Michael Mariot
P
Tacoma Rainiers
+0.0
WAR
Age 37
RHP
6'0" / 190 lbs
AAA
peak 0.2 · 2026
ERA4.82
FIP4.82
xFIP5.36
SIERA4.97
K%17.3%
BB%7.9%
K-BB%9.4%
IP71
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2026
K†4040
FB Velo
p4093.8
Whiff%
p4624.7%
K%
p6124.2%
xwOBA vs
p580.304
CH+0.7
SL+0.6
FB-2.7
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 26 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 44 | 0 | 65 | 267 | 73 | 17 | 4 | 24.8% | 6.2% | 1.1% | 2.35 | 2.39 | +1.9 |
| 2016 | 27 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | 57 | 2 | 62 | 255 | 55 | 29 | 11 | 20.3% | 12.3% | 3.9% | 4.48 | 5.09 | -0.1 |
| 2017 | 28 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | 45 | 0 | 57 | 245 | 63 | 21 | 5 | 22.6% | 9.0% | 2.2% | 4.42 | 3.52 | +0.9 |
| 2018 | 29 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | 35 | 3 | 51 | 214 | 56 | 13 | 8 | 21.8% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 5.47 | 4.60 | +0.2 |
| 2019 | 30 | AAA | Tecos de los Dos Laredos | 8 | 7 | 33 | 151 | 34 | 16 | 5 | 19.8% | 11.1% | 4.1% | 5.79 | 5.10 | -0.1 |
| 2021 | 32 | AAA | Louisville Bats | 19 | 18 | 103 | 430 | 83 | 30 | 15 | 17.0% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 4.02 | 4.52 | +0.9 |
| 2022 | 33 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | 18 | 15 | 79 | 344 | 56 | 32 | 15 | 14.3% | 9.8% | 4.7% | 4.90 | 5.69 | -0.5 |
| 2023 | 34 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 13 | 11 | 54 | 242 | 42 | 23 | 14 | 15.4% | 10.1% | 6.0% | 6.33 | 6.38 | -0.9 |
| 2024 | 35 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 28 | 25 | 126 | 541 | 101 | 33 | 21 | 16.4% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 5.84 | 4.54 | +1.1 |
| 2025 | 36 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 23 | 8 | 69 | 323 | 52 | 25 | 11 | 14.2% | 8.1% | 3.1% | 5.74 | 4.61 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 37 | MLB | CIN | 13 | 13 | 71 | 299 | 52 | 24 | 10 | 17.3% | 7.9% | 3.3% | 4.82 | 4.82 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 38 | MLB | CIN | 12 | 12 | 65 | 275 | 47 | 23 | 9 | 17.0% | 8.3% | 3.4% | 4.89 | 4.96 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 290 | 89 | 699 | 3012 | 544 | 253 | 109 | 18.1% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 4.90 | 4.63 | +5.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 83 | 25 | 200 | 861 | 156 | 72 | 31 | 18.1% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 4.90 | 4.63 | +1.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Michael Mariot (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.82 | 17.3% | 7.9% | 3.3% | — | 4.96 | 17.0% | 8.7% | 65 | +0.14 | — | — | — |
| Francisco Del Rosario R 2025 · 4.12 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.12 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 2.1% | .267 | 6.46 | 11.9% | -0.6% | 77 | +2.34 | 4.12 | 145 | 86 |
| Jean Machi R 2024 · 4.11 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.11 | 18.6% | 6.6% | 3.2% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.11 | 186 | 83 |
| Fernando Rodney R 2027 · 4.17 FIP | 38 | SW | 4.17 | 20.9% | 9.4% | 3.0% | .272 | 3.38 | 26.2% | 15.2% | 185 | -0.79 | 2.67 | 295 | 82 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2024 · 4.45 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.45 | 19.4% | 6.7% | 3.9% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 208 | 79 |
| Sergio Mitre R 2025 · 4.85 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.85 | 9.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | .282 | 4.54 | 11.8% | 5.3% | 103 | -0.31 | 4.54 | 156 | 79 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 37 | SW | 3.87 | 22.0% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .289 | 4.16 | 16.8% | 1.6% | 44 | +0.29 | 3.50 | 219 | 78 |
| Rudy Gonzalez R 2025 · 4.65 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.65 | 15.8% | 7.1% | 3.6% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.32 | 119 | 74 |
| Ronald Belisario R 2025 · 4.18 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.18 | 12.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.10 | 126 | 74 |
| Chien-Ming Wang R 2025 · 4.56 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.56 | 13.0% | 7.8% | 2.9% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.26 | 183 | 73 |
| Zack Segovia R 2025 · 4.52 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.52 | 17.6% | 13.6% | 2.2% | .353 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.37 | 144 | 73 |
| Jason Motte R 2024 · 5.24 FIP | 35 | SU | 5.24 | 16.3% | 11.4% | 3.8% | .193 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 113 | 72 |
| Alfredo Simon R 2024 · 5.60 FIP | 35 | SW | 5.60 | 12.3% | 9.6% | 4.2% | .335 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.65 | 261 | 72 |
| Jonathan Castellanos R 2026 · 5.22 FIP | 37 | SW | 5.22 | 11.0% | 9.0% | 3.5% | .348 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 394 | 71 |
| Logan Ondrusek R 2025 · 4.34 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.34 | 19.2% | 7.3% | 3.5% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.34 | 138 | 69 |
| Mitch Talbot R 2024 · 5.01 FIP | 35 | SW | 5.01 | 13.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 162 | 69 |
| Kyle Lohse R 2026 · 5.01 FIP | 37 | SW | 5.01 | 14.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.01 | 211 | 68 |
| Salvador Valdez R 2025 · 4.30 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.30 | 17.1% | 8.2% | 2.9% | .405 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.61 | 326 | 68 |
| Felipe Paulino R 2024 · 5.83 FIP | 35 | SU | 5.83 | 19.2% | 9.4% | 5.8% | .385 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.52 | 150 | 66 |
| Walter Silva R 2027 · 4.13 FIP | 38 | SP- | 4.13 | 14.8% | 7.4% | 2.5% | .311 | 3.92 | 10.4% | 3.7% | 209 | -0.21 | 3.67 | 428 | 65 |
| Frankie De La Cruz R 2024 · 4.37 FIP | 35 | SP- | 4.37 | 16.2% | 8.0% | 3.0% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.74 | 240 | 63 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.