Ricky Castro
P
Wichita Wind Surge
Age 26
RHP
6'2" / 205 lbs
AA
2026 ROS PROJECTION45 act + 70 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128119vR 110
ERA4.83
FIP4.83
K%18.0%
BB%8.1%
K-BB%9.9%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 115 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 10 | 62 | 259 | 70 | 19 | 6 | 67% | 4.2 | 20.4% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 2.7% | 3.90 | 3.93 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 10 | 62 | 259 | 70 | 19 | 6 | 67% | 4.2 | 27.0% | 7.3% | 19.7% | 2.3% | 3.90 | 3.02 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | Wichita Wind Surge | 28 | 15 | 95 | 414 | 93 | 31 | 14 | 54% | 3.4 | 18.2% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 4.2% | 5.48 | 4.90 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | Wichita Wind Surge | 28 | 15 | 95 | 414 | 93 | 31 | 14 | 54% | 3.4 | 22.5% | 7.5% | 15.0% | 3.4% | 5.48 | 4.03 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | 20 | 4 | 45 | 211 | 55 | 18 | 5 | 20% | 2.2 | 22.1% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 2.7% | 5.44 | 3.90 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | MIN | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 53 | 24 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.0% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 3.4% | 4.83 | 4.83 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | MIN | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.0% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 3.4% | 4.83 | 4.83 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | MIN | — | — | 115 | 507 | 108 | 42 | 15 | — | — | 21.4% | 8.3% | 13.1% | 2.9% | 5.07 | 4.47 | +1.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | MIN | — | — | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 18.0% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 3.4% | 4.83 | 4.45 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | MIN | 66 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 54 | 24 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.6% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 3.4% | 4.80 | 4.81 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | MIN | 64 | 0 | 67 | 282 | 53 | 24 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.8% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 3.4% | 4.82 | 4.86 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | MIN | 25 | 0 | 26 | 110 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.6% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 3.4% | 4.80 | 4.81 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | MIN | 38 | 0 | 40 | 169 | 32 | 14 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.8% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 3.4% | 4.82 | 4.86 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 64 | 0 | 67 | 284 | 53 | 24 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.7% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 3.4% | 4.81 | 4.46 | +0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 158 | 71 | 30 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.7% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 3.4% | 4.81 | 4.46 | +2.2 | ||
| Career | — | 63 | 29 | 202 | 884 | 175 | 76 | 30 | 46% | 3.2 | 19.8% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 3.4% | 4.98 | 4.38 | +2.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 62 | 29 | 200 | 874 | 173 | 75 | 30 | 46% | 3.2 | 19.8% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 3.4% | 4.98 | 4.38 | +2.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ricky Castro (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.83 | 18.0% | 8.1% | 3.4% | — | 4.83 | 18.7% | 10.3% | 136 | +0.00 | — | — | — |
| Roberto Gómez R 2027 · 4.13 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.13 | 18.4% | 8.9% | 2.7% | .315 | 5.25 | 13.8% | 4.9% | 18 | +1.12 | 4.13 | 115 | 86 |
| Ryan Tapani R 2025 · 3.89 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.89 | 19.0% | 7.3% | 2.7% | .331 | 5.46 | 20.8% | 10.6% | 47 | +1.57 | 3.89 | 141 | 86 |
| Aaron Northcraft R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.16 | 16.1% | 8.3% | 2.5% | .309 | 3.28 | 24.1% | 13.4% | 34 | -0.88 | 3.28 | 252 | 86 |
| Josh Roeder R 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.75 | 15.1% | 8.7% | 3.3% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.75 | 175 | 86 |
| Felipe Gonzalez R 2025 · 4.71 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.71 | 18.3% | 9.2% | 3.6% | .337 | 3.27 | 22.7% | 12.7% | 50 | -1.44 | 3.27 | 339 | 82 |
| Jorge Reyes R 2027 · 5.25 FIP | 27 | SW | 5.25 | 15.9% | 8.5% | 4.4% | .307 | 3.44 | 14.2% | 6.2% | 129 | -1.81 | 3.32 | 227 | 81 |
| Taylor Grover R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.89 | 20.0% | 10.9% | 3.8% | .320 | 4.92 | 16.2% | 8.9% | 14 | +0.03 | 3.63 | 239 | 81 |
| Noah Bremer R 2025 · 4.24 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.24 | 18.0% | 9.4% | 2.7% | .292 | 5.88 | 13.1% | 1.2% | 46 | +1.64 | 3.14 | 271 | 80 |
| Phil Klein R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.83 | 18.1% | 11.0% | 1.6% | .280 | 3.17 | 24.5% | 17.9% | 97 | -0.66 | 3.17 | 178 | 80 |
| Kurt Heyer R 2025 · 4.03 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.03 | 14.1% | 6.7% | 2.3% | .337 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.65 | 178 | 79 |
| Kolton Mahoney R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.88 | 13.8% | 5.6% | 2.2% | .328 | 3.59 | 19.4% | 10.6% | 109 | -0.29 | 3.44 | 302 | 79 |
| Trent Baker R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.74 | 20.2% | 8.3% | 2.4% | .304 | 4.64 | 16.6% | 7.0% | 39 | +0.90 | 3.74 | 459 | 79 |
| Brooks Hall R 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.20 | 14.2% | 6.7% | 2.6% | .284 | 3.46 | 13.6% | 6.2% | 55 | -0.74 | 3.46 | 274 | 79 |
| Dakota Hawkins R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.90 | 16.7% | 6.8% | 2.5% | .243 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 167 | 79 |
| Ramon Delgado R 2029 · 4.73 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.73 | 13.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | .332 | 4.45 | 11.2% | 7.2% | 74 | -0.28 | 4.45 | 135 | 78 |
| Chris Kachmar R 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.65 | 20.5% | 7.8% | 4.2% | .319 | 4.96 | 18.4% | 6.6% | 242 | +0.31 | 4.39 | 353 | 78 |
| Dennis O'Grady R 2026 · 5.19 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.19 | 13.5% | 11.0% | 3.4% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.79 | 157 | 78 |
| Ranfi Casimiro R 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.48 | 16.4% | 10.7% | 2.6% | .285 | 4.76 | 8.4% | -0.2% | 16 | +0.28 | 3.84 | 420 | 78 |
| Colby Morris R 2025 · 5.76 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.76 | 16.2% | 11.8% | 4.6% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 105 | 78 |
| Mike Connolly R 2026 · 5.26 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.26 | 13.2% | 9.4% | 3.8% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.24 | 328 | 78 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 69 | 18.5% | 8.3% | 1.31 | 4.82 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| JC Ramírez ('17) | 3 | 83 | 17.0% | 7.7% | 1.30 | 4.33 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |