Cameron Foster — OGILVIE

Cameron Foster P Norfolk Tides

Age 27 RHP 6'5" / 240 lbs AAA peak 0.2 · 2026 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION26 act + 3 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 108100vR 92

ERA3.95

FIP3.95

K%22.1%

BB%9.5%

K-BB%12.6%

ROS IP3

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 29 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

CT (20%)

FB-0.9 (58%)

SL-1.0 (22%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	24	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	18	16	81	346	85	31	8	89%	4.5	18.9%	10.3%	8.6%	2.7%	4.20	4.31	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	18	16	81	346	85	31	8	89%	4.5	18.9%	10.3%	8.6%	2.7%	4.20	4.31	—
2023	24	A+ RAW	Brooklyn Cyclones	18	16	81	346	85	31	8	89%	4.5	24.6%	9.0%	15.6%	2.3%	4.20	3.43	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	27	9	72	317	68	33	7	33%	2.7	17.4%	11.5%	5.9%	3.2%	3.64	4.83	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	27	9	72	317	68	33	7	33%	2.7	17.4%	11.5%	5.9%	3.2%	3.64	4.83	—
2024	25	AA RAW	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	27	9	72	317	68	33	7	33%	2.7	21.5%	10.4%	11.0%	2.2%	3.64	3.85	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	1	46	190	62	16	2	3%	1.4	26.7%	8.1%	18.6%	1.2%	3.11	2.54	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	1	46	190	62	16	2	3%	1.4	26.7%	8.1%	18.6%	1.2%	3.11	2.54	—
2025	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	34	1	46	190	62	16	2	3%	1.4	32.6%	8.4%	24.2%	1.1%	3.11	2.02	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			6	0	9	49	9	8	1	0%	1.5	18.4%	16.3%	2.0%	2.0%	9.00	5.21	-0.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	27	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	22	0	26	133	29	16	7	0%	1.2	19.2%	7.8%	11.4%	4.8%	9.35	5.09	—
YTD	27	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	22	0	26	133	29	16	7	0%	1.2	19.2%	7.8%	11.4%	4.8%	9.35	5.09	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	27	A+ RAW	BAL	3	0	3	15	4	2	3	0%	1.0	26.7%	13.3%	13.3%	20.0%	12.00	13.51	—
2026	27	AAA RAW	BAL	13	0	14	69	16	6	3	0%	1.1	23.2%	8.7%	14.5%	4.3%	9.00	4.63	—
2026	27	MLB RAW	BAL	6	0	9	49	9	8	1	0%	1.5	18.4%	16.3%	2.0%	2.0%	9.00	4.74	—
SO FAR	27	MLB RAW	BAL	6	0	9	49	9	8	1	0%	1.5	18.4%	16.3%	2.0%	2.0%	9.00	4.74	—
ROS	27	MLB MLE	BAL	3	0	3	12	3	1	0	0%	1.0	22.1%	9.5%	12.6%	2.8%	3.95	3.95	+0.0
ROS	27	MLB CTX	BAL	3	0	3	13	3	1	0	0%	1.0	22.1%	9.5%	12.6%	2.8%	3.95	3.95	+0.0
2026 TOT	27	MLB MLE	BAL	—	—	29	145	32	17	7	—	—	21.8%	11.8%	10.0%	5.1%	8.81	4.98	-0.1
FULL	27	MLB A+C	BAL	—	—	12	50	32	17	7	—	—	63.2%	34.2%	29.0%	14.6%	21.41	10.12	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	BAL	32	0	33	140	31	15	4	0%	1.0	22.1%	10.5%	11.5%	2.8%	4.45	4.48	+0.0
2027	28	MLB CTX	BAL	30	0	32	135	30	14	4	0%	1.1	22.1%	10.5%	11.5%	2.8%	4.45	4.48	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		39	0	43	194	41	23	5	0%	1.1	21.1%	11.9%	9.2%	2.6%	5.36	4.25	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		179	0	200	895	189	106	23	0%	1.1	21.1%	11.9%	9.2%	2.6%	5.36	4.25	+0.7
Career	—	MLE		101	26	225	986	197	98	28	26%	2.2	20.0%	9.9%	10.1%	2.9%	4.39	4.24	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		90	23	200	875	175	87	25	26%	2.2	20.0%	9.9%	10.1%	2.9%	4.39	4.24	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Cameron Foster (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.29	22.6%	9.7%	2.7%	—	4.48	22.1%	11.5%	33	+0.19	—	—	—
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	82
Blake Smith R 2015 · 3.17 FIP	27	SU	3.17	23.3%	10.5%	1.3%	.290	3.59	22.4%	13.8%	71	+0.42	3.17	124	80
Cole Sulser R 2017 · 3.52 FIP	27	SU	3.52	22.6%	10.2%	1.9%	.321	2.85	28.2%	18.4%	140	-0.67	2.39	547	80
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	80
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.37	14.7%	3.6%	156	+0.91	4.46	215	80
Jake Stinnett R 2019 · 4.23 FIP	27	SW	4.23	21.1%	12.2%	2.5%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	2.88	356	80
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.86	18.0%	10.2%	272	-1.00	3.52	390	80
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	79
Joe Navilhon R 2019 · 3.23 FIP	26	SU	3.23	20.5%	7.7%	1.6%	.322	4.28	23.4%	16.7%	99	+1.05	2.25	273	79
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	79
Austin Ross R 2016 · 3.81 FIP	27	SU	3.81	22.9%	8.0%	3.0%	.295	3.67	12.4%	5.2%	127	-0.14	3.16	269	79
Grant Sides R 2016 · 3.83 FIP	27	SU	3.83	22.4%	11.9%	2.0%	.247	3.31	21.7%	11.9%	47	-0.52	3.31	159	79
Coleman Huntley III R 2021 · 3.85 FIP	28	SW	3.85	20.2%	7.4%	2.8%	.348	3.56	23.4%	13.2%	86	-0.29	2.38	160	78
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.55	17.5%	6.5%	168	+0.67	3.88	202	78
Ronald Peña R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	27	SU	4.55	20.5%	12.6%	2.9%	.355	4.49	16.5%	6.1%	39	-0.06	3.72	187	78
Michael Dimock R 2017 · 4.12 FIP	27	SU	4.12	18.9%	7.8%	2.9%	.339	3.37	23.5%	12.8%	29	-0.75	3.08	166	78
Cody Satterwhite R 2015 · 3.71 FIP	28	SU	3.71	20.2%	9.8%	1.9%	.333	4.04	17.7%	10.2%	75	+0.33	3.69	147	78
Sam Gardner R 2023 · 4.04 FIP	26	SU	4.04	23.8%	15.1%	1.9%	.298	3.07	26.7%	16.7%	73	-0.97	2.28	118	78
Brett McKinney R 2017 · 4.66 FIP	26	SU	4.66	18.5%	9.9%	3.4%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	3.43	183	78
Jordan Milbrath R 2019 · 4.01 FIP	27	SU	4.01	21.5%	9.5%	2.8%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	3.19	386	78

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	32	22.3%	10.1%	1.07	4.37
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
Cory Gearrin ('19)	1.1	57	21.5%	9.8%	0.79	3.42
Trevor Gott ('23)	1.0	51	22.0%	7.4%	0.79	3.97