TJ Shook — OGILVIE

TJ Shook P Albuquerque Isotopes

Age 28 RHP 6'4" / 217 lbs AAA peak 0.2 · 2026 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION64 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 10597vR 89

ERA3.79

FIP3.79

K%21.9%

BB%7.0%

K-BB%14.9%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL6060

CMD6060

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	13	13	53	229	71	28	7	100%	4.1	21.7%	13.8%	8.0%	3.4%	4.96	4.90	—
2021	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	13	13	53	229	71	28	7	100%	4.1	31.0%	12.2%	18.8%	3.1%	4.96	3.73	—
2022	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	21	114	512	118	57	22	84%	4.6	18.3%	12.4%	6.0%	5.3%	4.74	6.01	—
2022	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	21	114	512	118	57	22	84%	4.6	23.0%	11.1%	11.9%	4.3%	4.74	5.04	—
2023	25	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	25	12	97	412	107	36	13	48%	3.9	21.0%	9.6%	11.4%	3.6%	4.62	4.51	—
2023	25	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	25	12	97	412	107	36	13	48%	3.9	21.0%	9.6%	11.4%	3.6%	4.62	4.51	—
2023	25	AA RAW	Biloxi Shuckers	25	12	97	412	107	36	13	48%	3.9	26.0%	8.7%	17.2%	3.2%	4.62	3.75	—
2024	26	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	30	11	85	366	107	29	9	37%	2.8	23.7%	8.7%	15.0%	3.5%	4.66	4.15	—
2024	26	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	30	11	85	366	107	29	9	37%	2.8	23.7%	8.7%	15.0%	3.5%	4.66	4.15	—
2024	26	AA RAW	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	30	11	85	366	107	29	9	37%	2.8	29.2%	7.9%	21.3%	2.5%	4.66	2.98	—
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	2	56	231	61	17	5	6%	1.6	22.2%	6.5%	15.8%	2.4%	2.41	3.35	—
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	2	56	231	61	17	5	6%	1.6	22.2%	6.5%	15.8%	2.4%	2.41	3.35	—
2025	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	36	2	56	231	61	17	5	6%	1.6	26.4%	7.4%	19.0%	2.2%	2.41	2.99	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			5	0	8	36	7	2	3	0%	1.5	19.4%	5.6%	13.9%	8.3%	8.22	7.14	-0.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	28	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	52	0	64	279	56	32	9	0%	1.2	16.7%	11.1%	5.6%	2.7%	4.08	4.58	—
YTD	28	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	52	0	64	279	56	32	9	0%	1.2	16.7%	11.1%	5.6%	2.7%	4.08	4.58	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	28	AAA RAW	COL	47	0	56	243	49	30	6	0%	1.2	20.2%	12.3%	7.8%	2.5%	3.51	4.32	—
2026	28	MLB RAW	COL	5	0	8	36	7	2	3	0%	1.5	19.4%	5.6%	13.9%	8.3%	8.22	6.74	—
SO FAR	28	MLB RAW	COL	5	0	8	36	7	2	3	0%	1.5	19.4%	5.6%	13.9%	8.3%	8.22	6.74	—
ROS	28	MLB MLE	COL	6	0	6	27	6	2	1	0%	1.1	21.9%	7.0%	14.9%	3.0%	3.79	3.79	+0.1
ROS	28	MLB CTX	COL	6	0	6	25	6	2	1	0%	1.0	21.9%	7.0%	14.9%	3.0%	3.79	3.79	+0.1
2026 TOT	28	MLB MLE	COL	—	—	70	306	62	34	10	—	—	20.2%	11.1%	9.1%	3.2%	4.05	4.51	+0.1
FULL	28	MLB A+C	COL	—	—	14	59	62	34	10	—	—	104.8%	57.4%	47.4%	16.6%	20.40	10.64	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	COL	122	0	128	540	119	37	19	0%	1.0	22.1%	6.9%	15.2%	3.5%	4.34	4.40	+0.2
2028	30	MLB MLE	COL	115	0	120	508	110	37	19	0%	1.0	21.7%	7.2%	14.5%	3.6%	4.47	4.56	-0.0
2027	29	MLB CTX	COL	116	0	122	515	114	35	18	0%	1.1	22.1%	6.9%	15.2%	3.5%	4.34	4.40	+0.2
