Jarret Whorff — OGILVIE

Jarret Whorff P Wichita Wind Surge

Age 27 RHP 6'3" / 195 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION50 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119111vR 103

ERA4.54

FIP4.54

K%19.5%

BB%8.7%

K-BB%10.8%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 57 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL5050

CMD5050

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	5	64	272	71	33	4	20%	2.5	19.5%	14.2%	5.2%	1.8%	3.25	4.24	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	5	64	272	71	33	4	20%	2.5	19.5%	14.2%	5.2%	1.8%	3.25	4.24	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	5	64	272	71	33	4	20%	2.5	26.1%	12.1%	14.0%	1.5%	3.25	3.24	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	33	5	71	298	73	27	5	15%	2.2	18.9%	10.2%	8.8%	2.3%	2.66	4.04	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	33	5	71	298	73	27	5	15%	2.2	18.9%	10.2%	8.8%	2.3%	2.66	4.04	—
2024	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	33	5	71	298	73	27	5	15%	2.2	24.5%	9.1%	15.4%	1.7%	2.66	3.10	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	42	0	73	323	82	25	10	0%	1.7	20.9%	7.2%	13.7%	3.0%	5.55	3.92	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	42	0	73	323	82	25	10	0%	1.7	20.9%	7.2%	13.7%	3.0%	5.55	3.92	—
2025	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	42	0	73	323	82	25	10	0%	1.7	25.4%	7.7%	17.6%	3.1%	5.55	3.66	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	27	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	40	0	50	243	53	18	10	0%	1.3	17.2%	8.3%	8.8%	5.0%	9.30	5.44	—
YTD	27	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	40	0	50	243	53	18	10	0%	1.3	17.2%	8.3%	8.8%	5.0%	9.30	5.44	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	27	A+ RAW	MIN	21	0	24	113	31	9	2	0%	1.1	27.4%	8.0%	19.5%	1.8%	7.12	2.76	—
2026	27	AA RAW	MIN	19	0	26	130	22	9	8	0%	1.4	16.9%	6.9%	10.0%	6.2%	11.28	5.93	—
ROS	27	MLB MLE	MIN	6	0	6	27	5	2	1	0%	1.1	19.5%	8.7%	10.8%	2.9%	4.54	4.54	+0.0
2026 TOT	27	MLB MLE	MIN	—	—	57	270	58	20	11	—	—	21.6%	7.5%	14.0%	4.0%	8.77	5.34	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	MIN	65	0	68	287	57	26	9	0%	1.0	19.8%	8.9%	10.8%	3.0%	4.57	4.60	-0.0
2028	29	MLB MLE	MIN	62	0	65	274	54	25	9	0%	1.0	19.8%	9.2%	10.6%	3.2%	4.65	4.71	-0.1
2027	28	MLB CTX	MIN	25	0	26	110	22	10	3	0%	1.0	19.8%	8.9%	10.8%	3.0%	4.57	4.60	-0.0
2028	29	MLB CTX	MIN	34	0	36	152	30	14	5	0%	1.1	19.8%	9.2%	10.6%	3.2%	4.65	4.71	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		59	0	62	261	52	24	8	0%	1.0	19.8%	9.1%	10.7%	3.1%	4.62	4.29	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	169	78	26	0%	1.1	19.8%	9.1%	10.7%	3.1%	4.62	4.29	+0.6
Career	—	MLE		140	10	258	1136	219	113	34	7%	1.8	19.2%	9.9%	9.3%	3.0%	4.92	4.35	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		109	8	200	881	169	87	26	7%	1.8	19.2%	9.9%	9.3%	3.0%	4.92	4.35	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jarret Whorff (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.54	19.5%	8.7%	2.9%	—	4.65	19.8%	10.7%	133	+0.11	—	—	—
Justin De Fratus R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	27	SU	3.84	18.8%	8.3%	2.3%	.325	4.61	12.4%	6.9%	279	+0.77	3.84	500	89
Austin Ross R 2016 · 3.81 FIP	27	SU	3.81	22.9%	8.0%	3.0%	.295	3.67	12.4%	5.2%	127	-0.14	3.16	269	87
Cody Satterwhite R 2015 · 3.71 FIP	28	SU	3.71	20.2%	9.8%	1.9%	.333	4.04	17.7%	10.2%	75	+0.33	3.69	147	87
Anthony Bass R 2015 · 3.56 FIP	27	SU	3.56	16.5%	7.0%	1.8%	.300	3.43	21.6%	14.2%	123	-0.13	2.93	432	86
Andrew Robinson R 2015 · 3.77 FIP	27	SU	3.77	17.6%	6.3%	2.5%	.246	3.64	22.7%	14.4%	97	-0.13	3.19	160	85
Troy Neiman R 2017 · 4.03 FIP	26	SU	4.03	18.1%	8.3%	2.5%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	4.03	199	85
Miguel Mejia R 2016 · 3.37 FIP	28	SU	3.37	19.6%	7.2%	1.8%	.359	5.21	12.8%	2.8%	47	+1.84	3.37	108	85
Brett McKinney R 2017 · 4.66 FIP	26	SU	4.66	18.5%	9.9%	3.4%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	3.43	183	85
Ryan Doolittle R 2015 · 4.03 FIP	27	SU	4.03	15.1%	6.7%	2.5%	.315	4.38	13.9%	6.8%	44	+0.35	4.03	101	85
Pedro Beato R 2015 · 3.47 FIP	28	SU	3.47	17.4%	7.5%	1.6%	.276	3.93	19.0%	11.2%	192	+0.46	3.47	295	85
Dalier Hinojosa R 2015 · 3.41 FIP	29	SU	3.41	20.4%	9.8%	1.4%	.283	4.30	18.7%	6.1%	24	+0.89	3.41	104	84
Ryan Kelly R 2015 · 3.52 FIP	27	SU	3.52	20.3%	7.5%	2.1%	.241	3.21	20.8%	14.2%	43	-0.31	2.49	131	84
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	84
Ryan Cook R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	16.5%	9.9%	3.2%	.297	3.96	25.1%	14.3%	50	-0.77	3.96	102	84
Michael Dimock R 2017 · 4.12 FIP	27	SU	4.12	18.9%	7.8%	2.9%	.339	3.37	23.5%	12.8%	29	-0.75	3.08	166	83
Tristan Archer R 2018 · 3.65 FIP	27	SU	3.65	18.0%	7.2%	2.1%	.286	5.11	15.0%	6.8%	30	+1.46	2.40	321	83
Cole Sulser R 2017 · 3.52 FIP	27	SU	3.52	22.6%	10.2%	1.9%	.321	2.85	28.2%	18.4%	140	-0.67	2.39	547	83
Cody Hall R 2015 · 3.51 FIP	27	SU	3.51	16.5%	9.3%	1.1%	.306	4.08	23.1%	11.7%	66	+0.57	3.51	134	83
Nolan Clenney R 2023 · 4.79 FIP	27	SU	4.79	22.6%	10.1%	4.2%	.341	4.58	17.2%	7.5%	71	-0.21	3.73	223	83
Coleman Huntley III R 2021 · 3.85 FIP	28	SW	3.85	20.2%	7.4%	2.8%	.348	3.56	23.4%	13.2%	86	-0.29	2.38	160	83

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	68	19.7%	8.9%	1.18	4.59
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78