Isaac Coffey
P
Worcester Red Sox
Age 26
RHP
6'1" / 205 lbs
AAA
peak 0.2 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION24 act + 41 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 134125vR 116
ERA5.10
FIP5.10
K%21.8%
BB%11.6%
K-BB%10.2%
ROS IP41
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 65 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 22 | ROK | FCL Red Sox | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0.8 | 0.0% | 25.0% | -25.0% | 0.0% | 10.80 | 6.27 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | ROK | FCL Red Sox | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0.8 | 0.0% | 25.0% | -25.0% | 0.0% | 10.80 | 6.70 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 22 | 118 | 492 | 155 | 33 | 22 | 96% | 5.1 | 24.8% | 7.5% | 17.4% | 5.7% | 3.37 | 5.07 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 22 | 118 | 492 | 155 | 33 | 22 | 96% | 5.1 | 31.5% | 6.7% | 24.8% | 4.5% | 3.37 | 3.74 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | 24 | 21 | 114 | 494 | 148 | 51 | 9 | 88% | 4.7 | 24.3% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 2.1% | 3.17 | 3.65 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | 24 | 21 | 114 | 494 | 148 | 51 | 9 | 88% | 4.7 | 30.0% | 10.3% | 19.6% | 1.8% | 3.17 | 2.87 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 12 | 47 | 221 | 48 | 31 | 10 | 71% | 2.8 | 17.1% | 15.3% | 1.8% | 6.1% | 5.51 | 6.96 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 12 | 47 | 221 | 48 | 31 | 10 | 71% | 2.8 | 21.7% | 14.0% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 5.51 | 5.78 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AAA | Worcester Red Sox | 8 | 6 | 24 | 108 | 25 | 9 | 3 | 75% | 3.0 | 22.9% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 2.9% | 4.18 | 3.95 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | BOS | 7 | 7 | 41 | 173 | 38 | 20 | 6 | 100% | 5.9 | 21.8% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 3.6% | 5.10 | 5.10 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | BOS | 1 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 100% | 4.0 | 21.8% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 3.6% | 5.10 | 5.10 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 65 | 281 | 63 | 29 | 9 | — | — | 22.3% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 3.3% | 4.76 | 4.68 | -0.0 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 4 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 1 | — | — | 21.8% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 3.6% | 5.10 | 4.72 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | BOS | 7 | 7 | 40 | 171 | 37 | 20 | 6 | 100% | 5.8 | 21.9% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 3.6% | 5.04 | 5.06 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | BOS | 7 | 7 | 39 | 166 | 36 | 19 | 6 | 100% | 5.6 | 21.9% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 3.7% | 5.05 | 5.09 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | BOS | 6 | 6 | 37 | 158 | 34 | 18 | 6 | 100% | 6.2 | 21.8% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 3.8% | 5.11 | 5.18 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | BOS | 3 | 3 | 17 | 72 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 100% | 5.7 | 21.9% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 3.6% | 5.04 | 5.06 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | BOS | 4 | 4 | 25 | 106 | 23 | 12 | 4 | 100% | 6.2 | 21.9% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 3.7% | 5.05 | 5.09 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | BOS | 4 | 4 | 27 | 114 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 100% | 6.8 | 21.8% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 3.8% | 5.11 | 5.18 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 13 | 13 | 73 | 308 | 67 | 35 | 11 | 100% | 5.6 | 21.9% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 3.7% | 5.07 | 4.74 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 183 | 96 | 30 | 100% | 5.8 | 21.9% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 3.7% | 5.07 | 4.74 | +1.6 | ||
| Career | — | 74 | 61 | 304 | 1323 | 305 | 139 | 55 | 82% | 4.1 | 23.0% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 4.2% | 3.73 | 4.77 | +2.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 49 | 40 | 200 | 870 | 200 | 91 | 36 | 82% | 4.1 | 23.0% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 4.2% | 3.73 | 4.77 | +1.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Isaac Coffey (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.10 | 21.8% | 11.6% | 3.6% | — | 5.11 | 21.9% | 10.4% | 117 | +0.01 | — | — | — |
| Dawson Netz R 2025 · 4.42 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.42 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 3.5% | .225 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 102 | 78 |
| Jake Walters R 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.17 | 17.0% | 9.4% | 2.4% | .316 | 5.97 | 15.5% | -0.2% | 72 | +1.80 | 3.46 | 261 | 78 |
| Burch Smith R 2027 · 3.94 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.94 | 19.5% | 12.6% | 1.6% | .234 | 4.41 | 22.2% | 10.5% | 192 | +0.47 | 3.39 | 382 | 76 |
| Sean Mooney R 2024 · 4.82 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.82 | 24.7% | 13.5% | 3.8% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.45 | 102 | 76 |
| Alejandro Martinez R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.24 | 17.5% | 10.9% | 2.3% | .393 | 4.44 | 9.2% | 3.9% | 53 | +0.20 | 4.24 | 166 | 75 |
| Cody Sedlock R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.83 | 19.9% | 10.9% | 3.7% | .301 | 4.18 | 20.1% | 7.1% | 80 | -0.65 | 4.16 | 378 | 74 |
| Brian Edgington R 2026 · 5.05 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.05 | 19.3% | 12.3% | 3.7% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 171 | 74 |
| David Lebron R 2025 · 4.18 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.18 | 18.6% | 14.2% | 1.6% | .336 | 5.07 | 26.7% | 12.0% | 62 | +0.89 | 4.18 | 144 | 73 |
| Rorik Maltrud R 2026 · 4.15 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.15 | 18.9% | 7.9% | 3.0% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.87 | 247 | 73 |
| Griffin Canning R 2025 · 5.37 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.37 | 22.4% | 10.1% | 5.2% | .295 | 4.67 | 21.1% | 13.3% | 299 | -0.70 | 3.70 | 776 | 73 |
| Trace Bright R 2025 · 5.42 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.42 | 21.2% | 13.6% | 4.3% | .309 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.22 | 373 | 73 |
| Tony Dibrell R 2026 · 5.18 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.18 | 23.8% | 17.4% | 3.4% | .314 | 8.89 | 13.5% | -3.3% | 29 | +3.71 | 4.21 | 347 | 73 |
| Jackson Nezuh R 2024 · 5.06 FIP | 24 | SP | 5.06 | 23.6% | 10.4% | 4.8% | .259 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.77 | 258 | 73 |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.92 | 24.5% | 9.5% | 3.1% | .232 | 5.11 | 17.5% | 6.2% | 190 | +1.19 | 3.92 | 233 | 72 |
| Nick Pasquale R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.73 | 16.8% | 12.7% | 2.6% | .306 | 3.97 | 17.9% | 6.3% | 50 | -0.76 | 3.16 | 308 | 72 |
| David Griffin R 2026 · 4.94 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.94 | 16.6% | 9.8% | 3.7% | .285 | 6.04 | 14.5% | 4.2% | 81 | +1.10 | 4.52 | 239 | 72 |
| Aidan Foeller R 2024 · 4.45 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.45 | 23.4% | 10.6% | 3.6% | .218 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.45 | 149 | 71 |
| Hector Noesí R 2028 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.21 | 17.6% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 250 | 71 |
| Darien Smith R 2026 · 4.67 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.67 | 19.0% | 12.9% | 2.8% | .212 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 102 | 70 |
| Ben Meyer R 2026 · 5.32 FIP | 26 | SP | 5.32 | 19.4% | 13.1% | 4.0% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.27 | 387 | 70 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 40 | 21.8% | 11.5% | 1.42 | 5.07 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |