Jarret Whorff
P
Wichita Wind Surge
+0.5
WAR
Age 27
RHP
6'3" / 195 lbs
AA
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
peak 0.5 · 2026
ERA4.40
FIP4.40
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%21.6%
BB%9.3%
K-BB%12.3%
IP71
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.5peak
2026
K†5050
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 24 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | 25 | 5 | 64 | 272 | 71 | 33 | 4 | 19.5% | 14.2% | 1.8% | 3.25 | 4.24 | +0.5 |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | 33 | 5 | 71 | 298 | 73 | 27 | 5 | 18.9% | 10.2% | 2.4% | 2.66 | 4.08 | +0.8 |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | 42 | 0 | 73 | 323 | 82 | 25 | 10 | 21.6% | 8.2% | 2.8% | 5.55 | 3.84 | +1.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | AA | Wichita Wind Surge | 4 | 0 | 6 | 29 | 6 | 3 | 2 | — | — | — | 9.53 | — | — |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | MIN | 13 | 13 | 71 | 300 | 65 | 28 | 9 | 21.6% | 9.3% | 2.8% | 4.40 | 4.40 | +0.5 |
| 2026 Total | 27 | MLB | MIN | — | — | 77 | 329 | 71 | 31 | 11 | 21.5% | 9.4% | 3.2% | 4.78 | 4.08 | +0.9 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | MIN | 13 | 13 | 70 | 296 | 64 | 28 | 9 | 21.7% | 9.4% | 2.9% | 4.40 | 4.41 | +0.5 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | MIN | 12 | 12 | 68 | 289 | 63 | 27 | 8 | 21.7% | 9.4% | 2.9% | 4.43 | 4.45 | +0.4 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | MIN | 12 | 12 | 66 | 280 | 61 | 27 | 8 | 21.6% | 9.5% | 3.0% | 4.47 | 4.51 | +0.4 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB | MIN | 12 | 12 | 64 | 270 | 58 | 26 | 8 | 21.4% | 9.6% | 3.1% | 4.53 | 4.58 | +0.3 |
| 2031 | 32 | MLB | MIN | 11 | 11 | 61 | 259 | 55 | 25 | 8 | 21.1% | 9.8% | 3.2% | 4.61 | 4.66 | +0.2 |
| 2032 | 33 | MLB | MIN | 59 | — | 59 | 247 | 52 | 25 | 8 | 20.8% | 10.0% | 3.2% | 4.70 | 4.76 | +0.1 |
| 2033 | 34 | MLB | MIN | 56 | — | 56 | 235 | 48 | 24 | 8 | 20.5% | 10.2% | 3.3% | 4.80 | 4.87 | +0.1 |
| 2034 | 35 | MLB | MIN | 52 | — | 52 | 222 | 45 | 23 | 8 | 20.1% | 10.4% | 3.5% | 4.92 | 4.99 | -0.0 |
| 2035 | 36 | MLB | MIN | 49 | — | 49 | 207 | 41 | 22 | 7 | 19.7% | 10.7% | 3.6% | 5.04 | 5.13 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 104 | 10 | 213 | 922 | 185 | 99 | 23 | 20.1% | 10.7% | 2.5% | 4.01 | 4.12 | +2.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 98 | 9 | 200 | 864 | 173 | 93 | 22 | 20.1% | 10.7% | 2.5% | 4.01 | 4.12 | +2.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jarret Whorff (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.40 | 21.6% | 9.3% | 2.8% | — | 4.46 | 21.7% | 12.3% | 205 | +0.06 | — | — | — |
| Cody Satterwhite R 2027 · 3.72 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.72 | 20.2% | 9.8% | 2.0% | .333 | 4.05 | 17.7% | 10.2% | 75 | +0.33 | 3.70 | 147 | 90 |
| Austin Ross R 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.80 | 22.9% | 8.0% | 3.0% | .295 | 3.70 | 12.4% | 5.2% | 127 | -0.10 | 3.17 | 269 | 90 |
| Jaye Chapman R 2027 · 3.34 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.34 | 21.6% | 8.5% | 1.8% | .276 | 4.07 | 20.3% | 11.3% | 85 | +0.73 | 3.25 | 150 | 90 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2027 · 3.91 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.91 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 2.9% | .348 | 3.55 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.36 | 2.38 | 160 | 88 |
| Ryan Kelly R 2026 · 3.50 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.50 | 20.3% | 7.5% | 2.1% | .241 | 3.22 | 20.8% | 14.2% | 43 | -0.28 | 2.49 | 131 | 88 |
| Cole Sulser R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.54 | 22.6% | 10.2% | 1.9% | .321 | 2.87 | 28.2% | 18.4% | 140 | -0.67 | 2.39 | 509 | 86 |
| Taylor Williams R 2026 · 3.48 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.48 | 24.2% | 8.9% | 2.4% | .309 | 4.33 | 22.5% | 12.7% | 108 | +0.85 | 2.36 | 309 | 86 |
| Dalier Hinojosa R 2028 · 3.41 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.41 | 20.4% | 9.8% | 1.4% | .283 | 4.31 | 18.7% | 6.1% | 24 | +0.90 | 3.41 | 104 | 86 |
| Trevin Michael R 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.82 | 23.0% | 9.1% | 2.8% | .230 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.68 | 149 | 85 |
| Steve Geltz R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.88 | 22.7% | 8.6% | 2.9% | .209 | 4.78 | 22.2% | 12.0% | 89 | +0.90 | 3.57 | 157 | 85 |
| Bryan Shaw R 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.91 | 20.4% | 6.8% | 3.0% | .276 | 3.53 | 23.3% | 15.0% | 198 | -0.38 | 2.86 | 596 | 85 |
| Pedro Beato R 2027 · 3.46 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.46 | 17.4% | 7.5% | 1.6% | .276 | 3.94 | 19.0% | 11.2% | 192 | +0.48 | 3.46 | 295 | 85 |
| Derek Gordon R 2024 · 4.59 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.59 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.59 | 146 | 85 |
| Miguel Mejia R 2027 · 3.35 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.35 | 19.6% | 7.2% | 1.8% | .359 | 5.13 | 12.8% | 2.8% | 47 | +1.78 | 3.35 | 108 | 85 |
| Jorge Reyes R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.66 | 15.9% | 8.5% | 3.3% | .307 | 3.46 | 14.2% | 6.2% | 129 | -1.20 | 3.35 | 227 | 85 |
| Al Alburquerque R 2028 · 3.56 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.56 | 21.4% | 11.1% | 1.6% | .330 | 3.23 | 21.3% | 12.5% | 114 | -0.33 | 2.83 | 228 | 84 |
| Andrew Robinson R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.75 | 17.6% | 6.3% | 2.4% | .246 | 3.68 | 22.7% | 14.4% | 97 | -0.07 | 3.25 | 160 | 84 |
| Brett McKinney R 2025 · 4.57 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.57 | 18.5% | 9.9% | 3.2% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 183 | 84 |
| Evan Gates R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.02 | 22.5% | 11.8% | 2.4% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.66 | 242 | 84 |
| Bryan Evans R 2027 · 4.19 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.19 | 17.8% | 6.2% | 3.3% | .250 | 4.61 | 19.7% | 14.9% | 132 | +0.42 | 3.86 | 231 | 84 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +0.4 | $2M | +$0.9M |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +0.3 | $1M | +$0.5M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +0.2 | $0.9M | +$0.0M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | +0.1 | $0.5M | +$0.2M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $5M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $7M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $15M | $5M | -$11M | ||