Noah Song P Worcester Red Sox
Age 29 RHP 6'4" / 200 lbs AAA
2026 ROS PROJECTION42 act + 58 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131122vR 113
ERA4.96
FIP4.96
K%18.4%
BB%12.5%
K-BB%5.9%
ROS IP58
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 100 IP
K: -3.0 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-3KBB: -4.9 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-5BBCONTACT: -0.7 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-1CONTACTSTAM: +13.6 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+14STAMTotal WAR: +0.51 (100 IP)+0.5WAR
0.00.02627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF4545
CTRL4040
CMD4545
K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202326MIX4 levels156331523122440%2.212.0%13.2%-1.1%4.5%5.236.24
202326MIX4 levels156331523122440%2.220.4%14.5%5.9%2.6%5.234.81
202528MIX5 levels314552426127413%1.818.9%12.2%6.6%1.0%4.583.62
202528MIX5 levels314552426127413%1.825.2%11.2%14.0%1.7%4.583.30
▸ 2026 Season
202629AAAWorcester Red Sox26042207392850%1.616.6%14.2%2.4%2.7%7.564.96-0.2
ROS29MLBBOS56058246453160%1.018.4%12.5%5.9%2.6%4.964.96-0.3
ROS29MLBBOS606255310%1.018.4%12.5%5.9%2.6%4.964.96-0.0
2026 TOT29MLBBOS10045384591118.6%13.0%5.6%2.5%6.044.96+0.5
2026 FULL29MLBBOS62553118.4%12.5%5.9%2.6%4.964.58-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202730MLBBOS52055231432970%1.118.5%12.5%6.0%2.9%5.005.07-0.3
202831MLBBOS49051216402770%1.018.5%12.6%5.9%3.1%5.115.22-0.4
202932MLBBOS45047200372670%1.118.3%12.8%5.5%3.4%5.275.40-0.5
202730MLBBOS1902084161120%1.118.5%12.5%6.0%2.9%5.005.07-0.1
202831MLBBOS27028118221540%1.018.5%12.6%5.9%3.1%5.115.22-0.2
202932MLBBOS30032135251750%1.118.3%12.8%5.5%3.4%5.275.40-0.3
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career820863646746110%1.118.4%12.7%5.8%3.1%5.134.85+0.3
/ 200 IP1900200844156107260%1.118.4%12.7%5.8%3.1%5.134.85+1.3
Career721012960198791514%1.816.3%13.1%3.2%2.5%5.714.74+1.0
/ 200 IP111152009291521222314%1.816.3%13.1%3.2%2.5%5.714.74+1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Noah Song (OGILVIE) 4.96 18.4%12.5%2.6% 5.22 18.5%5.8%153 +0.26
Gregory Infante R 2026 · 4.39 FIP 29 SU 4.39 19.0%12.3%2.4%.333 3.24 22.5%15.8%120 -1.15 2.96 230 86
Wirfin Obispo R 2027 · 4.87 FIP 30 SU 4.87 18.6%12.2%3.3%.292 1.30 28.6%24.5%126 -3.57 1.30 218 85
Javy Guerra R 2027 · 4.25 FIP 30 SU 4.25 21.3%13.9%2.2%.303 3.99 19.5%13.0%193 -0.26 2.95 260 84
Ryan Cook R 2025 · 4.69 FIP 28 SU 4.69 16.5%9.9%3.1%.297 4.04 25.1%14.3%50 -0.65 4.04 102 84
Tanner Scheppers R 2025 · 4.39 FIP 28 SU 4.39 17.7%11.2%2.5%.263 4.65 15.7%9.0%48 +0.26 4.39 101 83
Wil Browning R 2025 · 4.58 FIP 28 SU 4.58 17.9%13.1%2.4%.359 2.12 162 82
Beck Wheeler R 2025 · 5.09 FIP 28 SU 5.09 15.3%12.2%3.2%.347 3.42 173 82
Drew Hayes R 2025 · 4.12 FIP 28 SU 4.12 13.8%10.1%1.7%.302 3.34 117 81
Jose De La Torre R 2026 · 4.39 FIP 29 SU 4.39 14.5%13.1%1.5%.256 2.88 21.6%14.2%65 -1.51 2.54 130 81
Brandon Cunniff R 2025 · 4.96 FIP 28 SU 4.96 20.1%11.6%3.8%.275 7.33 13.9%-1.9%30 +2.37 3.78 180 81
Vin Mazzaro R 2026 · 3.99 FIP 29 SU 3.99 13.6%10.2%1.4%.279 2.82 126 80
Wily Peralta R 2026 · 4.18 FIP 29 SU 4.18 22.7%13.7%2.3%.310 4.93 15.3%5.5%154 +0.75 4.02 748 80
Grant Black R 2026 · 5.81 FIP 29 SU 5.81 16.3%13.2%4.4%.352 4.49 215 80
Mike Adams R 2024 · 5.26 FIP 27 SU 5.26 17.1%11.2%4.0%.326 3.66 109 80
Luis García R 2026 · 3.80 FIP 29 SU 3.80 20.6%10.9%1.9%.281 3.81 21.6%12.6%179 +0.01 2.40 617 79
Angel Castro R 2029 · 4.89 FIP 32 SU 4.89 15.9%8.0%3.9%.268 4.43 13.6%5.5%231 -0.46 3.48 292 79
Collin Balester R 2026 · 4.25 FIP 29 SU 4.25 14.2%9.3%2.1%.240 3.40 21.2%15.4%43 -0.85 3.40 116 79
Rafael Dolis R 2024 · 4.07 FIP 27 SU 4.07 15.8%14.3%0.9%.299 2.80 162 78
Chris Leroux R 2028 · 4.50 FIP 31 SU 4.50 15.2%8.6%2.9%.279 3.94 13.5%5.5%140 -0.56 3.94 219 78
Kevin Kopps R 2025 · 5.15 FIP 28 SU 5.15 15.9%13.8%3.0%.277 3.64 237 78

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION45318.4%12.6%1.155.08
Miguel Castro ('23)75920.8%12.0%1.043.99
José Ruiz ('24)55222.2%10.4%1.414.41
Jorge De La Rosa ('18)49819.5%10.3%1.224.52
Steven Brault ('21)65718.8%11.3%1.004.77
Travis Wood ('17)38520.8%9.8%1.344.72
Roansy Contreras ('24)37719.5%10.1%1.364.78