Roansy Contreras
P
Norfolk Tides
Age 26
RHP
6'1" / 205 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 57 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 137128vR 118
ERA5.20
FIP5.23
K%17.0%
BB%9.0%
K-BB%8.0%
ROS IP57
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 57 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p6095.2
Whiff%
p1220.0%
K%
p1011.8%
xwOBA vs
p720.291
FB+3.9 (53%)
SI (11%)
CU (17%)
CH-0.6 (11%)
SL-1.4 (20%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 17 | ROK | GCL Yankees East | 14 | 11 | 54 | 243 | 34 | 17 | 4 | 79% | 3.8 | 9.5% | 8.7% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 4.02 | 4.67 | — |
| 2017 | 17 | ROK | GCL Yankees East | 14 | 11 | 54 | 243 | 34 | 17 | 4 | 79% | 3.8 | 14.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 1.6% | 4.02 | 3.75 | — |
| 2018 | 18 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 7 | 7 | 35 | 143 | 28 | 12 | 4 | 100% | 5.0 | 14.5% | 9.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 3.38 | 6.34 | — |
| 2018 | 18 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 7 | 7 | 35 | 143 | 28 | 12 | 4 | 100% | 5.0 | 19.6% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 2.8% | 3.38 | 4.02 | — |
| 2019 | 19 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 24 | 24 | 132 | 536 | 113 | 36 | 10 | 100% | 5.5 | 15.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 2.9% | 3.33 | 4.38 | — |
| 2019 | 19 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 24 | 24 | 132 | 536 | 113 | 36 | 10 | 100% | 5.5 | 21.1% | 6.7% | 14.4% | 1.9% | 3.33 | 3.19 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 3 levels | 14 | 14 | 61 | 246 | 86 | 14 | 5 | 100% | 4.4 | 28.2% | 6.1% | 22.2% | 3.1% | 2.51 | 3.17 | +1.0 |
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 3 levels | 14 | 14 | 61 | 246 | 86 | 14 | 5 | 100% | 4.4 | 35.0% | 5.7% | 29.3% | 2.0% | 2.51 | 2.03 | +1.8 |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 27 | 129 | 549 | 132 | 51 | 17 | 90% | 4.3 | 23.0% | 9.4% | 13.6% | 3.2% | 3.62 | 4.09 | +2.0 |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 27 | 129 | 549 | 132 | 51 | 17 | 90% | 4.3 | 24.0% | 9.3% | 14.8% | 3.1% | 3.62 | 3.95 | +2.2 |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 28 | 18 | 103 | 442 | 87 | 42 | 19 | 64% | 3.7 | 18.7% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 4.2% | 5.94 | 5.09 | +0.4 |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 28 | 18 | 103 | 442 | 87 | 42 | 19 | 64% | 3.7 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 4.3% | 5.94 | 5.03 | +0.4 |
| 2024 | 24 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 49 | 3 | 68 | 298 | 56 | 25 | 11 | 6% | 1.4 | 18.8% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 3.8% | 4.35 | 4.68 | +0.0 |
| 2024 | 24 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 49 | 3 | 68 | 298 | 56 | 25 | 11 | 6% | 1.4 | 18.8% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 3.7% | 4.35 | 4.65 | +0.1 |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 14 | 104 | 444 | 76 | 35 | 16 | 42% | 3.2 | 15.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 3.97 | 5.13 | +0.3 |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 14 | 104 | 444 | 76 | 35 | 16 | 42% | 3.2 | 17.1% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 3.6% | 3.97 | 4.64 | +0.9 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | COL | 10 | 10 | 57 | 241 | 41 | 22 | 9 | 100% | 5.7 | 17.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 3.7% | 5.20 | 5.23 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | COL | 9 | 9 | 56 | 237 | 40 | 22 | 9 | 100% | 6.2 | 17.0% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 3.8% | 5.24 | 5.26 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | COL | 9 | 9 | 54 | 230 | 39 | 21 | 9 | 100% | 6.0 | 16.9% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 5.31 | 5.35 | -0.5 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | COL | 4 | 4 | 24 | 101 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 100% | 6.0 | 17.0% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 3.8% | 5.24 | 5.26 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | COL | 6 | 6 | 34 | 144 | 24 | 13 | 6 | 100% | 5.7 | 16.9% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 5.31 | 5.35 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 105 | 43 | 305 | 1315 | 248 | 119 | 47 | 41% | 2.9 | 18.9% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 3.6% | 4.86 | 4.63 | +2.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 69 | 28 | 200 | 862 | 162 | 78 | 31 | 41% | 2.9 | 18.9% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 3.6% | 4.86 | 4.63 | +1.8 | ||
