Nick Wittgren — OGILVIE

Nick Wittgren P St. Paul Saints

Age 35 RHP 6'2" / 215 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126118vR 109

ERA4.69

FIP4.87

K%16.6%

BB%6.8%

K-BB%9.8%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 5 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL5555

CMD4545

K†4040

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1592.0

Whiff%

p1015.4%

p1014.1%

xwOBA vs

p340.330

SL+1.4

CT+0.7

FB-0.6

CH-3.3

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	53	0	64	256	67	8	6	0%	1.2	22.4%	3.3%	19.1%	2.7%	2.95	3.11	—
2015	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	53	0	64	256	67	8	6	0%	1.2	26.2%	3.1%	23.0%	2.3%	2.95	2.60	—
2016	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	58	0	64	259	53	12	7	0%	1.1	19.7%	3.8%	16.0%	3.0%	2.80	3.54	+0.8
2016	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	58	0	64	259	53	12	7	0%	1.1	20.5%	4.6%	15.8%	2.7%	2.80	3.43	+0.9
2017	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	43	0	47	201	49	12	5	0%	1.1	23.6%	6.6%	17.0%	2.9%	4.18	3.53	+0.6
2017	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	43	0	47	201	49	12	5	0%	1.1	24.4%	6.0%	18.4%	2.5%	4.18	3.16	+0.8
2018	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	59	0	64	288	66	19	7	0%	1.1	21.8%	6.9%	14.8%	2.0%	4.20	3.25	+1.0
2018	27	MIX RAW	3 levels	59	0	64	288	66	19	7	0%	1.1	22.9%	6.6%	16.3%	2.4%	4.20	3.35	+0.9
2019	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	57	0	60	244	64	16	10	0%	1.1	26.0%	6.1%	19.9%	4.3%	2.85	4.06	+0.4
2019	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	57	0	60	244	64	16	10	0%	1.1	26.2%	6.6%	19.7%	4.1%	2.85	3.93	+0.4
2020	29	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	25	0	24	98	28	4	4	0%	0.9	28.6%	4.1%	24.5%	4.1%	3.42	3.45	+0.3
2020	29	MLB RAW	Cleveland Indians	25	0	24	98	28	4	4	0%	0.9	28.6%	4.1%	24.5%	4.1%	3.42	3.44	+0.3
2021	30	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	60	1	62	258	61	12	13	2%	1.0	23.6%	4.7%	19.0%	5.1%	5.05	4.47	+0.1
2021	30	MLB RAW	Cleveland Indians	60	1	62	258	61	12	13	2%	1.0	23.6%	4.7%	19.0%	5.0%	5.05	4.43	+0.1
2022	31	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	29	0	29	134	17	10	1	0%	1.0	12.7%	7.5%	5.2%	0.8%	5.90	3.41	+0.4
2022	31	MLB RAW	St. Louis Cardinals	29	0	29	134	17	10	1	0%	1.0	12.7%	7.5%	5.2%	0.7%	5.90	3.41	+0.4
2023	32	MIX MLE	2 levels	56	0	64	275	47	25	6	0%	1.1	15.3%	8.6%	6.7%	2.2%	4.34	4.09	+0.4
2023	32	MIX MLE	2 levels	56	0	64	275	47	25	6	0%	1.1	15.3%	8.6%	6.7%	2.2%	4.34	4.09	+0.4
2023	32	MIX RAW	2 levels	56	0	64	275	47	25	6	0%	1.1	17.1%	9.1%	8.0%	2.2%	4.34	4.02	+0.4
2024	33	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	3	60	262	52	14	15	8%	1.5	17.5%	4.7%	12.7%	6.5%	5.58	5.79	—
2024	33	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	3	60	262	52	14	15	8%	1.5	17.5%	4.7%	12.7%	6.5%	5.58	5.79	—
2024	33	MIX RAW	2 levels	40	3	60	262	52	14	15	8%	1.5	19.8%	5.3%	14.5%	5.7%	5.58	5.33	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			314	1	329	1392	300	83	42	0%	1.0	21.6%	6.0%	15.6%	3.0%	4.04	3.69	+3.4
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	35	MLB	MIN	5	0	5	21	3	1	1	0%	1.0	16.6%	6.8%	9.8%	3.5%	4.69	4.87	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	36	MLB MLE	MIN	48	0	50	211	33	16	8	0%	1.0	15.5%	7.3%	8.2%	3.9%	5.02	5.24	-0.4
2028	37	MLB MLE	MIN	42	0	44	184	27	15	8	0%	1.0	14.4%	8.0%	6.4%	4.3%	5.39	5.64	-0.5
2027	36	MLB CTX	MIN	1	0	1	4	1	0	0	0%	1.0	15.5%	7.3%	8.2%	3.9%	5.02	5.24	-0.0
2028	37	MLB CTX	MIN	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	14.4%	8.0%	6.4%	4.3%	5.39	5.64	—
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		314	1	330	1394	300	83	42	0%	1.1	21.5%	6.0%	15.6%	3.0%	4.05	3.69	+3.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		191	1	200	845	182	50	25	0%	1.0	21.5%	6.0%	15.6%	3.0%	4.05	3.69	+2.0
Career	—	MLE		480	4	539	2275	476	128	78	1%	1.1	20.9%	5.6%	15.3%	3.4%	4.06	3.93	+2.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		178	1	200	844	177	48	29	1%	1.1	20.9%	5.6%	15.3%	3.4%	4.06	3.93	+1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Nick Wittgren (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.87	16.6%	6.8%	3.5%	—	5.43	15.0%	7.4%	94	+0.56	—	—	—
Hector Navarro R 2015 · 4.35 FIP	35	SU	4.35	15.0%	5.4%	3.3%	.281	3.00	15.2%	9.0%	81	-1.35	2.30	126	82
Jean Machi R 2017 · 4.12 FIP	35	SU	4.12	18.6%	6.6%	3.2%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.12	186	80
Manny Acosta R 2016 · 4.19 FIP	35	SU	4.19	18.1%	9.1%	2.7%	.273	3.08	23.2%	9.9%	44	-1.11	3.08	102	80
Ryan Madson R 2016 · 3.93 FIP	35	SU	3.93	18.1%	6.3%	2.9%	.284	2.40	27.2%	22.6%	112	-1.53	1.42	240	78
Josh Lueke R 2019 · 4.11 FIP	34	SU	4.11	20.4%	6.4%	3.5%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	2.29	107	77
Brian Schlitter R 2021 · 4.70 FIP	35	SU	4.70	14.9%	9.1%	3.1%	.318	—	—	—	—	—	3.28	244	77
Jim Johnson R 2018 · 4.48 FIP	35	SU	4.48	16.8%	7.8%	3.3%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	2.56	251	77
Dustin McGowan R 2017 · 4.58 FIP	35	SU	4.58	19.4%	6.7%	4.2%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	208	77
Fernando Rodney R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	38	SU	4.37	20.9%	9.4%	3.4%	.272	3.37	26.2%	15.2%	185	-1.00	2.69	295	76
Mark Lowe R 2017 · 5.03 FIP	34	SU	5.03	16.4%	10.0%	3.7%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	2.37	153	76
Mark Serrano R 2019 · 5.25 FIP	33	SU	5.25	20.2%	7.9%	5.2%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	120	76
Francisco Del Rosario R 2017 · 4.15 FIP	36	SU	4.15	16.4%	10.0%	2.1%	.267	6.35	11.9%	-0.6%	77	+2.20	4.15	145	75
Wade Davis R 2021 · 5.18 FIP	35	SU	5.18	20.0%	10.0%	4.5%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	2.00	320	73
Casey Fien R 2017 · 5.10 FIP	33	SU	5.10	15.8%	4.0%	5.1%	.330	—	—	—	—	—	3.42	136	73
Spencer Patton R 2023 · 4.38 FIP	35	SU	4.38	18.3%	9.7%	2.9%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	2.79	239	72
Jesus Adrian Castillo R 2019 · 5.13 FIP	35	SU	5.13	13.1%	7.8%	3.9%	.319	—	—	—	—	—	2.23	173	72
Ivan Maldonado R 2015 · 4.60 FIP	35	SW	4.60	12.8%	8.7%	2.7%	.269	5.41	6.4%	-3.3%	104	+0.81	4.60	172	70
Tom Wilhelmsen R 2017 · 5.42 FIP	33	SU	5.42	14.3%	10.4%	4.0%	.341	—	—	—	—	—	3.07	148	70
Blaine Boyer R 2016 · 3.69 FIP	35	SU	3.69	9.2%	5.0%	1.4%	.319	4.39	15.3%	7.3%	78	+0.70	3.24	209	69
Ross Ohlendorf R 2016 · 4.93 FIP	33	SU	4.93	23.4%	10.7%	4.5%	.254	—	—	—	—	—	3.30	122	69

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	50	15.6%	7.3%	1.50	5.00
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Austin Pruitt ('23)	1.5	61	16.9%	5.6%	1.22	4.45
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
Austin Voth ('24)	1.7	58	22.2%	8.2%	1.50	4.63