Mitch Neunborn
P
Reading Fightin Phils
+0.0
WAR
Age 29
RHP
6'0" / 190 lbs
AA
peak 0.1 · 2028
ERA5.32
FIP5.32
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%19.1%
BB%10.7%
K-BB%8.4%
IP83
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2028
STUF5050
CTRL6060
CMD5555
K†4550
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 26 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | 16 | 10 | 43 | 170 | 54 | 14 | 3 | 24.5% | 9.5% | 2.7% | 3.38 | 3.70 | +0.6 |
| 2024 | 27 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | 29 | 15 | 91 | 394 | 96 | 42 | 7 | 19.0% | 12.0% | 2.3% | 3.15 | 4.27 | +1.0 |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | 32 | 15 | 89 | 393 | 81 | 37 | 19 | 17.0% | 10.1% | 5.6% | 6.39 | 6.02 | -0.8 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | PHI | 15 | 15 | 83 | 351 | 67 | 34 | 13 | 19.1% | 9.8% | 3.8% | 5.20 | 5.20 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | PHI | 15 | 15 | 81 | 341 | 65 | 33 | 13 | 19.2% | 9.7% | 3.8% | 5.15 | 5.17 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | PHI | 14 | 14 | 78 | 329 | 70 | 29 | 13 | 21.1% | 8.9% | 3.8% | 4.98 | 4.91 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB | PHI | 14 | 14 | 75 | 316 | 66 | 29 | 12 | 21.0% | 9.0% | 3.8% | 4.96 | 4.96 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 33 | MLB | PHI | 13 | 13 | 71 | 301 | 63 | 28 | 12 | 20.7% | 9.2% | 3.9% | 5.01 | 5.05 | -0.0 |
| 2031 | 34 | MLB | PHI | 12 | 12 | 68 | 286 | 58 | 27 | 12 | 20.4% | 9.4% | 4.0% | 5.10 | 5.16 | -0.1 |
| 2032 | 35 | MLB | PHI | 12 | 12 | 64 | 270 | 54 | 26 | 11 | 20.0% | 9.6% | 4.1% | 5.21 | 5.28 | -0.2 |
| 2033 | 36 | MLB | PHI | 60 | — | 60 | 252 | 49 | 25 | 11 | 19.6% | 9.9% | 4.2% | 5.33 | 5.41 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 77 | 40 | 223 | 957 | 183 | 103 | 36 | 19.2% | 10.8% | 3.7% | 4.49 | 4.89 | +1.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 69 | 36 | 200 | 860 | 164 | 93 | 32 | 19.2% | 10.8% | 3.7% | 4.49 | 4.89 | +0.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Mitch Neunborn (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.20 | 19.1% | 9.8% | 3.8% | — | 5.02 | 20.4% | 11.2% | 233 | -0.18 | — | — | — |
| Bud Norris R 2027 · 4.64 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.64 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 3.8% | .327 | 3.81 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 233 | -0.83 | 3.39 | 316 | 91 |
| Hector Noesí R 2025 · 4.38 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.38 | 17.6% | 8.1% | 3.2% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.38 | 250 | 88 |
| Jose Pina R 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.86 | 16.9% | 9.2% | 3.7% | .231 | 3.67 | 13.6% | 6.9% | 246 | -1.19 | 3.65 | 424 | 86 |
| Juan Delgadillo R 2029 · 4.56 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.56 | 15.5% | 7.2% | 3.4% | .316 | 4.46 | 10.9% | 4.7% | 39 | -0.10 | 4.46 | 143 | 84 |
| Kris Medlen R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.76 | 15.4% | 6.4% | 3.9% | .261 | 5.17 | 17.1% | 8.6% | 173 | +0.41 | 4.58 | 261 | 81 |
| Felipe Paulino R 2028 · 4.52 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.52 | 15.8% | 11.8% | 2.3% | .312 | 4.86 | 15.0% | 4.8% | 26 | +0.34 | 4.52 | 150 | 80 |
| Matt Cain R 2027 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.87 | 17.1% | 6.8% | 4.3% | .296 | 5.04 | 15.2% | 7.6% | 214 | +0.17 | 4.87 | 294 | 80 |
| Trevor Cahill R 2026 · 5.01 FIP | 29 | SP- | 5.01 | 22.8% | 11.5% | 4.3% | .321 | 4.38 | 21.3% | 11.7% | 251 | -0.63 | 3.40 | 556 | 79 |
| Jose Samayoa R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.08 | 19.4% | 7.0% | 3.1% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.45 | 262 | 79 |
| Jason Berken R 2028 · 4.36 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.36 | 13.5% | 6.6% | 2.9% | .315 | 4.51 | 11.5% | 3.2% | 106 | +0.15 | 4.36 | 219 | 78 |
| Josh Zeid R 2026 · 5.00 FIP | 29 | SP- | 5.00 | 15.4% | 11.7% | 3.1% | .278 | 5.36 | 18.3% | 7.5% | 102 | +0.36 | 4.13 | 265 | 78 |
| Patrick Johnson R 2027 · 4.13 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.13 | 15.7% | 9.3% | 2.2% | .344 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.89 | 248 | 77 |
| Jacob Turner R 2024 · 4.43 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.43 | 14.9% | 8.8% | 2.7% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.34 | 340 | 77 |
| Tim Adleman R 2026 · 5.33 FIP | 29 | SP- | 5.33 | 20.3% | 9.4% | 5.0% | .276 | 4.33 | 22.8% | 15.0% | 117 | -1.00 | 3.64 | 605 | 77 |
| David Griffin R 2024 · 5.94 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.94 | 14.5% | 10.3% | 5.0% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 239 | 76 |
| Luke Irvine R 2024 · 4.31 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.31 | 13.4% | 9.8% | 2.0% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.31 | 104 | 75 |
| Cesar Carrillo R 2028 · 4.16 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.16 | 13.8% | 9.7% | 1.8% | .307 | 4.46 | 12.6% | 2.6% | 145 | +0.30 | 4.16 | 325 | 75 |
| Kanekoa Texeira R 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.13 | 14.5% | 11.2% | 1.5% | .280 | 4.09 | 10.2% | -0.2% | 63 | -0.04 | 4.09 | 165 | 75 |
| Marco Quevedo R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.60 | 13.6% | 6.2% | 3.4% | .258 | 5.04 | 11.5% | 3.2% | 107 | +0.44 | 4.13 | 300 | 75 |
| Murphy Smith R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.34 | 13.6% | 4.9% | 3.2% | .267 | 4.58 | 13.6% | 4.3% | 63 | +0.24 | 3.17 | 300 | 75 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.