Matt Frisbee
P Richmond Flying Squirrels| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | G | GS | IP | ERA | FIP | K% | BB% | WAR | MLE rates | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 25 | AASF | 27 | 26 | 140 | 5.16 | 4.17 | 21.6% | 6.2% | — | K 17.5% · BB 6.8% · FIP 5.16 | |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX2 levels | 32 | 0 | 48 | 5.10 | 5.20 | 17.7% | 9.1% | — | K 14.2% · BB 9.6% · FIP 6.52 | |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX2 levels | 14 | 9 | 43 | 4.57 | 3.52 | 23.1% | 11.8% | — | K 18.3% · BB 14.3% · FIP 4.42 | |
| 2025 | 28 | No MLB games played | ||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | No MLB games played | ||||||||||
| 2027PROJ | 30 | MLBSF | — | — | 0 | 4.69 | 4.69 | 21.6% | 11.2% | — | ||
| 2028PROJ31% MLB | 31 | MLBSF | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4.77 | 4.85 | 21.4% | 11.3% | 0.0 | ||
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year) | |||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 22 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 26 | 22 | 132 | 536 | 154 | 28 | 15 | 85% | 5.1 | 22.0% | 6.0% | 16.0% | 3.6% | 3.13 | 4.00 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | MIX RAW | 2 levels | 26 | 22 | 132 | 536 | 154 | 28 | 15 | 85% | 5.1 | 28.7% | 5.2% | 23.5% | 2.8% | 3.13 | 2.88 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 22 | 20 | 113 | 488 | 111 | 28 | 27 | 91% | 5.1 | 19.1% | 6.1% | 13.0% | 6.6% | 5.59 | 5.86 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX RAW | 2 levels | 22 | 20 | 113 | 488 | 111 | 28 | 27 | 91% | 5.1 | 22.7% | 5.7% | 17.0% | 5.5% | 5.59 | 4.99 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | 27 | 26 | 140 | 611 | 132 | 38 | 23 | 96% | 5.2 | 17.5% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 4.9% | 5.16 | 5.16 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA RAW | Richmond Flying Squirrels | 27 | 26 | 140 | 611 | 132 | 38 | 23 | 96% | 5.2 | 21.6% | 6.2% | 15.4% | 3.8% | 5.16 | 4.17 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 32 | 0 | 48 | 209 | 37 | 19 | 9 | 0% | 1.5 | 14.2% | 9.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.10 | 6.52 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX RAW | 2 levels | 32 | 0 | 48 | 209 | 37 | 19 | 9 | 0% | 1.5 | 17.7% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 4.3% | 5.10 | 5.20 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 14 | 9 | 43 | 195 | 45 | 23 | 3 | 64% | 3.1 | 18.3% | 14.3% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 4.57 | 4.42 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 14 | 9 | 43 | 195 | 45 | 23 | 3 | 64% | 3.1 | 18.3% | 14.3% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 4.57 | 4.42 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX RAW | 2 levels | 14 | 9 | 43 | 195 | 45 | 23 | 3 | 64% | 3.1 | 23.1% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 1.5% | 4.57 | 3.52 | — |
| ▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | SF | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21.6% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 3.0% | 4.69 | 4.69 | — |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 31 | MLB MLE | SF | 3 | 3 | 21 | 88 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 100% | 6.9 | 21.4% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 3.2% | 4.77 | 4.85 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB CTX | SF | 1 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 7.0 | 21.4% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 3.2% | 4.77 | 4.85 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | RAW | 1 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 6.5 | 21.4% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 3.2% | 4.77 | 4.48 | +0.1 | |
| / 200 IP | — | RAW | 32 | 32 | 200 | 844 | 184 | 92 | 31 | 100% | 6.2 | 21.4% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 3.2% | 4.77 | 4.48 | +2.1 | |
| Career | — | MLE | 121 | 77 | 476 | 2039 | 383 | 152 | 98 | 64% | 3.9 | 18.8% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 4.8% | 4.64 | 5.09 | +0.1 | |
| / 200 IP | — | MLE | 51 | 32 | 200 | 857 | 161 | 64 | 41 | 64% | 3.9 | 18.8% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 4.8% | 4.64 | 5.09 | +1.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2024 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 39 IPFIP 3.77 → 4.42 (+0.65)K% 22.6% → 18.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 22.60% | — | ×0.810 | 18.31% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 12.99% | — | ×1.100 | 14.29% |
| HR / BF /BF | 1.69% | ÷1.062 | ×1.200 | 1.92% |
Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 112).
Result: FIP 3.77 → 4.42, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 40 IPFIP 5.30 → 6.52 (+1.23)K% 17.5% → 14.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 17.54% | — | ×0.810 | 14.21% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 8.77% | — | ×1.100 | 9.65% |
| HR / BF /BF | 4.68% | ÷0.906 | ×1.200 | 6.20% |
Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 81).
Result: FIP 5.30 → 6.52, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAASacramento River Cats · 8 IPFIP 4.32 → 4.47 (+0.14)K% 18.4% → 15.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 18.42% | — | ×0.860 | 15.84% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 10.53% | — | ×0.900 | 9.47% |
| HR / BF /BF | 2.63% | ÷1.057 | ×1.100 | 2.74% |
Factors used: pitcher AAA level factors (Triple-A 2023+ robo-zone set: walks improve on promotion) — K ×0.86, BB ×0.90, HR ×1.10. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 111).
Result: FIP 4.32 → 4.47, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 140 IPFIP 4.13 → 5.16 (+1.03)K% 21.6% → 17.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 21.60% | — | ×0.810 | 17.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 6.22% | — | ×1.100 | 6.84% |
| HR / BF /BF | 3.76% | ÷0.929 | ×1.200 | 4.86% |
Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 86).
Result: FIP 4.13 → 5.16, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAASacramento River Cats · 53 IPFIP 5.91 → 6.51 (+0.59)K% 18.0% → 15.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 18.04% | — | ×0.880 | 15.87% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 7.06% | — | ×1.050 | 7.41% |
| HR / BF /BF | 6.27% | ÷0.995 | ×1.100 | 6.94% |
Factors used: pitcher AAA level factors — K ×0.88, BB ×1.05, HR ×1.10. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 99).
Result: FIP 5.91 → 6.51, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 60 IPFIP 3.88 → 5.16 (+1.28)K% 27.9% → 22.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 27.90% | — | ×0.810 | 22.60% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 4.29% | — | ×1.100 | 4.72% |
| HR / BF /BF | 4.72% | ÷0.923 | ×1.200 | 6.14% |
Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 85).
Result: FIP 3.88 → 5.16, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 A+San Jose Giants · 116 IPFIP 2.74 → 3.81 (+1.07)K% 27.7% → 21.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 27.70% | — | ×0.770 | 21.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 4.65% | — | ×1.150 | 5.35% |
| HR / BF /BF | 2.54% | ÷0.947 | ×1.250 | 3.35% |
Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 89).
Result: FIP 2.74 → 3.81, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAugusta GreenJackets · 16 IPFIP 3.84 → 5.38 (+1.54)K% 36.5% → 27.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 36.51% | — | ×0.740 | 27.02% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 9.52% | — | ×1.180 | 11.24% |
| HR / BF /BF | 4.76% | ÷1.082 | ×1.300 | 5.72% |
Factors used: pitcher A level factors — K ×0.74, BB ×1.18, HR ×1.30. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 116).
Result: FIP 3.84 → 5.38, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).