Seth Shuman
P
Rochester Red Wings
Age 28
RHP
6'1" / 195 lbs
AAA
peak 0.2 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION39 act + 69 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 135126vR 117
ERA5.16
FIP5.16
K%16.3%
BB%4.9%
K-BB%11.4%
ROS IP69
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 109 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | 21 | 19 | 90 | 379 | 93 | 25 | 12 | 90% | 4.3 | 18.9% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 4.9% | 3.69 | 5.14 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | 21 | 19 | 90 | 379 | 93 | 25 | 12 | 90% | 4.3 | 24.5% | 6.6% | 17.9% | 3.2% | 3.69 | 3.60 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | 14 | 14 | 61 | 259 | 55 | 14 | 5 | 100% | 4.4 | 16.4% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 2.0% | 3.23 | 3.58 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | 14 | 14 | 61 | 259 | 55 | 14 | 5 | 100% | 4.4 | 21.2% | 5.4% | 15.8% | 1.9% | 3.23 | 3.05 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 4 levels | 18 | 17 | 64 | 277 | 59 | 17 | 8 | 94% | 3.5 | 14.1% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.10 | 5.45 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 4 levels | 18 | 17 | 64 | 277 | 59 | 17 | 8 | 94% | 3.5 | 21.3% | 6.1% | 15.2% | 2.9% | 4.10 | 3.68 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 17 | 107 | 464 | 94 | 21 | 23 | 50% | 3.1 | 17.6% | 4.8% | 12.9% | 6.0% | 6.24 | 5.49 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 17 | 107 | 464 | 94 | 21 | 23 | 50% | 3.1 | 20.3% | 4.5% | 15.7% | 5.0% | 6.24 | 4.73 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | 28 | 0 | 39 | 167 | 30 | 19 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 16.6% | 10.7% | 5.9% | 0.0% | 3.43 | 3.05 | +0.7 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | WSH | 66 | 0 | 69 | 293 | 48 | 14 | 13 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.3% | 4.9% | 11.4% | 4.4% | 5.16 | 5.16 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | WSH | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.3% | 4.9% | 11.4% | 4.4% | 5.16 | 5.16 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 28 | MLB | WSH | — | — | 109 | 460 | 78 | 33 | 14 | — | — | 16.9% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 3.0% | 4.53 | 4.40 | +1.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 28 | MLB | WSH | — | — | 7 | 29 | 5 | 1 | 1 | — | — | 16.3% | 4.9% | 11.4% | 4.4% | 5.16 | 4.78 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | WSH | 63 | 0 | 66 | 280 | 47 | 15 | 12 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.8% | 5.5% | 11.2% | 4.4% | 5.15 | 5.21 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | WSH | 59 | 0 | 62 | 263 | 44 | 16 | 12 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.9% | 6.1% | 10.8% | 4.5% | 5.22 | 5.32 | -0.5 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | WSH | 23 | 0 | 24 | 101 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.8% | 5.5% | 11.2% | 4.4% | 5.15 | 5.21 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | WSH | 32 | 0 | 34 | 144 | 24 | 9 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.9% | 6.1% | 10.8% | 4.5% | 5.22 | 5.32 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 62 | 0 | 66 | 277 | 46 | 16 | 12 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.8% | 5.8% | 11.0% | 4.5% | 5.19 | 4.88 | -0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 140 | 49 | 37 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.8% | 5.8% | 11.0% | 4.5% | 5.19 | 4.88 | +1.2 | ||
| Career | — | 115 | 67 | 361 | 1546 | 263 | 107 | 64 | 58% | 3.1 | 17.0% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 4.1% | 4.41 | 4.81 | +2.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 64 | 37 | 200 | 856 | 145 | 59 | 35 | 58% | 3.1 | 17.0% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 4.1% | 4.41 | 4.81 | +1.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Seth Shuman (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.16 | 16.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | — | 5.26 | 16.8% | 11.0% | 128 | +0.10 | — | — | — |