| Career | — | 199 | 118 | 687 | 2901 | 530 | 249 | 103 | 59% | 3.5 | 18.3% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 3.6% | 3.96 | 4.60 | +6.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 58 | 34 | 200 | 845 | 154 | 73 | 30 | 59% | 3.5 | 18.3% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 3.6% | 3.96 | 4.60 | +1.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Roansy Contreras (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.23 | 17.0% | 9.0% | 3.7% | — | 5.30 | 17.0% | 7.8% | 110 | +0.07 | — | — | — |
| Jake Dunning R 2026 · 5.65 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.65 | 13.4% | 9.6% | 4.5% | .354 | 4.21 | 14.1% | 2.8% | 74 | -1.44 | 4.13 | 120 | 74 |
| Alfonso Sanchez R 2027 · 4.81 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.81 | 12.5% | 9.1% | 2.9% | .346 | 4.97 | 14.0% | 5.3% | 138 | +0.16 | 4.54 | 224 | 72 |
| Colby Morris R 2025 · 5.76 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.76 | 16.2% | 11.8% | 4.6% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 105 | 71 |
| Jake Walkinshaw R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.66 | 17.5% | 6.4% | 4.0% | .296 | 4.92 | 13.3% | 3.1% | 116 | +0.26 | 2.20 | 286 | 70 |
| Dawson Netz R 2025 · 4.42 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.42 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 3.5% | .225 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 102 | 70 |
| Chase Centala R 2024 · 4.16 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.16 | 17.4% | 6.6% | 3.1% | .361 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.16 | 124 | 69 |
| Jimmy Endersby R 2026 · 4.93 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.93 | 17.3% | 8.0% | 4.1% | .257 | 2.73 | 17.2% | 12.8% | 36 | -2.20 | 2.73 | 357 | 69 |
| Bryce Morrow R 2027 · 4.48 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.48 | 12.8% | 7.9% | 2.7% | .316 | 5.59 | 10.1% | -0.2% | 50 | +1.11 | 4.48 | 125 | 68 |
| Nolan Sanburn R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.25 | 15.0% | 10.4% | 2.0% | .310 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.91 | 169 | 68 |
| Justin Topa R 2027 · 4.05 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.05 | 15.1% | 7.9% | 2.2% | .374 | 2.66 | 19.2% | 12.6% | 40 | -1.39 | 2.66 | 259 | 68 |
| Zac Kristofak R 2026 · 5.03 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.03 | 11.4% | 6.8% | 3.7% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.14 | 168 | 68 |
| Paul Clemens R 2027 · 5.36 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.36 | 14.3% | 14.1% | 3.1% | .310 | 4.76 | 16.9% | 7.3% | 200 | -0.60 | 4.76 | 247 | 68 |
| Jake Walters R 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.17 | 17.0% | 9.4% | 2.4% | .316 | 5.97 | 15.5% | -0.2% | 72 | +1.80 | 3.46 | 261 | 68 |
| David Griffin R 2026 · 4.94 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.94 | 16.6% | 9.8% | 3.7% | .285 | 6.04 | 14.5% | 4.2% | 81 | +1.10 | 4.52 | 239 | 67 |
| Sam Lewis R 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.41 | 16.7% | 9.6% | 2.7% | .323 | 3.43 | 21.0% | 10.2% | 48 | -0.98 | 2.10 | 224 | 67 |
| Aaron Northcraft R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.16 | 16.1% | 8.3% | 2.5% | .309 | 3.28 | 24.1% | 13.4% | 34 | -0.88 | 3.28 | 252 | 66 |
| Josh Roeder R 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.75 | 15.1% | 8.7% | 3.3% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.75 | 175 | 66 |
| Brian Edgington R 2026 · 5.05 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.05 | 19.3% | 12.3% | 3.7% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 171 | 66 |
| Michael Ross R 2024 · 5.83 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.83 | 12.5% | 8.9% | 4.8% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.05 | 146 | 65 |
| Grant Judkins R 2026 · 5.55 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.55 | 16.8% | 9.1% | 5.0% | .264 | 6.06 | 14.9% | 5.8% | 124 | +0.51 | 5.40 | 322 | 65 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 56 | 17.0% | 9.1% | 1.46 | 5.25 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Alex Young ('23) | 5 | 52 | 19.5% | 8.6% | 1.61 | 4.43 |
| Mike Wright Jr. ('19) | 5 | 52 | 17.7% | 8.4% | 1.53 | 6.00 |
| Ross Detwiler ('22) | 5 | 51 | 17.3% | 9.5% | 1.76 | 6.03 |