Nick Wittgren
P
St. Paul Saints
+0.1
WAR
Age 35
RHP
6'2" / 215 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2026
ERA4.80
FIP4.69
xFIP5.46
SIERA5.05
K%20.8%
BB%8.1%
K-BB%12.7%
IP48
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2026
STUF4545
CTRL5555
CMD4545
K†4545
FB Velo
p1592.0
Whiff%
p1015.4%
K%
p1014.1%
xwOBA vs
p340.330
SL+1.4
CT+0.7
FB-0.6
CH-3.3
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 24 | AAA | New Orleans Zephyrs | 53 | 0 | 64 | 256 | 67 | 8 | 6 | 22.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.95 | 3.10 | +1.4 |
| 2016 | 25 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 58 | 0 | 64 | 259 | 53 | 12 | 7 | 19.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.80 | 3.53 | +1.1 |
| 2017 | 26 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 43 | 0 | 47 | 201 | 49 | 12 | 5 | 23.6% | 6.6% | 2.7% | 4.18 | 3.43 | +0.8 |
| 2018 | 27 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 59 | 0 | 64 | 288 | 66 | 19 | 7 | 21.8% | 6.9% | 2.0% | 4.20 | 3.26 | +1.3 |
| 2019 | 28 | MLB | Cleveland Indians | 57 | 0 | 60 | 244 | 64 | 16 | 10 | 26.0% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.85 | 4.09 | +0.6 |
| 2020 | 29 | MLB | Cleveland Indians | 25 | 0 | 24 | 98 | 28 | 4 | 4 | 28.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.42 | 3.48 | +0.4 |
| 2021 | 30 | MLB | Cleveland Indians | 60 | 1 | 62 | 258 | 61 | 12 | 13 | 23.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.05 | 4.33 | +0.5 |
| 2022 | 31 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 29 | 0 | 29 | 134 | 17 | 10 | 1 | 12.7% | 7.5% | 0.7% | 5.90 | 3.36 | +0.5 |
| 2023 | 32 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 56 | 0 | 64 | 275 | 47 | 25 | 6 | 15.8% | 9.3% | 2.1% | 4.34 | 4.11 | +0.6 |
| 2024 | 33 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | 40 | 3 | 60 | 262 | 52 | 14 | 15 | 18.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.58 | 5.79 | -0.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 35 | MLB | MIN | 48 | — | 48 | 202 | 39 | 16 | 7 | 19.1% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 4.89 | 4.83 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 36 | MLB | MIN | 45 | — | 45 | 189 | 35 | 16 | 7 | 18.3% | 8.3% | 3.6% | 4.95 | 4.99 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 480 | 4 | 539 | 2275 | 480 | 132 | 77 | 21.1% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 4.06 | 3.91 | +8.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 178 | 1 | 200 | 844 | 178 | 49 | 29 | 21.1% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 4.06 | 3.91 | +3.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Nick Wittgren (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.83 | 19.1% | 8.1% | 3.5% | — | 4.99 | 18.3% | 9.9% | 45 | +0.16 | — | — | — |
| Jim Johnson R 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.52 | 16.8% | 7.8% | 3.4% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.57 | 251 | 79 |
| Josh Lueke R 2025 · 4.14 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.14 | 20.4% | 6.4% | 3.6% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.32 | 107 | 79 |
| Jean Machi R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.11 | 18.6% | 6.6% | 3.2% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.11 | 186 | 79 |
| Hector Navarro R 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.37 | 15.0% | 5.4% | 3.4% | .281 | 2.96 | 15.2% | 9.0% | 81 | -1.41 | 2.30 | 126 | 78 |
| Mark Serrano R 2024 · 5.25 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.25 | 20.2% | 7.9% | 5.2% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 120 | 78 |
| Mark Lowe R 2025 · 5.01 FIP | 34 | SU | 5.01 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 3.7% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 153 | 78 |
| Wade Davis R 2026 · 5.06 FIP | 35 | SU | 5.06 | 20.0% | 10.0% | 4.3% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.00 | 320 | 78 |
| Manny Acosta R 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.09 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.5% | .273 | 3.07 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -1.02 | 3.07 | 102 | 78 |
| Brian Schlitter R 2026 · 4.71 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.71 | 14.9% | 9.1% | 3.1% | .318 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.31 | 244 | 77 |
| Jesse Chavez R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.04 | 21.4% | 6.5% | 3.5% | .303 | 3.25 | 25.5% | 17.9% | 140 | -0.79 | 2.03 | 804 | 77 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2025 · 4.09 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.09 | 15.0% | 6.4% | 2.6% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.80 | 132 | 76 |
| Fernando Rodney R 2029 · 4.17 FIP | 38 | SW | 4.17 | 20.9% | 9.4% | 3.0% | .272 | 3.38 | 26.2% | 15.2% | 185 | -0.79 | 2.67 | 295 | 76 |
| Ryan Madson R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.98 | 18.1% | 6.3% | 2.9% | .284 | 2.39 | 27.2% | 22.6% | 112 | -1.59 | 1.43 | 240 | 75 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.45 | 19.4% | 6.7% | 3.9% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 208 | 75 |
| Francisco Del Rosario R 2027 · 4.12 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.12 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 2.1% | .267 | 6.46 | 11.9% | -0.6% | 77 | +2.34 | 4.12 | 145 | 73 |
| Brandon McCarthy R 2026 · 4.94 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.94 | 19.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | .332 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.15 | 248 | 73 |
| Casey Fien R 2024 · 4.87 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.87 | 15.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | .330 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 136 | 72 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2024 · 4.98 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.98 | 23.4% | 10.7% | 4.6% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 122 | 71 |
| Felipe Paulino R 2026 · 5.83 FIP | 35 | SU | 5.83 | 19.2% | 9.4% | 5.8% | .385 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.52 | 150 | 71 |
| Merrill Kelly R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.14 | 21.0% | 6.3% | 3.7% | .271 | 3.76 | 22.3% | 15.9% | 184 | -0.38 | 3.61 | 1,008 | 71 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.