TJ Shook
P
Albuquerque Isotopes
Age 28
RHP
6'4" / 217 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2026
ILReassigned to Minors (RM)
2026 ROS PROJECTION43 act + 84 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 10697vR 88
ERA3.80
FIP3.80
K%22.7%
BB%6.8%
K-BB%15.9%
ROS IP84
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 127 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 13 | 13 | 53 | 229 | 71 | 28 | 7 | 100% | 4.1 | 21.7% | 13.8% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 4.96 | 4.82 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 13 | 13 | 53 | 229 | 71 | 28 | 7 | 100% | 4.1 | 31.0% | 12.2% | 18.8% | 3.1% | 4.96 | 3.73 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 21 | 114 | 512 | 118 | 57 | 22 | 84% | 4.6 | 18.3% | 12.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.74 | 6.08 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 21 | 114 | 512 | 118 | 57 | 22 | 84% | 4.6 | 23.0% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 4.3% | 4.74 | 5.04 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | 25 | 12 | 97 | 412 | 107 | 36 | 13 | 48% | 3.9 | 21.0% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 3.4% | 4.62 | 4.41 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | 25 | 12 | 97 | 412 | 107 | 36 | 13 | 48% | 3.9 | 26.0% | 8.7% | 17.2% | 3.2% | 4.62 | 3.75 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AA | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | 30 | 11 | 85 | 366 | 107 | 29 | 9 | 37% | 2.8 | 23.7% | 8.7% | 15.0% | 4.4% | 4.66 | 4.63 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AA | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | 30 | 11 | 85 | 366 | 107 | 29 | 9 | 37% | 2.8 | 29.2% | 7.9% | 21.3% | 2.5% | 4.66 | 2.98 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 2 | 56 | 231 | 61 | 17 | 5 | 6% | 1.6 | 22.2% | 6.5% | 15.8% | 2.4% | 2.41 | 3.36 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 2 | 56 | 231 | 61 | 17 | 5 | 6% | 1.6 | 26.4% | 7.4% | 19.0% | 2.2% | 2.41 | 2.99 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 34 | 0 | 43 | 180 | 46 | 15 | 9 | 0% | 1.3 | 23.0% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 4.3% | 3.77 | 4.74 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | COL | 80 | 0 | 84 | 356 | 81 | 24 | 11 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.7% | 6.8% | 15.9% | 3.2% | 3.80 | 3.80 | +1.3 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | COL | 80 | 0 | 84 | 355 | 81 | 24 | 11 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.7% | 6.8% | 15.9% | 3.2% | 3.80 | 3.80 | +1.2 |
| 2026 TOT | 28 | MLB | COL | — | — | 127 | 536 | 127 | 39 | 20 | — | — | 23.7% | 7.3% | 16.3% | 3.8% | 3.79 | 4.11 | +1.9 |
| 2026 FULL | 28 | MLB | COL | — | — | 90 | 380 | 127 | 39 | 20 | — | — | 33.4% | 10.3% | 23.0% | 5.4% | 5.35 | 4.53 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | COL | 122 | 0 | 128 | 540 | 121 | 37 | 20 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.3% | 6.8% | 15.6% | 3.6% | 4.40 | 4.45 | +1.4 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | COL | 115 | 0 | 120 | 508 | 112 | 36 | 19 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.0% | 7.1% | 14.8% | 3.8% | 4.52 | 4.61 | +1.1 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | COL | 107 | 0 | 112 | 474 | 102 | 36 | 19 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.6% | 7.5% | 14.0% | 4.0% | 4.68 | 4.79 | +0.8 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | COL | 116 | 0 | 122 | 515 | 115 | 35 | 19 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.3% | 6.8% | 15.6% | 3.6% | 4.40 | 4.45 | +1.4 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | COL | 109 | 0 | 114 | 481 | 106 | 34 | 18 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.0% | 7.1% | 14.8% | 3.8% | 4.52 | 4.61 | +1.1 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | COL | 102 | 0 | 107 | 452 | 97 | 34 | 18 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.6% | 7.5% | 14.0% | 4.0% | 4.68 | 4.79 | +0.8 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 411 | 0 | 433 | 1830 | 405 | 128 | 69 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.1% | 7.0% | 15.1% | 3.8% | 4.45 | 4.20 | +6.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 846 | 187 | 59 | 32 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.1% | 7.0% | 15.1% | 3.8% | 4.45 | 4.20 | +2.8 | ||
| Career | — | 163 | 59 | 448 | 1930 | 410 | 199 | 79 | 36% | 2.7 | 21.2% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 4.1% | 4.34 | 4.85 | +2.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 73 | 26 | 200 | 862 | 183 | 89 | 35 | 36% | 2.7 | 21.2% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 4.1% | 4.34 | 4.85 | +1.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| TJ Shook (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.13 | 22.7% | 6.6% | 3.1% | — | 4.61 | 22.0% | 14.8% | 360 | +0.48 | — | — | — |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.14 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% | .348 | 3.66 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.48 | 2.38 | 160 | 86 |
| Bud Norris R 2028 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.90 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 4.3% | .327 | 3.85 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 233 | -1.05 | 3.52 | 316 | 79 |
| Matt Andriese R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.23 | 22.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | .304 | 3.62 | 24.7% | 17.5% | 151 | -0.61 | 3.10 | 744 | 79 |
| Phil Klein R 2025 · 3.17 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.17 | 24.5% | 6.6% | 2.4% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.17 | 178 | 78 |
| Edwin Quirarte R 2026 · 3.59 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.59 | 16.7% | 6.2% | 2.0% | .311 | 3.45 | 12.7% | 4.9% | 83 | -0.14 | 3.21 | 157 | 78 |
| Asher Wojciechowski R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.02 | 23.4% | 6.5% | 3.8% | .299 | 4.94 | 21.5% | 13.1% | 323 | +0.92 | 3.19 | 678 | 77 |
| Danny Farquhar R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.84 | 22.4% | 6.8% | 3.2% | .324 | 3.81 | 22.0% | 12.8% | 135 | -0.03 | 3.57 | 224 | 77 |
| Jack Cushing R 2026 · 4.70 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.70 | 20.1% | 7.8% | 4.2% | .340 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.67 | 523 | 77 |
| Elian Leyva R 2027 · 3.16 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.16 | 17.7% | 7.3% | 1.1% | .308 | 4.30 | 17.0% | 8.5% | 71 | +1.14 | 3.16 | 158 | 75 |
| Austin Pruitt R 2026 · 3.32 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.32 | 19.3% | 5.1% | 2.2% | .279 | 4.14 | 20.6% | 15.0% | 113 | +0.82 | 2.95 | 819 | 75 |
| Forrest Snow R 2026 · 3.42 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.42 | 24.0% | 7.6% | 2.5% | .321 | 5.26 | 19.4% | 11.6% | 146 | +1.84 | 3.14 | 406 | 75 |
| Tiago Da Silva R 2028 · 3.30 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.30 | 19.6% | 4.5% | 2.4% | .278 | 2.36 | 21.4% | 18.5% | 98 | -0.94 | 2.11 | 287 | 75 |
| Esmil Rogers R 2027 · 3.51 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.51 | 18.5% | 8.9% | 1.6% | .348 | 2.88 | 21.7% | 17.9% | 40 | -0.63 | 2.88 | 199 | 74 |
| Luis Santos R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.12 | 22.9% | 10.0% | 3.1% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.50 | 472 | 74 |
| Blake Smith R 2026 · 3.66 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.66 | 22.4% | 8.6% | 2.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.08 | 124 | 74 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.03 | 25.0% | 7.7% | 3.8% | .289 | 3.03 | 24.2% | 17.9% | 130 | -1.00 | 2.27 | 426 | 74 |
| Nelson Gonzalez R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.72 | 19.2% | 8.2% | 4.0% | .311 | 5.88 | 16.9% | 4.6% | 74 | +1.16 | 3.33 | 258 | 73 |
| Andrew Robinson R 2026 · 2.96 FIP | 28 | SU | 2.96 | 22.2% | 7.9% | 1.3% | .247 | 4.39 | 23.4% | 14.6% | 39 | +1.43 | 2.96 | 160 | 73 |
| Miguel Mejia R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.46 | 19.6% | 7.2% | 2.0% | .359 | 5.26 | 12.8% | 2.8% | 47 | +1.80 | 3.46 | 108 | 73 |
| Andrew Kittredge R 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.70 | 21.6% | 6.6% | 2.9% | .336 | 2.71 | 28.9% | 24.6% | 159 | -0.99 | 2.47 | 667 | 73 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 113 | 22.1% | 7.0% | 1.42 | 4.45 |
| Jerad Eickhoff ('19) | 4 | 109 | 21.0% | 6.9% | 1.43 | 4.12 |
| Kutter Crawford ('24) | 3 | 130 | 23.9% | 7.2% | 1.45 | 4.47 |
| Mike Foltynewicz ('21) | 6 | 134 | 21.4% | 7.7% | 1.46 | 4.45 |
| Félix Hernández ('19) | 5 | 134 | 20.0% | 8.1% | 1.39 | 4.48 |
| Jason Vargas ('19) | 4 | 116 | 18.5% | 8.2% | 1.38 | 4.57 |
| Yonny Chirinos ('24) | 4 | 84 | 18.9% | 6.6% | 1.38 | 4.37 |