Nick Wittgren
P
St. Paul Saints
Age 35
RHP
6'2" / 215 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 56 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129120vR 110
ERA4.67
FIP4.86
K%17.2%
BB%7.3%
K-BB%9.9%
ROS IP56
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 56 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1592.0
Whiff%
p1015.4%
K%
p1014.1%
xwOBA vs
p340.330
SL+1.4
CT+0.7
FB-0.6
CH-3.3
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 53 | 0 | 64 | 256 | 67 | 8 | 6 | 0% | 1.2 | 22.4% | 3.3% | 19.1% | 2.8% | 2.95 | 3.15 | — |
| 2015 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 53 | 0 | 64 | 256 | 67 | 8 | 6 | 0% | 1.2 | 26.2% | 3.1% | 23.0% | 2.3% | 2.95 | 2.60 | — |
| 2016 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 58 | 0 | 64 | 259 | 53 | 12 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.7% | 3.8% | 16.0% | 3.0% | 2.80 | 3.55 | +0.8 |
| 2016 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 58 | 0 | 64 | 259 | 53 | 12 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.5% | 4.6% | 15.8% | 2.7% | 2.80 | 3.43 | +0.9 |
| 2017 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 0 | 47 | 201 | 49 | 12 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.6% | 6.6% | 17.0% | 2.9% | 4.18 | 3.54 | +0.6 |
| 2017 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 0 | 47 | 201 | 49 | 12 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.4% | 6.0% | 18.4% | 2.5% | 4.18 | 3.16 | +0.8 |
| 2018 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 59 | 0 | 64 | 288 | 66 | 19 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.8% | 6.9% | 14.8% | 2.1% | 4.20 | 3.30 | +1.0 |
| 2018 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 59 | 0 | 64 | 288 | 66 | 19 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 6.6% | 16.3% | 2.4% | 4.20 | 3.35 | +1.0 |
| 2019 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 57 | 0 | 60 | 244 | 64 | 16 | 10 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.0% | 6.1% | 19.9% | 4.4% | 2.85 | 4.06 | +0.3 |
| 2019 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 57 | 0 | 60 | 244 | 64 | 16 | 10 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.2% | 6.6% | 19.7% | 4.1% | 2.85 | 3.93 | +0.4 |
| 2020 | 29 | MLB | Cleveland Indians | 25 | 0 | 24 | 98 | 28 | 4 | 4 | 0% | 0.9 | 28.6% | 4.1% | 24.5% | 4.1% | 3.42 | 3.46 | +0.3 |
| 2020 | 29 | MLB | Cleveland Indians | 25 | 0 | 24 | 98 | 28 | 4 | 4 | 0% | 0.9 | 28.6% | 4.1% | 24.5% | 4.1% | 3.42 | 3.44 | +0.3 |
| 2021 | 30 | MLB | Cleveland Indians | 60 | 1 | 62 | 258 | 61 | 12 | 13 | 2% | 1.0 | 23.6% | 4.7% | 19.0% | 5.1% | 5.05 | 4.47 | +0.1 |
| 2021 | 30 | MLB | Cleveland Indians | 60 | 1 | 62 | 258 | 61 | 12 | 13 | 2% | 1.0 | 23.6% | 4.7% | 19.0% | 5.0% | 5.05 | 4.43 | +0.1 |
| 2022 | 31 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 29 | 0 | 29 | 134 | 17 | 10 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 12.7% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 0.8% | 5.90 | 3.39 | +0.4 |
| 2022 | 31 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 29 | 0 | 29 | 134 | 17 | 10 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 12.7% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 0.7% | 5.90 | 3.41 | +0.4 |
| 2023 | 32 | MIX | 2 levels | 56 | 0 | 64 | 275 | 47 | 25 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.8% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 2.0% | 4.34 | 4.04 | +0.5 |
| 2023 | 32 | MIX | 2 levels | 56 | 0 | 64 | 275 | 47 | 25 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.1% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 2.2% | 4.34 | 4.02 | +0.5 |
| 2024 | 33 | MIX | 2 levels | 40 | 3 | 60 | 262 | 52 | 14 | 15 | 8% | 1.5 | 18.5% | 5.5% | 13.0% | 6.3% | 5.58 | 5.68 | — |
| 2024 | 33 | MIX | 2 levels | 40 | 3 | 60 | 262 | 52 | 14 | 15 | 8% | 1.5 | 19.8% | 5.3% | 14.5% | 5.7% | 5.58 | 5.33 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 35 | MLB | MIN | 54 | 0 | 56 | 239 | 41 | 18 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.2% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 3.5% | 4.67 | 4.86 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 36 | MLB | MIN | 48 | 0 | 50 | 211 | 34 | 17 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 3.9% | 5.01 | 5.23 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 37 | MLB | MIN | 42 | 0 | 44 | 184 | 28 | 16 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.1% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.38 | 5.63 | -0.6 |
