.86 | 249 | 74 |
| Blake Wood R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.52 | 25.3% | 9.3% | 2.5% | .364 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.05 | 210 | 74 |
| Brad Brach R 2026 · 3.40 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.40 | 25.5% | 9.1% | 2.4% | .254 | 3.69 | 22.8% | 11.1% | 129 | +0.29 | 2.73 | 410 | 74 |
| Spencer Patton R 2028 · 3.09 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.09 | 27.9% | 8.7% | 2.3% | .305 | 5.10 | 21.4% | 9.7% | 88 | +2.01 | 2.74 | 239 | 73 |
| Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2026 · 3.41 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.41 | 26.5% | 9.6% | 2.4% | .241 | 3.66 | 23.3% | 13.2% | 105 | +0.25 | 3.41 | 212 | 73 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.3% | 8.3% | 3.7% | .278 | 3.50 | 24.3% | 18.2% | 99 | -0.54 | 2.27 | 426 | 73 |
| Brian Schlitter R 2025 · 3.20 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.20 | 20.6% | 10.8% | 0.9% | .333 | 3.74 | 14.4% | 6.6% | 110 | +0.54 | 3.20 | 244 | 73 |
| Jon Edwards R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.46 | 25.1% | 11.6% | 3.7% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 132 | 73 |
| Mark Serrano R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.76 | 21.9% | 6.4% | 3.1% | .240 | 5.21 | 20.2% | 12.3% | 42 | +1.45 | 3.03 | 120 | 72 |