Seth Shuman — OGILVIE

Seth Shuman P Tacoma Rainiers

Age 28 RHP 6'1" / 195 lbs AAA peak 0.2 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION60 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 130122vR 114

ERA5.10

FIP5.10

K%15.5%

BB%4.3%

K-BB%11.1%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 66 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL6565

CMD5050

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	23	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	21	19	90	379	93	25	12	90%	4.3	18.9%	7.6%	11.3%	4.4%	3.69	4.86	—
2021	23	A+ RAW	Wilmington Blue Rocks	21	19	90	379	93	25	12	90%	4.3	24.5%	6.6%	17.9%	3.2%	3.69	3.60	—
2022	24	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	14	14	61	259	55	14	5	100%	4.4	16.4%	6.2%	10.1%	2.2%	3.23	3.70	—
2022	24	A+ RAW	Wilmington Blue Rocks	14	14	61	259	55	14	5	100%	4.4	21.2%	5.4%	15.8%	1.9%	3.23	3.05	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	4 levels	18	17	64	277	59	17	8	94%	3.5	14.1%	8.0%	6.1%	4.6%	4.10	5.47	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	4 levels	18	17	64	277	59	17	8	94%	3.5	14.1%	8.0%	6.1%	4.6%	4.10	5.47	—
2024	26	MIX RAW	4 levels	18	17	64	277	59	17	8	94%	3.5	21.3%	6.1%	15.2%	2.9%	4.10	3.68	—
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	17	107	464	94	21	23	50%	3.1	16.8%	4.1%	12.7%	5.7%	6.24	5.34	—
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	17	107	464	94	21	23	50%	3.1	16.8%	4.1%	12.7%	5.7%	6.24	5.34	—
2025	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	34	17	107	464	94	21	23	50%	3.1	20.3%	4.5%	15.7%	5.0%	6.24	4.73	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	28	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	43	0	60	253	46	27	2	0%	1.4	16.2%	9.7%	6.5%	0.5%	3.02	3.25	—
YTD	28	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	43	0	60	253	46	27	2	0%	1.4	16.2%	9.7%	6.5%	0.5%	3.02	3.25	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	28	AA RAW	SEA	6	0	12	48	6	5	1	0%	2.1	12.5%	10.4%	2.1%	2.1%	1.46	4.51	—
2026	28	AAA RAW	SEA	37	0	47	205	40	22	1	0%	1.3	19.5%	10.7%	8.8%	0.5%	3.42	3.08	—
ROS	28	MLB MLE	SEA	6	0	6	25	4	1	1	0%	1.0	15.5%	4.3%	11.1%	4.3%	5.10	5.10	-0.0
2026 TOT	28	MLB MLE	SEA	—	—	66	278	50	28	3	—	—	17.9%	10.1%	7.8%	1.1%	3.20	3.42	+1.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	SEA	63	0	66	280	45	14	12	0%	1.1	16.0%	5.1%	11.0%	4.3%	5.10	5.15	-0.4
2028	30	MLB MLE	SEA	59	0	62	263	43	15	12	0%	1.1	16.2%	5.7%	10.6%	4.4%	5.18	5.27	-0.5
2027	29	MLB CTX	SEA	23	0	24	101	16	5	4	0%	1.0	16.0%	5.1%	11.0%	4.3%	5.10	5.15	-0.2
