Roansy Contreras

Roansy Contreras P Norfolk Tides

Age 27 RHP 6'1" / 205 lbs AAA

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 68 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127119vR 111

ERA4.85

FIP4.95

K%16.8%

BB%7.8%

K-BB%8.9%

ROS IP68

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 68 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—50

STUF4040

CTRL4545

CMD4545

K†4040

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p6095.2

Whiff%

p1220.0%

p1011.8%

xwOBA vs

p720.291

FB+3.9 (53%)

SI (11%)

CU (17%)

CH-0.6 (11%)

SL-1.4 (20%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2017	17	ROK MLE	GCL Yankees East	14	11	54	243	34	17	4	79%	3.8	9.5%	8.7%	0.8%	2.3%	4.02	4.67	—
2017	17	ROK RAW	GCL Yankees East	14	11	54	243	34	17	4	79%	3.8	14.0%	7.0%	7.0%	1.6%	4.02	3.75	—
2018	18	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	7	7	35	143	28	12	4	100%	5.0	14.5%	9.9%	4.6%	4.5%	3.38	5.59	—
2018	18	A RAW	Charleston RiverDogs	7	7	35	143	28	12	4	100%	5.0	19.6%	8.4%	11.2%	2.8%	3.38	4.02	—
2019	19	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	24	24	132	536	113	36	10	100%	5.5	15.6%	7.9%	7.7%	2.6%	3.33	4.24	—
2019	19	A RAW	Charleston RiverDogs	24	24	132	536	113	36	10	100%	5.5	21.1%	6.7%	14.4%	1.9%	3.33	3.19	—
2021	21	MIX MLE	3 levels	14	14	61	246	86	14	5	100%	4.4	28.2%	6.1%	22.2%	2.9%	2.51	3.08	+1.4
2021	21	MIX RAW	3 levels	14	14	61	246	86	14	5	100%	4.4	35.0%	5.7%	29.3%	2.0%	2.51	2.03	+2.3
2022	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	27	129	549	132	51	17	90%	4.3	23.0%	9.4%	13.6%	3.4%	3.62	4.19	+1.1
2022	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	27	129	549	132	51	17	90%	4.3	24.0%	9.3%	14.8%	3.1%	3.62	3.95	+1.5
2023	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	28	18	103	442	87	42	19	64%	3.7	18.5%	9.4%	9.2%	4.6%	5.94	5.23	-0.4
2023	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	28	18	103	442	87	42	19	64%	3.7	19.7%	9.5%	10.2%	4.3%	5.94	5.03	-0.2
2024	24	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	49	3	68	298	56	25	11	6%	1.4	18.8%	8.4%	10.4%	3.6%	4.35	4.56	-0.0
2024	24	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	49	3	68	298	56	25	11	6%	1.4	18.8%	8.4%	10.4%	3.6%	4.35	4.56	-0.0
2024	24	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Angels	49	3	68	298	56	25	11	6%	1.4	18.8%	8.4%	10.4%	3.7%	4.35	4.65	-0.1
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	14	104	444	76	35	16	42%	3.2	14.9%	7.1%	7.8%	4.0%	3.97	4.94	-0.5
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	14	104	444	76	35	16	42%	3.2	14.9%	7.1%	7.8%	4.0%	3.97	4.94	-0.5
2025	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	33	14	104	444	76	35	16	42%	3.2	17.1%	7.9%	9.2%	3.6%	3.97	4.64	-0.1
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			95	33	247	1071	207	97	38	35%	2.6	19.3%	9.1%	10.3%	3.5%	4.77	4.60	-0.1
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	27	MLB	COL	11	11	68	287	48	22	10	100%	6.2	16.8%	7.8%	8.9%	3.4%	4.85	4.95	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	COL	11	11	66	278	46	22	10	100%	6.0	16.6%	8.0%	8.7%	3.5%	4.96	5.03	-0.1
2029	29	MLB MLE	COL	10	10	63	265	43	22	10	100%	6.3	16.0%	8.2%	7.8%	3.7%	5.10	5.19	-0.2
2028	28	MLB CTX	COL	5	5	28	118	20	9	4	100%	5.6	16.6%	8.0%	8.7%	3.5%	4.96	5.03	-0.0
