Grant Judkins P Lansing Lugnuts
Age 28 RHP 6'3" / 215 lbs A+ peak 0.2 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 76 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 147138vR 129
ERA5.72
FIP5.72
K%13.9%
BB%10.0%
K-BB%3.9%
ROS IP76
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 76 IP
K: -5.5 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-6KBB: -1.3 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-1BBCONTACT: -6.2 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-6CONTACTSTAM: +6.1 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+6STAMTotal WAR: -0.73 (76 IP)-0.7WAR
-0.3-0.4-0.52628
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF3535
CTRL5050
CMD4040
K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202123AStockton Ports14114922263211179%3.521.0%11.2%9.8%4.8%6.295.40
202123AStockton Ports14114922263211179%3.528.4%9.5%18.9%5.0%6.294.74
202224AStockton Ports15136630966351287%4.415.8%13.4%2.4%5.0%5.436.22
202224AStockton Ports15136630966351287%4.421.4%11.3%10.0%3.9%5.435.04
202426A+Lansing Lugnuts25128334375271048%3.316.8%9.1%7.8%5.0%3.565.55
202426A+Lansing Lugnuts25128334375271048%3.321.9%7.9%14.0%2.9%3.563.83
202527A+Lansing Lugnuts24241245311034220100%5.214.9%9.1%5.8%5.6%4.736.06
202527A+Lansing Lugnuts24241245311034220100%5.219.4%7.9%11.5%3.8%4.734.56
▸ 2026 Season
202628MLBOAK131376323453213100%5.913.9%10.0%3.9%3.9%5.725.72-0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202729MLBOAK121273308453112100%6.114.6%10.1%4.5%4.0%5.665.71-0.8
202830MLBOAK111169290433012100%6.214.9%10.4%4.6%4.1%5.695.78-0.8
202729MLBOAK4422931494100%5.514.6%10.1%4.5%4.0%5.665.71-0.3
202830MLBOAK663514822156100%5.814.9%10.4%4.6%4.1%5.695.78-0.5
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career9957240362510100%6.314.8%10.3%4.5%4.1%5.685.37-0.5
/ 200 IP33332008441278835100%6.014.8%10.3%4.5%4.1%5.685.37+0.1
Career786032214052331457377%4.116.5%10.4%6.2%5.2%4.815.87-1.8
/ 200 IP4837200873144904577%4.116.5%10.4%6.2%5.2%4.815.87-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Grant Judkins (OGILVIE) 5.72 13.9%10.0%3.9% 5.74 14.8%4.5%142 +0.02
Miguel Ruiz R 2027 · 6.00 FIP 29 SP- 6.00 8.8%8.0%4.8%.346 5.44 10.6%-0.4%53 -0.56 5.44 117 82
Matt Harvey R 2026 · 5.77 FIP 28 SP 5.77 15.5%10.2%4.9%.298 4.76 19.0%12.0%249 -1.01 2.90 806 81
David Fletcher R 2028 · 5.92 FIP 30 SP- 5.92 7.6%10.5%3.9%.294 5.92 100 81
David Griffin R 2025 · 6.04 FIP 27 SP- 6.04 14.5%10.3%5.2%.306 4.52 239 80
Jordan Cooper R 2024 · 5.05 FIP 26 SP 5.05 9.2%10.2%2.6%.305 5.05 106 78
Brady Rodgers R 2026 · 5.58 FIP 28 SP- 5.58 14.7%9.0%4.7%.270 1.98 354 78
Kris Medlen R 2027 · 4.77 FIP 29 SP- 4.77 15.4%6.4%4.0%.261 5.16 17.1%8.6%173 +0.39 4.66 261 77
Jacob Turner R 2025 · 4.69 FIP 27 SP- 4.69 14.9%8.8%3.2%.297 4.34 340 76
Daniel Guerrero R 2029 · 4.64 FIP 31 SP 4.64 12.4%11.6%2.0%.328 4.73 11.7%2.0%175 +0.09 4.49 269 75
Dylan Cumming R 2025 · 4.71 FIP 27 SP 4.71 16.4%7.6%3.7%.306 3.69 366 75
Caleb Clay R 2025 · 4.63 FIP 27 SP 4.63 9.9%6.9%2.7%.324 4.63 111 75
Vanny Valenzuela R 2026 · 4.66 FIP 28 SP 4.66 16.3%11.3%2.8%.380 7.26 10.9%1.2%25 +2.60 3.26 118 75
Mat Latos R 2026 · 4.94 FIP 28 SP- 4.94 13.4%9.6%3.2%.279 5.79 16.8%5.6%41 +0.85 3.68 244 75
Matt Cain R 2028 · 4.90 FIP 30 SP- 4.90 17.1%6.8%4.3%.296 4.88 15.2%7.6%214 -0.02 4.83 294 74
Felipe Paulino R 2029 · 4.68 FIP 31 SP 4.68 15.8%11.8%2.6%.312 4.79 15.0%4.8%26 +0.11 4.68 150 74
Juan Omar Espinoza R 2029 · 4.68 FIP 31 SP- 4.68 8.9%6.6%2.7%.346 4.95 8.4%-0.8%52 +0.27 4.68 104 74
Brett Gillis R 2024 · 5.10 FIP 26 SP 5.10 15.8%9.1%4.0%.231 3.37 119 73
Andrew Quezada R 2026 · 5.26 FIP 28 SP- 5.26 11.3%9.5%3.5%.368 4.25 412 73
Daniel Corcino R 2026 · 5.66 FIP 28 SP 5.66 17.5%12.2%4.5%.259 3.75 299 72
Kyle Brnovich R 2026 · 6.70 FIP 28 SP 6.70 15.2%10.0%6.6%.282 3.69 333 72

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION37314.5%10.2%1.555.69
Ross Detwiler ('22)55117.3%9.5%1.766.03
Dylan Covey ('23)47315.4%9.9%1.536.14
Eddie Butler ('18)46213.3%9.8%1.495.74
Mike Wright Jr. ('19)55217.7%8.4%1.536.00
Edwin Jackson ('19)57517.0%9.7%1.755.37
Roansy Contreras ('24)37719.5%10.1%1.364.78