Rorik Maltrud — OGILVIE

Rorik Maltrud P Columbus Clippers

Age 26 RHP 6'3" / 223 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033 peak 1.0 · 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION126 act + 11 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125117vR 109

ERA4.85

FIP4.85

K%20.5%

BB%11.8%

K-BB%8.7%

ROS IP11

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 136 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL4040

CMD4545

K†5050

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.9M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	19	105	436	118	36	9	79%	4.4	20.4%	9.6%	10.8%	2.4%	3.44	3.91	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	19	105	436	118	36	9	79%	4.4	20.4%	9.6%	10.8%	2.4%	3.44	3.91	—
2024	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	19	105	436	118	36	9	79%	4.4	27.1%	8.3%	18.8%	2.1%	3.44	2.99	—
2025	25	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	19	19	64	270	68	30	6	100%	3.4	20.4%	12.2%	8.2%	2.9%	4.38	4.51	—
2025	25	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	19	19	64	270	68	30	6	100%	3.4	20.4%	12.2%	8.2%	2.9%	4.38	4.51	—
2025	25	AA RAW	Akron RubberDucks	19	19	64	270	68	30	6	100%	3.4	25.2%	11.1%	14.1%	2.2%	4.38	3.60	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	27	22	126	533	111	46	16	81%	4.7	17.3%	7.8%	9.5%	3.3%	3.80	4.44	—
YTD	26	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	27	22	126	533	111	46	16	81%	4.7	17.3%	7.8%	9.5%	3.3%	3.80	4.44	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	26	AAA RAW	CLE	27	22	126	533	111	46	16	81%	4.7	20.8%	8.6%	12.2%	3.0%	3.80	4.08	—
ROS	26	MLB MLE	CLE	2	2	11	44	9	5	1	100%	5.3	20.5%	11.8%	8.7%	2.9%	4.85	4.85	+0.0
ROS	26	MLB CTX	CLE	1	1	1	4	1	0	0	100%	1.0	20.5%	11.8%	8.7%	2.9%	4.85	4.85	+0.0
2026 TOT	26	MLB MLE	CLE	—	—	136	577	120	51	17	—	—	20.8%	8.9%	11.9%	3.0%	3.88	4.47	+0.7
FULL	26	MLB A+C	CLE	—	—	1	4	1	1	0	—	—	20.5%	11.8%	8.7%	2.9%	4.85	4.47	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	CLE	21	21	127	535	111	62	16	100%	6.0	20.6%	11.5%	9.1%	3.0%	4.82	4.83	+0.1
2028	28	MLB MLE	CLE	21	21	127	535	110	61	17	100%	6.0	20.6%	11.4%	9.2%	3.1%	4.83	4.87	+0.0
2029	29	MLB MLE	CLE	20	20	121	511	105	58	17	100%	6.1	20.4%	11.4%	9.0%	3.2%	4.90	4.97	-0.1
2030	30	MLB MLE	CLE	19	19	114	480	97	56	16	100%	6.0	20.1%	11.6%	8.5%	3.4%	5.03	5.13	-0.3
2027	27	MLB CTX	CLE	9	9	54	228	47	26	7	100%	6.0	20.6%	11.5%	9.1%	3.0%	4.82	4.83	+0.0
2028	28	MLB CTX	CLE	13	13	79	334	69	38	10	100%	6.1	20.6%	11.4%	9.2%	3.1%	4.83	4.87	+0.0
2029	29	MLB CTX	CLE	15	15	88	372	76	42	12	100%	5.9	20.4%	11.4%	9.0%	3.2%	4.90	4.97	-0.1
2030	30	MLB CTX	CLE	15	15	91	384	77	45	13	100%	6.1	20.1%	11.6%	8.5%	3.4%	5.03	5.13	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		52	52	313	1323	270	152	42	100%	6.0	20.4%	11.5%	9.0%	3.2%	4.90	4.58	+1.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	172	97	27	100%	6.0	20.4%	11.5%	9.0%	3.2%	4.90	4.58	+0.7
