Trevor Martin — OGILVIE

Trevor Martin P Salt Lake Bees

Age 25 RHP 6'5" / 238 lbs AAA ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION69 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 116108vR 100

ERA4.37

FIP4.37

K%19.2%

BB%9.4%

K-BB%9.9%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 74 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL5050

CMD5050

K†4545

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p5594.9

Whiff%

p2722.0%

p1012.1%

xwOBA vs

p100.359

FB+0.9 (52%)

CT (23%)

SI (6%)

CU (5%)

SL-0.8 (1%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	21	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	1	1	1	5	2	1	0	100%	1.0	40.0%	20.0%	20.0%	0.0%	0.00	2.26	—
2022	21	ROK RAW	FCL Rays	1	1	1	5	2	1	0	100%	1.0	40.0%	20.0%	20.0%	0.0%	0.00	2.10	—
2023	22	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	25	22	110	456	131	41	11	88%	4.4	21.3%	10.6%	10.6%	2.9%	3.52	4.25	—
2023	22	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	25	22	110	456	131	41	11	88%	4.4	21.3%	10.6%	10.6%	2.9%	3.52	4.25	—
2023	22	A RAW	Charleston RiverDogs	25	22	110	456	131	41	11	88%	4.4	28.7%	9.0%	19.7%	2.4%	3.52	3.14	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	26	122	525	138	38	14	93%	4.4	20.6%	8.1%	12.5%	3.3%	4.41	4.21	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	26	122	525	138	38	14	93%	4.4	20.6%	8.1%	12.5%	3.3%	4.41	4.21	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	26	122	525	138	38	14	93%	4.4	26.3%	7.2%	19.0%	2.7%	4.41	3.26	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	0	53	221	55	19	6	0%	1.4	19.2%	9.8%	9.4%	3.2%	3.21	4.48	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	0	53	221	55	19	6	0%	1.4	19.2%	9.8%	9.4%	3.2%	3.21	4.48	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	38	0	53	221	55	19	6	0%	1.4	24.9%	8.6%	16.3%	2.7%	3.21	3.57	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			7	0	14	66	8	6	4	0%	2.0	12.1%	9.1%	3.0%	6.1%	4.40	6.87	-0.4
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	39	4	69	311	69	37	7	10%	1.8	18.9%	10.9%	8.0%	2.3%	3.67	4.16	—
YTD	25	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	39	4	69	311	69	37	7	10%	1.8	18.9%	10.9%	8.0%	2.3%	3.67	4.16	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	AAA RAW	LAA	32	4	54	245	61	31	3	12%	1.7	24.9%	12.7%	12.2%	1.2%	3.48	3.27	—
2026	25	MLB RAW	LAA	7	0	14	66	8	6	4	0%	2.0	12.1%	9.1%	3.0%	6.1%	4.40	6.55	-0.3
SO FAR	25	MLB RAW	LAA	7	0	14	66	8	6	4	0%	2.0	12.1%	9.1%	3.0%	6.1%	4.40	6.55	-0.3
ROS	25	MLB MLE	LAA	5	0	5	23	4	2	1	0%	1.1	19.2%	9.4%	9.9%	3.1%	4.37	4.37	+0.0
ROS	25	MLB CTX	LAA	5	0	5	21	4	2	1	0%	1.0	19.2%	9.4%	9.9%	3.1%	4.37	4.37	+0.0
2026 TOT	25	MLB MLE	LAA	—	—	74	334	73	39	8	—	—	22.0%	11.7%	10.3%	2.3%	3.72	4.18	+0.4
FULL	25	MLB A+C	LAA	—	—	20	83	73	39	8	—	—	88.1%	47.0%	41.1%	9.3%	13.97	6.69	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	LAA	105	0	110	465	87	41	16	0%	1.0	18.7%	8.9%	9.8%	3.4%	4.92	4.91	-0.4
2028	27	MLB MLE	LAA	103	0	108	458	87	41	16	0%	1.1	18.9%	8.9%	10.0%	3.4%	4.89	4.90	-0.4
2029	28	MLB MLE	LAA	100	0	105	444	84	40	16	0%	1.1	19.0%	9.0%	10.0%	3.5%	4.91	4.95	-0.5
2030	29	MLB MLE	LAA	96	0	100	424	80	39	16	0%	1.0	18.8%	9.2%	9.6%	3.7%	5.00	5.07	-0.6
2031	30	MLB MLE	LAA	90	0	94	399	74	38	15	0%	1.0	18.5%	9.5%	9.0%	3.9%	5.15	5.24	-0.7
2027	26	MLB CTX	LAA	100	0	105	443	83	40	15	0%	1.1	18.7%	8.9%	9.8%	3.4%	4.92	4.91	-0.4
2028	27	MLB CTX	LAA	98	0	103	435	82	39	15	0%	1.1	18.9%	8.9%	10.0%	3.4%	4.89	4.90	-0.4
2029	28	MLB CTX	LAA	95	0	100	422	80	38	15	0%	1.1	19.0%	9.0%	10.0%	3.5%	4.91	4.95	-0.4
2030	29	MLB CTX	LAA	90	0	95	401	75	37	15	0%	1.1	18.8%	9.2%	9.6%	3.7%	5.00	5.07	-0.5
2031	30	MLB CTX	LAA	86	0	90	380	70	36	15	0%	1.0	18.5%	9.5%	9.0%	3.9%	5.15	5.24	-0.7
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		481	0	512	2168	403	197	79	0%	1.1	18.6%	9.1%	9.5%	3.6%	4.95	4.68	-0.8
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		188	0	200	847	157	77	31	0%	1.1	18.6%	9.1%	9.5%	3.6%	4.95	4.68	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		131	53	355	1518	308	148	45	40%	2.7	20.3%	9.7%	10.6%	3.0%	3.80	4.25	-3.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		74	30	200	854	173	83	25	40%	2.7	20.3%	9.7%	10.6%	3.0%	3.80	4.25	-1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Trevor Martin (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.72	19.4%	9.1%	3.1%	—	4.92	18.9%	9.9%	324	+0.20	—	—	—
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	92
Derek Gordon R 2016 · 4.62 FIP	25	SW	4.62	19.9%	9.3%	3.7%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	4.62	146	86
Billy Corcoran R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	19.5%	10.0%	2.7%	.308	5.16	16.5%	8.7%	206	+0.96	4.20	275	86
Jorge Reyes R 2015 · 4.58 FIP	27	SW	4.58	15.9%	8.5%	3.2%	.307	3.49	14.2%	6.2%	129	-1.09	3.39	227	86
Shohei Tomioka R 2021 · 4.00 FIP	25	SW	4.00	18.9%	9.0%	2.5%	.311	4.40	17.2%	4.0%	141	+0.40	3.65	299	85
Felipe Gonzalez R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	25	SW	4.60	18.3%	9.2%	3.4%	.337	3.27	22.7%	12.7%	50	-1.33	3.27	339	83
Jimmy Kingsbury R 2023 · 5.11 FIP	24	SW	5.11	18.2%	9.9%	4.2%	.304	3.67	18.0%	9.9%	189	-1.44	3.51	330	82
Andrew Bellatti R 2015 · 4.34 FIP	23	SU	4.34	19.3%	8.8%	3.2%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	2.67	278	82
Seth McGarry R 2019 · 4.62 FIP	25	SW	4.62	17.1%	9.6%	3.2%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.39	261	81
Jaycob Deese R 2023 · 4.68 FIP	23	SU	4.68	17.4%	6.8%	4.0%	.309	4.83	13.6%	4.4%	140	+0.15	3.28	208	81
Noah Bremer R 2021 · 4.39 FIP	25	SW	4.39	18.0%	9.4%	2.9%	.292	5.82	13.1%	1.2%	46	+1.43	3.19	271	80
Jake Christianson R 2023 · 4.00 FIP	23	SW	4.00	17.9%	10.1%	2.1%	.309	4.72	16.4%	6.1%	105	+0.72	4.00	188	80
Roberto Gómez R 2017 · 3.95 FIP	27	SW	3.95	18.4%	8.9%	2.3%	.315	5.25	13.8%	4.9%	18	+1.30	3.95	115	80
Yaisel Sierra R 2016 · 4.32 FIP	25	SW	4.32	16.9%	8.6%	2.8%	.338	3.04	22.4%	12.3%	71	-1.28	3.04	176	80
Pedro Echemendia R 2016 · 4.79 FIP	25	SU	4.79	15.0%	8.0%	3.5%	.286	4.31	11.0%	5.9%	72	-0.48	4.31	141	79
Aaron Northcraft R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	25	SW	4.37	13.6%	10.2%	2.1%	.286	4.19	16.1%	7.8%	91	-0.18	3.32	252	79
Stephen Johnson R 2016 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	16.7%	12.7%	3.4%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	3.12	141	79
Micah Dallas R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	23	SW	4.56	15.1%	5.7%	3.6%	.374	4.23	18.2%	9.5%	152	-0.33	3.60	201	79
Corey Baker R 2015 · 3.77 FIP	25	SW	3.77	17.4%	10.2%	1.5%	.295	4.97	15.5%	7.3%	170	+1.20	3.06	267	79
Colby Morris R 2022 · 5.76 FIP	25	SW	5.76	16.2%	11.8%	4.6%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	105	79

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.9	96	18.8%	9.1%	1.37	4.95
Chad Kuhl ('24)	3.3	84	20.0%	10.4%	1.31	4.98
Sal Romano ('21)	1.3	86	17.0%	8.8%	1.29	5.10
Luis Perdomo ('22)	2.3	90	16.6%	7.8%	1.08	5.09
Jaime Barria ('23)	2.3	77	17.9%	7.7%	1.61	4.38
Aaron Sanchez ('22)	3.3	93	18.1%	10.0%	0.98	4.32
Homer Bailey ('19)	1.9	96	18.5%	7.8%	1.34	5.56