Will Sanders
P
Iowa Cubs
Age 24
RHP
6'6" / 230 lbs
AAA
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2031
peak 1.2 · 2029
2026 ROS PROJECTION55 act + 65 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126117vR 108
ERA4.75
FIP4.75
K%19.2%
BB%9.7%
K-BB%9.4%
ROS IP65
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 119 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 23 | 97 | 439 | 109 | 44 | 13 | 96% | 4.0 | 19.3% | 11.8% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 4.66 | 5.17 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 23 | 97 | 439 | 109 | 44 | 13 | 96% | 4.0 | 24.8% | 10.0% | 14.8% | 3.0% | 4.66 | 3.96 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 23 | 123 | 531 | 123 | 41 | 15 | 88% | 4.7 | 19.8% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 2.6% | 5.04 | 3.89 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 23 | 123 | 531 | 123 | 41 | 15 | 88% | 4.7 | 23.2% | 7.7% | 15.4% | 2.8% | 5.04 | 3.68 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | 14 | 12 | 55 | 240 | 61 | 22 | 7 | 86% | 3.9 | 24.1% | 9.0% | 15.1% | 4.1% | 4.94 | 4.48 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | CHC | 12 | 12 | 65 | 274 | 52 | 27 | 8 | 100% | 5.4 | 19.2% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 3.0% | 4.75 | 4.75 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | CHC | 1 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 100% | 6.0 | 19.2% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 3.0% | 4.77 | 4.77 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | CHC | — | — | 119 | 514 | 113 | 49 | 15 | — | — | 22.1% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 3.0% | 4.84 | 4.63 | +1.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | CHC | — | — | 6 | 27 | 5 | 3 | 1 | — | — | 19.2% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 3.0% | 4.77 | 4.39 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | CHC | 14 | 14 | 80 | 339 | 68 | 32 | 10 | 100% | 5.7 | 20.0% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 3.0% | 4.67 | 4.65 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | CHC | 13 | 13 | 80 | 339 | 69 | 32 | 10 | 100% | 6.2 | 20.3% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 3.0% | 4.61 | 4.60 | +0.4 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | CHC | 13 | 13 | 79 | 334 | 75 | 29 | 10 | 100% | 6.1 | 22.4% | 8.6% | 13.8% | 3.0% | 4.44 | 4.35 | +0.6 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | CHC | 13 | 13 | 77 | 323 | 72 | 28 | 10 | 100% | 5.9 | 22.3% | 8.7% | 13.6% | 3.1% | 4.43 | 4.43 | +0.4 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | CHC | 7 | 7 | 39 | 165 | 33 | 16 | 5 | 100% | 5.6 | 20.0% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 3.0% | 4.69 | 4.67 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | CHC | 9 | 9 | 56 | 236 | 48 | 22 | 7 | 100% | 6.2 | 20.3% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 3.0% | 4.63 | 4.62 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | CHC | 10 | 10 | 63 | 266 | 60 | 23 | 8 | 100% | 6.3 | 22.4% | 8.6% | 13.8% | 3.1% | 4.46 | 4.37 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | CHC | 11 | 11 | 65 | 274 | 61 | 24 | 9 | 100% | 5.9 | 22.3% | 8.7% | 13.6% | 3.2% | 4.45 | 4.45 | +0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 39 | 39 | 229 | 965 | 206 | 87 | 30 | 100% | 5.9 | 21.3% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 3.1% | 4.55 | 4.13 | +3.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 180 | 76 | 26 | 100% | 5.9 | 21.3% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 3.1% | 4.55 | 4.13 | +3.0 | ||
| Career | — | 64 | 58 | 275 | 1210 | 248 | 117 | 41 | 91% | 4.3 | 20.5% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 3.4% | 4.88 | 4.47 | +3.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 47 | 42 | 200 | 881 | 181 | 85 | 30 | 91% | 4.3 | 20.5% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 3.4% | 4.88 | 4.47 | +2.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Will Sanders (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.75 | 19.2% | 9.7% | 3.0% | — | 4.53 | 20.9% | 11.7% | 239 | -0.22 | — | — | — |
