Drew VerHagen — OGILVIE

Drew VerHagen P St. Louis Cardinals

Age 35 RHP 6'6" / 230 lbs MLB peak 0.3 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 13 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 112104vR 96

ERA4.32

FIP4.42

K%23.3%

BB%9.4%

K-BB%13.8%

ROS IP13

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 13 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5555

CTRL4545

CMD4545

K†5555

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p3493.4

Whiff%

p8430.6%

p5122.4%

xwOBA vs

p540.308

SL+8.6

CH+2.6

CT-4.9

FB-5.7

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	40	0	61	248	39	25	2	0%	1.5	14.1%	10.6%	3.6%	0.5%	2.82	3.50	+0.8
2015	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	40	0	61	248	39	25	2	0%	1.5	15.7%	10.1%	5.6%	0.8%	2.82	3.48	+0.8
2016	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	0	20	93	11	6	4	0%	1.0	11.1%	6.7%	4.4%	3.5%	7.32	4.92	-0.1
2016	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	0	20	93	11	6	4	0%	1.0	11.8%	6.5%	5.4%	4.3%	7.32	5.54	-0.2
2017	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	43	21	132	575	94	50	17	49%	3.1	14.9%	9.1%	5.8%	3.1%	5.13	4.69	-0.2
2017	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	43	21	132	575	94	50	17	49%	3.1	16.3%	8.7%	7.7%	3.0%	5.13	4.49	+0.1
2018	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	51	7	89	360	104	29	6	14%	1.7	27.2%	8.2%	19.0%	1.7%	3.54	2.80	+1.9
2018	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	51	7	89	360	104	29	6	14%	1.7	28.9%	8.1%	20.8%	1.7%	3.54	2.62	+2.1
2019	28	MIX MLE	3 levels	34	15	112	494	102	35	14	44%	3.3	19.5%	7.3%	12.3%	3.2%	5.14	4.11	+0.6
2019	28	MIX RAW	3 levels	34	15	112	494	102	35	14	44%	3.3	20.6%	7.1%	13.6%	2.8%	5.14	3.84	+0.9
2022	31	MIX MLE	4 levels	24	4	29	137	26	16	5	17%	1.2	17.0%	12.3%	4.7%	5.1%	5.22	6.00	-0.5
2022	31	MIX RAW	4 levels	24	4	29	137	26	16	5	17%	1.2	19.0%	11.7%	7.3%	3.6%	5.22	5.18	-0.2
2023	32	MIX MLE	2 levels	61	0	62	272	61	24	9	0%	1.0	22.4%	9.0%	13.4%	3.6%	4.06	4.33	+0.2
2023	32	MIX MLE	2 levels	61	0	62	272	61	24	9	0%	1.0	22.4%	9.0%	13.4%	3.6%	4.06	4.33	+0.2
2023	32	MIX RAW	2 levels	61	0	62	272	61	24	9	0%	1.0	22.4%	8.8%	13.6%	3.3%	4.06	4.18	+0.3
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			205	7	277	1206	230	104	43	3%	1.3	19.1%	8.6%	10.4%	3.6%	4.98	4.59	-0.1
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	35	MLB	STL	12	0	13	55	13	5	2	0%	1.1	23.3%	9.4%	13.8%	3.1%	4.32	4.42	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	36	MLB MLE	STL	136	0	143	604	134	61	21	0%	1.1	22.2%	10.0%	12.2%	3.5%	4.60	4.78	-0.4
2028	37	MLB MLE	STL	119	0	125	527	112	56	21	0%	1.0	21.1%	10.7%	10.5%	3.9%	4.95	5.19	-0.9
2027	36	MLB CTX	STL	124	0	130	549	122	55	19	0%	1.0	22.2%	10.0%	12.2%	3.5%	4.60	4.78	-0.3
2028	37	MLB CTX	STL	97	0	102	431	91	46	17	0%	1.1	21.1%	10.7%	10.5%	3.9%	4.95	5.19	-0.7
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		427	7	509	2188	444	205	79	2%	1.2	20.3%	9.4%	10.9%	3.6%	4.88	4.56	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		168	3	200	859	174	81	31	2%	1.2	20.3%	9.4%	10.9%	3.6%	4.88	4.56	-0.0
Career	—	MLE		273	47	504	2179	410	191	61	17%	1.8	18.8%	8.8%	10.0%	2.8%	4.53	4.16	-1.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		108	19	200	864	162	76	24	17%	1.8	18.8%	8.8%	10.0%	2.8%	4.53	4.16	-0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Drew VerHagen (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.42	23.3%	9.4%	3.1%	—	4.97	21.7%	11.4%	268	+0.55	—	—	—
Dustin McGowan R 2017 · 4.58 FIP	35	SU	4.58	19.4%	6.7%	4.2%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	208	63
Jean Machi R 2017 · 4.12 FIP	35	SU	4.12	18.6%	6.6%	3.2%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.12	186	63
Ross Ohlendorf R 2016 · 4.93 FIP	33	SU	4.93	23.4%	10.7%	4.5%	.254	—	—	—	—	—	3.30	122	59
Fernando Rodney R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	38	SU	4.37	20.9%	9.4%	3.4%	.272	3.37	26.2%	15.2%	185	-1.00	2.69	295	59
Francisco Del Rosario R 2017 · 4.15 FIP	36	SU	4.15	16.4%	10.0%	2.1%	.267	6.35	11.9%	-0.6%	77	+2.20	4.15	145	58
Joaquín Benoit R 2015 · 3.58 FIP	38	SU	3.58	24.8%	8.7%	2.7%	.179	4.11	23.5%	12.9%	98	+0.53	3.58	164	58
Ryan Madson R 2016 · 3.93 FIP	35	SU	3.93	18.1%	6.3%	2.9%	.284	2.40	27.2%	22.6%	112	-1.53	1.42	240	58
Santiago Casilla R 2015 · 3.50 FIP	35	SU	3.50	25.4%	8.6%	2.7%	.290	3.97	22.4%	12.7%	161	+0.47	3.50	219	57
Manny Acosta R 2016 · 4.19 FIP	35	SU	4.19	18.1%	9.1%	2.7%	.273	3.08	23.2%	9.9%	44	-1.11	3.08	102	57
Tiago Da Silva R 2019 · 3.95 FIP	34	SW	3.95	15.0%	7.2%	2.2%	.365	—	—	—	—	—	2.21	287	56
Jesse Chavez R 2019 · 4.00 FIP	35	SW	4.00	21.4%	6.5%	3.4%	.303	3.25	25.5%	17.9%	140	-0.75	2.03	804	56
Jim Johnson R 2018 · 4.48 FIP	35	SU	4.48	16.8%	7.8%	3.3%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	2.56	251	55
Joakim Soria R 2019 · 3.52 FIP	35	SU	3.52	28.4%	6.8%	3.6%	.246	3.45	25.1%	17.7%	60	-0.07	2.01	380	54
Craig Stammen R 2019 · 3.82 FIP	35	SU	3.82	21.5%	3.8%	3.7%	.279	3.79	21.8%	17.7%	153	-0.03	1.82	407	54
Logan Kensing R 2017 · 3.28 FIP	35	SU	3.28	16.5%	7.9%	1.0%	.308	—	—	—	—	—	2.73	172	53
Ivan Maldonado R 2015 · 4.60 FIP	35	SW	4.60	12.8%	8.7%	2.7%	.269	5.41	6.4%	-3.3%	104	+0.81	4.60	172	53
Huascar Brazobán R 2023 · 3.52 FIP	33	SU	3.52	25.3%	11.3%	2.1%	.304	3.58	22.0%	11.7%	191	+0.06	3.08	366	53
Josh Lueke R 2019 · 4.11 FIP	34	SU	4.11	20.4%	6.4%	3.5%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	2.29	107	52
Adam Ottavino R 2021 · 3.46 FIP	35	SU	3.46	25.7%	12.0%	1.9%	.299	3.14	27.7%	19.7%	183	-0.32	2.10	488	52
Juan Sandoval R 2016 · 3.24 FIP	35	SU	3.24	18.2%	10.2%	0.7%	.288	4.40	16.3%	9.1%	116	+1.16	3.24	225	52

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.1	143	22.3%	10.0%	1.34	4.60
James Kaprielian ('23)	1.6	105	20.5%	9.6%	1.26	4.58
Dan Straily ('19)	2.7	136	20.0%	8.9%	1.72	4.54
Josiah Gray ('23)	1.9	126	22.6%	10.8%	1.88	4.64
Mike Foltynewicz ('21)	4.0	134	21.4%	7.7%	1.46	4.45
Kutter Crawford ('24)	2.0	130	23.9%	7.2%	1.45	4.47
Julio Teheran ('23)	5.2	147	20.4%	8.8%	1.34	4.12