Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 17 | 97 | 419 | 110 | 53 | 8 | 71% | 4.0 | 20.9% | 14.1% | 6.8% | 2.0% | 3.90 | 4.20 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 17 | 97 | 419 | 110 | 53 | 8 | 71% | 4.0 | 26.3% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 1.9% | 3.90 | 3.54 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 20 | 117 | 533 | 99 | 65 | 20 | 71% | 4.2 | 15.5% | 13.2% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 5.32 | 6.01 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 20 | 117 | 533 | 99 | 65 | 20 | 71% | 4.2 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 5.32 | 5.30 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | 37 | 3 | 67 | 306 | 61 | 43 | 13 | 8% | 1.8 | 17.5% | 14.8% | 2.8% | 5.9% | 5.61 | 6.72 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | 37 | 3 | 67 | 306 | 61 | 43 | 13 | 8% | 1.8 | 19.9% | 14.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.61 | 5.71 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | 12 | 8 | 41 | 164 | 35 | 12 | 4 | 67% | 3.4 | 17.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 4.1% | 4.43 | 4.93 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | 12 | 8 | 41 | 164 | 35 | 12 | 4 | 67% | 3.4 | 21.3% | 7.3% | 14.0% | 2.4% | 4.43 | 3.54 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 8 | 6 | 43 | 180 | 37 | 9 | 2 | 75% | 5.3 | 17.2% | 4.4% | 12.8% | 1.0% | 2.32 | 2.73 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 8 | 6 | 43 | 180 | 37 | 9 | 2 | 75% | 5.3 | 20.6% | 5.0% | 15.6% | 1.1% | 2.32 | 2.61 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | ARI | 4 | 4 | 24 | 100 | 21 | 9 | 3 | 100% | 6.0 | 20.4% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 3.0% | 4.49 | 4.49 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | ARI | 3 | 3 | 23 | 96 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 100% | 7.6 | 20.5% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 3.2% | 4.56 | 4.61 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | ARI | 1 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 7.0 | 20.5% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 3.2% | 4.56 | 4.61 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 1 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 7.1 | 20.5% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 3.2% | 4.56 | 4.23 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 30 | 30 | 200 | 844 | 169 | 84 | 28 | 100% | 6.8 | 20.5% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 3.2% | 4.56 | 4.23 | +2.7 | ||
| Career | — | 109 | 54 | 364 | 1602 | 283 | 195 | 59 | 50% | 3.3 | 17.7% | 12.2% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.55 | 5.19 | +0.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 60 | 30 | 200 | 879 | 155 | 107 | 33 | 50% | 3.3 | 17.7% | 12.2% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.55 | 5.19 | +0.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jimmy Endersby (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.49 | 20.4% | 8.6% | 3.0% | — | 4.61 | 20.5% | 11.6% | 23 | +0.12 | — | — | — |
| Sam Lewis R 2025 · 3.43 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.43 | 21.0% | 10.8% | 1.3% | .246 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.10 | 224 | 74 |
| Preston Johnson R 2024 · 3.47 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.47 | 23.4% | 9.5% | 2.1% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 146 | 73 |
| Fabio Castillo R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.00 | 20.9% | 8.8% | 2.8% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 195 | 73 |
| Esmil Rogers R 2027 · 3.51 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.51 | 18.5% | 8.9% | 1.6% | .348 | 2.88 | 21.7% | 17.9% | 40 | -0.63 | 2.88 | 199 | 72 |
| Edwin Quirarte R 2026 · 3.59 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.59 | 16.7% | 6.2% | 2.0% | .311 | 3.45 | 12.7% | 4.9% | 83 | -0.14 | 3.21 | 157 | 71 |
| Ramon Delgado R 2027 · 4.73 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.73 | 13.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | .332 | 4.45 | 11.2% | 7.2% | 74 | -0.28 | 4.45 | 135 | 69 |
| Dakota Hawkins R 2024 · 3.90 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.90 | 16.7% | 6.8% | 2.5% | .243 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 167 | 69 |
| Nolan Sanburn R 2024 · 4.25 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.25 | 15.0% | 10.4% | 2.0% | .310 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.91 | 169 | 69 |
| Nelson Gonzalez R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.72 | 19.2% | 8.2% | 4.0% | .311 | 5.88 | 16.9% | 4.6% | 74 | +1.16 | 3.33 | 258 | 69 |
| Lisalverto Bonilla R 2025 · 4.60 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.60 | 18.2% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .304 | 4.88 | 15.8% | 3.2% | 11 | +0.28 | 3.25 | 221 | 69 |
| Casey Sadler R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.90 | 16.0% | 7.8% | 2.1% | .298 | 3.37 | 23.2% | 16.5% | 145 | -0.53 | 2.22 | 385 | 68 |
| Raynel Espinal R 2025 · 3.76 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.76 | 22.4% | 7.1% | 3.0% | .313 | 3.72 | 22.3% | 12.4% | 224 | -0.04 | 2.53 | 507 | 68 |
| Alfonso Sanchez R 2026 · 5.49 FIP | 28 | SW | 5.49 | 15.9% | 7.4% | 5.1% | .244 | 5.53 | 11.2% | 2.3% | 115 | +0.04 | 4.54 | 224 | 68 |
| Josh Roeder R 2024 · 4.75 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.75 | 15.1% | 8.7% | 3.3% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.75 | 175 | 68 |
| Blake Beers R 2025 · 4.20 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.20 | 18.3% | 9.1% | 2.7% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.20 | 416 | 68 |
| Jorge Martinez R 2029 · 3.42 FIP | 31 | SP- | 3.42 | 12.9% | 5.3% | 1.4% | .266 | 3.59 | 16.5% | 11.5% | 154 | +0.17 | 3.42 | 214 | 68 |
| Austin Bergner R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.00 | 19.1% | 11.3% | 2.0% | .278 | 6.71 | 16.4% | 2.4% | 16 | +2.71 | 4.00 | 464 | 68 |
| Bradin Hagens R 2027 · 4.85 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.85 | 14.9% | 9.9% | 3.2% | .341 | 5.33 | 13.2% | 0.6% | 66 | +0.48 | 3.78 | 254 | 68 |
| Aldo Montes R 2025 · 4.65 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.65 | 12.4% | 8.5% | 2.8% | .322 | 4.41 | 18.2% | 7.6% | 75 | -0.24 | 4.41 | 210 | 67 |
| Orlando Rodriguez R 2025 · 4.53 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.53 | 13.7% | 10.6% | 2.3% | .252 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.50 | 119 | 67 |