| Cameron Foster R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.24 | 18.9% | 10.3% | 2.6% | .329 | 4.33 | 21.3% | 10.9% | 132 | +0.09 | 2.63 | 213 | 93 |
| Rorik Maltrud R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.87 | 20.4% | 9.6% | 2.3% | .300 | 4.37 | 19.6% | 9.8% | 143 | +0.50 | 3.87 | 247 | 88 |
| Riley Thompson R 2025 · 4.88 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.88 | 16.5% | 9.4% | 3.6% | .288 | 5.29 | 21.7% | 7.0% | 57 | +0.41 | 4.52 | 340 | 87 |
| Tyler Uberstine R 2025 · 4.37 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.37 | 19.5% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .302 | 4.38 | 23.2% | 14.7% | 121 | +0.01 | 3.42 | 237 | 86 |
| Sam Highfill R 2026 · 4.68 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.68 | 15.0% | 8.6% | 3.2% | .305 | 5.95 | 18.2% | 7.9% | 55 | +1.27 | 4.68 | 161 | 85 |
| Dylan Burns R 2027 · 4.06 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.06 | 17.1% | 10.8% | 1.9% | .300 | 4.86 | 11.6% | -2.4% | 41 | +0.80 | 4.06 | 120 | 85 |
| David Griffin R 2027 · 4.52 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.52 | 19.2% | 11.9% | 2.8% | .279 | 5.47 | 15.6% | 5.5% | 168 | +0.95 | 4.52 | 239 | 84 |
| Jarred Cosart R 2027 · 5.09 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.09 | 15.2% | 10.8% | 3.5% | .274 | 5.06 | 13.1% | -0.5% | 132 | -0.03 | 4.10 | 218 | 83 |
| Luis Santos R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.38 | 17.0% | 6.5% | 3.4% | .293 | 4.16 | 19.1% | 10.5% | 315 | -0.22 | 3.50 | 472 | 83 |
| Justin Armbruester R 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.43 | 18.0% | 10.5% | 2.8% | .271 | 5.94 | 20.6% | 7.6% | 119 | +1.51 | 4.43 | 358 | 83 |
| Emerson Hancock R 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.65 | 21.1% | 10.2% | 3.7% | .288 | 4.28 | 18.7% | 10.9% | 389 | -0.37 | 3.21 | 630 | 83 |
| Ryan Bergert R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.00 | 16.9% | 8.7% | 2.2% | .317 | 4.33 | 21.6% | 11.4% | 121 | +0.33 | 3.61 | 428 | 83 |
| Paxton Schultz R 2026 · 5.22 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.22 | 17.5% | 12.2% | 3.7% | .293 | 4.57 | 22.2% | 10.9% | 274 | -0.65 | 4.00 | 512 | 83 |
| Ricky Castro R 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.93 | 20.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | .287 | 4.58 | 19.4% | 11.0% | 140 | +0.65 | 3.90 | 202 | 82 |
| Hayden Minton R 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.53 | 19.1% | 7.0% | 3.9% | .278 | 5.41 | 19.6% | 8.0% | 66 | +0.88 | 3.96 | 260 | 82 |
| Ben Gross R 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.20 | 23.0% | 8.8% | 3.5% | .359 | 4.87 | 17.6% | 2.0% | 22 | +0.67 | 4.20 | 118 | 82 |
| Wil Jensen R 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.64 | 20.2% | 8.6% | 3.9% | .261 | 4.28 | 21.4% | 11.1% | 173 | -0.36 | 3.41 | 368 | 82 |
| Blake Beers R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.66 | 18.9% | 9.0% | 3.7% | .298 | 5.01 | 17.7% | 8.5% | 323 | +0.35 | 4.20 | 416 | 82 |
| Trent Palmer R 2025 · 4.85 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.85 | 22.0% | 10.4% | 4.2% | .284 | 4.83 | 12.8% | -9.4% | 22 | -0.02 | 3.51 | 140 | 82 |
| Angel Araiza R 2027 · 4.55 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.55 | 16.7% | 6.5% | 3.7% | .287 | 3.95 | 15.0% | 7.6% | 193 | -0.60 | 3.53 | 289 | 81 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 5 | 79 | 20.8% | 9.2% | 1.17 | 4.58 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Shane Greene ('21) | 7 | 56 | 21.4% | 8.5% | 1.16 | 4.67 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |