Noah Song — OGILVIE

Noah Song P Worcester Red Sox

Age 29 RHP 6'4" / 200 lbs AAA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 58 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128120vR 112

ERA5.00

FIP5.00

K%18.4%

BB%12.8%

K-BB%5.6%

ROS IP58

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 58 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL4040

CMD4545

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	26	MIX MLE	4 levels	15	6	33	152	31	22	4	40%	2.2	12.0%	13.2%	-1.1%	4.2%	5.23	6.06	—
2023	26	MIX MLE	4 levels	15	6	33	152	31	22	4	40%	2.2	12.0%	13.2%	-1.1%	4.2%	5.23	6.06	—
2023	26	MIX RAW	4 levels	15	6	33	152	31	22	4	40%	2.2	20.4%	14.5%	5.9%	2.6%	5.23	4.81	—
2025	28	MIX MLE	5 levels	31	4	55	242	61	27	4	13%	1.8	18.9%	12.2%	6.6%	1.1%	4.58	3.68	—
2025	28	MIX MLE	5 levels	31	4	55	242	61	27	4	13%	1.8	18.9%	12.2%	6.6%	1.1%	4.58	3.68	—
2025	28	MIX RAW	5 levels	31	4	55	242	61	27	4	13%	1.8	25.2%	11.2%	14.0%	1.7%	4.58	3.30	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	29	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	39	0	71	328	79	41	6	0%	1.8	20.0%	11.2%	8.7%	2.0%	5.30	3.94	—
YTD	29	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	39	0	71	328	79	41	6	0%	1.8	20.0%	11.2%	8.7%	2.0%	5.30	3.94	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	29	AAA RAW	BOS	39	0	71	328	79	41	6	0%	1.8	24.1%	12.5%	11.6%	1.8%	5.30	3.65	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	BOS	52	0	55	231	43	29	7	0%	1.1	18.5%	12.7%	5.8%	2.9%	5.04	5.11	-0.3
2028	31	MLB MLE	BOS	49	0	51	216	40	28	7	0%	1.0	18.5%	12.8%	5.7%	3.1%	5.14	5.25	-0.4
2027	30	MLB CTX	BOS	19	0	20	84	16	11	2	0%	1.1	18.5%	12.7%	5.8%	2.9%	5.04	5.11	-0.1
2028	31	MLB CTX	BOS	27	0	28	118	22	15	4	0%	1.0	18.5%	12.8%	5.7%	3.1%	5.14	5.25	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		46	0	48	204	38	26	6	0%	1.1	18.5%	12.8%	5.8%	3.0%	5.10	4.81	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	157	108	25	0%	1.1	18.5%	12.8%	5.8%	3.0%	5.10	4.81	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		85	10	159	722	129	87	16	12%	1.9	17.9%	12.0%	6.0%	2.2%	5.04	4.30	-0.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		107	13	200	908	163	109	20	12%	1.9	17.9%	12.0%	6.0%	2.2%	5.04	4.30	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Noah Song (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.00	18.4%	12.8%	2.7%	—	5.18	18.5%	5.8%	106	+0.18	—	—	—
Gregory Infante R 2016 · 4.47 FIP	29	SU	4.47	19.0%	12.3%	2.6%	.333	3.43	22.5%	15.8%	120	-1.04	2.97	230	86
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	85
Javy Guerra R 2016 · 4.29 FIP	30	SU	4.29	21.3%	13.9%	2.3%	.303	3.95	19.5%	13.0%	193	-0.34	2.95	260	84
Ryan Cook R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	16.5%	9.9%	3.2%	.297	3.96	25.1%	14.3%	50	-0.77	3.96	102	83
Wil Browning R 2017 · 4.44 FIP	28	SU	4.44	17.9%	13.1%	2.2%	.359	—	—	—	—	—	2.14	162	82
Tanner Scheppers R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SU	4.37	17.7%	11.2%	2.5%	.263	4.86	15.7%	9.0%	48	+0.49	4.37	101	82
Jose De La Torre R 2015 · 4.40 FIP	29	SU	4.40	14.5%	13.1%	1.6%	.256	2.98	21.6%	14.2%	65	-1.42	2.64	130	82
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	81
Beck Wheeler R 2017 · 5.40 FIP	28	SU	5.40	15.3%	12.2%	3.7%	.347	—	—	—	—	—	3.46	173	81
Drew Hayes R 2016 · 3.99 FIP	28	SU	3.99	13.8%	10.1%	1.4%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.35	117	80
Vin Mazzaro R 2016 · 4.04 FIP	29	SU	4.04	13.6%	10.2%	1.5%	.279	—	—	—	—	—	2.82	126	80
Grant Black R 2023 · 5.54 FIP	29	SU	5.54	15.4%	11.3%	4.2%	.352	—	—	—	—	—	4.46	215	80
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	80
Mike Adams R 2022 · 5.36 FIP	27	SU	5.36	17.1%	11.2%	4.2%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	109	79
Chris Leroux R 2015 · 4.20 FIP	31	SU	4.20	15.2%	8.6%	2.4%	.279	4.08	13.5%	5.5%	140	-0.12	4.08	219	78
Rafael Dolis R 2015 · 4.02 FIP	27	SU	4.02	15.8%	14.3%	0.8%	.299	—	—	—	—	—	2.80	162	78
Collin Balester R 2015 · 4.22 FIP	29	SU	4.22	14.2%	9.3%	2.1%	.240	3.20	21.2%	15.4%	43	-1.02	3.20	116	78
Sam Gardner R 2023 · 4.04 FIP	26	SU	4.04	23.8%	15.1%	1.9%	.298	3.07	26.7%	16.7%	73	-0.97	2.28	118	77
Brian Schlitter R 2015 · 3.81 FIP	29	SU	3.81	15.9%	13.5%	0.6%	.301	3.37	16.6%	7.1%	109	-0.44	3.28	244	77
Pedro Beato R 2016 · 4.20 FIP	29	SU	4.20	19.2%	8.5%	3.0%	.275	3.72	18.5%	11.1%	152	-0.48	3.47	295	77

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	55	18.5%	12.7%	1.11	5.06
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10