| 2027 | 36 | MLB | MIN | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 3.9% | 5.01 | 5.23 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 37 | MLB | MIN | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 15.1% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.38 | 5.63 | — |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 314 | 1 | 330 | 1394 | 300 | 83 | 42 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.5% | 6.0% | 15.6% | 3.0% | 4.05 | 3.69 | +6.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 191 | 1 | 200 | 845 | 182 | 50 | 25 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.5% | 6.0% | 15.6% | 3.0% | 4.05 | 3.69 | +4.0 | ||
| Career | — | 480 | 4 | 539 | 2275 | 480 | 132 | 77 | 1% | 1.1 | 21.1% | 5.8% | 15.3% | 3.4% | 4.06 | 3.92 | +9.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 178 | 1 | 200 | 844 | 178 | 49 | 29 | 1% | 1.1 | 21.1% | 5.8% | 15.3% | 3.4% | 4.06 | 3.92 | +3.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Nick Wittgren (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.86 | 17.2% | 7.3% | 3.5% | — | 5.42 | 15.7% | 7.5% | 94 | +0.56 | — | — | — |
| Jim Johnson R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.58 | 16.8% | 7.8% | 3.5% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.51 | 251 | 84 |
| Hector Navarro R 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.75 | 15.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | .281 | 2.93 | 15.2% | 9.0% | 81 | -1.82 | 2.30 | 126 | 80 |
| Manny Acosta R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.99 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .273 | 3.04 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -0.95 | 3.04 | 102 | 80 |
| Jean Machi R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.92 | 18.6% | 6.6% | 2.8% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.92 | 186 | 80 |
| Mark Lowe R 2025 · 4.79 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.79 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 3.3% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.37 | 153 | 78 |
| Ryan Madson R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.86 | 18.1% | 6.3% | 2.7% | .284 | 2.47 | 27.2% | 22.6% | 112 | -1.39 | 1.42 | 240 | 78 |
| Brian Schlitter R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.76 | 14.9% | 9.1% | 3.2% | .318 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.20 | 244 | 78 |
| Fernando Rodney R 2029 · 4.26 FIP | 38 | SU | 4.26 | 20.9% | 9.4% | 3.2% | .272 | 3.34 | 26.2% | 15.2% | 185 | -0.92 | 2.67 | 295 | 77 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.59 | 19.4% | 6.7% | 4.2% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.83 | 208 | 77 |
| Mark Serrano R 2024 · 5.21 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.21 | 20.2% | 7.9% | 5.1% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.03 | 120 | 77 |
| Francisco Del Rosario R 2027 · 4.09 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.09 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 2.0% | .267 | 6.61 | 11.9% | -0.6% | 77 | +2.52 | 4.09 | 145 | 76 |
| Josh Lueke R 2025 · 4.79 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.79 | 20.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.50 | 107 | 76 |
| Wade Davis R 2026 · 5.15 FIP | 35 | SU | 5.15 | 20.0% | 10.0% | 4.5% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.00 | 320 | 75 |
| Jesse Chavez R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.03 | 21.4% | 6.5% | 3.5% | .303 | 3.28 | 25.5% | 17.9% | 140 | -0.75 | 2.03 | 804 | 75 |
| Casey Fien R 2024 · 5.11 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.11 | 15.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | .330 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.42 | 136 | 72 |
| Jesus Adrian Castillo R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.83 | 13.1% | 7.8% | 3.4% | .319 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.23 | 173 | 72 |
| Tom Wilhelmsen R 2024 · 5.46 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.46 | 14.3% | 10.4% | 4.1% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.09 | 148 | 71 |
| Spencer Patton R 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.44 | 19.2% | 11.0% | 2.9% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.74 | 239 | 71 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2024 · 4.99 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.99 | 23.4% | 10.7% | 4.6% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 122 | 71 |
| Ivan Maldonado R 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.91 | 12.8% | 8.7% | 3.3% | .269 | 5.68 | 6.4% | -3.3% | 104 | +0.77 | 4.91 | 172 | 71 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 50 | 16.3% | 7.9% | 1.48 | 4.99 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Alex Young ('23) | 5 | 52 | 19.5% | 8.6% | 1.61 | 4.43 |
| JC Ramírez ('17) | 3 | 83 | 17.0% | 7.7% | 1.30 | 4.33 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Adam Morgan ('21) | 6 | 59 | 20.5% | 7.1% | 1.56 | 4.77 |