Ryan Brasier
P
Round Rock Express
+0.3
WAR
Age 38
RHP
6'0" / 223 lbs
AAA
peak 0.3 · 2026
ERA3.74
FIP3.91
xFIP3.66
SIERA3.74
K%21.9%
BB%6.8%
K-BB%15.1%
IP21
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2026
STUF4040
CTRL6565
CMD5555
K†5555
FB Velo
p4394.0
Whiff%
p1820.8%
K%
p2819.0%
xwOBA vs
p260.340
FB+4.0 (52%)
CT+0.8 (13%)
SI (17%)
SL-3.1 (35%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 27 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | 6 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 0 | — | — | — | 2.57 | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | 46 | 0 | 61 | 246 | 70 | 18 | 6 | 25.0% | 7.7% | 3.1% | 3.56 | 3.68 | +0.9 |
| 2018 | 30 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | 68 | 0 | 74 | 275 | 69 | 13 | 3 | 23.3% | 4.8% | 1.0% | 1.46 | 2.31 | +2.3 |
| 2019 | 31 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | 72 | 0 | 65 | 277 | 74 | 21 | 10 | 25.3% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 4.29 | 4.09 | +0.7 |
| 2020 | 32 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | 25 | 1 | 25 | 110 | 30 | 10 | 2 | 27.3% | 9.1% | 2.0% | 3.96 | 3.04 | +0.5 |
| 2021 | 33 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | 21 | 0 | 20 | 85 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 18.0% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 5.49 | 4.83 | +0.0 |
| 2022 | 34 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | 70 | 0 | 64 | 269 | 67 | 12 | 9 | 24.3% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 5.60 | 3.47 | +1.1 |
| 2023 | 35 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 61 | 0 | 63 | 247 | 61 | 18 | 3 | 23.5% | 7.6% | 1.2% | 2.87 | 2.74 | +1.6 |
| 2024 | 36 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 37 | 4 | 36 | 139 | 37 | 6 | 3 | 22.7% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.75 | 3.19 | +0.7 |
| 2025 | 37 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 38 | 1 | 35 | 143 | 27 | 10 | 3 | 19.0% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 4.67 | 3.18 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 38 | AAA | Round Rock Express | 6 | 0 | 7 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | 6.75 | — | — |
| ROS | 38 | MLB | TEX | 21 | — | 21 | 89 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 22.2% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 3.71 | 3.85 | +0.3 |
| 2026 Total | 38 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 28 | 118 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 20.1% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 4.44 | 2.92 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 39 | MLB | TEX | 20 | — | 20 | 84 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 21.3% | 6.8% | 2.7% | 3.91 | 4.04 | +0.2 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 450 | 7 | 456 | 1847 | 435 | 118 | 46 | 23.5% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 3.67 | 3.30 | +10.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 198 | 3 | 200 | 811 | 191 | 52 | 20 | 23.5% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 3.67 | 3.30 | +4.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ryan Brasier (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.85 | 22.2% | 6.5% | 2.6% | — | 4.04 | 21.3% | 14.5% | 20 | +0.19 | — | — | — |
| Ryan Madson R 2025 · 3.47 FIP | 37 | SW | 3.47 | 23.4% | 6.1% | 2.9% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.43 | 240 | 79 |
| Fernando Rodney R 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 38 | SW | 4.17 | 20.9% | 9.4% | 3.0% | .272 | 3.38 | 26.2% | 15.2% | 185 | -0.79 | 2.67 | 295 | 75 |
| Joaquín Benoit R 2026 · 3.55 FIP | 38 | SW | 3.55 | 24.8% | 8.7% | 2.6% | .179 | 4.12 | 23.5% | 12.9% | 98 | +0.57 | 3.55 | 164 | 73 |
| Logan Ondrusek R 2024 · 4.34 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.34 | 19.2% | 7.3% | 3.5% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.34 | 138 | 71 |
| Rudy Gonzalez R 2024 · 4.65 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.65 | 15.8% | 7.1% | 3.6% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.32 | 119 | 69 |
| Ronald Belisario R 2024 · 4.18 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.18 | 12.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.10 | 126 | 67 |
| Erubiel Gonzalez R 2026 · 3.48 FIP | 38 | SU | 3.48 | 13.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | .388 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.00 | 119 | 64 |
| Manny Acosta R 2026 · 3.07 FIP | 38 | SU | 3.07 | 23.2% | 13.3% | 0.4% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.07 | 102 | 64 |
| Peter Moylan R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 38 | SW | 3.58 | 18.9% | 9.1% | 1.7% | .211 | 4.94 | 17.8% | 6.2% | 28 | +1.36 | 3.11 | 174 | 64 |
| Ervin Santana R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 38 | SW | 4.32 | 18.8% | 7.6% | 3.4% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.75 | 720 | 64 |
| Matt Belisle R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 38 | SU | 4.33 | 15.4% | 6.2% | 3.2% | .355 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.49 | 174 | 63 |
| Joe Blanton R 2024 · 5.01 FIP | 36 | SU | 5.01 | 20.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | .319 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.12 | 240 | 62 |
| Hector Navarro R 2025 · 3.47 FIP | 37 | SU | 3.47 | 11.5% | 5.6% | 1.1% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 126 | 61 |
| Logan Duran R 2025 · 3.65 FIP | 37 | SU | 3.65 | 15.5% | 8.9% | 1.3% | .427 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 187 | 60 |
| Lorenzo Barcelo R 2026 · 3.38 FIP | 38 | SU | 3.38 | 12.8% | 1.1% | 2.2% | .329 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.18 | 199 | 57 |
| Zack Segovia R 2024 · 4.52 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.52 | 17.6% | 13.6% | 2.2% | .353 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.37 | 144 | 57 |
| Luis Ayala R 2026 · 3.01 FIP | 38 | SU | 3.01 | 10.9% | 4.5% | 0.5% | .320 | 3.97 | 15.9% | 4.2% | 14 | +0.96 | 3.01 | 119 | 56 |
| Tony Pena Jr. R 2024 · 3.43 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.43 | 10.9% | 4.3% | 1.3% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.80 | 128 | 55 |
| Kyle Lohse R 2025 · 5.01 FIP | 37 | SW | 5.01 | 14.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.01 | 211 | 55 |
| Chien-Ming Wang R 2024 · 4.56 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.56 | 13.0% | 7.8% | 2.9% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.26 | 183 | 55 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.