Grant Judkins
P
Lansing Lugnuts
+0.0
WAR
Age 28
RHP
6'3" / 215 lbs
A+
peak 0.3 · 2027
ERA5.10
FIP5.10
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%18.7%
BB%9.1%
K-BB%9.6%
IP109
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2027
STUF3535
CTRL5050
CMD4040
K†4040
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | A | Stockton Ports | 14 | 11 | 49 | 222 | 63 | 21 | 11 | 21.0% | 11.2% | 5.4% | 6.29 | 5.71 | -0.4 |
| 2022 | 24 | A | Stockton Ports | 15 | 13 | 66 | 309 | 66 | 35 | 12 | 15.8% | 13.4% | 5.0% | 5.43 | 6.22 | -0.9 |
| 2024 | 26 | A+ | Lansing Lugnuts | 25 | 12 | 83 | 343 | 75 | 27 | 10 | 16.8% | 9.1% | 4.3% | 3.56 | 5.17 | -0.0 |
| 2025 | 27 | A+ | Lansing Lugnuts | 24 | 24 | 124 | 531 | 103 | 42 | 20 | 14.9% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 4.73 | 5.83 | -0.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | OAK | 20 | 20 | 109 | 461 | 78 | 46 | 17 | 16.9% | 9.9% | 3.7% | 5.36 | 5.36 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | OAK | 19 | 19 | 107 | 450 | 78 | 44 | 17 | 17.3% | 9.8% | 3.7% | 5.27 | 5.29 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | OAK | 19 | 19 | 103 | 437 | 76 | 42 | 16 | 17.5% | 9.7% | 3.7% | 5.24 | 5.27 | +0.0 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | OAK | 18 | 18 | 100 | 421 | 74 | 41 | 16 | 17.4% | 9.7% | 3.7% | 5.26 | 5.30 | -0.0 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB | OAK | 17 | 17 | 96 | 404 | 70 | 40 | 15 | 17.3% | 9.8% | 3.8% | 5.31 | 5.36 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 33 | MLB | OAK | 17 | 17 | 92 | 386 | 66 | 39 | 15 | 17.0% | 10.0% | 3.9% | 5.40 | 5.45 | -0.2 |
| 2032 | 34 | MLB | OAK | 16 | 16 | 87 | 367 | 61 | 37 | 15 | 16.6% | 10.2% | 4.0% | 5.50 | 5.56 | -0.4 |
| 2033 | 35 | MLB | OAK | 15 | 15 | 82 | 346 | 56 | 36 | 14 | 16.2% | 10.4% | 4.1% | 5.61 | 5.69 | -0.5 |
| 2034 | 36 | MLB | OAK | 14 | 14 | 77 | 323 | 58 | 32 | 14 | 17.8% | 9.9% | 4.2% | 5.57 | 5.55 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 78 | 60 | 322 | 1405 | 233 | 145 | 70 | 16.5% | 10.4% | 5.0% | 4.81 | 5.74 | -1.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 48 | 37 | 200 | 873 | 145 | 90 | 43 | 16.5% | 10.4% | 5.0% | 4.81 | 5.74 | -1.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Grant Judkins (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.36 | 16.9% | 9.9% | 3.7% | — | 5.29 | 17.4% | 7.7% | 310 | -0.07 | — | — | — |
| Jose Pina R 2027 · 4.86 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.86 | 16.9% | 9.2% | 3.7% | .231 | 3.67 | 13.6% | 6.9% | 246 | -1.19 | 3.65 | 424 | 89 |
| Hector Noesí R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.38 | 17.6% | 8.1% | 3.2% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.38 | 250 | 89 |
| Lisalverto Bonilla R 2025 · 4.60 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.60 | 18.2% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .304 | 4.72 | 15.8% | 3.2% | 11 | +0.12 | 3.22 | 221 | 85 |
| Matt Harvey R 2026 · 5.94 FIP | 28 | SP- | 5.94 | 15.5% | 10.2% | 5.2% | .298 | 4.62 | 19.0% | 12.0% | 249 | -1.32 | 2.90 | 806 | 84 |
| Jacob Turner R 2025 · 4.43 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.43 | 14.9% | 8.8% | 2.7% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.34 | 340 | 84 |
| Bud Norris R 2028 · 4.64 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.64 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 3.8% | .327 | 3.81 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 233 | -0.83 | 3.39 | 316 | 84 |
| Felipe Paulino R 2029 · 4.52 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.52 | 15.8% | 11.8% | 2.3% | .312 | 4.86 | 15.0% | 4.8% | 26 | +0.34 | 4.52 | 150 | 83 |
| Luke Irvine R 2025 · 4.31 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.31 | 13.4% | 9.8% | 2.0% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.31 | 104 | 83 |
| Dennis O'Grady R 2024 · 4.98 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.98 | 13.5% | 11.0% | 3.0% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 157 | 82 |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2026 · 6.02 FIP | 28 | SP- | 6.02 | 17.0% | 10.1% | 5.6% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.70 | 223 | 82 |
| Scott McGregor R 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.41 | 11.8% | 7.6% | 2.4% | .293 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.41 | 107 | 82 |
| Josh Roeder R 2024 · 4.72 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.72 | 15.1% | 8.7% | 3.3% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.72 | 175 | 82 |
| Jason Berken R 2029 · 4.36 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.36 | 13.5% | 6.6% | 2.9% | .315 | 4.51 | 11.5% | 3.2% | 106 | +0.15 | 4.36 | 219 | 82 |
| Iván Nova R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.30 | 15.3% | 8.0% | 2.7% | .283 | 4.33 | 17.3% | 13.1% | 510 | +0.03 | 4.13 | 810 | 81 |
| Kris Medlen R 2027 · 4.76 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.76 | 15.4% | 6.4% | 3.9% | .261 | 5.17 | 17.1% | 8.6% | 173 | +0.41 | 4.58 | 261 | 81 |
| Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.37 | 14.6% | 9.8% | 2.3% | .311 | 3.92 | 17.3% | 6.4% | 44 | -0.45 | 3.92 | 272 | 80 |
| Hector Galvan R 2026 · 4.97 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.97 | 11.2% | 8.5% | 3.2% | .307 | 4.27 | 13.2% | 3.1% | 162 | -0.70 | 3.59 | 406 | 80 |
| David Griffin R 2025 · 5.94 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.94 | 14.5% | 10.3% | 5.0% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 239 | 80 |
| Mike Connolly R 2024 · 5.12 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.12 | 13.2% | 9.4% | 3.5% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.88 | 328 | 79 |
| Frank Batista R 2024 · 4.27 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.27 | 12.1% | 8.2% | 2.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.27 | 118 | 79 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.