Isaac Coffey
P
Portland Sea Dogs
+0.0
WAR
Age 26
RHP
6'1" / 205 lbs
AA
ERA5.09
FIP5.09
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%21.8%
BB%11.6%
K-BB%10.2%
IP58
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
K†5055
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 22 | ROK | FCL Red Sox | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | — | — | — | 10.80 | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | 23 | 22 | 118 | 492 | 155 | 33 | 22 | 24.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.37 | 4.99 | +0.4 |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | 24 | 21 | 114 | 494 | 148 | 51 | 9 | 24.3% | 11.4% | 2.2% | 3.17 | 3.67 | +2.1 |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA | Worcester Red Sox | 17 | 12 | 47 | 221 | 48 | 31 | 10 | 17.1% | 15.3% | 6.0% | 5.51 | 6.90 | -1.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | 3 | 1 | 6 | 31 | 5 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | 4.50 | — | — |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | BOS | 58 | — | 58 | 247 | 54 | 29 | 9 | 21.8% | 11.6% | 3.6% | 5.09 | 5.09 | -0.1 |
| 2026 Total | 26 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 64 | 278 | 59 | 31 | 10 | 21.1% | 11.0% | 3.6% | 5.04 | 4.62 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | BOS | 58 | — | 58 | 245 | 54 | 28 | 9 | 22.0% | 11.4% | 3.6% | 5.02 | 5.02 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | BOS | 57 | — | 57 | 242 | 53 | 27 | 9 | 22.0% | 11.3% | 3.5% | 4.98 | 4.99 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | BOS | 56 | — | 56 | 236 | 52 | 27 | 8 | 22.0% | 11.3% | 3.6% | 4.98 | 5.01 | -0.0 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB | BOS | 54 | — | 54 | 229 | 50 | 26 | 8 | 21.8% | 11.3% | 3.6% | 5.01 | 5.05 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 31 | MLB | BOS | 52 | — | 52 | 221 | 48 | 25 | 8 | 21.6% | 11.4% | 3.7% | 5.08 | 5.13 | -0.1 |
| 2032 | 32 | MLB | BOS | 50 | — | 50 | 212 | 45 | 25 | 8 | 21.3% | 11.6% | 3.8% | 5.16 | 5.21 | -0.1 |
| 2033 | 33 | MLB | BOS | 48 | — | 48 | 202 | 42 | 24 | 8 | 21.0% | 11.8% | 3.8% | 5.25 | 5.31 | -0.2 |
| 2034 | 34 | MLB | BOS | 46 | — | 46 | 192 | 40 | 23 | 8 | 20.6% | 12.0% | 3.9% | 5.35 | 5.42 | -0.2 |
| 2035 | 35 | MLB | BOS | 43 | — | 43 | 181 | 37 | 22 | 7 | 20.2% | 12.2% | 4.1% | 5.47 | 5.54 | -0.3 |
| 2036 | 36 | MLB | BOS | 40 | — | 40 | 169 | 34 | 21 | 7 | 19.8% | 12.4% | 4.2% | 5.59 | 5.68 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 69 | 56 | 286 | 1246 | 285 | 131 | 52 | 22.9% | 10.5% | 4.2% | 3.71 | 4.80 | +1.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 48 | 39 | 200 | 870 | 199 | 92 | 36 | 22.9% | 10.5% | 4.2% | 3.71 | 4.80 | +1.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Isaac Coffey (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.09 | 21.8% | 11.6% | 3.6% | — | 5.01 | 22.0% | 10.7% | 171 | -0.08 | — | — | — |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.22 | 23.4% | 11.6% | 3.0% | .273 | 4.53 | 18.7% | 7.1% | 88 | +0.31 | 3.70 | 187 | 91 |
| Ryan Middendorf R 2026 · 4.93 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.93 | 19.6% | 10.5% | 3.9% | .293 | 4.50 | 12.8% | -1.5% | 34 | -0.43 | 1.27 | 164 | 89 |
| Hunter Parsons R 2026 · 4.93 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.93 | 22.8% | 10.9% | 4.3% | .274 | 6.70 | 25.5% | 9.0% | 29 | +1.77 | 4.76 | 183 | 89 |
| Taylor Grover R 2026 · 4.95 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.95 | 20.0% | 10.9% | 3.9% | .320 | 4.89 | 16.2% | 8.9% | 14 | -0.06 | 3.69 | 239 | 88 |
| Jose Rafael De Paula R 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.45 | 19.9% | 9.8% | 3.3% | .278 | 4.78 | 22.7% | 10.3% | 89 | +0.33 | 2.65 | 315 | 88 |
| Colton Murray R 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.05 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 2.8% | .295 | 4.28 | 21.8% | 13.1% | 41 | +0.23 | 3.34 | 187 | 87 |
| Cale Coshow R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.60 | 23.1% | 10.9% | 3.8% | .300 | 3.68 | 23.0% | 12.8% | 63 | -0.92 | 3.09 | 377 | 86 |
| Brett McKinney R 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.57 | 18.5% | 9.9% | 3.2% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 183 | 86 |
| Shawn Armstrong R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.33 | 22.1% | 9.2% | 3.5% | .282 | 3.20 | 26.9% | 17.2% | 144 | -1.13 | 1.79 | 618 | 86 |
| Easton Sikorski R 2025 · 4.32 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.32 | 21.1% | 10.6% | 3.0% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.16 | 159 | 86 |
| Nick Ernst R 2025 · 5.04 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.04 | 21.9% | 14.6% | 3.5% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.55 | 117 | 86 |
| Derek Gordon R 2025 · 4.59 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.59 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.59 | 146 | 86 |
| Braden Zarbnisky R 2026 · 5.17 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.17 | 22.7% | 11.2% | 4.7% | .293 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.17 | 142 | 85 |
| Nolan Riggs R 2025 · 4.54 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.54 | 20.7% | 14.0% | 2.6% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.36 | 132 | 85 |
| Héctor Neris R 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.97 | 20.9% | 10.0% | 2.5% | .298 | 3.00 | 31.5% | 23.7% | 221 | -0.97 | 1.99 | 682 | 85 |
| Ryan Conroy R 2025 · 4.76 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.76 | 19.3% | 12.6% | 3.1% | .361 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 106 | 84 |
| R.J. Alaniz R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.90 | 20.7% | 8.9% | 2.6% | .318 | 3.29 | 23.8% | 15.0% | 96 | -0.61 | 2.45 | 362 | 84 |
| Dugan Darnell R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.66 | 23.1% | 10.1% | 4.1% | .302 | 3.31 | 24.5% | 15.5% | 94 | -1.35 | 2.49 | 238 | 84 |
| Alex Hoppe R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.89 | 22.8% | 12.7% | 2.0% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.89 | 176 | 84 |
| Spencer Stockton R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.18 | 20.2% | 10.3% | 2.7% | .276 | 5.51 | 19.0% | 5.8% | 63 | +1.33 | 1.93 | 233 | 84 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.