Drew VerHagen
P
St. Louis Cardinals
Age 35
RHP
6'6" / 230 lbs
MLB
peak 0.3 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 111 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 113104vR 95
ERA4.31
FIP4.40
K%23.3%
BB%9.4%
K-BB%13.8%
ROS IP112
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 111 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p3493.4
Whiff%
p8430.6%
K%
p5122.4%
xwOBA vs
p540.308
SL+8.6
CH+2.6
CT-4.9
FB-5.7
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 40 | 0 | 61 | 248 | 39 | 25 | 2 | 0% | 1.5 | 14.1% | 10.6% | 3.6% | 0.5% | 2.82 | 3.51 | +0.7 |
| 2015 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 40 | 0 | 61 | 248 | 39 | 25 | 2 | 0% | 1.5 | 15.7% | 10.1% | 5.6% | 0.8% | 2.82 | 3.48 | +0.8 |
| 2016 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 0 | 20 | 93 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 11.1% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 7.32 | 5.01 | -0.1 |
| 2016 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 0 | 20 | 93 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 11.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 7.32 | 5.54 | -0.2 |
| 2017 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 21 | 132 | 575 | 94 | 50 | 17 | 49% | 3.1 | 14.9% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 5.13 | 4.70 | +1.1 |
| 2017 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 21 | 132 | 575 | 94 | 50 | 17 | 49% | 3.1 | 16.3% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 5.13 | 4.49 | +1.4 |
| 2018 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 51 | 7 | 89 | 360 | 104 | 29 | 6 | 14% | 1.7 | 27.2% | 8.2% | 19.0% | 1.8% | 3.54 | 2.84 | +2.4 |
| 2018 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 51 | 7 | 89 | 360 | 104 | 29 | 6 | 14% | 1.7 | 28.9% | 8.1% | 20.8% | 1.7% | 3.54 | 2.62 | +2.7 |
| 2019 | 28 | MIX | 3 levels | 34 | 15 | 112 | 494 | 102 | 35 | 14 | 44% | 3.3 | 19.5% | 7.3% | 12.3% | 3.4% | 5.14 | 4.26 | +1.5 |
| 2019 | 28 | MIX | 3 levels | 34 | 15 | 112 | 494 | 102 | 35 | 14 | 44% | 3.3 | 20.6% | 7.1% | 13.6% | 2.8% | 5.14 | 3.84 | +2.0 |
| 2022 | 31 | MIX | 4 levels | 24 | 4 | 29 | 137 | 26 | 16 | 5 | 17% | 1.2 | 17.0% | 12.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.22 | 5.82 | -0.4 |
| 2022 | 31 | MIX | 4 levels | 24 | 4 | 29 | 137 | 26 | 16 | 5 | 17% | 1.2 | 19.0% | 11.7% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 5.22 | 5.18 | -0.2 |
| 2023 | 32 | MIX | 2 levels | 61 | 0 | 62 | 272 | 61 | 24 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.4% | 9.0% | 13.4% | 3.4% | 4.06 | 4.20 | +0.3 |
| 2023 | 32 | MIX | 2 levels | 61 | 0 | 62 | 272 | 61 | 24 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.4% | 8.8% | 13.6% | 3.3% | 4.06 | 4.18 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 35 | MLB | STL | 154 | 0 | 162 | 683 | 159 | 64 | 21 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.3% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 3.1% | 4.31 | 4.40 | +1.9 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 36 | MLB | STL | 136 | 0 | 143 | 604 | 134 | 61 | 21 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.2% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 3.5% | 4.59 | 4.77 | +1.1 |
| 2028 | 37 | MLB | STL | 119 | 0 | 125 | 527 | 112 | 56 | 20 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.1% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 3.9% | 4.94 | 5.17 | +0.3 |
| 2027 | 36 | MLB | STL | 124 | 0 | 130 | 549 | 122 | 55 | 19 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.2% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 3.5% | 4.59 | 4.77 | +1.0 |
| 2028 | 37 | MLB | STL | 97 | 0 | 102 | 431 | 91 | 46 | 17 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.1% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 3.9% | 4.94 | 5.17 | +0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 427 | 7 | 509 | 2188 | 444 | 205 | 79 | 2% | 1.2 | 20.3% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 3.6% | 4.87 | 4.55 | +5.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 168 | 3 | 200 | 859 | 174 | 81 | 31 | 2% | 1.2 | 20.3% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 3.6% | 4.87 | 4.55 | +2.0 | ||
| Career | — | 273 | 47 | 504 | 2179 | 410 | 191 | 62 | 17% | 1.8 | 18.8% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 2.8% | 4.53 | 4.18 | +7.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 108 | 19 | 200 | 864 | 162 | 76 | 25 | 17% | 1.8 | 18.8% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 2.8% | 4.53 | 4.18 | +2.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Drew VerHagen (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.40 | 23.3% | 9.4% | 3.1% | — | 4.96 | 21.7% | 11.4% | 268 | +0.56 | — | — | — |
| Jesse Chavez R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.03 | 21.4% | 6.5% | 3.5% | .303 | 3.28 | 25.5% | 17.9% | 140 | -0.75 | 2.03 | 804 | 63 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.59 | 19.4% | 6.7% | 4.2% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.83 | 208 | 62 |
| Jean Machi R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.92 | 18.6% | 6.6% | 2.8% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.92 | 186 | 62 |
| Fernando Rodney R 2029 · 4.26 FIP | 38 | SU | 4.26 | 20.9% | 9.4% | 3.2% | .272 | 3.34 | 26.2% | 15.2% | 185 | -0.92 | 2.67 | 295 | 59 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2024 · 4.99 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.99 | 23.4% | 10.7% | 4.6% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 122 | 59 |
| Francisco Del Rosario R 2027 · 4.09 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.09 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 2.0% | .267 | 6.61 | 11.9% | -0.6% | 77 | +2.52 | 4.09 | 145 | 58 |
| Joaquín Benoit R 2029 · 3.73 FIP | 38 | SU | 3.73 | 24.8% | 8.7% | 3.0% | .179 | 4.04 | 23.5% | 12.9% | 98 | +0.31 | 3.72 | 164 | 58 |
| Huascar Brazobán R 2026 · 3.71 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.71 | 21.7% | 9.0% | 2.4% | .276 | 3.35 | 23.9% | 13.0% | 46 | -0.36 | 3.08 | 349 | 58 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2026 · 3.51 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.51 | 25.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | .290 | 3.93 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 161 | +0.42 | 3.51 | 219 | 57 |
| Ryan Madson R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.86 | 18.1% | 6.3% | 2.7% | .284 | 2.47 | 27.2% | 22.6% | 112 | -1.39 | 1.42 | 240 | 57 |
| Jim Johnson R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.58 | 16.8% | 7.8% | 3.5% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.51 | 251 | 57 |
| Manny Acosta R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.99 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .273 | 3.04 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -0.95 | 3.04 | 102 | 56 |
| Tiago Da Silva R 2025 · 3.72 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.72 | 15.0% | 7.2% | 1.8% | .365 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.11 | 287 | 56 |
| Joakim Soria R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.43 | 28.4% | 6.8% | 3.4% | .246 | 3.44 | 25.1% | 17.7% | 60 | +0.01 | 2.01 | 380 | 55 |
| Craig Stammen R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.03 | 21.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | .279 | 4.00 | 21.8% | 17.7% | 153 | -0.03 | 1.87 | 407 | 54 |
| Ivan Maldonado R 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.91 | 12.8% | 8.7% | 3.3% | .269 | 5.68 | 6.4% | -3.3% | 104 | +0.77 | 4.91 | 172 | 53 |
| Logan Kensing R 2026 · 3.26 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.26 | 16.5% | 7.9% | 1.0% | .308 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.77 | 172 | 53 |
| Jason Hammel R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.34 | 15.8% | 6.0% | 3.3% | .342 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 645 | 53 |
| Adam Ottavino R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.43 | 25.7% | 12.0% | 1.8% | .299 | 3.15 | 27.7% | 19.7% | 183 | -0.28 | 1.99 | 488 | 52 |
| Mark Lowe R 2025 · 4.79 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.79 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 3.3% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.37 | 153 | 51 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 143 | 22.3% | 10.0% | 1.33 | 4.59 |
| James Kaprielian ('23) | 3 | 105 | 20.5% | 9.6% | 1.26 | 4.58 |
| Ubaldo Jiménez ('17) | 3 | 156 | 20.8% | 9.5% | 1.32 | 5.33 |
| Tom Koehler ('17) | 3 | 146 | 18.1% | 10.2% | 1.24 | 4.62 |
| Félix Hernández ('19) | 5 | 134 | 20.0% | 8.1% | 1.39 | 4.48 |
| Nate Karns ('17) | 3 | 96 | 24.2% | 9.3% | 1.22 | 4.24 |
| Marco Estrada ('19) | 5 | 142 | 19.6% | 8.3% | 1.44 | 4.33 |