Dakota Hawkins — OGILVIE

Dakota Hawkins P Brooklyn Cyclones

Age 26 RHP 6'0" / 208 lbs A+ peak 0.2 · 2028

2026 ROS PROJECTION62 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118110vR 102

ERA4.48

FIP4.48

K%19.5%

BB%8.6%

K-BB%10.9%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 67 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL5050

CMD5555

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	5	0	8	29	8	2	0	0%	1.6	27.6%	6.9%	20.7%	0.0%	0.00	1.64	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	5	0	8	29	8	2	0	0%	1.6	27.6%	6.9%	20.7%	0.0%	0.00	1.64	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	5	0	8	29	8	2	0	0%	1.6	27.6%	6.9%	20.7%	0.0%	0.00	1.85	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	11	93	390	81	31	10	37%	3.1	16.3%	8.9%	7.4%	2.7%	4.47	4.31	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	11	93	390	81	31	10	37%	3.1	16.3%	8.9%	7.4%	2.7%	4.47	4.31	—
2024	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	11	93	390	81	31	10	37%	3.1	20.8%	7.9%	12.8%	2.6%	4.47	3.76	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	28	4	52	208	58	15	5	14%	1.8	21.8%	9.1%	12.7%	2.0%	2.44	3.50	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	28	4	52	208	58	15	5	14%	1.8	21.8%	9.1%	12.7%	2.0%	2.44	3.50	—
2025	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	28	4	52	208	58	15	5	14%	1.8	27.9%	7.2%	20.7%	2.4%	2.44	2.98	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	AAA MLE	Syracuse Mets	27	11	62	263	58	23	11	41%	2.3	17.5%	8.8%	8.7%	4.0%	4.82	4.94	—
YTD	26	AAA MLE	Syracuse Mets	27	11	62	263	58	23	11	41%	2.3	17.5%	8.8%	8.7%	4.0%	4.82	4.94	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	26	A+ RAW	NYM	17	7	39	152	33	9	3	41%	2.3	21.7%	5.9%	15.8%	2.0%	2.54	3.10	—
2026	26	AA RAW	NYM	8	3	19	91	21	10	5	38%	2.4	23.1%	11.0%	12.1%	5.5%	6.63	5.56	—
2026	26	AAA RAW	NYM	2	1	4	20	4	4	3	50%	1.9	20.0%	20.0%	0.0%	15.0%	19.64	12.18	—
ROS	26	MLB MLE	NYM	5	0	5	23	4	2	1	0%	1.1	19.5%	8.6%	10.9%	2.8%	4.48	4.48	+0.0
2026 TOT	26	MLB MLE	NYM	—	—	67	286	62	25	12	—	—	21.8%	8.7%	13.1%	4.1%	4.79	4.90	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	NYM	78	0	82	347	68	30	10	0%	1.1	19.7%	8.6%	11.2%	2.9%	4.48	4.50	+0.0
2028	28	MLB MLE	NYM	76	0	80	336	73	26	10	0%	1.0	21.8%	7.8%	13.9%	3.0%	4.36	4.29	+0.2
2029	29	MLB MLE	NYM	72	0	76	321	69	26	10	0%	1.1	21.6%	8.1%	13.5%	3.2%	4.40	4.42	+0.1
2030	30	MLB MLE	NYM	68	0	71	301	64	26	10	0%	1.1	21.3%	8.5%	12.8%	3.4%	4.52	4.60	-0.0
2027	27	MLB CTX	NYM	29	0	30	127	25	11	4	0%	1.0	19.7%	8.6%	11.2%	2.9%	4.48	4.50	+0.0
2028	28	MLB CTX	NYM	45	0	47	198	43	16	6	0%	1.0	21.8%	7.8%	13.9%	3.0%	4.36	4.29	+0.1
2029	29	MLB CTX	NYM	50	0	53	224	48	18	7	0%	1.1	21.6%	8.1%	13.5%	3.2%	4.40	4.42	+0.1
2030	30	MLB CTX	NYM	53	0	56	236	50	20	8	0%	1.1	21.3%	8.5%	12.8%	3.4%	4.52	4.60	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		177	0	186	786	167	65	25	0%	1.1	21.3%	8.2%	13.0%	3.1%	4.44	4.07	+1.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	179	70	27	0%	1.1	21.3%	8.2%	13.0%	3.1%	4.44	4.07	+1.1
Career	—	MLE		90	26	214	890	163	79	25	29%	2.4	18.3%	8.8%	9.4%	2.8%	3.91	4.22	+0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		84	24	200	832	152	74	23	29%	2.4	18.3%	8.8%	9.4%	2.8%	3.91	4.22	+0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Dakota Hawkins (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.48	19.5%	8.6%	2.8%	—	4.40	21.0%	12.8%	238	-0.08	—	—	—
Jorge Reyes R 2015 · 4.58 FIP	27	SW	4.58	15.9%	8.5%	3.2%	.307	3.49	14.2%	6.2%	129	-1.09	3.39	227	85
Roberto Gómez R 2017 · 3.95 FIP	27	SW	3.95	18.4%	8.9%	2.3%	.315	5.25	13.8%	4.9%	18	+1.30	3.95	115	85
Derek Gordon R 2016 · 4.62 FIP	25	SW	4.62	19.9%	9.3%	3.7%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	4.62	146	85
Billy Corcoran R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	19.5%	10.0%	2.7%	.308	5.16	16.5%	8.7%	206	+0.96	4.20	275	84
Coleman Huntley III R 2021 · 3.85 FIP	28	SW	3.85	20.2%	7.4%	2.8%	.348	3.56	23.4%	13.2%	86	-0.29	2.38	160	84
Taylor Grover R 2017 · 4.93 FIP	26	SW	4.93	20.0%	10.9%	3.9%	.320	4.89	16.2%	8.9%	14	-0.04	3.68	239	83
Edwin Quirarte R 2015 · 3.41 FIP	28	SW	3.41	16.7%	6.2%	1.7%	.311	3.48	12.7%	4.9%	83	+0.06	3.16	157	83
R.J. Alaniz R 2017 · 3.91 FIP	26	SU	3.91	20.7%	8.9%	2.6%	.318	3.28	23.8%	15.0%	96	-0.63	2.45	362	82
Felipe Gonzalez R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	25	SW	4.60	18.3%	9.2%	3.4%	.337	3.27	22.7%	12.7%	50	-1.33	3.27	339	81
Ariel Peña R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	26	SW	3.74	21.3%	9.5%	2.3%	.300	4.92	19.9%	5.6%	92	+1.18	3.74	223	80
Esmil Rogers R 2015 · 3.51 FIP	29	SW	3.51	18.5%	8.9%	1.6%	.348	2.86	21.7%	17.9%	40	-0.65	2.86	199	80
Trevor Cahill R 2015 · 4.13 FIP	27	SW	4.13	16.4%	9.4%	2.2%	.297	4.12	22.9%	12.0%	293	-0.01	3.37	556	80
Josh Roeder R 2019 · 4.71 FIP	26	SW	4.71	15.1%	8.7%	3.3%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.71	175	79
Jake Christianson R 2023 · 4.00 FIP	23	SW	4.00	17.9%	10.1%	2.1%	.309	4.72	16.4%	6.1%	105	+0.72	4.00	188	79
Ryan Tapani R 2019 · 3.86 FIP	25	SW	3.86	19.0%	7.3%	2.6%	.331	5.56	20.8%	10.6%	47	+1.70	3.86	141	79
Alex Colomé R 2015 · 3.33 FIP	26	SW	3.33	19.3%	5.9%	2.0%	.309	2.95	25.5%	19.3%	191	-0.38	2.72	530	79
Daniel Corcino R 2017 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	21.7%	11.4%	2.2%	.292	4.91	19.0%	7.9%	223	+0.98	3.84	299	79
Phil Klein R 2015 · 3.86 FIP	26	SW	3.86	18.1%	11.0%	1.6%	.280	3.10	24.5%	17.9%	97	-0.76	3.10	178	79
Ranfi Casimiro R 2018 · 4.62 FIP	26	SW	4.62	16.4%	10.7%	2.8%	.285	4.93	8.4%	-0.2%	16	+0.31	3.81	420	79
Calvin Drummond R 2016 · 3.55 FIP	26	SW	3.55	16.9%	11.1%	0.9%	.316	—	—	—	—	—	3.48	112	78

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.8	74	20.8%	8.3%	1.18	4.45
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Austin Voth ('24)	1.7	58	22.2%	8.2%	1.50	4.63
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19