Career	—	MLE		70	60	294	1239	236	116	36	86%	4.2	19.1%	9.4%	9.7%	2.9%	3.80	4.26	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		48	41	200	843	161	79	24	86%	4.2	19.1%	9.4%	9.7%	2.9%	3.80	4.26	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Rorik Maltrud (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.85	20.5%	11.8%	2.9%	—	4.89	20.6%	9.1%	375	+0.04	—	—	—
Tyler Cravy R 2015 · 3.94 FIP	26	SP-	3.94	17.0%	9.0%	2.1%	.305	4.61	18.6%	7.8%	138	+0.67	3.94	276	81
Will Warren R 2023 · 4.11 FIP	24	SP	4.11	22.3%	10.1%	2.9%	.287	4.00	23.6%	15.4%	437	-0.11	3.82	695	81
Cameron Foster R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	24	SP	4.31	18.9%	10.3%	2.7%	.329	4.05	20.9%	10.9%	132	-0.26	2.54	213	81
Justin Armbruester R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SP	4.44	17.3%	9.6%	2.9%	.271	5.30	20.4%	9.9%	135	+0.86	1.49	373	80
Tyler Uberstine R 2022 · 4.19 FIP	23	SP-	4.19	19.5%	10.5%	2.6%	.302	4.32	22.2%	14.8%	121	+0.13	3.16	258	79
Paxton Schultz R 2023 · 4.90 FIP	25	SP-	4.90	19.1%	11.9%	3.5%	.319	4.05	22.7%	14.3%	222	-0.85	3.90	538	79
Jared Mortensen R 2015 · 4.42 FIP	27	SP-	4.42	16.9%	7.8%	3.2%	.287	4.99	20.9%	2.1%	72	+0.57	4.42	200	79
Nick Pasquale R 2017 · 4.74 FIP	26	SP-	4.74	16.8%	12.7%	2.6%	.306	3.80	17.9%	6.3%	50	-0.94	3.19	308	79
Austin Love R 2022 · 4.34 FIP	23	SP	4.34	20.6%	10.6%	3.0%	.358	3.58	22.1%	9.7%	56	-0.76	3.58	236	79
David Lebron R 2019 · 4.28 FIP	25	SP-	4.28	18.6%	14.2%	1.7%	.336	5.56	26.7%	12.0%	62	+1.28	4.28	144	78
Forrest Snow R 2015 · 5.03 FIP	26	SP-	5.03	16.1%	8.2%	4.1%	.263	4.14	21.8%	14.2%	256	-0.89	3.02	406	78
Alejandro Martinez R 2015 · 4.46 FIP	26	SP-	4.46	17.5%	10.9%	2.7%	.393	4.24	9.2%	3.9%	53	-0.22	4.24	166	78
M.D. Johnson R 2023 · 5.64 FIP	26	SP	5.64	16.4%	12.7%	4.2%	.254	3.52	14.6%	4.7%	67	-2.12	3.52	395	78
Nestor Molina R 2016 · 4.83 FIP	27	SP	4.83	15.0%	8.0%	3.6%	.304	3.61	17.0%	10.2%	289	-1.22	3.01	401	77
Brad Peacock R 2016 · 3.97 FIP	28	SP-	3.97	20.9%	8.7%	2.8%	.302	3.45	29.4%	20.4%	289	-0.52	2.97	533	77
Hector Noesí R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SP-	4.37	17.6%	8.1%	3.2%	.261	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	250	77
David Hale R 2015 · 4.15 FIP	27	SP-	4.15	16.2%	6.8%	2.8%	.343	4.11	13.8%	8.1%	251	-0.04	3.30	493	77
Michael Darrell-Hicks R 2023 · 3.71 FIP	25	SP-	3.71	20.3%	8.7%	2.2%	.309	3.50	21.1%	13.0%	142	-0.21	1.87	251	77
Carson Seymour R 2023 · 3.96 FIP	24	SP-	3.96	19.8%	10.2%	2.3%	.292	4.55	18.9%	9.6%	348	+0.59	3.39	572	77
Patrick Johnson R 2016 · 3.82 FIP	27	SP-	3.82	17.3%	6.9%	2.4%	.286	4.14	15.7%	6.4%	120	+0.32	3.82	248	77

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.1	123	20.5%	11.5%	1.21	4.88
James Kaprielian ('23)	1.6	105	20.5%	9.6%	1.26	4.58
Ian Anderson ('22)	1.4	91	22.5%	10.4%	0.96	3.97
Julio Teheran ('23)	5.2	147	20.4%	8.8%	1.34	4.12
Aaron Sanchez ('22)	3.3	93	18.1%	10.0%	0.98	4.32
Dan Straily ('19)	2.7	136	20.0%	8.9%	1.72	4.54
Josiah Gray ('23)	1.9	126	22.6%	10.8%	1.88	4.64