2029	29	MLB CTX	COL	6	6	37	156	25	13	6	100%	6.2	16.0%	8.2%	7.8%	3.7%	5.10	5.19	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		106	44	312	1346	252	119	48	42%	2.9	18.7%	8.9%	9.8%	3.6%	4.82	4.60	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		68	28	200	862	161	76	31	41%	3.0	18.7%	8.9%	9.8%	3.6%	4.82	4.60	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		199	118	687	2901	528	243	101	59%	3.5	18.2%	8.4%	9.8%	3.5%	3.96	4.53	+0.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		58	34	200	845	154	71	29	59%	3.5	18.2%	8.4%	9.8%	3.5%	3.96	4.53	+0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Roansy Contreras (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.95	16.8%	7.8%	3.4%	—	5.11	16.3%	8.3%	129	+0.16	—	—	—
Aaron Northcraft R 2016 · 4.19 FIP	26	SW	4.19	16.1%	8.3%	2.5%	.309	3.32	24.1%	13.4%	34	-0.87	3.32	252	81
Bryce Morrow R 2015 · 4.31 FIP	27	SP-	4.31	12.8%	7.9%	2.4%	.316	5.44	10.1%	-0.2%	50	+1.13	4.31	125	80
Zach Stewart R 2015 · 4.43 FIP	28	SP-	4.43	14.4%	8.3%	2.7%	.322	5.17	11.7%	2.1%	51	+0.74	4.27	194	80
Nick Payero R 2024 · 4.21 FIP	24	SP-	4.21	16.5%	6.3%	3.1%	.285	5.81	16.6%	4.6%	107	+1.60	4.21	178	78
Clay Condrey R 2003 · 5.41 FIP	27	SP-	5.41	14.9%	10.1%	4.2%	.303	4.07	13.1%	7.4%	29	-1.34	3.18	250	78
David Griffin R 2023 · 5.83 FIP	27	SP-	5.83	14.2%	9.2%	5.0%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	4.43	239	77
Ricky Castro R 2024 · 3.99 FIP	24	SP-	3.99	20.4%	8.6%	2.8%	.287	5.11	19.0%	10.6%	178	+1.12	3.99	241	77
Alfonso Sanchez R 2015 · 4.96 FIP	27	SP-	4.96	12.5%	9.1%	3.2%	.346	4.85	14.0%	5.3%	138	-0.11	4.51	224	77
Aldo Montes R 2017 · 4.96 FIP	27	SP-	4.96	12.4%	8.5%	3.3%	.322	4.69	18.2%	7.6%	75	-0.27	4.69	210	76
Josh Roeder R 2019 · 4.71 FIP	26	SW	4.71	15.1%	8.7%	3.3%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.71	175	76
Mike Connolly R 2018 · 5.13 FIP	26	SW	5.13	13.2%	9.4%	3.5%	.321	—	—	—	—	—	3.94	328	76
Nolan Sanburn R 2017 · 4.55 FIP	26	SW	4.55	15.0%	10.4%	2.5%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	169	76
Joaquín Benoit R 2004 · 4.49 FIP	27	SP-	4.49	20.8%	6.8%	4.2%	.302	3.31	23.7%	14.5%	249	-1.18	1.99	1,064	75
Scott McGregor R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SP-	4.37	11.8%	7.6%	2.4%	.293	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	107	75
Cory Lidle R 2000 · 4.32 FIP	28	SW	4.32	14.6%	6.1%	3.1%	.313	4.06	14.2%	8.7%	573	-0.26	3.48	1,318	74
Grant Judkins R 2024 · 5.13 FIP	26	SW	5.13	16.8%	9.1%	4.2%	.264	5.80	14.9%	5.8%	124	+0.67	5.13	322	74
Patrick Johnson R 2016 · 3.82 FIP	27	SP-	3.82	17.3%	6.9%	2.4%	.286	4.14	15.7%	6.4%	120	+0.32	3.82	248	74
Lisalverto Bonilla R 2017 · 4.61 FIP	27	SW	4.61	18.2%	10.5%	3.1%	.304	4.70	15.8%	3.2%	11	+0.09	3.22	242	74
Justin Topa R 2018 · 4.15 FIP	27	SP-	4.15	15.1%	7.9%	2.4%	.374	2.69	19.2%	12.6%	40	-1.46	2.67	284	74
Colin Bates R 2015 · 4.57 FIP	27	SP-	4.57	10.5%	6.5%	2.8%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.57	111	73

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 754 reliever careers (1990-2025).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.2	74	18.1%	9.0%	1.37	4.86
Brian Matusz ('16)	2.6	76	19.8%	8.7%	1.34	4.92
Esteban Yan ('06)	3.5	77	17.9%	8.7%	1.36	5.14
Jorge López ('25)	2.8	70	19.8%	8.8%	1.36	5.31
Jimmy Gobble ('09)	2.2	73	14.7%	8.8%	1.38	5.29
Joe Biagini ('21)	1.7	83	19.0%	7.9%	1.28	5.03
Jose Cabrera ('02)	1.4	68	16.2%	7.9%	1.39	4.95