Trevor Martin
P
Durham Bulls
Age 25
RHP
6'5" / 238 lbs
AAA
ILReassigned to Minors (RM)
2026 ROS PROJECTION39 act + 29 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119110vR 101
ERA4.41
FIP4.41
K%19.3%
BB%9.5%
K-BB%9.8%
ROS IP29
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 68 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p5795.0
Whiff%
p3623.3%
K%
p1013.0%
xwOBA vs
p100.385
FB+0.9 (52%)
CT (23%)
SI (7%)
CU (4%)
SL-0.8 (1%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 21 | ROK | FCL Rays | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 1.0 | 40.0% | 20.0% | 20.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 2.26 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK | FCL Rays | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 1.0 | 40.0% | 20.0% | 20.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 2.10 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 25 | 22 | 110 | 456 | 131 | 41 | 11 | 88% | 4.4 | 21.3% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 2.7% | 3.52 | 4.15 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 25 | 22 | 110 | 456 | 131 | 41 | 11 | 88% | 4.4 | 28.7% | 9.0% | 19.7% | 2.4% | 3.52 | 3.14 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 26 | 122 | 525 | 138 | 38 | 14 | 93% | 4.4 | 20.6% | 8.1% | 12.5% | 3.4% | 4.41 | 4.26 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 26 | 122 | 525 | 138 | 38 | 14 | 93% | 4.4 | 26.3% | 7.2% | 19.0% | 2.7% | 4.41 | 3.26 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 0 | 53 | 221 | 55 | 19 | 6 | 0% | 1.4 | 19.2% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 3.5% | 3.21 | 4.64 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 0 | 53 | 221 | 55 | 19 | 6 | 0% | 1.4 | 24.9% | 8.6% | 16.3% | 2.7% | 3.21 | 3.57 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 25 | 2 | 39 | 182 | 38 | 21 | 5 | 8% | 1.6 | 18.8% | 12.0% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 3.00 | 4.57 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | TB | 27 | 0 | 29 | 121 | 23 | 11 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.3% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 3.2% | 4.41 | 4.41 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | TB | 28 | 0 | 29 | 122 | 24 | 12 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.3% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 3.2% | 4.41 | 4.41 | +0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | TB | — | — | 68 | 303 | 61 | 32 | 9 | — | — | 20.2% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 2.9% | 3.60 | 4.50 | +0.2 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | TB | — | — | 40 | 169 | 61 | 32 | 9 | — | — | 36.3% | 19.2% | 17.1% | 5.2% | 6.09 | 5.34 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | TB | 57 | 0 | 60 | 251 | 48 | 22 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.1% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 3.5% | 4.95 | 4.94 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | TB | 56 | 0 | 59 | 247 | 48 | 22 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.4% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 3.6% | 4.93 | 4.94 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | TB | 54 | 0 | 57 | 241 | 46 | 21 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.1% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 3.5% | 4.95 | 4.94 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | TB | 53 | 0 | 56 | 236 | 46 | 21 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.4% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 3.6% | 4.93 | 4.94 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 140 | 0 | 152 | 649 | 121 | 58 | 25 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.7% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 3.8% | 4.77 | 4.74 | +1.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 184 | 0 | 200 | 853 | 159 | 76 | 33 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.7% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 3.8% | 4.77 | 4.74 | +1.5 | ||
| Career | — | 117 | 51 | 326 | 1389 | 284 | 136 | 43 | 44% | 2.8 | 20.4% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 3.1% | 3.73 | 4.31 | +4.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 72 | 31 | 200 | 853 | 174 | 83 | 26 | 44% | 2.8 | 20.4% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 3.1% | 3.73 | 4.31 | +2.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Trevor Martin (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.76 | 19.4% | 9.2% | 3.2% | — | 4.94 | 19.2% | 10.3% | 118 | +0.18 | — | — | — |
| Brad Deppermann R 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.65 | 17.1% | 9.6% | 3.2% | .289 | 3.44 | 20.0% | 7.8% | 45 | -1.21 | 1.94 | 143 | 93 |
| Shohei Tomioka R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.06 | 18.9% | 9.0% | 2.6% | .311 | 4.48 | 17.3% | 3.8% | 141 | +0.42 | 3.63 | 281 | 83 |
| Derek Gordon R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.72 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.72 | 146 | 83 |
| Jarret Whorff R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.26 | 18.9% | 10.2% | 2.7% | .271 | 4.65 | 19.5% | 11.5% | 99 | +0.39 | 3.81 | 233 | 82 |
| Cameron Foster R 2026 · 5.26 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.26 | 17.4% | 11.5% | 4.0% | .321 | 3.22 | 25.9% | 16.8% | 60 | -2.04 | 2.63 | 213 | 82 |
| Danny Kirwin R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.03 | 16.8% | 9.3% | 2.1% | .275 | 8.37 | 16.9% | -3.1% | 25 | +4.34 | 4.03 | 161 | 81 |
| Jorge Reyes R 2028 · 5.25 FIP | 27 | SW | 5.25 | 15.9% | 8.5% | 4.4% | .307 | 3.44 | 14.2% | 6.2% | 129 | -1.81 | 3.32 | 227 | 81 |
| Emmanuel Chapman R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.19 | 19.7% | 10.6% | 2.6% | .256 | 4.43 | 18.4% | 2.3% | 111 | +0.24 | 3.87 | 192 | 81 |
| Felipe Gonzalez R 2026 · 4.71 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.71 | 18.3% | 9.2% | 3.6% | .337 | 3.27 | 22.7% | 12.7% | 50 | -1.44 | 3.27 | 339 | 80 |
| Andrew Bellatti R 2024 · 4.32 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.32 | 19.3% | 8.8% | 3.2% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.71 | 278 | 79 |
| Colby Morris R 2026 · 5.76 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.76 | 16.2% | 11.8% | 4.6% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 105 | 79 |
| Seth McGarry R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.89 | 17.1% | 9.6% | 3.7% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.36 | 261 | 79 |
| Noah Bremer R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.24 | 18.0% | 9.4% | 2.7% | .292 | 5.88 | 13.1% | 1.2% | 46 | +1.64 | 3.14 | 271 | 79 |
| Tristan Stevens R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.28 | 17.3% | 8.2% | 2.9% | .411 | 3.71 | 15.0% | 7.7% | 91 | -0.57 | 3.71 | 126 | 78 |
| Conor Steinbaugh R 2026 · 4.77 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.77 | 16.0% | 9.9% | 3.2% | .281 | 6.87 | 14.3% | 0.8% | 39 | +2.10 | 4.77 | 107 | 78 |
| Edwin Quirarte R 2029 · 3.59 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.59 | 16.7% | 6.2% | 2.0% | .311 | 3.45 | 12.7% | 4.9% | 83 | -0.14 | 3.21 | 157 | 77 |
| Yaisel Sierra R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.31 | 16.9% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .338 | 3.01 | 22.4% | 12.3% | 71 | -1.30 | 3.01 | 176 | 77 |
| Roberto Gómez R 2028 · 4.13 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.13 | 18.4% | 8.9% | 2.7% | .315 | 5.25 | 13.8% | 4.9% | 18 | +1.12 | 4.13 | 115 | 77 |
| Jacob Webb R 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.63 | 17.8% | 8.2% | 3.6% | .301 | 4.30 | 20.6% | 7.3% | 59 | -0.33 | 3.34 | 252 | 77 |
| Jose Samayoa R 2027 · 3.56 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.56 | 16.6% | 9.9% | 1.1% | .286 | 4.12 | 17.3% | 9.4% | 226 | +0.56 | 3.56 | 262 | 77 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 53 | 19.3% | 9.0% | 1.34 | 4.89 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |