Zach Neal
P
Las Vegas Aviators
Age 37
RHP
6'3" / 220 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION59 proj IP · Marcel + aging
ERA4.70
FIP4.93
xFIP4.83
SIERA4.84
K%18.1%
BB%8.5%
K-BB%9.6%
IP60
K†4545
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
FB Velo
p1089.0
Whiff%
p3523.1%
K%
p3620.2%
xwOBA vs
p100.405
CH-0.6
CT-1.1
FB-3.3
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.4 (SP) / 4.55 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 26 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | 28 | 27 | 168 | 713 | 100 | 35 | 17 | 12.1% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 4.67 | 4.65 | +1.5 |
| 2016 | 27 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 35 | 17 | 132 | 535 | 59 | 14 | 14 | 10.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.76 | 4.33 | +1.6 |
| 2017 | 28 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 27 | 16 | 114 | 478 | 53 | 10 | 14 | 10.0% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 5.23 | 4.68 | +1.0 |
| 2018 | 29 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 33 | 14 | 102 | 438 | 68 | 15 | 16 | 13.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.68 | 4.41 | +1.2 |
| 2022 | 33 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | 29 | 21 | 117 | 519 | 95 | 28 | 28 | 16.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.87 | 5.36 | +0.1 |
| 2023 | 34 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 32 | 12 | 101 | 457 | 79 | 29 | 26 | 15.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.60 | 5.99 | -0.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 37 | MLB | OAK | 60 | — | 60 | 252 | 45 | 21 | 9 | 18.1% | 8.5% | 3.5% | 4.70 | 4.93 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 38 | MLB | OAK | 51 | — | 51 | 217 | 37 | 20 | 8 | 16.9% | 9.2% | 3.9% | 5.10 | 5.37 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 184 | 107 | 733 | 3140 | 406 | 137 | 132 | 12.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.07 | 4.88 | +4.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 50 | 29 | 200 | 857 | 111 | 37 | 36 | 12.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.07 | 4.88 | +1.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Zach Neal (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.93 | 18.1% | 8.5% | 3.5% | — | 5.37 | 16.9% | 7.7% | 51 | +0.44 | — | — | — |
| Jean Machi R 2024 · 3.92 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.92 | 18.6% | 6.6% | 2.8% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.92 | 186 | 80 |
| Francisco Del Rosario R 2025 · 4.09 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.09 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 2.0% | .267 | 6.61 | 11.9% | -0.6% | 77 | +2.52 | 4.09 | 145 | 78 |
| Fernando Rodney R 2027 · 4.26 FIP | 38 | SW | 4.26 | 20.9% | 9.4% | 3.2% | .272 | 3.34 | 26.2% | 15.2% | 185 | -0.92 | 2.67 | 295 | 76 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 37 | SW | 4.04 | 22.0% | 8.1% | 3.2% | .289 | 4.08 | 16.8% | 1.6% | 44 | +0.04 | 3.51 | 219 | 76 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2024 · 4.59 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.59 | 19.4% | 6.7% | 4.2% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.83 | 208 | 74 |
| Chien-Ming Wang R 2025 · 4.52 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.52 | 13.0% | 7.8% | 2.8% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.13 | 183 | 73 |
| Tomoyuki Sugano R 2025 · 5.13 FIP | 36 | SW | 5.13 | 13.6% | 7.0% | 4.2% | .259 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.91 | 225 | 73 |
| Sergio Mitre R 2025 · 5.02 FIP | 36 | SW | 5.02 | 9.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | .282 | 4.48 | 11.8% | 5.3% | 103 | -0.54 | 4.48 | 156 | 72 |
| Rudy Gonzalez R 2025 · 4.56 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.56 | 15.8% | 7.1% | 3.5% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.32 | 119 | 71 |
| Kyle Lohse R 2026 · 5.53 FIP | 37 | SW | 5.53 | 14.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.98 | 211 | 71 |
| Ronald Belisario R 2025 · 4.74 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.74 | 12.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.10 | 126 | 69 |
| Alfredo Simon R 2024 · 5.63 FIP | 35 | SW | 5.63 | 12.3% | 9.6% | 4.3% | .335 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.69 | 261 | 68 |
| Zack Segovia R 2025 · 4.36 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.36 | 17.6% | 13.6% | 1.9% | .353 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 144 | 68 |
| Jason Motte R 2024 · 5.16 FIP | 35 | SU | 5.16 | 16.3% | 11.4% | 3.6% | .193 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.11 | 113 | 68 |
| Logan Ondrusek R 2025 · 4.35 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.35 | 19.2% | 7.3% | 3.5% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.35 | 138 | 67 |
| Jonathan Castellanos R 2026 · 5.02 FIP | 37 | SW | 5.02 | 11.0% | 9.0% | 3.1% | .348 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.56 | 394 | 66 |
| Mitch Talbot R 2024 · 5.05 FIP | 35 | SW | 5.05 | 13.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.70 | 162 | 65 |
| Salvador Valdez R 2025 · 4.24 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.24 | 17.1% | 8.2% | 2.8% | .405 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.65 | 326 | 65 |
| Felipe Paulino R 2024 · 6.00 FIP | 35 | SU | 6.00 | 19.2% | 9.4% | 6.1% | .385 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.68 | 150 | 65 |
| Joe Blanton R 2025 · 4.94 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.94 | 20.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | .319 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 240 | 64 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.