Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 0 | 39 | 178 | 32 | 20 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 14.2% | 12.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 5.77 | 3.67 | — |
| 2017 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 0 | 39 | 178 | 32 | 20 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.0% | 11.2% | 6.7% | 0.6% | 5.77 | 3.33 | — |
| 2022 | 32 | MIX | 2 levels | 54 | 0 | 77 | 322 | 99 | 36 | 9 | 0% | 1.4 | 28.5% | 11.4% | 17.1% | 2.9% | 3.14 | 3.74 | +1.1 |
| 2022 | 32 | MIX | 2 levels | 54 | 0 | 77 | 322 | 99 | 36 | 9 | 0% | 1.4 | 30.7% | 11.2% | 19.6% | 2.8% | 3.14 | 3.45 | +1.3 |
| 2023 | 33 | MIX | 2 levels | 52 | 0 | 61 | 270 | 68 | 30 | 5 | 0% | 1.2 | 25.3% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 2.1% | 4.40 | 3.52 | +0.8 |
| 2023 | 33 | MIX | 2 levels | 52 | 0 | 61 | 270 | 68 | 30 | 5 | 0% | 1.2 | 25.2% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 1.9% | 4.40 | 3.41 | +0.8 |
| 2024 | 34 | MIX | 2 levels | 45 | 0 | 62 | 265 | 61 | 28 | 4 | 0% | 1.4 | 23.5% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 0.9% | 4.19 | 3.08 | +1.1 |
| 2024 | 34 | MIX | 2 levels | 45 | 0 | 62 | 265 | 61 | 28 | 4 | 0% | 1.4 | 23.0% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 1.5% | 4.19 | 3.32 | +0.9 |
| 2025 | 35 | MIX | 2 levels | 62 | 3 | 77 | 323 | 72 | 29 | 8 | 5% | 1.2 | 21.7% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 2.4% | 3.99 | 3.71 | +1.1 |
| 2025 | 35 | MIX | 2 levels | 62 | 3 | 77 | 323 | 72 | 29 | 8 | 5% | 1.2 | 22.3% | 9.0% | 13.3% | 2.5% | 3.99 | 3.71 | +1.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 36 | MLB | New York Mets | 39 | 6 | 46 | 184 | 44 | 20 | 3 | 15% | 1.2 | 23.9% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 1.6% | 2.76 | 3.35 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 37 | MLB | NYM | 42 | 0 | 44 | 186 | 43 | 21 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 2.6% | 4.21 | 4.40 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 38 | MLB | NYM | 36 | 0 | 38 | 160 | 35 | 19 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.7% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 3.1% | 4.58 | 4.83 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 39 | MLB | NYM | 31 | 0 | 33 | 138 | 28 | 17 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.5% | 12.6% | 8.0% | 3.5% | 4.99 | 5.27 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 37 | MLB | NYM | 38 | 0 | 40 | 169 | 39 | 19 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 2.6% | 4.21 | 4.40 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 38 | MLB | NYM | 28 | 0 | 29 | 122 | 27 | 15 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.7% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 3.1% | 4.58 | 4.83 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 39 | MLB | NYM | 20 | 0 | 21 | 89 | 18 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.5% | 12.6% | 8.0% | 3.5% | 4.99 | 5.27 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 293 | 9 | 341 | 1440 | 340 | 164 | 30 | 3% | 1.2 | 23.6% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 2.1% | 3.80 | 3.70 | +6.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 172 | 5 | 200 | 845 | 200 | 96 | 18 | 3% | 1.2 | 23.6% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 2.1% | 3.80 | 3.70 | +4.0 | ||
| Career | — | 289 | 9 | 362 | 1542 | 362 | 169 | 29 | 3% | 1.3 | 23.5% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 1.9% | 3.95 | 3.53 | +7.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 160 | 5 | 200 | 851 | 200 | 93 | 16 | 3% | 1.3 | 23.5% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 1.9% | 3.95 | 3.53 | +4.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Huascar Brazobán (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.09 | 23.9% | 10.3% | 2.4% | — | 4.79 | 21.8% | 10.0% | 115 | +0.70 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Rodney R 2028 · 4.26 FIP | 38 | SU | 4.26 | 20.9% | 9.4% | 3.2% | .272 | 3.34 | 26.2% | 15.2% | 185 | -0.92 | 2.67 | 295 | 76 |
| Joaquín Benoit R 2028 · 3.73 FIP | 38 | SU | 3.73 | 24.8% | 8.7% | 3.0% | .179 | 4.04 | 23.5% | 12.9% | 98 | +0.31 | 3.72 | 164 | 73 |
| Manny Acosta R 2025 · 3.99 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.99 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .273 | 3.04 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -0.95 | 3.04 | 102 | 72 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2024 · 3.99 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.99 | 18.1% | 11.3% | 1.8% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.99 | 104 | 71 |
| Jean Machi R 2025 · 3.92 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.92 | 18.6% | 6.6% | 2.8% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.92 | 186 | 68 |
| Francisco Del Rosario R 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.09 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 2.0% | .267 | 6.61 | 11.9% | -0.6% | 77 | +2.52 | 4.09 | 145 | 68 |
| Juan Sandoval R 2026 · 3.53 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.53 | 16.7% | 7.2% | 1.7% | .298 | 5.49 | 15.9% | 8.7% | 57 | +1.96 | 3.17 | 225 | 68 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.70 | 27.0% | 7.1% | 3.6% | .278 | 4.06 | 19.8% | 8.7% | 103 | +0.36 | 3.51 | 219 | 68 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2024 · 4.00 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.00 | 18.1% | 12.9% | 1.4% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.56 | 147 | 68 |
| Matt Albers R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.28 | 22.1% | 10.1% | 3.2% | .269 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.15 | 244 | 68 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2025 · 4.59 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.59 | 19.4% | 6.7% | 4.2% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.83 | 208 | 67 |
| Mark Lowe R 2024 · 4.79 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.79 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 3.3% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.37 | 153 | 67 |
| Blaine Boyer R 2026 · 3.21 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.21 | 18.0% | 7.6% | 1.2% | .341 | 7.33 | 8.3% | -0.9% | 22 | +4.12 | 3.21 | 209 | 67 |
| Luis Ayala R 2027 · 3.02 FIP | 37 | SU | 3.02 | 19.7% | 5.0% | 1.7% | .270 | 3.22 | 12.1% | 5.9% | 57 | +0.20 | 2.99 | 119 | 67 |
| Carlos Torres R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.25 | 17.8% | 9.0% | 2.7% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.78 | 326 | 66 |
| Jim Johnson R 2025 · 4.58 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.58 | 16.8% | 7.8% | 3.5% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.51 | 251 | 66 |
| Daniel Bard R 2026 · 3.44 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.44 | 26.3% | 11.5% | 2.0% | .337 | 3.53 | 24.6% | 10.3% | 110 | +0.09 | 2.48 | 200 | 66 |
| Jesse Hahn R 2026 · 3.51 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.51 | 19.7% | 9.7% | 1.5% | .347 | 5.90 | 19.1% | 2.3% | 22 | +2.39 | 2.19 | 426 | 64 |
| Radhames Liz R 2024 · 4.31 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.31 | 21.8% | 13.9% | 2.3% | .343 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.77 | 110 | 64 |
| Zack Segovia R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.36 | 17.6% | 13.6% | 1.9% | .353 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 144 | 64 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 41 | 22.5% | 11.3% | 1.10 | 4.39 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Keegan Thompson ('24) | 4 | 57 | 23.0% | 11.3% | 1.19 | 3.64 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| Greg Holland ('21) | 6 | 45 | 25.4% | 12.3% | 0.87 | 4.03 |