2028	30	MLB CTX	COL	109	0	114	481	104	35	18	0%	1.0	21.7%	7.2%	14.5%	3.6%	4.47	4.56	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		236	0	250	1059	231	74	39	0%	1.1	21.8%	7.0%	14.8%	3.7%	4.50	4.18	+1.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		189	0	200	847	185	59	31	0%	1.1	21.8%	7.0%	14.8%	3.7%	4.50	4.18	+0.9
Career	—	MLE		181	59	469	2029	415	212	76	33%	2.6	20.5%	10.5%	10.0%	3.7%	4.36	4.74	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		77	25	200	865	177	91	32	33%	2.6	20.5%	10.5%	10.0%	3.7%	4.36	4.74	+0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
TJ Shook (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.05	22.7%	6.6%	3.0%	—	4.48	21.9%	14.9%	248	+0.43	—	—	—
Coleman Huntley III R 2021 · 3.85 FIP	28	SW	3.85	20.2%	7.4%	2.8%	.348	3.56	23.4%	13.2%	86	-0.29	2.38	160	80
Danny Farquhar R 2015 · 3.85 FIP	28	SU	3.85	22.4%	6.8%	3.2%	.324	3.84	22.0%	12.8%	135	-0.01	3.62	224	78
Bud Norris R 2015 · 4.68 FIP	30	SW	4.68	18.8%	8.2%	3.9%	.327	3.78	24.2%	15.5%	233	-0.90	3.51	316	77
Nick Merkel R 2023 · 3.99 FIP	25	SU	3.99	22.8%	7.1%	3.5%	.284	3.44	20.7%	10.3%	129	-0.55	3.15	205	75
Tristan Beck R 2023 · 4.71 FIP	27	SW	4.71	19.2%	6.8%	4.3%	.271	3.84	19.4%	11.6%	170	-0.87	3.48	495	74
Asher Wojciechowski R 2017 · 3.99 FIP	28	SW	3.99	23.4%	6.5%	3.7%	.299	5.06	21.5%	13.1%	323	+1.07	3.15	678	74
Phil Klein R 2016 · 3.10 FIP	27	SW	3.10	24.5%	6.6%	2.2%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	3.10	178	74
Austin Pruitt R 2018 · 3.29 FIP	28	SU	3.29	19.3%	5.1%	2.1%	.279	4.18	20.6%	15.0%	113	+0.89	2.94	819	73
Jose Pina R 2015 · 4.90 FIP	29	SW	4.90	16.9%	9.2%	3.8%	.231	3.66	13.6%	6.9%	246	-1.24	3.63	424	73
Elian Leyva R 2018 · 3.10 FIP	29	SU	3.10	17.7%	7.3%	1.0%	.308	4.30	17.0%	8.5%	71	+1.20	3.10	158	72
Andrew Kittredge R 2018 · 3.66 FIP	28	SU	3.66	21.6%	6.6%	2.8%	.336	2.70	28.9%	24.6%	159	-0.96	2.47	688	72
Forrest Snow R 2017 · 3.46 FIP	28	SW	3.46	24.0%	7.6%	2.6%	.321	5.22	19.4%	11.6%	146	+1.76	3.02	406	72
Taylor Cole R 2018 · 3.70 FIP	28	SU	3.70	25.4%	10.4%	2.6%	.291	3.49	22.0%	13.9%	72	-0.21	3.49	433	71
Blake Smith R 2016 · 3.59 FIP	28	SU	3.59	22.4%	8.6%	2.4%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.17	124	71
Ryan Brasier R 2016 · 3.68 FIP	28	SU	3.68	25.0%	7.7%	3.1%	.289	3.09	24.2%	17.9%	130	-0.59	2.31	426	71
Andrew Robinson R 2016 · 3.19 FIP	28	SU	3.19	22.2%	7.9%	1.8%	.247	4.32	23.4%	14.6%	39	+1.13	3.19	160	70
Edwin Quirarte R 2015 · 3.41 FIP	28	SW	3.41	16.7%	6.2%	1.7%	.311	3.48	12.7%	4.9%	83	+0.06	3.16	157	70
Tiago Da Silva R 2015 · 3.10 FIP	30	SW	3.10	19.6%	4.5%	2.0%	.278	2.38	21.4%	18.5%	98	-0.72	2.21	287	69
Luis Santos R 2019 · 4.31 FIP	28	SU	4.31	22.9%	10.0%	3.4%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.53	472	69
Tanner Roark R 2015 · 4.46 FIP	28	SW	4.46	15.0%	4.9%	3.6%	.286	3.78	20.2%	12.9%	572	-0.68	3.13	942	69

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.9	124	22.2%	6.9%	1.31	4.29
Kutter Crawford ('24)	2.0	130	23.9%	7.2%	1.45	4.47
Luis Garcia ('23)	1.7	113	25.5%	7.7%	1.19	3.63
Mike Foltynewicz ('21)	4.0	134	21.4%	7.7%	1.46	4.45
Zach Plesac ('23)	2.3	93	18.4%	6.3%	1.39	4.20
Tyler Skaggs ('19)	1.7	85	22.9%	8.2%	1.09	4.24
Yonny Chirinos ('24)	1.7	84	18.9%	6.6%	1.38	4.37