Grant Judkins — OGILVIE

Grant Judkins P Lansing Lugnuts

Age 28 RHP 6'3" / 215 lbs A+ peak 0.1 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 140131vR 123

ERA5.60

FIP5.60

K%13.9%

BB%9.9%

K-BB%4.0%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 6 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL5050

CMD4040

K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	23	A MLE	Stockton Ports	14	11	49	222	63	21	11	79%	3.5	21.0%	11.2%	9.8%	5.5%	6.29	5.77	—
2021	23	A RAW	Stockton Ports	14	11	49	222	63	21	11	79%	3.5	28.4%	9.5%	18.9%	5.0%	6.29	4.74	—
2022	24	A MLE	Stockton Ports	15	13	66	309	66	35	12	87%	4.4	15.8%	13.4%	2.4%	5.0%	5.43	6.22	—
2022	24	A RAW	Stockton Ports	15	13	66	309	66	35	12	87%	4.4	21.4%	11.3%	10.0%	3.9%	5.43	5.04	—
2024	26	A+ MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	25	12	83	343	75	27	10	48%	3.3	16.8%	9.1%	7.8%	4.2%	3.56	5.13	—
2024	26	A+ MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	25	12	83	343	75	27	10	48%	3.3	16.8%	9.1%	7.8%	4.2%	3.56	5.13	—
2024	26	A+ RAW	Lansing Lugnuts	25	12	83	343	75	27	10	48%	3.3	21.9%	7.9%	14.0%	2.9%	3.56	3.83	—
2025	27	A+ MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	24	24	124	531	103	42	20	100%	5.2	14.9%	9.1%	5.8%	5.1%	4.73	5.80	—
2025	27	A+ MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	24	24	124	531	103	42	20	100%	5.2	14.9%	9.1%	5.8%	5.1%	4.73	5.80	—
2025	27	A+ RAW	Lansing Lugnuts	24	24	124	531	103	42	20	100%	5.2	19.4%	7.9%	11.5%	3.8%	4.73	4.56	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	28	MLB	OAK	1	1	6	25	4	3	1	100%	6.0	13.9%	9.9%	4.0%	3.7%	5.60	5.60	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	OAK	12	12	73	308	45	31	12	100%	6.1	14.6%	10.1%	4.5%	3.8%	5.55	5.60	-0.6
2028	30	MLB MLE	OAK	11	11	69	290	43	30	11	100%	6.2	14.9%	10.3%	4.6%	3.9%	5.59	5.68	-0.6
2027	29	MLB CTX	OAK	4	4	22	93	14	9	4	100%	5.5	14.6%	10.1%	4.5%	3.8%	5.55	5.60	-0.2
2028	30	MLB CTX	OAK	6	6	35	148	22	15	6	100%	5.8	14.9%	10.3%	4.6%	3.9%	5.59	5.68	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	9	57	240	36	25	9	100%	6.3	14.8%	10.2%	4.6%	3.9%	5.57	5.27	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	127	88	32	100%	6.0	14.8%	10.2%	4.6%	3.9%	5.57	5.27	-0.8
Career	—	MLE		78	60	322	1405	233	145	69	77%	4.1	16.5%	10.4%	6.2%	4.9%	4.81	5.72	-1.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		48	37	200	873	144	90	43	77%	4.1	16.5%	10.4%	6.2%	4.9%	4.81	5.72	-1.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Grant Judkins (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.60	13.9%	9.9%	3.7%	—	5.64	14.8%	4.6%	142	+0.04	—	—	—
Miguel Ruiz R 2015 · 5.77 FIP	29	SP-	5.77	8.8%	8.0%	4.4%	.346	5.60	10.6%	-0.4%	53	-0.17	5.60	117	82
Jair Jurrjens R 2015 · 4.59 FIP	29	SP-	4.59	10.3%	6.9%	2.7%	.365	4.27	16.3%	8.4%	54	-0.32	4.27	125	81
David Griffin R 2023 · 5.85 FIP	27	SP-	5.85	13.9%	9.2%	5.0%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	4.43	239	80
Andrew Quezada R 2023 · 5.33 FIP	26	SP-	5.33	14.4%	9.5%	4.1%	.344	4.92	12.5%	5.0%	173	-0.41	4.40	412	79
Andres Ivan Meza R 2015 · 4.45 FIP	28	SP	4.45	10.9%	5.6%	2.9%	.322	4.14	12.5%	4.0%	85	-0.31	4.14	275	79
Jordan Cooper R 2015 · 5.01 FIP	26	SP	5.01	9.2%	10.2%	2.5%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	5.01	106	78
Brady Rodgers R 2019 · 5.44 FIP	28	SP-	5.44	14.7%	9.0%	4.4%	.270	—	—	—	—	—	1.98	354	78
Daniel Guerrero R 2016 · 4.81 FIP	31	SP	4.81	12.4%	11.6%	2.3%	.328	4.93	11.7%	2.0%	175	+0.12	4.61	269	78
Clayton Mortensen R 2015 · 4.41 FIP	30	SP-	4.41	15.0%	12.6%	1.8%	.289	4.43	22.0%	10.3%	115	+0.02	4.31	221	77
Kris Medlen R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	29	SP-	4.82	15.4%	6.4%	4.0%	.261	5.17	17.1%	8.6%	173	+0.35	4.59	261	77
Caleb Clay R 2015 · 4.67 FIP	27	SP	4.67	9.9%	6.9%	2.8%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	4.67	111	76
Vanny Valenzuela R 2016 · 4.54 FIP	28	SP	4.54	16.3%	11.3%	2.5%	.380	6.25	10.9%	1.2%	25	+1.71	3.26	118	75
Jacob Turner R 2018 · 4.48 FIP	27	SP-	4.48	14.9%	8.8%	2.8%	.297	—	—	—	—	—	4.29	340	75
Juan Omar Espinoza R 2015 · 4.81 FIP	31	SP-	4.81	8.9%	6.6%	3.0%	.346	4.84	8.4%	-0.8%	52	+0.03	4.81	104	75
Matt Cain R 2015 · 4.88 FIP	30	SP-	4.88	17.1%	6.8%	4.3%	.296	4.87	15.2%	7.6%	214	-0.01	4.82	294	74
Felipe Paulino R 2015 · 4.55 FIP	31	SP	4.55	15.8%	11.8%	2.3%	.312	4.93	15.0%	4.8%	26	+0.38	4.55	150	74
Brannon Easterling R 2017 · 4.40 FIP	26	SP-	4.40	12.7%	8.2%	2.4%	.322	—	—	—	—	—	3.50	334	74
M.D. Johnson R 2023 · 5.64 FIP	26	SP	5.64	16.4%	12.7%	4.2%	.254	3.52	14.6%	4.7%	67	-2.12	3.52	395	73
Omar Bencomo R 2017 · 4.50 FIP	28	SP-	4.50	18.9%	6.3%	4.0%	.333	4.48	14.9%	10.1%	186	-0.02	3.70	381	72
Colin Bates R 2015 · 4.57 FIP	27	SP-	4.57	10.5%	6.5%	2.8%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.57	111	72

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.1	73	14.5%	10.1%	1.47	5.58
Eddie Butler ('18)	1.2	62	13.3%	9.8%	1.49	5.74
Dylan Covey ('23)	1.5	73	15.4%	9.9%	1.53	6.14
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Sal Romano ('21)	1.3	86	17.0%	8.8%	1.29	5.10
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43