Matt Frisbee — OGILVIE

Matt Frisbee P Richmond Flying Squirrels

Age 29 RHP 6'5" / 215 lbs AA peak 0.1 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129120vR 112

ERA5.02

FIP5.02

K%19.3%

BB%12.0%

K-BB%7.3%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	22	132	536	154	28	15	85%	5.1	22.0%	6.0%	16.0%	3.6%	3.13	4.00	—
2019	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	22	132	536	154	28	15	85%	5.1	28.7%	5.2%	23.5%	2.8%	3.13	2.88	—
2021	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	20	113	488	111	28	27	91%	5.1	19.1%	6.1%	13.0%	6.6%	5.59	5.86	—
2021	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	20	113	488	111	28	27	91%	5.1	22.7%	5.7%	17.0%	5.5%	5.59	4.99	—
2022	25	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	27	26	140	611	132	38	23	96%	5.2	17.5%	6.8%	10.7%	4.9%	5.16	5.16	—
2022	25	AA RAW	Richmond Flying Squirrels	27	26	140	611	132	38	23	96%	5.2	21.6%	6.2%	15.4%	3.8%	5.16	4.17	—
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	0	48	209	37	19	9	0%	1.5	14.2%	9.6%	4.6%	6.2%	5.10	6.52	—
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	0	48	209	37	19	9	0%	1.5	14.2%	9.6%	4.6%	6.2%	5.10	6.52	—
2023	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	32	0	48	209	37	19	9	0%	1.5	17.7%	9.1%	8.6%	4.3%	5.10	5.20	—
2024	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	9	43	195	45	23	3	64%	3.1	18.3%	14.3%	4.0%	1.9%	4.57	4.42	—
2024	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	9	43	195	45	23	3	64%	3.1	18.3%	14.3%	4.0%	1.9%	4.57	4.42	—
2024	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	14	9	43	195	45	23	3	64%	3.1	23.1%	11.8%	11.3%	1.5%	4.57	3.52	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	29	MLB	SF	1	1	2	8	2	1	0	100%	2.0	19.3%	12.0%	7.3%	3.0%	5.02	5.02	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	SF	3	3	21	90	17	11	3	100%	7.1	19.3%	12.0%	7.3%	3.2%	5.06	5.13	-0.1
2027	30	MLB CTX	SF	1	1	7	30	6	4	1	100%	7.0	19.3%	12.0%	7.3%	3.2%	5.06	5.13	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		1	1	7	28	5	3	1	100%	6.7	19.3%	12.0%	7.3%	3.2%	5.06	4.75	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		32	32	200	844	150	90	30	100%	6.2	19.3%	12.0%	7.3%	3.2%	5.06	4.75	+0.4
Career	—	MLE		121	77	476	2039	383	152	98	64%	3.9	18.8%	7.5%	11.3%	4.8%	4.64	5.09	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		51	32	200	857	161	64	41	64%	3.9	18.8%	7.5%	11.3%	4.8%	4.64	5.09	-0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Matt Frisbee (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.02	19.3%	12.0%	3.0%	—	5.13	19.3%	7.3%	21	+0.11	—	—	—
Derek Eitel R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	29	SP-	4.72	17.2%	16.0%	1.9%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	138	72
Reinier Roibal R 2019 · 4.91 FIP	30	SP	4.91	17.5%	11.8%	3.3%	.426	—	—	—	—	—	3.11	133	72
Zack Segovia R 2015 · 4.78 FIP	32	SP	4.78	15.0%	8.3%	3.4%	.314	3.33	20.2%	14.3%	39	-1.45	3.33	144	72
Fabio Castillo R 2017 · 3.98 FIP	28	SP-	3.98	20.9%	8.8%	2.8%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	195	71
Tyler Cloyd R 2016 · 3.89 FIP	29	SP-	3.89	17.6%	12.4%	1.3%	.211	4.86	16.9%	9.7%	230	+0.97	3.89	250	70
Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2017 · 4.01 FIP	29	SP-	4.01	17.3%	10.9%	1.8%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	272	70
Carlos Frías R 2019 · 4.42 FIP	29	SP-	4.42	16.9%	11.1%	2.4%	.369	—	—	—	—	—	3.58	204	70
Hector Noesí R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SP-	4.37	17.6%	8.1%	3.2%	.261	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	250	69
Justin Masterson R 2015 · 4.10 FIP	30	SP-	4.10	18.2%	10.5%	2.2%	.307	3.73	17.3%	6.4%	196	-0.37	3.50	269	68
Kanekoa Texeira R 2015 · 4.13 FIP	29	SP-	4.13	14.5%	11.2%	1.5%	.280	4.10	10.2%	-0.2%	63	-0.03	4.10	165	68
Bradin Hagens R 2018 · 4.92 FIP	29	SP-	4.92	14.9%	9.9%	3.3%	.341	5.46	13.2%	0.6%	66	+0.54	3.79	254	67
Trevor Cahill R 2017 · 5.13 FIP	29	SP-	5.13	22.8%	11.5%	4.5%	.321	4.36	21.3%	11.7%	251	-0.77	3.37	556	67
Orlando Rodriguez R 2023 · 4.67 FIP	27	SW	4.67	13.7%	10.6%	2.5%	.252	—	—	—	—	—	4.40	119	67
Ariel Peña R 2017 · 3.99 FIP	28	SP	3.99	22.5%	12.0%	2.3%	.304	6.07	19.9%	-5.7%	21	+2.08	3.74	223	66
Kris Medlen R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	29	SP-	4.82	15.4%	6.4%	4.0%	.261	5.17	17.1%	8.6%	173	+0.35	4.59	261	66
Juan Omar Espinoza R 2015 · 4.81 FIP	31	SP-	4.81	8.9%	6.6%	3.0%	.346	4.84	8.4%	-0.8%	52	+0.03	4.81	104	66
Paul Clemens R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	29	SW	4.72	14.9%	11.0%	2.7%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.58	247	66
Clayton Mortensen R 2015 · 4.41 FIP	30	SP-	4.41	15.0%	12.6%	1.8%	.289	4.43	22.0%	10.3%	115	+0.02	4.31	221	66
David Griffin R 2023 · 5.85 FIP	27	SP-	5.85	13.9%	9.2%	5.0%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	4.43	239	65
Lisalverto Bonilla R 2019 · 4.70 FIP	29	SP-	4.70	15.8%	12.6%	2.5%	.265	—	—	—	—	—	3.22	221	65