Dakota Hawkins
P
Brooklyn Cyclones
Age 26
RHP
6'0" / 208 lbs
A+
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION43 act + 60 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120111vR 101
ERA4.44
FIP4.44
K%19.5%
BB%8.6%
K-BB%10.9%
ROS IP60
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 102 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 5 | 0 | 8 | 29 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1.6 | 27.6% | 6.9% | 20.7% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 1.64 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 5 | 0 | 8 | 29 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1.6 | 27.6% | 6.9% | 20.7% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 1.85 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 11 | 93 | 390 | 81 | 31 | 10 | 37% | 3.1 | 16.3% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 2.1% | 4.47 | 4.02 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 11 | 93 | 390 | 81 | 31 | 10 | 37% | 3.1 | 20.8% | 7.9% | 12.8% | 2.6% | 4.47 | 3.76 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 28 | 4 | 52 | 208 | 58 | 15 | 5 | 14% | 1.8 | 21.8% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 1.8% | 2.44 | 3.43 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 28 | 4 | 52 | 208 | 58 | 15 | 5 | 14% | 1.8 | 27.9% | 7.2% | 20.7% | 2.4% | 2.44 | 2.98 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AAA | Syracuse Mets | 19 | 7 | 43 | 171 | 38 | 11 | 3 | 37% | 2.3 | 16.7% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 2.5% | 3.35 | 3.90 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | NYM | 57 | 0 | 60 | 251 | 49 | 22 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.5% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 2.8% | 4.44 | 4.44 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | NYM | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 19.5% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 2.8% | 4.44 | 4.44 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | NYM | — | — | 102 | 422 | 87 | 33 | 10 | — | — | 20.6% | 7.7% | 12.9% | 2.4% | 3.98 | 4.22 | +1.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | NYM | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 19.5% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 2.8% | 4.44 | 4.06 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | NYM | 56 | 0 | 59 | 247 | 49 | 22 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.9% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 2.8% | 4.45 | 4.46 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | NYM | 54 | 0 | 57 | 240 | 48 | 21 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.0% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 3.0% | 4.50 | 4.54 | +0.0 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | NYM | 52 | 0 | 54 | 229 | 46 | 21 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.9% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | 4.59 | 4.66 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | NYM | 20 | 0 | 21 | 89 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.9% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 2.8% | 4.45 | 4.46 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | NYM | 31 | 0 | 33 | 139 | 28 | 12 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.0% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 3.0% | 4.50 | 4.54 | +0.0 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | NYM | 36 | 0 | 38 | 160 | 32 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.9% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | 4.59 | 4.66 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 89 | 0 | 93 | 394 | 79 | 35 | 12 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.9% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 3.0% | 4.53 | 4.19 | +1.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 169 | 75 | 26 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.9% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 3.0% | 4.53 | 4.19 | +2.8 | ||
| Career | — | 82 | 22 | 195 | 798 | 146 | 67 | 16 | 27% | 2.4 | 18.2% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 2.1% | 3.50 | 3.75 | +3.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 84 | 23 | 200 | 817 | 149 | 69 | 17 | 27% | 2.4 | 18.2% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 2.1% | 3.50 | 3.75 | +3.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Dakota Hawkins (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.44 | 19.5% | 8.6% | 2.8% | — | 4.55 | 19.9% | 11.0% | 170 | +0.11 | — | — | — |
| Derek Gordon R 2025 · 4.72 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.72 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.72 | 146 | 85 |
| Roberto Gómez R 2027 · 4.13 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.13 | 18.4% | 8.9% | 2.7% | .315 | 5.25 | 13.8% | 4.9% | 18 | +1.12 | 4.13 | 115 | 85 |
| Edwin Quirarte R 2028 · 3.59 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.59 | 16.7% | 6.2% | 2.0% | .311 | 3.45 | 12.7% | 4.9% | 83 | -0.14 | 3.21 | 157 | 84 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2028 · 4.14 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.14 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% | .348 | 3.66 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.48 | 2.38 | 160 | 84 |
| Taylor Grover R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.89 | 20.0% | 10.9% | 3.8% | .320 | 4.92 | 16.2% | 8.9% | 14 | +0.03 | 3.63 | 239 | 83 |
| R.J. Alaniz R 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.78 | 20.7% | 8.9% | 2.4% | .318 | 3.31 | 23.8% | 15.0% | 96 | -0.47 | 2.46 | 362 | 83 |
| Jorge Reyes R 2027 · 5.25 FIP | 27 | SW | 5.25 | 15.9% | 8.5% | 4.4% | .307 | 3.44 | 14.2% | 6.2% | 129 | -1.81 | 3.32 | 227 | 81 |
| Ariel Peña R 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.91 | 21.3% | 9.5% | 2.6% | .300 | 4.91 | 19.9% | 5.6% | 92 | +1.00 | 3.91 | 223 | 81 |
| Jack Dallas R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 18.9% | 6.8% | 2.1% | .292 | 5.11 | 20.4% | 15.3% | 41 | +1.57 | 3.08 | 210 | 81 |
| Felipe Gonzalez R 2025 · 4.71 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.71 | 18.3% | 9.2% | 3.6% | .337 | 3.27 | 22.7% | 12.7% | 50 | -1.44 | 3.27 | 339 | 80 |
| Esmil Rogers R 2029 · 3.51 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.51 | 18.5% | 8.9% | 1.6% | .348 | 2.88 | 21.7% | 17.9% | 40 | -0.63 | 2.88 | 199 | 80 |
| Wil Jensen R 2026 · 3.41 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.41 | 22.7% | 8.4% | 2.1% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 368 | 80 |
| Trevor Cahill R 2027 · 4.15 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.15 | 16.4% | 9.4% | 2.3% | .297 | 4.10 | 22.9% | 12.0% | 293 | -0.05 | 3.33 | 556 | 80 |
| Daniel Corcino R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.75 | 21.7% | 11.4% | 1.9% | .292 | 4.81 | 19.0% | 7.9% | 223 | +1.06 | 3.75 | 299 | 80 |
| Layne Somsen R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.72 | 19.5% | 12.5% | 1.3% | .265 | 4.04 | 19.9% | 6.7% | 92 | +0.32 | 3.67 | 154 | 79 |
| Jose Samayoa R 2026 · 3.56 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.56 | 16.6% | 9.9% | 1.1% | .286 | 4.12 | 17.3% | 9.4% | 226 | +0.56 | 3.56 | 262 | 79 |
| Alex Colomé R 2026 · 3.37 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.37 | 19.3% | 5.9% | 2.1% | .309 | 2.98 | 25.5% | 19.3% | 191 | -0.39 | 2.72 | 530 | 79 |
| Spencer Stockton R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.19 | 20.2% | 10.3% | 2.7% | .276 | 5.42 | 19.0% | 5.8% | 63 | +1.23 | 1.93 | 233 | 79 |
| Stephen Kohlscheen R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.95 | 15.6% | 8.1% | 2.1% | .311 | 4.02 | 22.8% | 15.0% | 90 | +0.07 | 2.39 | 167 | 79 |
| Calvin Drummond R 2026 · 3.51 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.51 | 16.9% | 11.1% | 0.8% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 112 | 79 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 57 | 19.8% | 8.8% | 1.13 | 4.49 |
| Jim Johnson ('18) | 4 | 63 | 20.7% | 8.0% | 0.90 | 4.19 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |
| Blaine Hardy ('19) | 5 | 50 | 18.6% | 7.7% | 1.11 | 3.91 |