2028	30	MLB CTX	SEA	32	0	34	144	23	8	6	0%	1.1	16.2%	5.7%	10.6%	4.4%	5.18	5.27	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		56	0	59	250	40	14	11	0%	1.1	16.1%	5.4%	10.7%	4.4%	5.15	4.84	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	135	47	37	0%	1.1	16.1%	5.4%	10.7%	4.4%	5.15	4.84	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		130	67	382	1632	272	110	63	52%	2.9	16.7%	6.8%	9.9%	3.9%	4.29	4.67	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		68	35	200	855	142	58	33	52%	2.9	16.7%	6.8%	9.9%	3.9%	4.29	4.67	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Seth Shuman (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.10	15.5%	4.3%	4.3%	—	5.21	16.1%	10.8%	128	+0.11	—	—	—
Ramon Delgado R 2016 · 4.60 FIP	29	SW	4.60	13.8%	5.9%	3.5%	.332	4.31	11.2%	7.2%	74	-0.29	4.31	135	85
Alfonso Sanchez R 2016 · 5.26 FIP	28	SW	5.26	15.9%	7.4%	4.7%	.244	5.55	11.2%	2.3%	115	+0.29	4.51	224	79
Donovan Hand R 2015 · 4.30 FIP	29	SW	4.30	11.1%	4.3%	2.9%	.305	4.56	12.5%	5.7%	140	+0.26	4.30	237	79
Bud Norris R 2015 · 4.68 FIP	30	SW	4.68	18.8%	8.2%	3.9%	.327	3.78	24.2%	15.5%	233	-0.90	3.51	316	78
Tanner Roark R 2015 · 4.46 FIP	28	SW	4.46	15.0%	4.9%	3.6%	.286	3.78	20.2%	12.9%	572	-0.68	3.13	942	75
Rodolfo Aguirre R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	30	SW	4.29	12.4%	6.9%	2.5%	.288	4.81	11.4%	1.3%	125	+0.52	3.39	212	74
Nelson Gonzalez R 2018 · 5.03 FIP	28	SW	5.03	19.2%	8.2%	4.6%	.311	6.22	16.9%	4.6%	74	+1.19	3.42	258	74
David Martinez R 2016 · 4.58 FIP	28	SW	4.58	14.9%	5.5%	3.7%	.368	4.88	15.0%	6.8%	136	+0.30	3.92	297	73
Christian Bergman R 2016 · 4.74 FIP	28	SW	4.74	15.3%	5.6%	4.0%	.309	4.62	15.0%	9.1%	322	-0.12	3.99	467	73
Josh Roeder R 2019 · 4.71 FIP	26	SW	4.71	15.1%	8.7%	3.3%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.71	175	72
Jose Pina R 2015 · 4.90 FIP	29	SW	4.90	16.9%	9.2%	3.8%	.231	3.66	13.6%	6.9%	246	-1.24	3.63	424	72
Casey Sadler R 2018 · 3.95 FIP	28	SW	3.95	16.0%	7.8%	2.2%	.298	3.35	23.2%	16.5%	145	-0.60	2.21	385	72
James Meeker R 2023 · 4.06 FIP	28	SW	4.06	17.5%	3.3%	3.7%	.291	4.47	17.5%	7.1%	51	+0.41	2.22	220	71
Francisco Cordova R 2015 · 5.51 FIP	31	SW	5.51	6.4%	4.6%	4.3%	.261	4.59	7.1%	-0.6%	83	-0.92	4.59	115	70
Tristan Beck R 2023 · 4.71 FIP	27	SW	4.71	19.2%	6.8%	4.3%	.271	3.84	19.4%	11.6%	170	-0.87	3.48	495	70
Chris Kachmar R 2023 · 4.82 FIP	26	SW	4.82	20.5%	7.8%	4.5%	.319	4.67	18.2%	7.1%	248	-0.15	4.29	360	70
Josh Lindblom R 2017 · 3.91 FIP	30	SW	3.91	18.7%	5.5%	3.1%	.333	3.50	27.2%	18.8%	45	-0.41	3.50	348	69
Chris Leroux R 2015 · 4.20 FIP	31	SU	4.20	15.2%	8.6%	2.4%	.279	4.08	13.5%	5.5%	140	-0.12	4.08	219	69
Reinier Roibal R 2016 · 4.37 FIP	27	SW	4.37	16.9%	7.1%	3.3%	.371	4.91	17.5%	5.7%	37	+0.54	3.11	133	69
Bernie Martinez R 2023 · 4.96 FIP	26	SW	4.96	14.8%	6.7%	4.1%	.355	—	—	—	—	—	1.01	126	69

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	66	15.9%	5.0%	1.69	5.13
Paolo Espino ('22)	1.2	82	19.4%	5.6%	1.82	4.70
Austin Pruitt ('23)	1.5	61	16.9%	5.6%	1.22	4.45
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Sam Gaviglio ('19)	1.5	98	19.3%	6.9%	1.69	4.84
Wade LeBlanc ('21)	2.4	81	18.0%	6.0%	1.67	4.61
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43