Jarret Whorff
P
Wichita Wind Surge
Age 27
RHP
6'3" / 195 lbs
AA
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION34 act + 70 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122113vR 104
ERA4.54
FIP4.54
K%20.1%
BB%9.4%
K-BB%10.7%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 104 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 5 | 64 | 272 | 71 | 33 | 4 | 20% | 2.5 | 19.5% | 14.2% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 3.25 | 4.21 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 5 | 64 | 272 | 71 | 33 | 4 | 20% | 2.5 | 26.1% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 1.5% | 3.25 | 3.24 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 33 | 5 | 71 | 298 | 73 | 27 | 5 | 15% | 2.2 | 18.9% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 2.7% | 2.66 | 4.26 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 33 | 5 | 71 | 298 | 73 | 27 | 5 | 15% | 2.2 | 24.5% | 9.1% | 15.4% | 1.7% | 2.66 | 3.10 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 0 | 73 | 323 | 82 | 25 | 10 | 0% | 1.7 | 21.6% | 8.2% | 13.4% | 2.7% | 5.55 | 3.81 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 0 | 73 | 323 | 82 | 25 | 10 | 0% | 1.7 | 25.4% | 7.7% | 17.6% | 3.1% | 5.55 | 3.66 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | AA | Wichita Wind Surge | 25 | 0 | 34 | 164 | 27 | 12 | 9 | 0% | 1.3 | 13.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 10.69 | 6.96 | -0.9 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | MIN | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 59 | 28 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.1% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 2.9% | 4.54 | 4.54 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | MIN | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.1% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 2.9% | 4.54 | 4.54 | +0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 27 | MLB | MIN | — | — | 104 | 460 | 86 | 40 | 17 | — | — | 18.8% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 3.8% | 6.54 | 5.33 | +0.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 27 | MLB | MIN | — | — | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 20.1% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 2.9% | 4.54 | 4.16 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | MIN | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 58 | 27 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.3% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 3.0% | 4.57 | 4.60 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | MIN | 62 | 0 | 65 | 274 | 56 | 27 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.3% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 3.1% | 4.64 | 4.71 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | MIN | 58 | 0 | 61 | 257 | 52 | 26 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.1% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 3.3% | 4.77 | 4.87 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | MIN | 25 | 0 | 26 | 110 | 22 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.3% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 3.0% | 4.57 | 4.60 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | MIN | 34 | 0 | 36 | 152 | 31 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.3% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 3.1% | 4.64 | 4.71 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | MIN | 39 | 0 | 41 | 173 | 35 | 17 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.1% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 3.3% | 4.77 | 4.87 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 99 | 0 | 104 | 441 | 89 | 43 | 14 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.2% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 3.2% | 4.67 | 4.36 | +1.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 170 | 82 | 27 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.2% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 3.2% | 4.67 | 4.36 | +2.4 | ||
| Career | — | 125 | 10 | 241 | 1057 | 202 | 108 | 34 | 8% | 1.9 | 19.1% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 3.2% | 4.81 | 4.53 | +2.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 104 | 8 | 200 | 876 | 167 | 90 | 28 | 8% | 1.9 | 19.1% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 3.2% | 4.81 | 4.53 | +2.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jarret Whorff (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.54 | 20.1% | 9.4% | 2.9% | — | 4.72 | 20.2% | 10.5% | 194 | +0.18 | — | — | — |
| Justin De Fratus R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.88 | 18.8% | 8.3% | 2.4% | .325 | 4.53 | 12.4% | 6.9% | 279 | +0.65 | 3.88 | 500 | 87 |
| Austin Ross R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.86 | 22.9% | 8.0% | 3.1% | .295 | 3.60 | 12.4% | 5.2% | 127 | -0.26 | 3.19 | 269 | 87 |
| Dalier Hinojosa R 2028 · 3.56 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.56 | 20.4% | 9.8% | 1.7% | .283 | 4.38 | 18.7% | 6.1% | 24 | +0.82 | 3.56 | 104 | 87 |
| Cody Satterwhite R 2027 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 20.2% | 9.8% | 1.8% | .333 | 4.06 | 17.7% | 10.2% | 75 | +0.44 | 3.62 | 147 | 86 |
| Anthony Bass R 2026 · 3.57 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.57 | 16.5% | 7.0% | 1.8% | .300 | 3.39 | 21.6% | 14.2% | 123 | -0.18 | 2.93 | 432 | 85 |
| Miguel Mejia R 2027 · 3.46 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.46 | 19.6% | 7.2% | 2.0% | .359 | 5.26 | 12.8% | 2.8% | 47 | +1.80 | 3.46 | 108 | 84 |
| Luis Mateo R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.33 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.4% | .309 | 5.34 | 8.6% | -4.8% | 43 | +1.01 | 3.43 | 160 | 84 |
| Jaye Chapman R 2027 · 3.36 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.36 | 21.6% | 8.5% | 1.8% | .276 | 4.03 | 20.3% | 11.3% | 85 | +0.67 | 3.27 | 150 | 84 |
| Troy Neiman R 2025 · 3.84 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.84 | 18.1% | 8.3% | 2.2% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 199 | 84 |
| Roman Mendez R 2025 · 4.13 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.13 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 2.5% | .246 | 4.87 | 20.9% | 10.7% | 116 | +0.74 | 4.12 | 230 | 83 |
| Cole Sulser R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.43 | 22.6% | 10.2% | 1.7% | .321 | 2.78 | 28.2% | 18.4% | 140 | -0.65 | 2.29 | 538 | 83 |
| Trevin Michael R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.08 | 23.0% | 9.1% | 3.2% | .230 | 3.59 | 23.5% | 7.2% | 40 | -0.49 | 2.74 | 188 | 83 |
| Evan Gates R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.87 | 22.5% | 11.8% | 2.1% | .312 | 4.34 | 18.5% | 10.4% | 35 | +0.47 | 3.74 | 277 | 83 |
| Jordan Milbrath R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.88 | 21.5% | 9.5% | 2.5% | .284 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 386 | 83 |
| Ryan Cook R 2027 · 4.69 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.69 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.1% | .297 | 4.04 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.65 | 4.04 | 102 | 83 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2027 · 4.14 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.14 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% | .348 | 3.66 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.48 | 2.38 | 160 | 83 |
| Cody Hall R 2026 · 3.53 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.53 | 16.5% | 9.3% | 1.2% | .306 | 4.31 | 23.1% | 11.7% | 66 | +0.78 | 3.53 | 134 | 83 |
| Brett McKinney R 2025 · 5.06 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.06 | 18.5% | 9.9% | 4.1% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.42 | 183 | 82 |
| Ryan Doolittle R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.06 | 15.1% | 6.7% | 2.5% | .315 | 4.62 | 13.9% | 6.8% | 44 | +0.56 | 4.06 | 101 | 82 |
| Pedro Beato R 2027 · 3.40 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.40 | 17.4% | 7.5% | 1.5% | .276 | 4.18 | 19.0% | 11.2% | 192 | +0.78 | 3.40 | 295 | 82 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 66 | 20.2% | 9.6% | 1.18 | 4.63 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |