Trevor Martin
P
Durham Bulls
+0.1
WAR
INJURED · Reassigned to Minors (RM)
Age 25
RHP
6'5" / 238 lbs
AAA
peak 0.4 · 2027
ERA4.56
FIP4.56
xFIP2.02
SIERA1.34
K%21.3%
BB%9.2%
K-BB%12.1%
IP66
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.4peak
2027
STUF4545
CTRL5050
CMD5050
K†5050
FB+0.9 (49%)
CT (34%)
SI (4%)
SL-0.8 (3%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 21 | ROK | FCL Rays | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 25 | 22 | 110 | 456 | 131 | 41 | 11 | 21.3% | 10.6% | 2.9% | 3.52 | 4.24 | +1.3 |
| 2024 | 23 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | 28 | 26 | 122 | 525 | 138 | 38 | 14 | 20.6% | 8.1% | 3.3% | 4.41 | 4.19 | +1.5 |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA | Durham Bulls | 38 | 0 | 53 | 221 | 55 | 19 | 6 | 19.2% | 9.8% | 3.2% | 3.21 | 4.49 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AAA | Durham Bulls | 6 | 0 | 7 | 33 | 8 | 5 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | TB | 26 | — | 26 | 111 | 23 | 10 | 3 | 20.7% | 9.2% | 3.1% | 4.61 | 4.61 | +0.1 |
| 2026 Total | 25 | MLB | TB | — | — | 34 | 144 | 31 | 15 | 3 | 21.5% | 10.5% | 2.4% | 3.60 | 3.60 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | TB | 12 | 12 | 66 | 277 | 59 | 25 | 9 | 21.2% | 9.1% | 3.1% | 4.57 | 4.56 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | TB | 12 | 12 | 65 | 275 | 59 | 25 | 9 | 21.4% | 9.2% | 3.1% | 4.55 | 4.55 | +0.3 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | TB | 12 | 12 | 64 | 271 | 58 | 25 | 9 | 21.4% | 9.2% | 3.1% | 4.56 | 4.57 | +0.3 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB | TB | 11 | 11 | 63 | 265 | 57 | 25 | 8 | 21.3% | 9.3% | 3.2% | 4.58 | 4.61 | +0.3 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB | TB | 11 | 11 | 61 | 257 | 54 | 24 | 8 | 21.1% | 9.4% | 3.3% | 4.63 | 4.67 | +0.2 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB | TB | 59 | — | 59 | 248 | 52 | 24 | 8 | 20.9% | 9.5% | 3.3% | 4.70 | 4.74 | +0.1 |
| 2033 | 32 | MLB | TB | 56 | — | 56 | 238 | 49 | 23 | 8 | 20.6% | 9.7% | 3.4% | 4.78 | 4.83 | +0.1 |
| 2034 | 33 | MLB | TB | 54 | — | 54 | 228 | 46 | 22 | 8 | 20.3% | 9.8% | 3.5% | 4.87 | 4.93 | +0.0 |
| 2035 | 34 | MLB | TB | 51 | — | 51 | 216 | 43 | 22 | 8 | 20.0% | 10.0% | 3.6% | 4.97 | 5.04 | -0.1 |
| 2036 | 35 | MLB | TB | 48 | — | 48 | 204 | 40 | 21 | 8 | 19.6% | 10.3% | 3.7% | 5.08 | 5.16 | -0.1 |
| 2037 | 36 | MLB | TB | 45 | — | 45 | 191 | 37 | 20 | 7 | 19.1% | 10.5% | 3.8% | 5.21 | 5.29 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 98 | 49 | 294 | 1240 | 258 | 119 | 38 | 20.8% | 9.6% | 3.0% | 3.73 | 4.22 | +3.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 67 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 176 | 81 | 26 | 20.8% | 9.6% | 3.0% | 3.73 | 4.22 | +2.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Trevor Martin (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.61 | 20.7% | 9.2% | 3.1% | — | 4.56 | 21.3% | 12.2% | 195 | -0.05 | — | — | — |
| Roman Mendez R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.38 | 19.1% | 8.1% | 3.4% | .275 | 4.54 | 20.2% | 10.4% | 118 | +0.16 | 4.12 | 230 | 90 |
| Kaleb Bowman R 2027 · 3.85 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.85 | 22.0% | 7.5% | 3.0% | .333 | 4.24 | 18.2% | 8.5% | 116 | +0.39 | 3.85 | 149 | 88 |
| Brad Deppermann R 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.48 | 17.1% | 9.6% | 2.9% | .289 | 3.53 | 20.0% | 7.8% | 45 | -0.95 | 1.94 | 131 | 87 |
| Chris Jefferson R 2026 · 3.49 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.49 | 22.4% | 10.2% | 1.8% | .330 | 4.95 | 16.5% | 3.9% | 101 | +1.46 | 3.49 | 140 | 87 |
| Jason Stoffel R 2027 · 3.60 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.60 | 23.4% | 10.1% | 2.2% | .267 | 3.51 | 27.2% | 19.2% | 59 | -0.09 | 3.51 | 103 | 87 |
| Orlando Rodriguez R 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.53 | 20.8% | 10.1% | 3.5% | .380 | 4.49 | 19.3% | 7.9% | 101 | -0.04 | 4.37 | 119 | 87 |
| Daniel Corcino R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.38 | 17.2% | 7.5% | 3.2% | .238 | 4.78 | 19.4% | 8.2% | 263 | +0.40 | 3.84 | 299 | 86 |
| Danny Hrbek R 2025 · 3.99 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.99 | 21.3% | 7.5% | 3.2% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.99 | 100 | 84 |
| Luis De La O R 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.37 | 17.0% | 9.4% | 2.8% | .370 | 3.72 | 15.3% | 10.8% | 81 | -0.65 | 3.22 | 145 | 84 |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2027 · 3.70 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.70 | 24.5% | 9.5% | 2.7% | .232 | 5.13 | 18.0% | 7.0% | 180 | +1.43 | 3.70 | 223 | 84 |
| Carlos Alvarado R 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.87 | 16.3% | 10.0% | 3.4% | .342 | 4.09 | 24.3% | 14.8% | 78 | -0.78 | 2.67 | 102 | 84 |
| Boby Johnson R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.69 | 20.3% | 8.8% | 4.0% | .318 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.80 | 145 | 84 |
| Jacob Bosiokovic R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.83 | 17.2% | 9.8% | 1.7% | .289 | 4.21 | 24.7% | 12.1% | 62 | +0.38 | 3.83 | 181 | 84 |
| Dakota Donovan R 2026 · 3.49 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.49 | 21.9% | 10.3% | 1.7% | .291 | 3.65 | 18.9% | 6.4% | 50 | +0.16 | 3.16 | 153 | 83 |
| Nolan Clenney R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.74 | 25.5% | 8.4% | 3.1% | .340 | 4.39 | 22.5% | 13.6% | 185 | +0.65 | 3.74 | 223 | 83 |
| Tyler Mitzel R 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.01 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 2.1% | .323 | 4.17 | 23.4% | 17.9% | 58 | +0.16 | 4.01 | 142 | 82 |
| Mitchell Stumpo R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.90 | 25.6% | 8.0% | 3.6% | .299 | 5.28 | 22.4% | 6.5% | 121 | +1.38 | 3.90 | 158 | 82 |
| Barrett Loseke R 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.41 | 21.7% | 10.1% | 3.4% | .311 | 5.44 | 24.0% | 10.9% | 22 | +1.03 | 4.41 | 152 | 82 |
| Austin Ross R 2025 · 4.42 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.42 | 20.7% | 9.6% | 3.4% | .281 | 5.22 | 21.2% | 5.7% | 55 | +0.80 | 4.42 | 121 | 82 |
| Cameron Gann R 2025 · 4.21 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.21 | 21.4% | 12.4% | 2.4% | .296 | 5.37 | 21.1% | 6.8% | 23 | +1.16 | 3.60 | 146 | 82 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.