Carson Ragsdale
P
Gwinnett Stripers
Age 28
RHP
6'8" / 235 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 69 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 151142vR 133
ERA5.91
FIP5.91
K%18.4%
BB%13.4%
K-BB%5.0%
ROS IP69
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 69 IP
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
SI (23%)
CU (32%)
SL-1.1 (7%)
FB-1.8 (52%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | A | San Jose Giants | 24 | 24 | 114 | 494 | 167 | 45 | 13 | 100% | 4.7 | 25.0% | 10.7% | 14.3% | 3.4% | 4.43 | 4.20 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A | San Jose Giants | 24 | 24 | 114 | 494 | 167 | 45 | 13 | 100% | 4.7 | 33.8% | 9.1% | 24.7% | 2.6% | 4.43 | 2.84 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | ROK | ACL Giants Black | 5 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 80% | 1.1 | 36.0% | 12.0% | 24.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 1.58 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | ROK | ACL Giants Black | 5 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 80% | 1.1 | 36.0% | 12.0% | 24.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 1.51 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | A+ | Eugene Emeralds | 7 | 7 | 28 | 111 | 42 | 6 | 1 | 100% | 4.0 | 29.1% | 6.2% | 22.9% | 1.0% | 2.93 | 1.96 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | A+ | Eugene Emeralds | 7 | 7 | 28 | 111 | 42 | 6 | 1 | 100% | 4.0 | 37.8% | 5.4% | 32.4% | 0.9% | 2.93 | 1.18 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 26 | 121 | 506 | 147 | 57 | 19 | 96% | 4.5 | 24.3% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 4.0% | 4.18 | 4.80 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 26 | 121 | 506 | 147 | 57 | 19 | 96% | 4.5 | 29.1% | 11.3% | 17.8% | 3.8% | 4.18 | 4.13 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 19 | 95 | 419 | 81 | 48 | 20 | 68% | 3.4 | 17.2% | 12.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.70 | 6.39 | -1.2 |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 19 | 95 | 419 | 81 | 48 | 20 | 68% | 3.4 | 19.3% | 11.5% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 5.70 | 5.66 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | BAL | 12 | 12 | 69 | 293 | 54 | 39 | 12 | 100% | 5.8 | 18.4% | 13.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.91 | 5.91 | -0.9 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | BAL | 11 | 11 | 66 | 280 | 52 | 37 | 12 | 100% | 6.0 | 18.7% | 13.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.83 | 5.88 | -0.9 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | BAL | 10 | 10 | 62 | 263 | 49 | 35 | 11 | 100% | 6.2 | 18.7% | 13.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.85 | 5.94 | -1.0 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | BAL | 4 | 4 | 24 | 101 | 19 | 13 | 4 | 100% | 6.0 | 18.7% | 13.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.83 | 5.88 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | BAL | 6 | 6 | 34 | 144 | 27 | 19 | 6 | 100% | 5.7 | 18.7% | 13.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.85 | 5.94 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 12 | 10 | 64 | 273 | 50 | 34 | 12 | 83% | 5.3 | 18.4% | 12.4% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 6.51 | 5.44 | -0.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 37 | 31 | 200 | 857 | 157 | 107 | 38 | 83% | 5.4 | 18.4% | 12.4% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 6.51 | 5.44 | -0.1 | ||
| Career | — | 91 | 80 | 362 | 1555 | 360 | 177 | 62 | 88% | 4.0 | 23.2% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 4.0% | 4.50 | 4.78 | +2.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 50 | 44 | 200 | 858 | 199 | 98 | 34 | 88% | 4.0 | 23.2% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 4.0% | 4.50 | 4.78 | +1.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Carson Ragsdale (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.91 | 18.4% | 13.4% | 4.2% | — | 5.91 | 18.7% | 5.5% | 128 | -0.00 | — | — | — |
| Connor Schultz R 2025 · 4.85 FIP | 27 | SP | 4.85 | 21.5% | 10.9% | 4.0% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 171 | 69 |
| Brady Rodgers R 2026 · 5.58 FIP | 28 | SP- | 5.58 | 14.7% | 9.0% | 4.7% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.98 | 354 | 67 |
| Brian Edgington R 2024 · 5.05 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.05 | 19.3% | 12.3% | 3.7% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 171 | 67 |
| Kevin Miranda R 2024 · 7.02 FIP | 26 | SP- | 7.02 | 14.1% | 10.0% | 7.0% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.61 | 153 | 66 |
| Kohei Arihara R 2026 · 6.20 FIP | 28 | SP | 6.20 | 13.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | .262 | 4.67 | 16.4% | 9.2% | 94 | -1.53 | 4.67 | 135 | 66 |
| David Griffin R 2025 · 6.04 FIP | 27 | SP- | 6.04 | 14.5% | 10.3% | 5.2% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.52 | 239 | 65 |
| Kenny Serwa R 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 28 | SP | 4.75 | 14.9% | 12.6% | 2.4% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.65 | 182 | 64 |
| Blair Henley R 2025 · 5.90 FIP | 27 | SP | 5.90 | 17.6% | 14.5% | 4.5% | .318 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.80 | 187 | 64 |
| Colin Rea R 2026 · 5.72 FIP | 28 | SP | 5.72 | 17.6% | 11.3% | 4.9% | .344 | 4.10 | 17.7% | 9.8% | 198 | -1.62 | 2.67 | 1,073 | 63 |
| Connor Noland R 2025 · 5.51 FIP | 27 | SP | 5.51 | 12.7% | 9.8% | 4.1% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.78 | 423 | 63 |
| Drake Fellows R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SP | 4.81 | 13.9% | 8.3% | 3.3% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.58 | 226 | 63 |
| Kyle Brnovich R 2026 · 6.70 FIP | 28 | SP | 6.70 | 15.2% | 10.0% | 6.6% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.69 | 333 | 63 |
| Alex Blackford R 2024 · 5.71 FIP | 26 | SP | 5.71 | 14.9% | 12.5% | 4.2% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.60 | 229 | 63 |
| Noah Bremer R 2025 · 5.88 FIP | 27 | SP | 5.88 | 13.1% | 11.9% | 4.3% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.14 | 271 | 62 |
| Jack Weisenburger R 2026 · 5.11 FIP | 28 | SP- | 5.11 | 18.6% | 13.5% | 3.4% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 128 | 62 |
| Miller Hogan R 2024 · 6.64 FIP | 26 | SP | 6.64 | 14.0% | 11.9% | 5.9% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.14 | 168 | 62 |
| Luis Niebla R 2024 · 4.94 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.94 | 11.6% | 13.2% | 2.1% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 156 | 62 |
| Miguel Ruiz R 2027 · 6.00 FIP | 29 | SP- | 6.00 | 8.8% | 8.0% | 4.8% | .346 | 5.44 | 10.6% | -0.4% | 53 | -0.56 | 5.44 | 117 | 62 |
| Chris Ellis R 2026 · 5.31 FIP | 28 | SP | 5.31 | 19.6% | 11.5% | 4.4% | .274 | 6.16 | 12.5% | -2.7% | 64 | +0.85 | 3.85 | 780 | 62 |
| Alex Cobb R 2026 · 5.20 FIP | 28 | SP | 5.20 | 14.0% | 6.9% | 4.4% | .366 | 4.43 | 16.3% | 10.7% | 344 | -0.77 | 2.78 | 844 | 62 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 66 | 18.6% | 13.3% | 1.64 | 5.86 |
| Ross Detwiler ('22) | 5 | 51 | 17.3% | 9.5% | 1.76 | 6.03 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Dylan Covey ('23) | 4 | 73 | 15.4% | 9.9% | 1.53 | 6.14 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Edwin Jackson ('19) | 5 | 75 | 17.0% | 9.7% | 1.75 | 5.37 |