Chase Hampton
P
Somerset Patriots
Age 24
RHP
6'2" / 225 lbs
AA
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032
peak 1.1 · 2027
ILReassigned to Minors (RM)
2026 ROS PROJECTION37 act + 65 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 116107vR 98
ERA4.27
FIP4.27
K%24.4%
BB%9.3%
K-BB%15.1%
ROS IP65
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 101 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 20 | 107 | 438 | 145 | 37 | 13 | 100% | 5.3 | 26.1% | 9.5% | 16.6% | 3.5% | 3.63 | 4.00 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 20 | 107 | 438 | 145 | 37 | 13 | 100% | 5.3 | 33.1% | 8.4% | 24.7% | 3.0% | 3.63 | 3.01 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 7 | 7 | 19 | 76 | 16 | 9 | 1 | 100% | 2.7 | 21.1% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 1.3% | 2.41 | 3.54 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 7 | 7 | 19 | 76 | 16 | 9 | 1 | 100% | 2.7 | 21.1% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 1.3% | 2.41 | 3.53 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | AA | Somerset Patriots | 11 | 11 | 37 | 167 | 32 | 22 | 4 | 100% | 3.3 | 12.7% | 21.2% | -8.5% | 1.4% | 6.38 | 5.51 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | NYY | 12 | 12 | 65 | 274 | 67 | 26 | 8 | 100% | 5.4 | 24.4% | 9.3% | 15.1% | 3.0% | 4.27 | 4.27 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | NYY | 5 | 5 | 26 | 110 | 27 | 10 | 3 | 100% | 5.2 | 24.4% | 9.3% | 15.1% | 3.2% | 4.33 | 4.33 | +0.1 |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 101 | 441 | 99 | 48 | 12 | — | — | 22.4% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 2.8% | 5.03 | 4.72 | +0.8 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 26 | 109 | 27 | 10 | 3 | — | — | 24.4% | 9.3% | 15.1% | 3.2% | 4.33 | 3.95 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | NYY | 22 | 22 | 128 | 542 | 133 | 49 | 16 | 100% | 5.8 | 24.6% | 9.0% | 15.6% | 3.0% | 4.23 | 4.20 | +1.8 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | NYY | 21 | 21 | 128 | 542 | 133 | 48 | 16 | 100% | 6.1 | 24.6% | 8.8% | 15.7% | 3.0% | 4.20 | 4.18 | +1.8 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | NYY | 21 | 21 | 126 | 534 | 130 | 47 | 16 | 100% | 6.0 | 24.4% | 8.9% | 15.6% | 3.1% | 4.22 | 4.22 | +1.7 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | NYY | 20 | 20 | 123 | 518 | 126 | 47 | 16 | 100% | 6.1 | 24.3% | 9.0% | 15.3% | 3.2% | 4.27 | 4.31 | +1.6 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB | NYY | 20 | 20 | 117 | 494 | 119 | 46 | 16 | 100% | 5.9 | 24.0% | 9.2% | 14.8% | 3.3% | 4.37 | 4.44 | +1.3 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB | NYY | 18 | 18 | 110 | 465 | 110 | 44 | 16 | 100% | 6.1 | 23.7% | 9.5% | 14.2% | 3.5% | 4.52 | 4.62 | +1.0 |
| 2033 | 31 | MLB | NYY | 17 | 17 | 103 | 434 | 101 | 43 | 16 | 100% | 6.0 | 23.3% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 3.7% | 4.70 | 4.82 | +0.7 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | NYY | 14 | 14 | 83 | 350 | 86 | 32 | 11 | 100% | 5.9 | 24.6% | 9.0% | 15.6% | 3.1% | 4.29 | 4.26 | +0.8 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | NYY | 17 | 17 | 101 | 426 | 105 | 38 | 13 | 100% | 5.9 | 24.6% | 8.8% | 15.7% | 3.1% | 4.26 | 4.24 | +1.4 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | NYY | 18 | 18 | 107 | 452 | 110 | 40 | 14 | 100% | 5.9 | 24.4% | 8.9% | 15.6% | 3.2% | 4.28 | 4.28 | +1.4 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | NYY | 18 | 18 | 109 | 460 | 112 | 41 | 15 | 100% | 6.1 | 24.3% | 9.0% | 15.3% | 3.3% | 4.34 | 4.38 | +1.3 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB | NYY | 18 | 18 | 106 | 448 | 108 | 41 | 15 | 100% | 5.9 | 24.0% | 9.2% | 14.8% | 3.4% | 4.44 | 4.51 | +1.1 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB | NYY | 17 | 17 | 101 | 426 | 101 | 41 | 16 | 100% | 5.9 | 23.7% | 9.5% | 14.2% | 3.6% | 4.59 | 4.69 | +0.8 |
| 2033 | 31 | MLB | NYY | 16 | 16 | 95 | 401 | 93 | 40 | 16 | 100% | 5.9 | 23.3% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 3.9% | 4.78 | 4.90 | +0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 124 | 124 | 728 | 3075 | 742 | 282 | 104 | 100% | 5.9 | 24.1% | 9.2% | 14.9% | 3.4% | 4.42 | 4.08 | +11.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 204 | 77 | 29 | 100% | 5.9 | 24.1% | 9.2% | 14.9% | 3.4% | 4.42 | 4.08 | +3.1 | ||
