Matt Frisbee
P
Richmond Flying Squirrels
Age 29
RHP
6'5" / 215 lbs
AA
peak 0.2 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 22 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123114vR 105
ERA4.59
FIP4.59
K%21.8%
BB%10.3%
K-BB%11.5%
ROS IP23
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 22 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 22 | 132 | 536 | 154 | 28 | 15 | 85% | 5.1 | 22.0% | 6.0% | 16.0% | 3.8% | 3.13 | 4.07 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 22 | 132 | 536 | 154 | 28 | 15 | 85% | 5.1 | 28.7% | 5.2% | 23.5% | 2.8% | 3.13 | 2.88 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 20 | 113 | 488 | 111 | 28 | 27 | 91% | 5.1 | 19.1% | 6.1% | 13.0% | 6.8% | 5.59 | 6.02 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 20 | 113 | 488 | 111 | 28 | 27 | 91% | 5.1 | 22.7% | 5.7% | 17.0% | 5.5% | 5.59 | 4.99 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | 27 | 26 | 140 | 611 | 132 | 38 | 23 | 96% | 5.2 | 17.5% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 5.3% | 5.16 | 5.38 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | 27 | 26 | 140 | 611 | 132 | 38 | 23 | 96% | 5.2 | 21.6% | 6.2% | 15.4% | 3.8% | 5.16 | 4.17 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 0 | 48 | 209 | 37 | 19 | 9 | 0% | 1.5 | 14.2% | 9.6% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.10 | 6.92 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 0 | 48 | 209 | 37 | 19 | 9 | 0% | 1.5 | 17.7% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 4.3% | 5.10 | 5.20 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 9 | 43 | 195 | 45 | 23 | 3 | 64% | 3.1 | 18.3% | 14.3% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 4.57 | 4.36 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 9 | 43 | 195 | 45 | 23 | 3 | 64% | 3.1 | 23.1% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 1.5% | 4.57 | 3.52 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | SF | 4 | 4 | 23 | 96 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 100% | 5.7 | 21.8% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 3.0% | 4.59 | 4.59 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | SF | 3 | 3 | 21 | 90 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 100% | 7.1 | 21.6% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 3.2% | 4.67 | 4.74 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | SF | 1 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 7.0 | 21.6% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 3.2% | 4.67 | 4.74 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 1 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 6.7 | 21.6% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 3.2% | 4.67 | 4.36 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 32 | 32 | 200 | 844 | 180 | 90 | 30 | 100% | 6.2 | 21.6% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 3.2% | 4.67 | 4.36 | +2.4 | ||
| Career | — | 121 | 77 | 476 | 2039 | 383 | 152 | 104 | 64% | 3.9 | 18.8% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 5.1% | 4.64 | 5.25 | +0.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 51 | 32 | 200 | 857 | 161 | 64 | 44 | 64% | 3.9 | 18.8% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 5.1% | 4.64 | 5.25 | +0.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Matt Frisbee (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.59 | 21.8% | 10.3% | 3.0% | — | 4.74 | 21.6% | 11.2% | 21 | +0.15 | — | — | — |
| Fabio Castillo R 2025 · 4.00 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.00 | 20.9% | 8.8% | 2.8% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 195 | 74 |
| Trevor Cahill R 2026 · 5.10 FIP | 29 | SP- | 5.10 | 22.8% | 11.5% | 4.5% | .321 | 4.41 | 21.3% | 11.7% | 251 | -0.69 | 3.33 | 556 | 71 |
| Hector Noesí R 2025 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.21 | 17.6% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 250 | 69 |
| Zack Segovia R 2029 · 5.00 FIP | 32 | SP | 5.00 | 15.0% | 8.3% | 3.8% | .314 | 3.41 | 20.2% | 14.3% | 39 | -1.59 | 3.41 | 144 | 69 |
| Reinier Roibal R 2027 · 4.86 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.86 | 17.5% | 11.8% | 3.2% | .426 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.07 | 133 | 68 |
| Ariel Peña R 2025 · 3.93 FIP | 28 | SP | 3.93 | 22.5% | 12.0% | 2.2% | .304 | 5.94 | 19.9% | -5.7% | 21 | +2.01 | 3.91 | 223 | 67 |
| Justin Masterson R 2027 · 4.06 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.06 | 18.2% | 10.5% | 2.1% | .307 | 3.76 | 17.3% | 6.4% | 196 | -0.30 | 3.51 | 269 | 67 |
| Carlos Frías R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.59 | 16.9% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .369 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.64 | 204 | 67 |
| Kris Medlen R 2026 · 4.77 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.77 | 15.4% | 6.4% | 4.0% | .261 | 5.16 | 17.1% | 8.6% | 173 | +0.39 | 4.66 | 261 | 67 |
| Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 29 | SP- | 3.84 | 17.3% | 10.9% | 1.5% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 272 | 66 |
| Tyler Cloyd R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 29 | SP- | 3.89 | 17.6% | 12.4% | 1.3% | .211 | 4.90 | 16.9% | 9.7% | 230 | +1.01 | 3.89 | 250 | 66 |
| Matt Cain R 2027 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.90 | 17.1% | 6.8% | 4.3% | .296 | 4.88 | 15.2% | 7.6% | 214 | -0.02 | 4.83 | 294 | 66 |
| Connor Schultz R 2024 · 4.85 FIP | 27 | SP | 4.85 | 21.5% | 10.9% | 4.0% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 171 | 66 |
| Derek Eitel R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.76 | 17.2% | 16.0% | 2.0% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 138 | 64 |
| Jorge Martinez R 2028 · 3.42 FIP | 31 | SP- | 3.42 | 12.9% | 5.3% | 1.4% | .266 | 3.59 | 16.5% | 11.5% | 154 | +0.17 | 3.42 | 214 | 64 |
| Hiram Burgos R 2026 · 5.14 FIP | 29 | SP | 5.14 | 19.3% | 7.5% | 4.9% | .351 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 355 | 64 |
| Bradin Hagens R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.85 | 14.9% | 9.9% | 3.2% | .341 | 5.33 | 13.2% | 0.6% | 66 | +0.48 | 3.78 | 254 | 64 |
| Yohan Pino R 2028 · 3.95 FIP | 31 | SP- | 3.95 | 17.8% | 5.8% | 2.9% | .312 | 5.48 | 15.2% | 11.6% | 35 | +1.53 | 3.95 | 133 | 63 |
| Kanekoa Texeira R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.12 | 14.5% | 11.2% | 1.5% | .280 | 4.05 | 10.2% | -0.2% | 63 | -0.07 | 4.05 | 165 | 62 |
| Paul Clemens R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.76 | 14.9% | 11.0% | 2.8% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.76 | 247 | 62 |