| Ramon Delgado R 2027 · 4.73 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.73 | 13.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | .332 | 4.45 | 11.2% | 7.2% | 74 | -0.28 | 4.45 | 135 | 84 |
| Alfonso Sanchez R 2026 · 5.49 FIP | 28 | SW | 5.49 | 15.9% | 7.4% | 5.1% | .244 | 5.53 | 11.2% | 2.3% | 115 | +0.04 | 4.54 | 224 | 79 |
| Bud Norris R 2028 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.90 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 4.3% | .327 | 3.85 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 233 | -1.05 | 3.52 | 316 | 78 |
| Donovan Hand R 2027 · 4.29 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.29 | 11.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | .305 | 4.30 | 12.5% | 5.7% | 140 | +0.01 | 4.29 | 237 | 77 |
| Christian Bergman R 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.43 | 15.3% | 5.6% | 3.5% | .309 | 4.70 | 15.0% | 9.1% | 322 | +0.27 | 3.80 | 467 | 75 |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2026 · 6.03 FIP | 28 | SW | 6.03 | 17.0% | 10.1% | 5.6% | .289 | 4.41 | 8.3% | -7.5% | 10 | -1.62 | 3.92 | 233 | 74 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.14 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% | .348 | 3.66 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.48 | 2.38 | 160 | 74 |
| David Martinez R 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.57 | 14.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% | .368 | 4.96 | 15.0% | 6.8% | 136 | +0.39 | 3.84 | 297 | 74 |
| Tanner Roark R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.46 | 15.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | .286 | 3.78 | 20.2% | 12.9% | 572 | -0.68 | 3.13 | 942 | 74 |
| Josh Roeder R 2024 · 4.75 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.75 | 15.1% | 8.7% | 3.3% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.75 | 175 | 74 |
| Nelson Gonzalez R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.72 | 19.2% | 8.2% | 4.0% | .311 | 5.88 | 16.9% | 4.6% | 74 | +1.16 | 3.33 | 258 | 73 |
| Jose Pina R 2027 · 5.09 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.09 | 16.9% | 9.2% | 4.1% | .231 | 3.69 | 13.6% | 6.9% | 246 | -1.40 | 3.68 | 424 | 73 |
| Yoanner Negrin R 2029 · 4.02 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.02 | 15.1% | 7.5% | 2.3% | .256 | 3.39 | 15.0% | 8.5% | 270 | -0.63 | 3.19 | 485 | 72 |
| Rodolfo Aguirre R 2028 · 4.28 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.28 | 12.4% | 6.9% | 2.5% | .288 | 4.99 | 11.4% | 1.3% | 125 | +0.71 | 3.49 | 212 | 71 |
| Odrisamer Despaigne R 2026 · 4.54 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.54 | 12.6% | 5.3% | 3.3% | .289 | 3.95 | 15.5% | 7.0% | 329 | -0.59 | 3.16 | 593 | 71 |
| Asher Wojciechowski R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.02 | 23.4% | 6.5% | 3.8% | .299 | 4.94 | 21.5% | 13.1% | 323 | +0.92 | 3.19 | 678 | 71 |
| Jack Cushing R 2026 · 4.70 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.70 | 20.1% | 7.8% | 4.2% | .340 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.67 | 523 | 69 |
| Randy Wynne R 2026 · 4.77 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.77 | 14.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | .310 | 5.52 | 13.2% | 6.8% | 300 | +0.75 | 4.52 | 461 | 69 |
| Francisco Cordova R 2029 · 5.28 FIP | 31 | SW | 5.28 | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | .261 | 4.78 | 7.1% | -0.6% | 83 | -0.50 | 4.78 | 115 | 68 |
| Jason Berken R 2029 · 4.69 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.69 | 13.5% | 6.6% | 3.5% | .315 | 4.31 | 11.5% | 3.2% | 106 | -0.38 | 4.31 | 219 | 68 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 66 | 16.6% | 5.5% | 1.73 | 5.18 |
| Paolo Espino ('22) | 3 | 82 | 19.4% | 5.6% | 1.82 | 4.70 |
| Adam Morgan ('21) | 6 | 59 | 20.5% | 7.1% | 1.56 | 4.77 |
| Sam Gaviglio ('19) | 3 | 98 | 19.3% | 6.9% | 1.69 | 4.84 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Austin Pruitt ('23) | 5 | 61 | 16.9% | 5.6% | 1.22 | 4.45 |
| Wade LeBlanc ('21) | 6 | 81 | 18.0% | 6.0% | 1.67 | 4.61 |