Roansy Contreras P Norfolk Tides
+0.0 WAR
Age 26 RHP 6'1" / 205 lbs AAA
ERA5.26
FIP5.10
xFIP5.58
SIERA4.99
K%17.7%
BB%8.5%
K-BB%9.2%
IP57
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
STUF4040
CTRL4545
CMD3535
K†4545
FB Velo
p6095.2
Whiff%
p1220.0%
K%
p1011.8%
xwOBA vs
p720.291
FB+3.9 (53%)
SI (11%)
CU (17%)
CH-0.6 (11%)
SL-1.4 (20%)

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR K%BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201717ROKGCL Yankees East141154243341749.5%8.7%2.3%4.024.67+0.2
201818ACharleston RiverDogs77351432812414.5%9.9%4.2%3.385.43-0.2
201919ACharleston RiverDogs2424132536113361015.6%7.9%2.6%3.334.21+1.6
202121MLBPittsburgh Pirates1414612468614528.2%6.1%2.9%2.513.10+1.3
202222MLBPittsburgh Pirates3027129549132511723.0%9.4%3.3%3.624.18+1.6
202323MLBPittsburgh Pirates281810344287421918.7%9.8%4.5%5.945.24+0.1
202424MLBLos Angeles Angels4936829856251118.8%8.4%3.7%4.354.61+0.3
202525MLBColorado Rockies331410444476351615.2%8.3%4.1%3.975.10+0.2
▸ 2026 Season
202626MLBCOL57572414422918.1%9.1%3.7%5.455.15-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
202727MLBCOL57572394322918.1%9.1%3.7%5.275.16-0.1
202828MLBCOL56562364322918.1%9.2%3.8%5.225.18-0.1
202929MLBCOL54542304021917.6%9.2%3.8%5.245.26-0.2
203030MLBCOL53532233821917.0%9.3%3.9%5.315.35-0.2
203131MLBCOL51512153520816.4%9.4%3.9%5.405.45-0.3
203232MLBCOL49492073320815.8%9.6%4.0%5.505.57-0.3
203333MLBCOL47471983019815.2%9.8%4.1%5.625.70-0.4
203434MLBCOL44441882719814.5%10.0%4.2%5.755.84-0.4
203535MLBCOL42421772418813.7%10.2%4.3%5.895.99-0.5
203636MLBCOL39391662117713.0%10.5%4.4%6.056.15-0.5
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career199118687290153024910018.3%8.6%3.5%3.964.54+5.9
/ 200 IP5834200845154732918.3%8.6%3.5%3.964.54+1.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Roansy Contreras (OGILVIE) 5.15 18.1%9.1%3.7% 5.20 17.9%8.8%167 +0.05
Jose Rafael De Paula R 2026 · 4.45 FIP 26 SW 4.45 19.9%9.8%3.3%.278 4.78 22.7%10.3%89 +0.33 2.65 315 77
Ryan Cook R 2028 · 4.78 FIP 28 SW 4.78 16.5%9.9%3.3%.297 3.85 25.1%14.3%50 -0.93 3.85 102 77
Aaron Kurcz R 2026 · 4.80 FIP 26 SW 4.80 15.4%8.4%3.5%.301 3.96 26.2%21.8%50 -0.84 3.31 213 77
Ryan Middendorf R 2026 · 4.93 FIP 26 SW 4.93 19.6%10.5%3.9%.293 4.50 12.8%-1.5%34 -0.43 1.27 164 76
Zach Bryant R 2026 · 4.86 FIP 26 SU 4.86 18.0%9.6%3.8%.313 4.56 18.8%8.1%48 -0.30 4.56 158 76
Jonathan Hughes R 2026 · 4.31 FIP 26 SW 4.31 17.1%9.2%2.7%.283 3.53 17.1%4.9%50 -0.78 3.42 219 75
Brett McKinney R 2026 · 4.57 FIP 26 SW 4.57 18.5%9.9%3.2%.287 3.43 183 75
Kyle Martin R 2026 · 4.44 FIP 26 SW 4.44 18.3%10.0%2.9%.304 3.25 23.0%10.0%51 -1.19 3.01 214 75
Mario Morales R 2025 · 4.53 FIP 25 SW 4.53 18.4%8.6%3.5%.342 4.14 108 75
Shawn Armstrong R 2026 · 4.33 FIP 26 SW 4.33 22.1%9.2%3.5%.282 3.20 26.9%17.2%144 -1.13 1.79 618 74
Ryan Halstead R 2026 · 4.04 FIP 26 SW 4.04 18.0%6.7%2.9%.296 3.25 16.1%8.7%64 -0.79 3.06 222 74
Ryan Doolittle R 2027 · 4.04 FIP 27 SW 4.04 15.1%6.7%2.5%.315 4.38 13.9%6.8%44 +0.34 4.04 101 74
Tanner Scheppers R 2028 · 4.38 FIP 28 SW 4.38 17.7%11.2%2.5%.263 4.82 15.7%9.0%48 +0.44 4.38 101 74
Jack Hartman R 2026 · 4.32 FIP 26 SU 4.32 20.9%8.8%3.4%.310 4.30 17.6%5.6%46 -0.02 3.45 161 74
Adrian Garza R 2027 · 5.48 FIP 27 SU 5.48 14.9%10.5%4.2%.360 4.17 13.1%6.5%84 -1.31 3.95 229 74
Logan Cozart R 2026 · 4.59 FIP 26 SW 4.59 18.1%8.6%3.5%.308 4.82 20.8%10.2%77 +0.23 3.53 316 74
Troy Neiman R 2026 · 3.99 FIP 26 SW 3.99 18.1%8.3%2.5%.282 3.99 199 73
Scott Burke R 2025 · 5.31 FIP 25 SW 5.31 14.9%8.2%4.4%.250 4.55 119 73
Tyler Mizenko R 2026 · 5.14 FIP 26 SW 5.14 13.3%10.2%3.4%.303 3.68 104 73
Colby Morris R 2025 · 5.74 FIP 25 SW 5.74 16.2%11.8%4.6%.268 4.10 105 73

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.