| Career | — | 38 | 38 | 162 | 681 | 152 | 86 | 19 | 100% | 4.3 | 22.3% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 2.7% | 4.11 | 4.32 | +2.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 47 | 47 | 200 | 841 | 187 | 106 | 23 | 100% | 4.3 | 22.3% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 2.7% | 4.11 | 4.32 | +2.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Chase Hampton (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.27 | 24.4% | 9.3% | 3.0% | — | 4.20 | 24.5% | 15.6% | 383 | -0.07 | — | — | — |
| Kyle Bradish R 2026 · 3.59 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.59 | 26.4% | 10.6% | 2.5% | .333 | 3.20 | 24.9% | 17.2% | 345 | -0.39 | 2.15 | 702 | 85 |
| Kyle Brnovich R 2025 · 3.69 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.69 | 25.1% | 7.5% | 3.2% | .256 | 5.06 | 20.7% | 11.0% | 89 | +1.37 | 3.69 | 333 | 84 |
| Ryan Garcia R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.87 | 23.2% | 10.7% | 2.5% | .239 | 5.71 | 20.0% | 6.1% | 278 | +1.84 | 3.87 | 325 | 83 |
| Carson Ragsdale R 2025 · 4.20 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.20 | 25.0% | 10.7% | 3.4% | .349 | 4.27 | 25.2% | 14.2% | 148 | +0.07 | 1.96 | 352 | 81 |
| Ben Gross R 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.20 | 23.0% | 8.8% | 3.5% | .359 | 4.87 | 17.6% | 2.0% | 22 | +0.67 | 4.20 | 118 | 81 |
| Alex Pham R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.85 | 22.6% | 11.1% | 2.3% | .284 | 3.63 | 23.5% | 11.8% | 79 | -0.22 | 3.48 | 331 | 81 |
| Tyson Hardin R 2026 · 3.45 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.45 | 23.4% | 8.3% | 2.3% | .349 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.47 | 177 | 81 |
| Trent Palmer R 2025 · 4.85 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.85 | 22.0% | 10.4% | 4.2% | .284 | 4.83 | 12.8% | -9.4% | 22 | -0.02 | 3.51 | 140 | 81 |
| Isaac Coffey R 2026 · 3.65 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.65 | 24.3% | 11.4% | 2.1% | .280 | 6.01 | 18.9% | 5.5% | 56 | +2.36 | 3.65 | 287 | 80 |
| Cole Sands R 2026 · 3.57 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.57 | 23.3% | 11.5% | 1.8% | .269 | 3.64 | 25.1% | 17.3% | 216 | +0.07 | 2.28 | 473 | 80 |
| Emerson Hancock R 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.65 | 21.1% | 10.2% | 3.7% | .288 | 4.28 | 18.7% | 10.9% | 389 | -0.37 | 3.21 | 630 | 79 |
| Rorik Maltrud R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.87 | 20.4% | 9.6% | 2.3% | .300 | 4.37 | 19.6% | 9.8% | 143 | +0.50 | 3.87 | 247 | 79 |
| Shumpei Yoshikawa R 2026 · 3.69 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.69 | 21.8% | 5.6% | 3.1% | .336 | 6.45 | 25.7% | 15.1% | 20 | +2.76 | 3.69 | 124 | 79 |
| Will Warren R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.16 | 23.3% | 11.4% | 2.9% | .287 | 4.01 | 23.9% | 15.4% | 393 | -0.15 | 3.80 | 651 | 78 |
| Mitch White R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.58 | 22.7% | 8.3% | 4.3% | .309 | 3.59 | 20.9% | 12.9% | 194 | -0.99 | 2.49 | 626 | 78 |
| Jackson Nezuh R 2026 · 5.06 FIP | 24 | SP | 5.06 | 23.6% | 10.4% | 4.8% | .259 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.77 | 258 | 78 |
| Riley Gowens R 2026 · 5.02 FIP | 24 | SP | 5.02 | 22.6% | 10.3% | 4.6% | .279 | 5.06 | 21.5% | 11.8% | 160 | +0.04 | 5.01 | 282 | 78 |
| Cameron Foster R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.24 | 18.9% | 10.3% | 2.6% | .329 | 4.33 | 21.3% | 10.9% | 132 | +0.09 | 2.63 | 213 | 78 |
| Dom Hamel R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.08 | 24.6% | 10.2% | 3.2% | .314 | 5.13 | 18.6% | 6.7% | 271 | +1.05 | 3.65 | 514 | 78 |
| Sam Benschoter R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.96 | 26.3% | 9.2% | 3.5% | .344 | 5.03 | 18.9% | 8.4% | 306 | +1.07 | 3.58 | 426 | 78 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 8 | 115 | 24.2% | 9.2% | 1.25 | 4.34 |
| Danny Duffy ('21) | 7 | 124 | 21.7% | 8.1% | 1.20 | 4.04 |
| James Paxton ('24) | 8 | 106 | 25.8% | 7.7% | 1.12 | 3.89 |
| Jon Gray ('24) | 10 | 122 | 23.4% | 7.8% | 1.15 | 4.45 |
| Jake Odorizzi ('22) | 7 | 148 | 22.1% | 8.1% | 1.24 | 3.92 |
| Lance Lynn ('24) | 9 | 154 | 23.9% | 8.1% | 1.20 | 3.86 |
| Rich Hill ('23) | 9 | 104 | 25.0% | 8.0% | 1.12 | 3.65 |