Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 26 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | 16 | 10 | 43 | 170 | 54 | 14 | 3 | 62% | 2.7 | 24.5% | 9.5% | 15.0% | 3.1% | 3.38 | 3.92 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | 16 | 10 | 43 | 170 | 54 | 14 | 3 | 62% | 2.7 | 31.8% | 8.2% | 23.5% | 1.8% | 3.38 | 2.47 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 15 | 91 | 394 | 96 | 42 | 7 | 52% | 3.1 | 19.0% | 12.0% | 7.0% | 2.3% | 3.15 | 4.30 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 15 | 91 | 394 | 96 | 42 | 7 | 52% | 3.1 | 24.4% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 1.8% | 3.15 | 3.37 | — |
| 2025 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 15 | 89 | 393 | 81 | 37 | 19 | 47% | 2.8 | 17.0% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.39 | 6.03 | — |
| 2025 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 15 | 89 | 393 | 81 | 37 | 19 | 47% | 2.8 | 20.6% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 4.8% | 6.39 | 5.31 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | 15 | 1 | 18 | 86 | 12 | 12 | 1 | 7% | 1.2 | 8.3% | 15.8% | -7.5% | 0.0% | 4.58 | 4.41 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | PHI | 65 | 0 | 69 | 290 | 50 | 30 | 11 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.1% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 5.45 | 5.45 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | PHI | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.1% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 5.45 | 5.45 | -0.1 |
| 2026 TOT | 29 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 86 | 376 | 62 | 42 | 12 | — | — | 16.4% | 11.1% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 5.27 | 5.24 | -0.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 29 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 7 | 29 | 5 | 3 | 1 | — | — | 17.1% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 5.45 | 5.07 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | PHI | 61 | 0 | 64 | 272 | 47 | 28 | 11 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.4% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 5.44 | 5.51 | -0.7 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | PHI | 57 | 0 | 60 | 254 | 44 | 27 | 10 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.5% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 5.51 | 5.62 | -0.8 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB | PHI | 53 | 0 | 56 | 235 | 41 | 26 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.3% | 11.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.65 | 5.78 | -0.8 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | PHI | 23 | 0 | 24 | 101 | 18 | 11 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.4% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 5.44 | 5.51 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | PHI | 31 | 0 | 33 | 139 | 24 | 15 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.5% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 5.51 | 5.62 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB | PHI | 36 | 0 | 38 | 160 | 28 | 18 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.3% | 11.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.65 | 5.78 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 97 | 0 | 101 | 428 | 74 | 46 | 18 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.4% | 10.7% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 5.54 | 5.27 | +0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 146 | 91 | 36 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.4% | 10.7% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 5.54 | 5.27 | +0.3 | ||
| Career | — | 92 | 41 | 240 | 1043 | 191 | 117 | 37 | 45% | 2.6 | 18.3% | 11.2% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 4.49 | 4.90 | +1.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 77 | 34 | 200 | 868 | 159 | 97 | 30 | 45% | 2.6 | 18.3% | 11.2% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 4.49 | 4.90 | +1.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Mitch Neunborn (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.45 | 17.1% | 10.3% | 3.9% | — | 5.63 | 17.4% | 6.7% | 180 | +0.18 | — | — | — |
| Bud Norris R 2027 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.90 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 4.3% | .327 | 3.85 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 233 | -1.05 | 3.52 | 316 | 85 |
| Ramon Delgado R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.73 | 13.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | .332 | 4.45 | 11.2% | 7.2% | 74 | -0.28 | 4.45 | 135 | 82 |
| Jose Pina R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.09 | 16.9% | 9.2% | 4.1% | .231 | 3.69 | 13.6% | 6.9% | 246 | -1.40 | 3.68 | 424 | 81 |
| Chris Leroux R 2028 · 4.50 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.50 | 15.2% | 8.6% | 2.9% | .279 | 3.94 | 13.5% | 5.5% | 140 | -0.56 | 3.94 | 219 | 79 |
| Rodolfo Aguirre R 2027 · 4.28 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.28 | 12.4% | 6.9% | 2.5% | .288 | 4.99 | 11.4% | 1.3% | 125 | +0.71 | 3.49 | 212 | 78 |
| Fredy Quintero R 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.48 | 14.0% | 8.7% | 2.7% | .335 | 4.42 | 17.2% | 3.5% | 43 | -0.06 | 4.23 | 241 | 77 |
| Odrisamer Despaigne R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.28 | 15.3% | 8.5% | 2.6% | .316 | 3.71 | 17.1% | 8.5% | 348 | -0.57 | 3.16 | 593 | 75 |
| Alfonso Sanchez R 2026 · 4.54 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.54 | 12.5% | 9.8% | 2.3% | .346 | 7.46 | 8.6% | 1.4% | 39 | +2.92 | 4.54 | 224 | 74 |
| Nelson Gonzalez R 2026 · 6.19 FIP | 29 | SW | 6.19 | 15.7% | 13.1% | 5.0% | .294 | 5.26 | 19.2% | 8.7% | 25 | -0.93 | 3.33 | 258 | 74 |
| Carlos Frías R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.59 | 16.9% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .369 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.64 | 204 | 73 |
| Murphy Smith R 2026 · 4.54 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.54 | 13.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | .267 | 4.47 | 13.6% | 4.3% | 63 | -0.07 | 3.14 | 300 | 73 |
| Mike Adams R 2024 · 5.26 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.26 | 17.1% | 11.2% | 4.0% | .326 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.66 | 109 | 72 |
| Aldo Montes R 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.41 | 18.2% | 10.6% | 2.8% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.41 | 210 | 72 |
| Alex Caldera R 2026 · 5.56 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.56 | 10.4% | 13.1% | 3.1% | .333 | 4.61 | 11.9% | 0.8% | 84 | -0.95 | 4.61 | 120 | 71 |
| Brad Allen R 2024 · 6.07 FIP | 27 | SW | 6.07 | 14.7% | 13.2% | 4.6% | .272 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.22 | 149 | 71 |
| Steve Johnson R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.30 | 20.3% | 8.9% | 3.2% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 152 | 71 |
| Donovan Hand R 2026 · 4.29 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.29 | 11.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | .305 | 4.30 | 12.5% | 5.7% | 140 | +0.01 | 4.29 | 237 | 71 |
| Grant Black R 2026 · 5.81 FIP | 29 | SU | 5.81 | 16.3% | 13.2% | 4.4% | .352 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.49 | 215 | 71 |
| Deck McGuire R 2026 · 5.39 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.39 | 18.4% | 13.2% | 4.0% | .262 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.23 | 622 | 71 |
| Paul Clemens R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.76 | 14.9% | 11.0% | 2.8% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.76 | 247 | 70 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 62 | 17.3% | 10.6% | 1.57 | 5.51 |
| Ross Detwiler ('22) | 5 | 51 | 17.3% | 9.5% | 1.76 | 6.03 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Mike Wright Jr. ('19) | 5 | 52 | 17.7% | 8.4% | 1.53 | 6.00 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Edwin Jackson ('19) | 5 | 75 | 17.0% | 9.7% | 1.75 | 5.37 |