James Kaprielian

James Kaprielian P Buffalo Bisons

Age 32 RHP 6'3" / 225 lbs AAA peak 0.5 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 14 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 133125vR 117

ERA5.28

FIP5.51

K%16.9%

BB%11.7%

K-BB%5.2%

ROS IP14

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 14 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL4545

CMD4545

K†4040

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1992.3

Whiff%

p4825.0%

p3820.4%

xwOBA vs

p260.340

SL-1.2

CH-2.4

FB-3.6

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	21	ROK MLE	GCL Yankees2	2	0	2	11	2	2	0	0%	1.2	18.2%	18.2%	0.0%	0.0%	11.57	3.87	—
2015	21	ROK RAW	GCL Yankees2	2	0	2	11	2	2	0	0%	1.2	18.2%	18.2%	0.0%	0.0%	11.57	3.96	—
2016	22	A+ MLE	Tampa Yankees	3	3	18	65	22	3	1	100%	6.0	26.1%	5.3%	20.8%	2.2%	1.50	2.80	—
2016	22	A+ RAW	Tampa Yankees	3	3	18	65	22	3	1	100%	6.0	33.8%	4.6%	29.2%	1.5%	1.50	1.88	—
2019	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	19	16	68	277	75	16	8	84%	3.6	20.9%	6.9%	14.0%	3.6%	3.18	4.17	—
2019	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	19	16	68	277	75	16	8	84%	3.6	27.1%	5.8%	21.3%	2.9%	3.18	3.13	—
2020	26	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	2	0	4	17	4	2	2	0%	1.8	23.5%	11.8%	11.8%	11.8%	7.36	9.06	-0.2
2020	26	MLB RAW	Oakland Athletics	2	0	4	17	4	2	2	0%	1.8	23.5%	11.8%	11.8%	11.8%	7.36	9.65	-0.2
2021	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	22	124	523	128	42	19	88%	5.0	24.5%	8.2%	16.3%	4.2%	4.06	4.35	+0.8
2021	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	22	124	523	128	42	19	88%	5.0	24.5%	8.0%	16.4%	3.6%	4.06	4.04	+1.3
2022	28	MIX MLE	3 levels	29	29	148	637	111	64	19	100%	5.1	17.0%	10.2%	6.8%	3.0%	4.51	4.63	+0.5
2022	28	MIX RAW	3 levels	29	29	148	637	111	64	19	100%	5.1	17.4%	10.0%	7.4%	3.0%	4.51	4.57	+0.6
2023	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	13	69	313	64	32	9	81%	4.3	20.4%	10.7%	9.6%	3.5%	5.71	4.68	+0.2
2023	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	13	69	313	64	32	9	81%	4.3	20.4%	10.7%	9.6%	3.5%	5.71	4.68	+0.2
2023	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	16	13	69	313	64	32	9	81%	4.3	20.4%	10.2%	10.2%	2.9%	5.71	4.33	+0.5
2024	30	MIX MLE	3 levels	14	14	57	275	49	39	13	100%	4.1	13.7%	12.6%	1.1%	6.0%	6.59	6.82	—
2024	30	MIX MLE	3 levels	14	14	57	275	49	39	13	100%	4.1	13.7%	12.6%	1.1%	6.0%	6.59	6.82	—
2024	30	MIX RAW	3 levels	14	14	57	275	49	39	13	100%	4.1	17.8%	14.2%	3.6%	4.7%	6.59	6.38	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			66	58	318	1376	282	132	46	88%	4.8	20.5%	9.6%	10.9%	3.3%	4.61	4.45	+1.7
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	32	MLB	TOR	2	2	14	59	10	7	2	100%	7.0	16.9%	11.7%	5.2%	3.6%	5.28	5.51	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	33	MLB MLE	TOR	26	26	158	669	108	81	26	100%	6.1	16.1%	12.2%	3.9%	3.9%	5.59	5.79	-1.6
2028	34	MLB MLE	TOR	24	24	144	609	92	77	25	100%	6.0	15.2%	12.7%	2.5%	4.2%	5.89	6.10	-1.9
2027	33	MLB CTX	TOR	10	10	58	245	39	30	10	100%	5.8	16.1%	12.2%	3.9%	3.9%	5.59	5.79	-0.6
2028	34	MLB CTX	TOR	8	8	47	198	30	25	8	100%	5.9	15.2%	12.7%	2.5%	4.2%	5.89	6.10	-0.6
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		83	75	423	1819	351	187	64	90%	5.1	19.3%	10.3%	9.1%	3.5%	4.89	4.69	+1.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		39	36	200	860	166	88	30	90%	5.1	19.3%	10.3%	9.1%	3.5%	4.89	4.69	+0.5
Career	—	MLE		110	97	490	2118	419	203	82	88%	4.5	19.8%	9.6%	10.2%	3.9%	4.57	4.77	-2.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		45	40	200	864	171	83	33	88%	4.5	19.8%	9.6%	10.2%	3.9%	4.57	4.77	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
James Kaprielian (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.51	16.9%	11.7%	3.6%	—	5.94	15.7%	3.3%	303	+0.43	—	—	—
Nate Long R 2015 · 4.67 FIP	29	SP	4.67	14.8%	10.6%	2.7%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.67	151	78
Matt Buschmann R 2016 · 4.84 FIP	32	SP	4.84	12.8%	8.4%	3.2%	.325	—	—	—	—	—	4.03	277	71
Felipe Paulino R 2015 · 4.55 FIP	31	SP	4.55	15.8%	11.8%	2.3%	.312	4.93	15.0%	4.8%	26	+0.38	4.55	150	70
Aníbal Sánchez R 2016 · 4.95 FIP	32	SP-	4.95	20.2%	7.8%	4.7%	.313	4.15	21.5%	14.8%	424	-0.80	3.49	869	69
Josh Roenicke R 2015 · 4.85 FIP	32	SP	4.85	10.9%	7.0%	3.3%	.353	3.35	19.2%	11.5%	160	-1.50	3.27	283	68
Alfredo Simon R 2015 · 4.61 FIP	34	SP	4.61	14.3%	8.2%	3.1%	.289	5.55	12.3%	2.7%	74	+0.94	4.61	261	68
Marco Estrada R 2015 · 4.32 FIP	32	SP-	4.32	18.1%	7.3%	3.3%	.213	4.55	20.6%	12.0%	506	+0.23	4.04	710	68
Juan Delgadillo R 2015 · 4.54 FIP	32	SP	4.54	15.5%	7.2%	3.3%	.316	4.47	10.9%	4.7%	39	-0.07	4.47	143	67
Cody Mincey R 2022 · 5.56 FIP	30	SP	5.56	13.9%	8.4%	4.7%	.297	—	—	—	—	—	2.49	147	64
Wily Peralta R 2021 · 4.64 FIP	32	SP	4.64	15.9%	9.6%	3.0%	.257	4.70	18.0%	6.8%	174	+0.06	3.98	748	64
Matt Cain R 2017 · 4.82 FIP	32	SP	4.82	13.2%	7.6%	3.4%	.322	—	—	—	—	—	4.82	294	64
Clay Buchholz R 2016 · 4.94 FIP	31	SP-	4.94	15.8%	9.2%	3.7%	.260	4.18	17.8%	11.6%	180	-0.76	2.51	433	64
Shawn Haviland R 2017 · 5.00 FIP	31	SP-	5.00	16.3%	8.1%	4.1%	.261	—	—	—	—	—	3.69	283	64
Jerome Williams R 2015 · 4.72 FIP	33	SP-	4.72	13.4%	5.6%	3.7%	.326	5.81	11.7%	5.6%	74	+1.09	4.72	195	62
Edwin Jackson R 2016 · 5.00 FIP	32	SP-	5.00	15.7%	10.1%	3.5%	.312	5.18	17.5%	7.7%	369	+0.18	3.77	521	62
Andres Ivan Meza R 2019 · 4.33 FIP	32	SP	4.33	11.7%	7.7%	2.3%	.349	—	—	—	—	—	4.14	275	61
Hector Galvan R 2019 · 4.84 FIP	31	SP-	4.84	14.3%	12.2%	2.6%	.357	—	—	—	—	—	3.59	406	61
Mike Pelfrey R 2016 · 4.89 FIP	32	SP	4.89	10.4%	8.5%	2.9%	.342	5.69	14.5%	3.9%	120	+0.80	3.70	404	61
Daniel Guerrero R 2017 · 4.61 FIP	32	SP	4.61	10.2%	9.0%	2.2%	.328	5.59	14.7%	3.6%	57	+0.98	4.61	269	61
Donovan Hand R 2017 · 4.56 FIP	31	SP	4.56	12.5%	6.8%	3.0%	.328	—	—	—	—	—	4.30	237	61

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.4	158	16.1%	12.1%	1.50	5.57
Dan Straily ('19)	2.7	136	20.0%	8.9%	1.72	4.54
Josiah Gray ('23)	1.9	126	22.6%	10.8%	1.88	4.64
Homer Bailey ('19)	1.9	96	18.5%	7.8%	1.34	5.56
Julio Teheran ('23)	5.2	147	20.4%	8.8%	1.34	4.12
Brandon Finnegan ('18)	1.2	80	19.7%	11.6%	1.57	4.19
Mike Foltynewicz ('21)	4.0	134	21.4%	7.7%	1.46	4.45